Biographical

Portrait of Jesus Aguilar

Jesus Aguilar 1BIndians

Indians Player Cards | Indians Team Audit | Indians Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 24)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
250 .238 8 25 30 0 .253 0.2
Birth Date6-30-1990
Height6' 3"
Weight250 lbs
Age24 years, 3 months, 25 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
-0.22014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2014 CLE 24 19 38 33 2 4 0 0 0 4 4 13 0 1 0 3 0 0 .121 .211 .121 .159 -3.7 0.2 -0.4
Career193833240004413010300.121.211.121.159-3.70.2-0.4

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2008 din Rk 68 274 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .222 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2010 MHV A- 32 136 .249 .251 .323 .365 .259 .301 100 -1.5 3.9 -2.5 2.3 -1.1 -0.9 0.1 -0.9 0.1
2010 IDN Rk 29 123 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .306 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2011 LKC A 95 397 .324 .256 .323 .380 .264 .353 99 27 11.5 -7.4 1.0 -0.8 30.0 3.2 30.0 3.2
2011 KIN A+ 31 124 .252 .247 .321 .364 .246 .309 98 -1.1 3.7 -2.4 1.2 0.0 0.9 0.2 0.9 0.2
2011 CAR Wnt 22 81 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .308 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2012 CAR A+ 107 427 .294 .257 .323 .391 .262 .333 97 16.1 12.8 -8.2 8.5 -2.2 20.3 2.9 20.3 2.9
2012 AKR AA 20 87 .331 .254 .324 .379 .255 .391 100 6.4 2.4 -1.5 1.0 -1.2 5.1 0.7 5.1 0.7
2012 LEO Wnt 22 67 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .406 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 AKR AA 130 567 .284 .257 .327 .386 .268 .316 98 13.6 15.4 -9.9 -0.6 -5.1 15.7 1.6 15.7 1.6
2014 CLE MLB 19 38 .159 .257 .315 .404 .262 .190 103 -3.6 1.0 -0.6 0.2 -0.2 -3.7 -0.4 -3.7 -0.4
2014 COH AAA 118 499 .298 .264 .331 .398 .255 .350 106 21.6 14.9 -9.5 1.4 -3.1 23.4 2.5 23.4 2.5

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2008 din Rk 274 23 49 12 0 4 45 23 29 4 3 .209 .294 .311 .102 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2010 IDN Rk 123 15 29 2 1 7 22 5 33 1 1 .259 .303 .482 .223 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2010 MHV A- 136 8 30 9 0 2 17 11 28 2 0 .244 .306 .366 .122 .249 -0.9 2.3 0.1
2011 KIN A+ 124 12 29 3 0 4 13 11 28 1 0 .257 .323 .389 .133 .252 0.9 1.2 0.2
2011 LKC A 397 58 102 27 2 19 69 35 98 1 0 .292 .370 .544 .252 .324 30.0 1.0 3.2
2011 CAR Wnt 81 8 19 5 0 3 14 10 16 0 1 .275 .358 .478 .203 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2012 AKR AA 87 12 21 6 0 3 13 13 24 0 0 .292 .402 .500 .208 .331 5.1 1.0 0.7
2012 CAR A+ 427 63 102 25 2 12 58 45 91 0 1 .277 .365 .454 .177 .294 20.3 8.5 2.9
2012 LEO Wnt 67 5 16 7 0 3 9 4 26 0 0 .267 .328 .533 .267 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 AKR AA 567 66 137 28 0 16 105 56 107 0 1 .275 .349 .427 .152 .284 15.7 -0.6 1.6
2014 COH AAA 499 69 130 31 0 19 77 64 96 0 0 .304 .395 .511 .206 .298 23.4 1.4 2.5
2014 CLE MLB 38 2 4 0 0 0 3 4 13 0 0 .121 .211 .121 .000 .159 -3.7 0.2 -0.4

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2014 167 0.4790 0.4731 0.6835 0.6375 0.3218 0.8627 0.3571 0.3165
Career1670.4790.47310.68350.63750.32180.86270.35710.3165

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 0 d1 year (2014)

Details
  • 1 year (2014). Contract purchased by Cleveland 11/20/13. Re-signed by Cleveland 3/6/14.
  • Signed by Cleveland 2007 as an amateur free agent from Venezuela.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 515 63 128 24 1 18 66 46 121 0 0 .280 .350 .455 .294 20.4 1B 4 2.6
80o 493 57 117 22 1 16 61 42 119 0 0 .265 .333 .430 .280 12.7 1B 4 1.8
70o 477 54 109 21 1 15 57 39 117 0 0 .255 .320 .413 .270 7.6 1B 3 1.2
60o 463 50 102 19 1 14 54 37 115 0 0 .245 .310 .398 .261 3.5 1B 3 0.7
50o 450 48 97 18 1 14 51 35 114 0 0 .237 .300 .384 .253 -0.1 1B 3 0.3
40o 437 45 90 17 0 13 48 32 112 0 0 .229 .291 .371 .244 -3.6 1B 3 0.0
30o 423 42 84 16 0 12 45 30 110 0 0 .220 .280 .356 .236 -7.0 1B 3 -0.4
20o 407 39 78 15 0 11 42 28 108 0 0 .209 .268 .339 .225 -10.8 1B 3 -0.9
10o 385 34 69 13 0 10 38 25 104 0 0 .195 .251 .316 .211 -15.5 1B 3 -1.4
Weighted Mean4564910019114523611500.241.305.391.2561.61B 30.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
1% 10% 5% 15% 20%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
201525250315611083020690.247.311.403.2631.512.2-0.7-3.614.91.51.6
2016263374070140114026950.232.297.390.2540.85.5-0.9-4.814.9-3.72.2
201727618751312602073501660.237.303.394.2550.61.4-1.8-8.814.9-2.94.0
201828605761282612479481620.233.296.418.2651.37.6-1.5-8.614.92.83.9
201929612761372802176481570.247.310.413.2641.26.8-1.8-8.714.92.44.0
202030605741322601971501530.243.310.398.2600.94.8-1.7-8.614.90.23.9
202131630771392612074531550.244.312.397.2600.94.5-1.7-9.014.90.24.1
202232614741342601971501530.241.308.390.2570.72.4-1.7-8.814.9-2.04.0
202333622711282311666501600.230.297.362.243-0.2-5.7-1.6-8.914.9-10.14.0

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
out of baseball0.1out of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseball0.1

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 86)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 96 Brock Peterson 2008 .000 DNP
2 93 Chris Garcia 2012 .000 DNP
3 93 Matt Curry 2013 .000 DNP
4 92 Chun-Hsiu Chen 2013 .000 DNP
5 92 Jonathan Griffin 2013 .000 DNP
6 91 Brandon Snyder 2011 .270
7 91 Cody Decker 2011 .000 DNP
8 91 Mike McDade 2013 .000 DNP
9 90 Sergio Pedroza 2008 .000 DNP
10 90 Kody Hinze 2012 .000 DNP
11 90 Andy Wilkins 2013 .000 DNP
12 90 Ryan Strieby 2010 .000 DNP
13 89 Tyler Townsend 2012 .000 DNP
14 89 Steve Pearce 2007 .247
15 89 Neftali Soto 2013 .022
16 89 Rene Tosoni 2011 .229
17 89 Mark Canha 2013 .000 DNP
18 89 Chad Tracy 2010 .000 DNP
19 89 Brett Wallace 2011 .246
20 89 Dean Green 2013 .000 DNP
21 89 Rich Poythress 2012 .000 DNP
22 88 Mike Zuanich 2011 .000 DNP
23 88 Matt Rizzotti 2010 .000 DNP
24 88 Steffan Wilson 2010 .000 DNP
25 88 Andrew Brown 2009 .000 DNP
26 88 Koby Clemens 2011 .000 DNP
27 87 Joey Terdoslavich 2013 .230
28 87 Aaron Bates 2008 .000 DNP
29 87 Kyle Roller 2012 .000 DNP
30 87 Brandon Allen 2010 .294
31 87 Lucas Duda 2010 .259
32 87 Dennis Raben 2012 .000 DNP
33 86 Mark Hamilton 2009 .000 DNP
34 86 Tyler Moore 2011 .000 DNP
35 86 Nick Evans 2010 .274
36 86 Aaron Baker 2012 .000 DNP
37 86 Rhyne Hughes 2008 .000 DNP
38 86 Lars Anderson 2012 .103
39 86 Matt Clark 2011 .000 DNP
40 86 Erik Morrison 2010 .000 DNP
41 86 Kiel Roling 2011 .000 DNP
42 85 Bryan LaHair 2007 .000 DNP
43 85 Wes Bankston 2008 .195
44 85 Justin Bour 2012 .000 DNP
45 85 Michael Gonzales 2012 .000 DNP
46 85 Yonder Alonso 2011 .316
47 84 Billy Nowlin 2011 .000 DNP
48 84 Chris Marrero 2013 .094
49 84 Jamie Romak 2010 .000 DNP
50 84 Michael Spina 2011 .000 DNP
51 84 Marc Krauss 2012 .000 DNP
52 84 Jeff Larish 2007 .000 DNP
53 84 Chris Jacobs 2013 .000 DNP
54 83 Jon Talley 2013 .000 DNP
55 83 Eric Thames 2011 .263
56 83 Joey Votto 2008 .296
57 83 Angelo Songco 2013 .000 DNP
58 83 A.J. Kirby-Jones 2013 .000 DNP
59 83 Chris Carlson 2008 .000 DNP
60 83 Todd Frazier 2010 .000 DNP
61 83 Mark Trumbo 2010 .075
62 83 Kevin Patterson 2013 .000 DNP
63 83 Mike Carp 2010 .229
64 83 Chris McGuiness 2012 .000 DNP
65 83 Logan Parker 2009 .000 DNP
66 83 Marvin Lowrance 2009 .000 DNP
67 83 Tyler Kolodny 2012 .000 DNP
68 82 Javier Herrera 2009 .000 DNP
69 82 Travis Ishikawa 2008 .283
70 82 Johermyn Chavez 2013 .000 DNP
71 82 Kyle Jensen 2012 .000 DNP
72 82 Chris Parmelee 2012 .233
73 82 Adam Duvall 2013 .000 DNP
74 82 Cory Vaughn 2013 .000 DNP
75 82 Steven Souza 2013 .000 DNP
76 82 Chris Carter 2007 .000 DNP
77 82 Michael Taylor 2010 .000 DNP
78 82 Mark Fleisher 2008 .000 DNP
79 82 Ian Bladergroen 2007 .000 DNP
80 82 Christian Marrero 2011 .000 DNP
81 82 Casper Wells 2009 .000 DNP
82 82 Brandon Jones 2008 .248
83 82 Clint Robinson 2009 .000 DNP
84 81 Chris Lubanski 2009 .000 DNP
85 81 David Chester 2013 .000 DNP
86 81 Khris Davis 2012 .000 DNP
87 81 Brad Nelson 2007 .000 DNP
88 81 Brandon Waring 2010 .000 DNP
89 81 Kala Ka'aihue 2009 .000 DNP
90 81 Hunter Morris 2013 .000 DNP
91 81 Ronnie Welty 2012 .000 DNP
92 81 Donald Lutz 2013 .196
93 81 Thomas Neal 2012 .169
94 81 Beau Mills 2011 .000 DNP
95 81 Austin Gallagher 2013 .000 DNP
96 81 Michael Burgess 2013 .000 DNP
97 81 John Bowker 2008 .248
98 81 Jordan Brown 2008 .000 DNP
99 81 Joe Mahoney 2011 .000 DNP
100 81 Allen Craig 2009 .000 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Jesus Aguilar made it through the Rule 5 draft, giving the Indians more time to see if this 23-year-old’s power is going to develop enough to fulfill the needs of first base.

BP Articles

Jesus Aguilar is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: Progress Report Food CompsBen Carsley2014-09-10
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: Progress Report Food CompsCraig Goldstein2014-09-10
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: The Other Guys, Part One: American LeagueMike Gianella2014-09-08
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, August 25thJeff Moore2014-08-26
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, July 30Jeff Moore2014-07-31
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: Futures Team Meet and Greet: WorldBen Carsley2014-07-02
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of June 13-15Jeff Moore2014-06-16
Overthinking It: The Way in Which the A's Are Still Old-SchoolBen Lindbergh2014-05-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week SevenBret Sayre2014-05-15
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week SevenMike Gianella2014-05-15
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 25-27Jeff Moore2014-04-28
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, April 21Jeff Moore2014-04-22
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Weekend Games of April 18-20Jeff Moore2014-04-21
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, April 8Jeff Moore2014-04-09
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 4-6Jeff Moore2014-04-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFive to Watch: American League ProspectsWilson Karaman2014-03-17
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Spring Training Games of March 7-9Jeff Moore2014-03-10
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Spring Training Games of March 5Jeff Moore2014-03-06
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: International Winter League Games of January 17-20Jeff Moore2014-01-21
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: International Winter League Games of January 16Jeff Moore2014-01-17
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: International Winter League Games of January 15Jeff Moore2014-01-16
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: International Winter League Games of January 10-12Jeff Moore2014-01-13
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: International Winter League Games of January 9Jeff Moore2014-01-10
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: International Winter League Games of December 30Jeff Moore2014-01-02
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: International Winter League Games of December 27-29Jeff Moore2013-12-30
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: International Winter League Games of December 20-22Jeff Moore2013-12-23
Minor League Update: International Winter League Games of December 18Jeff Moore2013-12-19
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: International Winter League Games of December 13-15Jeff Moore2013-12-16
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: Bush League: Jameson TaillonDoug Thorburn2013-12-13
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: International Winter League Games of December 12Jeff Moore2013-12-13
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: International Winter League Games of December 10Jeff Moore2013-12-11
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: International Winter League Games of December 6-8Jeff Moore2013-12-09
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: International Winter League Games of December 5Jeff Moore2013-12-06
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: International Winter League Games of November 28-30Jeff Moore2013-12-02
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Cleveland Indians Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-11-27
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: International Winter League Games of November 26Jeff Moore2013-11-27
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: AFL Championship Game and International Games of November 15-17Jeff Moore2013-11-18
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, July 1Zach Mortimer2013-07-02
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, June 11Zach Mortimer2013-06-12
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, May 9Zach Mortimer2013-05-10
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 19-April 21Zach Mortimer2013-04-22
Minor League Update: Games of March 29-30Zach Mortimer2013-04-01
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of November 27Jason Martinez2012-11-28
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Future Game Notes: The World RosterJason Parks2012-07-12
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of July 2Kevin Goldstein2012-07-03
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of June 26Kevin Goldstein2012-06-27
Future Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of May 3Kevin Goldstein2012-05-04
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of May 2Kevin Goldstein2012-05-03
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Raising Their Prospect StockKevin Goldstein2012-01-25
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Indians Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2012-01-19


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-06-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Jesus Aguilar -- can he be an MLB-regular given the chance?
(natedogg34 from TX)
It's a stretch. He'd be a second division regular that pops a decent amount of home runs but the rest of it is pretty empty. Probably a platoon bat on a good team, but not too many good teams have right-handed, first-base only platoon guys. (Jeff Moore)
2014-05-29 19:30:00 (link to chat)Better shortstop long term, Brad Miller or Jesus Aguilar?
(DCFG from Quadrant 42)
This is very fresh. Aguilar. (Ben Carsley)
2014-05-27 11:30:00 (link to chat)Thanks for answering my questions. I love it. I'm going to go for the hat trick and then stop. Can you give me your thoughts on 3 big boys with big power: Dylan Cozens, Franmil Reyes, and Jesus Aguilar?
(Ben F from ca)
I like Cozens the best out of those 3. Swing is a bit long, and I'm not sure where he plays. That speaks more to the other two guys, really. Reyes looks like he's pretty mature and old already, even though he isn't. Not much projection left. Not a fan of Aguilar at all. AAAA player. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-05-15 20:00:00 (link to chat)Derek Norris is getting more starts against righties. Good call to hold onto him.
(RotoLando from Cloud City)
This is not a question, but I'll allow it. May the Jesus Aguilar be with you. (Bret Sayre)
2014-05-07 17:00:00 (link to chat)Hello Mike: is there a good chance that we'll see Jesus Aguilar playing for the Indians this summer? I see he's hitting well at AAA and doing what the Indians like, taking walks.
(howling wolf from Silver Spring MD)
There's a chance, although it would probably take an injury to make it work for him. I do worry that he'd be exposed in the bigs, but I would agree that if he keeps hitting this way that the issue will be forced at some point this summer. (Mike Gianella)
2014-05-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)What can you tell us about Jesus Aguilar beyond what we can read in his stats? His BABiP indicates he was lucky in the International League, but unlucky up in the A.L. But, where did his power go?
(hotstatrat from Toronto)
I don't know much at all about him, beyond the Quad-A masher label he seems to be stuck with. (Harry Pavlidis)
2014-02-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Jeff. Loved the winter ball reports. I'd like to get a handle on just what kind of hitter is Jesus Aguilar. Does Cleveland have a big time sleeper here or more likely a quad A bat? What a winter!
(mmcd from ottawa)
You and me both. And so would the Indians, I think. The general consensus entering this off-season was that Aguilar had some power but not enough to really stand out at first base and that his hit tool had enough holes in it to prevent him from ever using that power fully. Then he went out and did what he did this off-season and screwed everything up. It's winter ball, so it must be taken with a grain of salt, but man that was impressive. He'll have to show it's for real this season, but it puts him more firmly on our radar than he was on six months ago. He's a guy I want to get reports on this year. (Jeff Moore)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Hitter Profile

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