Biographical

Portrait of Hector Neris

Hector Neris PPhillies

Phillies Player Cards | Phillies Team Audit | Phillies Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 27)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
2.3 4.20 1.33 2 0 0 0 0.0
Birth Date6-14-1989
Height6' 2"
Weight215 lbs
Age27 years, 3 months, 12 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2012
2013
0.02014
0.32015
1.42016
+proj
DRA-Based WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA WARP
2014 PHI MLB 1 0 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 .161 96 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 50% .000 -.004 0.00 1.10 0.00 99 4.17 0.0
2015 PHI MLB 32 0 40.3 2 2 0 38 10 41 8 .266 99 8.5 2.2 1.8 9.1 39% .280 .284 1.19 4.75 3.79 99 4.18 0.3
2016 PHI MLB 77 0 78.3 4 4 1 55 29 100 9 .273 91 6.3 3.3 1.0 11.5 44% .261 .228 1.07 3.33 2.53 76 3.39 1.4
CareerMLB1100119.7761933914217.270947.02.91.310.742%.267.2461.103.792.93843.661.7

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA
2011 LWD A 19 0 35.0 2 1 0 34 9 43 6 .259 96 8.7 2.3 1.5 11.1 41% .304 .265 1.23 4.16 3.86 0 0.00
2011 WPT A- 15 0 24.0 1 1 0 17 8 29 1 .263 98 6.4 3.0 0.4 10.9 23% .286 .205 1.04 2.61 1.12 0 0.00
2012 CLR A+ 50 0 78.7 4 2 6 64 25 94 7 .248 107 7.3 2.9 0.8 10.8 35% .297 .225 1.13 3.27 3.55 0 0.00
2012 TOR Wnt 6 0 6.3 0 1 0 10 3 6 2 .000 14.2 4.3 2.8 8.5 0% .381 .000 2.05 6.74 5.68 0 0.00
2013 REA AA 46 8 97.0 6 4 0 89 39 93 14 .262 101 8.3 3.6 1.3 8.6 35% .281 .274 1.32 4.55 4.55 0 0.00
2014 PHI MLB 1 0 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 .161 96 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 50% .000 -.004 0.00 1.10 0.00 99 4.17
2014 REA AA 11 0 19.3 2 0 0 12 10 12 3 .261 103 5.6 4.7 1.4 5.6 44% .176 .232 1.14 5.68 1.86 0 0.00
2014 LEH AAA 37 1 58.0 4 3 2 50 19 58 5 .248 101 7.8 2.9 0.8 9.0 43% .287 .226 1.19 3.77 4.19 0 0.00
2015 PHI MLB 32 0 40.3 2 2 0 38 10 41 8 .266 99 8.5 2.2 1.8 9.1 39% .280 .284 1.19 4.75 3.79 99 4.18
2015 LEH AAA 27 0 37.3 1 3 1 38 24 35 1 .254 99 9.2 5.8 0.2 8.4 36% .327 .275 1.66 3.56 3.62 0 0.00
2016 PHI MLB 77 0 78.3 4 4 1 55 29 100 9 .273 91 6.3 3.3 1.0 11.5 44% .261 .228 1.07 3.33 2.53 0 0.00

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2014 9 0.7778 0.6667 0.6667 0.7143 0.5000 0.8000 0.0000 0.3333
2015 678 0.4528 0.4838 0.6982 0.7003 0.3046 0.8140 0.4779 0.3018
2016 1294 0.4621 0.4923 0.6546 0.6321 0.3721 0.7619 0.4981 0.3454
Career19810.46040.49020.66960.65580.34960.77990.48890.3304

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2016 PHI $515,000
2015 PHI $
YearsDescriptionSalary
2011Current$515,000
1 yrTotal$515,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 104 d1 year/$0.515M (2016)

Details
  • 1 year/$0.515M (2016). Re-signed by Philadelphia 3/16.
  • 1 year (2015). Re-signed by Philadelphia 3/15.
  • 1 year (2014). Contract selected by Philadelphia 8/3/14.
  • Signed by Philadelphia 4/29/10 as an amateur free agent from the Dominican Republic.

2016 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/15/2015 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 3 1.3 0 55 0 75.7 56 23 68 8 .259 1.05 3.01 3.27 9.8 1.1
80o 2.9 1.2 0 55 0 69.4 56 23 62 7 .273 1.13 3.40 3.69 7.1 0.8
70o 2.8 1.2 0 55 0 65.0 55 22 58 7 .284 1.19 3.68 4 5.1 0.5
60o 2.8 1.1 0 55 0 61.3 54 22 55 7 .293 1.24 3.93 4.27 3.3 0.4
50o 2.8 1.1 0 55 0 57.9 53 22 52 7 .301 1.29 4.16 4.53 1.7 0.2
40o 2.7 1 0 55 0 54.6 52 21 49 7 .310 1.34 4.40 4.78 0.1 0.0
30o 2.7 1 0 55 0 51.1 51 21 46 7 .319 1.39 4.66 5.06 -1.7 -0.2
20o 2.6 0.9 0 55 0 47.1 49 20 42 7 .329 1.46 4.96 5.39 -3.8 -0.4
10o 2.6 0.8 0 55 0 41.8 46 19 38 6 .344 1.56 5.40 5.87 -6.8 -0.7
Weighted Mean2.81.1055057.35221527.2991.284.134.491.90.2

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 9/25/2016 11:52 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 0.1 0.1 0 3 0 17.2 13 5 16 2 .247 1.07 3.09 3.25 0.3 0.0
80o 0.1 0.1 0 3 0 12.0 10 4 11 1 .261 1.15 3.46 3.65 0.2 0.0
70o 0.1 0.1 0 3 0 8.4 7 3 8 1 .271 1.22 3.74 3.94 0.1 0.0
60o 0.1 0.1 0 3 0 5.4 5 2 5 1 .280 1.27 3.98 4.19 0.0 0.0
50o 0.1 0.1 0 3 0 2.7 3 1 3 0 .288 1.33 4.20 4.43 -0.0 -0.0
Weighted Mean0.10.10301.92120.2861.314.174.4-0.0-0.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
9% 15% 14% 24% 38%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20172821047050441945737.2921.264.374.867.93.48.11.30.0
20182921042045391742637.2941.254.304.787.93.48.51.20.1
20193021042045401641637.3001.254.304.788.13.28.31.20.1
20203121039042371538537.2961.254.274.748.03.28.21.10.1
20213221033035311332537.2961.274.344.828.03.48.31.30.0
20223321033035321332537.2991.304.414.908.33.48.31.3-0.0
20233421034036321332537.2971.264.434.928.13.38.11.3-0.0
20243521033035321332537.2991.294.394.888.23.38.21.3-0.0
20253611028029271126437.2991.304.414.908.33.48.01.2-0.0

Long-Term Forecast Based on RoS PECOTA (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20172831255058421964637.2771.063.543.936.63.010.00.90.6
20182942270074522385837.2721.023.413.796.42.810.41.00.9
20193031265069522077837.2851.043.423.806.82.610.01.00.8
20203142269074512184737.2690.983.133.486.22.610.30.91.2
20213231263067482073837.2711.023.533.926.52.79.91.10.7
20223331261065512171837.2871.113.694.107.12.99.91.10.6
20233431263067492073937.2691.043.724.136.62.79.91.20.6
2024351112702928933437.3471.293.674.088.82.810.41.30.3

Upside By Year

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
out of baseball0.5out of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseball0.5

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
2015out of baseball0.5out of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseball0.5

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 88)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 94 Craig Breslow 2008 2.30
2 94 Osiris Matos 2012 0.00 DNP
3 91 Casey Fien 2011 0.00 DNP
4 91 Jeff Stevens 2011 5.14
5 91 Ron Flores 2007 4.08
6 90 Oneli Perez 2010 0.00 DNP
7 90 Matt Langwell 2013 5.14
8 90 Arquimedes Caminero 2014 10.80
9 89 Rob Wooten 2013 3.90
10 89 Justin Hedrick 2009 0.00 DNP
11 89 Dale Thayer 2008 0.00 DNP
12 89 Fernando Hernandez 2012 0.00 DNP
13 89 R.J. Swindle 2011 0.00 DNP
14 89 Cody Hall 2015 6.48
15 89 Josh Judy 2013 0.00 DNP
16 89 Cesar Jimenez 2012 0.00 DNP
17 88 Mike Benacka 2010 0.00 DNP
18 88 Kyle Landis 2013 0.00 DNP
19 88 Jaye Chapman 2014 0.00 DNP
20 88 Mike DeMark 2010 0.00 DNP
21 88 Matt Gorgen 2014 0.00 DNP
22 88 Jarod Plummer 2011 0.00 DNP
23 88 Kam Mickolio 2011 6.75
24 88 Brandon Sisk 2013 0.00 DNP
25 88 A.J. Battisto 2011 0.00 DNP
26 88 Matt Rusch 2010 0.00 DNP
27 88 Kazuhito Tadano 2007 0.00 DNP
28 87 Jim Miller 2009 0.00 DNP
29 87 Jason Urquidez 2010 0.00 DNP
30 87 Leuris Gomez 2014 0.00 DNP
31 87 Jesse Carlson 2008 2.40
32 87 Trystan Magnuson 2012 0.00 DNP
33 87 Chris Hatcher 2012 5.52
34 87 Kevin Whelan 2011 5.40
35 87 Chad Rhoades 2010 0.00 DNP
36 87 Pedro Viola 2010 13.50
37 87 Federico Castaneda 2011 0.00 DNP
38 87 Scott Maine 2012 6.08
39 87 James Hoyt 2014 0.00 DNP
40 87 Jose Marte 2011 0.00 DNP
41 87 Justin Miller 2014 6.57
42 87 Mike Zagurski 2010 10.29
43 87 Steve Bray 2008 0.00 DNP
44 87 Calvin Medlock 2010 0.00 DNP
45 87 Jhonny Nunez 2013 0.00 DNP
46 87 Pat Venditte 2012 0.00 DNP
47 87 Kyler Newby 2012 0.00 DNP
48 87 Jason Gurka 2015 9.39
49 87 Jeremy McBryde 2014 0.00 DNP
50 87 Jose De La Torre 2013 6.35
51 87 Josh Fields 2013 4.97
52 87 Jim Hoey 2010 0.00 DNP
53 87 Josh Spence 2015 0.00 DNP
54 86 Josh Wilkie 2012 0.00 DNP
55 86 Jordan Conley 2014 0.00 DNP
56 86 Santo Luis 2011 0.00 DNP
57 86 Chris Mabeus 2006 21.60
58 86 Matt Daley 2009 4.24
59 86 Roy Corcoran 2007 0.00 DNP
60 86 Cory Rasmus 2015 5.23
61 86 Chia-Jen Lo 2013 4.19
62 86 Evan Scribner 2013 4.39
63 86 Marquis Fleming 2014 0.00 DNP
64 86 Marcus Hatley 2015 0.00
65 86 Jose Ascanio 2012 0.00 DNP
66 86 Brent Leach 2010 0.00 DNP
67 86 David Johnson 2010 0.00 DNP
68 86 David Carpenter 2013 1.78
69 86 Jonathan Arias 2015 0.00 DNP
70 86 Caleb Thielbar 2014 3.59
71 86 Jon Hunton 2010 0.00 DNP
72 86 Anthony Slama 2011 0.00
73 86 Taylor Thompson 2014 10.12
74 86 German Melendez 2008 0.00 DNP
75 86 Pedro Baez 2015 3.88
76 86 Carlos Muniz 2008 5.40
77 86 Jess Todd 2013 0.00 DNP
78 86 Warner Madrigal 2011 0.00 DNP
79 86 Brett Bochy 2015 0.00
80 86 C.C. Lee 2014 4.82
81 86 Tyler Sturdevant 2013 0.00 DNP
82 86 Bryce Stowell 2014 0.00 DNP
83 86 Jeff Sues 2010 0.00 DNP
84 86 Ryan Kussmaul 2014 0.00 DNP
85 86 Hunter Jones 2011 0.00 DNP
86 85 Eammon Portice 2012 0.00 DNP
87 85 Mitch Lively 2013 0.00 DNP
88 85 Rafael Martin 2011 0.00 DNP
89 85 Steven Ames 2015 0.00 DNP
90 85 Sam Demel 2013 0.00 DNP
91 85 Harvey Garcia 2011 0.00 DNP
92 85 Romulo Sanchez 2011 0.00 DNP
93 85 Jason Ray 2012 0.00 DNP
94 85 Michael Schwimer 2013 0.00 DNP
95 85 Justin Souza 2013 0.00 DNP
96 85 Jarrett Grube 2009 0.00 DNP
97 85 Paul Phillips 2011 0.00 DNP
98 85 Will Harris 2012 9.17
99 85 Robert Hinton 2012 0.00 DNP
100 85 Matthew Bischoff 2014 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .264 .350 .413 .277
11 vs R (Multi) .229 .275 .490 .285
18 Split (Multi) .035 .076 -.076 -.008
19 LgAvg (Multi) .009 .023 .019 .016
30 vs L (2015) .267 .353 .417 .279
31 vs R (2015) .232 .277 .495 .288
38 Split (2015) .035 .076 -.078 -.009
39 LgAvg (2015) .009 .024 .022 .017

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2016 While it's difficult to single out something Neris does exceptionally well, it's equally difficult to tack down a fatal flaw. He'll sit mid-90s with his fastball and showcase a bit of natural cut at times, and he'll fling a slurvy slider or toss a split with heavy arm-side run, too, all of which would combine to suggest the Phillies do indeed have another viable major-league arm in their grasp. Neris was troubled by the home run ball, and too often shied away from challenging left-handed hitters, resulting in a higher platoon-disadvantaged walk rate. He clearly felt more confident challenging right-handers with his arsenal, and commanded the inside of the zone against them particularly well. If the splitter continues to improve, Neris will have added a useful weapon to combat the lefty menace. Despite his lack of flash, Neris has a confident presence on the mound, and feels like a promising asset with room yet to grow even though he's 27 this year.
2015 A clean 15th inning against Houston in early August made Hector Neris a major leaguer, and put him ahead of Gerrit Cole, Tyson Ross and Tim Hudson on at least one 2014 leaderboard: Win Probability Added. He should get many more innings in a bullpen this year, but most likely in much lower leverage.

BP Articles

Hector Neris is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
Expert FAAB Review: Week 15Mike Gianella2016-07-15
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep League Report: Week 13Scooter Hotz2016-07-01
Expert FAAB Review: Week 13Mike Gianella2016-06-28
Rubbing Mud: All the Implications of Odubel HerreraMatthew Trueblood2016-05-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Draft Rankings: The Updated Top 300Mike Gianella2016-05-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Draft Rankings: The Updated Top 300Bret Sayre2016-05-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessUpdating the Tiers: Relief PitchersBret Sayre2016-05-25
What You Need to Know: You Could Wake Up Tomorrow to the Phillies in First PlaceDemetrius Bell2016-05-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessCloser Report: Week SixMatt Collins2016-05-10
DRA 2016: DRA Returns!Jonathan Judge2016-05-06
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep League Report: Week FiveScooter Hotz2016-05-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep League Report: Week FourScooter Hotz2016-04-29
TDGX Transactions: Oh the Places You'll CanoGeorge Bissell2016-04-28
Expert FAAB Review: Week FourMike Gianella2016-04-26
Expert FAAB Review: Week ThreeMike Gianella2016-04-19
What You Need to Know: The Fella's Last Name Is StoryAshley Varela2016-04-11
Fifth Column: PECOTA Picks Philies to Win NL EastMichael Baumann2016-02-23
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of December 14-15Jeffrey Paternostro2015-12-16
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 28, 2015Daniel Rathman2015-08-28
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 25, 2015Chris Mosch2015-08-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week 21Keith Cromer2015-08-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week 21J.J. Jansons2015-08-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep League Report: Week 20Keith Cromer2015-08-19
2015 Prospects: Philadelphia Phillies Top 10 ProspectsChris Mellen2014-11-03
2015 Prospects: Philadelphia Phillies Top 10 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2014-11-03
2015 Prospects: Philadelphia Phillies Top 10 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2014-11-03


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2016-05-26 19:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Mike, I have a trade that I'm contemplating. It is for my 16 team Dynasty H2H with OBP and TB. We must start 3 RP and have the flexibility of 3 Utl spots. I recently had a hole at 1B and traded Sano for J.D. Martinez and Chris Carter. Carter helped fill the hole at 1B. I have an offer on the table for Jose Abreu and A. Bailey for Strasberg and K-Rod. In my other 2 RP slots I have Jansen and Ramos. Loosing Strasberg would leave me with Corrasco, Maedea, Pomeranz, J. Hammel, Karns, Rubby De La Rosa, Manea, Snell, Minor, and Greene. Should I make the trade? Will my pitching survive? Does Abreu make a significant upgrade in a offense with Posey, Carter, Rendon, Franco, Tulo, Springer, J.D Martinez, Kemp, Choo, M. Upton, and Morales? Thanks for your help...
(CharJaco from CA)
Abreu is slumping but that's still fair plus you're getting a closer for a reliever in Bailey who isn't likely to get saves any time in the near future. It's Hector Neris if Jeanmar Gomez falters. Do the deal. (Mike Gianella)
2016-05-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Matt At season's end, who has more saves: Hector Neris, Tyler Thornburg or Dalier Hinojosa?
(Ed from Cranford, NJ)
Hector Neris is the best pitcher in this group. I can't make myself care at all who compiles the most saves. (Matthew Trueblood)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Hector Neris has thrown 1,930 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2014 and 2016, all of them occuring in the MLB Regular Season. In 2016, he has relied primarily on his Splitter (88mph) and Fourseam Fastball (95mph), also mixing in a Sinker (95mph). He also rarely throws a Slider (88mph) and Change (88mph).