Biographical

Portrait of Adam Conley

Adam Conley PMarlins

Marlins Player Cards | Marlins Team Audit | Marlins Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 24)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
115.7 3.97 1.32 93 6 8 0 0.5
Birth Date5-24-1990
Height6' 3"
Weight215 lbs
Age24 years, 5 months, 2 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
2010
2011
2012
2013
0.52014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2011 MRL Rk 2 0 2.0 3.31 130 .110 .216 .288 .298 .222 .200 99 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.0
2012 GRB A 14 14 74.3 4.23 118 .207 .248 .324 .369 .255 .289 107 14.7 1.5 14.7 1.5
2012 JUP A+ 12 12 52.7 3.26 131 .263 .254 .326 .367 .249 .364 100 14.2 1.4 14.2 1.4
2013 JAX AA 26 25 138.7 3.48 116 .244 .238 .309 .356 .250 .295 97 19.9 2.1 18.8 2.1
2014 JUP A+ 1 1 5.3 4.46 95 .336 .260 .313 .372 .254 .375 91 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2014 NWO AAA 12 11 60.0 4.75 90 .269 .280 .340 .425 .270 .333 88 3.5 0.3 2.5 0.2

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2011 MRL Rk 0 0 0 2 0 2.0 1 0 2 0 40% .200 4.5 0.0 0.0 9.0 0.50 0.00 0.4 0.0
2012 GRB A 7 3 0 14 14 74.3 58 24 84 4 57% .289 7.0 2.9 0.5 10.2 1.10 2.78 14.7 1.5
2012 JUP A+ 4 2 0 12 12 52.7 59 19 51 0 56% .364 10.1 3.2 0.0 8.7 1.48 4.44 14.2 1.4
2013 JAX AA 11 7 0 26 25 138.7 125 37 129 7 48% .295 8.1 2.4 0.5 8.4 1.17 3.25 18.8 2.1
2014 JUP A+ 0 1 0 1 1 5.3 9 2 2 0 50% .375 15.2 3.4 0.0 3.4 2.06 5.06 0.0 0.0
2014 NWO AAA 3 5 0 12 11 60.0 65 26 48 3 53% .333 9.8 3.9 0.5 7.2 1.52 6.00 2.5 0.2

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-07-21 - Minors - - - Not Disclosed -
2014-05-03 2014-06-22 Minors 50 0 Left Elbow Tendonitis - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 8 8.2 0 27 27 137.2 109 39 111 9 .274 1.08 2.90 3.15 25.6 2.6
80o 7.3 8.2 0 25 25 129.6 110 40 104 9 .289 1.16 3.26 3.54 17.5 1.8
70o 6.8 8.2 0 24 24 124.2 111 40 100 9 .299 1.22 3.52 3.83 12.1 1.2
60o 6.4 8.2 0 23 23 119.7 112 40 97 9 .308 1.27 3.75 4.08 7.9 0.8
50o 6 8.2 0 23 23 115.5 112 40 93 10 .317 1.32 3.97 4.31 4.4 0.5
40o 5.6 8.1 0 22 22 111.5 112 40 90 10 .325 1.37 4.19 4.55 1.1 0.1
30o 5.3 8.1 0 21 21 107.2 112 40 87 10 .334 1.42 4.43 4.81 -2.2 -0.2
20o 4.8 8 0 20 20 102.2 112 40 83 10 .344 1.49 4.71 5.12 -5.6 -0.6
10o 4.3 7.9 0 19 19 95.6 111 40 77 9 .359 1.58 5.11 5.55 -9.7 -1.0
Weighted Mean68.102323115.311140939.3151.303.944.284.80.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
15% 32% 8% 26% 46%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20152511903232202179591881248.3171.183.183.458.02.68.40.52.6
20162610902929181165531571448.3091.203.463.768.22.67.80.71.7
2017279802727160147471401248.3151.223.483.788.32.67.90.71.5
2018289802727160147451391248.3151.203.393.698.32.57.80.71.7
2019298702424144132411241048.3131.203.393.698.32.67.80.61.5
2020308702525146133401281148.3121.183.323.618.22.57.90.71.7
2021318702424141129371211148.3111.183.333.628.22.47.70.71.6
2022327602222130119341111048.3121.183.333.628.32.47.70.71.5
202333760202012011031102948.3121.183.333.628.32.37.70.71.4

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
out of baseball6.67.51.72.92.718.7

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 86)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 92 Rudy Owens 2012 0.00 DNP
2 92 Garrett Richards 2012 5.83
3 91 Jorge Reyes 2012 0.00 DNP
4 90 Lance Lynn 2011 3.12
5 89 Alex Cobb 2012 4.42
6 89 John Gast 2013 5.11
7 89 Scott Diamond 2011 5.77
8 89 Chris Dwyer 2012 0.00 DNP
9 89 Gus Schlosser 2013 0.00 DNP
10 89 Erik Goeddel 2013 0.00 DNP
11 89 Zach McAllister 2012 5.60
12 89 Brandon Workman 2013 4.97
13 89 Matt Packer 2012 0.00 DNP
14 89 Eric Berger 2010 0.00 DNP
15 88 Carlos Hernandez 2011 0.00 DNP
16 88 Micah Owings 2007 4.78
17 88 Simon Castro 2012 0.00 DNP
18 88 Kyle Gibson 2012 0.00 DNP
19 88 Ryan Mullins 2008 0.00 DNP
20 88 P.J. Walters 2009 10.69
21 87 Scott Barnes 2012 4.26
22 87 David Phelps 2011 0.00 DNP
23 87 James Paxton 2013 1.88
24 87 Chris Rusin 2011 0.00 DNP
25 87 Jose Cisnero 2013 4.74
26 87 Blake Wood 2010 5.26
27 87 Tommy Milone 2011 3.81
28 87 Brad Peacock 2012 0.00 DNP
29 87 David Huff 2009 5.75
30 87 Wily Peralta 2013 5.25
31 87 Nick Tepesch 2013 5.03
32 86 Justin Wilson 2012 1.93
33 86 Aaron Miller 2012 0.00 DNP
34 86 Zach Stewart 2011 5.88
35 86 Chad Jenkins 2012 4.50
36 86 Graham Stoneburner 2012 0.00 DNP
37 86 Eric Surkamp 2012 0.00 DNP
38 86 Omar Poveda 2012 0.00 DNP
39 86 Drake Britton 2013 3.86
40 86 James Simmons 2011 0.00 DNP
41 86 Casey Crosby 2013 0.00 DNP
42 86 Matt Maloney 2008 0.00 DNP
43 86 Chad Bettis 2013 6.85
44 85 Kyle Weiland 2011 8.03
45 85 Alex Torres 2012 0.00 DNP
46 85 Felix Doubront 2012 5.31
47 85 Charles Brewer 2012 0.00 DNP
48 85 Christian Garcia 2010 0.00 DNP
49 85 Jason Windsor 2007 0.00 DNP
50 85 Juan Nicasio 2011 4.40
51 85 Ricky Romero 2009 4.45
52 85 Nick Barnese 2013 0.00 DNP
53 85 Wynn Pelzer 2010 0.00 DNP
54 84 Kris Johnson 2009 0.00 DNP
55 84 Josh Lindblom 2011 2.73
56 84 Brad Mills 2009 14.09
57 84 Chris Withrow 2013 2.60
58 84 Deryk Hooker 2013 0.00 DNP
59 84 Jake McGee 2011 4.50
60 84 J.J. Hoover 2012 2.05
61 84 D.J. Mitchell 2011 0.00 DNP
62 84 Jake Arrieta 2010 5.11
63 84 Erik Davis 2011 0.00 DNP
64 84 Justin De Fratus 2012 4.22
65 83 Mitchell Boggs 2008 7.68
66 83 Mike Kickham 2013 10.80
67 83 Clayton Mortensen 2009 9.98
68 83 Joe Kelly 2012 4.21
69 83 Lance Broadway 2008 7.07
70 83 Chris Heston 2012 0.00 DNP
71 83 Aaron Crow 2011 3.05
72 83 Jay Jackson 2012 0.00 DNP
73 83 J.C. Ramirez 2013 8.25
74 83 Tim Alderson 2013 0.00 DNP
75 83 Daniel Rosenbaum 2012 0.00 DNP
76 83 Adam Warren 2012 23.14
77 83 Kevin Mulvey 2009 8.14
78 83 Dellin Betances 2012 0.00 DNP
79 83 Tyler Thornburg 2013 2.29
80 83 Jeff Manship 2009 5.97
81 83 Tim Crabbe 2012 0.00 DNP
82 82 Anthony Swarzak 2010 0.00 DNP
83 82 John Ely 2010 5.67
84 82 Bobby Parnell 2009 5.71
85 82 Jeff Locke 2012 5.50
86 82 Antonio Bastardo 2010 4.34
87 82 Wade Miley 2011 4.50
88 82 Ross Detwiler 2010 6.67
89 82 Jordan Walden 2012 3.46
90 82 Jake Petricka 2012 0.00 DNP
91 82 Jose De Paula 2012 0.00 DNP
92 82 Gregory Peavey 2013 0.00 DNP
93 82 Seth Maness 2013 2.47
94 82 Anthony Ortega 2010 0.00 DNP
95 82 Chris Hernandez 2013 0.00 DNP
96 82 Andre Rienzo 2012 0.00 DNP
97 82 Shaeffer Hall 2012 0.00 DNP
98 82 Mark Rogers 2010 1.80
99 82 Dallas Beeler 2013 0.00 DNP
100 81 Eric Niesen 2010 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 College pitchers donít often have much projection left, but this wiry Washington State product could buck that rule. Conley showed a plus changeup and an average slider during his first full minor-league campaign. While his fastball hovered in the low-90s, he could tap into more velocity down the road. The southpaw should join the Double-A Jacksonville rotation out of spring training, and is on track to settle in as a dependable third or fourth starter for the Marlins toward the end of next year.

BP Articles

Adam Conley is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of July 3-6Jeff Moore2014-07-07
Overthinking It: The BP Staff Tries to Trade, and Trade for, David PriceBen Lindbergh2014-06-27
Overthinking It: The BP Staff Tries to Trade, and Trade for, David PriceBaseball Prospectus2014-06-27
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Miami Marlins Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2014-02-12
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, August 19Zach Mortimer2013-08-20
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of June 14-16Zach Mortimer2013-06-17
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of June 6-June 9Zach Mortimer2013-06-10
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 5-April 7Zach Mortimer2013-04-08
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of April 11Kevin Goldstein2012-04-12
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Miami Marlins Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2012-01-03


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