Biographical

Portrait of Josh Smith

Josh Smith PReds

Reds Player Cards | Reds Team Audit | Reds Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 26)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
133.7 4.57 1.35 108 7 9 0 -0.1
Birth Date8-7-1987
Height6' 2"
Weight220 lbs
Age27 years, 2 months, 14 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
-0.12014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2010 DYT A 7 0 12.7 4.56 101 .205 .245 .318 .353 .245 .226 99 1.0 0.1 1.0 0.1
2010 BIL Rk 12 0 21.0 4.17 112 .231 .279 .330 .405 .272 .312 87 3.6 0.3 3.6 0.3
2011 DYT A 26 26 142.3 3.02 133 .237 .249 .321 .373 .261 .309 97 37.0 3.8 37.0 3.8
2012 BAK A+ 27 27 147.0 4.63 104 .265 .272 .341 .425 .282 .308 96 24.7 2.5 24.7 2.5
2013 PEN AA 28 28 160.0 3.80 109 .260 .243 .314 .361 .255 .286 98 17.4 1.9 15.7 1.5
2014 LOU AAA 28 24 159.0 4.16 118 .261 .258 .329 .392 .251 .322 108 22.8 2.3 25.9 2.4

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2010 DYT A 1 1 1 7 0 12.7 8 6 15 1 44% .226 5.7 4.3 0.7 10.6 1.10 2.13 1.0 0.1
2010 BIL Rk 1 2 0 12 0 21.0 16 10 28 1 59% .312 6.9 4.3 0.4 12.0 1.24 2.14 3.6 0.3
2011 DYT A 14 7 0 26 26 142.3 122 33 166 10 33% .309 7.7 2.1 0.6 10.5 1.09 2.97 37.0 3.8
2012 BAK A+ 9 8 0 27 27 147.0 143 46 140 15 44% .308 8.8 2.8 0.9 8.6 1.29 3.80 24.7 2.5
2013 PEN AA 11 9 0 28 28 160.0 148 50 139 16 40% .286 8.3 2.8 0.9 7.8 1.24 3.26 15.7 1.5
2014 LOU AAA 10 7 0 28 24 159.0 174 66 123 8 33% .322 9.8 3.7 0.5 7.0 1.51 4.70 25.9 2.4

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 9.4 8.7 0 28 28 153.5 129 47 124 18 .272 1.14 3.48 3.79 20.3 2.1
80o 8.6 8.8 0 27 27 146.5 130 47 118 18 .284 1.21 3.85 4.19 12.2 1.2
70o 8.1 8.9 0 26 26 141.6 131 48 114 18 .293 1.26 4.12 4.48 7.0 0.7
60o 7.7 9 0 25 25 137.4 132 48 111 19 .301 1.31 4.35 4.73 2.8 0.3
50o 7.3 9 0 24 24 133.6 133 48 108 19 .308 1.35 4.57 4.97 -0.8 -0.1
40o 6.9 9.1 0 24 24 129.9 133 48 105 19 .315 1.40 4.80 5.21 -4.2 -0.4
30o 6.5 9.1 0 23 23 125.9 134 48 102 19 .322 1.44 5.04 5.47 -7.5 -0.8
20o 6 9.1 0 22 22 121.3 134 48 98 19 .331 1.50 5.32 5.78 -11.0 -1.1
10o 5.4 9.2 0 21 21 115.1 134 48 93 19 .344 1.59 5.72 6.22 -15.4 -1.6
Weighted Mean7.3902424133.51324810819.3061.344.554.95-0.5-0.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
18% 31% 6% 27% 39%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201527670191911010932881641.3081.294.404.798.92.67.21.30.1
201628770202012011636971741.3001.264.164.528.72.77.31.30.5
201729560171710310331821641.3051.304.524.919.02.77.21.4-0.1
20183056017171009830801441.3031.284.314.688.82.77.21.30.2
2019315601717989728781441.3051.274.234.608.92.67.11.30.3
2020325501515898725691341.3021.264.244.618.82.57.01.30.3
2021334501414828123631241.3011.274.254.628.92.56.91.30.2
2022344401313747421571141.3021.284.294.669.02.56.91.30.2
202335440111165641850941.3021.264.274.648.92.56.91.20.2

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
out of baseball0.261.71.43.79.2

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 89)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 98 Matt Klinker 2011 0.00 DNP
2 97 Jeremy Hefner 2012 5.19
3 94 Tony Watson 2011 3.95
4 94 Ryan Ketchner 2008 0.00 DNP
5 93 Hector Ambriz 2010 5.77
6 93 Dan Meyer 2008 9.11
7 92 Steven Wright 2011 0.00 DNP
8 92 Sam LeCure 2010 4.50
9 92 Brandon Moore 2012 0.00 DNP
10 91 Erik Davis 2013 3.12
11 91 Brett Lorin 2013 0.00 DNP
12 91 Marco Estrada 2010 10.32
13 91 Ryan Mullins 2010 0.00 DNP
14 91 Austin Adams 2013 0.00 DNP
15 91 Josh Romanski 2013 0.00 DNP
16 91 Adrian Alaniz 2010 0.00 DNP
17 90 Alan Horne 2009 0.00 DNP
18 90 David Purcey 2008 5.68
19 90 Duane Below 2012 4.86
20 90 Mike Ballard 2010 0.00 DNP
21 90 Armando Galarraga 2008 4.18
22 90 James Fuller 2013 0.00 DNP
23 90 Luis Ramirez 2008 0.00 DNP
24 90 Travis Banwart 2012 0.00 DNP
25 90 Collin McHugh 2013 10.04
26 90 Terry Doyle 2012 0.00 DNP
27 90 Alberto Bastardo 2010 0.00 DNP
28 90 L.J. Gagnier 2011 0.00 DNP
29 90 Matt Buschmann 2010 0.00 DNP
30 90 Derek Miller 2008 0.00 DNP
31 90 Josh Zeid 2013 3.90
32 90 Polin Trinidad 2011 0.00 DNP
33 90 Tobi Stoner 2011 0.00 DNP
34 90 J.D. Martin 2009 4.68
35 89 Matthew Green 2008 0.00 DNP
36 89 Blake Hawksworth 2009 2.25
37 89 Heath Rollins 2011 0.00 DNP
38 89 Scott Gorgen 2013 0.00 DNP
39 89 Matt Wright 2008 0.00 DNP
40 89 Cory Luebke 2011 3.48
41 89 Matthew Neil 2013 0.00 DNP
42 89 Ryan Pope 2012 0.00 DNP
43 89 Deunte Heath 2012 4.50
44 89 Yohan Pino 2010 0.00 DNP
45 89 Daniel McCutchen 2009 4.21
46 89 Cole McCurry 2012 0.00 DNP
47 89 Red Patterson 2013 0.00 DNP
48 89 Jason Windsor 2009 0.00 DNP
49 89 Thomas Diamond 2009 0.00 DNP
50 89 Ryan Edell 2010 0.00 DNP
51 88 Cesar Valdez 2011 0.00 DNP
52 88 Sean Thompson 2009 0.00 DNP
53 88 Jeremy Bleich 2013 0.00 DNP
54 88 Matt Shoemaker 2013 0.00
55 88 Craig Clark 2011 0.00 DNP
56 88 Richie Gardner 2008 0.00 DNP
57 88 Chris Smith 2007 0.00 DNP
58 88 Josh Wall 2013 18.00
59 88 Brandon Dickson 2011 3.24
60 88 Aaron Shafer 2013 0.00 DNP
61 88 Jacob Pettit 2013 0.00 DNP
62 88 Adam Howard 2010 0.00 DNP
63 88 Jose Rosario 2012 0.00 DNP
64 88 Chris Saenz 2008 0.00 DNP
65 88 Nick Pereira 2009 0.00 DNP
66 88 Nick Schmidt 2012 0.00 DNP
67 88 Chris Narveson 2008 0.00 DNP
68 88 Andy Graham 2010 0.00 DNP
69 88 Paul Oseguera 2010 0.00 DNP
70 88 Matthew Long 2010 0.00 DNP
71 88 Philip Humber 2009 8.00
72 88 Michael Madsen 2009 0.00 DNP
73 88 Anthony Capra 2013 0.00 DNP
74 88 Alex Caldera 2012 0.00 DNP
75 87 Ramon A. Ramirez 2009 3.65
76 87 Drew Naylor 2012 0.00 DNP
77 87 Wilkin De La Rosa 2011 0.00 DNP
78 87 Chris Fetter 2012 0.00 DNP
79 87 Joel Carreno 2013 0.00 DNP
80 87 Oliver Drake 2013 0.00 DNP
81 87 Dustin Richardson 2010 4.15
82 87 Phil Irwin 2013 9.64
83 87 Matt Maloney 2010 3.05
84 87 Joe Martinez 2009 8.10
85 87 Ryne Reynoso 2011 0.00 DNP
86 87 Brad Meyers 2012 0.00 DNP
87 87 Justin Thomas 2010 6.23
88 87 Ben Snyder 2012 0.00 DNP
89 87 Rob Musgrave 2012 0.00 DNP
90 87 Jesse English 2011 0.00 DNP
91 87 Andrew Carpenter 2011 7.98
92 87 Nathan Starner 2010 0.00 DNP
93 87 Hung-Wen Chen 2012 0.00 DNP
94 87 Mike Fiers 2011 0.00
95 87 Randy Wells 2009 3.65
96 87 Francisco Cruceta 2008 6.17
97 87 David Welch 2009 0.00 DNP
98 86 Cory Riordan 2012 0.00 DNP
99 86 Pedro Liriano 2007 0.00 DNP
100 86 Justin Jones 2011 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2013 Durable Josh Smith has good command, puts the ball past hitters, and handled the California League just fine, although he was old for the circuit.

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