Biographical

Portrait of Andrew Ferguson

Andrew Ferguson PRoyals

Royals Player Cards | Royals Team Audit | Royals Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 27)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
93.7 4.23 1.27 77 5 6 0 0.4
Birth Date9-2-1988
Height6' 1"
Weight195 lbs
Age27 years, 10 months, 22 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2012
2013
2014
2015
0.42016
+proj
DRA-Based WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA. (For previous card version with FAIR_RA, click here.)
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA WARP

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA
2011 BNC Rk 20 0 36.3 45 15 33 4 .264 101 11.1 3.7 1.0 8.2 45% .353 .309 1.65 4.80 5.45
2012 KNC A 2 2 9.3 10 5 7 0 .255 99 9.6 4.8 0.0 6.8 61% .303 .255 1.61 3.46 1.93
2012 WIL A+ 10 10 63.7 64 9 59 5 .254 88 9.0 1.3 0.7 8.3 49% .341 .242 1.15 3.12 2.97
2012 IDA Rk 4 4 23.7 16 6 21 2 .275 116 6.1 2.3 0.8 8.0 50% .226 .180 0.93 4.52 1.14
2013 NWA AA 34 13 96.0 95 37 84 11 .260 103 8.9 3.5 1.0 7.9 44% .303 .275 1.38 4.08 5.16
2014 NWA AA 25 23 147.7 130 41 118 13 .264 98 7.9 2.5 0.8 7.2 44% .275 .242 1.16 3.56 2.93
2014 OMA AAA 2 2 12.0 12 3 6 5 .246 109 9.0 2.2 3.8 4.5 31% .189 .281 1.25 8.87 6.00
2015 NWA AA 6 4 31.7 19 8 37 2 .254 96 5.4 2.3 0.6 10.5 42% .239 .179 0.85 2.54 0.85
2015 OMA AAA 16 14 73.0 65 16 71 11 .275 100 8.0 2.0 1.4 8.8 37% .276 .245 1.11 4.35 3.21
2016 WIL A+ 1 1 2.7 3 3 4 1 .268 91 10.1 10.1 3.4 13.5 89% .250 .466 2.25 8.77 10.12
2016 ROY Rk 4 4 13.3 10 1 13 0 .275 92 6.8 0.7 0.0 8.8 31% .278 .208 0.82 2.61 2.02

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2016 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/15/2015 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 6.4 5.5 0.3 24 18 112.5 90 28 92 12 .248 1.05 2.98 3.24 25.1 2.7
80o 5.9 5.5 0.3 23 17 105.9 91 28 86 12 .261 1.13 3.34 3.63 18.9 2.1
70o 5.5 5.4 0.3 22 16 101.2 91 29 83 12 .271 1.18 3.60 3.92 14.8 1.6
60o 5.1 5.4 0.3 21 15 97.3 91 29 79 12 .278 1.23 3.83 4.16 11.7 1.3
50o 4.8 5.4 0.2 20 15 93.7 91 29 76 12 .286 1.28 4.05 4.4 8.9 1.0
40o 4.5 5.4 0.2 20 14 90.2 91 28 74 12 .293 1.32 4.27 4.64 6.3 0.7
30o 4.2 5.3 0.2 19 14 86.4 90 28 71 12 .301 1.37 4.50 4.9 3.7 0.4
20o 3.9 5.3 0.2 18 13 82.2 90 28 67 12 .311 1.44 4.79 5.2 1.1 0.1
10o 3.4 5.2 0.2 17 12 76.4 89 28 62 12 .324 1.53 5.18 5.64 -2.2 -0.2
Weighted Mean4.85.40.2201593.490287612.2841.264.024.379.21.0

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 7/24/2016 10:10 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 6.1 5.8 0.3 24 18 112.5 90 28 91 12 .248 1.05 3.20 3.55 17.7 1.9
80o 5.6 5.8 0.3 23 17 105.9 91 28 85 12 .260 1.13 3.54 3.93 12.3 1.3
70o 5.2 5.8 0.3 22 16 101.2 91 29 82 12 .270 1.18 3.79 4.21 8.7 0.9
60o 4.9 5.7 0.2 21 15 97.3 91 29 78 12 .278 1.23 4.01 4.45 5.9 0.6
50o 4.6 5.7 0.2 20 15 93.7 91 29 75 12 .285 1.28 4.22 4.68 3.3 0.4
40o 4.3 5.7 0.2 20 14 90.2 91 28 73 12 .292 1.32 4.42 4.91 1.0 0.1
30o 4 5.6 0.2 19 14 86.4 90 28 70 12 .300 1.37 4.65 5.16 -1.4 -0.2
20o 3.7 5.5 0.2 18 13 82.2 90 28 66 12 .310 1.44 4.91 5.46 -4.0 -0.4
10o 3.3 5.4 0.2 17 12 76.4 89 28 61 12 .323 1.53 5.29 5.88 -7.1 -0.8
Weighted Mean4.65.70.2201593.490287512.2831.264.194.653.60.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
9% 19% 16% 19% 39%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
2017286602417115117381011936.2921.344.565.049.13.07.91.50.0
201829660231711311436971936.2941.334.514.999.12.97.71.50.1
2019305502014979831831636.2931.334.525.009.12.97.71.50.1
2020314501913899129771536.2941.344.555.039.22.97.81.50.0
2021324501712838527701436.2941.354.615.109.22.97.61.5-0.0
2022334501712828426701436.2941.344.525.009.22.97.71.50.1
2023344401612788024671336.2941.334.504.989.22.87.71.50.1
2024354401511727423621236.2941.344.514.999.22.97.71.50.1
2025363401310656620561136.2951.324.514.999.12.87.81.50.1

Long-Term Forecast Based on RoS PECOTA (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201728560221610710638901736.2861.344.535.018.93.27.51.40.1
2018298903525171173501462536.2971.304.184.639.12.67.71.30.8
2019307702719131137421091836.3041.364.264.719.42.97.51.20.5
2020313401410699423651536.3671.695.005.5312.23.08.41.9-0.3
2022333401410697122621136.3021.354.304.769.32.98.11.40.2
2023343401410677020541036.2981.354.464.939.52.77.31.40.1
202435330139636421541036.2991.364.404.879.23.07.81.40.1
202536330129596119521036.2991.354.474.959.32.97.91.50.1

Upside By Year

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
out of baseballout of baseball0.4321.95.4

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
2015out of baseballout of baseball0.4321.95.4

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 87)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 93 Charles Brewer 2015 0.00 DNP
2 93 Edwar Cabrera 2015 0.00 DNP
3 92 Terry Doyle 2013 0.00 DNP
4 92 Bruce Billings 2013 0.00 DNP
5 92 Darin Gorski 2015 0.00 DNP
6 91 Red Patterson 2014 1.93
7 91 Matt Shoemaker 2014 3.24
8 91 Travis Banwart 2013 0.00 DNP
9 91 Phil Irwin 2014 6.75
10 90 Mark Serrano 2013 0.00 DNP
11 90 Tom Koehler 2013 4.53
12 90 Yohan Pino 2011 0.00 DNP
13 90 Ramon A. Ramirez 2010 0.00 DNP
14 89 Justin Fitzgerald 2013 0.00 DNP
15 89 Heath Rollins 2012 0.00 DNP
16 89 Austin Hyatt 2013 0.00 DNP
17 89 Rudy Owens 2015 0.00 DNP
18 88 Graham Godfrey 2012 7.71
19 88 Rob Scahill 2014 4.80
20 88 Todd Redmond 2012 10.80
21 88 Steven Shell 2010 0.00 DNP
22 88 Polin Trinidad 2012 0.00 DNP
23 88 Austin Bibens-Dirkx 2012 0.00 DNP
24 88 Eric Berger 2013 0.00 DNP
25 88 Tony Watson 2012 3.54
26 88 Eric Surkamp 2015 10.80
27 88 Jorge Reyes 2015 0.00 DNP
28 87 Eddie Gamboa 2012 0.00 DNP
29 87 Mike Fiers 2012 3.95
30 87 George Kontos 2012 3.09
31 87 Cesar Valdez 2012 0.00 DNP
32 87 Kyler Newby 2012 0.00 DNP
33 87 Ben Snyder 2013 0.00 DNP
34 87 Dave McKae 2009 0.00 DNP
35 87 Tanner Roark 2014 2.90
36 87 Michael Antonini 2013 0.00 DNP
37 87 Josh Smith 2015 7.44
38 87 Kevin Pucetas 2012 0.00 DNP
39 87 Andrew Baldwin 2010 0.00 DNP
40 87 Chaz Roe 2014 13.50
41 86 Brad Mills 2012 0.00
42 86 Chris Narveson 2009 4.21
43 86 Matt Klinker 2012 0.00 DNP
44 86 Philip Humber 2010 4.15
45 86 Thad Weber 2012 9.00
46 86 Jay Jackson 2015 6.23
47 86 Wes Musick 2014 0.00 DNP
48 86 Blake Hawksworth 2010 5.58
49 86 Fabio Castro 2012 0.00 DNP
50 86 Nick Additon 2015 0.00 DNP
51 86 Chris Heston 2015 4.15
52 86 Phil Coke 2010 3.90
53 86 Jeremy McBryde 2014 0.00 DNP
54 86 Jeremy Hefner 2013 5.17
55 86 Alex Wilson 2014 2.54
56 86 Dustin Nippert 2008 6.53
57 86 Brandon Hynick 2012 0.00 DNP
58 85 Rob Musgrave 2013 0.00 DNP
59 85 Matt Wright 2009 0.00 DNP
60 85 Josh Zeid 2014 7.84
61 85 Travis Blackley 2010 0.00 DNP
62 85 Paolo Espino 2014 0.00 DNP
63 85 Yohan Flande 2013 0.00 DNP
64 85 Nick Schmidt 2013 0.00 DNP
65 85 Joel Carreno 2014 0.00 DNP
66 85 Daniel McCutchen 2010 6.38
67 85 Matt Maloney 2011 10.12
68 85 Elih Villanueva 2014 0.00 DNP
69 85 Cory Riordan 2013 0.00 DNP
70 85 Steven Hensley 2014 0.00 DNP
71 85 Samuel Deduno 2011 3.00
72 84 P.J. Walters 2012 5.98
73 84 Charles Shirek 2013 0.00 DNP
74 84 Pat Misch 2009 4.48
75 84 David Martinez 2015 0.00 DNP
76 84 John Ely 2013 0.00 DNP
77 84 Esmailin Caridad 2011 0.00 DNP
78 84 Mike McClendon 2012 7.07
79 84 Chris Cody 2011 0.00 DNP
80 84 Kevin Thomas 2014 0.00 DNP
81 84 Davis Romero 2010 0.00 DNP
82 84 Brad Meyers 2013 0.00 DNP
83 84 Brandon Dickson 2012 9.95
84 84 Nate Karns 2015 3.80
85 84 Deunte Heath 2013 11.74
86 84 Bryan Price 2014 20.25
87 84 Buddy Baumann 2015 0.00 DNP
88 84 Matt Buschmann 2011 0.00 DNP
89 84 Doug Mathis 2010 6.04
90 84 Scott Barnes 2015 0.00 DNP
91 84 Troy Patton 2013 4.18
92 84 Robert Coello 2012 12.79
93 84 Dylan Axelrod 2013 6.24
94 84 Brett Lorin 2014 0.00 DNP
95 83 Drew Naylor 2013 0.00 DNP
96 83 Francisco Cruceta 2009 0.00 DNP
97 83 Ryan Edell 2011 0.00 DNP
98 83 Eammon Portice 2012 0.00 DNP
99 83 David Phelps 2014 4.86
100 83 Mark Rogers 2013 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

Definition of multi-year splits

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