Biographical

Portrait of Jake Buchanan

Jake Buchanan PAstros

Astros Player Cards | Astros Team Audit | Astros Depth Chart

2014 Rest-of-Season Projections (seasonal age 24)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
0.3 4.63 1.41 0 0 0 0 0.0
Birth Date9-24-1989
Height6' 0"
Weight235 lbs
Age25 years, 0 months, 28 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
-0.12014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2014 HOU 24 17 2 35.3 9.3 26.0 1 3 0 0 0 0 154 41 19 18 4 59 12 11 1 20 4.58 4.60 4.96 -1.1 -0.1
Career17235.39.326.013000015441191845912111204.584.604.96-1.1-0.1

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2010 TCV A- 14 14 61.0 4.90 89 .235 .248 .324 .355 .259 .322 101 3.9 0.4 3.9 0.4
2011 LNC A+ 25 25 158.7 5.20 105 .232 .278 .347 .437 .276 .286 108 26.6 2.6 26.6 2.6
2011 CCH AA 1 1 7.0 3.96 121 .178 .259 .312 .378 .243 .250 104 1.3 0.1 1.3 0.1
2012 CCH AA 27 19 134.3 5.48 78 .273 .250 .322 .378 .262 .346 101 -2.3 -0.2 -4.5 -0.5
2012 OKL AAA 3 1 8.0 6.73 47 .417 .264 .327 .415 .265 .500 87 0.2 0.0 -0.0 0.0
2013 CCH AA 18 13 82.0 4.52 105 .205 .251 .316 .381 .253 .250 110 7.5 0.8 7.5 0.8
2013 OKL AAA 12 12 76.3 4.40 104 .248 .267 .336 .403 .265 .326 96 8.2 0.8 8.2 0.8
2014 HOU MLB 17 2 35.3 4.96 78 .288 .252 .312 .380 .262 .316 98 -0.9 -0.1 -1.1 -0.1
2014 OKL AAA 16 15 88.3 6.07 73 .251 .273 .338 .424 .269 .296 97 -0.4 -0.0 -0.4 -0.0

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2010 TCV A- 4 5 0 14 14 61.0 69 11 42 3 61% .322 10.2 1.6 0.4 6.2 1.31 4.28 3.9 0.4
2011 CCH AA 0 0 0 1 1 7.0 6 1 2 0 67% .250 7.7 1.3 0.0 2.6 1.00 1.29 1.3 0.1
2011 LNC A+ 5 10 0 25 25 158.7 157 35 102 10 63% .286 8.9 2.0 0.6 5.8 1.21 3.91 26.6 2.6
2012 CCH AA 5 9 0 27 19 134.3 171 33 83 11 57% .346 11.5 2.2 0.7 5.6 1.52 4.96 -4.5 -0.5
2012 OKL AAA 0 1 0 3 1 8.0 17 5 5 1 45% .500 19.1 5.6 1.1 5.6 2.75 10.12 -0.0 0.0
2013 CCH AA 7 2 1 18 13 82.0 67 9 44 4 57% .250 7.4 1.0 0.4 4.8 0.93 2.09 7.5 0.8
2013 OKL AAA 5 5 0 12 12 76.3 85 13 55 6 58% .326 10.0 1.5 0.7 6.5 1.28 3.89 8.2 0.8
2014 HOU MLB 1 3 0 17 2 35.3 41 12 20 4 62% .316 10.4 3.1 1.0 5.1 1.50 4.58 -1.1 -0.1
2014 OKL AAA 7 5 0 16 15 88.3 95 16 46 7 65% .296 9.7 1.6 0.7 4.7 1.26 3.87 -0.4 -0.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2014 557 0.4758 0.4550 0.7945 0.6075 0.3151 0.8571 0.6848 0.2016
Career5570.47580.4550.79450.60750.31510.85710.68480.2016

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2011-08-16 2011-08-27 Minors 11 9 - Not Disclosed - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 HOU $

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 0 d1 year (2014)

Details
  • 1 year (2014). Contract selected by Houston 6/21/14.
  • Drafted by Houston 2010 (8-243) (NC State). $0.12M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 7.4 9.4 0 25 25 142.5 139 35 71 14 .268 1.22 3.67 3.99 18.4 1.9
80o 6.7 9.4 0 24 24 136.0 140 35 68 14 .280 1.29 4.01 4.36 11.6 1.2
70o 6.3 9.5 0 23 23 131.4 141 35 66 14 .288 1.34 4.26 4.63 7.1 0.7
60o 5.9 9.5 0 22 22 127.5 142 35 64 14 .296 1.39 4.48 4.87 3.5 0.4
50o 5.6 9.5 0 22 22 123.9 143 36 62 14 .302 1.44 4.68 5.09 0.4 0.0
40o 5.3 9.4 0 21 21 120.3 143 36 60 14 .309 1.49 4.89 5.31 -2.4 -0.2
30o 5 9.4 0 21 21 116.6 144 36 58 14 .316 1.54 5.11 5.56 -5.4 -0.5
20o 4.6 9.4 0 20 20 112.3 144 36 56 14 .325 1.60 5.38 5.85 -8.4 -0.9
10o 4.1 9.3 0 19 19 106.5 144 36 53 14 .337 1.69 5.75 6.25 -12.1 -1.2
Weighted Mean5.69.402222123.8142356214.3011.434.665.070.70.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
17% 23% 7% 23% 40%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201525780222212714333771454.3111.394.424.8010.12.35.51.00.4
201626570181810512624571354.3151.434.795.2110.82.14.91.1-0.1
20172756016169510925541154.3091.424.715.1210.42.45.11.0-0.0
201828660181810612024621254.3081.364.354.7310.22.05.31.00.4
20192955015158910322511054.3081.404.524.9110.42.25.11.00.2
20203056016169310522561154.3081.374.414.7910.22.15.41.10.3
20213155015158810021511054.3071.384.454.8410.22.15.21.00.2
2022325501414859619501054.3071.354.374.7510.22.05.31.10.3
202333450131378881746954.3061.354.354.7310.22.05.31.00.3

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
1.30.41.10.40.40.13.7

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 79)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 93 Dallas Keuchel 2012 5.91
2 90 T.J. McFarland 2013 4.46
3 89 Kevin Mulvey 2009 8.14
4 87 Adam Warren 2012 23.14
5 87 Chris Hernandez 2013 0.00 DNP
6 86 Justin Cassel 2009 0.00 DNP
7 86 Daniel Rosenbaum 2012 0.00 DNP
8 85 Joe Gardner 2012 0.00 DNP
9 84 Ivan Nova 2011 4.03
10 84 Anthony Vasquez 2011 10.74
11 84 Robbie Ross 2013 3.03
12 84 Nathan Baker 2012 0.00 DNP
13 83 Merrill Kelly 2013 0.00 DNP
14 83 Murphy Smith 2012 0.00 DNP
15 83 Brandon Cumpton 2013 2.35
16 83 Alex Sanabia 2013 5.37
17 83 Nick Barnese 2013 0.00 DNP
18 82 Jorge Reyes 2012 0.00 DNP
19 82 Richard Bleier 2011 0.00 DNP
20 82 Carlos Hernandez 2011 0.00 DNP
21 82 Zach Phillips 2011 1.12
22 82 Zach McAllister 2012 5.60
23 81 Aaron Laffey 2009 5.10
24 81 Clayton Tanner 2012 0.00 DNP
25 81 Brooks Brown 2009 0.00 DNP
26 81 Kris Johnson 2009 0.00 DNP
27 81 David Phelps 2011 0.00 DNP
28 81 Seth Maness 2013 2.47
29 81 Adam Mills 2009 0.00 DNP
30 80 Rafael Dolis 2012 6.87
31 80 Chad Jenkins 2012 4.50
32 79 Brad Bergesen 2010 5.51
33 79 Josh Bowman 2013 0.00 DNP
34 79 AJ Schugel 2013 0.00 DNP
35 79 Graham Stoneburner 2012 0.00 DNP
36 79 D.J. Mitchell 2011 0.00 DNP
37 79 Carlos Rosa 2009 3.38
38 78 Charles Brewer 2012 0.00 DNP
39 78 Reidier Gonzalez 2010 0.00 DNP
40 78 Bryan Shaw 2012 4.40
41 78 Justin Grimm 2013 6.43
42 78 Wade Miley 2011 4.50
43 78 Carlton Smith 2010 0.00 DNP
44 77 Charlie Haeger 2008 20.77
45 77 Anthony Bass 2012 5.47
46 77 Jose De Paula 2012 0.00 DNP
47 77 Joe Kelly 2012 4.21
48 77 Kevin Pucetas 2009 0.00 DNP
49 77 Kyle Cofield 2011 0.00 DNP
50 77 Justin Masterson 2009 4.94
51 77 Zach Stewart 2011 5.88
52 77 Wade Davis 2010 4.07
53 76 John Gast 2013 5.11
54 76 Juan Gutierrez 2008 0.00 DNP
55 76 Dallas Beeler 2013 0.00 DNP
56 76 Jordan Smith 2010 3.86
57 76 Zach Britton 2012 5.37
58 76 Luis Mendoza 2008 10.66
59 76 Dallas Trahern 2010 0.00 DNP
60 76 Rudy Owens 2012 0.00 DNP
61 76 Marcus Walden 2013 0.00 DNP
62 76 Alex Cobb 2012 4.42
63 76 Dillon Gee 2010 2.73
64 76 Elih Villanueva 2011 24.00
65 76 Justin Wilson 2012 1.93
66 76 Matthew Tracy 2013 0.00 DNP
67 75 Brandon League 2007 6.17
68 75 Chris Sorce 2012 0.00 DNP
69 75 Trevor Bell 2011 3.67
70 75 Kyle Mura 2009 0.00 DNP
71 75 Brad Meyers 2010 0.00 DNP
72 75 Mitch Talbot 2008 11.17
73 75 Charlie Leesman 2011 0.00 DNP
74 75 Robert Mosebach 2009 11.57
75 75 Gus Schlosser 2013 0.00 DNP
76 75 Alan Johnson 2008 0.00 DNP
77 75 James Adkins 2010 0.00 DNP
78 75 Eric Smith 2013 0.00 DNP
79 75 Anthony Swarzak 2010 0.00 DNP
80 75 Jonny Venters 2009 0.00 DNP
81 75 Vin Mazzaro 2011 8.26
82 75 Chris Heston 2012 0.00 DNP
83 75 Anthony Ortega 2010 0.00 DNP
84 75 Sean Burnett 2007 0.00 DNP
85 74 Mark Holliman 2008 0.00 DNP
86 74 Lance Lynn 2011 3.12
87 74 Garrett Richards 2012 5.83
88 74 Casey Coleman 2012 7.40
89 74 J.C. Ramirez 2013 8.25
90 74 Greg Reynolds 2010 0.00 DNP
91 74 Jake Petricka 2012 0.00 DNP
92 74 Dana Eveland 2008 4.39
93 74 Evan Anundsen 2012 0.00 DNP
94 74 Matt Packer 2012 0.00 DNP
95 74 Shane Dyer 2012 0.00 DNP
96 74 Adam Wilk 2012 9.00
97 74 Joseph O'Gara 2012 0.00 DNP
98 74 Jon Kibler 2011 0.00 DNP
99 74 Jose Quintana 2013 3.73
100 74 Kelvin Marte 2012 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).

BP Articles

Jake Buchanan is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 6, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-06
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 24, 2014Chris Mosch2014-07-24
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 24, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-07-24
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Exception to the RaulR.J. Anderson2014-06-23
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, May 20Jeff Moore2014-05-21
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: May 20Jason Parks2013-05-20
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: May 20Jason Cole2013-05-20


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Jake Buchanan has thrown 561 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system in 2014, all of them occuring in the MLB Regular Season. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Sinker (89mph), also mixing in a Curve (77mph), Slider (83mph), Change (84mph) and Fourseam Fastball (90mph). He also rarely throws a Cutter (88mph).