Biographical

Portrait of Clayton Blackburn

Clayton Blackburn PGiants

Giants Player Cards | Giants Team Audit | Giants Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 21)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
115.7 4.14 1.32 89 7 7 0 0.4
Birth Date1-6-1993
Height6' 2"
Weight260 lbs
Age21 years, 9 months, 15 days
BatsL
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
0.42014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2011 GIA Rk 12 6 33.3 4.94 108 .159 .277 .351 .404 .272 .171 100 7.1 0.7 7.1 0.7
2012 AUG A 22 22 131.3 3.06 125 .221 .257 .331 .383 .263 .315 85 29.0 2.9 29.0 2.9
2013 SJO A+ 23 23 133.0 4.25 105 .248 .264 .340 .429 .277 .280 91 19.8 2.0 19.8 2.0
2014 RIC AA 18 18 93.0 3.33 123 .240 .258 .319 .388 .259 .341 98 20.4 2.2 21.9 2.2
2014 GIA Rk 2 2 5.0 3.01 136 .224 .243 .329 .334 .259 .400 95 1.9 0.2 1.9 0.2

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2011 GIA Rk 3 1 0 12 6 33.3 16 3 30 2 69% .171 4.3 0.8 0.5 8.1 0.57 1.08 7.1 0.7
2012 AUG A 8 4 0 22 22 131.3 116 18 143 3 60% .315 7.9 1.2 0.2 9.8 1.02 2.54 29.0 2.9
2013 SJO A+ 7 5 0 23 23 133.0 111 35 138 12 49% .280 7.5 2.4 0.8 9.3 1.10 3.65 19.8 2.0
2014 GIA Rk 0 1 0 2 2 5.0 4 0 9 0 70% .400 7.2 0.0 0.0 16.2 0.80 3.60 1.9 0.2
2014 RIC AA 5 6 0 18 18 93.0 94 20 85 1 57% .341 9.1 1.9 0.1 8.2 1.23 3.29 21.9 2.2

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-07-10 2014-07-22 Minors 12 0 - Not Disclosed -
2014-05-20 2014-07-04 Minors 45 0 - Trunk Soreness Ribcage -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 9 7 0 24 24 138.0 110 39 106 12 .267 1.08 3.04 3.3 24.3 2.5
80o 8.2 7 0 23 23 130.2 111 39 100 12 .281 1.16 3.41 3.7 16.1 1.6
70o 7.7 7 0 22 22 124.6 112 40 96 12 .292 1.22 3.68 4 10.7 1.1
60o 7.2 7 0 21 21 120.0 113 40 92 12 .301 1.27 3.91 4.25 6.7 0.7
50o 6.8 7 0 20 20 115.8 113 40 89 12 .309 1.32 4.13 4.49 3.1 0.3
40o 6.4 7 0 20 20 111.6 113 40 86 12 .318 1.37 4.36 4.74 -0.2 -0.0
30o 6 7 0 19 19 107.2 113 40 82 12 .327 1.43 4.60 5.01 -3.4 -0.3
20o 5.5 7 0 18 18 102.1 113 40 79 12 .338 1.50 4.90 5.32 -6.7 -0.7
10o 4.9 6.9 0 17 17 95.3 112 40 73 12 .353 1.60 5.31 5.77 -10.6 -1.1
Weighted Mean6.8702020115.5112408912.3071.314.114.463.50.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201522111003131193180591481851.3011.243.714.038.42.76.90.81.4
201623111003131196175591611851.2981.203.493.808.02.77.40.82.0
20172411902929183163511511751.2951.173.333.628.02.57.40.82.4
20182510902929178161521481751.3001.203.453.768.12.67.50.92.0
20192610902828172156471381651.2991.183.463.768.22.57.20.81.9
20202710802828168154421331651.2991.163.443.748.22.27.10.91.9
2021289802626155140411241351.3001.173.293.588.12.47.20.82.1
20222910802727163144411381551.2971.133.203.477.92.37.60.82.5
20233010802727160142401321551.2971.143.233.518.02.37.40.82.3

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
3.215.98.13.2103.745.8

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 85)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 95 Justin Nicolino 2013 0.00 DNP
2 93 David Holmberg 2013 7.36
3 93 Brett Anderson 2009 4.72
4 93 Jarrod Parker 2010 0.00 DNP
5 93 Michael Bowden 2008 3.60
6 92 Trey McNutt 2011 0.00 DNP
7 91 Giovanni Soto 2012 0.00 DNP
8 91 Danny Duffy 2010 0.00 DNP
9 91 Patrick Corbin 2011 0.00 DNP
10 91 Alex Burgos 2012 0.00 DNP
11 90 John Lamb 2012 0.00 DNP
12 89 Jesse Biddle 2013 0.00 DNP
13 89 Michael Pineda 2010 0.00 DNP
14 89 Jarred Cosart 2011 0.00 DNP
15 89 Matt Lollis 2012 0.00 DNP
16 88 Chris Tillman 2009 5.54
17 88 Juan Oramas 2011 0.00 DNP
18 88 Manny Banuelos 2012 0.00 DNP
19 88 Tyler Robertson 2009 0.00 DNP
20 88 Alexander Perez 2011 0.00 DNP
21 88 Arodys Vizcaino 2012 0.00 DNP
22 87 Cody Buckel 2013 0.00 DNP
23 87 Jake McGee 2008 0.00 DNP
24 86 Ian Krol 2012 0.00 DNP
25 86 Casey Kelly 2011 0.00 DNP
26 86 Trevor Reckling 2010 0.00 DNP
27 86 Carlos Martinez 2013 5.08
28 86 Daniel Corcino 2012 0.00 DNP
29 86 Tim Alderson 2010 0.00 DNP
30 86 Jaime Garcia 2008 6.19
31 86 Dan Cortes 2008 0.00 DNP
32 86 Jon Niese 2008 7.07
33 86 Casey Crosby 2010 0.00 DNP
34 86 Garrett Gould 2013 0.00 DNP
35 86 Brett Oberholtzer 2011 0.00 DNP
36 85 Omar Poveda 2009 0.00 DNP
37 85 Brandon Maurer 2012 0.00 DNP
38 85 Randall Delgado 2011 3.09
39 85 Scott Barnes 2009 0.00 DNP
40 85 Chris Withrow 2010 0.00 DNP
41 85 Homer Bailey 2007 6.35
42 85 Jordan Walden 2009 0.00 DNP
43 85 Clayton Cook 2012 0.00 DNP
44 85 Jeremy Hellickson 2008 0.00 DNP
45 85 Kelvin De La Cruz 2010 0.00 DNP
46 85 Zach Phillips 2008 0.00 DNP
47 85 Keyvius Sampson 2012 0.00 DNP
48 85 Drew Hutchison 2012 4.76
49 84 Jake Odorizzi 2011 0.00 DNP
50 84 Zack Wheeler 2011 0.00 DNP
51 84 A.J. Cole 2013 0.00 DNP
52 84 Will Lamb 2012 0.00 DNP
53 84 Robbie Ray 2013 0.00 DNP
54 84 Zach Lee 2013 0.00 DNP
55 84 Shelby Miller 2012 1.32
56 84 Vance Worley 2009 0.00 DNP
57 84 Nick Kingham 2013 0.00 DNP
58 84 Chuck Lofgren 2007 0.00 DNP
59 83 Mauricio Robles 2010 0.00 DNP
60 83 Mike Montgomery 2011 0.00 DNP
61 83 Will Smith 2011 0.00 DNP
62 83 Martin Perez 2012 6.16
63 83 Hector Rondon 2009 0.00 DNP
64 83 Jeurys Familia 2011 0.00 DNP
65 83 Robbie Erlin 2012 0.00 DNP
66 83 Tyler Chatwood 2011 5.20
67 83 Erasmo Ramirez 2011 0.00 DNP
68 82 Steve Garrison 2008 0.00 DNP
69 82 Will Inman 2008 0.00 DNP
70 82 David Baker 2012 0.00 DNP
71 82 Jhoulys Chacin 2009 4.91
72 82 Joe Wieland 2011 0.00 DNP
73 82 Domingo Tapia 2013 0.00 DNP
74 82 Johnny Cueto 2007 0.00 DNP
75 82 Wilmer Font 2011 0.00 DNP
76 82 Jason Adam 2013 0.00 DNP
77 82 Carlos Carrasco 2008 0.00 DNP
78 82 Josue Carreno 2012 0.00 DNP
79 82 Trevor Cahill 2009 4.94
80 82 Edgar Olmos 2011 0.00 DNP
81 82 Ryan Tucker 2008 8.27
82 81 Nick Adenhart 2008 9.00
83 81 Chad James 2012 0.00 DNP
84 81 Nick Tropeano 2012 0.00 DNP
85 81 Greg Billo 2012 0.00 DNP
86 81 Jeremy Jeffress 2009 0.00 DNP
87 81 Allen Webster 2011 0.00 DNP
88 81 Elvis Araujo 2013 0.00 DNP
89 81 Ethan Martin 2010 0.00 DNP
90 81 Zach McAllister 2009 0.00 DNP
91 81 Matt Magill 2011 0.00 DNP
92 81 Stephen Landazuri 2013 0.00 DNP
93 81 Jose Urena 2013 0.00 DNP
94 81 Jose A. Ramirez 2011 0.00 DNP
95 81 Eswarlin Jimenez 2013 0.00 DNP
96 81 Wilfredo Boscan 2011 0.00 DNP
97 80 Jacob Turner 2012 5.24
98 80 Colton Cain 2012 0.00 DNP
99 80 Felipe Rivero 2013 0.00 DNP
100 80 Enny Romero 2012 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Blackburn has used a plus 90-92 mph sinker with very good control to emerge as a legitimate prospect. His innings were limited last year by pitching as part of a six-man rotation for Low-A Augusta. Pitchers with good command and control are often able to put up gaudy numbers in the low minors, and Blackburn will be challenged facing more advanced hitters as he rises. Ceiling-wise, he could someday be the number-three man in a major-league rotation.
2012 Clayton Blackburn struck out 30 and walked three in his debut for the AZL Giants, an eye-opening debut for a high schooler drafted in the 16th round. He's unlikely to be more than a reliever, but he'll always have 2011.

BP Articles

Clayton Blackburn is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, September 9Jeff Moore2014-09-10
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, August 27thJeff Moore2014-08-28
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of August 15-17Jeff Moore2014-08-18
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, May 7Jeff Moore2014-05-08
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, May 1Jeff Moore2014-05-02
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, April 17Jeff Moore2014-04-18
PECOTA Takes on Prospects: Introduction: I Now Pronounce You Scout and StatAndrew Koo2014-04-15
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomBP Prospect Staff2014-03-03
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomJason Parks2014-03-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersIan Lefkowitz2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersJared Weiss2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersBen Murphy2014-02-28
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2014 Organizational RankingsJason Parks2014-02-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher ProspectsCraig Goldstein2014-02-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher ProspectsBen Carsley2014-02-26
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: The Importance of Top Prospect TrajectoriesSam Miller2014-02-12
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: San Francisco Giants Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2014-01-15
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, August 27Zach Mortimer2013-08-28
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, August 1Chris Rodriguez2013-08-02
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of July 19-21Zach Mortimer2013-07-22
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: The Mid-Season Top 50 ProspectsJason Parks2013-06-25
Fantasy Mailbag: Stick Through the Slumps?BP Fantasy Staff2013-06-21
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Minors: First Half RecapJason Parks2013-06-20
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of June 6-June 9Zach Mortimer2013-06-10
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of May 24-27Zach Mortimer2013-05-28
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, May 6Zach Mortimer2013-05-07
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2013 Organizational RankingsJason Parks2013-03-29
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: San Francisco Giants Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-03-01
BP Unfiltered: Top 101 Prospects of 2013, Sliced and DicedRob McQuown2013-02-26
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Top 101 ProspectsJason Parks2013-02-25
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of September 5Bradley Ankrom2012-09-06
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of August 20Kevin Goldstein2012-08-21
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat the Contenders Need: NL WestBradley Ankrom2012-06-27
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat the Contenders Need: NL WestKevin Goldstein2012-06-27
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat the Contenders Need: NL WestJeff Euston2012-06-27
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of June 12Kevin Goldstein2012-06-13
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of June 5Kevin Goldstein2012-06-06
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of May 29Kevin Goldstein2012-05-30
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of May 17Kevin Goldstein2012-05-18
Future Shock: Giants Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2012-02-03


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2013-10-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Despite a strong close to the season, and an overall strong season in a hitter's league, Clayton Blackburn recently got a tough ranking in another publication for the Cal League. Is some of the shine off his prospect status...or is there a difference of opinion on him?
(bzalaski from Cbus)
He had a good season. The ceiling isn't crazy, but he's still a very good prospect that was pitching in a very difficult league. I'm not going to blast other publications because I disagree with their rankings or their process. But I would have ranked him much higher. (Jason Parks)
2013-07-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do you do when a trade comes along that blows your whole rebuilding timeline up? I was planning on a 2016 beginning and was offered Kemp for some draft picks, D'Arnaud and Clayton Blackburn. You gotta take that right?
(captnamerca from Dunedin, FL)
Yeah, I'd take that. A healthy Kemp will be a stud before 2016. Any time the timeline moves UP is a good thing. I'd *hate* to wait ANOTHER two years after this. (Paul Sporer)
2013-04-16 20:00:00 (link to chat)Can you rank these guys please. Thanks! Marcus Stroman, Didi Gregorius, Jorge Alfaro, Austin Hedges, Daniel Norris, Lance McCullers, Bryce Brentz, Daniel Corcino, Clayton Blackburn, Delino DeShields.
(Brandon from Pittsburgh)
DeShields, Blackburn, McCullers, Alfaro, Brentz, Stroman, Hedges, Norris, Corcino, Gregorius. (Bret Sayre)
2013-01-16 13:30:00 (link to chat)Which pitcher will make a bigger impact in the majors: Kyle Crick or Clayton Blackburn? Seems that consensus is Crick has higher ceiling, but Blackburn is blowing projections out of the water with his advanced command and control...?
(Kai from SLO)
Blackburn has really excelled in the minor leagues and he looks like a good bet to contribute at the back of a Major League rotation. That said, if Crick continues to develop and approaches his potential, he has a chance to blow past Blackburn and max out as a number two or three starter. (Mark Anderson)
2013-01-16 13:30:00 (link to chat)Thanks for answering my other questions, Mark. If you don't mind, I'd love your opinion on another batch of pitching prospects - the next step down from the group I gave you earlier. If you had to order Brandon Maurer, Clayton Blackburn, Roberto Osuna, Henry Owens, Lance McCullers, how would you do that? Thanks again!
(BJ from Boston)
That's a pretty diverse group, BJ. My gut instinct would be to go Blackburn, Osuna, McCullers, Owens, Maurer, but I reserve the right to change that in the future! (Mark Anderson)
2012-12-04 14:00:00 (link to chat)Which minor league prospect do you feel has similar stuff, K%, BB%, GB% to Kris Medlen of the Braves? Clayton Blackburn? Thanks for the chat!
(John from Kansas City)
Hey, John. Professor Parks and the minor-league gang probably have a better read on this stuff, but if you're looking for raw peripherals, Blackburn does seem to fit the bill. Two others to keep an eye on: Rangers RHP Cody Buckel, who found a groove late after struggling initially in Double-A, and Padres LHP Robert Erlin. (Daniel Rathman)
2012-11-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)What are your thoughts on Clayton Blackburn and Kyle Crick?
(sykklone from iowa)
Looking at the Giants' farm system, those two seem to be the only established prospects with much upside, sykklone, so I have high hopes for both. The Giants have a strong track record of developing power arms, so I trust them to do that with Crick, though his walk rates in the low minors are a bit worrisome. Blackburn seems like a high-probability mid-rotation pitcher, whose command and control will be enhanced by AT&T Park. I'd love to see both of them slide in behind Cain and Bumgarner within a few years, though I highly doubt either will be ready when the back of the rotation opens up after 2013. (Daniel Rathman)
2012-10-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)Clayton Blackburn or Kyle Crick?
(sykklone from IA)
Blackburn (Jason Parks)


BP Roundtables

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