Biographical

Portrait of Bubba Starling

Bubba Starling CF  

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Royals Player Cards | Royals Team Audit | Royals Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 23)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
250 .217 6 24 26 3 .227 -0.1
Birth Date8-3-1992
Height6' 4"
Weight210 lbs
Age24 years, 1 months, 26 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2012
2013
2014
2015
0.02016
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2012 BNC Rk 53 234 .293 .262 .335 .394 .000 .372 102 8.9 7.2 0.7 10.2 1.8 18.6 2.8 18.6 2.8
2013 LEX A 125 498 .287 .245 .320 .365 .000 .309 89 14.2 13.9 0.8 0.2 1.0 29.8 3.1 29.8 3.1
2014 WIL A+ 132 549 .260 .260 .326 .388 .000 .293 87 -0.1 16.1 1.3 1.8 4.9 22.2 2.4 22.2 2.4
2015 WIL A+ 12 51 .388 .262 .330 .372 .000 .600 94 6.5 1.4 0 -0.1 -0.1 7.9 0.8 7.9 0.8
2015 NWA AA 91 367 .272 .255 .320 .392 .000 .319 102 4.3 9.8 -0.1 -3.8 0.9 15.0 1.2 15.0 1.2
2015 SUR Wnt 22 91 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .345 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2016 NWA AA 62 255 .219 .250 .316 .379 .265 .257 98 -10.6 6.9 0 2.7 1.3 -2.4 0.0 -2.4 0.0
2016 OMA AAA 47 176 .180 .263 .326 .402 .268 .277 93 -14.8 4.9 0.2 1.2 -1.2 -10.9 -1.0 -10.9 -1.0

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2012 BNC Rk 234 35 55 8 2 10 33 28 70 10 1 .275 .371 .485 .210 .293 18.6 10.2 2.8
2013 LEX A 498 51 105 21 4 13 63 53 128 22 3 .241 .329 .398 .156 .287 29.8 0.2 3.1
2014 WIL A+ 549 67 105 23 4 9 54 49 150 17 2 .218 .304 .338 .120 .260 22.2 1.8 2.4
2015 NWA AA 367 51 84 19 4 10 32 30 91 4 5 .254 .318 .426 .172 .272 15.0 -3.8 1.2
2015 WIL A+ 51 6 17 4 0 2 12 7 17 2 1 .386 .471 .614 .227 .388 7.9 -0.1 0.8
2015 SUR Wnt 91 10 23 2 0 4 10 6 25 5 0 .274 .330 .440 .167 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2016 OMA AAA 176 14 30 8 0 2 17 7 64 1 0 .181 .213 .265 .084 .180 -10.9 1.2 -1.0
2016 NWA AA 255 28 43 15 1 5 23 15 81 10 1 .185 .251 .322 .137 .219 -2.4 2.7 0.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT CSAA_CHANCES CSAA_RT

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2013-05-13 2013-05-20 Minors 7 0 Bilateral Surgery LASIK - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2016 KCA $

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 0 dBoras Corp.1 year/$0.5075M (2016)

Details
  • 1 year/$0.5075M (2016). Contract selected by Kansas City 11/20/15. Re-signed by Kansas City 2/25/16.
  • Drafted by Kansas City 2011 (1-5) (Gardner-Edgerton High School, Gardner, Kan.). $7.5M signing bonus.

2016 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/15/2015 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 314 36 73 15 2 9 36 25 87 4 2 .260 .324 .424 .269 10.3 CF -2, RF 1 1.0
80o 292 32 65 13 2 8 32 22 83 4 2 .245 .307 .399 .255 5.6 CF -2, RF 1 0.5
70o 276 29 59 12 2 7 29 20 80 3 1 .234 .295 .381 .245 2.5 CF -2, RF 1 0.2
60o 263 27 54 11 2 6 27 18 77 3 1 .225 .284 .367 .236 0.2 CF -2, RF 1 -0.1
50o 250 25 50 10 2 6 25 17 75 3 1 .217 .275 .353 .228 -1.8 CF -2, RF 1 -0.3
40o 237 23 45 9 2 5 23 15 72 3 1 .208 .265 .339 .220 -3.6 CF -1, RF 1 -0.5
30o 224 21 40 8 1 5 21 14 69 2 1 .200 .254 .324 .211 -5.3 CF -1, RF 1 -0.7
20o 208 19 35 7 1 4 19 12 65 2 1 .189 .242 .307 .201 -7.0 CF -1, RF 1 -0.8
10o 186 16 30 6 1 4 16 10 59 2 1 .175 .225 .284 .187 -8.8 CF -1, RF 0 -1.0
Weighted Mean2562652112626177631.221.279.359.232-0.9CF -2, RF 1-0.2

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 9/29/2016 15:02 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 513 55 114 26 4 13 55 36 151 6 3 .243 .304 .397 .257 10.8 CF -3, RF 1 0.9
80o 492 51 102 23 3 12 50 33 148 6 2 .229 .288 .374 .243 3.6 CF -3, RF 1 0.1
70o 476 47 96 22 3 11 47 30 146 5 2 .219 .276 .357 .233 -1.2 CF -3, RF 1 -0.4
60o 462 44 89 20 3 10 44 28 144 5 2 .210 .266 .343 .224 -5.0 CF -3, RF 0 -0.8
50o 450 42 83 19 3 9 42 27 142 5 2 .202 .256 .330 .216 -8.4 CF -3, RF 0 -1.2
40o 438 39 79 18 3 9 40 25 139 4 2 .194 .247 .317 .208 -11.6 CF -3, RF 0 -1.5
30o 424 37 73 17 2 8 37 23 137 4 2 .185 .236 .303 .200 -14.8 CF -3, RF 0 -1.8
20o 408 34 67 15 2 8 34 21 134 4 2 .176 .225 .286 .190 -18.2 CF -2, RF 0 -2.2
10o 387 30 59 13 2 7 31 19 130 3 1 .162 .208 .264 .176 -22.5 CF -2, RF 0 -2.7
Weighted Mean456438720310432714352.206.260.336.220-6.8CF -3, RF 0-1.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
1% 6% 3% 6% 20%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
20172448953992041251341466.223.284.366.235-0.1-0.00.2-0.212.1-12.2-1.2
20182545349932041148321335.223.285.368.237-0.00.70.1-0.311.2-10.3-1.1
20192647151971941250321395.226.285.372.238-0.01.10.1-0.411.6-10.2-1.2
20202745349911931148321345.223.285.368.236-0.10.10.0-0.511.2-10.6-1.1
20212842045841831044291264.221.281.363.234-0.2-1.2-0.1-0.610.4-10.8-1.0
2022293754074153939261133.217.278.360.232-0.3-1.9-0.2-0.69.3-10.4-0.9
2023303804176163940271142.219.281.361.233-0.3-1.8-0.3-0.89.4-10.1-0.9
2024313674074153938261092.220.281.361.233-0.3-1.8-0.3-0.89.1-9.8-0.9
2025323603972152938251081.219.282.361.233-0.3-1.9-0.4-0.98.9-9.5-0.9

Long-Term Forecast Based on RoS PECOTA (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
201724250254711252415793.207.263.340.219-1.2-9.60.0-0.414.7-24.0-1.4
2018253683769162836241154.208.267.342.222-1.1-8.30.0-0.715.0-22.6-2.1
201926524541032341253311645.213.268.352.225-1.1-6.80.0-1.115.3-21.1-3.0
202027525551012431254341655.211.270.352.225-1.1-7.0-0.1-1.215.3-21.1-3.0
20212849150922231148321604.203.263.336.219-1.5-11.1-0.3-1.315.3-24.9-2.8
2022294083871172837231353.190.242.311.204-2.3-19.1-0.3-1.214.7-32.3-2.3
2023303973868142937261392.187.245.310.202-2.4-19.9-0.3-1.314.4-32.7-2.3
202532590691192622070411912.221.284.388.242-0.21.3-1.1-2.215.3-10.7-3.4

Upside By Year

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 PEAK 5
4.36.711.910.51.71.536.3

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
20153.41.911.63.223.324.2

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 88)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 95 Michael Crouse 2014 .000 DNP
2 94 Jordan Danks 2010 .000 DNP
3 94 Brett Eibner 2012 .000 DNP
4 94 Thomas Pham 2011 .000 DNP
5 94 Bryan Petersen 2009 .000 DNP
6 93 Slade Heathcott 2014 .000 DNP
7 93 Kirk Nieuwenhuis 2011 .000 DNP
8 93 Jai Miller 2008 -.015
9 93 Xavier Paul 2008 .000 DNP
10 92 Franklin Gutierrez 2006 .212
11 92 Matthew Cerione 2011 .000 DNP
12 92 Trayce Thompson 2014 .000 DNP
13 92 Daniel Fields 2014 .000 DNP
14 92 Austin Jackson 2010 .261
15 92 Trayvon Robinson 2011 .225
16 91 Travis Taijeron 2012 .000 DNP
17 90 Javier Herrera 2008 .000 DNP
18 90 Brandon Short 2012 .000 DNP
19 90 Richie Robnett 2007 .000 DNP
20 89 Angel Morales 2013 .000 DNP
21 89 Johnny Field 2015 .000 DNP
22 89 Christopher Grayson 2013 .000 DNP
23 89 Collin Cowgill 2009 .000 DNP
24 89 George Springer 2013 .000 DNP
25 89 Sean Ratliff 2010 .000 DNP
26 89 Miguel Velazquez 2011 .000 DNP
27 88 Brian Goodwin 2014 .000 DNP
28 88 Ronnie Welty 2011 .000 DNP
29 88 Tyler Naquin 2014 .000 DNP
30 88 Brandon Meredith 2013 .000 DNP
31 88 Michael Taylor 2014 .235
32 88 Johermyn Chavez 2012 .000 DNP
33 88 Zoilo Almonte 2012 .000 DNP
34 88 Conor Bierfeldt 2014 .000 DNP
35 88 Jordan Schafer 2010 .000 DNP
36 87 Rainel Rosario 2012 .000 DNP
37 87 Kevin Rivers 2012 .000 DNP
38 87 Kevin Keyes 2012 .000 DNP
39 87 Edgardo Baez 2009 .000 DNP
40 87 Marcus Knecht 2013 .000 DNP
41 87 Tyler Marincov 2015 .000 DNP
42 87 Hunter Renfroe 2015 .000 DNP
43 87 Miguel Negron 2006 .000 DNP
44 87 Edward Salcedo 2015 .000 DNP
45 87 Kyle Jensen 2011 .000 DNP
46 87 Cory Vaughn 2012 .000 DNP
47 87 Austin Wilson 2015 .000 DNP
48 87 Josh Reddick 2010 .198
49 87 Jarred Ball 2006 .000 DNP
50 87 Aaron Altherr 2014 .006
51 87 Ben Guez 2010 .000 DNP
52 87 Mickey Hall 2008 .000 DNP
53 87 Jaycob Brugman 2015 .000 DNP
54 86 Josh Elander 2014 .000 DNP
55 86 Julio Morban 2015 .000 DNP
56 86 Ryan Patterson 2006 .000 DNP
57 86 Chris Lubanski 2008 .000 DNP
58 86 Collin DeLome 2009 .000 DNP
59 86 Jake Marisnick 2014 .226
60 86 Jason Place 2011 .000 DNP
61 86 Ryan Cordell 2015 .000 DNP
62 86 Alex Glenn 2014 .000 DNP
63 86 Anthony Garcia 2015 .000 DNP
64 86 Neil Medchill 2010 .000 DNP
65 86 Steven Selsky 2013 .000 DNP
66 86 Josh Sale 2015 .000 DNP
67 86 Michael Choice 2013 .294
68 86 Aaron Hicks 2013 .237
69 86 John Tolisano 2012 .000 DNP
70 86 Marvin Lowrance 2008 .000 DNP
71 86 Blake Smith 2011 .000 DNP
72 86 Joe Benson 2011 .225
73 86 Marc Krauss 2011 .000 DNP
74 86 Mike Wilson 2006 .000 DNP
75 86 Matt Joyce 2008 .285
76 86 Alejandro Selen 2012 .000 DNP
77 85 Wander Ramos 2013 .000 DNP
78 85 Drew Stubbs 2008 .000 DNP
79 85 Brandon Jacobs 2014 .000 DNP
80 85 John Wooten 2014 .000 DNP
81 85 Evan Chambers 2012 .000 DNP
82 85 Michael Burgess 2012 .000 DNP
83 85 Keon Broxton 2013 .000 DNP
84 85 Chris Colton 2006 .000 DNP
85 85 Kevin Clark 2009 .000 DNP
86 85 Roger Kieschnick 2010 .000 DNP
87 85 Raul Reyes 2010 .000 DNP
88 85 Quincy Latimore 2012 .000 DNP
89 85 Jarrett Parker 2012 .000 DNP
90 85 Andrew Lambo 2012 .000 DNP
91 85 Carlos Moncrief 2012 .000 DNP
92 85 Chris Young 2007 .256
93 85 Daniel Adamson 2011 .000 DNP
94 85 Justin Nelson 2006 .000 DNP
95 85 Eddie Rosario 2015 .252
96 85 Kyle Conley 2010 .000 DNP
97 85 Byron Wiley 2010 .000 DNP
98 85 Rashun Dixon 2014 .000 DNP
99 85 Janelfry Zorrilla 2014 .000 DNP
100 85 Jacob Butler 2006 .000 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2016 Starling made enough progress last summer for the Royals to stash him away on their 40-man roster, but he still has a long way to go. The former top pick oozes athleticism, plays a plus center field and is making more consistent contact but has yet to turn his power potential into production between the lines. The Royals will give him another chance to conquer Double-A, and if the light comes on he could grow into a fourth outfielder‚ÄĒnot that Kansas City has any shortage of those.
2015 A multi-sport home-town hero who received the highest draft bonus in club history, Starling's career has stalled due to his continuing inability to solidly strike a spherical projectile with a cylindrical cudgel. Tall and athletic, he's excellent with the glove and has the speed and power potential of a future All-Star center fielder, but hitting remains a mystery to him. He's not an inveterate hacker, as Starling has improved his pitch recognition and knows the strike zone, but he simply struggles to make contact when he gets his pitch. The Royals will be patient with him given his youth and relative inexperience, but unless he develops the skills to leverage his talent he'll have to rely on every five-tool washout's backup career plan: groundbreaking general manager.
2014 Bonus baby or bonus bust? A former local high school star, Starling struggled mightily in his first exposure to full-season baseball. He was hitting .213/.286/.354 when he left Lexington for Lasik eye surgery in mid-May. He finally put together a solid stretch when he hit .333/.404/.595 in 94 plate appearances in August, but the usual small sample size disclaimer applies. Overall, he whiffed in 26 percent of his plate appearances and struggled with pitch recognition all summer. Some scouts remain convinced the tools will develop, but after his performance, thereís plenty of space available on the Bubba Bandwagon. No one denies the tools or the athleticism. Itís the bat that remains the question mark.
2013 If you want to freak out a Royals fan, point out that Starling turned 20 last August while playing for Burlington in the Appalachian League, while Bryce Harper turned 20 just four days after his rookie season ended for the Washington Nationals. Breathe. While Harper has long been a baseball prodigy, Starling didn't begin playing baseball year-round until he was under contract with the Royals. The organization moved him slowly, rebuilding his swing in extended spring training before sending him to Burlington at the end of June. He showed plenty of power, but scouts feel he can be exploited with inside fastballs or off-speed pitches away. A rangy center fielder, Starling has the instincts and ability to excel defensively. The Royals will continue to bring him along with care.
2012 The Royals were thinking starting pitching with the fifth pick in the 2011 draft, but when their top four targets were off the board, they turned to the best high school bat available in Starling. A local product, he grew up a half hour from Kauffman Stadium and was a three-sport star for Gardner-Edgerton High School, excelling at football, basketball, and baseball. That athleticism earned him a full-ride scholarship to play quarterback at the University of Nebraska which he turned down to ride buses in the minors. He signed too late to play in 2011, so the Royals started his professional career in the Instructional League. With a level, compact stroke, prodigious power, and plenty of speed, Starling projects as the Royals five-tool center fielder of the future.

BP Articles

Bubba Starling is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessWeekly Wrap: July 8, 2016Will Haines2016-07-08
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of July 1-4Christopher Crawford2016-07-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: Seven Prospects to Stash or FlipBen Carsley2016-06-01
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: May 31, 2016BP Prospect Staff2016-05-31
This article requires BP Premium accessWho to Watch: Texas LeagueKit House2016-04-14
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 8-10Christopher Crawford2016-04-11
Get to Know: Outfield Prospects for 2017 and BeyondBen Carsley2016-02-18
2016 Prospects: Kansas City Royals Top 10 ProspectsChristopher Crawford2016-01-26
2016 Prospects: Kansas City Royals Top 10 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2016-01-26
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, November 3rdBrendan Gawlowski2015-11-04
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of October 30 - November 1, 2015Wilson Karaman2015-11-02
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of October 16-18Mauricio Rubio2015-10-19
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Arizona Fall League Games of October 15, 2015Jeffrey Paternostro2015-10-16
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Arizona Fall League Games of October 13thWilson Karaman2015-10-14
This article requires BP Premium accessThe 2015 Arizona Fall League: Desert Thrillin'Mark Anderson2015-09-02
This article requires BP Premium accessThe 2015 Arizona Fall League: Desert Thrillin'Wilson Karaman2015-09-02
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, July 28thJeff Moore2015-07-29
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 27, 2015Ian Frazer2015-07-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: 2015 U25 Rankings: American League CentralCraig Goldstein2015-05-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: 2015 U25 Rankings: American League CentralBen Carsley2015-05-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Early-Season Stat Line ScoutingWilson Karaman2015-04-22
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 17-19, 2015Jeff Moore2015-04-20
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, April 9, 2015Jeff Moore2015-04-10
This article requires BP Premium accessLeague Preview Series: Texas LeagueMark Anderson2015-04-02
Notes from the Field: Last Looks From ArizonaMauricio Rubio2015-04-02
This article requires BP Premium accessLeague Preview Series: Carolina LeagueJordan Gorosh2015-03-27
This article requires BP Premium accessSome Projection Left: Top 50 Draft Prospects [With Aiken Update]Christopher Crawford2015-03-26
This article requires BP Premium accessGoing Yard: Spring Training Series: Part TwoRyan Parker2015-03-19
This article requires BP Premium accessSpring Training Notebook: Cactus League: March 17, 2015BP Prospect Staff2015-03-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Outfield Prospects for 2016 and BeyondBen Carsley2015-02-11
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Arizona Fall League Games of October 9th, 2014Jeff Moore2014-10-10
Eyewitness Accounts: September 17, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-09-17
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: July 10, 2014Jeff Moore2014-07-10
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: July 10, 2014Austin Diamond2014-07-10
This article requires BP Premium accessGoing Yard: Super Hits of the 70sRyan Parker2014-07-08
The 2011 Redraft: Redoing a Deep First RoundBaseball Prospectus2014-07-02
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, June 23Jeff Moore2014-06-24
Eyewitness Accounts: May 13, 2014Jason Parks2014-05-13
Eyewitness Accounts: May 13, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-05-13
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, May 8Jeff Moore2014-05-09
Eyewitness Accounts: Eyewitness Accounts for May 6, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-05-06
Eyewitness Accounts: Eyewitness Accounts for May 6, 2014Jason Parks2014-05-06
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Re-Introducing the Eyewitness Scouting SeriesJason Parks2014-05-06
PECOTA Takes on Prospects: Introduction: I Now Pronounce You Scout and StatAndrew Koo2014-04-15
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Spring Training Games of March 21-23Jeff Moore2014-03-24
Notes from the Field: Backfield Scouting Notes, 3/21BP Prospect Staff2014-03-21
Notes from the Field: Backfield Scouting Notes, 3/21Jason Parks2014-03-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Top 101 Fantasy Prospects of 2014: Part Two: 51-101Bret Sayre2014-03-04
This article requires BP Premium accessTop Tools: Best Outfield Defense/Outfield ArmMark Anderson2014-02-28
This article requires BP Premium accessTop Tools: Best Outfield Defense/Outfield ArmBP Prospect Staff2014-02-28
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2014 Organizational RankingsJason Parks2014-02-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: OutfieldersBen Murphy2014-02-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: OutfieldersIan Lefkowitz2014-02-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: OutfieldersJared Weiss2014-02-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 120 OutfieldersBret Sayre2014-02-20
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Outfield ProspectsBen Carsley2014-02-19
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: The Importance of Top Prospect TrajectoriesSam Miller2014-02-12
BP Experts Prospect Mock Draft: Rounds 5-7Baseball Prospectus2014-01-31
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: NL WestTodd Gold2014-01-23
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: NL WestPatrick Ebert2014-01-23
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: NL WestGeorge Bissell2014-01-23
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: AL EastPatrick Ebert2014-01-07
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: AL EastDavid Rawnsley2014-01-07
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: AL EastTodd Gold2014-01-07
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: AL CentralTodd Gold2013-12-03
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: AL CentralPatrick Ebert2013-12-03
This article requires BP Premium accessPerfect Game Presents: Before They Were Pros: AL CentralGeorge Bissell2013-12-03
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Kansas City Royals Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-11-22
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: The Prospects Who DisappointedBP Prospect Staff2013-09-09
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: The Prospects Who DisappointedJason Parks2013-09-09
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, August 28Zach Mortimer2013-08-29
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat Scouts Are Saying: August 29, 2013Baseball Prospectus2013-08-29
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of August 23-25Zach Mortimer2013-08-26
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of August 9-11Zach Mortimer2013-08-12
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, July 31stChris Rodriguez2013-08-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Top 50 Fantasy Prospects: Midseason UpdateBret Sayre2013-07-08
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Minors: First Half RecapJason Parks2013-06-20
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of June 14-16Zach Mortimer2013-06-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: The Myths of Minor-League StrikeoutsBret Sayre2013-05-24
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, April 29Zach Mortimer2013-04-30
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 19-April 21Zach Mortimer2013-04-22
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 12-14Zach Mortimer2013-04-15
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Checking In On: Bubba StarlingJason Parks2013-04-12
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: My American League PortfolioPaul Sporer2013-04-10
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, April 8Zach Mortimer2013-04-09
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2013 Organizational RankingsJason Parks2013-03-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTop 100 Dynasty League Prospects: Part Two: 51-100Josh Shepardson2013-03-11
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTop 100 Dynasty League Prospects: Part Two: 51-100Bret Sayre2013-03-11
BP Unfiltered: Top 101 Prospects of 2013, Sliced and DicedRob McQuown2013-02-26
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Top 101 ProspectsJason Parks2013-02-25
BP Unfiltered: Daily Draft Video: Weekend Flashback (Zimmer vs Starling)Nick J. Faleris2012-12-08
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Kansas City Royals Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2012-12-03
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Fall Instructional League Wrap-UpJason Parks2012-10-03
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Fall Instructional League Report: Part 2Jason Parks2012-09-28
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: The Midseason Top 50 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2012-08-01
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of July 4Kevin Goldstein2012-07-05
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Don't You Forget About MeKevin Goldstein2012-07-05
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of July 2Kevin Goldstein2012-07-03
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: All Gap TeamKevin Goldstein2012-06-20
The Lineup Card: 10 Favorite ProspectsBaseball Prospectus2012-06-20
The Lineup Card: 10 Picks for the 2015 World ChampsBaseball Prospectus2012-06-14
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: The 2012 Draft's New RulesKevin Goldstein2012-05-23
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Miguel Sano and Jorge BonifacioKevin Goldstein2012-04-11
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Baseball is My Stereo: Royals ProspectsJason Parks2012-04-10
Future Shock Blog: Top 101 Prospects: Opening Day AssignmentsKevin Goldstein2012-04-05
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Spring Training Diary: Last EntryJason Parks2012-04-03
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: Mike Trout and the 20-Year ContractSam Miller2012-04-02
Baseball Prospectus Book News: Clutch Performer 2012 Now in PrintDave Pease2012-04-01
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: AL Central Prospect PreviewKevin Goldstein2012-03-26
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Spring Training Diary, Day 22Jason Parks2012-03-20
Baseball ProGUESTus: Sizing Up the CBA AgainDustin Palmateer2012-02-28
Future Shock: Top 101 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2012-02-13
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: What Could Go Wrong in 2012: Kansas City RoyalsJason Parks2012-02-02
Baseball ProGUESTus: The Advantage of Low ExpectationsM.J. Lloyd2012-01-17
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Royals Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2011-11-21
Doctoring The Numbers: Starting Them Young, Part TwoRany Jazayerli2011-10-14


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2016-05-18 19:00:00 (link to chat)Any new reports on any progress made by Bubba Starling?
(Tommy from Texas)
Not a whole lot, no. He's on the 40-man roster and at Double-A. His biggest problem is going to be that the Royals have a plethora of toolsy fourth outfielder types already, so I don't see how he breaks in anytime soon. (George Bissell)
2016-04-14 20:00:00 (link to chat)Bubba Starling will have a comparable MLB career to ______________
(Ted from Florida)
Billy Beane. (Scooter Hotz)
2016-04-12 18:00:00 (link to chat)Bubba Starling have any potential left in your eyes or should he go back to Nebraska for that starting QB job
(Kaylee from Ohio)
A year ago, I would have said it's time to go give that other game a try. Not now. We gave up too soon. (Christopher Crawford)
2016-03-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)Will Bubba Starling ever figure it out or will he be tantalizing and frustrating to watch?
(Kevin from KC)
Eh...honestly, I'm going to lean towards the ladder, with a best-case ceiling of Alex Rios.

I think he's an example of what happens in this neo-prospect age. Amateurs are oftentimes given billings that aren't fair for them to try and live up to. Starling was great, yes, but Starling also was a home-state kid who had the football/baseball intrigue. He also goes by Bubba, so, that's probably a big thing in Kansas.

Inn actuality, though, a scout would tell you that despite the hype, Bubbsy Starling was really just a 'type' of player. The same 'type' of player that say, Monte Harrison is, another guy that I'm asked about frequently. These 'types' of players are freak athletes that have all the raw power and supplementary tools in the world, but ultimately it falls down to how much they're able to bring out of the hit tool. Even if they figure it out (more or less), they often remain very slump-prone and streaky (again, Alex Rios). One factor is Starling's size. He's 6'5--a big dude. How many batting champs have that type of size? And if they do, how many hit for power? It can be hard to consistently generate hard game contact and control longer levers to bring about consistent batting average.

I'm not going to say he's a Bret Eibner in KC's system. But I don't think he's going to be the super-athlete face of the franchise, either. I'll hold to my Alex Rios best case.

That said, it's risky to fully bet against this type of athlete and raw toolset. These guys can really prove you wrong, and make unforeseen adjustments right when you're starting to pat yourself on the back as a scout. Whoops. (Adam McInturff)
2016-01-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Help me dream on Bubba Starling. Is this the year to add him in a 4 yr 4 round penalty 15 team 5 x 5 league?
(Chris from Baltimore)
I do have to admit that I had to ask my buddy Craig Goldstein what a 4 yr 4 round penalty was. Now that I know, man that sounds like a ROUGH league. I'd say no, we need to see Starling have another year of competence at the plate. I realize if he does that you risk having to take him much higher, but it's just too much risk for me. (Christopher Crawford)
2015-08-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Alright, let's talk Bubba Starling. Kinda doing some thing in AA this year. Outlook changed on him? Top 10 Royals guy now?
(Luke G from KCMO)
HE's for sure a top ten Royals guy now, and he might even be a top five guy. That sort of speaks to both how much attrition has happened along with Starling's improvement, but yes. Starling is definitely a top 10 guy, and it's awesome to see, because I no longer feel like a crazy person. (Christopher Crawford)
2015-07-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Bubba Starling seems to kinda be putting some things together. Any word on what he's doing and do you think he's regained some stock (though it's only been 200 PA of good results this year vs 1200 meh ones)
(Michael D from Kansas)
There have been some ups and downs, but the scouts I've spoken with say Starling looks much improved from 2014, when many were ready to write him off. I think it's a case of him being a bit of a late-bloomer -- let's keep in mind that this was a very highly recruited QB who spent much of his time playing that "other" game -- and he's picking up on some things like spin and that it's okay to take pitches. I think he's still a fourth outfielder at best, but that's a vast improvement over what he was last year. Another jump and who knows? (Christopher Crawford)
2015-04-29 20:00:00 (link to chat)Most confusing promotion: Bubba Starling was promoted to AA, despite a 32% K-rate as A+....Just trade him to an NFL team somehow or admit he is a worse Drew Stubbs.
(What? from Brooklyn)
I mean, at some point you need to get him to the major league level, given his pedigree and athleticism, and see if anything sticks. Giving up on him before that stage is just wasteful. (Bret Sayre)
2015-02-04 19:00:00 (link to chat)Is the Tigers system so bad Bubba Starling would be a top ten guy for them?
(Ryan Parker from Land of the Leg Kicks)
I... I don't want to think about this. But, probably not, I'm not sure he reaches the major leagues. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-12-18 15:00:00 (link to chat)Can I feel comfortable dropping Bubba Starling and DJ Davis in a 20 team dynasty?
(Charles from NYC)
Godspeed, my fren' (Craig Goldstein)
2014-12-11 18:00:00 (link to chat)Is there any hope left for Bubba Starling? Any chance of a breakout season?
(Isaac from Akron)
Any hope? Maybe if you're a Nebraska fan. I kid, of course, but I don't really see it working on the diamond for him. The Royals would be foolish not to give him plenty of chances to put his incredible tools together, but I just don't see the feel for the game that could allow that to happen. (Mark Anderson)
2014-10-17 12:00:00 (link to chat)Is there any hope left for Bubba Starling? What are the whispers from inside the organization?
(Bob Hamelin from Hot Dog Factory)
The organization remains publicly optimistic about Starling's future, and insists he just needs time to develop. Rival officials from other clubs remain dubious. (Andy McCullough)
2014-10-17 12:00:00 (link to chat)Is it time to give up on Bubba Starling?
(Jason from KC)
No. It is time to be worried, though. (Andy McCullough)
2014-10-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Bubba Starling, lost forever? That's 80-grade name, even if nothing else comes together for him.
(RatedRookie from Atlanta)
I'm sure the Chiefs could use a wide receiver. (Jeff Moore)
2014-09-10 12:00:00 (link to chat)Bubba Starling's future in 2015? Does he start in Double A?
(Chris from Baltimore)
I think he needs to start in Wilmington again next season. Look, I am not going to pounce on him like everyone else...but the issues are real here. I have seen him probably 8-10 times this season, and haven't seen the same swing replicated once in any game. The athletic ability is insane, and I do think he can be better than what we see right now. But is slightly better enough? I don't think so. (Tucker Blair)
2014-09-03 14:00:00 (link to chat)If you are the Royals, what do you do with Bubba Starling? Hold the course? Try him on the mound? Agree to release him in exchange for a cut of his NFL earnings?
(Matt from Cambridge)
See if you can trade him to the Chiefs for a first rounder. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-08-19 14:00:00 (link to chat)Witt. Like most, you seem to be very low on Bubba Starling. As someone who sees him a lot, what can he do to be successful? Not necessarily what are his flaws, we know those, but what corrections or attempted corrections would you put on him? Five years from now do you see him as a 4th OF or someone who can play ~80-90 games a year through good defense/baserunning?
(Doug from Denver,CO)
I have seen Bubba setup a million different ways at the plate. He's not the top runner he once was and I have questions he has the true barrel skills and ideal pitch recognition skills. In 5 years, Bubba should be playing his senior year on the Gridiron throwing the pigskin. (CJ Wittmann)
2014-08-19 14:00:00 (link to chat)If Bubba Starling doesn't take a step forward next year, would you try him on the mound perhaps? An excellent arm and a nice 6'4" athletic build seems like it could work on the mound.
(Charles from NYC)
I'd try him as my QB (CJ Wittmann)
2014-08-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Bubba Starling: future 4th outfielder a possibility? Drew Stubbs light? BA says he's the best defensive OF and best OF arm in the Carolina league. Surely a team is going to give him multiple chances right?
(Marco from Dallas)
The question is... what IS Drew Stubbs light? Is that a major leaguer? 5th outfielder to me. Not going to hit. (Craig Goldstein)
2014-08-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Bubba Starling: Has been doing very well in July consistently. It's one month, but he's always had hot streaks but he sustained them for the most part last month and has hit .289/.346/.483 since Mid-June. Slowly coming together? New (technically old because they are his High School) mechanics working? Think he'll make the bigs on power/speed alone like Drew Stubbs?
(Dave from KC)
If Bubba makes it to the majors it's based on his CF defense (very good) and his draft status. I don't believe he'll ever hit. (Jeff Moore)
2014-07-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)If you are the Royals, do you give up on Bubba Starling? Do you try him on the mound? Send him to play football?
(NightmareRec0n from Boston)
Given the investment, I think it is still too early to seriously considering doing anything with him but continuing to let him play and develop. With talented athletes like Starling, the light bulb can go off tomorrow, sometime four years from now, or not at all. He'll get chance after chance to figure it out with the Royals, and when they decide they're done trying, he'll probably get multiple chances with other organizations. (Mark Anderson)
2014-06-03 14:00:00 (link to chat)The Royals seemed to have drafted well (at least with their first 2 picks) in 2013. Is this what's keeping Dayton Moore off the hotseat?
(Joe from KS)
Meanwhile, Bubba Starling...going to guess the Royals owners aren't keeping Moore because the Royals took two guys in A ball that are highly regarded in the present while they are 3 games under .500 at the major league level. (Ron Shah)
2014-05-13 11:00:00 (link to chat)With the struggles Bubba Starling has had at the plate do you see converting him to a pitcher as a realistic possibility?
(Kevin from SF Bay Area)
I don't. I see him playing in the outfield, most likely reaching the highest level as a 5th outfielder (if he reaches the level at all) (Jason Parks)
2014-05-13 11:00:00 (link to chat)Was reading the report on Bubba Starling and it seems like a lot of the problems with his swing is obvious, so why isn't it correctable? Should that be something that time in the cage could fix? Or do some guys just struggle to make those small adjustments?
(Tony from Work)
If its neurological, its not as fixable. Poor pitch recognition is something that I think has a finite ceiling, most likely established before I player is even drafted. You can make some adjustments and enhance your execution with the bat, but if you struggle to pick up the ball early out of the hand, diagnose the pitch, and react accordingly, I don't see that improving a great deal as a player ages. Basically, I'm a believer that the neurological stuff is either there or it isn't there, and I'm always shocked when dysfunction in this specific characteristic isn't discovered sooner in the process. If teams are willing to spend millions on a player, one would think they would explore such neurological functions in order to determine recognition and reaction ability before drafting or signing a player. (Jason Parks)
2014-05-02 14:00:00 (link to chat)Twilight Zone question: Because Bubba Starling is already hitting like a pitcher, any thoughts about putting that arm on the mound?
(nictaclacta from Phoenix)
It's easier to transition from the field to the mound than it is to do the reverse, so the Royals can afford to be patient with Starling while keeping that idea in the back of their minds. It's a cool idea, though, and I dig the prospect of traveling to another dimension - a dimension not only of sight and sound, but of mind. (Doug Thorburn)
2014-04-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Bubba Starling - most likely outcome, MLB All-Star game appearance or Heisman trophy?
(JoshC77 from Columbus, OH)
I don't think either is terribly likely. It is very unlikely that he's heading back to the gridiron, and I don't see any chance that he's an All-Star at this point. Most likely, he's a fringe MLB player. (Mark Anderson)
2014-04-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Bubba Starling. It's just not going to happen, is it?
(Jack from DC)
It's not, at least to the level his raw physical tools and draft distinction suggested possible. I don't think he will hit. (Jason Parks)
2014-01-29 19:00:00 (link to chat)Welcome Ben, I'll start you off with a curveball: Let's say every draft eligible prospect from 2010 to 2014 was eligible for this year's draft. Just based on pre-draft scouting reports and without the benefit of hindsight, how would the first 10 picks of the draft unfold?
(baseballjunkie from cali, where it's already Spring)
This is an amazingly difficult question to answer, and also quite fun. Itís probably better suited for an article than for a fantasy chat answer, but since I was able to access this question ahead of time, hereís what I came up with after about 30 min of research. Iíll note that since Iím not familiar enough with 2014 prospects yet, Iíve restricted your search to 2010-2013 draftees. Iíll go with:

1. Bryce Harper 2. Manny Machado 3. Gerrit Cole 4. Dylan Bundy 5. Anthony Rendon 6. Jameson Taillon 7. Bubba Starling
8. Byron Buxton 9. Carlos Correa 10. Archie Bradley

Toughest omissions for me were Francisco Lindor, Trevor Bauer, Kevin Gausman, Kris Bryant and Mark Appel. If Luc Giolito had been healthy for his senior year, heíd probably have made it on this list. Obviously thatís not how weíd rank them now, and itís funny that guys like Chris Sale, Jose Fernandez, Matt Harvey and Javier Baez are left in the dust. Bubba Starling sticks out like a sore thumb, and Buxton was underrated. This exercise also reinforces how loaded the 2011 draft was. Last yearís pales in comparison. (Ben Carsley)
2014-01-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)What are the chances that Bubba Starling turns things around? Still a chance to be a star?
(fletchgriz from Iowa)
He still has a chance because he's still supremely talented, but that chance is getting smaller and smaller. There are some major holes in his swing, and they may prevent him from ever hitting better pitching. (Jeff Moore)
2013-10-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Does Bubba Starling still have star potential?
(Max from Florida)
On a physical level, yes. On a baseball field, no. (Jason Parks)
2013-09-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you feel Bubba Starling can build upon the moderate gains he made following his lasik procedure? What are your thoughts on him?
(hdub from the stadium)
I'm an admitted tools whore and Starling certainly appeals to me because he is absolutely loaded with tools. The only real question is the feel to hit, and even after eye surgery, I have my questions about how much he's going to hit. That said, if he hits .250-.260 at the highest level, he will have power, speed and a quality defensive profile backing up that batting average. That's one hell of a player. (Mark Anderson)
2013-07-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)What's the deal with Bubba Starling? Pitch recognition? Long swing?
(richardkr34 from Saint Paul, MN)
Yes. (Jason Parks)
2013-06-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)What's up with Bubba Starling?
(Jbscoop from Jbscoop@me.com)
Lots of tools; big-time athlete; not a natural hitter and I don't think that is something you can just learn. (Jason Parks on the Midseason Top 50 Prospects)
2013-06-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who has been more disappointing this year: Billy Hamilton or Bubba Starling?
(tonynelson19 from MN)
Bubba Starling. Hamilton was always overrated because speed is easy to see and appreciate. (Jason Parks on the Midseason Top 50 Prospects)
2013-06-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Donovan Tate or Bubba Starling?
(Mike from TX)
Starling, Much better makeup. (Jason Parks on the Midseason Top 50 Prospects)
2013-06-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Bubba Starling or Tate Donovan?
(AJ from Phoenix)
Tate Donovan because of Space Camp, which I adore. (Jason Parks on the Midseason Top 50 Prospects)
2013-05-16 13:00:00 (link to chat)Bubba Starling question: were his contact (?) problems all swing-related or could some of them have been caused by vision problems? What about Hosmer: did the surgery help him?
(CyMature from western Mass)
Swing problems can often be corrected, but neurological issues aren't a more difficult obstacle to overcome. If its just vision and not a deeper neurological deficiency (like I''ve been suggesting), then its entirely possible that he will pick up the ball better (sooner) out of the hand and be able to react accordingly. We shall see. There are vision issues and then there are read/reaction issues. It will be interesting to see what is what. (Jason Parks)
2013-04-04 11:00:00 (link to chat)Is it hyperbolic to consider this year vital to Bubba Starling's development?
(JoeTetreault from Carrollton, TX)
It's extremely vital. It's not a make or break year, but its a telling year. I've yet to see the loud tools play at a loud level, so it will be interesting to see if he starts to bring the high-ceiling talent to the field. He clearly looks the part, but he has yet to really show it. (Jason Parks)
2013-02-25 11:00:00 (link to chat)Bubba Starling: swing -and-miss because he's got holes in his swing or because he mocked the Gods of Pitch Selection?
(CyMature from Cabin (Fever))
Because he's a chiseled monument of a tooly prospect and nobody gets to have it all. (Jason Parks on the Top 101 Prospects)
2013-02-25 11:00:00 (link to chat)When a team drafts a toolsy player like Bubba Starling there is obvious risk. Do they factor in the fallback option of converting him to a pitcher if he fails to hit?
(Kevin from SF Bay Area)
I doubt it. He's a position player all the way ray (Jason Parks on the Top 101 Prospects)
2013-02-25 11:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat, Jason. Byron Buxton, Bubba Starling, Mason Williams and Jackie Bradley, Who has loudest tools? Who can be superstar?
(Mason Williams from New York)
Buxton, Starling, Williams, and Bradley, but Bradley is safer bet to be impact player and Buxton has the highest ceiling. (Jason Parks on the Top 101 Prospects)
2013-02-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Looking to win a dynasty league from 2015 until the sun blacks out. Trade Hanley and Wright for Prince, Billy Hamilton and Bubba Starling? Prince and Billy sound good. Bubba seems like too much risk for two big names like Wright and Hanley. Talk me down, Mr. Spacey, er, Sporer.
(Marv from Newfangleburg)
It's pretty fair, but I'd still try to extract a more sure-thing than Starling. It basically becomes Prince canceling one of Hanley or Wright then Hamilton & Starling for the other, which I wouldn't do. (Paul Sporer)
2013-02-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who would you rather have in your system? Byron Buxton or Bubba Starling?
(wcgopher from DC)
Buxton. Top Ten talent in baseball for me. (Jason Parks)
2013-01-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)What are your thoughts on Bubba Starling? A likely star or a cautionary tale?
(JonCor from Toronto)
Neither? I think the potential is there for him to be an impact player at an impact position. Big time star. But there is a lot of development that needs to take place between now and then. One thing I keep coming back to is how impressed I was with the progress he made with just four months of focused baseball coaching on the scouting circuit between Tournament of Stars, Area Code Games, UA, and the USA Baseball 18U team. He really picked-up instruction quickly and has an insane amount of athleticism helping to implement changes quickly. I'm really excited to see him go to work next summer. (Nick Faleris)
2012-12-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)What is a good way to explain player development (and how statistical failure can be a good thing) to a novice? Specifically I need to explain to a buddy of mine why people can be so bullish on Bubba Starling or a Archie Bradley when they are so raw and far away from being in a major league uniform,
(AJ from Phoenix)
Player development is specific to the player in question, so the journey will be unique to the individual. Some players benefit from setback more than others, but failure and the response to failure is a vital part of the developmental process. Baseball is a game of failure and adjustment.

As for Starling and Bradley, I think their ultimate ceilings are what people assign the most weight to. Obviously they are far away, but the promise they provide is more intoxicating than the realities of the developmental process, which will most likely diminish that promise as they mature in the game. It's very rare for a high-ceiling teenager to arrive at the major league level carrying the same promise they had when they first entered the game.

The development process is a journey from a dark club where everybody looks handsome/pretty to the unforgiving natural light of a hungover morning. (Jason Parks)
2012-11-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Welcome, Jason! A few Royals questions: 1. What do you expect from Moustakas this season, and what future (and timetable) do you expect for Bubba Starling?
(Chopper from Indy)
I expect more power and a sub-.250/.320 avg/obp season from Moustakas with 40 defense. Might hit 25+ homers, though. I didn't think he had that in him. I think I missed on that. Starling is a ways away. I'd toss a Sept. 2015 or mid-2016 ETA on him. On draft day I would have said 14-15. (Jason A. Churchill)
2012-08-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)how is Bubba Starling adjusting to this whole Full Time Baseball Job? You see him getting to AA next year?
(Matress from Across from Kevin's House)
I think he's been great. He has a lot of swing and miss in his game, and he isn't a very refined product, but he is showing tools in game action and that's all you want to see at this stage of the game. It's not going to be a rapid ascent to the majors. No; I don't think there is any chance he reaches Double-A in 2013. I think he plays in full-season ball, most likely Low-A and most likely for the entire season. (Jason Parks)
2012-08-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Kevin, thanks for the chat and all you do here at BP. Truly great work. I'm curious for your thoughts on Bubba Starling thus far. From scouring the box scores, he's showing on base skills, power, a great arm, and a lot of swing and miss. Are you encouraged by his performance? Why did so many Royals fans write him off prematurely? And is his age still something to be worried about? Thanks again!
(mbarr4 from Lewisville)
So many Royals fans wrote him off because so many Royals fans are miserable, albeit for understandable reasons. Starting was a project when drafted, and it's definitely a so far, so good situation with him. (Kevin Goldstein)
2012-07-11 12:00:00 (link to chat)On the podcast, you and Sporer both agree that banners fly forever. Have you ever seen anyone successfully blow up their team and go the prospect route, then with said team or prospects (or most of them) one day go on to win a title?
(Sven from Zurich)
Yep, I've done it. I blew up my 2008 team in one league and then finished in the top 2 spots each of the next 3 years. Don't deal for the Bubba Starling types - go after guys that are in AA/AAA right now that you can get help from in 2013 rather than 2015. (Jason Collette)
2012-06-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Would you prefer Byron Buxton or Bubba Starling? Does the fact they will probably both play at the same level this year despite Buxton being almost 2 years younger play into it?
(ncsuwa4 from Durham, NC)
If the tools are equal, I'll take the younger kid. Give me Buxton. (Jason Parks)
2012-06-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)In the last podcast you and kevin said that the prospect from the rangers (sorry, his name slips my mind right now) had the greatest difference between ceiling and actual talent. Even more so than Bubba Starling?
(Twenty Grade Tony from Albuquerque)
Yes. Jordan Akins.

Kevin wrote a great article about this type of player (gap player) recently at BP. Check it out. (Jason Parks)
2012-06-05 16:00:00 (link to chat)Has Robert Stephenson's stock been affected by the decision to keep him in rookie ball? Is there cause for concern?
(Brian from Gainesville)
Glad you asked this. We need to get away from the thought that this is some kind of big ding against Stepehson, or more well known, Bubba Starling. Players are individuals, and develop at their own rate. Not playing in Double-A by 20 does not equal some kind of failure. (Kevin Goldstein)
2012-05-21 14:00:00 (link to chat)Whats your take on the Royals keeping Bubba Starling in extended Spring Training? I know reports were that he was raw, but is he THAT raw that Low-A wouldn't be an option?
(Jquinton82 from NY)
He's pretty raw, and he's not the only first-round guy taking it easy, as Javier Baez is still in extended as well. (Kevin Goldstein)
2012-05-21 14:00:00 (link to chat)In regards to Bubba Starling. how do you treat a player like him who stays in extended spring traing when doing your rankings next year?
(basicslop from Albuquerque)
Well, we're still going to get half a season from him, but you need to talk to everyone you can that saw him. (Kevin Goldstein)
2012-03-29 13:00:00 (link to chat)Bubba Starling... what should we expect this season?
(faztradamus from At Work)
We shall see. He's not coming to Kane County to begin the year, so they're taking it slow. (Kevin Goldstein)
2012-04-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Fantasy Question: In a dynasty league I can send Chris Sale, Banuelos and Bubba Starling, and cash for BJ Upton and two 1st round draft picks (which are like gold in this league). I rebuilt my team and have an OF of Trout-Gary Brown- Harper (we use LF, CF, RF), and my pitching is stacked to the point where Sale and ManBan wouldn't make my 5-man rotation. Is the trade worth it, or is Starling > my expectations suggest?
(Don H. from Oak Park)
Fantasy Question: Todd Bridges or Gary Coleman? I have a keeper league and I can only protect one of them. (Jason Parks)
2012-04-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)While your man-crush on Bubba Starling has been obvious, what are the odds on the Royals regretting Bundy (who I felt was #1 on their draft board) not falling one more spot as most draftniks thought?
(LoyalRoyal from LV, KS)
Well, they needed arms, so I think they are always going to dream of Bundy falling to #5. But the player that is really going to hurt is Archie Bradley, who the Royals let slide to #7. Bradley is going to pitch atop a major league rotation someday, and the Royals don't have an arm in the system that can boast of that future. I understand going for Starling; he could be an elite player. That said, for a team that needs arms, Bradley might have been too good to pass up. (Jason Parks)
2012-04-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)What's a "realistic" estimation of what Bubba Starling could do at his peak? .300/30(hr) seems to be a fugure you feel comfortable throwing on guys (Rendon, J. Montero- in previous chats). Think Starling can reach that? What about the wheels?
(faztradamus from work)
Not sure about the average, but he could hit 30+ bombs, steal 30+ bases, and play well above-average defense in centerfield. That's the ceiling. That's an elite ceiling. The problem is that his floor is very, very low. (Jason Parks)
2012-02-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who is rawer, Nimmo or Bubba Starling?
(jfranco77 from Pittsburgh)
Starling. (Kevin Goldstein)


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