Biographical

Portrait of Noel Arguelles

Noel Arguelles PRoyals

Royals Player Cards | Royals Team Audit | Royals Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 26)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
31.7 5.84 1.76 15 1 2 0 -0.5
Birth Date1-12-1990
Height6' 4"
Weight220 lbs
Age26 years, 8 months, 13 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
2012
2013
2014
2015
-0.52016
+proj
DRA-Based WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA WARP

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA
2011 WIL A+ 21 21 104.0 4 5 0 93 24 64 6 .249 93 8.0 2.1 0.5 5.5 37% .277 .235 1.12 3.59 3.20
2012 NWA AA 25 25 119.3 4 14 0 146 66 59 12 .264 99 11.0 5.0 0.9 4.4 44% .324 .319 1.78 5.31 6.41
2013 NWA AA 25 11 71.3 1 8 0 73 53 44 6 .256 105 9.2 6.7 0.8 5.6 46% .291 .291 1.77 5.23 5.93
2013 IDA Rk 1 0 2.7 0 1 0 3 1 1 1 .301 114 10.1 3.4 3.4 3.4 64% .200 .299 1.50 9.34 6.75
2013 ROY Rk 2 2 3.0 0 0 0 1 2 5 0 .273 105 3.0 6.0 0.0 15.0 25% .250 .160 1.00 2.67 0.00
2014 NWA AA 42 0 61.7 1 2 1 70 44 44 9 .263 98 10.2 6.4 1.3 6.4 55% .311 .330 1.85 5.93 7.15

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2013-09-03 2013-09-30 60-DL 27 25 - Groin Strain - -
2010-06-04 - Minors - - Left Shoulder Surgery Labrum -
2010-05-17 - Minors - - - Not Disclosed - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 KCA $1,380,000
2013 KCA $1,380,000
2012 KCA $1,380,000
2011 KCA $1,380,000
2010 KCA $1,380,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
5 yrPrevious$6,900,000
5 yrTotal$6,900,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 0 d1 year (2015)

Details
  • 1 year (2015). Re-signed by Kansas City 11/14 (minor-league contract).
  • 5 years/$6.9M (2010-14). Signed Major League contract with Kansas City as an amateur free agent from Cuba 1/7/10. DFA by Kansas City 11/20/13. Sent outright to Triple-A 11/27/13.

2016 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/15/2015 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 2.1 2.8 0.4 17 7 47.6 46 22 23 5 .260 1.44 5.01 5.45 -0.7 -0.1
80o 1.8 2.6 0.3 15 6 42.0 44 21 20 5 .274 1.54 5.48 5.95 -2.6 -0.3
70o 1.5 2.4 0.3 14 6 38.0 42 20 18 5 .284 1.62 5.82 6.33 -3.7 -0.4
60o 1.3 2.3 0.3 13 5 34.7 40 19 17 5 .293 1.69 6.12 6.65 -4.4 -0.5
50o 1.2 2.2 0.2 12 5 31.7 38 18 15 4 .301 1.76 6.41 6.96 -4.9 -0.5
40o 1 2 0.2 11 4 28.8 35 17 14 4 .309 1.83 6.70 7.28 -5.3 -0.6
30o 0.8 1.9 0.2 9 4 25.7 33 16 12 4 .317 1.91 7.02 7.63 -5.5 -0.6
20o 0.7 1.7 0.1 8 3 22.3 30 15 11 3 .328 2.00 7.40 8.04 -5.5 -0.6
10o 0.5 1.4 0.1 6 3 17.7 25 12 9 3 .342 2.13 7.94 8.63 -5.2 -0.6
Weighted Mean1.12.10.211531.03618154.2991.756.376.92-4.7-0.5

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 9/25/2016 11:52 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 2 2.8 0.4 17 7 47.6 46 22 23 5 .259 1.44 4.66 4.95 -1.4 -0.1
80o 1.7 2.6 0.4 15 6 42.0 44 21 20 5 .273 1.54 5.06 5.4 -3.2 -0.4
70o 1.5 2.4 0.3 14 6 38.0 42 20 18 5 .283 1.62 5.36 5.72 -4.2 -0.5
60o 1.3 2.3 0.3 13 5 34.7 40 19 16 5 .292 1.69 5.62 6.01 -4.9 -0.5
50o 1.2 2.2 0.2 12 5 31.7 38 18 15 4 .300 1.76 5.86 6.28 -5.4 -0.6
40o 1 2 0.2 11 4 28.8 35 17 14 4 .308 1.83 6.11 6.56 -5.8 -0.6
30o 0.9 1.9 0.2 9 4 25.7 33 16 12 4 .316 1.91 6.39 6.86 -6.0 -0.7
20o 0.7 1.7 0.2 8 3 22.3 30 15 11 3 .327 2.00 6.71 7.22 -6.1 -0.7
10o 0.5 1.4 0.1 6 3 17.7 25 12 8 3 .341 2.14 7.18 7.73 -5.8 -0.6
Weighted Mean1.12.10.211531.03618154.2981.755.836.25-5.2-0.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
7% 7% 3% 9% 12%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201727451361210713265591746.3101.845.986.4311.15.54.91.4-1.5
201828451361210913565591846.3111.845.986.4311.25.44.91.5-1.6
201929451351210412662571746.3061.815.946.3910.95.44.91.5-1.5
20203034131119311455521546.3091.825.966.4111.15.35.11.5-1.3
20213134130109010952501546.3071.785.876.3110.95.25.01.5-1.2
20223234130108910852491446.3071.795.876.3110.95.24.91.4-1.2
20233334128108510349471446.3071.805.866.3010.95.25.01.5-1.1
202434341279809846441346.3071.795.886.3211.05.24.91.5-1.1
202535341259769243421246.3071.785.866.3010.95.15.01.4-1.0

Long-Term Forecast Based on RoS PECOTA (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20172745133119912058541446.3091.805.646.0710.95.34.91.3-1.1
201828451371311113765611546.3161.825.575.9911.15.34.91.2-1.1
201929451351210511858631446.3001.685.295.6910.15.05.41.2-0.7
20203023020759723639946.3211.835.616.0311.05.55.91.4-0.6
20213133123868783542846.3091.675.085.4610.44.75.61.1-0.3
202232551381311512861731346.3041.654.935.3010.04.85.71.0-0.4
202333451361210712557681146.3171.704.815.1710.54.85.70.9-0.2

Upside By Year

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
out of baseballout of baseball2.9out of baseballout of baseballout of baseball2.9

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
2015out of baseballout of baseball2.9out of baseballout of baseballout of baseball2.9

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 87)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 93 Justin Schumer 2015 0.00 DNP
2 92 Jim Bullard 2006 0.00 DNP
3 92 Tyler Gagnon 2015 0.00 DNP
4 92 Cody White 2011 0.00 DNP
5 91 Jeff Fulchino 2006 0.00
6 91 Kyle Hallock 2015 0.00 DNP
7 91 Mike Jones 2009 0.00 DNP
8 91 Gerrit Simpson 2006 0.00 DNP
9 91 Grant Duff 2009 0.00 DNP
10 90 Greg Atencio 2008 0.00 DNP
11 89 Josh Muecke 2008 0.00 DNP
12 89 Javier Ortiz 2006 0.00 DNP
13 89 Yeiper Castillo 2015 0.00 DNP
14 89 Justin Hampson 2006 7.50
15 89 Jonathan Asahina 2007 0.00 DNP
16 88 Brian Stokes 2006 4.88
17 88 Matt Coenen 2006 0.00 DNP
18 88 Benjamin Fritz 2007 0.00 DNP
19 88 Chris Kinsey 2009 0.00 DNP
20 88 Jared Wells 2008 8.64
21 88 Andrew Hess 2011 0.00 DNP
22 88 Cody Scarpetta 2015 0.00 DNP
23 87 Adam Harben 2010 0.00 DNP
24 87 Jim Abbott 2006 0.00 DNP
25 87 Brian Dupra 2015 0.00 DNP
26 87 Ryan Fraser 2015 0.00 DNP
27 87 Max Perlman 2014 0.00 DNP
28 87 Oscar Alvarez 2007 0.00 DNP
29 87 Eric Stolp 2011 0.00 DNP
30 87 Brad Salmon 2006 0.00 DNP
31 87 Braulio Lara 2015 0.00 DNP
32 87 Ryne Lawson 2011 0.00 DNP
33 87 Lee Gwaltney 2006 0.00 DNP
34 87 Justin Wechsler 2006 0.00 DNP
35 87 Cameron Hobson 2015 0.00 DNP
36 87 Steven Sharpe 2008 0.00 DNP
37 86 Matt Ford 2007 0.00 DNP
38 86 Craig Anderson 2007 0.00 DNP
39 86 Tim Bittner 2006 0.00 DNP
40 86 Paulino Reynoso 2007 0.00 DNP
41 86 Cesar Carrillo 2010 0.00 DNP
42 86 Jeff Ridgway 2007 189.00
43 86 Tom Vessella 2012 0.00 DNP
44 86 Eric Haberer 2009 0.00 DNP
45 86 B.J. LaMura 2007 0.00 DNP
46 86 Jerome Gamble 2006 0.00 DNP
47 86 Phil Stockman 2006 2.25
48 85 Jason Cromer 2007 0.00 DNP
49 85 Perci Garner 2015 0.00 DNP
50 85 Matthew Henrie 2006 0.00 DNP
51 85 Luis Vasquez 2012 0.00 DNP
52 85 Duke Welker 2012 0.00 DNP
53 85 Derell McCall 2008 0.00 DNP
54 85 Justin Collop 2014 0.00 DNP
55 85 Jeff Allison 2011 0.00 DNP
56 85 Ismael Ramirez 2007 0.00 DNP
57 85 Matt Swynenberg 2015 0.00 DNP
58 85 Casey Hudspeth 2011 0.00 DNP
59 85 Charlie Zink 2006 0.00 DNP
60 85 Mario Alvarez 2010 0.00 DNP
61 85 Jon Michael Redding 2014 0.00 DNP
62 85 Jino Gonzalez 2009 0.00 DNP
63 85 Steven Calicutt 2010 0.00 DNP
64 85 Rich Rundles 2007 0.00 DNP
65 85 Levi Maxwell 2011 0.00 DNP
66 85 Luke Lockwood 2008 0.00 DNP
67 85 Matt Lindstrom 2006 0.00 DNP
68 85 Steven Gruver 2015 0.00 DNP
69 85 Doug Slaten 2006 0.00
70 84 Josh Karp 2006 0.00 DNP
71 84 Tom Farmer 2006 0.00 DNP
72 84 Neal Musser 2007 4.74
73 84 Nick McCully 2015 0.00 DNP
74 84 Dusty Hughes 2008 0.00 DNP
75 84 Fabian Williamson 2015 0.00 DNP
76 84 Russ Rohlicek 2006 0.00 DNP
77 84 Brian Holliday 2010 0.00 DNP
78 84 Josh Sullivan 2011 0.00 DNP
79 84 Kenneth Durst 2012 0.00 DNP
80 84 Mark McLemore 2007 4.37
81 84 Kristian Bell 2010 0.00 DNP
82 84 Ben Alsup 2015 0.00 DNP
83 84 Aaron Jensen 2010 0.00 DNP
84 84 Justin Mallett 2008 0.00 DNP
85 84 Chad Bell 2015 0.00 DNP
86 84 Jesse Hernandez 2015 0.00 DNP
87 84 Carlos Vasquez 2009 0.00 DNP
88 84 James Leverton 2012 0.00 DNP
89 84 Jarrett Casey 2014 0.00 DNP
90 84 Jeremy Haynes 2012 0.00 DNP
91 84 Kyle Crist 2009 0.00 DNP
92 83 Matthew Tracy 2015 13.50
93 83 Bryce Morrow 2014 0.00 DNP
94 83 Orangel Arenas 2015 0.00 DNP
95 83 Natividad Dilone 2009 0.00 DNP
96 83 Joseph Van Meter 2015 0.00 DNP
97 83 Kyle Hurst 2012 0.00 DNP
98 83 Seung Song 2006 0.00 DNP
99 83 Darren Sack 2009 0.00 DNP
100 83 Ryan Bradley 2015 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Four years into the Royals' $7 million international outlay, Arguelles has given the club a grand total of 190 innings above A-ball. The former Cuban star battled shoulder injury, command issues and a decline in velocity. Bonus aside, no pitcher can overcome that trifecta. Last summer, his opponents' OBP of .384 was the highest in the Texas League and he walked one more per nine than his closest competition. The Royals cut his season short by moving him to the 60-day DL with shoulder fatigue. In the final season of his five-year deal, Arguelles' time in the organization is rapidly approaching the end.
2013 After signing with the Royals, Arguelles missed all of 2010 due to surgery to repair a torn labrum. The team brought him back to action slowly in 2011. Last year, the shoulder appeared sound and he made a full complement of starts. Sadly, quantity did not equal quality as he struggled through most of his trips to the mound. A lefty who lacks a power fastball and relies on location, his K/BB ratio was turned upside down. In 15 of his 25 Double-A starts he struck out two or fewer batters. His velocity, which dropped to the mid-80s following his surgery, rebounded to the lower 90s. Royals scouts remain optimistic that he’ll learn to trust his shoulder and harness his control. They invested a bunch of cash in the Cuban defector. They’ll remain patient.
2012 The timetable shifted on the Cuban bonus baby when he was shut down for the entire 2010 season with shoulder concerns. He underwent surgery to repair a torn labrum in August of 2010 and the Royals rightly brought him along slowly in 2011, limiting him to 21 starts and just over 100 innings for Wilmington. Arguelles has an average fastball and a solid changeup, but lacks a true out pitch. He relies on command more than power and projects as a back of the rotation starter or reliever.
2011 Cuban defector Noel Arguelles has yet to throw a pitch in anger since signing with the Royals in December 2009 due to shoulder problems, but retains a spot on the 40-man.

BP Articles

Noel Arguelles is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
BP Unfiltered: The Special Status of the Last Man on a Prospect ListSam Miller2015-02-19
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: AFL and Winter League Recap for Games of November 7Jeff Moore2013-11-08
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: AFL Recap for Games of November 5Jeff Moore2013-11-06
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: AFL Recap for Games of October 15Jeff Moore2013-10-16
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 4, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-04
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of May 10-12Zach Mortimer2013-05-13
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Royals Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2011-11-21
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of July 26Kevin Goldstein2011-07-27


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