Biographical

Portrait of Chris Reed

Chris Reed P  

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Dodgers Player Cards | Dodgers Team Audit | Dodgers Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 24)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
106.7 4.59 1.43 75 6 7 0 -0.2
Birth Date5-20-1990
Height6' 4"
Weight195 lbs
Age24 years, 5 months, 5 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
2010
2011
2012
2013
-0.22014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2011 RCU A+ 3 3 7.0 6.22 68 .331 .286 .349 .453 .289 .421 93 1.0 0.1 1.0 0.1
2012 RCU A+ 7 6 35.0 4.51 103 .212 .265 .324 .408 .270 .279 93 6.6 0.7 6.6 0.7
2012 CHT AA 12 11 35.3 5.03 91 .250 .256 .324 .376 .256 .290 104 2.0 0.2 2.9 0.3
2012 GBR int 1 1 2.7 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .250 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2012 MSS Wnt 11 0 10.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .486 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 CHT AA 29 25 137.7 5.60 70 .254 .242 .312 .362 .252 .295 101 -5.5 -0.6 -3.0 -0.0
2014 CHT AA 23 23 137.0 4.77 96 .244 .250 .320 .373 .262 .267 104 9.0 1.0 13.4 1.7
2014 ABQ AAA 5 5 21.3 6.81 76 .359 .278 .345 .437 .274 .416 111 0.3 0.0 1.1 0.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2011 RCU A+ 0 1 0 3 3 7.0 9 4 9 1 45% .421 11.6 5.1 1.3 11.6 1.86 7.71 1.0 0.1
2012 CHT AA 0 4 0 12 11 35.3 31 20 29 2 61% .290 7.9 5.1 0.5 7.4 1.44 4.84 2.9 0.3
2012 GBR int 0 1 0 1 1 2.7 2 2 2 0 0% .250 6.8 6.8 0.0 6.8 1.50 0.00 0.0 0.0
2012 MSS Wnt 1 0 0 11 0 10.0 17 7 12 0 0% .486 15.3 6.3 0.0 10.8 2.40 7.20 0.0 0.0
2012 RCU A+ 1 4 0 7 6 35.0 25 14 38 1 60% .279 6.4 3.6 0.3 9.8 1.11 3.09 6.6 0.7
2013 CHT AA 4 11 0 29 25 137.7 128 63 106 9 62% .295 8.4 4.1 0.6 6.9 1.39 3.86 -3.0 -0.0
2014 CHT AA 4 8 0 23 23 137.0 114 55 116 10 54% .267 7.5 3.6 0.7 7.6 1.23 3.22 13.4 1.7
2014 ABQ AAA 0 3 0 5 5 21.3 37 11 18 5 49% .416 15.6 4.6 2.1 7.6 2.25 10.97 1.1 0.1

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 1.7 1.5 0 5 5 42.6 35 15 29 4 .266 1.17 3.45 3.75 3.2 0.3
80o 1.6 1.6 0 5 5 36.9 32 14 25 4 .281 1.25 3.84 4.17 1.8 0.2
70o 1.6 1.6 0 5 5 32.9 30 13 22 3 .292 1.32 4.13 4.48 0.8 0.1
60o 1.6 1.7 0 5 5 29.5 28 12 20 3 .301 1.38 4.37 4.75 0.0 0.0
50o 1.5 1.8 0 5 5 26.5 26 11 18 3 .309 1.43 4.61 5.01 -0.8 -0.1
40o 1.5 1.8 0 5 5 23.5 24 11 16 3 .318 1.49 4.85 5.27 -1.5 -0.2
30o 1.4 1.9 0 5 5 20.4 22 10 14 2 .327 1.55 5.11 5.56 -2.3 -0.2
20o 1.4 2 0 5 5 16.9 19 8 12 2 .338 1.63 5.42 5.89 -3.2 -0.3
10o 1.3 2.1 0 5 5 12.2 15 6 8 2 .353 1.73 5.86 6.37 -4.4 -0.5
Weighted Mean1.51.805525.92611183.3071.424.584.98-0.7-0.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
13% 22% 13% 24% 39%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20152591103131195193751402255.3101.374.424.808.93.56.51.0-0.4
20162681102929183192761262255.3221.474.935.359.53.76.21.1-1.4
201727680212112712853901655.3121.434.755.169.13.86.41.1-0.7
201828780232313513451961655.3111.374.414.798.93.46.41.1-0.2
201929670202011711745781355.3081.394.454.849.03.56.01.0-0.2
202030670212112312246871455.3091.364.354.728.93.46.31.0-0.1
202131670202011611643801455.3101.374.424.809.03.36.21.1-0.2
202232670191911311241791355.3081.354.294.668.93.36.31.00.0
202333660181810710538741255.3061.344.234.608.93.26.21.00.1

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
3.37.56.2out of baseball1.50.918.5

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 88)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 94 John Gast 2013 5.11
2 93 D.J. Mitchell 2011 0.00 DNP
3 93 Lance Broadway 2008 7.07
4 92 Graham Stoneburner 2012 0.00 DNP
5 91 Zach Stewart 2011 5.88
6 91 Clayton Mortensen 2009 9.98
7 91 Chris Dwyer 2012 0.00 DNP
8 91 J.C. Ramirez 2013 8.25
9 91 Nick Barnese 2013 0.00 DNP
10 90 Micah Owings 2007 4.78
11 90 Lance Lynn 2011 3.12
12 90 Wily Peralta 2013 5.25
13 90 Chuck Lofgren 2010 0.00 DNP
14 90 Joe Kelly 2012 4.21
15 90 Casey Crosby 2013 0.00 DNP
16 90 Ricky Romero 2009 4.45
17 90 Omar Poveda 2012 0.00 DNP
18 90 Mitchell Boggs 2008 7.68
19 89 Chris Hernandez 2013 0.00 DNP
20 89 Trevor Reckling 2013 0.00 DNP
21 89 Jorge Reyes 2012 0.00 DNP
22 89 Dan Cortes 2011 5.91
23 89 Chris Withrow 2013 2.60
24 89 Kris Johnson 2009 0.00 DNP
25 89 Kyle Weiland 2011 8.03
26 89 Brooks Brown 2009 0.00 DNP
27 89 Tim Alderson 2013 0.00 DNP
28 89 Garrett Richards 2012 5.83
29 89 Dallas Trahern 2010 0.00 DNP
30 88 Brandon Cumpton 2013 2.35
31 88 Mike Kickham 2013 10.80
32 88 Blake Wood 2010 5.26
33 88 P.J. Walters 2009 10.69
34 88 Anthony Ortega 2010 0.00 DNP
35 88 Aaron Miller 2012 0.00 DNP
36 88 Kevin Mulvey 2009 8.14
37 88 Jose Cisnero 2013 4.74
38 88 Erik Goeddel 2013 0.00 DNP
39 88 Carlos Hernandez 2011 0.00 DNP
40 88 Ryan Searle 2013 0.00 DNP
41 88 T.J. McFarland 2013 4.46
42 88 Juan Gutierrez 2008 0.00 DNP
43 87 Nick Tepesch 2013 5.03
44 87 Clayton Tanner 2012 0.00 DNP
45 87 Justin Wilson 2012 1.93
46 87 Scott Diamond 2011 5.77
47 87 Rudy Owens 2012 0.00 DNP
48 87 Mark Holliman 2008 0.00 DNP
49 87 Chad Jenkins 2012 4.50
50 87 Justin Cassel 2009 0.00 DNP
51 87 Ivan Nova 2011 4.03
52 87 Miguel Gonzalez 2008 0.00 DNP
53 87 James Simmons 2011 0.00 DNP
54 87 James Houser 2009 0.00 DNP
55 87 Zach McAllister 2012 5.60
56 87 David Phelps 2011 0.00 DNP
57 87 Wynn Pelzer 2010 0.00 DNP
58 87 Eric Berger 2010 0.00 DNP
59 86 Gus Schlosser 2013 0.00 DNP
60 86 Anthony Swarzak 2010 0.00 DNP
61 86 Wade Miley 2011 4.50
62 86 Chris Heston 2012 0.00 DNP
63 86 Nick Additon 2012 0.00 DNP
64 86 Daniel Rosenbaum 2012 0.00 DNP
65 86 Matt Packer 2012 0.00 DNP
66 86 James Adkins 2010 0.00 DNP
67 86 Brad Meyers 2010 0.00 DNP
68 86 Josh Outman 2009 4.01
69 86 Deunte Heath 2010 0.00 DNP
70 86 Troy Patton 2010 0.00
71 86 Ryan Mullins 2008 0.00 DNP
72 86 Steven Hensley 2011 0.00 DNP
73 86 Jake Petricka 2012 0.00 DNP
74 86 Kyle Gibson 2012 0.00 DNP
75 86 Alex Cobb 2012 4.42
76 86 Brandon Workman 2013 4.97
77 85 Jimmy Nelson 2013 0.90
78 85 Matthew Tracy 2013 0.00 DNP
79 85 Carlos Rosa 2009 3.38
80 85 Jeremy Bleich 2011 0.00 DNP
81 85 Mark Cohoon 2012 0.00 DNP
82 85 Charlie Haeger 2008 20.77
83 85 Jay Jackson 2012 0.00 DNP
84 85 Oswaldo Sosa 2010 0.00 DNP
85 85 Josh Bowman 2013 0.00 DNP
86 85 Stephen Fife 2011 0.00 DNP
87 85 Michael Kirkman 2011 7.24
88 85 Adam Warren 2012 23.14
89 85 Mitch Talbot 2008 11.17
90 85 Deryk Hooker 2013 0.00 DNP
91 85 Chorye Spoone 2010 0.00 DNP
92 85 Merrill Kelly 2013 0.00 DNP
93 85 Amalio Diaz 2011 0.00 DNP
94 85 Esmerling Vasquez 2008 0.00 DNP
95 85 Dimasther Delgado 2013 0.00 DNP
96 85 Jake Arrieta 2010 5.11
97 85 Aaron Crow 2011 3.05
98 85 Charles Brewer 2012 0.00 DNP
99 85 Dallas Beeler 2013 0.00 DNP
100 84 Nevin Griffith 2013 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 A 2011 first-rounder who converted to the rotation after closing at Stanford, Reed battled shoulder soreness and a blister problem in his first full season, and put together an uneven performance. He racked up strikeouts at Rancho but battled control problems at Chattanooga, with his rate stats moving in the wrong directions. The jury is still out as to whether Reed can stick in the rotation, as his pitches are better in shorter bursts, and at times he tends to overthrow and lose his delivery. Still, he has a very good feel for pitching. At worst he's a late-game reliever down the road.
2012 A year after the Dodgers made a laudably aggressive move in drafting and signing two-sport star Zach Lee in the first round, they took a more conservative route by drafting Reed as the overall number 16 pick. A closer at Stanford, Reed was seen by many as a signability pick, a supplemental or second-round talent, though others view him as a Logan White stealth maneuver to pluck a pitcher undervalued in college. Reed is a long-armed lefty whose 92-94 mph fastball will probably lose a bit in the transition to starting; his sharp slider and changeup are both considered above average as well. At best he'll develop into a second or third starter, at worst he winds up back in the bullpen, though the comparisons to Drew Storen and Huston Street may be a stretch.

BP Articles

Chris Reed is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, August 19Jeff Moore2014-08-20
The 2011 Redraft: Redoing a Deep First RoundBaseball Prospectus2014-07-02
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, May 28Jeff Moore2014-05-29
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, May 12Jeff Moore2014-05-13
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, May 7Jeff Moore2014-05-08
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Weekend Games of April 11-13Jeff Moore2014-04-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Relief Pitcher ProspectsBen Carsley2014-03-05
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomBP Prospect Staff2014-03-03
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomJason Parks2014-03-03
Minor League Update: Spring Training Games of February 28-March 2Jeff Moore2014-03-03
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Los Angeles Dodgers Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2014-01-22
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: International Winter League Games of November 28-30Jeff Moore2013-12-02
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: International Winter League Games for Nov. 22-24Jeff Moore2013-11-25
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: International Winter League Games of November 18Jeff Moore2013-11-19
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: AFL and Winter League Recap for Games of November 13Jeff Moore2013-11-14
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat Scouts Are Saying: August 22, 2013Baseball Prospectus2013-08-22
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, August 19Zach Mortimer2013-08-20
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Sunday, July 7Zach Mortimer2013-07-08
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of June 6-June 9Zach Mortimer2013-06-10
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 19-April 21Zach Mortimer2013-04-22
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2013 Organizational RankingsJason Parks2013-03-29
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Los Angeles Dodgers Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-01-28
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of October 28Bradley Ankrom2012-10-29
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of October 18Bradley Ankrom2012-10-19
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of October 15Bradley Ankrom2012-10-16
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of October 10Bradley Ankrom2012-10-11
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: Hocking LOOGYsDoug Thorburn2012-08-10
Raising Aces: Back to the Futures Game, World TeamDoug Thorburn2012-07-20
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of June 11Kevin Goldstein2012-06-12
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of May 29Kevin Goldstein2012-05-30
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: What Could Go Wrong in 2012: Los Angeles Dodgers Jason Parks2012-05-17
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of April 11Kevin Goldstein2012-04-12
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: NL West Prospect PreviewKevin Goldstein2012-04-06
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Los Angeles Dodgers Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2012-01-30


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2013-07-29 11:00:00 (link to chat)I haven't heard much about Chris Reed recenlty. Does he make the bigs as a starter or reliever?
(Mario66 from Pittsburgh)
Ultimately I believe Reed will be a reliever. The fastball/slider combination should work very well in short stints. (Zach Mortimer)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2014, Chris Reed threw 25 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system in 2012, including pitches thrown in . In 2012, he relied primarily on his Sinker (93mph), also mixing in a Slider (84mph) and Change (87mph).