Biographical

Portrait of Ben Lively

Ben Lively P  

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Reds Player Cards | Reds Team Audit | Reds Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 22)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
34.7 5.19 1.56 30 2 3 0 -0.2
Birth Date3-5-1992
Height6' 4"
Weight190 lbs
Age22 years, 7 months, 19 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
-0.22014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2013 DYT A 1 1 4.0 1.92 163 .206 .260 .317 .411 .267 .250 114 2.0 0.2 2.0 0.2
2013 BIL Rk 12 12 37.0 2.89 140 .198 .287 .354 .431 .283 .250 92 14.2 1.4 14.2 1.4
2014 BAK A+ 13 13 79.0 3.10 139 .197 .268 .338 .421 .271 .277 105 27.1 2.7 27.1 2.7
2014 PEN AA 13 13 72.0 4.19 102 .265 .252 .320 .382 .264 .290 97 7.5 0.8 10.5 1.2

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2013 DYT A 0 1 0 1 1 4.0 2 1 7 0 62% .250 4.5 2.2 0.0 15.8 0.75 2.25 2.0 0.2
2013 BIL Rk 0 3 0 12 12 37.0 21 12 49 0 48% .250 5.1 2.9 0.0 11.9 0.89 0.73 14.2 1.4
2014 BAK A+ 10 1 0 13 13 79.0 57 16 95 6 37% .277 6.5 1.8 0.7 10.8 0.92 2.28 27.1 2.7
2014 PEN AA 3 6 0 13 13 72.0 60 36 76 7 37% .290 7.5 4.5 0.9 9.5 1.33 3.88 10.5 1.2

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 3.6 4.1 0 15 15 57.1 44 25 49 6 .263 1.19 3.62 3.94 8.2 0.8
80o 3 3.8 0 13 13 49.1 41 23 42 5 .282 1.31 4.13 4.49 3.9 0.4
70o 2.5 3.6 0 12 12 43.6 39 22 37 5 .296 1.40 4.51 4.9 1.4 0.1
60o 2.2 3.4 0 10 10 39.0 37 21 34 5 .308 1.48 4.84 5.26 -0.2 -0.0
50o 1.9 3.1 0 9 9 34.8 35 19 30 5 .319 1.55 5.15 5.6 -1.5 -0.2
40o 1.6 2.9 0 8 8 30.8 32 18 26 4 .331 1.63 5.48 5.95 -2.4 -0.2
30o 1.3 2.6 0 7 7 26.6 29 17 23 4 .343 1.72 5.83 6.34 -3.2 -0.3
20o 1 2.3 0 6 6 21.9 26 14 19 3 .357 1.83 6.26 6.81 -3.6 -0.4
10o 0.6 1.8 0 4 4 15.7 20 11 14 3 .378 1.99 6.88 7.48 -3.6 -0.4
Weighted Mean1.8309933.63319294.3161.535.095.53-1.2-0.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20152359028281731701061552245.3201.605.375.848.95.58.11.1-1.8
2016246803131194175901632445.2911.364.254.628.14.27.51.10.4
2017256802828168154801502045.3041.404.414.798.34.38.11.10.1
2018265702525145135651251745.3021.384.354.738.44.07.71.10.2
2019275702626156145691351945.3021.374.304.688.34.07.81.10.3
2020285602424141132631211745.3051.384.314.688.44.07.71.10.3
2021295602525145135601231745.3031.354.224.588.43.77.71.10.5
2022305602525145132601271745.3021.324.084.448.23.77.91.10.7
2023315602323137126561171645.3011.334.124.488.33.77.71.00.6

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
0.6out of baseball2.512.310.26.240.4

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 89)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 98 Tony Cingrani 2012 1.80
2 95 Bradley Holt 2009 0.00 DNP
3 93 Shooter Hunt 2009 0.00 DNP
4 92 Jeff Ames 2013 0.00 DNP
5 92 John Gast 2011 0.00 DNP
6 92 Duane Below 2008 0.00 DNP
7 91 Tim Atherton 2012 0.00 DNP
8 91 Alex Colome 2011 0.00 DNP
9 91 Carlos Alvarado 2012 0.00 DNP
10 91 Simon Castro 2010 0.00 DNP
11 91 Thomas Collier 2012 0.00 DNP
12 91 Juan Jaime 2010 0.00 DNP
13 90 Michael Stutes 2009 0.00 DNP
14 90 Joshua Slaats 2011 0.00 DNP
15 90 Nick Hagadone 2008 0.00 DNP
16 90 Shane Greene 2011 0.00 DNP
17 90 Charlie Furbush 2008 0.00 DNP
18 90 Brett Lorin 2009 0.00 DNP
19 90 Henry Sosa 2008 0.00 DNP
20 90 David Bromberg 2010 0.00 DNP
21 90 Jordan Zimmermann 2008 0.00 DNP
22 90 Blake Wood 2008 0.00 DNP
23 89 Edlando Seco 2011 0.00 DNP
24 89 Richard Zagone 2009 0.00 DNP
25 89 Ramon Garcia 2007 0.00 DNP
26 89 Aroni Nina 2012 0.00 DNP
27 89 James Adkins 2008 0.00 DNP
28 89 Matthew Andriese 2012 0.00 DNP
29 89 Bruce Billings 2008 0.00 DNP
30 89 Frank Garces 2012 0.00 DNP
31 89 Zachary Neal 2011 0.00 DNP
32 89 Eric Beaulac 2009 0.00 DNP
33 88 Dexter Carter 2009 0.00 DNP
34 88 Nick Maronde 2012 1.50
35 88 Adam Wilk 2010 0.00 DNP
36 88 Nathan Moreau 2009 0.00 DNP
37 88 Mario Hollands 2011 0.00 DNP
38 88 Marty Popham 2010 0.00 DNP
39 88 Bryan Mitchell 2013 0.00 DNP
40 88 Kramer Sneed 2011 0.00 DNP
41 88 Drake Britton 2011 0.00 DNP
42 88 Seth Frankoff 2011 0.00 DNP
43 88 Tyler Thornburg 2011 0.00 DNP
44 88 Rainy Lara 2013 0.00 DNP
45 88 Dellin Betances 2010 0.00 DNP
46 88 Ramon Lebron 2011 0.00 DNP
47 88 Pedro Guerra 2012 0.00 DNP
48 88 Brett Wallach 2011 0.00 DNP
49 88 Chris Masters 2010 0.00 DNP
50 88 Nicholas Lee 2013 0.00 DNP
51 88 Austin Wright 2012 0.00 DNP
52 88 Luis Santos 2013 0.00 DNP
53 88 Michael Allen 2009 0.00 DNP
54 88 Elisaul Pimentel 2011 0.00 DNP
55 88 Angel Baez 2013 0.00 DNP
56 88 Clint Everts 2007 0.00 DNP
57 87 Kyle Weiland 2009 0.00 DNP
58 87 Mike Rayl 2011 0.00 DNP
59 87 Antonio Bastardo 2008 0.00 DNP
60 87 Jose Arias 2013 0.00 DNP
61 87 Deryk Hooker 2011 0.00 DNP
62 87 Tyler Wilson 2012 0.00 DNP
63 87 Marc Rzepczynski 2008 0.00 DNP
64 87 Daniel Hudson 2009 4.34
65 87 Dan Straily 2011 0.00 DNP
66 87 Pat Dean 2011 0.00 DNP
67 87 Jo-Jo Reyes 2007 6.93
68 87 Winston Marquez 2010 0.00 DNP
69 87 Jeremy Hefner 2008 0.00 DNP
70 87 Kyle Lotzkar 2012 0.00 DNP
71 87 Jose Cisnero 2011 0.00 DNP
72 87 Casey Crosby 2011 0.00 DNP
73 87 Nik Turley 2012 0.00 DNP
74 87 Martire Garcia 2012 0.00 DNP
75 87 Sean Watson 2008 0.00 DNP
76 87 Erik Cabrera 2013 0.00 DNP
77 87 Wade LeBlanc 2007 0.00 DNP
78 87 Jake Cowan 2010 0.00 DNP
79 87 Nicholas Carr 2009 0.00 DNP
80 87 Carlos Hernandez 2009 0.00 DNP
81 86 Lance Lynn 2009 0.00 DNP
82 86 Jesse Hernandez 2011 0.00 DNP
83 86 Javier Avendano 2013 0.00 DNP
84 86 Bryan Morris 2009 0.00 DNP
85 86 Juri Perez 2013 0.00 DNP
86 86 Carlos Melo 2013 0.00 DNP
87 86 Adam Warren 2010 0.00 DNP
88 86 James Houser 2007 0.00 DNP
89 86 Hansel Robles 2013 0.00 DNP
90 86 Jose Perez 2010 0.00 DNP
91 86 Jerry Sullivan 2010 0.00 DNP
92 86 Aaron King 2011 0.00 DNP
93 86 Tanner Robles 2011 0.00 DNP
94 86 Elih Villanueva 2009 0.00 DNP
95 86 Yoervis Medina 2011 0.00 DNP
96 85 Nick Vincent 2009 0.00 DNP
97 85 Ryan Pope 2008 0.00 DNP
98 85 Andrew Cashner 2009 0.00 DNP
99 85 Tyler Cravy 2012 0.00 DNP
100 85 Jeff Ferrell 2013 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

No BP Book Comments have been found for this player.

BP Articles

Ben Lively is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, August 14Jeff Moore2014-08-15
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, August 6Jeff Moore2014-08-07
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, July 31Jeff Moore2014-08-01
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, July 8Jeff Moore2014-07-09
Eyewitness Accounts: July 3, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-07-03
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, June 23Jeff Moore2014-06-24
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, June 2Jeff Moore2014-06-03
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, May 28Jeff Moore2014-05-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Scoresheet Player Trend Watch: May Supplemental DraftIan Lefkowitz2014-05-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Scoresheet Player Trend Watch: May Supplemental DraftJared Weiss2014-05-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Scoresheet Player Trend Watch: May Supplemental DraftBen Murphy2014-05-29
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: May 20, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-05-20
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: May 19, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-05-19
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: May 19, 2014Jason Parks2014-05-19
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat Scouts Are Saying: May 15, 2014Baseball Prospectus2014-05-15
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, May 13Jeff Moore2014-05-14
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: May 5, 2014Jason Parks2014-05-05
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: May 5, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-05-05
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, April 22Jeff Moore2014-04-23
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomBP Prospect Staff2014-03-03
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomJason Parks2014-03-03
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2014 Organizational RankingsJason Parks2014-02-26
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Cincinnati Reds Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2014-02-03


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-07-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Which pitcher will have the highest impact in the Majors: Josh Hader, Aaron Blair, or Ben Lively?
(Steve from nowhere)
Tough one. Hader is a reliever for me but could be nasty. Lively back-end guy. Blair back-end guy with a chance for more. I'll go Blair. (Chris Rodriguez)
2014-07-07 11:00:00 (link to chat)Any news on Ben Lively and how he would compare on the list?
(Brady from Southeastern)
Very good arm but not a high-end profile; more of a #4 type. Not in consideration for the 50 despite the strong production. (Jason Parks on the Top 50)
2014-06-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Folow-up to the Michael Lorenzen question... I have heard some people even prefer Ben Lively to Lorenzen. What futures do you see these two?
(LoyalRoyal from Kansas)
Those people aren't watching Lively or Lorenzen in person. I haven't seen either one either, but our guys have and I trust their reports. Lively got off to a great start this year but the stuff isn't dominant. He's a back-end guy. Lorenzen has a number two starter ceiling or could be an impact reliever. Lorenzen is closer to Stephenson than he is to Lively. (Jeff Moore)
2014-05-13 11:00:00 (link to chat)Ben Lively anything more than a back end starter?
(Ryan from Sarasota)
That's about where I have him pegged. Maybe a #3 in a perfect world scenario, but a likely 4/5 type. Deceptive arm slot/action; FB works 90-92 and can touch higher; changes sight lines and can work all four quadrants; riding action; slider can miss barrels and is either a 55 or 60 pitch depending on the source; average to solid average CH/CB; good pitchability and workhorse build. Not bad. (Jason Parks)
2014-05-13 11:00:00 (link to chat)Better long-term ceiling: Ben Lively, Aaron Blair, or Jen-Ho Tseng?
(Steve from Philly)
I would take Tseng. I dig it. (Jason Parks)
2014-04-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)Paul, Daniel Winkler and Ben Lively have carried over last years success into this year with incredible early season performances. Are these guys for real and in a dynasty league would you add one or both in place of, Mauricio Cabrera, Jose Martinez or Lewis Thorpe?
(Rup from DC)
I'd prefer them to the three others. I don't know that either is a star, but both are raising their stock (Paul Sporer)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.