Biographical

Portrait of David Buchanan

David Buchanan PPhillies

Phillies Player Cards | Phillies Team Audit | Phillies Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 27)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
10.0 4.66 1.40 6 0 1 0 0.0
Birth Date5-11-1989
Height6' 3"
Weight200 lbs
Age27 years, 3 months, 19 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2012
2013
0.52014
-0.62015
0.02016
+proj
DRA-Based WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA WARP
2014 PHI MLB 20 20 117.7 6 8 0 120 32 71 12 .258 97 9.2 2.4 0.9 5.4 54% .284 .272 1.29 4.24 3.75 109 4.50 0.5
2015 PHI MLB 15 15 74.7 2 9 0 109 29 44 12 .264 97 13.1 3.5 1.4 5.3 51% .369 .335 1.85 5.36 6.99 113 5.75 -0.6
CareerMLB3535192.381702296111524.2609710.72.91.15.453%.319.2981.514.685.011104.98-0.1

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA
2010 WPT A- 13 13 62.0 3 1 0 61 23 30 1 .259 99 8.9 3.3 0.1 4.4 55% .286 .255 1.35 4.02 4.21
2011 LWD A 20 20 125.0 11 5 0 115 32 86 6 .262 97 8.3 2.3 0.4 6.2 45% .285 .240 1.18 3.64 3.38
2011 CLR A+ 6 6 32.3 3 2 0 37 11 24 4 .258 104 10.3 3.1 1.1 6.7 51% .327 .269 1.48 4.63 3.90
2012 REA AA 12 12 72.3 3 5 0 73 23 40 7 .255 105 9.1 2.9 0.9 5.0 47% .288 .265 1.33 4.56 3.86
2013 REA AA 22 22 130.7 6 11 0 142 41 86 15 .267 103 9.8 2.8 1.0 5.9 48% .304 .282 1.40 4.58 4.82
2013 LEH AAA 6 6 39.0 4 2 0 36 12 22 2 .247 101 8.3 2.8 0.5 5.1 44% .274 .234 1.23 3.90 3.00
2014 PHI MLB 20 20 117.7 6 8 0 120 32 71 12 .258 97 9.2 2.4 0.9 5.4 54% .284 .272 1.29 4.24 3.75
2014 LEH AAA 12 12 57.0 6 2 0 67 21 46 3 .258 99 10.6 3.3 0.5 7.3 44% .356 .269 1.54 3.69 3.95
2015 PHI MLB 15 15 74.7 2 9 0 109 29 44 12 .264 97 13.1 3.5 1.4 5.3 51% .369 .335 1.85 5.36 6.99
2015 LEH AAA 10 10 54.7 4 2 0 58 20 30 2 .256 100 9.5 3.3 0.3 4.9 51% .304 .255 1.43 3.85 2.80
2015 PHL Rk 2 2 9.0 1 0 0 6 0 5 0 .241 108 6.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 63% .222 .142 0.67 2.19 1.00
2016 LEH AAA 25 24 153.3 8 9 0 154 38 85 15 .254 98 9.0 2.2 0.9 5.0 48% .280 .255 1.25 4.11 4.23

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2014 1806 0.4734 0.4535 0.8095 0.6468 0.2797 0.8897 0.6429 0.1905
2015 1221 0.4930 0.4676 0.8336 0.6429 0.2973 0.9147 0.6630 0.1664
Career30270.48130.45920.81920.64520.28680.89980.6510.1808

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2012-06-19 2012-09-05 Minors 78 75 Right Fingers Sprain Middle Finger -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2016 PHI $
2015 PHI $512,500
2014 PHI $
YearsDescriptionSalary
1 yrPrevious$512,500
1 yrTotal$512,500

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
1 y 8 dTWC Sports1 year (2016)

Details
  • 1 year (2016). Re-signed by Philadelphia 3/16.
  • 1 year/$0.5125M (2015). Re-signed by Philadelphia 3/15.
  • 1 year (2014). Contract selected by Philadelphia 5/24/14.
  • Drafted by Philadelphia 2010 (7-231) (Georgia State). $0.125M signing bonus.

2016 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/15/2015 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 2.1 2.7 0 8 8 53.1 46 14 36 5 .275 1.13 3.39 3.69 7.6 0.8
80o 2.1 2.8 0 8 8 48.5 45 13 33 5 .286 1.19 3.72 4.05 6.0 0.6
70o 2 2.9 0 8 8 45.2 43 13 31 5 .295 1.24 3.96 4.31 4.9 0.5
60o 2 3 0 8 8 42.5 42 12 29 5 .302 1.28 4.17 4.54 3.9 0.4
50o 1.9 3.1 0 8 8 40.0 41 12 27 5 .308 1.32 4.37 4.75 3.0 0.3
40o 1.8 3.2 0 8 8 37.5 39 12 26 4 .315 1.36 4.57 4.97 2.1 0.2
30o 1.8 3.3 0 8 8 34.9 38 11 24 4 .322 1.40 4.78 5.2 1.2 0.1
20o 1.7 3.4 0 8 8 32.0 36 11 22 4 .330 1.46 5.04 5.47 0.1 0.0
10o 1.6 3.6 0 8 8 28.0 33 10 19 4 .341 1.53 5.39 5.86 -1.4 -0.1
Weighted Mean1.93.108839.74012275.3071.314.354.733.10.3

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 8/30/2016 11:44 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 0.5 0.7 0 2 2 21.8 20 6 14 2 .264 1.19 3.73 3.9 1.2 0.1
80o 0.5 0.8 0 2 2 17.6 17 5 11 2 .275 1.26 4.04 4.24 0.8 0.1
70o 0.5 0.8 0 2 2 14.7 15 4 9 2 .282 1.31 4.28 4.49 0.5 0.1
60o 0.5 0.8 0 2 2 12.2 13 4 8 2 .289 1.36 4.47 4.7 0.3 0.0
50o 0.5 0.8 0 2 2 10.0 11 3 6 1 .295 1.40 4.66 4.9 0.1 0.0
40o 0.5 0.8 0 2 2 7.8 9 3 5 1 .302 1.44 4.85 5.1 -0.1 -0.0
30o 0.4 0.9 0 2 2 5.5 6 2 3 1 .308 1.49 5.06 5.32 -0.4 -0.0
20o 0.4 0.9 0 2 2 2.9 3 1 2 0 .316 1.54 5.30 5.58 -0.7 -0.1
Weighted Mean0.50.80229.710361.2941.394.654.880.10.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
15% 29% 17% 31% 56%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
2017283309954541638650.3061.304.404.899.02.76.31.00.2
2018294501313798024551050.3071.324.494.989.22.76.31.10.2
201930440131375762253950.3121.314.354.839.22.76.41.10.3
202031340121269702147950.3081.334.515.019.22.86.21.20.2
202132340121270702048950.3021.294.505.009.02.66.21.20.2
202233340111167682047850.3061.314.444.939.12.76.31.10.2
202334340101062631842850.3051.314.545.049.22.66.11.20.2
2024353309954561637750.3071.334.565.069.32.76.11.20.1
2025362309951521535750.3061.324.545.049.22.76.21.20.1

Long-Term Forecast Based on RoS PECOTA (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20172881002828171175481062550.2971.314.855.389.22.55.61.3-0.2
20182981102929178180521132650.2951.304.835.369.12.65.71.3-0.1
20193081102929178184481162750.3021.314.805.339.32.45.91.4-0.1
20203191103131198203541202850.2991.304.765.289.22.55.51.30.0
202132690242413913736882250.2851.244.815.348.82.35.71.4-0.1
202233680212112712736851950.2971.294.745.269.02.66.01.40.0
202334790252515015142942350.2911.294.915.459.12.55.71.4-0.3
202435570181810610732701650.2951.314.885.429.12.75.91.4-0.1
2025364601515919324561550.2931.294.965.519.22.45.51.5-0.2

Upside By Year

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
4.73.210.24.84.84.127.7

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
20154.73.210.24.84.84.127.7

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 86)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 93 Sean O'Sullivan 2015 6.21
2 91 Chris Bootcheck 2006 10.45
3 91 Dustin Moseley 2009 4.91
4 90 Matt Belisle 2007 5.62
5 89 Luis Atilano 2012 0.00 DNP
6 89 Billy Buckner 2011 0.00 DNP
7 89 Greg Reynolds 2013 5.83
8 89 Shawn Hill 2008 6.68
9 89 Phil Dumatrait 2009 7.62
10 89 Chad Jenkins 2015 4.91
11 89 Justin Germano 2010 3.82
12 89 Chris George 2007 0.00 DNP
13 89 Brian Bass 2009 5.42
14 88 Trevor Bell 2014 67.50
15 88 Mitchell Boggs 2011 4.01
16 88 Elizardo Ramirez 2010 0.00 DNP
17 88 John Koronka 2008 0.00 DNP
18 88 Andy Van Hekken 2007 0.00 DNP
19 88 Anthony Swarzak 2013 3.19
20 87 Enrique Gonzalez 2010 3.81
21 87 Craig Stammen 2011 0.87
22 87 Billy Traber 2007 4.99
23 87 Ryan Feierabend 2013 0.00 DNP
24 87 Mitch Talbot 2011 6.64
25 87 Luke French 2013 0.00 DNP
26 87 Darrell Rasner 2008 5.88
27 87 Eric Hurley 2013 0.00 DNP
28 87 David Huff 2012 4.72
29 86 Zach Jackson 2010 0.00 DNP
30 86 Ty Taubenheim 2010 0.00 DNP
31 86 Zach Stewart 2014 0.00 DNP
32 86 Miguel Asencio 2008 0.00 DNP
33 86 Chris Seddon 2011 0.00 DNP
34 86 Lance Broadway 2011 0.00 DNP
35 86 Chris Rusin 2014 7.11
36 85 Matt Roney 2007 0.00 DNP
37 85 Jeff Karstens 2010 5.28
38 85 Robert Ray 2011 0.00 DNP
39 85 Luis Mendoza 2011 1.84
40 85 Cha Seung Baek 2007 5.52
41 85 Brad Lincoln 2012 3.78
42 85 Alan Johnson 2011 11.25
43 85 Anthony Lerew 2010 8.54
44 85 Nick Blackburn 2009 4.51
45 85 Andrew Good 2007 0.00 DNP
46 85 Alfredo Figaro 2012 0.00 DNP
47 85 Tobi Stoner 2012 0.00 DNP
48 85 Scott Carroll 2012 0.00 DNP
49 85 Stephen Fife 2014 6.00
50 85 Juan Dominguez 2007 0.00 DNP
51 85 Doug Fister 2011 3.16
52 85 Bobby Livingston 2010 0.00 DNP
53 85 Josh Outman 2012 8.19
54 85 Luis Perez 2012 3.43
55 85 Duane Below 2013 10.12
56 85 Brad Halsey 2008 0.00 DNP
57 84 Jason Hirsh 2009 0.00 DNP
58 84 Miguel Pinango 2010 0.00 DNP
59 84 Jared Hughes 2013 4.78
60 84 Clayton Mortensen 2012 3.21
61 84 Pat Misch 2009 4.48
62 84 Eric Hacker 2010 0.00 DNP
63 84 Joe Savery 2013 4.95
64 84 Tyler Cloyd 2014 0.00 DNP
65 84 Jose De Paula 2015 2.70
66 84 Nick Masset 2009 2.61
67 84 Zack Segovia 2010 0.00 DNP
68 84 Jeff Mandel 2012 0.00 DNP
69 84 Jeff Marquez 2012 0.00 DNP
70 84 Frank Herrmann 2011 5.59
71 84 Mike Gosling 2008 0.00 DNP
72 84 Kyle Drabek 2015 5.06
73 84 Kevin Hart 2010 0.00 DNP
74 84 Reidier Gonzalez 2013 0.00 DNP
75 84 Timothy Bascom 2012 0.00 DNP
76 84 Mike Parisi 2010 0.00 DNP
77 84 Burke Badenhop 2010 4.52
78 84 Brooks Raley 2015 0.00 DNP
79 84 Nathan Adcock 2015 6.00
80 84 Josh Banks 2010 13.50
81 84 Henry Sosa 2013 0.00 DNP
82 84 Brian Stokes 2007 6.93
83 84 Blake Johnson 2012 0.00 DNP
84 84 David Welch 2010 0.00 DNP
85 84 Jason Vargas 2010 4.02
86 84 Hiram Burgos 2015 0.00 DNP
87 84 Jake Woods 2009 0.00 DNP
88 84 Brandon Durden 2012 0.00 DNP
89 84 Steve Garrison 2014 0.00 DNP
90 84 Mario Santiago 2012 0.00 DNP
91 84 Andrew Carpenter 2012 5.00
92 84 J.D. Martin 2010 5.62
93 84 Dave Gassner 2006 0.00 DNP
94 84 Brian Broderick 2014 0.00 DNP
95 84 Johnnie Lowe 2012 0.00 DNP
96 84 L.J. Gagnier 2012 0.00 DNP
97 84 Jorge Campillo 2006 15.43
98 84 Steven Hammond 2009 0.00 DNP
99 84 Paul Oseguera 2011 0.00 DNP
100 84 Oliver Drake 2014 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .303 .380 .484 .314
11 vs R (Multi) .319 .363 .498 .304
18 Split (Multi) -.016 .017 -.014 .010
19 LgAvg (Multi) .009 .023 .019 .016
30 vs L (2015) .353 .429 .613 .367
31 vs R (2015) .339 .384 .509 .303
38 Split (2015) .014 .045 .104 .064
39 LgAvg (2015) .009 .024 .022 .017

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2016 Enduring the sophomore slump to end all sophomore slumps, Buchanan would surely love to pretend 2015 never happened. If there is something to build on, however, it would likely be found in his final four starts of the season, each with two or fewer runs allowed despite their relative brevity. Everything prior to that, from the 8.76 April ERA to the severe ankle sprain in Triple-A to the negative-12 Game Score in a mid-August outing in Arizona, held little light. Buchanan wasn't expected to be more than Most Likely to be Serviceable in the yearbook of Phillies starting pitching, but his regression was still a bit disheartening, as it's tough to root against the success of one of the few pitchers going today who could be labeled a “crafty righty.” Indeed, that's Buchanan's A game: He aims to keep hitters off-balance and off the barrel with a cutter and curve to offset a modest fastball that doesn't move a ton. He needs a reliable defense and he needs sharp command to be successful, and for most of 2015, he had neither. He'll get another shot to win an Opening Day roster job in the rotation's back end—as he did in 2015 with some particularly impressive work in Florida—and it will be difficult to go anywhere but up.
2015 Buchanan, who had always been well below the prospect radar, was one of maybe three or four bright spots on the Phillies' 2014 DVD. None of his secondary stuff makes for pretty GIFs, and the 89-91 mph fastball from the right side leaves him thin margins. But his gallimaufry does have two points in its favor: All five pitches he throws get average or better groundball rates; and the 10 mph difference between his fastball and changeup makes the latter a swing-and-miss pitch. Getting to the secondary pitches is the trouble, as he allowed the 10th highest OPS on fastballs in baseball. It's a fourth or fifth starter's profile, but he should eat plenty of innings for a rebuilding club.

BP Articles

David Buchanan is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: We're Doing it WrongMike Gianella2016-05-06
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Players to Avoid: First BaseBP Fantasy Staff2016-01-22
2016 Prospects: Philadelphia Phillies Top 10 ProspectsJeffrey Paternostro2016-01-05
2016 Prospects: Philadelphia Phillies Top 10 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2016-01-05
This article requires BP Premium accessRubbing Mud: Sano's StrikeoutsMatthew Trueblood2015-12-14
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Appel RevisionChristopher Crawford2015-12-14
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Appel RevisionRian Watt2015-12-14
Expert FAAB Review: Week 26Mike Gianella2015-09-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 26Wilson Karaman2015-09-25
Fantasy Rounders: Sailing the C of SeagerDoug Thorburn2015-09-16
Fantasy Rounders: Men of StealDoug Thorburn2015-09-15
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 10, 2015Daniel Rathman2015-09-10
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 7, 2015Daniel Rathman2015-08-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep League Report: Week 18Keith Cromer2015-08-05
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 20, 2015Ian Frazer2015-07-20
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Hello Vickrey, My (Now) Old FriendMike Gianella2015-06-05
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of May 8-10, 2015Jeff Moore2015-05-11
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Silence!Daniel Rathman2015-04-30
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Matt Harvey's 'Weird' ReturnDaniel Rathman2015-04-15
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week TwoWilson Karaman2015-04-10
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Yo, AdrianDaniel Rathman2015-04-09
Expert FAAB Review: Week OneMike Gianella2015-04-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Team Preview: Philadelphia PhilliesMike Gianella2014-12-08
2015 Prospects: Philadelphia Phillies Top 10 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2014-11-03
2015 Prospects: Philadelphia Phillies Top 10 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2014-11-03
2015 Prospects: Philadelphia Phillies Top 10 ProspectsChris Mellen2014-11-03
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 9, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-09-09
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 24Wilson Karaman2014-09-05
This article requires BP Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 21Wilson Karaman2014-08-15
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 11, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-11
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 11, 2014Chris Mosch2014-08-11
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 20Wilson Karaman2014-08-08
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Man Who Would Replace YadierR.J. Anderson2014-07-15
This article requires BP Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 13Wilson Karaman2014-06-20
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Another No-NoDaniel Rathman2014-06-19
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Another No-NoChris Mosch2014-06-19


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2016, David Buchanan threw 3,039 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2014 and 2015, all of them occuring in the MLB Regular Season. In 2015, he relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (90mph), Sinker (90mph) and Change (82mph), also mixing in a Cutter (89mph) and Curve (79mph).