Biographical

Portrait of Brian Johnson

Brian Johnson P  

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2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 23)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
54.3 5.56 1.66 37 3 4 0 -0.5
Birth Date12-7-1990
Height6' 3"
Weight225 lbs
Age23 years, 10 months, 16 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
2010
2011
2012
2013
-0.52014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2012 LOW A- 4 4 5.7 3.92 101 .114 .242 .324 .339 .263 .143 90 1.3 0.1 1.3 0.1
2013 GRN A 15 15 69.0 4.38 105 .233 .247 .319 .362 .264 .251 103 9.3 1.0 9.3 1.0
2013 SLM A+ 2 2 11.0 4.09 121 .232 .256 .347 .373 .256 .281 109 2.1 0.2 2.1 0.2
2013 RSX Rk 2 2 5.0 3.48 127 .088 .243 .307 .313 .243 .125 97 1.0 0.1 1.0 0.1
2014 SLM A+ 5 5 25.7 2.52 150 .228 .265 .329 .398 .260 .333 108 10.1 1.0 10.1 1.0
2014 PME AA 20 20 118.0 3.69 117 .198 .260 .320 .392 .259 .229 100 20.1 2.1 20.1 2.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2012 LOW A- 0 0 0 4 4 5.7 2 1 4 0 93% .143 3.2 1.6 0.0 6.4 0.53 0.00 1.3 0.1
2013 SLM A+ 1 0 0 2 2 11.0 9 5 8 0 59% .281 7.4 4.1 0.0 6.5 1.27 1.64 2.1 0.2
2013 GRN A 1 6 0 15 15 69.0 50 28 69 4 47% .251 6.5 3.7 0.5 9.0 1.13 2.87 9.3 1.0
2013 RSX Rk 0 0 0 2 2 5.0 1 2 7 0 75% .125 1.8 3.6 0.0 12.6 0.60 0.00 1.0 0.1
2014 PME AA 10 2 0 20 20 118.0 78 32 99 6 48% .229 5.9 2.4 0.5 7.6 0.93 1.75 20.1 2.1
2014 SLM A+ 3 1 0 5 5 25.7 23 7 33 0 41% .333 8.1 2.5 0.0 11.6 1.17 3.86 10.1 1.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2013-06-04 2013-07-21 Minors 47 0 - Not Disclosed - -
2012-08-19 2012-09-05 Minors 17 17 - Not Disclosed - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 4.7 5.4 0 19 19 76.5 67 31 51 7 .257 1.28 4.03 4.38 8.9 0.9
80o 4 5.2 0 17 17 68.5 65 31 46 7 .275 1.40 4.53 4.93 3.7 0.4
70o 3.5 5.1 0 15 15 63.0 64 30 42 7 .288 1.49 4.91 5.33 0.7 0.1
60o 3.1 5 0 14 14 58.4 63 29 39 7 .299 1.58 5.23 5.69 -1.5 -0.2
50o 2.8 4.8 0 13 13 54.3 61 29 37 7 .309 1.66 5.55 6.03 -3.3 -0.3
40o 2.5 4.7 0 12 12 50.2 60 28 34 6 .320 1.74 5.87 6.38 -4.8 -0.5
30o 2.1 4.5 0 11 11 46.0 58 27 31 6 .331 1.83 6.23 6.77 -6.1 -0.6
20o 1.8 4.3 0 10 10 41.3 55 26 28 6 .344 1.95 6.65 7.23 -7.2 -0.7
10o 1.3 3.9 0 8 8 35.0 50 24 24 5 .363 2.11 7.27 7.9 -8.2 -0.8
Weighted Mean2.84.70131353.45928366.3061.635.495.96-2.9-0.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
2015247902929179186841391747.3061.514.655.059.34.27.00.90.1
2016256802525145151671181647.3071.504.745.159.44.27.31.00.0
2017265802323134146631071547.3131.565.035.479.84.27.21.0-0.5
201827460191911211652911247.3081.504.735.159.34.27.31.00.0
20192845016169710345791047.3131.534.775.199.64.27.30.9-0.0
202029460191911111651901247.3081.504.705.119.44.17.31.00.0
202130450171710010243821147.3031.454.454.849.23.97.41.00.3
20223145016169510042761147.3081.504.715.129.54.07.21.00.0
2023324501515909439731047.3061.474.584.989.43.97.31.00.2

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
out of baseballout of baseball2.21.73.5613.5

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 89)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 97 Aaron Northcraft 2013 0.00 DNP
2 95 D.J. Mitchell 2010 0.00 DNP
3 93 Brandon Workman 2012 0.00 DNP
4 92 Kyle Weiland 2010 0.00 DNP
5 92 Simon Castro 2011 0.00 DNP
6 92 Jorge Reyes 2011 0.00 DNP
7 92 Joshua Slaats 2012 0.00 DNP
8 92 Erik Johnson 2013 5.20
9 91 Jonny Venters 2008 0.00 DNP
10 91 Carlos Hernandez 2010 0.00 DNP
11 91 Ross Detwiler 2009 5.11
12 91 Fabian Williamson 2012 0.00 DNP
13 91 Evan Anundsen 2011 0.00 DNP
14 91 Jose Arredondo 2007 0.00 DNP
15 91 Garrett Richards 2011 7.07
16 91 Alex Cobb 2011 3.59
17 91 Drew Gagnon 2013 0.00 DNP
18 91 Nik Turley 2013 0.00 DNP
19 90 Blake Wood 2009 0.00 DNP
20 90 Anthony Ranaudo 2013 0.00 DNP
21 90 Gregory Peavey 2012 0.00 DNP
22 90 Braulio Lara 2012 0.00 DNP
23 90 Adam Harben 2007 0.00 DNP
24 90 Zach Cates 2013 0.00 DNP
25 90 Juan Nicasio 2010 0.00 DNP
26 90 James Adkins 2009 0.00 DNP
27 90 J.C. Ramirez 2012 0.00 DNP
28 90 Scott Snodgress 2013 0.00 DNP
29 90 Shane Greene 2012 0.00 DNP
30 90 Shane Dyer 2011 0.00 DNP
31 90 Jensen Lewis 2007 2.45
32 90 Mike Rayl 2012 0.00 DNP
33 89 Daniel Rosenbaum 2011 0.00 DNP
34 89 Felix Doubront 2011 6.10
35 89 Mark Cohoon 2011 0.00 DNP
36 89 Wynn Pelzer 2009 0.00 DNP
37 89 Ariel Pena 2012 0.00 DNP
38 89 Anthony Ferrara 2013 0.00 DNP
39 89 Aaron Miller 2011 0.00 DNP
40 89 Deryk Hooker 2012 0.00 DNP
41 89 Marc Rzepczynski 2009 3.96
42 89 T.J. McFarland 2012 0.00 DNP
43 89 Chris Hernandez 2012 0.00 DNP
44 89 Justin Jones 2008 0.00 DNP
45 89 Ryan Pressly 2012 0.00 DNP
46 89 P.J. Walters 2008 0.00 DNP
47 89 Dennis O'Grady 2012 0.00 DNP
48 89 Dae-Eun Rhee 2012 0.00 DNP
49 89 Matthew Andriese 2013 0.00 DNP
50 89 Brett Marshall 2013 4.50
51 88 Murphy Smith 2011 0.00 DNP
52 88 Brian Flynn 2013 8.50
53 88 Zachary Nuding 2013 0.00 DNP
54 88 Thomas Collier 2013 0.00 DNP
55 88 Austin Ross 2012 0.00 DNP
56 88 Scott Diamond 2010 0.00 DNP
57 88 Jordan Walden 2011 3.28
58 88 Brett Wallach 2012 0.00 DNP
59 88 Steve Garrison 2010 0.00 DNP
60 88 James Gillheeney 2011 0.00 DNP
61 88 Ivan Nova 2010 4.71
62 88 Keith Couch 2013 0.00 DNP
63 88 Yoervis Medina 2012 0.00 DNP
64 88 Wily Peralta 2012 2.48
65 88 David Kopp 2009 0.00 DNP
66 88 Deunte Heath 2009 0.00 DNP
67 88 Kris Johnson 2008 0.00 DNP
68 88 Richard Sullivan 2010 0.00 DNP
69 88 Matt Magill 2013 8.13
70 88 Adam Conley 2013 0.00 DNP
71 88 Nick Tepesch 2012 0.00 DNP
72 88 Zachary Neal 2012 0.00 DNP
73 88 Omar Poveda 2011 0.00 DNP
74 88 Chris Dwyer 2011 0.00 DNP
75 88 Mike Watt 2012 0.00 DNP
76 88 Nicholas Carr 2010 0.00 DNP
77 88 Trey McNutt 2013 0.00 DNP
78 88 Anthony Ortega 2009 10.66
79 88 Austin Wright 2013 0.00 DNP
80 87 Ryan Searle 2012 0.00 DNP
81 87 Logan Darnell 2012 0.00 DNP
82 87 Tyson Ross 2010 5.49
83 87 Adam Warren 2011 0.00 DNP
84 87 Shaeffer Hall 2011 0.00 DNP
85 87 Michael O'Brien 2013 0.00 DNP
86 87 Anthony Swarzak 2009 6.56
87 87 Michael Cisco 2010 0.00 DNP
88 87 David Hurlbut 2013 0.00 DNP
89 87 Ubaldo Jimenez 2007 5.05
90 87 Chuck Lofgren 2009 0.00 DNP
91 87 Cole Nelson 2013 0.00 DNP
92 87 Justin Grimm 2012 9.00
93 87 Erik Davis 2010 0.00 DNP
94 87 Heath Rollins 2008 0.00 DNP
95 87 Michael Kirkman 2010 1.65
96 87 Zach Phillips 2010 0.00 DNP
97 87 Graham Stoneburner 2011 0.00 DNP
98 87 Richard Bleier 2010 0.00 DNP
99 87 Zach McAllister 2011 8.15
100 87 Erik Goeddel 2012 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 First-round pick Brian Johnson commands multiple pitches, but none of them are anything spectacular, so neither is his ceiling, though he should move quickly through the system.

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