Biographical

Portrait of Severino Gonzalez

Severino Gonzalez P  

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Phillies Player Cards | Phillies Team Audit | Phillies Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 23)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
16.3 4.75 1.40 11 1 1 0 0.0
Birth Date9-28-1992
Height6' 2"
Weight155 lbs
Age23 years, 8 months, 27 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2012
2013
2014
0.02015
0.12016
+proj
DRA-Based WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA. (For previous card version with FAIR_RA, click here.)
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA WARP
2015 PHI MLB 7 7 30.7 44 7 28 5 .252 97 12.9 2.1 1.5 8.2 38% .394 .343 1.66 4.53 7.92 100 4.95 0.0
2016 PHI MLB 4 0 6.3 4 1 8 1 .257 5.7 1.4 1.4 11.4 36% .231 .202 0.79 3.14 1.42 98 4.07 0.1
CareerMLB11737.0488366.2538111.71.91.58.838%.375.3231.514.296.811004.800.1

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA
2011 VHI Rk 17 0 42.7 36 3 29 0 .268 100 7.6 0.6 0.0 6.1 48% .273 .212 0.91 2.25 2.11
2012 VPH Rk 14 14 92.7 59 6 86 4 .265 95 5.7 0.6 0.4 8.4 54% .227 .181 0.70 2.25 1.65
2013 LWD A 4 4 21.3 10 3 31 1 .265 87 4.2 1.3 0.4 13.1 47% .214 .158 0.61 1.75 1.69
2013 CLR A+ 20 9 75.7 66 19 82 4 .263 100 7.9 2.3 0.5 9.8 32% .318 .225 1.12 2.59 2.02
2013 REA AA 1 1 6.7 8 0 6 0 .272 96 10.8 0.0 0.0 8.1 35% .400 .238 1.20 1.52 2.70
2014 REA AA 27 27 158.7 169 34 115 23 .260 104 9.6 1.9 1.3 6.5 38% .296 .268 1.28 4.60 4.59
2015 PHI MLB 7 7 30.7 44 7 28 5 .252 97 12.9 2.1 1.5 8.2 38% .394 .343 1.66 4.53 7.92
2015 LEH AAA 16 16 88.0 106 18 45 8 .257 95 10.8 1.8 0.8 4.6 36% .321 .283 1.41 4.10 5.11
2016 PHI MLB 4 0 6.3 4 1 8 1 .257 5.7 1.4 1.4 11.4 36% .231 .202 0.79 3.14 1.42
2016 REA AA 6 0 10.7 9 2 9 0 .252 7.6 1.7 0.0 7.6 39% .273 .241 1.03 2.16 1.69
2016 LEH AAA 13 1 33.3 35 6 25 3 .250 90 9.4 1.6 0.8 6.8 47% .299 .248 1.23 3.55 3.51

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2015 553 0.5118 0.4774 0.7727 0.6537 0.2926 0.7892 0.7342 0.2273
2016 88 0.4773 0.5568 0.6939 0.7857 0.3478 0.6970 0.6875 0.3061
Career6410.50710.48830.76190.67180.30020.77650.72780.2381

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2016 PHI $
2015 PHI $

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 30 d1 year (2016)

Details
  • 1 year (2016). Re-signed by Philadelphia 3/16.
  • 1 year (2015). Contract selected by Philadelphia 4/28/15.
  • Signed by Philadelphia 4/27/11 as an amateur free agent from Panama.

2016 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/15/2015 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 7.8 7.7 0 23 23 133.8 117 28 94 15 .272 1.08 3.44 3.74 23.1 2.5
80o 7.2 7.8 0 22 22 126.9 118 29 90 15 .285 1.15 3.80 4.13 16.4 1.8
70o 6.7 7.8 0 21 21 122.1 118 29 86 16 .294 1.20 4.06 4.42 12.0 1.3
60o 6.3 7.8 0 21 21 118.0 119 29 83 16 .302 1.25 4.29 4.66 8.6 0.9
50o 6 7.8 0 20 20 114.2 119 29 81 16 .309 1.29 4.51 4.9 5.5 0.6
40o 5.6 7.8 0 19 19 110.5 119 29 78 16 .317 1.34 4.72 5.13 2.7 0.3
30o 5.3 7.8 0 19 19 106.6 119 29 76 16 .325 1.39 4.96 5.39 -0.1 -0.0
20o 4.9 7.7 0 18 18 102.1 119 29 72 16 .334 1.44 5.24 5.69 -3.0 -0.3
10o 4.3 7.7 0 17 17 96.0 118 29 68 16 .347 1.53 5.63 6.12 -6.6 -0.7
Weighted Mean67.802020114.0118298115.3081.284.484.875.80.6

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 6/24/2016 09:25 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 0.8 1 0 8 2 30.0 28 7 21 4 .268 1.17 3.73 3.76 1.9 0.2
80o 0.8 1 0 8 2 25.1 25 6 18 3 .281 1.25 4.08 4.12 1.3 0.1
70o 0.8 1.1 0 8 2 21.7 23 6 15 3 .290 1.30 4.32 4.39 0.8 0.1
60o 0.8 1.1 0 8 2 18.9 21 5 13 3 .298 1.35 4.55 4.61 0.4 0.0
50o 0.7 1.1 0 8 2 16.3 18 4 11 2 .305 1.40 4.75 4.83 0.0 0.0
40o 0.7 1.2 0 8 2 13.8 16 4 10 2 .313 1.45 4.96 5.05 -0.4 -0.0
30o 0.7 1.2 0 8 2 11.1 13 3 8 2 .321 1.51 5.19 5.29 -0.8 -0.1
20o 0.7 1.2 0 8 2 8.1 10 2 6 1 .330 1.57 5.45 5.57 -1.3 -0.1
10o 0.7 1.3 0 8 2 4.0 5 1 3 1 .343 1.67 5.84 5.96 -2.0 -0.2
Weighted Mean0.71.108215.9184112.3041.394.734.810.10.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
5% 12% 10% 16% 23%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201724790232313414435971935.3161.344.575.069.72.46.51.30.3
201825780212112413335891735.3191.364.575.069.72.56.51.20.3
201926670181810911227801435.3141.284.374.839.32.26.61.20.6
202027670191911011628801535.3141.314.414.889.52.36.51.20.5
202128660171710310926741435.3151.314.444.919.52.36.51.20.4
202229660171710110725731435.3161.314.444.919.62.26.51.30.4
2023305601616929824671335.3161.324.484.969.62.36.51.30.3
2024315501414858921621235.3141.304.444.919.52.26.61.30.4
2025324501313798320571135.3141.304.474.949.42.36.51.20.3

Long-Term Forecast Based on RoS PECOTA (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
2017244404410939521721435.3041.244.464.939.22.06.91.30.2
2018255404410949623731335.3051.264.414.889.22.27.01.20.2
2019265404410948921761335.2961.174.174.618.62.07.31.20.5
2020275404510969422781335.3041.214.094.538.82.17.31.20.6
2021287616615141137321182035.3021.204.194.648.72.07.51.30.7
202229541491110510623861335.3131.233.954.379.12.07.41.10.8
2023305404510969823791535.3111.264.404.879.22.27.41.40.2
202431000205814135.4751.936.166.8115.41.97.71.9-0.1

Upside By Year

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
0.91.95.828.93.930.3

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
20150.91.95.828.93.930.3

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 91)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 97 Bryan Augenstein 2010 0.00 DNP
2 96 Trevor Bell 2010 5.16
3 93 Liam Hendriks 2012 6.43
4 92 Jeremy Sowers 2006 3.67
5 92 Ben Snyder 2009 0.00 DNP
6 92 Ty Blach 2014 0.00 DNP
7 92 Anthony Bass 2011 1.68
8 92 Dallas Keuchel 2011 0.00 DNP
9 92 Todd Redmond 2008 0.00 DNP
10 92 Dillon Gee 2009 0.00 DNP
11 92 Abe Alvarez 2006 12.00
12 92 Kyle Hendricks 2013 0.00 DNP
13 92 Manny Ayala 2008 0.00 DNP
14 91 Casey Kelly 2013 0.00 DNP
15 91 Brady Rodgers 2014 0.00 DNP
16 91 Keith Couch 2013 0.00 DNP
17 91 Edgar Osuna 2011 0.00 DNP
18 91 C.J. Riefenhauser 2013 0.00 DNP
19 91 Edwin Escobar 2015 0.00 DNP
20 91 Kyle Gibson 2011 0.00 DNP
21 91 P.J. Walters 2008 0.00 DNP
22 91 Jon Niese 2010 5.03
23 91 Jameson Taillon 2015 0.00 DNP
24 91 Matt Packer 2011 0.00 DNP
25 91 Cory Mazzoni 2013 0.00 DNP
26 91 J.R. Graham 2013 0.00 DNP
27 91 Dylan Floro 2014 0.00 DNP
28 91 Adam Warren 2011 0.00 DNP
29 91 Ryan Weber 2014 0.00 DNP
30 91 Heath Rollins 2008 0.00 DNP
31 91 Tom Gorzelanny 2006 4.23
32 90 Alex Cobb 2011 3.59
33 90 Sean Gilmartin 2013 0.00 DNP
34 90 Zach Lee 2015 13.50
35 90 Joe Wieland 2013 0.00 DNP
36 90 Lindsey Caughel 2014 0.00 DNP
37 90 Deryk Hooker 2012 0.00 DNP
38 90 D.J. Baxendale 2014 0.00 DNP
39 90 Charles Brewer 2011 0.00 DNP
40 90 Cody Anderson 2014 0.00 DNP
41 90 Tyler Herron 2010 0.00 DNP
42 90 Kyle Kaminska 2012 0.00 DNP
43 90 James Simmons 2010 0.00 DNP
44 90 Mike Wright 2013 0.00 DNP
45 90 Wes Roemer 2010 0.00 DNP
46 90 Anthony Fernandez 2013 0.00 DNP
47 90 Simon Castro 2011 0.00 DNP
48 90 Ryan Webb 2009 4.91
49 90 Zach McAllister 2011 8.15
50 90 David Holmberg 2015 7.62
51 90 Steve Garrison 2010 0.00 DNP
52 90 John Ely 2009 0.00 DNP
53 90 Chad Rogers 2013 0.00 DNP
54 90 Marty Popham 2011 0.00 DNP
55 90 Gregory Peavey 2012 0.00 DNP
56 90 Jaron Long 2015 0.00 DNP
57 89 Adam Wilk 2011 6.75
58 89 Andrew Heaney 2014 5.83
59 89 Kevin Slowey 2007 5.26
60 89 Manuel Rivera 2013 0.00 DNP
61 89 Brandon Hynick 2008 0.00 DNP
62 89 A.J. Cole 2015 10.61
63 89 Ryan Merritt 2015 0.00 DNP
64 89 Paolo Espino 2010 0.00 DNP
65 89 Dallas Beeler 2012 0.00 DNP
66 89 Blair Walters 2013 0.00 DNP
67 89 Justin Germano 2006 5.40
68 89 Carlos Quevedo 2013 0.00 DNP
69 89 Mark Cohoon 2011 0.00 DNP
70 89 Jeanmar Gomez 2011 4.78
71 89 Kyle Lobstein 2013 0.00 DNP
72 89 Blake Wood 2009 0.00 DNP
73 89 Nick Maronde 2013 10.12
74 89 Wilfredo Boscan 2013 0.00 DNP
75 89 Andres Santiago 2013 0.00 DNP
76 89 Jeff Manship 2008 0.00 DNP
77 89 Kyle McPherson 2011 0.00 DNP
78 89 Jeffry Antigua 2013 0.00 DNP
79 89 Trent Howard 2013 0.00 DNP
80 89 Lance Broadway 2007 1.74
81 89 Dylan Owen 2010 0.00 DNP
82 89 John Lamb 2014 0.00 DNP
83 89 Elih Villanueva 2010 0.00 DNP
84 89 Garrett Olson 2007 7.79
85 89 Steven Hensley 2010 0.00 DNP
86 89 Ian Krol 2014 6.34
87 89 Brandon Workman 2012 0.00 DNP
88 89 Graham Stoneburner 2011 0.00 DNP
89 89 Elisaul Pimentel 2012 0.00 DNP
90 89 Mike Rayl 2012 0.00 DNP
91 88 Daniel Renken 2013 0.00 DNP
92 88 Logan Verrett 2013 0.00 DNP
93 88 Michael Cisco 2010 0.00 DNP
94 88 Jeff Locke 2011 6.48
95 88 Jose Alvarez 2012 0.00 DNP
96 88 Boone Whiting 2013 0.00 DNP
97 88 Kendal Volz 2011 0.00 DNP
98 88 Deck McGuire 2012 0.00 DNP
99 88 Matthew Montgomery 2011 0.00 DNP
100 88 Yohan Almonte 2013 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .426 .493 .639 .414
11 vs R (Multi) .273 .282 .424 .272
18 Split (Multi) .154 .211 .215 .143
19 LgAvg (Multi) .009 .023 .019 .016
30 vs L (2015) .426 .493 .639 .414
31 vs R (2015) .273 .282 .424 .272
38 Split (2015) .154 .211 .215 .143
39 LgAvg (2015) .009 .024 .022 .017

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2016 Severino Gonzalez seems like just a lanky, soft-tossing righty with up-and-down potential on his best days, but he also saw a massive uptick in his strikeout rate in the majors—of all places—while also seeing just about anything in the zone smacked around the field.
2015 Gonzalez's first year stateside turned some heads, but he came back to earth just as quickly as 23 of his pitches left it. He is more command-and-control than pure stuff, but his fastball was playing up in the mid-90s out of the bullpen in 2013. That might be his eventual landing spot, as a pitcher who can spot a fastball at that enhanced velocity will almost always find a late-inning, high-leverage role. But there's still room to hope for more, considering he survived Double-A despite being four years younger than the average Eastern League pitcher. Let this be the 150th time you'll read this about a young pitcher mentioned in this book: He'll need to keep developing his changeup to make it as a starter.
2014 For every $500,000 international signee who does nothing, there's a $14,000 Severino Gonzalez who adds five ticks to his fastball, dominates in his stateside debut and earns himself a big dot on the prospect map.

BP Articles

Severino Gonzalez is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep League Report: Week 12Scooter Hotz2016-06-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessPlaying Time Battles: National League EastGreg Wellemeyer2016-03-23
This article requires BP Premium accessPitching Backward: A Refresher on ChangeupsJeff Long2016-01-22
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Down Goes Frasor! Down Goes Frasor!R.J. Anderson2015-07-10
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Your Meats and the Royals' Pitching Go Up in FlamesDaniel Rathman2015-05-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week EightWilson Karaman2015-05-22
Fantasy Rounders: Two Sides of the SchwartzDoug Thorburn2015-04-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Team Preview: Philadelphia PhilliesMike Gianella2014-12-08
Series Notes: Double-A Reading (Phillies) vs. Richmond (Giants)Jason Parks2014-06-12
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomBP Prospect Staff2014-03-03
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomJason Parks2014-03-03
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Philadelphia Phillies Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2014-02-14


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2015-06-02 18:00:00 (link to chat)Any advice on how to successfully tank in dynasty without pissing anyone off? I think I've got the second part down, considering once I decided to rebuild four weeks ago I've gone undefeated thanks to streaming Alex Colome, Despaigne, Severino Gonzalez, Kelly, and others with the expectation that they would suck and have them end up doing great.
(Patrick from NJ)
I am terrible at tanking without pissing people off. In terms of your stream options I'd have to see the opponents but Colome and Despaigne aren't terrible stream options for winning so maybe, stream worse? (Mauricio Rubio)
2013-07-29 11:00:00 (link to chat)Speaking of Severino, have you seen or heard anything regarding Phillies' pitcher Severino Gonzalez? He's at Clearwater.
(smitty99 from Federal Way WA)
I saw him oppose Tyler Glasnow, Severino Gonzalez is an interesting type pitcher with a very small frame. The cutter he throws is intriguing, but overall it was more solid minor league pitcher than major prospect. (Zach Mortimer)
2013-07-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on Tocci from you brief stop in Lakewood? Also how does Severino Gonzalez look?
(Matt from Madison)
I liked Tocci. Physically underdeveloped and the lack of strength limits him at the plate. But I saw an approach to hitting, and a good swing. Loved the way he looked in CF; moved well and showed a strong arm. Just playing at the full-season level at his age is a monster accomplishment and speaks to his makeup. I was impressed. (Jason Parks)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Severino Gonzalez has thrown 652 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2015 and 2016, all of them occuring in the MLB Regular Season. In 2016, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (94mph), also mixing in a Curve (80mph), Slider (82mph), Change (86mph) and Sinker (93mph).