Biographical

Portrait of Jake Buchanan

Jake Buchanan PCubs

Cubs Player Cards | Cubs Team Audit | Cubs Depth Chart

2017 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 27)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
22.3 3.98 1.35 14 1 1 0 0.2
Birth Date9-24-1989
Height6' 0"
Weight235 lbs
Age27 years, 5 months, 0 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2013
0.32014
-0.02015
0.02016
0.22017
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2014 HOU MLB 17 2 35.3 1 3 0 41 12 20 4 .262 98 10.4 3.1 1.0 5.1 62% .316 .289 1.50 4.60 4.58 102 3.83 99.8 0.3
2015 HOU MLB 5 0 9.0 0 0 0 5 4 5 1 .271 103 5.0 4.0 1.0 5.0 59% .154 .228 1.00 5.10 2.00 106 4.90 111.4 -0.0
2016 CHN MLB 2 1 6.0 1 0 0 3 1 4 1 .259 98 4.5 1.5 1.5 6.0 50% .133 .168 0.67 4.52 1.50 107 4.60 104.7 0.0
CareerMLB24350.32304917296.263998.83.01.15.260%.272.2661.314.683.751034.12102.50.4

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2010 TCV A- 14 14 61.0 4 5 0 69 11 42 3 .259 101 10.2 1.6 0.4 6.2 61% .322 .235 1.31 3.57 4.28 96 4.66 102.7
2011 LNC A+ 25 25 158.7 5 10 0 157 35 102 10 .276 108 8.9 2.0 0.6 5.8 63% .286 .232 1.21 4.26 3.91 83 2.73 86.7
2011 CCH AA 1 1 7.0 0 0 0 6 1 2 0 .243 104 7.7 1.3 0.0 2.6 67% .250 .178 1.00 3.23 1.29 99 5.62 110.8
2012 CCH AA 27 19 134.3 5 9 0 171 33 83 11 .262 101 11.5 2.2 0.7 5.6 57% .346 .273 1.52 3.98 4.96 102 5.65 111.7
2012 OKL AAA 3 1 8.0 0 1 0 17 5 5 1 .265 87 19.1 5.6 1.1 5.6 45% .500 .417 2.75 5.92 10.12 112 7.33 123.1
2013 CCH AA 18 13 82.0 7 2 1 67 9 44 4 .253 110 7.4 1.0 0.4 4.8 57% .250 .205 0.93 3.02 2.09 91 3.51 95.7
2013 OKL AAA 12 12 76.3 5 5 0 85 13 55 6 .265 96 10.0 1.5 0.7 6.5 58% .326 .248 1.28 3.66 3.89 81 3.54 95.9
2014 HOU MLB 17 2 35.3 1 3 0 41 12 20 4 .262 98 10.4 3.1 1.0 5.1 62% .316 .289 1.50 4.60 4.58 102 3.83 99.8
2014 OKL AAA 16 15 88.3 7 5 0 95 16 46 7 .271 95 9.7 1.6 0.7 4.7 65% .296 .252 1.26 4.33 3.87 104 5.48 106.8
2015 HOU MLB 5 0 9.0 0 0 0 5 4 5 1 .271 103 5.0 4.0 1.0 5.0 59% .154 .228 1.00 5.10 2.00 106 4.90 111.4
2015 FRE AAA 30 7 81.3 5 5 3 101 22 46 5 .265 105 11.2 2.4 0.6 5.1 53% .338 .280 1.51 4.19 4.76 108 5.15 108.9
2016 CHN MLB 2 1 6.0 1 0 0 3 1 4 1 .259 98 4.5 1.5 1.5 6.0 50% .133 .168 0.67 4.52 1.50 107 4.60 104.7
2016 IOW AAA 24 22 141.0 12 8 0 154 38 105 6 .266 96 9.8 2.4 0.4 6.7 61% .329 .263 1.36 3.78 4.34 83 2.64 88.1

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2014 556 0.4856 0.4424 0.7764 0.5963 0.2972 0.8385 0.6588 0.2236
2015 137 0.4234 0.4672 0.8438 0.7241 0.2785 0.9524 0.6364 0.1563
2016 82 0.3902 0.4512 0.7568 0.6563 0.3200 0.9048 0.5625 0.2432
Career7750.46450.44770.78620.62520.29630.86560.64470.2138

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2011-08-16 2011-08-27 Minors 11 9 - Not Disclosed - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2016 CHN $
2015 HOU $
2014 HOU $

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 137 d1 year (2016)

Details
  • 1 year (2016). Released by Houston 3/31/16. Signed by Chicago Cubs as a free agent 4/3/16 (minor-league contract). Contract selected by Chicago Cubs 9/1/16.
  • 1 year (2015). Re-signed by Houston 3/15. DFA by Houston 9/1/15. Sent outright to Triple-A 9/6/15.
  • 1 year (2014). Contract selected by Houston 6/21/14.
  • Drafted by Houston 2010 (8-243) (NC State). $0.12M signing bonus.

2017 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 1.2 0.9 0 21 0 35.0 30 10 22 2 .258 1.14 3.12 3.37 3.3 0.4
80o 1.2 1 0 21 0 30.5 27 9 19 2 .270 1.21 3.41 3.68 2.6 0.3
70o 1.2 1 0 21 0 27.3 26 9 17 2 .278 1.26 3.63 3.91 2.1 0.2
60o 1.1 1 0 21 0 24.6 24 8 16 2 .285 1.31 3.81 4.11 1.6 0.2
50o 1.1 1 0 21 0 22.2 22 8 14 2 .292 1.35 3.98 4.3 1.2 0.1
40o 1.1 1 0 21 0 19.8 21 7 13 2 .299 1.39 4.16 4.49 0.7 0.1
30o 1.1 1 0 21 0 17.3 19 6 11 1 .306 1.44 4.35 4.7 0.2 0.0
20o 1.1 1 0 21 0 14.4 16 5 9 1 .314 1.50 4.57 4.94 -0.3 -0.0
10o 1.1 1.1 0 21 0 10.6 13 4 7 1 .326 1.59 4.89 5.28 -1.1 -0.1
Weighted Mean1.11021021.9227142.2901.343.974.291.20.1

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2017 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20182821150053452648556.3011.354.174.797.74.48.20.90.2
20192921140042372038456.3031.364.264.907.94.38.10.90.1
20203021139041361940456.3061.334.074.687.84.18.70.90.2
20213121141044372042456.3011.313.924.507.64.18.70.80.3
20223210024026201226256.2871.253.864.447.04.29.10.70.2
20233311025026201027256.2931.153.273.766.93.59.30.70.4

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 84)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 92 Dallas Beeler 2016 0.00 DNP
2 91 P.J. Walters 2012 5.98
3 90 Doug Mathis 2010 6.04
4 90 Cesar Valdez 2012 0.00 DNP
5 89 Brian Duensing 2010 2.89
6 89 Tim Dillard 2011 4.08
7 89 J.R. Mathes 2009 0.00 DNP
8 89 Lucas Harrell 2012 4.18
9 89 Brandon Cumpton 2016 0.00 DNP
10 88 Kevin Mulvey 2012 0.00 DNP
11 87 Douglas Arguello 2012 0.00 DNP
12 87 Arnold Leon 2016 7.71
13 87 Logan Darnell 2016 0.00 DNP
14 87 Charles Brewer 2015 0.00 DNP
15 86 Ryan Sadowski 2010 0.00 DNP
16 86 Rob Scahill 2014 4.80
17 86 Zachary Neal 2016 5.08
18 86 Ben Jukich 2010 0.00 DNP
19 86 Rudy Owens 2015 0.00 DNP
20 86 Graham Godfrey 2012 7.71
21 86 Travis Blackley 2010 0.00 DNP
22 86 Thomas Shirley 2016 0.00 DNP
23 85 Chris Rusin 2014 7.11
24 85 Philip Humber 2010 4.15
25 85 Jack Cassel 2008 6.23
26 85 Matt Maloney 2011 10.12
27 85 Mike Kickham 2016 0.00 DNP
28 85 Justin Berg 2011 3.75
29 85 David Pauley 2010 4.37
30 85 Brad Mills 2012 0.00
31 84 Chaz Roe 2014 13.50
32 84 Luis Perez 2012 3.43
33 84 Jack Egbert 2010 0.00 DNP
34 84 Amaury Rivas 2013 0.00 DNP
35 84 Tom Koehler 2013 4.53
36 84 David Martinez 2015 0.00 DNP
37 84 Omar Poveda 2015 0.00 DNP
38 84 Blake Treinen 2015 4.26
39 84 Merrill Kelly 2016 0.00 DNP
40 84 Andrew Ferguson 2016 0.00 DNP
41 84 Stephen Fife 2014 6.00
42 83 Zach Jackson 2010 0.00 DNP
43 83 Brandon Dickson 2012 9.95
44 83 Kevin Pucetas 2012 0.00 DNP
45 83 Chuckie Fick 2013 0.00 DNP
46 83 Mike Fiers 2012 3.95
47 83 Richard Bleier 2014 0.00 DNP
48 83 Eric Berger 2013 0.00 DNP
49 83 Jeremy Hefner 2013 5.17
50 83 Matt Grace 2016 0.00
51 83 Joe Martinez 2010 5.03
52 83 Yorman Bazardo 2012 0.00 DNP
53 82 Jared Hughes 2013 4.78
54 82 Adam Russell 2010 4.60
55 82 Evan MacLane 2010 9.00
56 82 Chris Hernandez 2016 0.00 DNP
57 82 Chris Heston 2015 4.15
58 82 Charles Shirek 2013 0.00 DNP
59 82 Alex Wilson 2014 2.54
60 82 Tony Watson 2012 3.54
61 82 Daniel Moskos 2013 0.00 DNP
62 82 Taylor Hill 2016 0.00 DNP
63 82 Joe Gardner 2015 0.00 DNP
64 82 Polin Trinidad 2012 0.00 DNP
65 81 Mario Santiago 2012 0.00 DNP
66 81 Davis Romero 2010 0.00 DNP
67 81 John Gast 2016 0.00 DNP
68 81 Alberto Cabrera 2016 0.00 DNP
69 81 Josh Butler 2012 0.00 DNP
70 81 Phil Irwin 2014 6.75
71 81 T.J. McFarland 2016 6.93
72 81 Scott Barnes 2015 0.00 DNP
73 81 Yohan Flande 2013 0.00 DNP
74 81 Ramon A. Ramirez 2010 0.00 DNP
75 81 Brooks Brown 2012 0.00 DNP
76 81 Fabio Castro 2012 0.00 DNP
77 81 Marcus Walden 2016 0.00 DNP
78 80 Blake Maxwell 2012 0.00 DNP
79 80 Sam LeCure 2011 3.82
80 80 Eric Surkamp 2015 10.80
81 80 Sean Murphy 2016 0.00 DNP
82 80 Bruce Billings 2013 0.00 DNP
83 80 Cesar Ramos 2011 4.53
84 80 Andrew Werner 2014 0.00 DNP
85 80 Bryan Morris 2014 2.52
86 80 Gus Schlosser 2016 0.00 DNP
87 80 Duane Below 2013 10.12
88 80 Randy Wells 2010 4.49
89 80 Taylor Jordan 2016 0.00 DNP
90 80 Cory Rauschenberger 2012 0.00 DNP
91 80 Brad Knox 2009 0.00 DNP
92 80 Nate Karns 2015 3.80
93 80 Justin Wilson 2015 2.95
94 80 Rob Rasmussen 2016 0.00 DNP
95 80 Matt Wright 2009 0.00 DNP
96 80 Miguel Pinango 2010 0.00 DNP
97 80 Kevin Thomas 2014 0.00 DNP
98 80 Carlos Hernandez 2014 0.00 DNP
99 80 Geno Espineli 2010 0.00 DNP
100 79 Pat Misch 2009 4.48

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .236 .309 .366 .248
11 vs R (Multi) .217 .281 .395 .237
18 Split (Multi) .019 .028 -.029 .011
19 LgAvg (Multi) .006 .020 .015 .013
30 vs L (2016) .143 .143 .143 .124
31 vs R (2016) .154 .214 .385 .190
38 Split (2016) -.011 -.071 -.242 -.066
39 LgAvg (2016) .003 .018 .013 .012

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2017 Due to publishing agreements, the 2017 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2017 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2015 Jake Buchanan is a one-trick guy. He induced a 60% ground ball rate in the majors last year—a hair under what he managed in Triple A—which easily would have placed him in the top ten on that particular leader board had he pitched more innings. Since 2011, there have been forty-one MLB pitching seasons of seventy innings or more that feature 50%+ ground ball rates and sub-15% strikeout rates. Together, those pitchers have averaged ERA's and FIP's that are .4 runs above the MLB average. Buchanan will no doubt earn more opportunities as spot starter and swingman, but his one-trick predecessors offer little precedent for him becoming more than replacement level filler.
2014 Jake Buchanan keeps his high-80s fastball down, batters from reaching ball four and balls from leaving the yard. His divergent stat lines in Corpus Christi and Oklahoma reflected a tale of two BABIPs.

BP Articles

Jake Buchanan is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Dominican Winter League Retrospective ValuationsGreg Wellemeyer2016-01-08
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Major-League Relievers Signing Minor-League DealsR.J. Anderson2015-02-16
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 6, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-06
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 24, 2014Chris Mosch2014-07-24
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 24, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-07-24
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Exception to the RaulR.J. Anderson2014-06-23
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, May 20Jeff Moore2014-05-21
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: May 20Jason Cole2013-05-20
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: May 20Jason Parks2013-05-20


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Jake Buchanan has thrown 780 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2014 and 2016, all of them occuring in the MLB Regular Season. In 2016, he has relied primarily on his Sinker (90mph), also mixing in a Slider (84mph), Change (83mph) and Curve (78mph). He also rarely throws a Fourseam Fastball (89mph).