Biographical

Portrait of Stephen Strasburg

Stephen Strasburg PNationals

Nationals Player Cards | Nationals Team Audit | Nationals Depth Chart

2014 Rest-of-Season Projections (seasonal age 25)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
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Birth Date7-20-1988
Height6' 4"
Weight230 lbs
Age26 years, 0 months, 6 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
1.32010
0.72011
4.52012
2.02013
3.42014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2010 WAS 21 12 12 68.0 68.0 0.0 5 3 0 0 6 0 274 56 25 22 5 83 17 17 0 92 2.91 2.11 3.01 12.9 1.3
2011 WAS 22 5 5 24.0 24.0 0.0 1 1 0 0 2 0 88 15 5 4 0 17 2 2 0 24 1.50 1.24 2.55 6.5 0.7
2012 WAS 23 28 28 159.3 159.3 0.0 15 6 0 0 20 0 653 136 62 56 15 212 48 47 4 197 3.16 2.87 3.17 43.4 4.5
2013 WAS 24 30 30 183.0 183.0 0.0 8 9 0 0 18 1 730 136 71 61 16 202 56 55 12 191 3.00 3.18 4.12 18.1 2.0
2014 WAS 25 22 22 137.3 137.3 0.0 7 8 0 0 14 0 576 143 66 56 14 216 30 26 4 163 3.67 2.81 3.65 18.9 1.9
Career9797571.7571.70.0362700601232148622919950730153147206673.132.803.5499.810.3

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2010 WAS MLB 12 12 68.0 3.01 127 .225 .259 .324 .401 .264 .319 93 15.6 1.6 12.9 1.3
2011 WAS MLB 5 5 24.0 2.55 137 .149 .252 .312 .388 .260 .242 96 6.2 0.7 6.5 0.7
2011 HAG A 3 3 6.3 2.80 149 .308 .273 .335 .417 .264 .533 115 3.5 0.4 3.5 0.4
2011 POT A+ 1 1 3.0 1.40 173 .165 .262 .323 .375 .249 .286 108 1.7 0.2 1.7 0.2
2011 HAR AA 1 1 6.0 2.84 127 .069 .242 .322 .387 .261 .071 82 1.0 0.1 1.0 0.1
2011 SYR AAA 1 1 5.0 2.55 146 .079 .257 .329 .366 .245 .200 97 1.6 0.1 1.6 0.1
2012 WAS MLB 28 28 159.3 3.17 127 .234 .246 .308 .384 .252 .311 101 37.6 4.0 43.4 4.5
2013 WAS MLB 30 30 183.0 4.12 101 .222 .247 .310 .385 .254 .263 103 15.7 1.7 18.1 2.0
2014 WAS MLB 22 22 137.3 3.65 108 .261 .253 .307 .385 .259 .353 98 16.6 1.8 18.9 1.9

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2010 WAS MLB 5 3 0 12 12 68.0 56 17 92 5 47% .319 7.4 2.2 0.7 12.2 1.07 2.91 12.9 1.3
2011 HAG A 0 1 0 3 3 6.3 9 3 13 1 56% .533 12.8 4.3 1.4 18.5 1.89 9.95 3.5 0.4
2011 SYR AAA 0 0 0 1 1 5.0 2 0 7 0 80% .200 3.6 0.0 0.0 12.6 0.40 1.80 1.6 0.1
2011 WAS MLB 1 1 0 5 5 24.0 15 2 24 0 42% .242 5.6 0.8 0.0 9.0 0.71 1.50 6.5 0.7
2011 HAR AA 1 0 0 1 1 6.0 1 0 4 0 50% .071 1.5 0.0 0.0 6.0 0.17 0.00 1.0 0.1
2011 POT A+ 0 0 0 1 1 3.0 2 0 5 0 86% .286 6.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 0.67 0.00 1.7 0.2
2012 WAS MLB 15 6 0 28 28 159.3 136 48 197 15 44% .311 7.7 2.7 0.8 11.1 1.15 3.16 43.4 4.5
2013 WAS MLB 8 9 0 30 30 183.0 136 56 191 16 52% .263 6.7 2.8 0.8 9.4 1.05 3.00 18.1 2.0
2014 WAS MLB 7 8 0 22 22 137.3 143 30 163 14 47% .353 9.4 2.0 0.9 10.7 1.26 3.67 18.9 1.9

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2010 1068 0.4944 0.4658 0.7264 0.5871 0.3463 0.8323 0.5508 0.2696
2011 328 0.5396 0.4970 0.7730 0.6610 0.3046 0.8376 0.6087 0.2209
2012 2598 0.4723 0.4469 0.7433 0.6096 0.3012 0.8436 0.5617 0.2541
2013 2847 0.4932 0.4514 0.7642 0.6161 0.2911 0.8532 0.5810 0.2350
2014 2166 0.4982 0.4829 0.7486 0.6135 0.3533 0.8746 0.5313 0.2505
Career90070.49020.4610.75030.61180.3160.85250.56090.2478

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2013-10-23 2013-10-23 Off 0 0 Right Elbow Surgery Loose Bodies 2013-10-23 -
2013-09-09 2013-09-22 DTD 13 12 Right Forearm Tightness - -
2013-08-22 2013-08-22 DTD 0 0 - Thigh Soreness Hamstring - -
2013-06-01 2013-06-16 15-DL 15 12 Right Shoulder Strain Latissimus Dorsi - -
2013-04-29 2013-04-29 DTD 0 0 Right Forearm Tightness - -
2012-06-30 2012-06-30 DTD 0 0 - General Medical Illness Dehydration - -
2012-06-13 2012-06-13 DTD 0 0 - Fingers Laceration Small - -
2012-05-20 2012-05-20 DTD 0 0 Right Upper Arm Tightness Biceps - -
2011-03-23 2011-09-06 60-DL 167 139 Right Elbow Recovery From Surgery Tommy John and Common Flexor Tendon 2010-09-03
2010-08-22 2010-10-04 60-DL 43 39 Right Elbow Surgery Tommy John and Common Flexor Tendon 2010-09-03
2010-07-22 2010-08-10 15-DL 19 17 Right Shoulder Inflammation -
2009-11-19 2009-11-22 WIN 3 0 Left Knee Subluxation Patella -
2009-11-15 2009-11-19 WIN 4 0 Neck Strain -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2015 WAS $
2014 WAS $3,975,000
2013 WAS $3,900,000
2012 WAS $4,875,000
2011 WAS $4,375,000
2010 WAS $3,875,000
2010 WAS $3,875,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
4 yrPrevious$20,900,000
2011Current$3,975,000
5 yrPvs + Cur$24,875,000
5 yrTotal$24,875,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
3 y 118 dScott Boras1 year/$3.975M (2014)

Details
  • 1 year/$3.975M (2014). Re-signed by Washington 1/11/14 (avoided arbitration).
  • 4 years/$15.1M (2009-12). $7.5M signing bonus. Signed Major League contract with Washington 8/17/09. 09:$0.4M (pro-rated to $0.1M), 10:$2M, 11:$2.5M, 12:$3M. If not eligible for arbitration after 2012 season, 2013 salary is $3.9M. Award bonuses. Optioned to Double-A 3/20/10. Recalled 6/8/10.
  • Drafted by Washington 2009 (1-1) (San Diego State).

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Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .234 .309 .341 .241
11 vs R (Multi) .195 .254 .302 .204
18 Split (Multi) .039 .056 .039 .036
19 LgAvg (Multi) .010 .024 .026 .019
30 vs L (2013) .218 .306 .322 .234
31 vs R (2013) .197 .256 .294 .205
38 Split (2013) .021 .050 .028 .028
39 LgAvg (2013) .010 .022 .028 .019

BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

Stephen Strasburg is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 18Wilson Karaman2014-07-25
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The Lineup Card: Nine Second-Half Improvement CandidatesBaseball Prospectus2014-07-17
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Alcantara Can StayDaniel Rathman2014-07-11
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Matt Adams Powers UpDaniel Rathman2014-07-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 15Wilson Karaman2014-07-03
This article requires BP Premium accessMoonshot: Survival of the Fittest: PitchersRobert Arthur2014-07-01
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Davis Downs the A'sDaniel Rathman2014-07-01
The Week in Quotes: June 23-29Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-06-30
The Week in Quotes: June 23-29Morris Greenberg2014-06-30
The Week in Quotes: June 23-29Nick Bacarella2014-06-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Looking at Values, Part 2: PitchersMike Gianella2014-06-30
Overthinking It: The BP Staff Tries to Trade, and Trade for, David PriceBen Lindbergh2014-06-27
Overthinking It: The BP Staff Tries to Trade, and Trade for, David PriceBaseball Prospectus2014-06-27
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat Scouts Are Saying: June 26, 2014Baseball Prospectus2014-06-26
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Weekend Wrap-Up, 6/23Daniel Rathman2014-06-23
This article requires BP Premium accessSkewed Left: The Missing Mound ChargeZachary Levine2014-06-19
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Weekend Wrap-Up, 6/16Daniel Rathman2014-06-16
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Chisenhall Messes With TexasChris Mosch2014-06-10
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Weekend Wrap-Up, 6/9Daniel Rathman2014-06-09
Perfect Game Presents: The Baseball Draft: A 50-Year Retrospective, Part TwoAllan Simpson2014-06-09
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 11Wilson Karaman2014-06-06
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The Lineup Card: 11 Draft Day What-IfsBaseball Prospectus2014-06-04
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Daily League Strategy: Kluber ClubPaul Sporer2014-05-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: The U25 Top 150, Part ThreeBen Carsley2014-05-27
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BP Unfiltered: This Week's New Pitching Lines, 5/23Sam Miller2014-05-23
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BP Unfiltered: This Week's New Pitching Lines, 5/16Sam Miller2014-05-16
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BP Unfiltered: This Week's New Pitching Lines, 5/9Sam Miller2014-05-09
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BP Unfiltered: This Week's New Pitching Lines, 5/2Sam Miller2014-05-02
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: NL East U25 ListsCraig Goldstein2014-04-29
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The Week in Quotes: March 24-30Morris Greenberg2014-03-31
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Washington Nationals Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2014-02-21
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Fantasy Freestyle: BP's Mixed LABR DraftBret Sayre2014-02-17
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: National League, Week EightJosh Shepardson2013-05-22
Overthinking It: The Pitches No Zone Can ContainBen Lindbergh2013-05-21
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This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: Extreme Strikeout MatchupsSam Miller2013-05-20
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: Stuffing the Ballot, First QuarterDoug Thorburn2013-05-17
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 17th, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Dumping Targets, a Look BackMike Gianella2013-05-13
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 12th, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-12
What Makes A Good Changeup: An Investigation, Part 1Harry Pavlidis2013-05-10
This article requires BP Premium accessPitcher Profile: Jordan Zimmermann and ContactDan Rozenson2013-05-07
This article requires BP Premium accessDissecting the Draft: Identifying Our TiersNick J. Faleris2013-05-06
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 5, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-05
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This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Minnesota MediocrityJohn Perrotto2013-05-02
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: April 30, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-30
BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 192: Stephen Strasburg's New Injury Scare/The Underhyped Manny MachadoSam Miller2013-04-30
BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 192: Stephen Strasburg's New Injury Scare/The Underhyped Manny MachadoBen Lindbergh2013-04-30
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: The Bronx Band of Misfit ToysDaniel Rathman2013-04-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week FivePaul Sporer2013-04-26
Fantasy Mailbag: Buy Low on StrasburgBP Fantasy Staff2013-04-26
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: April 25, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-25
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Call-Up: Anthony RendonBret Sayre2013-04-21
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Call-Up: Anthony RendonNick J. Faleris2013-04-21
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: April 20, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-20
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: Trending: National GradeDoug Thorburn2013-04-19
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Waking Sleeping GiantsDaniel Rathman2013-04-19
The Week in Quotes: April 8-14Pete Barrett2013-04-15
The Week in Quotes: April 8-14Andrew Koo2013-04-15
The Week in Quotes: April 8-14Jonah Birenbaum2013-04-15
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: April 14, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-14
BP Unfiltered: 32 Predictions Contest Response SummarySky Kalkman2013-04-11
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Should We Start Pitchers Making Their Major-League Debuts?Bret Sayre2013-04-11
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: April 8, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-08
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Blazing AcesDaniel Rathman2013-04-08
The Week in Quotes: April 1-7Hudson Belinsky2013-04-08
The Week in Quotes: April 1-7Andrew Koo2013-04-08
The Week in Quotes: April 1-7Pete Barrett2013-04-08
The Week in Quotes: April 1-7Jonah Birenbaum2013-04-08
Inside The Park Blog: Misery Loves CompanyJason Collette2013-04-07
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: Four of a Kind: Setting the ToneDoug Thorburn2013-04-05
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: So You Want to Buy a 2014-15 Free Agent?Ben Lindbergh2013-04-04
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: #Weird ReturnsDaniel Rathman2013-04-04
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 2, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-02
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 2, 2013Joe Hamrahi2013-04-02
What You Need to Know: Opening Day MadnessDaniel Rathman2013-04-01
Pre-Season Predictions: Staff Picks for 2013Baseball Prospectus2013-03-29
Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week OnePaul Sporer2013-03-29
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Washington Nationals Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-03-28
This article requires BP Premium accessIn A Pickle: More Unknown Facts About More Unknown PlayersJason Wojciechowski2013-03-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Tier Rankings: National League Starting PitchersPaul Sporer2013-03-28
BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 168: Projections for the Yankees and Blue Jays/If the Amateur Draft Were an Auction/Lifetime Contracts for Generational TalentsBen Lindbergh2013-03-27
BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 168: Projections for the Yankees and Blue Jays/If the Amateur Draft Were an Auction/Lifetime Contracts for Generational TalentsSam Miller2013-03-27
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: These Questions Three: The Legit ContendersSam Miller2013-03-26
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: These Questions Three: The Legit ContendersAdam Sobsey2013-03-26
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This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: Retaliation, and Pitchers Hitting PitchersSam Miller2013-03-15
This article requires BP Premium accessCovert OPS: How to Make Winning the WBC WorthwhileDoug Thorburn2013-03-14
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of March 6, 2013Jason Martinez2013-03-07
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Setting Sail with SaleDaniel Rathman2013-03-06
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessPre-Season Positional Rankings: Top 80 Fantasy Starting Pitchers, Part One: 1-40Paul Sporer2013-03-05
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: Watching the Worst Game of 2012Sam Miller2013-03-01
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Royal ReinforcementsDaniel Rathman2013-02-27
Western Front: Even Writers Need Spring TrainingGeoff Young2013-02-26
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: PECOTA's Projected RisersBen Lindbergh2013-02-25
The Lineup Card: 11 Favorite Off-Season MovesBaseball Prospectus2013-02-20
This article requires BP Premium accessArbitration Showdown: Mock Hearing: Jordan ZimmermannJeff Euston2013-02-13
This article requires BP Premium accessArbitration Showdown: Mock Hearing: Jordan ZimmermannR.J. Anderson2013-02-13
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This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Wednesday, February 13Daniel Rathman2013-02-13
This article requires BP Premium accessSkewed Left: PECOTA's Projected Bests and WorstsZachary Levine2013-02-12
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: Bush League: Jameson Taillon and Taijuan WalkerDoug Thorburn2013-02-01
BP Announcements: 2013 Starting Pitcher GuidePaul Sporer2013-01-28
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: The Fantabulous Rap ExtravaganzaSam Miller2013-01-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Keeper Reaper: Starting Pitching for 1/24/13Paul Sporer2013-01-24
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Tuesday, January 22Daniel Rathman2013-01-22
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: Buy Low, PorcelloR.J. Anderson2013-01-21
Raising Aces: Then and Now: GiologyDoug Thorburn2013-01-18
This article requires BP Premium accessSkewed Left: Washington's Winning Way with TradesZachary Levine2013-01-17
In A Pickle: The Disunited States of AmericaJason Wojciechowski2013-01-17
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Nationals (Finally) Bring Back LaRocheBen Lindbergh2013-01-09
Pebble Hunting: The Non-Pitching Value of PitchersSam Miller2013-01-02
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: The Ghost of Articles PastDoug Thorburn2012-12-28
This article requires BP Premium accessIn A Pickle: Winners and Losers of Winning and LosingJason Wojciechowski2012-12-13
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Friday, November 30Daniel Rathman2012-11-30
Internet Baseball Awards: National LeagueDave Pease2012-11-14
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: 2012 Year-End Injury Summary: NL EastCorey Dawkins2012-11-14
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: 2012 Year-End Injury Summary: NL EastStephani Bee2012-11-14
This article requires BP Premium accessIn A Pickle: Sweep Out The Ashes in the MorningJason Wojciechowski2012-10-25
In A Pickle: Seemed Like a Good Idea at the TimeJason Wojciechowski2012-10-18
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Five Preview: Cardinals at NationalsDaniel Rathman2012-10-12
BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 60: Ibanez Pinch-Hits for A-Rod/The Strasburg Debate That Won't DieSam Miller2012-10-11
BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 60: Ibanez Pinch-Hits for A-Rod/The Strasburg Debate That Won't DieBen Lindbergh2012-10-11
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: NLDS Game 4 Preview: Cardinals at NationalsDaniel Rathman2012-10-11
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This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: Postseason Collateral DamageCorey Dawkins2012-10-06
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: For Those About to Watch (We Salute You)Doug Thorburn2012-10-05
Regular-Season Awards: Handing out the HardwareBaseball Prospectus2012-10-03
What You Need to Know: Friday, September 21Daniel Rathman2012-09-21
What You Need to Know: Wednesday, September 19Daniel Rathman2012-09-19
The Week in Quotes: September 10-16Jonah Birenbaum2012-09-17
The Week in Quotes: September 10-16Matthew Rocco2012-09-17
The Week in Quotes: September 10-16Hudson Belinsky2012-09-17
The Week in Quotes: September 10-16Andrew Koo2012-09-17
Baseball Prospectus News: Introducing Pitch Sequence VisualizationsDan Brooks2012-09-14
Baseball Prospectus News: Introducing Pitch Sequence VisualizationsDaniel Mack2012-09-14
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: The Shark vs. Strasburg ShutdownJohn Perrotto2012-09-13
This article requires BP Premium accessManufactured Runs: Searching for Fatigue in Stephen StrasburgColin Wyers2012-09-12
What You Need to Know: Wednesday, September 12Daniel Rathman2012-09-12
This article requires BP Premium accessBizball: The Strasburg Shutdown and How It All Could Have Been AvoidedMaury Brown2012-09-10
The Week in Quotes: September 3-9Hudson Belinsky2012-09-10
The Week in Quotes: September 3-9Andrew Koo2012-09-10
The Week in Quotes: September 3-9Jonah Birenbaum2012-09-10
The Week in Quotes: September 3-9Matthew Rocco2012-09-10
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: The Ace-Time ContinuumDoug Thorburn2012-09-07
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Stats Go Marching In: Four Questions for the Stretch RunMax Marchi2012-09-07
What You Need to Know: Friday, September 7Daniel Rathman2012-09-07
What You Need to Know: Thursday, September 6Daniel Rathman2012-09-06
On the Beat: Seeing the Forst for the TreesJohn Perrotto2012-09-06
This article requires BP Premium accessIn A Pickle: How the Grinch Stole StrasmasJason Wojciechowski2012-09-06
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: September Roster Rules Changes Needed?R.J. Anderson2012-09-06
Pebble Hunting: The Best Pitches Thrown This Week (Yu Darvish Edition)Sam Miller2012-08-31
BP Unfiltered: Is Stephen Strasburg Wearing Down?Dan Brooks2012-08-30
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: What Stephen Strasburg's Season Could Have Looked LikeBen Lindbergh2012-08-29
What You Need to Know: Wednesday, August 29Daniel Rathman2012-08-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Putting Matt Moore Under the MicroscopePaul Sporer2012-08-28
What You Need to Know: Tuesday, August 28Daniel Rathman2012-08-28
What You Need to Know: Monday, August 27Daniel Rathman2012-08-27
The Stats Go Marching In: Do Pitchers Forget How to Hit in the Minors?Max Marchi2012-08-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessWeekly Planner: Week 22Derek Carty2012-08-24
What You Need to Know: Friday, August 24Daniel Rathman2012-08-24
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: The Difference-MakersJohn Perrotto2012-08-23
What You Need to Know: Tuesday, August 21Daniel Rathman2012-08-21
The Week in Quotes: August 13-19Hudson Belinsky2012-08-20
The Week in Quotes: August 13-19Andrew Koo2012-08-20
The Week in Quotes: August 13-19Jonah Birenbaum2012-08-20
The Week in Quotes: August 13-19Matthew Rocco2012-08-20
BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 23: Benching Bryce Harper/Why We Were Wrong About the White SoxBen Lindbergh2012-08-17
BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 23: Benching Bryce Harper/Why We Were Wrong About the White SoxSam Miller2012-08-17
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: Running, But Running Out of Time, in the NL EastBen Lindbergh2012-08-16
What You Need to Know: Wednesday, August 15Daniel Rathman2012-08-15
This article requires BP Premium accessOut of Left Field: The Choices of RigglemanMatthew Kory2012-08-13
This article requires BP Premium accessBaseball at the Olympics: The Rich Tradition of an Absentee SportMax Marchi2012-08-10
BP Unfiltered: Mike Trout is 21 Today. Randal Grichuk is Still Not.Sam Miller2012-08-07
On the Beat: A Tale of Two CitiesJohn Perrotto2012-08-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Starting Pitchers for 8/2/12Paul Sporer2012-08-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessWeekly Planner: Week 18Paul Sporer2012-07-27
What You Need to Know: Friday, July 27Daniel Rathman2012-07-27
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: PECOTA's First-Half Hits and MissesBen Lindbergh2012-07-17
The Week in Quotes: July 9-July 15Hudson Belinsky2012-07-16
The Week in Quotes: July 9-July 15Andrew Koo2012-07-16
The Week in Quotes: July 9-July 15Jonah Birenbaum2012-07-16
The Week in Quotes: July 9-July 15Matthew Rocco2012-07-16
This article requires BP Premium accessAntidote to an Off-Day: Picking the Best Games of the First HalfPaul Sporer2012-07-12
What You Need to Know: Tuesday, July 10Daniel Rathman2012-07-10
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat the Contenders Need: NL EastKevin Goldstein2012-07-03
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat the Contenders Need: NL EastJeff Euston2012-07-03
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This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Picking the All-StarsJohn Perrotto2012-06-28
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat the Contenders Need: NL WestJeff Euston2012-06-27
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat the Contenders Need: NL WestBradley Ankrom2012-06-27
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat the Contenders Need: NL WestKevin Goldstein2012-06-27
Punk Hits: The Goblins & Gauntlets Monster Manual, MLB Expansion Pack: Pitchers, Vol. 1Ian Miller2012-06-27
What You Need to Know: Monday, June 25Daniel Rathman2012-06-25
This article requires BP Premium accessBizball: Inside the MASN/Nationals Television Contract DisputeMaury Brown2012-06-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessWeekly Planner: Week 13Paul Sporer2012-06-22
In A Pickle: The War For the BallfieldsJason Wojciechowski2012-06-21
The Lineup Card: 10 Favorite ProspectsBaseball Prospectus2012-06-20
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: Draft Day Deliveries, Part TwoDoug Thorburn2012-06-15
The Stats Go Marching In: Reaching Back for a Little Extra, Part TwoMax Marchi2012-06-15
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Starting Pitching for 6/14/12Paul Sporer2012-06-14
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Picking PitchersKevin Goldstein2012-06-14
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Trusting The ProcessJohn Perrotto2012-06-14
The Lineup Card: 10 Picks for the 2015 World ChampsBaseball Prospectus2012-06-14
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: Who Is the Best Umpire?Ben Lindbergh2012-06-13
What You Need to Know: Wednesday, June 13Daniel Rathman2012-06-13
This article requires BP Premium accessOut of Left Field: Matt Barnes and Why We Never LearnMatthew Kory2012-06-11
The Week in Quotes: June 4-June 10Andrew Koo2012-06-11
The Week in Quotes: June 4-June 10Jonah Birenbaum2012-06-11
The Week in Quotes: June 4-June 10Matthew Rocco2012-06-11
The Week in Quotes: June 4-June 10Hudson Belinsky2012-06-11
BP Unfiltered: Josh Johnson Falls Off the BeanstalkR.J. Anderson2012-06-10
What You Need to Know: Friday, June 8Daniel Rathman2012-06-08
What You Need to Know: Friday, June 1Daniel Rathman2012-06-01
This article requires BP Premium accessPunk Hits: 2012 National League UpfrontsIan Miller2012-05-30
This article requires BP Premium accessBizball: Inside the 2012-16 CBA: The Luxury Tax Meets the DraftMaury Brown2012-05-29
This article requires BP Premium accessWestern Front: Attending to Center FieldGeoff Young2012-05-29
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: Stras WarsDoug Thorburn2012-05-25
What You Need to Know: Tuesday, May 22Daniel Rathman2012-05-22
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 20Larry Granillo2012-05-21
What You Need to Know: Monday, May 21Daniel Rathman2012-05-21
Inside The Park: Farewell to a PhenomBradford Doolittle2012-05-21
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: All About InjuriesDoug Thorburn2012-05-18
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: The Winning FormulaJohn Perrotto2012-05-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: First, Third, and DH for 5/15/12Michael Street2012-05-15
Overthinking It: A Fond Farewell to the Fake to ThirdBen Lindbergh2012-05-11
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessWeekly Planner: Week SevenPaul Sporer2012-05-11
What You Need to Know: Friday, May 11Daniel Rathman2012-05-11
What You Need to Know: Thursday, May 10Daniel Rathman2012-05-10
Prospectus Game of the Week: Harper Overshadows Kemp, or Vice Versa?Bradley Ankrom2012-05-04
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Worse Than Pujols, NL EditionJay Jaffe2012-05-04
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: The Secret to Getting a HitSam Miller2012-05-02
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: Washington's Gas PolicyBen Lindbergh2012-04-21
Prospectus Hit and Run: Pudge RetiresJay Jaffe2012-04-20
Pebble Hunting: The Best Pitches Thrown This WeekSam Miller2012-04-13
Inside The Park Blog: An Unlikely EncounterBradford Doolittle2012-04-12
This article requires BP Premium accessInside The Park: The Origins of an Innings LimitBradford Doolittle2012-04-12
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: You've Never Been This Far BeforeJay Jaffe2012-04-12
On the Beat: Who is the Great Unknown?John Perrotto2012-04-12
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: The Best Pitcher in Baseball?Ben Lindbergh2012-04-11
The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, April 6Matthew Kory2012-04-06
Inside The Park Blog: New BeginningsBradford Doolittle2012-04-05
Wezen-Ball: New Era's New RivalryLarry Granillo2012-04-05
Raising Aces: Pitchology 101Doug Thorburn2012-04-04
This article requires BP Premium accessOut of Left Field: Predictions That, God Help Us, Are WrongMatthew Kory2012-04-02
Pre-Season Predictions: Staff Picks for 2012Baseball Prospectus2012-03-27
Pre-Season Predictions: 20 Questions for 2012Baseball Prospectus2012-03-27
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Rattling SABRs in the Desert, Part IIJay Jaffe2012-03-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Fantasy Tier Rankings: NL Starting PitchersDerek Carty2012-03-13
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: NL Rotation RumbleJay Jaffe2012-03-12
This article requires BP Premium accessHeartburn Hardball: Starting OverJonathan Bernhardt2012-03-02
Prospectus Preview: NL Central 2012 Preseason Preview, Part ILarry Granillo2012-03-01
Prospectus Preview: NL Central 2012 Preseason Preview, Part IStephani Bee2012-03-01
The Lineup Card: 14 Choices for 2012 Breakout PlayersBaseball Prospectus2012-02-29
The Stats Go Marching In: The Art of Handling the Pitching StaffMax Marchi2012-02-24
This article requires BP Premium accessPreseason Value Picks: Starting Pitchers for 2/23/12Mike Petriello2012-02-23
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: NL East 2012 Preseason PreviewDerek Carty2012-02-22
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: NL East 2012 Preseason PreviewMichael Jong2012-02-22
The BP First Take: Friday, February 17Daniel Rathman2012-02-17
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Jackson Settles for One YearR.J. Anderson2012-02-06
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Keeper Reaper: Starting Pitchers for 2/2/12Mike Petriello2012-02-02
The BP First Take: Wednesday, February 1Daniel Rathman2012-02-01
Baseball Prospectus Book News: Extra Innings: More Baseball Between the Numbers Available for Pre-OrderSteven Goldman2012-01-30
This article requires BP Premium accessFantasy Beat: Expert ADP ShiftsJason Collette2012-01-24
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Washington Nationals Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2012-01-24
This article requires BP Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Notes from VegasDerek Carty2012-01-20
This article requires BP Premium accessFantasy Beat: Mock Draft UpdateJason Collette2012-01-06
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Rounding Up the Usual Suspects: Tommy John SurgeryBen Lindbergh2012-01-02
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Rounding Up the Usual Suspects: Tommy John SurgeryCorey Dawkins2012-01-02
This article requires BP Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Marshalling in Some Pitching HelpDerek Carty2011-12-29
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Gio Dealt to WashingtonR.J. Anderson2011-12-23
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Gio Dealt to WashingtonKevin Goldstein2011-12-23
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Fielder Dreams?Jay Jaffe2011-12-05
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: A Ranger Comes to TownJay Jaffe2011-11-18
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: The Season in Injuries: NL EastBen Lindbergh2011-11-14
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: The Season in Injuries: NL EastCorey Dawkins2011-11-14
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Nationals Sign WangR.J. Anderson2011-11-04
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One-Hoppers: ALDS G1: Moore Impresses As Rays Beat RangersR.J. Anderson2011-09-30
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Washington NationalsKevin Goldstein2011-09-14
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Washington NationalsSteven Goldman2011-09-14
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Transaction Analysis Blog: Adam Loewen ReturnsR.J. Anderson2011-09-07
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Ailing AceBen Lindbergh2011-09-07
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Ailing AceCorey Dawkins2011-09-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Prospect ImpactDerek Carty2011-09-06
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of September 1Kevin Goldstein2011-09-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Starting Pitchers for 9/1/11Mike Petriello2011-09-01
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday-Morning Ten-Pack for 8/29/11Kevin Goldstein2011-08-29
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Something Strasburg This Way ComesCorey Dawkins2011-08-26
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Something Strasburg This Way ComesBen Lindbergh2011-08-26
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of August 23Kevin Goldstein2011-08-24
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This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Boom Times Back for the BrewersJohn Perrotto2011-08-23
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday-Morning Ten-Pack for 8/15/11Kevin Goldstein2011-08-15
Painting the Black: What to Expect from StrasburgR.J. Anderson2011-08-10
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This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday-Morning Ten-Pack for 8/8/11Kevin Goldstein2011-08-08
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Shoulder WoesCorey Dawkins2011-08-05
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Shoulder WoesBen Lindbergh2011-08-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: A Market InefficiencyDerek Carty2011-07-29
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Calling CooperstownJohn Perrotto2011-07-22
Divide and Conquer, NL East: Trade Deadline WishlistsMichael Jong2011-07-18
Painting the Black: Mid-season Heroes and Goats, Part 2R.J. Anderson2011-07-14
Spitballing: The Future is NowJeremy Greenhouse2011-07-12
This article requires BP Premium accessDivide and Conquer, NL East: National FeverMichael Jong2011-06-29
This article requires BP Premium accessThe BP Broadside: The Hubris of RigglemanSteven Goldman2011-06-24
On the Beat: The Riggleman ResignationJohn Perrotto2011-06-23
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: The National NightmareJay Jaffe2011-06-23
This article requires BP Premium accessDivide and Conquer, NL East: Cole Hamels is the Whole Camel, and Other Tales of a Desultory Divisional RaceMichael Jong2011-06-13
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Divide and Conquer, NL East: Upton Our Necks in DebtMichael Jong2011-06-07
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Draft NotebookKevin Goldstein2011-05-31
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit List: St. Louis SupremeTommy Bennett2011-05-24
Future Shock: Who's No. 1?Kevin Goldstein2011-05-17
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: The Rays Shine AgainJohn Perrotto2011-05-13
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Life Without StrasburgJohn Perrotto2011-04-25
Baseball ProGUESTus: The Scott Boras Factor: Reality or Hype?Vince Gennaro2011-04-15
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: No ExcusesJohn Perrotto2011-03-30
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Trading Up from Dickerson to MorganChristina Kahrl2011-03-29
Prospectus Hit List: NL Pre-Season Hit ListJay Jaffe2011-03-28
This article requires BP Premium accessBetween The Numbers: The Rule X DraftJeremy Greenhouse2011-03-18
This article requires BP Premium accessAhead in the Count: Battle for the BeltwayMatt Swartz2011-03-14
This article requires BP Premium accessThe BP Broadside: Premature HarpergasmSteven Goldman2011-03-10
This article requires BP Premium accessChanging Speeds: What's In A Name?Ken Funck2011-03-08
Team Injury Projection: Washington NationalsMarc Normandin2011-03-07
Team Injury Projection: Washington NationalsCorey Dawkins2011-03-07
This article requires BP Premium accessChanging Speeds: Setting the Line, Part 2Ken Funck2011-03-01
BP Unfiltered: The Top 400, or KG's Past Top 100 ListsSteven Goldman2011-02-28
BP Unfiltered: Prior Fights His Way BackJohn Perrotto2011-02-23
Prospectus Preview: NL East 2011 Preseason PreviewBen Lindbergh2011-02-17
Fantasy Beat: BP Scoresheet Early Draft PrepRob McQuown2011-02-07
BP Unfiltered: A few quick words about PECOTAColin Wyers2011-02-02
This article requires BP Premium accessChanging Speeds: 11 Random Wishes for 2011Ken Funck2011-02-01
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-04-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)Stephen Strasburg's new slider looks pretty good, but I see him still missing with his fastball -- more often to the arm side. What's your sense of his control these days?
(Dan Rozenson from Washington, DC)
Completely agree, Dan. I don't like that Strasburg's balance and posture have gone backwards over the last couple of years, and the downslide is having an adverse effect on his command. That slider could be a huge advantage this year, but everything plays off of the fastball and his rise will be dictated by the ability to harness the heat. The arm-side misses are also indicative of timing issues, in which his arm is behind the rest of the kinetic chain, and his situation is not aided by the new wrinkles that he has introduced with runners on base.

On the jukebox: Thrice, "The Artist in the Ambulance" (Doug Thorburn)
2014-04-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)Among the pitchers showing early losses/gains in velocity, it seems like the media has pounced on Jonathan Papelbon even though the numbers show him to be throwing the same (mediocre) stuff as last year. Any other pitcher who you predict could have significant changes in effectiveness based on velocity alone? Too early to worry about Stephen Strasburg missing 1.5 MPH? Will Brandon McCarthy's uptick help him longterm?
(Scott from LA)
Totally agree on Paps. His key is FB command, and 3 innings is not enough to judge where he's at there.

Stras is somewhat worrisome because it comes paired with a weaker mechanical foundation than in the past. Low velo's are common in April, and I was very encouraged by the overall jump in velo in his last start compared to his outing on Opening Day (nearly +2 mph). It's too early to jump off the bridge, but there is some mechanical basis to calm our previously-held enthusiasm.

McCarthy's uptick is encouraging, though more kinetic energy in the system could be a double-edged sword for a player whose scapula doesn't hold under the rigors of pitching, so the question of "long term" is still wide open.

On the jukebox: Colin Hay, "Overkill" (Doug Thorburn)
2014-03-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)NL Only league H2H Categories Who Wins Trade Jean Segura and Matt Latos for Stephen Strasburg and CJ Edwards - Ed
(slvrdrgn3381 from IL)
I'd take Segura and Latos. Edwards is a ways off and there are questions about his ability to stick in the rotation. Maybe I'm too risk averse. (R.J. Anderson)
2014-03-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Any thoughts on Jeff Hoffman's struggles this year? I remember Gerrit Cole was another guy that didn't dominate the way people expected in college, but obviously he figured things out. So I guess this is a two part question: your thoughts on Hoffman, and why some pitchers don't seem to put it all together until the majors.
(Riley from Minnesota)
Hoffman will be fine. I'll bet we've forgotten all about this by May. I'm still very much looking forward to him coming to town in late April.

As for pitchers, it's a tricky thing. Some guys are literally too good for the college game, in that their strengths don't really matter to college hitters. For instance, a pitcher with an upper-90's fastball and a good changeup actually does himself a disservice against most college hitters to throw them the changeup. It may be his best pitch, but college hitters can hit it when they can't hit 97. Good pitchers like Cole or Hoffman (I'm being hypothetical here) will throw their good stuff anyway but sometimes it ends up getting them hit. That's why Stephen Strasburg dominated in college. He had the changeup, but he rarely used it. It was just 99,98,99,100, big freaking curveball, strike three. Most pitchers don't do that, however. They throw what they have and sometimes it costs them, but they are better pitchers for it in the long run. (Jeff Moore)
2014-02-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)At this point in time, do you see Stephen Strasburg as a different kind of health risk than your average 25 year-old toeing the rubber?
(doog7642 from Blaine, MN)
The fact that he throws so hard inherently adds to his injury risk. He also suffers from occasional elbow drag, particularly when fatigued, due to the combination of heavy scapular loading, inverted-W, and delayed trunk rotation. When he delays his rotation too long, the arm lags behind and over-stresses the elbow. Throw in the fact that he already has a TJS on his resume, and that the biggest predictor for injury is previous injury, and I would say that his risk is higher than the avg 25-year-old.

That said, I'm still buying. His stuff is that good, and when his timing is right, his mechanics are elite. What worries me is that his posture took a turn for the worse last season with exaggerated spine-tilt (a precursor to shoulder injury), so here's hoping that he can rectify that element in 2014. (Doug Thorburn)
2013-12-20 14:00:00 (link to chat)What are your views on Lucas Giolito? Can he be better than Stephen Strasburg?
(Mlbeastmode from St. Louis)
The hype on Giolito is skyrocketing right now, but I am not yet on board, and he has a long way to go before gaining Strasburg comps. Don't get me wrong, I dig the stuff, but he has an extremely slow delivery into foot strike, after which he just explodes with unheard-of ferocity. I don't think that he uses his lower half well enough to maintain efficiency and high workloads at the highest level, and the short-ish stride is also working against him.

On the jukebox: Lagwagon, "Bury the Hatchet" (Doug Thorburn)
2013-12-20 14:00:00 (link to chat)Will Stephen Strasburg ever turn out to be the world beater everyone thought he would be, or do his injuries/mechanics limit him to just being very good? Have we already seen his peak?
(Aidan from SoCal)
I actually think that Stras' mechanics are awesome, and only when he becomes fatigued does it become an issue - basically his function is top notch, but he has some weak links in the kinetic chain when fatigue compromises the system. I also think that "world beater" is subjective - the guy had a ridiculous K rate above 30% in 2012, and though it slipped to 26% last season, it was by design. The Nats vastly prefer pitch-count efficiency over excessive strikeout totals - just ask Jordan Zimmermann - and in the case of Stras it is particularly critical given the issue of fatigue with respect to his mechanical risk factors. I'll take the 3 ERA and K-per-inning every day of the week and twice on Sunday, and the Nats don't really care if my fantasy team is a little disappointed. I am not ready to say that we have seen his peak, but if we have, then it is more a reflection of just how crazy-good he was pre-surgery than any indictment of his current skills.

On the jukebox: Guns N' Roses, "Mr. Brownstone" (Doug Thorburn)
2013-10-30 12:00:00 (link to chat)What is the story with Royals SP John Lamb - anything left there or is he now the other side of the TJ surgery story?
(Dave from Boulder)
Hard to say. His results haven't been impressive and that includes his time in the Arizona Fall League. TJ surgery as much as it's old hat to fans and analysts, isn't a sure thing. That's a big part of the reason it's so sad to lose guys like Matt Harvey and Stephen Strasburg to TJS. We lose a year (or more) of their career, yes, and that's awful for all involved, but what happens when they step back on a mound? We don't know. We can guess, and often that guess is correct, but sometimes it's wrong. Hopefully that's not the case with Lamb. We'll see. (Matthew Kory)
2013-09-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)How many PA or IP do you think a player should get before we call them a good player or not?
(Rick from Tampa)
It depends on what we already know about that player, right? If it's Stephen Strasburg, maybe 30 innings? If it's Michael Fiers, maybe 350 innings? Depends on age, depends on track record, etc. Who do you have in mind? I'll tell you if he's good! (Sam Miller)
2013-08-12 14:00:00 (link to chat)Given what you just said about Mark Prior, I take it you don't buy into the theory about the "Inverted W" and improper scapular loading and such as being a problem, that many people point to with guys like Prior, Stephen Strasburg and others?
(Ashitaka from Houston)
I do buy into the Inverted W and scapular loading, to the extent that it contributes to elbow drag, but I don't think that those isolated factors can be solely to blame for injury. That said, elbow drag is a major injury precursor and is the result of multiple indicators; these include the I-W, scap loading, and excessive delay of trunk rotation (late arm). Prior actually had all 3, so the potential for elbow drag was definitely there, but his efficiency and repetition of timing was so incredible that he rarely created elbow drag. I know this because he was an NPA guy, and I have spent countless hours studying his delivery with high-speed motion capture (prepare to throw barbs of bias!), and I have observed how hard he has worked to maintain his physical prowess.

In his case, there are just way too many other variables staring us in the face to blame an inverted W for his problems, and the population of baseball enthusiasts have gone backwards in the understanding of mechanics because of the insistence that Prior was mechanically flawed.

On the jukebox: Thrice, "The Artist in the Ambulance" (Doug Thorburn)
2013-05-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)From today forward, better career: Stephen Strasburg or Clayton Kershaw?
(AJ from Phoenix)
Strasburg for me, but obviously very close. I love everything about Kershaw. (Jason Cole)
2013-04-30 12:00:00 (link to chat)What do you make of Stephen Strasburg's early season "struggles"? Maybe I'm expecting to much, but ignoring his first start, his control has diminished, his velocity is down, could this all be related to the forearm tightness or is it his desire to pitch to contact.
(Adrian from Washington D.C.)
I saw that he was all over the place last night. The characteristics mention seem to go better with a physical issue than anything. I guess it's possible he's overthinking on the mound and that's causing issues but that seems less likely to me. The pitch to contact mentality is less about avoiding strikeouts and more about avoiding walks. You want to challenge hitters and avoid nibbling in fear of someone hitting the ball. It comes down to trusting yourself. Besides, Strasburg has enormous raw stuff that's going to miss bats and rack up Ks regardless of whether he's trying to induce early contact or not. (R.J. Anderson)
2013-02-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)In your opinion, which SP has the best "stuff" in the majors?
(Shawn from CT)
Oh, I don't think you can go wrong saying "Stephen Strasburg." (Ben Lindbergh)
2013-03-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat Doug! I'm a big fan and look forward to the SP guide with your input. I would like to know if you look for specific mechanic flaws for pitchers post TJ or other surgery. i.e. John Lamb or Danny Duffy.
(jimcal from Seattle)
When looking at post-surgery pitchers, what I pay attention to differs based on the conditions of their injury. If the guy had solid mechanics before getting hurt - but fell due to workloads, structural integrity, or other conditions - then I just look to see how far away he is from regaining his previous delivery. But if there was an underlying mechanical flaw, then I look to see if any adjustments have been made to correct the problem.

Stephen Strasburg is a good example. I loved his mechanics before the injury, though he did have the trifecta of inverted-W + heavy scapular load + delayed trunk rotation that leads to elbow drag (particularly when fatigued). I am a big fan of his delivery now, but in my opinion he is still just 90-95% of the way back to his pre-injury levels. But the Nats were smart to shut him down last season, given the risk factors inherent in his motion plus the additional risk when he gets fatigued.

On the jukebox: Audioslave, "Like a Stone" (Doug Thorburn)
2013-01-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Happy New Year! In trying to access Diamond Scape Scouting, I'm running into a lot of 404 error pages. FYI. Anyway can you give the OFP grades you gave to Stephen Strasburg, Gerrit Cole, Jameson Taillon, Kevin Gausman, Dylan Bundy, Taijuan Walker, and Jose Fernandez? Thanks!
(AJ from Phoenix)
Hi AJ! Yes, DSS was taken off line when I decided to take the scouting services to private clients. The plan is still to bring it back online with a portion of the draft stuff available to readers (though Baseball Prospectus will really be where the writing is done). Here are the OFP rankings assigned to these players by DSS -- as a word of warning, this will help you see how I comparatively viewed the players at draft time, but the scale shouldn't really be projected against what Jason and the prospect team has doing with the Prospect Lists:
Strasburg - 64/67
Cole - 62/63
Gausman - 59/62
Bundy - 58/62
Taillon - 57/61
Fernandez - 55/57
Walker - 52/56 (Nick Faleris)
2012-11-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Since someone brought the MASN thing up, how much longer will we have to wait until we see a deal? Part 2 - this is taking way too long to resolve, is this just a little bit of business as usual, or are the Orioles/Angelos really being divisive on this issue?
(comish4lif from Alexandria, VA)
No, this one is a tough, tough deal. The Nationals have the right to do what’s called a “reset” on their end of the MASN deal every five years. Word is, the Nats are seeking $100 million, mostly because of their ability to be competitive in the standings this year, and therefore, increased interest. The problem is, the Orioles also get a “reset”. See my article from June. Here’s a snippet:

Currently, the Nats pull in $29 million in the D.C. market that is eighth in terms of Designated Market Area (2,360,180 television homes) and are looking for a sizeable bump in rights fees as part of a clause in their agreement that allows for what is called a “reset.” In that arrangement, the Nationals can opt to get a bump in the fee in the middle of the broadcast agreement, and it’s here that things get messy.

The Nationals point to the deals that the Rangers, Angels, and Padres are getting; the increased ratings bump this year due to better play on the field; Stephen Strasburg’s return; and the excitement around the Bryce Harper call-up. Put it all together, and the Nationals would like to see $100 million annually, or a $71 million annual bump for the next five years. The problem is that these “resets” are tied to the Orioles as a partner in the MASN framework. In other words, if the Nationals get a reset, so do the Orioles, and you can do the math: if the Nats get $100 million, the Orioles will want the same, and now MASN has to kick out $200 million annually.

On the other side of the coin, MASN isn’t really seeing things the same way as the Nationals. Fine, the Nationals want a bump, but the increase should be more like $35 million based on how ratings have been in the past and their low attendance. As of Saturday, the Nationals were averaging 29,482 per game, ranking 15th out of the 30 clubs in terms of attendance. The Nats pulled in a 24,877 for the 2011 season, 22,568 in 2010, and 22,715 for 2009 by average attendance.
(Maury Brown)
2012-10-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)Professor Parks, With the season-long hubub of Stephen Strasburg's successful return from injury, I recall the sad case of Mark Prior and his derailed career. The popular party line when Prior was actually a good pitcher was that "all the scouts say he has perfect mechanics". Now that he's been released from his 5th (?) organization, there are plenty of people who look back and readily point out some pretty substantial problems with Prior's mechanics. Problems that, you would think, are now so obvious that it's curious that anyone at the time would have claimed Prior was so mechanically sound when he was not. So this begs a couple of questions. Did we all just hear what we wanted to hear and nobody who really mattered in baseball was actually saying that Prior's mechanics were sound? Or did scouts and industry professionals really just miss the mark so badly? Or is the truth somewhere in the middle, and the consensus in the industry is that Prior was in the same boat as many other pitchers in having a few flaws, but they didn't want to change him (because that's easier said than done) and he was just unlucky in being hit hard by the same injury bug that gets many other pitchers? And lastly, are there any lessons in the Prior story that can be applied to Strasburg? Maybe the lesson with him is that few people not named Greg Maddux have perfect mechanics, lots of pitchers get hurt, and we need to stop freaking out about them before or after the fact?
(Erik from Longwood, FL)
Every pitcher is different. You can look at bad mechanics and raise the red flag, and then watch that pitcher throw 200 innings a year without an issue. Arm injuries happen, and pitchers break for a variety of reasons, and more often than not, our injury projections aren't on the same level as our tool projections. It has to be player specific. Some pitchers just make it work, while others can look clean and effortless and then the arm explodes and lands in the fourth row on the lap of a crying child. What caused it? Was it bad mechanics after all? Was it the result of overwork? I'm not fond of the mechanical revisionists who cry foul after the fact. It's easy to be right when you don't have to worry about being wrong. (Jason Parks)
2012-09-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)All this hoopla has gone on regarding inning limitations to Stephen Strasburg, due to his TJS. Why has noone wondered or shown any concern about the White Sox SP Chris Sale? First full year since college as a SP(big innings leap), thin body-frame and worrisome mechanics? Should we pencil Sale for labrum or TJS surgery in next 2-4 years?
(jlarsen from chicagoland)
Frankly, if there's any team I'd trust when it comes to pitcher injuries, it's the White Sox, as my colleague Ben Lindbergh has noted before: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=12248 (Colin Wyers)
2012-06-29 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think that the Nationals can keep up their winning? Or will they become just another average team?
(Luis from Richmond)
I do think they can keep up their winning, as their record is essentially in line with their peripheral factors; their actual winning percentage (.581) and Hit List Factor (.580) are both tops in the league, and right in line with each other.

That said, they're likely going to have to do something about Stephen Strasburg late in the year, whether they hew to a hardline stance regarding his innings total or play it by ear. With Chien-Ming Wang turning into a pumpkin, they'll eventually need a reinforcement for that rotation, somebody better than the farmed-out John Lannan. (Jay Jaffe)
2012-05-21 14:00:00 (link to chat)Who are the best pitchers in baseball in 2017?
(John from Pittsburgh)
Clayton Kershaw and Stephen Strasburg. (Kevin Goldstein)
2012-01-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)I was in Politics and Prose this weekend (ok I was in the pizza joint down the block) and was wondering if you guys would be making it down there again soon. Also, do you see the Nats rotation of Stephen Strasburg, Jordan Zimmermann and Gio Gonzalez being one of the top in the league in the next few years?
(Charlie from Bethesda, MD)
We will definitely be there in March, and I know many of us are looking forward to it. As for the Nats' top three, it's an impressive bunch and I'd like to think they will be (or are) among the top in the league right now, but with pitchers it's always good to hedge your bets a little. (Steven Goldman)
2011-12-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)A healthy Stephen Strasburg with the CY next year? True or false?
(Burt from Canada)
Doubt he gets to throw the 225 innings or so he would need to. (Sam Miller)
2011-10-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)So you're saying Matt Moore and Clayton Kershaw were both better prospects than Stephen Strasburg?
(Charlie from Bethesda)
No, I'm not saying that. Strasburg is in his own class. Just using a lefty as the comp. (Jason Parks)
2011-02-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)What does a Nats fan have to look forward to in 2011 with Stephen Strasburg out and Bryce Harper in the minors?
(Frank from Arlington)
KG's prospect reports, Baseball America articles, and Ryan Zimmerman will be the highlights. (Ken Funck)
2010-12-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)How would you handle Stephen Strasburg when he comes back Tommy John surgery? Does he pitch at all in 2011? Is he in the bullpen in 2012 or just limited pitch counts in his starts that year?
(James from DC)
If possible, get him to throw a bit at the end of 2011. I have read numerous reports that athletes really like using those final games of a season to pitch after coming back from an injury. In basketball, it would help someone like Amare Stoudemire learn to trust his knees in actual NBA action, just like Strasburg would be able to get accustomed to pitching in the majors without the pressure of starting a new season without having pitched in a major league game. Even if it's something psychological and not easily measured, it seems to be important. (Eric Seidman)
2010-08-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Your thoughts on Stephen Strasburg's performance this year? I understand that you want to be careful with a propsect of this caliber, and that you don't want the guy's arm to fall off. But at what point will you ever feel comfortable letting him loose? The Nats have been EXTREMELY careful with his arm and he still had to spend two weeks on the DL.
(spf from oak park, il)
Had the Nationals been playing relevant baseball games, though, they probably would have handled him differently. It makes no sense putting a load on a pitcher's arm in a lost season. In 2011, 2012, the equation should be different, the risks and rewards different. In 2010, there's no point. (Joe Sheehan)
2010-07-29 16:30:00 (link to chat)With Stephen Strasburg being placed on the DL, how much do you foresee the Nationals limiting his innings pitched? They already had him on a super duper innings/pitch count watch, what kind of effect will a shoulder injury have on a prospect like this?
(John from Washington)
They are being very, very cautious with him, as they should be. I could still see them letting him reach 160 innings, but there's no sense in pushing him too hard. The sellouts are nice, but you gotta figure they'll look a lot better when the Nats are competing for a division title and their selling out the four games after he starts too. (Matt Swartz)
2010-05-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Which of the following prospects will "miraculously" be deemed ready for the majors in a week or so: Carlos Santana, Pedro Alvarez, Stephen Strasburg, Buster Posey, Desmond Jennings?
(tommybones from brooklyn)
Stephen Strasburg, for sure. (John Perrotto)
2010-05-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)After yesterday's quote by Steve Phillips that he'd trade Stephen Strasburg for Roy Oswalt, if he were the Nats, does this basically eliminate himself for returning to any real prominent job around baseball as a GM or analyst?
(jlarsen from Chicago)
You never say never but I don't see him being a GM again. As far as an analyst, you never know because there are a lot of people in prominent jobs who makes statements just as dumb as that one. (John Perrotto)
2010-05-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Sir, request permission to be excited about my Nationals in spite of the fact that your models still rate them as second rate, SIR!
(HalfStreet from Fairfax VA)
You have every reason to be excited. It's not that I think the Nationals can continue along as bona fide contenders, but it's clear at this point that they've turned the page on the Jim Bowden-assembled joke, and with the arrivals of Stephen Strasburg and Drew Storen to look forward to in the near future, they're going to become even more interesting. Enjoy it for what it is, by all means. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-04-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)In 5 years, which Nationals pitcher has had the better career, Stephen Strasburg, or Drew Storen?
(Noah Braun from my house)
Strasburg. Is there really anyone who thinks differently? (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-03-23 16:30:00 (link to chat)Should teams question their scouts when they ignore a talent like Stephen Strasburg in high school ? It boogles my mind that he didn'thave any plus pitches in high school.
(William from Mobile, AL)
I think teams should always question their scouts just like they should question all information, but some people just break out later. I would guess Strasburg just broke out later than other pitchers. There is no surefire scouting method that always works. (Matt Swartz)


BP Roundtables

DateRoundtable NameComment
2010-04-05 09:30:00Season Opener RoundtableMatt Ryan (San Diego): More likely to happen next year: Stephen Strasburg winning the Cy Young, or the Padres winning the west?

Strasburg. Granted, he has to compete with the likes of Halladay, Lincecum, Haren, Oswalt, Santana, Wainwright, Carpenter...(you get the picture), but the Padres don't have the immediate firepower to overtake a team like the Rockies, especially if they deal their greatest offensive weapon, Adrian Gonzalez. (Steph Bee)
2010-04-05 09:30:00Season Opener Roundtable"Jake Green (LA): In 2015, who will be the best pitcher of the three? Tim Lincecum, Stephen Strasburg, or Aroldis Chapman?"

Good question. Today I'll go with Tiny Tim, since he's the proven quantity and I'm notoriously risk averse. Ask again in September, though, and you might well get a different answer. (Ken Funck)
2010-04-05 09:30:00Season Opener Roundtable"Jake Green (LA): In 2015, who will be the best pitcher of the three? Tim Lincecum, Stephen Strasburg, or Aroldis Chapman"

I really don't know how to answer these kinds of questions, to be honest. The analytical part of my brain kicks in and says that the margin of error on this sort of thing vastly swamps the difference between them in talent.

So if you're sending in these questions and I'm not picking them, please don't feel slighted. I just honestly don't have a good answer for you, and don't feel like giving you a bad answer just to say I did. (Colin Wyers)
 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Stephen Strasburg has thrown 8,943 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2009 and 2014, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season, the MLB Postseason and Fall/Winter Ball. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (95mph) and Change (89mph), also mixing in a Curve (80mph). He also rarely throws a Slider (87mph) and Sinker (94mph).