Biographical

Portrait of Andy Oliver

Andy Oliver PPirates

Pirates Player Cards | Pirates Team Audit | Pirates Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 26)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
110.0 4.60 1.48 98 5 7 0 -0.4
Birth Date12-3-1987
Height6' 3"
Weight215 lbs
Age26 years, 10 months, 22 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
0.02010
-0.32011
2012
2013
-0.42014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2010 DET 22 5 5 22.0 22.0 0.0 0 4 0 0 2 0 102 26 22 18 3 42 13 11 2 18 7.36 5.23 5.61 0.7 0.0
2011 DET 23 2 2 9.7 9.7 0.0 0 1 0 0 1 0 49 11 7 7 3 24 8 8 2 5 6.52 9.16 10.09 -3.2 -0.3
Career7731.731.70.005003015137292566621194237.116.436.91-2.6-0.3

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2009 PEJ Wnt 11 0 16.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .267 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2010 DET MLB 5 5 22.0 5.61 82 .308 .263 .333 .414 .261 .348 107 0.7 0.1 0.7 0.0
2010 ERI AA 14 14 77.3 4.32 111 .251 .269 .344 .408 .266 .306 108 12.2 1.2 12.2 1.2
2010 TOL AAA 9 9 53.0 5.55 83 .247 .273 .338 .435 .261 .266 101 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0
2011 DET MLB 2 2 9.7 10.09 -8 .355 .261 .327 .421 .263 .258 109 -3.2 -0.3 -3.2 -0.3
2011 TOL AAA 26 26 147.0 5.05 89 .277 .268 .331 .413 .256 .332 94 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
2012 TOL AAA 28 19 118.0 5.28 81 .267 .259 .326 .394 .252 .294 95 -0.3 -0.0 -0.3 -0.0
2013 IND AAA 29 24 124.3 5.07 89 .262 .247 .313 .369 .244 .293 101 5.5 0.6 7.0 0.8
2014 IND AAA 48 0 64.0 4.20 108 .218 .258 .328 .388 .249 .230 102 7.4 0.7 6.7 0.6

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2009 PEJ Wnt 1 1 0 11 0 16.0 13 9 16 1 0% .267 7.3 5.1 0.6 9.0 1.38 2.81 0.0 0.0
2010 TOL AAA 3 4 0 9 9 53.0 43 25 49 6 41% .266 7.3 4.2 1.0 8.3 1.28 3.23 0.2 0.0
2010 ERI AA 6 4 0 14 14 77.3 74 25 70 7 42% .306 8.6 2.9 0.8 8.2 1.28 3.61 12.2 1.2
2010 DET MLB 0 4 0 5 5 22.0 26 13 18 3 43% .348 10.6 5.3 1.2 7.4 1.77 7.36 0.7 0.0
2011 TOL AAA 8 12 0 26 26 147.0 149 80 143 15 39% .332 9.1 4.9 0.9 8.8 1.56 4.71 0.1 0.0
2011 DET MLB 0 1 0 2 2 9.7 11 8 5 3 26% .258 10.2 7.4 2.8 4.7 1.97 6.52 -3.2 -0.3
2012 TOL AAA 5 9 0 28 19 118.0 103 88 112 7 44% .294 7.9 6.7 0.5 8.5 1.62 4.88 -0.3 -0.0
2013 IND AAA 5 4 0 29 24 124.3 99 112 138 6 49% .293 7.2 8.1 0.4 10.0 1.70 4.05 7.0 0.8
2014 IND AAA 3 4 13 48 0 64.0 35 47 85 3 39% .230 4.9 6.6 0.4 12.0 1.28 2.53 6.7 0.6

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2010 409 0.5550 0.4230 0.8555 0.6035 0.1978 0.9197 0.6111 0.1445
2011 189 0.4656 0.3492 0.8636 0.5341 0.1881 0.9149 0.7368 0.1364
Career5980.52670.39970.85810.58160.19470.91820.65080.1419

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2012-07-13 2012-07-27 Minors 14 16 Right Shoulder Fatigue - -
2011-05-01 2011-05-09 Minors 8 7 Hand Soreness After Playing with Slingshot -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 PIT $
2013 PIT $

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 34 dScott Boras1 year/$0.501M (2014)

Details
  • 1 year/$0.501M (2014). Re-signed by Pittsburgh 3/6/14. Sent outright to Triple-A by Pittsburgh 3/29/14.
  • 1 year (2013). Signed by Pittsburgh 3/1/13.
  • 1 year (2012). Re-signed by Detroit 2/22/12. Acquired by Pittsburgh in trade from Detroit 12/5/12.
  • 1 year (2011). Re-signed by Detroit 3/11.
  • 1 year (2010). Contract purchased by Detroit 6/25/10.
  • Drafted by Detroit 2009 (2-58) (Oklahoma State). $1.495M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 7.2 8.1 0 24 24 128.6 100 61 114 11 .274 1.25 3.48 3.78 13.7 1.4
80o 6.6 8.2 0 23 23 122.1 100 62 108 11 .286 1.33 3.86 4.19 6.8 0.7
70o 6.1 8.2 0 22 22 117.4 101 62 104 11 .295 1.39 4.14 4.49 2.3 0.2
60o 5.8 8.2 0 21 21 113.6 101 62 101 11 .303 1.44 4.38 4.76 -1.3 -0.1
50o 5.4 8.2 0 21 21 110.0 101 62 98 11 .310 1.49 4.61 5.01 -4.4 -0.4
40o 5.1 8.2 0 20 20 106.5 101 62 94 11 .317 1.54 4.84 5.26 -7.1 -0.7
30o 4.7 8.2 0 19 19 102.8 101 62 91 11 .325 1.59 5.09 5.53 -9.8 -1.0
20o 4.3 8.2 0 19 19 98.5 101 62 87 11 .334 1.66 5.39 5.86 -12.7 -1.3
10o 3.8 8.1 0 17 17 92.7 100 62 82 11 .347 1.75 5.81 6.32 -16.1 -1.6
Weighted Mean5.48.202121109.8100629711.3091.484.584.98-4.0-0.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
19% 26% 12% 29% 44%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
2015278802626152132771441342.3081.384.054.407.84.68.50.80.3
2016287702222132115681261142.3091.394.024.377.94.68.60.80.3
201729660191911399581051042.3071.394.124.487.94.68.40.80.1
201830660191911198561021042.3071.394.184.558.04.68.30.80.0
2019315601717988848861042.3021.394.324.708.14.47.90.9-0.1
202032550161697854789842.3061.373.994.347.94.48.30.70.3
202133550151590794383842.3061.364.004.347.94.38.30.80.3
202234550141485754078842.3071.364.004.348.04.38.30.90.2
202335440131378693771742.3071.364.004.358.04.38.20.80.2

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
3.32.78.84.50.60.120

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 83)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 93 Donnie Veal 2011 0.00 DNP
2 88 Joel Hanrahan 2008 4.38
3 87 Anthony Capra 2013 0.00 DNP
4 87 Francisco Cruceta 2008 6.17
5 87 P.J. Walters 2011 7.20
6 87 Scott Gorgen 2013 0.00 DNP
7 87 Brad Mills 2011 9.82
8 86 Jason Windsor 2009 0.00 DNP
9 86 Armando Galarraga 2008 4.18
10 85 Duane Below 2012 4.86
11 85 Henry Sosa 2012 0.00 DNP
12 85 Andrew Brackman 2012 0.00 DNP
13 85 Alan Horne 2009 0.00 DNP
14 85 J.A. Happ 2009 2.98
15 85 David Purcey 2008 5.68
16 85 James Houser 2011 0.00 DNP
17 84 Kyle Weiland 2013 0.00 DNP
18 84 Eric Berger 2012 0.00 DNP
19 84 Philip Humber 2009 8.00
20 84 Thomas Diamond 2009 0.00 DNP
21 84 Sam LeCure 2010 4.50
22 84 Nick Pereira 2009 0.00 DNP
23 84 Bradley Holt 2013 0.00 DNP
24 83 Chris Narveson 2008 0.00 DNP
25 83 Fabio Castro 2011 0.00 DNP
26 83 Justin Thomas 2010 6.23
27 83 Alex Wilson 2013 5.20
28 83 Chuck Lofgren 2012 0.00 DNP
29 83 Austin Adams 2013 0.00 DNP
30 83 Adam Ottavino 2012 4.78
31 83 Deunte Heath 2012 4.50
32 83 Collin McHugh 2013 10.04
33 83 Jeff Niemann 2009 4.18
34 83 Travis Chick 2010 0.00 DNP
35 83 Michael Stutes 2013 5.60
36 83 Kevin Hart 2009 6.11
37 83 Lance Broadway 2010 0.00 DNP
38 83 Chris Seddon 2010 5.64
39 83 Eric Niesen 2012 0.00 DNP
40 82 Ryan Verdugo 2013 0.00 DNP
41 82 Marco Estrada 2010 10.32
42 82 Michael Madsen 2009 0.00 DNP
43 82 Chris Lambert 2009 10.22
44 82 Dan Meyer 2008 9.11
45 82 Joel Carreno 2013 0.00 DNP
46 82 Clayton Mortensen 2011 4.63
47 82 Tyler Norrick 2010 0.00 DNP
48 82 Eric Hurley 2012 0.00 DNP
49 82 Sean Smith 2010 0.00 DNP
50 82 Daniel Haigwood 2010 0.00 DNP
51 82 Jae Kuk Ryu 2009 0.00 DNP
52 82 Mitchell Boggs 2010 3.88
53 82 Brayan Villarreal 2013 20.77
54 81 Bruce Billings 2012 0.00 DNP
55 81 Garrett Mock 2009 6.41
56 81 Matt Peterson 2008 0.00 DNP
57 81 Wynn Pelzer 2012 0.00 DNP
58 81 Jeff Samardzija 2011 3.68
59 81 J.D. Durbin 2008 0.00 DNP
60 81 A.J. Murray 2008 4.70
61 81 Hayden Penn 2011 0.00 DNP
62 81 Matt Maloney 2010 3.05
63 81 Will Inman 2013 0.00 DNP
64 81 Jesse English 2011 0.00 DNP
65 81 Clint Nageotte 2007 0.00 DNP
66 81 Bryan Morris 2013 3.46
67 81 Arnie Munoz 2008 0.00 DNP
68 81 Erik Cordier 2012 0.00 DNP
69 81 Chris Rusin 2013 4.07
70 81 Erik Davis 2013 3.12
71 81 Tom Koehler 2012 5.40
72 80 Mike Ekstrom 2010 3.31
73 80 Carlos Fisher 2009 4.30
74 80 Dustin Richardson 2010 4.15
75 80 David Pauley 2009 0.00 DNP
76 80 Dustin Nippert 2007 5.96
77 80 Yohan Pino 2010 0.00 DNP
78 80 Randy Wells 2009 3.65
79 80 Joe Savery 2012 6.12
80 80 Chaz Roe 2013 4.03
81 80 Fernando Rodriguez 2010 0.00 DNP
82 80 Ramon A. Ramirez 2009 3.65
83 80 Steven Hensley 2013 0.00 DNP
84 80 Mike Parisi 2009 0.00 DNP
85 80 Cesar Valdez 2011 0.00 DNP
86 80 Graham Godfrey 2011 5.04
87 80 Ryan Mattheus 2010 0.00 DNP
88 80 Jeremy Bleich 2013 0.00 DNP
89 80 Michael Kirkman 2013 8.18
90 80 Luis Marte 2013 0.00 DNP
91 80 Jeremy Hefner 2012 5.19
92 80 James Simmons 2013 0.00 DNP
93 80 Travis Banwart 2012 0.00 DNP
94 79 Billy Buckner 2010 11.77
95 79 Justin Jones 2011 0.00 DNP
96 79 Bobby Parnell 2011 4.40
97 79 Blake Hawksworth 2009 2.25
98 79 Nick Schmidt 2012 0.00 DNP
99 79 Dennis Sarfate 2007 1.08
100 79 Paul Kometani 2009 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Oliver actually regressed in his second go-round at Triple-A: Every stat of importance got worse except hits allowed per nine innings. His strikeout rate essentially held for all intents and purposes, but technically speaking it dipped a smidge. His problem is command and control. It is hard not to love his mid-90s fastball from the left side, but the biggest issue is that he seems to be using Apple Maps to find the strike zone. As a lefty with this kind of power arm, Oliver’s leash will be longer than many. Now with the Pirates, expect him to start the 2013 season in the Triple-A rotation.
2012 His mid-90s fastball, slider, and changeup equip him with the tools to craft a productive big league career, but too often Oliver pitches as if he were pounding in nails with a box-end wrench. As last season wore on, his command went farther and farther south, culminating in a wild Arizona Fall League stint featuring 16 walks in 17 innings and re-igniting whispers that he might be better off in the bullpen. The Tigers are rarely shy about letting youth be served, but Oliver had best spend the year learning to avoid ball four if he ever wants to win a job in a big league rotation.
2011 A lanky power lefty with a fastball that sits comfortably in the mid-90s, Oliver was called on to make five big-league starts barely more than a year after the Tigers drafted him in the second round, with predictable results. Oliver had problems locating his fastball, continually fell behind hitters, and took his lumps, though his solid strikeout rate spoke volumes about his top-notch stuff. His work in the upper minors both before and after his big-league stint was even more impressive given his inexperience. Most scouts had long been sold on his fastball and changeup, but Oliver made enough progress with his slider to end any speculation that he’d be moved to the pen. He’ll start the year in Toledo, but with the always-aggressive Tigers you never know where he’ll end it.
2010 Nabbed in the second round of the 2009 draft, Andy Oliver is the rare power lefty with reliable mid-90s heat on a moving fastball, and he dominated during his debut in the AFL this winter. He might climb to Double-A, and move fast as a reliever, but a better slider and change could leave him starting.

BP Articles

Andy Oliver is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Closer Reclamation SeasonR.J. Anderson2014-08-18
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 19-April 21Zach Mortimer2013-04-22
The Lineup Card: 11 Potential TradesBaseball Prospectus2012-12-13
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Wednesday, December 12Daniel Rathman2012-12-12
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of August 18Kevin Goldstein2012-04-19
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Detroit Tigers Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2012-02-24
The BP First Take: Friday, February 17Daniel Rathman2012-02-17
Transaction Analysis: Calling for the CavalryBen Lindbergh2011-05-31
This article requires BP Premium accessThe BP Broadside: If the Past is Precedent Then the Tribe Can CrashSteven Goldman2011-05-13


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2012-12-04 14:00:00 (link to chat)So, Detroit's looking for a right-handed hitting outfielder to platoon with Dirks. . . assuming that resigning Delmon I-don't-want-to-DH Young is out of the question, who is available? Do they have any depth anywhere for trading?
(John Carter from Toronto (Tigers fan originally from the New York a)
Glad to see you in the queue again, John Carter.

Jon Morosi reported (and then retracted) yesterday that the Tigers had a two-year offer out to Scott Hairston, and while that report proved inaccurate, I think Hairston could be a fit there. Cody Ross is another possibility, though his price would need to come down if he's going to serve in a platoon role, and they could also consider Andruw Jones or Matt Diaz.

In terms of pieces the Tigers could trade, Brennan Boesch and Andrew Oliver were mentioned yesterday by CBS Sports' Danny Knobler: https://twitter.com/DKnobler/status/275663979584552962. (Daniel Rathman)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2014, Andy Oliver threw 770 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2009 and 2011, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and Fall/Winter Ball. In 2011, he relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (94mph) and Slider (84mph), also mixing in a Change (86mph).