Biographical

Portrait of Kyle Hendricks

Kyle Hendricks PCubs

Cubs Player Cards | Cubs Team Audit | Cubs Depth Chart

2017 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 27)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
165.3 3.66 1.18 144 12 8 0 2.3
Birth Date12-7-1989
Height6' 3"
Weight190 lbs
Age27 years, 3 months, 17 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2013
1.52014
3.82015
5.12016
2.32017
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2014 CHN MLB 13 13 80.3 7 2 0 72 15 47 4 .256 102 8.1 1.7 0.4 5.3 51% .271 .230 1.08 3.29 2.46 99 3.36 85.9 1.5
2015 CHN MLB 32 32 180.0 8 7 0 166 43 167 17 .255 97 8.3 2.1 0.8 8.3 53% .296 .244 1.16 3.38 3.95 94 3.32 81.2 3.8
2016 CHN MLB 31 30 190.0 16 8 0 142 44 170 15 .262 93 6.7 2.1 0.7 8.1 50% .250 .214 0.98 3.24 2.13 93 3.01 70.0 5.1
CareerMLB7675450.33117038010238436.258967.62.00.77.751%.273.2291.073.312.92933.2287.210.2

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2011 SPO A- 20 0 32.7 2 2 3 20 4 36 0 .263 103 5.5 1.1 0.0 9.9 54% .244 .165 0.73 1.78 1.93 67 1.37 69.8
2011 FRI AA 1 1 3.0 0 0 0 4 2 2 0 .242 102 12.0 6.0 0.0 6.0 64% .364 .260 2.00 4.04 3.00 105 5.42 108.1
2012 DAY A+ 5 4 17.0 1 0 0 17 3 11 3 .239 110 9.0 1.6 1.6 5.8 46% .264 .231 1.18 5.10 4.24 99 4.02 101.5
2012 MYR A+ 20 20 130.7 5 8 0 123 15 112 8 .262 91 8.5 1.0 0.6 7.7 54% .304 .233 1.06 2.95 2.82 79 2.49 86.1
2013 TEN AA 21 21 126.3 10 3 0 107 26 101 3 .248 104 7.6 1.9 0.2 7.2 59% .279 .217 1.05 2.36 1.85 71 1.52 68.5
2013 IOW AAA 6 6 40.0 3 1 0 35 8 27 2 .260 90 7.9 1.8 0.5 6.1 62% .273 .221 1.07 3.54 2.48 84 2.36 81.7
2014 CHN MLB 13 13 80.3 7 2 0 72 15 47 4 .256 102 8.1 1.7 0.4 5.3 51% .271 .230 1.08 3.29 2.46 99 3.36 85.9
2014 IOW AAA 17 17 102.7 10 5 0 98 23 97 5 .261 92 8.6 2.0 0.4 8.5 56% .322 .235 1.18 3.17 3.59 64 1.11 65.3
2015 CHN MLB 32 32 180.0 8 7 0 166 43 167 17 .255 97 8.3 2.1 0.8 8.3 53% .296 .244 1.16 3.38 3.95 94 3.32 81.2
2016 CHN MLB 31 30 190.0 16 8 0 142 44 170 15 .262 93 6.7 2.1 0.7 8.1 50% .250 .214 0.98 3.24 2.13 93 3.01 70.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2014 1144 0.4991 0.4755 0.8107 0.6217 0.3298 0.8704 0.6984 0.1893
2015 2788 0.4796 0.4286 0.7933 0.5722 0.2963 0.8745 0.6488 0.2067
2016 2843 0.4935 0.4263 0.7525 0.5495 0.3063 0.8353 0.6077 0.2475
Career67750.48870.43560.77910.5710.30620.85740.63990.2209

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2017 CHN $760,500
2016 CHN $541,000
2015 CHN $510,000
2014 CHN $
YearsDescriptionSalary
2 yrPrevious$1,051,000
2011Current$760,500
3 yrPvs + Cur$1,811,500
3 yrTotal$1,811,500

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
2 y 81 dWasserman Media Group1 year/$0.7605M (2017)

Details
  • 1 year/$0.7605M (2017). Re-signed by Chicago Cubs 3/9/17.
  • 1 year (2016). Re-signed by Chicago Cubs 3/4/16.
  • 1 year/$0.51M (2015). Re-signed by Chicago Cubs 3/5/15.
  • 1 year (2014). Contract selected by Chicago Cubs 7/10/14.
  • Acquired by Chicago Cubs in trade from Texas 7/31/12 (Dempster deal).
  • Drafted by Texas 2011 (8-264) (Dartmouth). $0.125M signing bonus.

2017 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 12.5 7.2 0 29 29 183.2 139 46 159 16 .247 1.01 2.83 3.06 37.4 4.1
80o 12.2 7.6 0 29 29 176.9 141 47 154 17 .257 1.07 3.12 3.38 31.8 3.5
70o 12 7.9 0 29 29 172.5 143 48 150 17 .265 1.11 3.34 3.61 27.8 3.0
60o 11.8 8.2 0 29 29 168.8 145 48 147 17 .271 1.14 3.52 3.81 24.3 2.6
50o 11.6 8.4 0 29 29 165.3 146 49 144 17 .277 1.18 3.69 4 21.0 2.3
40o 11.4 8.7 0 29 29 161.9 147 49 141 17 .283 1.21 3.87 4.19 17.7 1.9
30o 11.3 9 0 29 29 158.2 149 50 138 18 .289 1.25 4.05 4.39 14.2 1.5
20o 11 9.3 0 29 29 154.0 150 50 134 18 .296 1.30 4.27 4.63 10.0 1.1
10o 10.7 9.8 0 29 29 148.3 152 51 129 18 .306 1.36 4.58 4.97 4.1 0.4
Weighted Mean11.78.402929165.31454914417.2761.173.683.9821.42.3

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2017 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201828111003131197151662042151.2811.103.604.136.93.09.31.02.9
201929101002929180153571811951.3031.173.654.197.62.89.01.02.6
202030101002929183143571862051.2821.093.594.127.02.89.11.02.7
202131101002929179142521682251.2731.083.814.387.12.68.41.12.2
2022329902626154139471461851.3101.213.864.438.12.88.61.11.9
2023339902626153124471491751.2881.123.664.207.32.88.81.02.3
202434111103333213177601892051.2891.113.564.097.52.58.00.83.1
202535101003030188170511762551.3041.183.934.518.22.48.41.22.0
2026365501515877226851051.2901.123.744.297.42.78.81.01.2

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 77)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 88 Garrett Richards 2015 4.08
2 86 Jeff Niemann 2010 4.44
3 84 Drew Pomeranz 2016 3.45
4 84 Clay Buchholz 2012 4.94
5 83 Tyson Ross 2014 3.45
6 83 Jimmy Nelson 2016 5.28
7 82 Randy Wells 2010 4.49
8 82 Matt Harvey 2016 5.34
9 82 Dallas Keuchel 2015 2.64
10 81 Brandon Webb 2006 3.49
11 81 Chris Archer 2016 4.48
12 80 J.P. Howell 2010 0.00 DNP
13 80 Dillon Gee 2013 3.80
14 80 Ubaldo Jimenez 2011 5.30
15 79 Edinson Volquez 2011 5.96
16 79 Wade Davis 2013 5.92
17 79 Zach Britton 2015 2.19
18 79 Lance Lynn 2014 3.18
19 79 Ryan Cook 2014 3.42
20 79 Jonny Venters 2012 3.68
21 79 Justin Wilson 2015 2.95
22 78 Kyle Gibson 2015 4.07
23 78 Andrew Bailey 2011 3.89
24 78 Brandon Beachy 2014 0.00 DNP
25 78 Kris Medlen 2013 3.52
26 78 Wade LeBlanc 2012 3.93
27 78 Chien-Ming Wang 2007 3.79
28 78 Roberto Hernandez 2008 5.97
29 77 Jake Arrieta 2013 4.90
30 77 Clay Hensley 2007 7.20
31 77 Robbie Ross 2016 3.38
32 77 Alex Colome 2016 1.84
33 77 Ivan Nova 2014 8.27
34 77 Ricky Romero 2012 6.07
35 76 Travis Wood 2014 5.70
36 76 Joe Saunders 2008 3.73
37 76 T.J. McFarland 2016 6.93
38 76 Wade Miley 2014 4.60
39 76 Scott Baker 2009 4.46
40 76 Alfredo Aceves 2010 3.75
41 76 David Phelps 2014 4.86
42 76 Vin Mazzaro 2014 3.48
43 76 Juan Rincon 2006 3.63
44 76 Dellin Betances 2015 1.82
45 76 J.A. Happ 2010 3.81
46 75 Mark Gubicza 1990 4.60
47 75 Dean Chance 1968 2.96
48 75 Justin Germano 2010 3.82
49 75 Chad Bettis 2016 5.32
50 75 Zach Miner 2009 4.78
51 75 Chris Bassitt 2016 6.43
52 75 Jeremy Sowers 2010 0.00 DNP
53 75 Adam Warren 2015 3.49
54 75 Renyel Pinto 2010 2.70
55 75 Brad Mills 2012 0.00
56 75 Liam Hendriks 2016 4.52
57 75 Danny Jackson 1989 6.07
58 74 Joe Blanton 2008 5.01
59 74 Clayton Richard 2011 4.70
60 74 John Ely 2013 0.00 DNP
61 74 Erik Bedard 2006 4.22
62 74 Sergio Mitre 2008 0.00 DNP
63 74 Michael Kirkman 2014 3.18
64 74 David Purcey 2009 6.56
65 74 Kason Gabbard 2009 0.00 DNP
66 74 Cory Luebke 2012 2.90
67 74 John Maine 2008 4.50
68 74 Johnny Antonelli 1957 4.16
69 74 Mike Fiers 2012 3.95
70 74 Bob Gibson 1963 3.89
71 74 P.J. Walters 2012 5.98
72 74 Carlos Zambrano 2008 4.05
73 73 Ian Kennedy 2012 4.36
74 73 James Paxton 2016 4.58
75 73 Troy Patton 2013 4.18
76 73 Brandon Cumpton 2016 0.00 DNP
77 73 Nick Tepesch 2016 11.25
78 73 Matt Moore 2016 4.48
79 73 Dan Straily 2016 3.74
80 73 David Price 2013 3.76
81 73 Justin Grimm 2016 3.71
82 73 Seth Maness 2016 3.98
83 73 Jason Davis 2007 6.57
84 73 Jose Alvarez 2016 5.04
85 73 Josh Outman 2012 8.19
86 73 Gavin Floyd 2010 4.42
87 73 Bobby Parnell 2012 3.15
88 73 Orel Hershiser 1986 4.36
89 73 Michael Blazek 2016 7.19
90 73 Jim Johnson 2010 3.76
91 73 Dave Bush 2007 5.31
92 73 Joe Kelly 2015 5.09
93 73 Andrew Cashner 2014 3.06
94 73 Brian Duensing 2010 2.89
95 72 Roenis Elias 2016 12.91
96 72 Roy Halladay 2004 4.47
97 72 Jacob deGrom 2015 2.78
98 72 Jose Rijo 1992 2.86
99 72 Brandon Workman 2016 0.00 DNP
100 72 Matt Morris 2002 3.68

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .236 .293 .377 .243
11 vs R (Multi) .209 .259 .308 .209
18 Split (Multi) .027 .034 .069 .034
19 LgAvg (Multi) .006 .020 .015 .013
30 vs L (2016) .219 .277 .339 .227
31 vs R (2016) .198 .251 .305 .204
38 Split (2016) .021 .026 .034 .022
39 LgAvg (2016) .003 .018 .013 .012

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2017 Due to publishing agreements, the 2017 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2017 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2016 In his first full season in the majors, Hendricks was kept on a tight leash, but put up a league-average ERA and slightly better components. An area of concern, however, is the contact rates he has maintained through the last two seasons. He tends to allow contact on about 80 percent of swings, which puts his whiffs-per-pitch rate eighth-lowest among qualified NL pitchers. For a pitcher who maintains an above-average strikeout rate, missing so few bats is a bit of paradox. His top two pitches, an 89 mph sinker and an 80 mph changeup, generate a lot of groundballs, so it is not out of the question for Hendricks to continue to pitch well, but without generating more whiffs, it is hard to imagine he will continue to do so through a strikeout-heavy approach.
2015 "Know thyself" comes down from Apollo himself, and who are we to argue with the god of the sun? You won't catch Hendricks disagreeing: He doesn't blow anyone away with his mundane offerings, but he knows his limitations, learns from his mistakes and makes the most of what he has. One of them Ivy League types (Dartmouth, economics), Hendricks relies on plus command to induce weak contact. After arriving in the big leagues in the wake of the Cubs' trade of Jeff Samardzija and Jason Hammel, he immediately took advantage of the advanced scouting and video available to him, soaking in as much knowledge about how to attack his opponents as possible. His changeup has swing-and-miss potential, so an uptick in strikeouts is not out of the question. Even a small increase, as long as the walks stay low and the ball stays in the park, could make him a very valuable asset, particularly at the (league-minimum) price. Apollo also gave us, "On reaching the end be without sorrow," and Hendricks seems likely to wring out every ounce of success his fringy stuff will support before the game is done with him.
2014 If broadcasters are right about the keys to pitching success—get ahead of hitters, change speeds, avoid walks—Hendricks is destined to be a booth favorite. The Dartmouth product doesn’t have great stuff but he commands it well, varying his fastball from the mid-80s to the low 90s and mixing in a cutter, slider, curve and changeup. It’s a combination that baffled hitters in the high minors last year, and earned Hendricks the organization's Pitcher of the Year award. The same approach currently earns millions for Kyle Lohse, though it's more likely Hendricks will settle into the back end of a big-league rotation or make his mark in middle relief.

BP Articles

Kyle Hendricks is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
Looking Back on Tomorrow: Milwaukee BrewersNicholas Zettel2017-03-16
This article requires BP Premium accessGuarding The Lines: When Spring MattersJarrett Seidler2017-03-16
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Draft Rankings: The Top 300 For 2017Bret Sayre2017-03-15
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Draft Rankings: The Top 300 For 2017Mike Gianella2017-03-15
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This article requires BP Premium accessFlu-Like Symptoms: One Not-So-Fine DayRob Mains2017-03-06
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: The Top 175 Starting PitchersBret Sayre2017-03-02
Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 121: Starting Pitcher PreviewGeorge Bissell2017-03-01
Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 121: Starting Pitcher PreviewBret Sayre2017-03-01
Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 121: Starting Pitcher PreviewMike Gianella2017-03-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Three-Year Projections: Starting Pitchers, Part OneGreg Wellemeyer2017-02-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe -Only League Landscape: National League Starting PitchersScooter Hotz2017-02-24
Banjo Hitter: PECOTA's Breakout Bets: PitchersAaron Gleeman2017-02-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessWelcome to Splitsville: Starting PitchersTim Finnegan2017-02-23
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Tiered Rankings: Starting Pitchers, Part IMike Gianella2017-02-23
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessState of the Position: Starting PitchersGeorge Bissell2017-02-23
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessEarly ADP Analysis: Starting PitchersMatt Collins2017-02-22
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Players to Target: Starting PitchersBP Fantasy Staff2017-02-22
Banjo Hitter: Age-Old QuestionsAaron Gleeman2017-02-07
Rubbing Mud: Command, Framing, and TeamworkMatthew Trueblood2017-02-02
Prospectus Feature: Unlocking Kyle HendricksJonathan Judge2017-01-26
Prospectus Feature: Unlocking Kyle HendricksJeff Long2017-01-26
Prospectus Feature: Unlocking Kyle HendricksHarry Pavlidis2017-01-26
This article requires BP Premium accessFlu-Like Symptoms: New Year's Resolutions: CommandRob Mains2017-01-26
Rubbing Mud: Whack-A-Mole ArtistsMatthew Trueblood2017-01-26
Prospectus Feature: Two Ways to TunnelJeff Long2017-01-25
Prospectus Feature: Two Ways to TunnelHarry Pavlidis2017-01-25
Prospectus Feature: Two Ways to TunnelJonathan Judge2017-01-25
Prospectus Feature: Command and ControlJonathan Judge2017-01-23
Prospectus Feature: Command and ControlJeff Long2017-01-23
Prospectus Feature: Command and ControlHarry Pavlidis2017-01-23
This article requires BP Premium accessFlu-Like Symptoms: New Year's Resolutions: ControlRob Mains2017-01-23
Flu-Like Symptoms: New Year's Resolutions: Pitchers' Plate DisciplineRob Mains2017-01-19
Fantasy Freestyle: Twenty Questions For 2017BP Fantasy Staff2017-01-07
Rubbing Mud: The Final Sunshine Season for Wrigley Field's BullpensMatthew Trueblood2017-01-06
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Using Statcast Analytics for Fantasy DecisionsTim Finnegan2017-01-04
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Categorical Breakdowns: The Landscape: WHIPGeorge Bissell2016-12-15
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessRetrospective Player Valuation: Mixed League PitchersMike Gianella2016-12-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Categorical Breakdowns: The ERA Over/UnderperformersWilson Karaman2016-11-22
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This article requires BP Premium access2017 Prospects: Philadelphia Phillies Top 10 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2016-11-10
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This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and World Series Game 7 PreviewBryan Grosnick2016-11-02
This article requires BP Premium accessSoft Toss: Scouting Soft-TossersBrendan Gawlowski2016-11-02
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This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: Assessing the Managers' Moves in Game 3Rian Watt2016-10-29
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Retro Transaction Analysis: Tex-Sized BlockbusterBryan Grosnick2016-10-21
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Playoff Prospectus: The Bold and The BeautifulRian Watt2016-10-17
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 25Greg Wellemeyer2016-09-23
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 23Scooter Hotz2016-09-09
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Three Thoughts About 2016J.P. Breen2016-09-07
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: 2016 In-Season Valuations: Third EditionMike Gianella2016-09-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 22Scooter Hotz2016-09-02
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 16Greg Wellemeyer2016-07-22
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 11Greg Wellemeyer2016-06-10
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Draft Rankings: The Updated Top 300Bret Sayre2016-05-27
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Batted-Ball Profile and Team Defensive Context, Part 2Wilson Karaman2016-04-20
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2016 Prospects: Chicago Cubs Top 10 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2016-03-10
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Episode 78: Starting PitchersJared Weiss2016-03-04
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Episode 78: Starting PitchersIan Lefkowitz2016-03-04
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: The Top 175 Starting PitchersBret Sayre2016-03-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Three-Year Projections: Starting Pitchers, Part Two: 51-125J.J. Jansons2016-03-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessEarly ADP Analysis: Starting PitchersGeorge Bissell2016-02-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Tiered Rankings: Starting Pitchers, Part TwoMike Gianella2016-02-26
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Prospectus Feature: Passed Balls and Wild Pitches: Getting It RightJonathan Judge2015-11-09
Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and LCS Previews for WednesdayRian Watt2015-10-21
Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and LCS Previews for WednesdayMatthew Trueblood2015-10-21
BP Wrigleyville: When Hendricks Made the ChangeRian Watt2015-10-20
Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Tuesday LCS PreviewsMike Gianella2015-10-20
Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Tuesday LCS PreviewsChris Mosch2015-10-20
Playoff Prospectus: NLCS Preview: Cubs vs. MetsSahadev Sharma2015-10-17
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: The Cubs Do Simple Better: NLDS Game 2Rian Watt2015-10-11
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and NLDS Game 2 PreviewsJeffrey Paternostro2015-10-10
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This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: NLDS Preview: Cubs vs. CardinalsSahadev Sharma2015-10-09
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2016-04-25 23:00:00 (link to chat)A little early, but who are the Cubs all- star representatives this year?
(BC from Urbandale)
All of them? We're talking three weeks here obviously, so this is a terrible exercise. But I think Rizzo and Arrieta are virtual locks barring injury, and Lester and Fowler've been almost on their level. I wrote about Kyle Hendricks as a good fit for his defense recently, and he makes for a dark horse IMO. Heyward, Russell, Bryant, Zobrist...any and all of those guys can and may up and start destroying everything in their path. It's a really impressive collection of talent. (Wilson Karaman)
2015-10-22 14:00:00 (link to chat)Kyle Hendricks.....cheap rotation filler, or reliable #4 on a winning club?
(Zonk from Chi Town)
The second one. Underrated guy. (Matthew Trueblood)
2015-06-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Kyle Hendricks has had very volatile performance this year. Are you finding anything analytically insightful, with regard to his successes and failures?
(Matt from Chicago)
He's the poster child for "digital scouting is hard". So, when I can answer this question intelligently I will likely shout about it from the highest mountain (in Chicago, so no one will hear me but still). (Harry Pavlidis)
2015-03-19 14:00:00 (link to chat)who is your favorite "from the Rangers" prospect?
(JP from TX)
Kyle Hendricks. He has become a valuable piece for the Cubs some called him an organizational filler at the point of the trade. Hendricks continues to develop he won't blow hitters away but mixes his four pitches well and really invests time in studying the game. In Chicago last year we saw a sample size of 13 starts but the plan is to get him around 25-30 starts. There will be some adjustments made by hitters as they gather more film on Hendricks but he'll be one of the story-lines to watch in the 2015 season. (Rob Willer)
2015-01-28 19:00:00 (link to chat)In a 6x6 (QS and OPS are added but features SVHDs) 12-team league with 40 man rosters (keep 35) would you rather have Patrick Corbin coming back from Tommy John or Kyle Hendricks as the 35th keeper?
(Matt from IL)
I like Corbin better than Hendricks. Corbin is slated to return in June but even so I would much rather roll dice with him moving forward over Hendricks. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-10-23 14:00:00 (link to chat)Out of the copious amounts of #4 and #5 pitchers the Cubs have, who do you expect to start next year? (Felix Doubront, Kyle Hendricks, Wada if he resigns, Jacob Turner, Edwin Jackson, Dallas Beeler, Dan Strailey, Travis Wood)
(Pelecos from Granville)
It's a very interesting conundrum for the Cubs, and the buzz indicates that they will look to sign a front-line SP over the winter. I'm an Edwin apologist, but I think that he has run out of excuses. I think that T.Wood and K. Hendricks will both be a part of the rotation, and Doubront will either pitch his way to the bullpen or earn a spot in the rotation. I would give Beeler more time on the farm, and Turner could be a reliever in the end. Straily is the wild card.

On the jukebox: Thrice, "The Melting Point of Wax" (Doug Thorburn)
2014-09-03 14:00:00 (link to chat)Do you have any thoughts on Kyle Hendricks and Tsuyoshi Wada? Scouts and prognosticators seem to mostly tab them as back-end-of-the-rotation pitchers, which isn't necessarily a bad thing. Based off what you've seen from them this year, do you think the Cubs are considering them as rotation options in the mid-to-long term?
(tomshipley75 from Chicago)
They're both cheap, so I don't see why not. It isn't like they have a bevy of options as the roster is currently constructed. I'm sure they'll sign one, if not two pitchers this offseason. I like Hendricks more, but it's still a back end profile. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-07-24 19:00:00 (link to chat)Is Kyle Hendricks worth owning in the deepest of leagues? What about Shane Greene? Also whose future do you like better in rate leagues with K/9 Steven Matz or Jake Thompson
(John from Missurah)
Oh yes. In deep leagues you need innings and he will give innings as the Cubs have no SPs. Same with Greene. I prefer Thompson. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-07-24 19:00:00 (link to chat)What kind of K% numbers do you expect to see from Kyle Hendricks going forward?
(Thorny from Car RamRod)
low 20's. He's fastball change primarily. I actually like him in deep leagues. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-07-03 19:00:00 (link to chat)What were your thoughts on Dallas Beeler's start on Saturday? Do you think he plays into the Cubs rotation after the deadline, more so than a guy like Kyle Hendricks?
(Matt from DC)
I think he earned another look. I know Bosio loves Hendricks but I definitely think Beeler earned at least one more start at Wrigley with his performance. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-04-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Always enjoy your no bs style Jason. Kyle Hendricks been doing nothing but get guys out for 2 years. His velocity gonna play against the big kids? And call me crazy, to me Soler could be the best of the bunch in 5 years. Plate discipline, bat speed and 65 power is not a bad combo, no?
(racehorse1 from siesta key)
Hendricks can pitch and keep hitters off-balance with his stuff, but I don't see a lot of sustainable success at the major league level. As for Soler, he's my least favorite of the CUbs thumpers. He has 80 grade raw power, but I dislike his approach and his ability (inability) to make adjustments could end up fucking him against better arms. I wouldn't be surprised if he is the one that fails to reach his potential. (Jason Parks)
2014-03-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)Despite having guys like CJ Edwards, Kyle Hendricks, and others, conventional wisdom is that the Cubs have a dearth of arms (in comparison to bats) in their farm system. Any pitching prospects you feel especially good about, or do you agree with that assessment?
(HoosierCub from Bloomington)
They have more bats than arms, but Edwards, Johnson, and Blackburn are a nice foundation, and I expect the Cubs to go heavy on arms in the 2014 draft. (Jason Parks on the Completed Prospect Rankings)
2014-02-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Seems like only yesterday that Justin Grimm was projected to be a future mid-rotation starter. Now he gets less mention on their rotation depth discussions than Kyle Hendricks. What do you know about the Cubs' plans for Grimm, and do you think he could be a force as a late-inning reliever instead? Who is the next SP to make Chicago's rotation in case of injury?
(Oliver from Boston)
The mid-rotation starter thing was a ceiling. It didn't mean it was going to happen. He's depth for the Cubs. He probably won't make their rotation this season, but he'll probably be up at some point. He's in their plans as one of the 8-9 starters teams lineup that they know they'll need over the course of a long season. If not, he'll settle in as a middle reliever. (Jeff Moore)
2014-01-17 10:00:00 (link to chat)Will Kyle Hendricks be a GUY for the Cubs in the future?
(Tim from Wrigleyville)
Not really. He will contribute, which is a developmental win. But he's not a top ten talent in their system and his long term future is more of a back-end type at best. (Jason Parks)
2014-01-17 10:00:00 (link to chat)Hey sexy, thanks for doing these chats that get me #wet. My question is about Soler. There have been some people question his #want and aren't very high on him overall. What do you think about him? Oh and do you like Kyle Hendricks?
(LanceArmstrongsMissingTestacle from France)
Elite raw power, but the utility is unlikely to play that high. Soler struggles with the adjustment game, both during at-bats and during games. Not that he's an easy out; he's not. But he has more tools than skills, and pitchers with a plan of attack can exploit his weaknesses. His slow to adjust approach makes the exploitation that much easier, as the recipe will continue to be effective. I don't question his #want as much as I question his feel for the game. (Jason Parks)
2014-01-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Justin Grimm hasn't been in the discussion much as a SP in Chicago-know he was highly rated going into last season. Have people overreacted to his rough audition in TEX last yr? Thoughts on Kyle Hendricks?
(Matt from Chicago)
I think they have. It wasn't that long ago that Grimm was a potential #3 starter. I think he has retained that upside, but is less likely to reach it. That said he can be a serviceable backend starter and I think he sees plenty of time in Chicago these next two seasons. Hendricks is more of a 5/6 guy. Nice guy to have in the minors. (Craig Goldstein)
2013-11-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you see Kyle Hendricks surprising to the upside or should we be happy if he's a league-average #5?
(Matt from Chicago)
I'd be happy if he made any kind of impact in the majors, at the back of a rotation. Maybe there's a teeny weeny glimmer of a #3 in him, but I doubt it. (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-07-29 11:00:00 (link to chat)What are your thoughts on Kyle Hendricks? What is his ceiling and floor?
(Cubbyboy13 from Las Vegas)
I think he has number 5 starter ceiling and his floor is an up and down guy who can not stick on a big league roster do to lack of stuff. (Zach Mortimer)
2013-08-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)Have you done any analysis on Kyle Hendricks? He appears to be that rare breed of finesse righty who has a decent K rate. What gives
(Matt from Chicago)
the word on Kyle is plus command and plus pitchability. Smart kid, too. (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-08-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)This subject has probably been discussed in a previous chat, but of the young pitchers you've seen this year, who would you say is doing the most (whether it be with location, deception, sequencing, something inexplicable) with the least "stuff"?
(Lucas Apostoleris from getting a haircut)
Kyle Hendricks, Cubs minor leaguer. (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-06-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Are you surprised at Kyle Hendricks success this season at AA for Tennessee (Cubs) and should he be considered one of the Cubs top pitching prospects?
(Mike from Illinois)
The Cubs are obviously very bat-heavy in their system, and many of the top arms are either hurt (Vizcaino) or at the lower levels (Pierce Johnson in Low-A, Dillon Maples in Low-A, Duane Underwood in extended spring). So by default Hendricks is one of their better arms at the upper levels.

There's nothing too sexy about Hendricks, but he can really pitch, so I'm not surprised he's having success this year. I saw Hendricks a couple times last year in Myrtle Beach. Haven't gotten a report on him last year but here's what I saw – located and mixed deep arsenal very well. Not a lot of life on anything but sat 87-91-ish with his fastball but showed the ability to pop 92-93 and the occasional 94 when needed. Very deceptive changeup that also didn't have a lot of movement. He also had a cut-slider and big get-me-over curveball. The stuff is very fringe and it's probably a no. 5 starter at best, but he can locate and mix, so that gives him a shot. (Jason Cole)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2016, Kyle Hendricks threw 7,556 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2014 and 2017, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season, the MLB Postseason and Spring Training. In 2017, he relied primarily on his Sinker (87mph), Fourseam Fastball (88mph) and Change (80mph), also mixing in a Curve (73mph).