Biographical

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Mark Appel P  

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Phillies Player Cards | Phillies Team Audit | Phillies Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 24)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
112.0 4.66 1.36 87 6 8 0 0.1
Birth Date7-15-1991
Height6' 5"
Weight220 lbs
Age25 years, 0 months, 15 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2012
2013
2014
2015
0.12016
+proj
DRA-Based WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA. (For previous card version with FAIR_RA, click here.)
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA WARP

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA
2013 QUD A 8 8 33.0 30 9 27 2 .254 102 8.2 2.5 0.5 7.4 54% .277 .238 1.18 3.40 3.82
2013 TCV A- 2 2 5.0 6 0 6 0 .258 117 10.8 0.0 0.0 10.8 71% .429 .235 1.20 0.70 3.60
2014 LNC A+ 12 12 44.3 74 11 40 9 .278 103 15.0 2.2 1.8 8.1 54% .373 .344 1.92 5.32 9.74
2014 CCH AA 7 6 39.0 35 13 38 2 .257 97 8.1 3.0 0.5 8.8 46% .300 .244 1.23 2.99 3.69
2015 CCH AA 13 13 63.3 68 23 49 7 .260 110 9.7 3.3 1.0 7.0 46% .314 .271 1.44 4.37 4.26
2015 FRE AAA 12 12 68.3 67 28 61 6 .267 103 8.8 3.7 0.8 8.0 47% .303 .266 1.39 4.36 4.48
2016 LEH AAA 8 8 38.3 40 20 34 3 .248 99 9.4 4.7 0.7 8.0 45% .325 .269 1.57 4.00 4.46

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-06-01 2014-06-12 Minors 11 0 Right Thumb Tendonitis -
2014-01-30 2014-01-30 Off 0 0 - General Medical Surgery Appendix 2014-01-30 -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2016 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/15/2015 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 7.8 8.7 0 28 28 133.2 111 39 103 16 .268 1.12 3.61 3.92 22.3 2.4
80o 7.1 8.8 0 26 26 125.7 112 39 97 16 .282 1.20 4.01 4.36 15.1 1.6
70o 6.5 8.8 0 25 25 120.4 113 40 93 16 .292 1.26 4.30 4.67 10.5 1.1
60o 6.1 8.8 0 24 24 116.0 113 40 90 16 .300 1.31 4.55 4.95 6.8 0.7
50o 5.7 8.8 0 24 24 111.9 113 40 87 16 .308 1.36 4.79 5.21 3.6 0.4
40o 5.3 8.8 0 23 23 107.9 113 40 84 16 .316 1.41 5.04 5.47 0.7 0.1
30o 4.9 8.7 0 22 22 103.7 113 40 81 16 .325 1.47 5.30 5.76 -2.2 -0.2
20o 4.5 8.7 0 21 21 98.8 112 39 77 16 .335 1.54 5.62 6.1 -5.2 -0.6
10o 3.9 8.6 0 19 19 92.3 112 39 72 16 .349 1.63 6.06 6.59 -8.9 -1.0
Weighted Mean5.78.702323111.6112398716.3061.354.765.184.00.4

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 7/30/2016 10:44 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 7.1 8.5 0 26 26 124.4 111 39 94 16 .261 1.21 3.84 3.99 13.8 1.5
80o 6.4 8.4 0 25 25 117.2 112 39 89 16 .275 1.29 4.21 4.39 7.8 0.9
70o 5.9 8.4 0 24 24 112.2 113 40 85 16 .284 1.36 4.48 4.68 3.9 0.4
60o 5.5 8.4 0 23 23 108.0 113 40 82 16 .293 1.41 4.72 4.94 0.7 0.1
50o 5.2 8.4 0 22 22 104.1 113 40 79 16 .301 1.47 4.95 5.18 -2.0 -0.2
40o 4.9 8.3 0 21 21 100.3 113 40 76 16 .308 1.52 5.18 5.42 -4.6 -0.5
30o 4.5 8.2 0 20 20 96.2 113 40 73 16 .317 1.58 5.42 5.69 -7.3 -0.8
20o 4.1 8.2 0 19 19 91.6 112 39 69 16 .327 1.66 5.72 6.01 -10.1 -1.1
10o 3.6 8 0 18 18 85.4 111 39 65 16 .340 1.76 6.14 6.45 -13.6 -1.5
Weighted Mean5.28.302222103.8112397916.2991.454.925.15-1.7-0.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
10% 20% 4% 17% 29%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
2017256802323134136491072045.3121.384.795.339.13.37.21.3-0.1
201826570191911211741881745.3171.414.875.419.43.37.11.4-0.1
2019274601515919336741345.3141.424.835.379.23.67.31.3-0.1
202028560181810410740831545.3161.414.855.399.33.57.21.3-0.1
2021294601616949634761445.3121.384.755.289.23.37.31.30.0
2022304501515919232741345.3141.374.705.229.13.27.31.30.1
2023314501414858830681345.3161.394.805.349.43.27.21.4-0.0
2024324501414828429661245.3131.374.755.289.23.27.21.30.0
2025333501313767827601145.3131.394.775.309.33.27.11.3-0.0

Long-Term Forecast Based on RoS PECOTA (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20172581103030186186791612745.3171.424.765.299.03.87.81.3-0.0
2018267902626151157661342345.3271.484.835.379.43.98.01.4-0.1
2019276802323133131651241945.3191.474.795.328.84.48.41.3-0.1
20202881002828171169801512445.3191.464.795.328.94.27.91.3-0.1
2021297902525145137581322145.3081.354.555.068.53.68.21.30.3
2022306702020118112541131545.3191.404.354.848.54.18.61.10.5
2023313401010596622571145.3551.504.955.5010.13.48.71.7-0.1

Upside By Year

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
out of baseballout of baseball0.4out of baseball0.7out of baseball1.1

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
2015out of baseballout of baseball0.4out of baseball0.7out of baseball1.1

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 93)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 98 Blake Wood 2010 5.26
2 98 Josh Collmenter 2010 0.00 DNP
3 97 J.R. Graham 2014 0.00 DNP
4 97 Graham Stoneburner 2012 0.00 DNP
5 96 Brad Meyers 2010 0.00 DNP
6 96 Roenis Elias 2013 0.00 DNP
7 95 Kyle Weiland 2011 8.03
8 95 Jose Ramirez 2014 5.40
9 95 Micah Owings 2007 4.78
10 95 Andrew Chafin 2014 3.86
11 95 Aaron Northcraft 2014 0.00 DNP
12 95 Steve Garrison 2011 0.00
13 95 Paolo Espino 2011 0.00 DNP
14 94 Tobi Stoner 2009 4.00
15 94 Wynn Pelzer 2010 0.00 DNP
16 94 Zach Stewart 2011 5.88
17 94 Luis Cruz 2015 0.00 DNP
18 94 Cesar Valdez 2009 0.00 DNP
19 94 Chris Heston 2012 0.00 DNP
20 94 Mike Rayl 2013 0.00 DNP
21 94 Michael Cisco 2011 0.00 DNP
22 94 Matt Loosen 2013 0.00 DNP
23 94 Chris Mason 2009 0.00 DNP
24 94 Daniel Wright 2015 0.00 DNP
25 94 Sam LeCure 2008 0.00 DNP
26 93 Eric Jokisch 2014 3.77
27 93 Patrick Francescon 2013 0.00 DNP
28 93 Ryan Buch 2012 0.00 DNP
29 93 Ryan Mullins 2008 0.00 DNP
30 93 Mark Cohoon 2012 0.00 DNP
31 93 Chris Masters 2012 0.00 DNP
32 93 David Rollins 2014 0.00 DNP
33 93 D.J. Mitchell 2011 0.00 DNP
34 93 Taylor Rogers 2015 0.00 DNP
35 93 Steven Hensley 2011 0.00 DNP
36 93 James Gillheeney 2012 0.00 DNP
37 93 Elisaul Pimentel 2013 0.00 DNP
38 93 Stephen Fife 2011 0.00 DNP
39 93 Jose De Paula 2012 0.00 DNP
40 93 Asher Wojciechowski 2013 0.00 DNP
41 93 Mike Kickham 2013 10.80
42 93 Kyle Lobstein 2014 4.58
43 93 Jimmy Barthmaier 2008 10.45
44 93 Deck McGuire 2013 0.00 DNP
45 93 Pedro Villarreal 2012 0.00
46 93 Daniel Rosenbaum 2012 0.00 DNP
47 93 Lance Lynn 2011 3.12
48 93 Drew Naylor 2010 0.00 DNP
49 93 Edgar Garcia 2012 0.00 DNP
50 93 Michael O'Brien 2014 0.00 DNP
51 93 Dylan Owen 2011 0.00 DNP
52 93 David Phelps 2011 0.00 DNP
53 93 Wes Roemer 2011 0.00 DNP
54 93 Henry Sosa 2010 0.00 DNP
55 92 Sean Murphy 2013 0.00 DNP
56 92 John Gast 2013 5.11
57 92 Kelvin De La Cruz 2013 0.00 DNP
58 92 Seth Streich 2015 0.00 DNP
59 92 Omar Poveda 2012 0.00 DNP
60 92 Jeff Manship 2009 5.97
61 92 Kevin Pucetas 2009 0.00 DNP
62 92 Ryan Cook 2011 7.04
63 92 Williams Perez 2015 5.09
64 92 Yoervis Medina 2013 3.04
65 92 Paul Oseguera 2008 0.00 DNP
66 92 Nick Tepesch 2013 5.03
67 92 Rob Scahill 2011 0.00 DNP
68 92 Brandon Erbe 2012 0.00 DNP
69 92 Aaron Crow 2011 3.05
70 92 Luis Marte 2011 2.45
71 92 Dimasther Delgado 2013 0.00 DNP
72 92 Matt Buschmann 2008 0.00 DNP
73 92 Alan Johnson 2008 0.00 DNP
74 92 Abe Alvarez 2007 0.00 DNP
75 92 Ross Stripling 2014 0.00 DNP
76 92 John Ely 2010 5.67
77 92 Joe Kelly 2012 4.21
78 92 Rob Rasmussen 2013 0.00 DNP
79 92 Garrett Richards 2012 5.83
80 92 Andrew Bailey 2008 0.00 DNP
81 92 Deryk Hooker 2013 0.00 DNP
82 92 Casey Lawrence 2012 0.00 DNP
83 92 Rainy Lara 2015 0.00 DNP
84 92 Adam Wainwright 2006 3.12
85 92 Jake Brigham 2012 0.00 DNP
86 92 Josh Bowman 2013 0.00 DNP
87 92 Steven Wright 2009 0.00 DNP
88 92 Tyler Duffey 2015 3.10
89 92 Sean Gilmartin 2014 0.00 DNP
90 92 Ben Snyder 2010 0.00 DNP
91 92 Luis Ramirez 2006 0.00 DNP
92 91 Erik Davis 2011 0.00 DNP
93 91 Bobby Doran 2013 0.00 DNP
94 91 Daryl Maday 2010 0.00 DNP
95 91 Cody Scarpetta 2013 0.00 DNP
96 91 Dillon Gee 2010 2.73
97 91 J.A. Happ 2007 11.25
98 91 Zachary Neal 2013 0.00 DNP
99 91 Evan Anundsen 2012 0.00 DNP
100 91 Tyler DeLoach 2015 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2016 After another disappointing year trudging through the Astros' system, former first-overall pick Appel was sent to the Phillies as part of the return for Ken Giles. After so many chapters, the story remains the same: stuff that ranks among the best in the minors and results that mirror a career minor leaguer. Consistency is an issue, but scouts also bemoan a lack of deception that makes his pitches easy to read despite their quality. New coaches, new scenery and new spiritual mantras may set Appel right, but one thing for certain is that if he shows signs of development, the Philadelphia rotation will provide scant resistance to his joining the major leagues.
2015 You could almost hear the baseball prospecting world sigh in relief when Appel met relative success in Double A upon leaving his Lancaster nightmare. Yet even at Corpus Christi, he still K'd righties at a meager 16 percent rate, and those same-handed hitters' line-drive rate spiked at the higher level. The substantial change came against Texas League lefties, whom he fanned at a 33 percent rate while inducing grounders on nearly half of balls put in play, and pop-ups on one in 10. The touted slider may have too often turned to slush, but his changeup took a big step forward. In the Arizona Fall League, the slider again drew rave reviews, but righties continued to fan only at a mediocre 18.5 percent rate, so evaluators may have to rewrite the book on Appel yet. He's going to be a major-league starter, and possibly a quite good one, but probably not in quite the same mold that scouts had envisioned prior to both of his first-round selections.
2014 Itís been over a year since the Astros surprised everyone in the 2012 draft, crowning Carlos Correa as the first overall pick. Appel wound up with the Pirates in the eighth slot, but opted not to sign. Returning to Stanford worked out for his development. The management science and engineering degrees might not see use, but the refined changeup, increased aggression and consistency were positive signs that led to Houston adding this potential ace. His four-seam fastball sits in the mid-90s, delivered on a steep plane from his six-foot-five frame, and more movement can be found in a low-90s two-seamer. A slider with two-plane break is his strikeout weapon, and the repertoire is packaged in highly praised, clean mechanics. If it sounds like Appel checks off every box, that's because he does.

BP Articles

Mark Appel is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
Pitching Backward: Valuing Relievers, in July and OtherwiseJeff Long2016-07-27
Prospectus Feature: Good Deal?Trevor Strunk2016-07-22
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: The Top 2016 Draft Arms, Pt 2Doug Thorburn2016-06-14
This article requires BP Premium accessWeekly Wrap: June 3, 2016Will Haines2016-06-03
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: May 31, 2016BP Prospect Staff2016-05-31
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Sixth Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-05-12
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Fifth Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-05-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Fourth Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-04-28
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Stash List: Third Edition, 2016J.J. Jansons2016-04-22
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, April 18thWilson Karaman2016-04-19
This article requires BP Premium accessWho to Watch: International LeagueChristopher Crawford2016-04-15
Outta Left Field: Three Ways of Thinking About Ken Giles, Non-CloserDustin Palmateer2016-04-13
2016 Prospects: The Top 175 Players 25-and-UnderBP Prospect Staff2016-04-04
2016 Prospects: The Top 175 Players 25-and-UnderBrendan Gawlowski2016-04-04
2016 Prospects: The Top 175 Players 25-and-UnderMark Anderson2016-04-04
2016 Prospects: The Top 175 Players 25-and-UnderChristopher Crawford2016-04-04
Prospectus Feature: The Top 101 Prospects of 2016, With Write-UpsBP Prospect Staff2016-04-01
2016 Prospects: 2016 Organizational RankingsWilson Karaman2016-03-30
2016 Prospects: 2016 Organizational RankingsJeffrey Paternostro2016-03-30
2016 Prospects: 2016 Organizational RankingsBP Prospect Staff2016-03-30
Dynasty Dynamics: A Different Dynasty Top 101Ben Carsley2016-03-23
Winter Is Leaving: Philadelphia PhilliesMichael Baumann2016-03-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessState of the Position: Relief PitcherMike Gianella2016-03-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: The Top 175 Starting PitchersBret Sayre2016-03-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher Prospects for 2016Ben Carsley2016-02-26
Fifth Column: PECOTA Picks Philies to Win NL EastMichael Baumann2016-02-23
2016 Prospects: PECOTA Takes on The 101Wilson Karaman2016-02-19
Fantasy Prospect Rankings: The Top 101 Dynasty League Prospects for 2016Bret Sayre2016-02-15
The NRI Watch: National LeagueBryan Grosnick2016-02-10
This article requires BP Premium accessProspect Debate: How Far Has Appel Fallen?Kate Morrison2016-02-08
This article requires BP Premium accessProspect Debate: How Far Has Appel Fallen?Adam McInturff2016-02-08
This article requires BP Premium accessProspect Debate: How Far Has Appel Fallen?Brendan Gawlowski2016-02-08
The Top 101 Prospects of 2016 Visualized: Part OneGreg Wellemeyer2016-02-02
2016 Prospects: The Top 101 Prospects, Sliced and DicedRob McQuown2016-01-29
2016 Prospects: Philadelphia Phillies Top 10 ProspectsJeffrey Paternostro2016-01-05
2016 Prospects: Philadelphia Phillies Top 10 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2016-01-05
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Appel RevisionChristopher Crawford2015-12-14
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Appel RevisionRian Watt2015-12-14
Transaction Analysis: How The Wild Card Winners Were BuiltBP Staff2015-10-05
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, August 31stJeff Moore2015-09-01
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, August 25thJeff Moore2015-08-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: 18th Edition, 2015J.J. Jansons2015-08-20
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, August 18thJeff Moore2015-08-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: 17th Edition, 2015J.J. Jansons2015-08-13
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, August 12thJeff Moore2015-08-13
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, August 6thJeff Moore2015-08-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: 16th Edition, 2015J.J. Jansons2015-08-06
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat Scouts Are Saying: August 5, 2015BP Prospect Staff2015-08-05
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of July 31-August 2, 2015Jeff Moore2015-08-03
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Houston is Hip to GomezBrendan Gawlowski2015-08-01
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Houston is Hip to GomezMike Gianella2015-08-01
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Houston is Hip to GomezJ.P. Breen2015-08-01
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Houston is Hip to GomezChristopher Crawford2015-08-01
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Houston is Hip to GomezWilson Karaman2015-08-01
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Houston is Hip to GomezKate Morrison2015-08-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessPlayer Profile: Andrew HeaneyNick Shlain2015-07-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: 15th Edition, 2015J.J. Jansons2015-07-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: 14th Edition, 2015J.J. Jansons2015-07-23
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: Team USAJeff Moore2015-07-13
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of July 7-8, 2015Jeff Moore2015-07-09
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: 13th Edition, 2015J.J. Jansons2015-07-09
This article requires BP Premium accessBP Top 50: The Best Midseason ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2015-07-06
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Top 50 Fantasy Prospects: Midseason UpdateBret Sayre2015-07-06
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: 12th Edition, 2015J.J. Jansons2015-07-02
This article requires BP Premium access2015 Futures Game Preview: The US RosterBP Prospect Staff2015-06-27
Weekly Wrap: June 26, 2015Craig Goldstein2015-06-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: 11th Edition, 2015J.J. Jansons2015-06-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: 2015 U25 Rankings: American League WestCraig Goldstein2015-06-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: 2015 U25 Rankings: American League WestBen Carsley2015-06-24
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games on June 19-21, 2015Jeff Moore2015-06-22
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of June 9, 2015Jeff Moore2015-06-10
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: June 10, 2015Daniel Rathman2015-06-10
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of June 3, 2015Jeff Moore2015-06-04
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, May 28, 2015Brendan Gawlowski2015-05-29
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, May 4, 2015Jeff Moore2015-05-05
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, April 29, 2015Jeff Moore2015-04-30
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, April 23, 2015Jeff Moore2015-04-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Third Edition, 2015Bret Sayre2015-04-23
The BP Wayback Machine: Polling the Industry: Pick a Shortstop SuperprospectJason Parks2015-04-21
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, April 16, 2015Jeff Moore2015-04-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Second Edition, 2015Bret Sayre2015-04-16
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: A Different Dynasty Top 101 ListBen Carsley2015-03-10
Kershaw Day: The Pressure of Being 'The Next Kershaw'Jeff Moore2015-03-09
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: The Eyes of MarchDoug Thorburn2015-02-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 175 Starting PitchersBret Sayre2015-02-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Top 101 Dynasty League Prospects for 2015: Part 2: 1-50 (plus one)Bret Sayre2015-02-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher Prospects for 2015Craig Goldstein2015-02-23
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher Prospects for 2015Ben Carsley2015-02-23
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessState of the Position: Starting PitchersBen Carsley2015-02-18
2015 Prospects: 2015 Organizational RankingsJeff Moore2015-02-17
2015 Prospects: 2015 Organizational RankingsMark Anderson2015-02-17
2015 Prospects: 2015 Organizational RankingsBP Prospect Staff2015-02-17
The Top 101 Prospects of 2015: Sliced and DicedRob McQuown2015-02-16
The Top 101 Prospects of 2015: Sliced and DicedMauricio Rubio2015-02-16
2015 Prospects: Top 101 Prospects of 2015Chris Mellen2015-02-09
2015 Prospects: Top 101 Prospects of 2015Nick J. Faleris2015-02-09
2015 Prospects: Top 101 Prospects of 2015BP Prospect Staff2015-02-09
This article requires BP Premium access2015 Prospects: Houston Astros Top 10 ProspectsNick J. Faleris2015-02-04
This article requires BP Premium access2015 Prospects: Houston Astros Top 10 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2015-02-04
BP Experts Prospect Mock Draft: Rounds 3-4Bret Sayre2015-01-29
Pebble Hunting: The Gospel According to BaseballSam Miller2015-01-16
This article requires BP Premium accessBefore They Were Pros: NL WestDavid Rawnsley2015-01-09
This article requires BP Premium accessBefore They Were Pros: NL WestPatrick Ebert2015-01-09
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Top 50 Dynasty League Signees: 2014 Draft ClassBret Sayre2015-01-06
Before They Were Pros: NL CentralFrankie Piliere2014-11-25
Before They Were Pros: NL CentralTodd Gold2014-11-25
Before They Were Pros: NL CentralPatrick Ebert2014-11-25
Before They Were Pros: NL CentralDavid Rawnsley2014-11-25
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: AFL Notes, Part 1Todd Gold2014-11-06
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Friday, October 31stBP Prospect Staff2014-11-04
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Team Preview: Houston AstrosKeith Cromer2014-10-31
Minor League Update: Games of Monday, October 20thJeff Moore2014-10-21
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of October 14th, 2014Jeff Moore2014-10-15
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Arizona Fall League Games of October 8th, 2014Jeff Moore2014-10-09
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Playing a HinchR.J. Anderson2014-10-01
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: The Season's Most Disappointing ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2014-09-22
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: September 15, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-09-15
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Bo GoneTucker Blair2014-09-02
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Bo GoneR.J. Anderson2014-09-02
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Bo GoneMark Anderson2014-09-02
This article requires BP Premium accessAFL 2014: All the IntrigueJeff Moore2014-08-27
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, August 26thJeff Moore2014-08-27
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, August 21Jeff Moore2014-08-22
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: Our Top 50 Dynasty League ProspectsCraig Goldstein2014-08-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: Our Top 50 Dynasty League ProspectsBen Carsley2014-08-13
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, August 5Jeff Moore2014-08-06
The Week in Quotes: July 28-August 3, 2014Chris Mosch2014-08-04
The Week in Quotes: July 28-August 3, 2014Morris Greenberg2014-08-04
The Week in Quotes: July 28-August 3, 2014Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-08-04
The Week in Quotes: July 28-August 3, 2014Nick Bacarella2014-08-04
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, July 30Jeff Moore2014-07-31
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: What's Wrong With AppelChris Rodriguez2014-07-25
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, July 24Jeff Moore2014-07-25
The Lineup Card: Seven Unsigned Top Draft PicksBaseball Prospectus2014-07-24
2014 Draft: The Anatomy of an Astros BreakdownNick J. Faleris2014-07-23
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat Scouts Are Saying: July 17, 2014Baseball Prospectus2014-07-18
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTop 50 Dynasty League Prospects: Midseason UpdateBret Sayre2014-07-14
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, July 10Jeff Moore2014-07-11
This article requires BP Premium accessThe BP Top 50: The Best Midseason ProspectsJason Parks2014-07-07
This article requires BP Premium accessThe BP Top 50: The Best Midseason ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2014-07-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Minor League Draft Pick ValuationJeff Quinton2014-07-02
Eyewitness Accounts: June 26, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-06-26
The 2012 Redraft: Whom Would We Pick Now?Baseball Prospectus2014-06-17
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The 2013 Redraft: How Much Has Changed?Baseball Prospectus2014-06-10
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Perfect Game Presents: The Baseball Draft: A 50-Year Retrospective, Part TwoAllan Simpson2014-06-09
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Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Scouting FortitudeJason Parks2014-04-30
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PECOTA Takes on Prospects: Introduction: I Now Pronounce You Scout and StatAndrew Koo2014-04-15
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BP Unfiltered: Mark Appel: A PITCHf/x First LookDan Brooks2014-04-08
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Polling the Industry: Pick a Shortstop SuperprospectJason Parks2014-04-08
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: AL West U25 ListsBen Carsley2014-04-08
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This article requires BP Premium accessBP Top 101 Prospects: Surprising AssignmentsRon Shah2014-04-04
BP Top 101 Prospects: Opening Day AssignmentsRon Shah2014-04-03
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: Backfield Scouting Notes, 3/28Jordan Gorosh2014-03-28
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: Backfield Scouting Notes, 3/28Jason Parks2014-03-28
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Spring Training Games of March 26Jeff Moore2014-03-27
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: Bush League: Jonathan GrayDoug Thorburn2014-03-14
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomBP Prospect Staff2014-03-03
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomJason Parks2014-03-03
The Top 101 Fantasy Prospects of 2014: Part One: 1-50Bret Sayre2014-03-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersIan Lefkowitz2014-02-28
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 175 Starting PitchersBret Sayre2014-02-27
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Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2014 Organizational RankingsJason Parks2014-02-26
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BP Experts Prospect Mock Draft: Rounds 1-2Bret Sayre2014-01-22
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: The Top 50 2013 Signees for Dynasty DraftsBret Sayre2014-01-09
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The Week in Quotes: October 28-November 3Nick Bacarella2013-11-04
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BP Unfiltered: 2013 MLB Draft: Scouting Video IndexNick J. Faleris2013-06-06
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Future Shock Blog: Updated Mock: 1-15Kevin Goldstein2012-06-01
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2016-05-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Which group of players will the Astros regret trading more? Dealing away Vincent Velasquez and Mark Appel or Brett Phillips, Domingo Santana, and Josh Hader?
(Okie from Muskogee)
The latter, which is weird to say, because I've been pretty slow to come on the Hader train. I have loved most of what Houston has done, but I think they're really going to come to regret that deal. (Christopher Crawford)
2016-03-09 19:00:00 (link to chat)Which group sucks less? Anthony Alford, Rusney Castillo, Manuel Margot, Brett Phillips, Nick Williams,Spencer Adams, Mark Appel, Dylan Cease, Josh Hader, James Kapeielian, Triston McKenzie,Vince Velasquez or Blake Swihart, Jon Singleton, Dansby Swanson, Alex Jackson, Clayton Blackburn,Tyrell Jenkins, Rob Kaminsky, Zach Lee, Keuy Mella, Justin Nicolino, Aaron Nola, Tyler Jay. God these teams are awful.
(Clark from The 19th Hole)
The first group, but you're right, but they're both bad. (Mike Gianella)
2016-01-29 11:00:00 (link to chat)Mark Appel is he the hot dog in a sandwich world? Great stuff just can't put it all together and become a sandwich?
(Dan from Woodbury )
This begs the question, as hot dogs are sandwiches. (Top 101 Chat with Craig Goldstein)
2016-01-29 11:00:00 (link to chat)What do you think is the reason so many impact pitching prospects have seen significant reductions on their stuff at such an early age without suffering an injury? I'm thinking Mark Appel, Archie Bradley, Jon Gray, even Julio Teheran.
(Duffman from Cali)
Some if it adapting to throwing every fifth day rather than once a week (for the college guys). Some of it is just that some guys are at their best when they're younger and have a faster rate of attrition. Sometimes it's developmental tweaks that don't work out. Not sure there's any specific cause there. (Top 101 Chat with Craig Goldstein)
2015-12-01 14:00:00 (link to chat)Weekly trade question with Aroldis Chapman. What realistic prospects would make sense from Astros and Nationals ?? Thanks !
(Kevin from Cincy)
From the Nationals, anyone but Giolito, Turner and Robles would be on the table I think. For the Astros? Maybe a Mark Appel scenery change makes sense. Or a Michael Feliz or Colin Moran. Trading for relievers is tricky, even when they're stupid good like Chapman. (Christopher Crawford)
2015-11-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)Trade proposal.. Mark Appel and Dererk Fisher for Chapman ! Thoughts ??
(Joe from Cincinnati)
Love Appel. Love Fischer. Can't help but think the Reds can do better. Maybe I'm nuts. (Christopher Crawford)
2015-10-19 19:00:00 (link to chat)when drafting for dynasty, which would you rank as being the better asset to own:player already in minors, ie Wilson Contreras, college player, ie JJ Schwartz, or the high school senior.
(Silverback38 from VA)
I prefer the guy in the minors just because so much can happen once a guy hits the pros. Mark Appel, while certainly not indicative, is an example of how someone who is highly touted pre-pro, can go wrong. (Tout Wars Champ Mike Gianella)
2015-07-23 17:00:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on a few question mark pitching prospects, Jameson Taillon,Braden Shipley, and Mark Appel? What do you see out of them over the next couple seasons?
(Tony from ND)
Really have to see Taillon healthy before we make a judgment. I think Appel could be an OK mid-tier starter, but the ideas of him being an ace or even a #2 should be removed out of our heads. Shipley is the guy of the three who excites me the most. You have to be careful with comps, but I like the Jacob deGrom parallels here, with the converted shortstop who throws 95 MPH. He needs more refinement, but I could see him surprising in his debut. (Mike Gianella)
2015-06-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Mark Appel still a mid rotation starter for you or has he fallen from that?
(Kent from Houston)
Yeah, I don't think the book on Appel has ever changed. He's been a prototypical big league starting pitcher since last few years of college. Sometimes he gets a little bored, or lets the league get the best of him, or whatever's happening with him. I don't know exactly what it is and I don't know if the Astros do either. But the stuff has never really wavered. He'll be just fine. (Jeff Moore)
2015-06-02 18:00:00 (link to chat)Time to sell Mark Appel?
(fan from California)
In dynasty leagues? I think you're selling low with Appel so I'd probably hang onto him and hope he figures something out because it's been ugly so far this year. (Mauricio Rubio)
2015-03-06 14:00:00 (link to chat)Is Mark Appel anything more than a #3 starter? If that is where he ends up, would you consider him a bust considering where he was drafted?
(John from Chicago)
I think he's a potential ace, more than likely a No. 2. I don't think a mid-rotation starter would make him a "bust?" But, it would be a slight disappointment. (Christopher Crawford)
2015-02-18 19:00:00 (link to chat)Congrats Brendan on your first BP chat. May it be the beginning of many more. Thanks for doing this chat man. Got a question for you. Who'd you take for the next 12 years between Jon Gray and Mark Appel? Who do you like better and why?
(Bill Clinton from Las Vegas)
Thank you Mr. President. Over twelve years, I'll take the guy who doesn't have to throw a ton of games in Colorado. (Brendan Gawlowski)
2014-12-11 18:00:00 (link to chat)Who would you rather have? David Dahl, Austin Meadows, or Mark Appel?
(Bob from Seattle)
David Dahl is going to blow the hell up in 2015. I'm buying big time here and have been for a while. (Mark Anderson)
2014-10-31 13:00:00 (link to chat)Mark Appel was good in AA and has been really good in the AFL, can we chalk the train wreck at Lancaster up as a fulk thing with him missing Spring training and and the ungodly wind that seem to blow out ever time he pitched?
(mdotmorris22 from Minnesota)
You mean to say that Mark Appel is not a bust?

Yes, I think we need to overlook a half-year stint that did not go as planned. Appel went 1-1 in the draft for a reason, and it's because of his talent. The development path of a prospect is rarely linear, and all the reports I have received on Appel have been much better since he was moved along out of the missile launching pad of Lancaster. Sometimes we just need to step back and take a breath. (Tucker Blair)
2014-09-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)On a dynasty/points team how would you rank these guys these in 2015 which would you keep if one had to go? Jarred Cosart, McHugh, Marco Gonzales, Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez, Alex Colome, Daniel Norris Mark Appel,
(OB1KENOBI from Tampa)
I'd cut Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez. (Craig Goldstein)
2014-07-22 15:00:00 (link to chat)What has happened to Mark Appel? At this point he's looking like a bust, no?
(wade1018 from TN)
Has struggled to retain the velocity that he had in college. He's had a myriad of injuries, and hasn't settled into the every 5 days schedule. The FB has been flat. Appel is probably tipping his pitches some. Chris Rodriguez and Ron Shah have seen him recently (I saw him in the spring), but their reports are much more pessimistic than mine. I saw him at 94-96 with a tight CB and CH that showed promise. They've mostly seen 90-93, a CB without snap, and a flatter CH.

It's probably too early to call him a bust, but we may have to lower the ceiling from #2 starter to a mid to back of the rotation type. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-07-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Would Mark Appel still be in your personal top 50 prospects?
(Travis from CA)
Yes; I was present for his best start of the season in Lake Elsinore and I wrote a relatively positive report on him. Unfortunately, his velocity dipped considerably the start after (like 10 mph) and he never really regained what I saw in that one start. He's back now and I'm anxious to get a look at him. The stuff is much better than the number indicate when he's on... but he's going to have to start putting up the number eventually. After all, Harold Reynolds said he could start in Houston after getting drafted last year. (Chris Rodriguez)
2014-07-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who has been the biggest disappointment this year so far?
(scott from az)
Have to go with Mark Appel. (Chris Rodriguez)
2014-07-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Which pitchers do you see rising into the top 20 by the end of the season?
(flashtheleather from Over the wall)
He doesn't need to move far, but Hunter Harvey could cement himself as a Top 20 prospect by the end of this season. He was awfully close in our discussions leading up to the revised Top 50 release.

I also believe you could see another jump from someone like AJ Cole, and with a rebound in the second half, Mark Appel could re-assert himself as a top prospect without much trouble. (Mark Anderson)
2014-07-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)We all know the prospects that have taken a step forward but who are the prospects that have significantly gone backward and it wasn't injury related?
(Chris from Phoenix)
Well Mark Appel seems like the obvious choice here, but he may have some kind of injury thing going on in there. Who knows what's really going on with him.

Maikel Franco has really struggled, so he's definitely one. (Jeff Moore)
2014-06-03 14:00:00 (link to chat)What has happened with Mark Appel? He got lit up in his return to High A. Do you expect him to be contributing to the Astros in 2015? Thanks
(Chris from Baltimore)
I've taken in Mark Appel's last two starts in High-A; the one where his velocity dipped and the one on Saturday, where his velocity returned to norm. He got lit up really badly on Saturday because he kept the ball up and it looks like he may been tipping his pitches; I can't recall more than two or three uncomfortable swings.

You have to be glad the fastball velocity is back, but now you have to start being concerned and questioning why he can't find any success in High-A. I wouldn't put any timetable on him right now. (Ron Shah)
2014-06-03 14:00:00 (link to chat)What the heck is wrong with Mark Appel?
(JeffBlogwell from Houston, Tx)
Might be tipping his pitches (see my Twitter feed @Rontrarian); not competing; isn't showing any pitchability right now; who the heck knows? (Ron Shah)
2014-06-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)What is your take on the struggles on Mark Appel?
(Mark from Houston)
Injury... tiny sample... I'm not too worried overall. Expectations were high this year, understandably, but we're still only talking about 17.3 IP (Paul Sporer)
2014-06-16 13:00:00 (link to chat)I know fantasy questions usually suck when it comes to the prospect stuff, but I traded Corey Seager for Mark Appel at the beginning of the season. How bad did I screw up?
(Justin from Chicago, IL)
Somewhere between Bartman and Buckner. (Jeff Moore)
2014-05-27 11:30:00 (link to chat)Going back to Rodon, any chance we have a Mark Appel situation and he goes back to school for his senior year if he doesn't like his draft status?
(Peter from St. Petersburg)
It's not impossible, but with the recent wave of injuries, and the fact that he throws predominantly sliders, which are tough on your arm of course, I'd tend to doubt it. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-05-13 11:00:00 (link to chat)Should we astros fans be worried about Mark Appel now? Supposed to be our future ace and is having issues in High-A?
(Mike from Houston)
No. I don't think he will ever be an ace, despite where he was drafted, but people shouldn't be down on Appel because of his early High-A struggles. He didn't really get a full ST, and struggled a bit (the stuff was still very good) in his initial assignment. Perhaps the tandem system isn't ideal for a guy like Appel, but the Astros appear to want to take is slow and easy with him, protecting their sizable investment, Sending him back to extended ST is just a reset, a chance for him to get in some work without the pressures of a minor league game. I think he will be fine, most likely a very good 2/3 starter type, but I never saw a potential #1 (Jason Parks)
2014-05-07 17:00:00 (link to chat)Help Mike! Ten team dynasty with 10 Minor slots. I was offered Tanaka for Mark Appel and Carlos Rodon. What are your thoughts on Tanaka long-term. Thank you!
(nictaclacta from Glendale)
My opinion on Tanaka has become far more positive. He looks much better than I thought he would and that sinker/splitter whatever it is seems very hard to hit. He isn't quite an elite arm but he's very close to that level. (Mike Gianella)
2014-03-21 14:00:00 (link to chat)which minor league pitcher has the most upside? follow up question: which minor league pitcher has the best shot at reaching his ceiling?
(Bob from Lombard)
Archie Bradley possesses the most upside. Mark Appel for your follow up question. (Ronit Shah)
2014-02-26 19:00:00 (link to chat)Really appreciate the chat! Who are some guys you would target after the first 15 or so picks in a rookie draft(that includes international players). I have picks 17 and 18. Would you try to package them together to move up a bit? Thanks
(Mill from Lodi)
Assuming you mean rookie draft as in new signees to an established dynasty league I think outside of the top 6 guys:

Kris Bryant, Jose Abreu, Masahiro Tanaka, Clint Frazier, Jonathan Gray, Mark Appel

it gets really clogged in the middle. I would trade the lower picks to get into the top 6 because you're talking about guys like Colin Moran and Austin Meadows down there. It's ok, but not ideal. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-01-29 19:00:00 (link to chat)Welcome Ben, I'll start you off with a curveball: Let's say every draft eligible prospect from 2010 to 2014 was eligible for this year's draft. Just based on pre-draft scouting reports and without the benefit of hindsight, how would the first 10 picks of the draft unfold?
(baseballjunkie from cali, where it's already Spring)
This is an amazingly difficult question to answer, and also quite fun. Itís probably better suited for an article than for a fantasy chat answer, but since I was able to access this question ahead of time, hereís what I came up with after about 30 min of research. Iíll note that since Iím not familiar enough with 2014 prospects yet, Iíve restricted your search to 2010-2013 draftees. Iíll go with:

1. Bryce Harper 2. Manny Machado 3. Gerrit Cole 4. Dylan Bundy 5. Anthony Rendon 6. Jameson Taillon 7. Bubba Starling
8. Byron Buxton 9. Carlos Correa 10. Archie Bradley

Toughest omissions for me were Francisco Lindor, Trevor Bauer, Kevin Gausman, Kris Bryant and Mark Appel. If Luc Giolito had been healthy for his senior year, heíd probably have made it on this list. Obviously thatís not how weíd rank them now, and itís funny that guys like Chris Sale, Jose Fernandez, Matt Harvey and Javier Baez are left in the dust. Bubba Starling sticks out like a sore thumb, and Buxton was underrated. This exercise also reinforces how loaded the 2011 draft was. Last yearís pales in comparison. (Ben Carsley)
2014-02-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Dynasty league 5th pick overall in a vacuum: Kris Bryant, Jose Abreu, Jonathan Gray, Mark Appel. Please rank since 1 or more might go before me. Thanks!
(uvasuperman from Atlanta)
Bryant, Gray, Appel, Abreu. I hate fantasy pitchers from Colorado and first baseman. (Jeff Moore)
2014-01-21 18:00:00 (link to chat)Appel or gray?
(andy from frozen tundra )
Jonathan Gray over Mark Appel, though it's really close and if you went the other way I wouldn't blame you. (Mike Gianella)
2014-01-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)I have 3 top picks in the 1st round of my upcoming draft. In a vaccum, which 3 would you take for a 18 keeper league and in which order? Tanaka, Lucas Giolito, Clint Frazier, Jonathan Gray, Jose Abreu, Rougund Odor, Rymer Lirano, or Mark Appel?
(vegetto712 from Florida)
From a prospect perspective, your top three there are Giolito, Gray and Appel. (Mark Anderson)
2014-01-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)With my first round pick in our prospect draft, I'm eying a pitcher. Archie Bradley, Masahiro Tanaka, Jonathan Gray, Mark Appel, Noah Syndergaard, Lucas Giolito, and Robert Stephenson are all still on the board. Which 2 or 3 are on your shortlist, and who do you pick & why? Thanks for the chat!
(Sara from Tacoma)
Oh man that's fun agonizing at the same time. Bradley/Giolito are my top two. Tanaka is probably my third because he'll pitch in the majors so soon. It depends on your team's timetable. If you're contending sooner, Bradley. If you can wait (because of depth or because you're bad) go with Giolito. (Craig Goldstein)
2013-12-20 14:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat, Doug. I find your pitching insights very interesting. I feel a little guilty that all I can do is ask selfish fantasy questions, but which do you see reaching their potential: Mark Appel, Jonathan Gray, or perhaps Julio Urias?
(Mr. Beef from Chicago)
No guilt necessary, Mr. Beef - I'm a huge fan of the fantasy game.

Your question is a good one, as these are three VERY different pitchers. Appel is most likely to reach his potential, because he is almost there already. He has a very high floor, but I feel that his ceiling is limited (he lives in a small room). I think that Gray has the most upside of the group, and he doesn't have too big of a hill to climb in order to get there. Urias might have the greatest potential in theory, given his age and right-now stuff (and left-handedness), but he also has the longest distance to go before reaching ceiling, and I think that he will need some refinement of his breaking ball in order to approach Gray's ultimate potential. But Urias' change-up is sick.

Oh, and how many times in one chat can I make a reference to climbing mountains and hills in order to reach a ceiling? I need to come up with some new phrases, or perhaps find an indoor mountain to climb.

On the jukebox: Rage Against the Machine, "Know Your Enemy" (Doug Thorburn)
2013-11-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Per the mid-season Top 50, the top 10 Starting Pitching propects in baseball (that are still prospect eligible) were: Archie Bradley, Kevin Gausman, Taijuan Walker, Jameson Taillon, Dylan Bundy, Mark Appel, Robert Stephenson, Carlos Martinez, Noah Syndergaard, and Aaron Sanchez. What would an updated list look like? I assume Jonathan Gray would be somewhere in the middle of the pack, no?
(Jonah from Redwood)
I think there are some slight differences that you'd see here. Globally speaking, I think everyone recognizes that Noah Syndergaard has vaulted himself higher up a list of this nature. Speaking personally, I have always been on the lower end with my Dylan Bundy projections and I would push him down the list some. Gray would be in the mix toward the back of this pack for me, and that's not a slight against him, I just don't believe he is quite on par with some of the other names in this group. (Mark Anderson)
2013-11-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Mark, in you opinion, what level of contribution will Lucas Giolito, Mark Appel, Kyle Zimmer be making in 2015? Never too early to plan. Thanks.
(nictaclacta from Glendale)
Appel should be in the Astros rotation from day one. Zimmer has a good chance to spend half of that season in the big leagues. Giolito may not be there yet. (Mark Anderson)
2013-10-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Where do you project the top 2013 draft picks (Kris Bryant, Mark Appel, etc.) to be slotted in your top prospect list? With the understanding that you may change your mind, of course!
(BTH524 from Pennsylvania)
Bryant could/should be in the top ten in the game. He's a polished offensive monster that should be at the highest level at some point in 2014. Appel is also a polished collegiate talent that will move quickly, but I'm not as high on his ceiling as some and I don't see him as a future #1 type. He will be in the top 25, but not the top 10. (Jason Parks)
2013-10-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)A great deal can change between now and June, yet it seems carved in stone that the Astros will be pairing Carlos Rodon with Mark Appel in the upcoming draft. Would you say that both have top of the rotation ceilings? Or, dare I say, ace potential? And, more interestingly, how does that tandem compare to other one-two pitching prospect punches (past or present)? Cole/Taillon, Harvey/Wheeler, Bundy/Gausman, etc.
(Domenic from New York)
I think aces are created at the major league level through production and consistency. I would project Rodon higher than Appel. (Jason Parks)
2013-09-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)For the past two years half the draft discussion was about Mark Appel and his signing bonus, never about his pitching. Now no one mentions him at all. It's like he went into the Witness Protection Program. You could wear a yellow speedo and talk about Appel.
(Free_AEC from South Jersey)
He developed a bit of a reputation for being soft. His stuff is electric and his draft position was warranted, but the initial signing issue and the questionable #rig has cooled off his status some. I don't think it matters at the end of the day what people are buzzing about. Appel is going to be a very good major league arm. Was he the best arm in the class? Production will determine that. (Jason Parks)
2013-07-29 11:00:00 (link to chat)Best prospect the Astros just drafted this year not named Mark Appel, in your opinion?
(Ashitaka1110 from Houston, TX)
What's not to love about Tony Kemp. (Zach Mortimer)
2013-06-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Am I sensing sarcasm in Carlos Rodon at 1? But would you put the lefty with nasty fastball/slider combo ahead of Mark Appel or Jonathan Gray?
(mikeyurk from CT)
Yes. If in the same draft, I would prefer Rodon to both Appel and Gray. (Jason Parks on the Midseason Top 50 Prospects)
2013-06-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks Jason, but saying that someone is a better rotation option than Justin Grimm and Josh Lindblom is like saying he's a better NBA prospect than Tyrion Lannister. Can Perez reclaim a ceiling as a #3, or is he more back of the rotation fodder?
(Mario66 from Toronto)
I think he's a no. 3, just one that hasn't developed quickly. The stuff is actually improving Ė†he's showing the feel he showed at times last season with the pure stuff that he had shown a couple years back. Despite the fact that he has been on the prospect radar for a long time, it's easy to forget that he's still just 22 and will be all season. He's only three months older than Mark Appel! (Jason Cole)
2013-06-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Mark Appel to start this weekend, right?
(Harold Reynolds from MLBN Studios)
Why not tonight? (Jason Cole)
2013-05-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is it a given that either Mark Appel or Jonathan Gray go first overall to the Astros?
(BobcatBaseball from Athens, OH)
No. If it's a guarantee in the scouting community that whoever doesn't go first goes second, then they can't play them like they played Carlos Correa last year. That situation worked because if Correa wasn't going first, he was going much later, so they could get him to sign well under slot, knowing it would be more than he'd get in the late top 10.

I have no knowledge that they'd do that again, but if they want to go under slot early and over slot late like last year, you'd want more of a darkhorse. The Houston beat guys, Brian McTaggart and Brian Smith, have mentioned several other options, and how much of Jim Crane reportedly scouting Moran was a decoy or whatever, I'm not sure. (Zachary Levine)
2013-05-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)If you had the first pick in the draft this year, do you go with Mark Appel or Jonathan Grey?
(Jay from Montreal)
I'd go with Appel. Around all the pro coverage, I've been able to see three of the top college righties in the country this year between Appel, Gray, and Ryne Stanek. That's how I'd rank them ‚Äď Appel, Gray, and Stanek. Although Stanek's stuff has ticked up since the outing I saw. (Jason Cole)
2012-09-14 14:00:00 (link to chat)How big of a role did Mark Appel's mechanics play in his falling as far as he did in the draft? Anything major he needs to correct?
(Ashitaka1110 from Houston, TX)
It is impossible to know for sure why each of the eight teams selecting before Pittsburgh opted to pass on Appel, though his bonus demands likely played a major role, as did the identity of his agent and the novelty of the current rules governing signing bonuses. It could also be a case of the hype outweighing the potential, as though Appel was certainly a top-tier pitcher in the draft, there was no clear-cut favorite among the arms. I preferred the skills of Kyle Zimmer in a vacuum, and the anticipated difference in bonus demands just increases the ranking spread on a potential zebra sheet. Appel has some decent mechanics, though nothing stands out as elite, and he does have some mechanical inefficiencies that could be cleaned up in time for next year's draft.

On the jukebox: Alice In Chains, "Would" (Doug Thorburn)
2012-06-05 16:00:00 (link to chat)Once teams and *advisors* are finished working out the details, do you think that the new system will do a better job or worse job than the old, uncapped systems, of promoting parity by funnelling the best players to the worst teams?
(Mario66 from Toronto)
Year one, and Mark Appel plummets. It's not working. (Kevin Goldstein)
2012-06-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Teheran continues to puzzle. He was sharp again last night, but has been wildly erratic this year. Any thoughts on if he's working on something in particular?
(DF from Wilmington, NC)
Kevin says he's been working on his breaking ball a lot down at Gwinnett. He's only a few months older than Mark Appel; plenty of time to work things out. (Bradley Ankrom)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2016, Mark Appel threw 101 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2014 and 2015, all of them occuring in Fall/Winter Ball. In 2015, he relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (97mph), also mixing in a Slider (88mph) and Splitter (90mph).