Biographical

Portrait of Roberto Osuna

Roberto Osuna PBlue Jays

Blue Jays Player Cards | Blue Jays Team Audit | Blue Jays Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 19)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
33.7 5.28 1.57 28 2 3 0 -0.1
Birth Date2-7-1995
Height6' 2"
Weight230 lbs
Age19 years, 8 months, 14 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
-0.12014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2012 VAN A- 5 5 19.7 4.24 114 .237 .244 .325 .349 .253 .265 109 4.0 0.4 4.0 0.4
2012 BLU Rk 7 4 24.0 4.66 114 .222 .255 .329 .386 .260 .274 105 5.2 0.5 5.2 0.5
2013 LNS A 10 10 42.3 5.17 95 .251 .257 .328 .383 .262 .311 108 5.0 0.5 5.0 0.5
2014 DUN A+ 7 7 22.0 5.55 94 .289 .254 .325 .371 .254 .446 113 2.1 0.2 2.1 0.2
2014 BLJ Rk 1 1 1.0 2.74 149 .004 .260 .346 .377 .271 .000 110 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2012 BLU Rk 1 0 0 7 4 24.0 18 6 24 1 49% .274 6.8 2.2 0.4 9.0 1.00 1.50 5.2 0.5
2012 VAN A- 1 0 0 5 5 19.7 14 9 25 1 44% .265 6.4 4.1 0.5 11.4 1.17 3.20 4.0 0.4
2013 LNS A 3 5 0 10 10 42.3 39 11 51 6 51% .311 8.3 2.3 1.3 10.8 1.18 5.53 5.0 0.5
2014 BLJ Rk 0 0 0 1 1 1.0 0 0 2 0 100% .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 0.00 0.00 0.5 0.1
2014 DUN A+ 0 2 0 7 7 22.0 28 9 30 3 37% .446 11.5 3.7 1.2 12.3 1.68 6.55 2.1 0.2

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-03-31 - Minors - - Right Elbow Recovery From Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2013-07-30 -
2013-05-01 - Minors - - Right Elbow Sprain UCL Ligament - -
2013-05-01 2013-09-05 Minors 127 0 Right Elbow Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2013-07-30 -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 3.1 3.3 0.1 13 12 54.8 44 22 46 6 .249 1.20 3.72 4.04 8.2 0.8
80o 2.5 3.1 0.1 12 10 47.3 42 20 39 6 .267 1.32 4.23 4.6 4.2 0.4
70o 2.2 2.9 0.1 10 9 42.1 40 19 35 6 .280 1.41 4.61 5.01 2.0 0.2
60o 1.9 2.8 0.1 9 8 37.8 38 18 31 6 .291 1.49 4.95 5.38 0.4 0.0
50o 1.6 2.6 0 8 7 33.9 36 17 28 5 .301 1.56 5.27 5.72 -0.8 -0.1
40o 1.4 2.4 0 7 6 30.1 33 16 25 5 .312 1.64 5.60 6.08 -1.8 -0.2
30o 1.1 2.2 0 6 5 26.1 30 15 22 4 .323 1.73 5.96 6.47 -2.5 -0.3
20o 0.9 1.9 0 5 5 21.7 27 13 18 4 .337 1.84 6.39 6.95 -3.0 -0.3
10o 0.6 1.5 0 4 3 15.9 21 10 13 3 .355 2.00 7.02 7.63 -3.1 -0.3
Weighted Mean1.62.508732.83417275.2981.545.205.65-0.6-0.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
2015205502817127126411011945.2831.314.394.778.92.97.21.30.6
2016216713521158157511262245.2871.324.274.659.02.97.21.30.9
2017226713522160166511212345.2921.354.615.019.32.96.81.30.3
2018235603019135140481091945.2971.394.675.079.33.27.21.30.2
2019245602817127129421011845.2921.354.494.889.23.07.21.30.4
202025550271712112340971745.2921.354.384.769.13.07.21.30.6
202126550281712412437971845.2861.304.214.589.02.77.01.30.8
202227550271712312335951745.2871.294.184.559.02.67.01.20.9
202328450261611811835911745.2861.304.184.559.02.77.01.30.8

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
0.9out of baseball0.60.2out of baseball0.11.8

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 81)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 98 Jordan Lyles 2010 0.00 DNP
2 95 Brandon Erbe 2007 0.00 DNP
3 92 Kyle Lotzkar 2009 0.00 DNP
4 91 Jason Knapp 2010 0.00 DNP
5 90 Richard Castillo 2009 0.00 DNP
6 90 Scottie Allen 2011 0.00 DNP
7 89 Martin Perez 2010 0.00 DNP
8 89 Tyler Skaggs 2011 0.00 DNP
9 87 Felix Sterling 2012 0.00 DNP
10 87 Michael Flores 2012 0.00 DNP
11 87 Arodys Vizcaino 2010 0.00 DNP
12 87 Manny Banuelos 2010 0.00 DNP
13 86 Jairo Heredia 2009 0.00 DNP
14 86 Aaron Sanchez 2012 0.00 DNP
15 86 Noah Syndergaard 2012 0.00 DNP
16 86 Andry Ubiera 2012 0.00 DNP
17 86 Akeel Morris 2012 0.00 DNP
18 86 Luis Lugo 2013 0.00 DNP
19 84 Domingo German 2012 0.00 DNP
20 84 Clayton Cook 2010 0.00 DNP
21 83 Victor Araujo 2012 0.00 DNP
22 83 Jose Campos 2012 0.00 DNP
23 82 Felix Jorge 2013 0.00 DNP
24 82 Madison Bumgarner 2009 1.80
25 82 Jesse Biddle 2011 0.00 DNP
26 82 Jefferson Olacio 2013 0.00 DNP
27 82 Jayson Aquino 2012 0.00 DNP
28 82 Alex Sanabia 2008 0.00 DNP
29 82 Tony Butler 2007 0.00 DNP
30 82 Danny Duffy 2008 0.00 DNP
31 81 Andrew Faulkner 2012 0.00 DNP
32 81 Eduardo Rodriguez 2012 0.00 DNP
33 81 Adalberto Mejia 2012 0.00 DNP
34 81 Aliangel Lopez 2013 0.00 DNP
35 81 Abel De Los Santos 2012 0.00 DNP
36 81 Victor Payano 2012 0.00 DNP
37 81 Wilfredo Boscan 2009 0.00 DNP
38 80 Jonathan Martinez 2013 0.00 DNP
39 80 Richard Alvarez 2012 0.00 DNP
40 80 Taijuan Walker 2012 0.00 DNP
41 80 Tyler Chatwood 2009 0.00 DNP
42 80 John Barbato 2012 0.00 DNP
43 80 Stolmy Pimentel 2009 0.00 DNP
44 80 Julio Teheran 2010 0.00 DNP
45 80 Miguel Sulbaran 2013 0.00 DNP
46 80 Trevor Reckling 2008 0.00 DNP
47 80 Ranfi Casimiro 2012 0.00 DNP
48 80 Kyle Allen 2009 0.00 DNP
49 79 Carlos Pimentel 2009 0.00 DNP
50 79 Jhondaniel Medina 2012 0.00 DNP
51 79 Nicholas Bucci 2010 0.00 DNP
52 79 Brent Fisher 2007 0.00 DNP
53 79 Jonathan Pettibone 2010 0.00 DNP
54 79 Clayton Blackburn 2012 0.00 DNP
55 79 Clayton Kershaw 2007 0.00 DNP
56 79 Edwin Escobar 2011 0.00 DNP
57 79 Juri Perez 2010 0.00 DNP
58 79 Keivi Rojas 2012 0.00 DNP
59 78 Tyrell Jenkins 2012 0.00 DNP
60 78 Matt Mitchell 2008 0.00 DNP
61 78 Chris Tillman 2007 0.00 DNP
62 78 John Lamb 2010 0.00 DNP
63 78 Carlos Diaz 2013 0.00 DNP
64 78 Brad Hand 2009 0.00 DNP
65 78 Randall Delgado 2009 0.00 DNP
66 78 Luis Avilan 2009 0.00 DNP
67 78 Sergio Gomez 2013 0.00 DNP
68 78 Jairo Labourt 2013 0.00 DNP
69 78 Kasey Kiker 2007 0.00 DNP
70 77 Jarlin Garcia 2012 0.00 DNP
71 77 Jenrry Mejia 2009 0.00 DNP
72 77 Seon Gi Kim 2011 0.00 DNP
73 77 Kelvin De La Cruz 2008 0.00 DNP
74 77 J.C. Ramirez 2008 0.00 DNP
75 77 Deryk Hooker 2008 0.00 DNP
76 76 Paul Demny 2009 0.00 DNP
77 76 Josh Warner 2012 0.00 DNP
78 76 Yorman Landa 2013 0.00 DNP
79 76 Seth Lintz 2009 0.00 DNP
80 76 Carlos Estevez 2012 0.00 DNP
81 76 Adys Portillo 2011 0.00 DNP
82 76 Deolis Guerra 2008 0.00 DNP
83 76 Andrew Bellatti 2011 0.00 DNP
84 75 Blake Snell 2012 0.00 DNP
85 75 Lino Martinez 2012 0.00 DNP
86 75 Fabian Williamson 2008 0.00 DNP
87 75 Alberto Cabrera 2008 0.00 DNP
88 75 Liam Hendriks 2008 0.00 DNP
89 75 Will Smith 2009 0.00 DNP
90 74 Adrian Houser 2012 0.00 DNP
91 74 Raul Alcantara 2012 0.00 DNP
92 74 Robinson Lopez 2010 0.00 DNP
93 74 Hector Silvestre 2012 0.00 DNP
94 74 Neftali Feliz 2007 0.00 DNP
95 74 Nick Barnese 2008 0.00 DNP
96 74 Jose Valdez 2008 0.00 DNP
97 74 Michael Feliz 2012 0.00 DNP
98 74 Eduardo Aldama 2009 0.00 DNP
99 74 Mike Foltynewicz 2011 0.00 DNP
100 73 Mauricio Cabrera 2013 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 It isn’t very often that a 17-year-old pitching prospect can be described as “polished” or “physically mature,” but that’s what the Blue Jays have in Osuna. A nephew of former major-league reliever Antonio Osuna, Roberto had his rights purchased from the Mexico City Red Devils in 2011 for $1.5 million. He lacks the projection of Luis Heredia, another high-profile signing out of Mexico, but he profiles as a solid mid-rotation starter if he’s able to keep his conditioning under control. Toronto is typically conservative with its pitching prospects, but Osuna’s polish and poise could earn him an Opening Day assignment to the Midwest League just two months after his 18th birthday.

BP Articles

Roberto Osuna is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Arizona Fall League Games of October 9th, 2014Jeff Moore2014-10-10
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, August 6Jeff Moore2014-08-07
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: August 4, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-08-04
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: July 14, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-07-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersBen Murphy2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersIan Lefkowitz2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersJared Weiss2014-02-28
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Toronto Blue Jays Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-12-06
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: The Mid-Season Top 50 ProspectsJason Parks2013-06-25
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of June 6-June 9Zach Mortimer2013-06-10
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 12th, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-12
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 25-26Zach Mortimer2013-04-27
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 5-April 7Zach Mortimer2013-04-08
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2013 Organizational RankingsJason Parks2013-03-29
Prospect Push: Personal Favorites: Roberto OsunaJason Churchill2012-12-14
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Toronto Blue Jays Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2012-12-13
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday Morning Ten PackKevin Goldstein2012-07-30
BP Unfiltered: J2 Spotlight: Roberto Osuna, A Seven-Figure TalentJason Parks2011-06-20


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-10-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)I saw your blurb on Roberto Osuna after his first AFL appearance. Did anyone you know actually get eyes on him? Curious if guys were barreling him up or a bit unlucky? Also wonder if he was working on (ie throwing specifically) one particular pitch.
(YourVanCs from Vancouver)
None of our guys are out there yet, unfortunately, but that will be remedied soon. We have at least one person heading out next week, I believe, and then there's an army of us heading out the last week in October. You'll hear all about it if you follow us on Twitter. You may actually get some baseball information out of it instead of just nonsense about sandwiches. Any questions I get about specific AFL'ers, I'm going to make a note of and try to answer somewhere once I get out there to see the guys in question. (Jeff Moore)
2013-06-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)I just sold Michael Bourn for Ben Revere, Roberto Osuna, and Jonathan Pettibone in my 16 team mixed dynasty h2h league. Did I yield enough? We can keep all our players and have 40 man rosters that include 20 minors slots. I'm loaded with bats, and have iffy pitching with Homer Baily as my ace. Thoughts?
(Eric from Iowa)
That's a pretty good return right there. I think Pettibone can develop into a useful piece, especially in your deep league. (Paul Sporer)
2013-06-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Are any of these arm prospects going to make an impact in 2 years for fantasy owners?: Roberto Osuna, Lucas Giolito, Heath Hembree, Matt Wisler, or Blake Snell?
(Hector from Santa Ana)
I'd bet on Wisler of that group. Hembree should be a major leaguer, but we'll see if he's doing anything of fantasy import. (Paul Sporer)
2013-02-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Was Roberto Osuna a top 101 prospect in BP's estimation?
(Jonnie from Snatch City)
I don't think he made it, but like I mentioned earlier, you could name 100 players with a legit case for the final 50 spots. He is one of them. (Jason Parks)
2013-01-16 13:30:00 (link to chat)Thanks for answering my other questions, Mark. If you don't mind, I'd love your opinion on another batch of pitching prospects - the next step down from the group I gave you earlier. If you had to order Brandon Maurer, Clayton Blackburn, Roberto Osuna, Henry Owens, Lance McCullers, how would you do that? Thanks again!
(BJ from Boston)
That's a pretty diverse group, BJ. My gut instinct would be to go Blackburn, Osuna, McCullers, Owens, Maurer, but I reserve the right to change that in the future! (Mark Anderson)
2012-11-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Which single position does Houston still most lack both depth and top-shelf talent at in their farm system?
(Ashitaka1110 from Houston, TX)
Starting pitching. Because of the attrition attached to pitching, you want your system littered with power arms, mix in some left-handers, perhaps even a few with top-of-the-rotation upside and high probability strike throwers with a chance to be Scott Baker or Jeremy Guthrie are nice to have, too. Starters are so expensive, you truly cannot have too many. The systems with the most top pitching prospects are generally the most underrated. The Blue Jays are proving why that is this winter. They dealt Alvarez and Nicolino and still have six or eight really strong SP prospects. Watch out for Roberto Osuna, by the way. Ridiculous arsenal and raw stuff with 45 command already and he's still a teenager. That's what Houston needs, and Luhnow and company are off to a good, solid start. (Jason A. Churchill)
2012-09-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)When he signed, Roberto Osuna was seen as a guy with the ultimate ceiling of a MOR starter. Has that changed, or is his performance simply what we was to be expected from a relatively polished teenager? I'm leaning towards the latter because its still rookie and SS ball, but many have tried to convince me otherwise
(Mr Whiskers from Your closet)
I still believe in the mid-rotation ceiling and I still have concerns about his body as he matures. (Jason Parks)


BP Roundtables

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