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Jon Keller POrioles

Orioles Player Cards | Orioles Team Audit | Orioles Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 21)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
31.0 6.74 1.89 16 1 0 0 -0.7
Birth Date8-8-1992
Height6' 5"
Weight210 lbs
Age22 years, 2 months, 16 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
-0.72014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2013 ABE A- 1 0 3.0 4.20 94 .118 .246 .299 .339 .255 .125 99 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 ORI Rk 6 5 15.3 3.32 129 .238 .235 .316 .339 .251 .386 95 3.7 0.4 3.7 0.4
2014 DEL A 24 0 56.7 3.19 134 .197 .262 .331 .382 .263 .277 101 12.7 1.3 12.7 1.3
2014 FRD A+ 2 0 4.3 5.22 87 .354 .255 .328 .372 .256 .533 101 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2013 ABE A- 1 0 0 1 0 3.0 1 1 2 0 88% .125 3.0 3.0 0.0 6.0 0.67 3.00 0.0 0.0
2013 ORI Rk 1 2 0 6 5 15.3 17 2 18 0 66% .386 10.0 1.2 0.0 10.6 1.24 4.11 3.7 0.4
2014 FRD A+ 0 0 0 2 0 4.3 8 7 5 0 27% .533 16.6 14.5 0.0 10.4 3.46 8.31 0.2 0.0
2014 DEL A 3 0 5 24 0 56.7 39 14 66 1 59% .277 6.2 2.2 0.2 10.5 0.94 1.59 12.7 1.3

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-07-26 - Minors - - Left Trunk Strain Intercostal -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 2.3 2.6 0.2 14 8 50.9 49 25 26 6 .258 1.45 5.00 5.43 -0.8 -0.1
80o 1.8 2.4 0.2 12 7 43.7 46 24 23 6 .275 1.59 5.55 6.03 -2.9 -0.3
70o 1.5 2.3 0.1 10 6 38.8 43 23 20 6 .288 1.69 5.97 6.48 -4.0 -0.4
60o 1.3 2.1 0.1 9 5 34.7 41 21 18 5 .299 1.79 6.33 6.88 -4.7 -0.5
50o 1.1 2 0.1 8 5 31.0 38 20 16 5 .309 1.88 6.68 7.26 -5.1 -0.5
40o 0.9 1.8 0.1 7 4 27.4 35 19 14 5 .320 1.97 7.04 7.65 -5.3 -0.5
30o 0.8 1.7 0.1 6 4 23.7 32 17 12 4 .331 2.07 7.44 8.08 -5.3 -0.5
20o 0.6 1.5 0.1 5 3 19.6 28 15 10 4 .344 2.20 7.92 8.61 -5.1 -0.5
10o 0.3 1.1 0 4 2 14.2 22 12 7 3 .363 2.39 8.62 9.37 -4.4 -0.5
Weighted Mean1.11.90.18530.03619155.3061.856.617.19-4.8-0.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201522240241211112564771648.3051.705.826.3310.15.26.21.3-1.5
201623341281412812865991748.2881.504.755.169.04.66.91.2-0.2
20172423021119810448711348.3001.555.035.479.64.46.51.2-0.5
2018252302010939945661348.2971.555.065.509.64.46.41.3-0.5
2019262302010949945681348.2971.544.965.399.54.36.51.2-0.4
2020272302110959944721348.2971.514.835.259.44.26.81.2-0.2
2021282302211999942781348.2921.424.404.799.03.87.11.20.3
20222923022111029941821248.2901.384.184.548.83.67.31.10.6
20233023022111009840811248.2901.384.194.558.83.67.31.10.6

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
0.42.65.50.70.71.111.3

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 93)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 98 Angel Nesbitt 2012 0.00 DNP
2 98 Matthew Spann 2012 0.00 DNP
3 97 Kevin Siegrist 2011 0.00 DNP
4 96 Miller Diaz 2013 0.00 DNP
5 96 Braulio Ortiz 2013 0.00 DNP
6 95 Rafael Montero 2012 0.00 DNP
7 95 Julian Hilario 2012 0.00 DNP
8 95 Eric Jokisch 2011 0.00 DNP
9 95 Yeiper Castillo 2010 0.00 DNP
10 95 Doug Salinas 2010 0.00 DNP
11 95 Ryan Pressly 2010 0.00 DNP
12 95 Steven Inch 2012 0.00 DNP
13 95 Wandy Peralta 2013 0.00 DNP
14 95 Wilsen Palacios 2011 0.00 DNP
15 95 Carlos Frias 2011 0.00 DNP
16 95 Anthony Ferrara 2011 0.00 DNP
17 94 Miguel Matos 2009 0.00 DNP
18 94 Raynel Velette 2012 0.00 DNP
19 94 Luis Liria 2011 0.00 DNP
20 94 Mark Pawelek 2008 0.00 DNP
21 94 Andres Rosales 2009 0.00 DNP
22 94 Luis Parra 2013 0.00 DNP
23 94 Anthony Fernandez 2011 0.00 DNP
24 94 Lisalverto Bonilla 2011 0.00 DNP
25 94 Williams Perez 2012 0.00 DNP
26 94 Argenis Paez 2012 0.00 DNP
27 94 Christopher McKenzie 2011 0.00 DNP
28 94 Waldis Joaquin 2008 0.00 DNP
29 94 Taylor Jordan 2010 0.00 DNP
30 94 Adrian Rosario 2011 0.00 DNP
31 94 Jonathan Aro 2012 0.00 DNP
32 94 Brad Tippett 2009 0.00 DNP
33 94 Christian Meza 2012 0.00 DNP
34 94 Jeff Ames 2012 0.00 DNP
35 94 Brooks Hall 2011 0.00 DNP
36 94 Michael Blazek 2010 0.00 DNP
37 94 Wander Suero 2013 0.00 DNP
38 93 Keith Couch 2011 0.00 DNP
39 93 Justin Hancock 2012 0.00 DNP
40 93 Chad Rodgers 2009 0.00 DNP
41 93 Brett Zawacki 2010 0.00 DNP
42 93 Daniel Berlind 2009 0.00 DNP
43 93 Leandro Cespedes 2008 0.00 DNP
44 93 Johnathan Dutton 2009 0.00 DNP
45 93 Kelvin Marte 2009 0.00 DNP
46 93 Jeremy McBryde 2008 0.00 DNP
47 93 Tyler Cravy 2011 0.00 DNP
48 93 Hector Hernandez 2012 0.00 DNP
49 93 Wilmer Almonte 2011 0.00 DNP
50 93 Jorge Quintero 2008 0.00 DNP
51 93 Tyree Hayes 2010 0.00 DNP
52 93 Juan Grullon 2011 0.00 DNP
53 93 Ramon Oviedo 2012 0.00 DNP
54 92 Ariel Pena 2010 0.00 DNP
55 92 Bobby Hansen 2011 0.00 DNP
56 92 Nick Martinez 2012 0.00 DNP
57 92 Jake Diekman 2008 0.00 DNP
58 92 Nik Turley 2011 0.00 DNP
59 92 Ben Henry 2010 0.00 DNP
60 92 Nelson Pereira 2010 0.00 DNP
61 92 Genison Reyes 2013 0.00 DNP
62 92 Sebastian Vader 2013 0.00 DNP
63 92 Luis Cabrera 2012 0.00 DNP
64 92 Saul Gonzalez 2010 0.00 DNP
65 92 Hunter Cervenka 2011 0.00 DNP
66 92 Leondy Perez 2011 0.00 DNP
67 92 Kevin Eichhorn 2011 0.00 DNP
68 92 Clemente Mendoza 2012 0.00 DNP
69 92 Jon Kibler 2008 0.00 DNP
70 92 Deryk Hooker 2010 0.00 DNP
71 92 Angel Calero 2008 0.00 DNP
72 92 Brennan Smith 2011 0.00 DNP
73 92 Edgar Ibarra 2010 0.00 DNP
74 91 Baudilio Lopez 2012 0.00 DNP
75 91 Nolan Diaz 2012 0.00 DNP
76 91 Ronan Pacheco 2010 0.00 DNP
77 91 Jamaine Cotton 2012 0.00 DNP
78 91 Jean Carlos Gil 2012 0.00 DNP
79 91 Pedro Hernandez 2010 0.00 DNP
80 91 Willian Avinazar 2010 0.00 DNP
81 91 Reynier Gonzalez 2010 0.00 DNP
82 91 Jose Capellan 2008 0.00 DNP
83 91 Trevor Rosenthal 2011 0.00 DNP
84 91 Eduardo Perez 2009 0.00 DNP
85 91 Michael O'Brien 2011 0.00 DNP
86 91 Albaro Estevez 2010 0.00 DNP
87 91 Jheyson Manzueta 2011 0.00 DNP
88 91 Tyler Stovall 2011 0.00 DNP
89 91 Luis Chirinos 2011 0.00 DNP
90 91 Parker Markel 2012 0.00 DNP
91 91 Donn Roach 2011 0.00 DNP
92 91 Michael Olmsted 2008 0.00 DNP
93 91 Cesar Vargas 2013 0.00 DNP
94 91 Jose Rosario 2012 0.00 DNP
95 91 Ricardo Taveras 2009 0.00 DNP
96 91 Rafael Briceno 2012 0.00 DNP
97 91 Nathan Nery 2007 0.00 DNP
98 91 Aaron Poreda 2008 0.00 DNP
99 91 Jose Casilla 2010 0.00 DNP
100 91 Ronny Morla 2009 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-09-10 12:00:00 (link to chat)Third tier Oriole arms - Jon Keller, David Hess, and Tyler Wilson - what is the ceiling for each? Anyone with mid-rotation potential in there?
(Festivus313 from Pittsburgh)
Keller - 7/8th inning RP. I think he could start, but there have been health issues two years in a row
Hess - Saw Hess with Aberdeen before he was put in rotation. I thought 50 OFP RP type, but he's apparently improved since my viewing. I need to see again before jumping to conclusions. He get's a good plane and drive on his FB, which helps a lot. Not sure how he plays against higher competition yet.
Wilson - I have seen him many times with Bowie, always thought RP. Very smart guy (wanted to be a doctor if baseball didn't work out), has good pithability, and the stuff is decent. Just think he ends up in a pen, because...well, starting in the bigs is pretty freaking difficult. (Tucker Blair)


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