Biographical

Portrait of Nolan Arenado

Nolan Arenado 3BRockies

Rockies Player Cards | Rockies Team Audit | Rockies Depth Chart

2014 Rest-of-Season Projections (seasonal age 23)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
3 .269 0 0 0 0 .254 0.0
Birth Date4-16-1991
Height6' 2"
Weight205 lbs
Age23 years, 6 months, 8 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2.42013
4.32014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2013 COL 22 133 514 486 49 130 29 4 10 197 23 72 1 2 2 52 2 0 .267 .301 .405 .236 7.8 14.8 2.4
2014 COL 23 111 467 432 58 124 34 2 18 216 25 58 4 5 1 61 2 1 .287 .328 .500 .273 24.8 14.3 4.3
Career244981918107254636284134813057311341.277.314.450.25432.529.16.8

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2009 CAS Rk 54 225 .266 .273 .338 .405 .268 .322 101 1.4 6.9 0.4 -4.9 0.6 11.3 0.6 11.3 0.6
2010 ASH A 92 400 .290 .258 .325 .376 .265 .333 108 12.8 11.8 0.7 -6.4 -3.3 24.0 1.8 24.0 1.8
2011 MOD A+ 134 583 .294 .279 .346 .432 .275 .293 96 22 17.5 2.2 -10.8 1.4 46.3 3.5 46.3 3.5
2012 TUL AA 134 573 .281 .257 .326 .389 .265 .296 96 12.7 15.8 2.2 27.4 -4.1 34.5 6.5 34.5 6.5
2013 COL MLB 133 514 .236 .253 .313 .395 .257 .296 113 -11.7 13.5 1.8 14.8 1.1 7.8 2.4 7.8 2.4
2013 CSP AAA 18 75 .337 .289 .360 .448 .272 .368 119 6.3 2.2 0.3 2.6 -1.6 9.1 1.2 9.1 1.2
2014 COL MLB 111 467 .273 .250 .312 .386 .260 .294 120 5.7 12.0 1.7 14.3 1.3 24.8 4.3 24.8 4.3
2014 CSP AAA 5 20 .245 .265 .318 .403 .254 .412 118 -0.3 0.6 0 -0.2 0.1 0.6 0.0 0.6 0.0

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2009 CAS Rk 225 28 61 15 0 2 22 16 18 5 2 .300 .357 .404 .103 .266 11.3 -4.9 0.6
2010 ASH A 400 45 115 41 1 12 65 19 52 1 3 .308 .344 .520 .212 .290 24.0 -6.4 1.8
2011 MOD A+ 583 82 154 32 3 20 122 47 53 2 1 .298 .349 .487 .190 .294 46.3 -10.8 3.5
2012 TUL AA 573 55 147 36 1 12 56 39 58 0 2 .285 .337 .428 .143 .281 34.5 27.4 6.5
2013 CSP AAA 75 14 24 11 0 3 21 5 9 0 2 .364 .392 .667 .303 .337 9.1 2.6 1.2
2013 COL MLB 514 49 130 29 4 10 52 23 72 2 0 .267 .301 .405 .138 .236 7.8 14.8 2.4
2014 CSP AAA 20 2 7 2 0 0 3 0 3 0 0 .350 .350 .450 .100 .245 0.6 -0.2 0.0
2014 COL MLB 467 58 124 34 2 18 61 25 58 2 1 .287 .328 .500 .213 .273 24.8 14.3 4.3

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2013 1724 0.4849 0.5572 0.8188 0.6974 0.4245 0.8988 0.6950 0.1813
2014 1591 0.4833 0.5255 0.8481 0.6866 0.3747 0.8864 0.7825 0.1519
Career33150.48410.5420.83290.69220.40060.89280.7370.1672

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-09-15 2014-09-29 DTD 14 13 - General Medical Pneumonia -
2014-05-24 2014-07-03 15-DL 40 37 Left Fingers Fracture Mallet Finger Sliding -
2014-03-23 2014-03-24 Camp 1 0 Left Hand Contusion HBP - -
2013-09-17 2013-09-20 DTD 3 3 Right Thumb Sprain -
2013-09-05 2013-09-06 DTD 1 0 Right Thumb Sprain - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2015 COL $
2014 COL $500,000
2013 COL $
YearsDescriptionSalary
2011Current$500,000
1 yrTotal$500,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 155 dScott Boras1 year/$0.5M (2014)

Details
  • 1 year/$0.5M (2014). Re-signed by Colorado 3/9/14.
  • 1 year (2013). Contract purchased by Colorado 4/28/13.
  • Drafted by Colorado 2009 (2-59) (El Toro HS, Lake Forest, Calif.). $0.625M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 630 77 177 40 3 17 72 37 81 1 1 .303 .342 .468 .280 27.2 3B 11 4.2
80o 613 72 165 38 3 15 68 34 80 1 1 .290 .329 .448 .269 20.0 3B 11 3.3
70o 601 69 158 36 3 15 64 33 80 1 1 .281 .319 .434 .261 15.0 3B 10 2.8
60o 590 66 150 34 3 14 62 31 80 1 1 .273 .311 .422 .254 10.9 3B 10 2.3
50o 580 64 144 33 3 13 59 30 79 1 1 .266 .303 .411 .248 7.1 3B 10 1.9
40o 570 61 137 31 2 13 57 29 79 1 1 .259 .295 .400 .241 3.5 3B 10 1.5
30o 559 59 131 30 2 12 55 27 78 1 1 .251 .287 .388 .234 -0.2 3B 10 1.0
20o 547 56 124 28 2 12 52 26 77 1 1 .242 .277 .374 .227 -4.3 3B 10 0.6
10o 530 52 115 26 2 11 48 24 76 1 1 .230 .264 .355 .215 -9.8 3B 9 -0.1
Weighted Mean582641463331460307911.267.305.413.2497.93B 102.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
5% 39% 4% 20% 60%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
20152461972159373167335781.276.318.433.2713.521.50.2-0.214.96.610.4
20162563271154363167332841.260.299.414.2592.714.00.2-0.414.9-0.710.6
20172662268140321156738861.244.291.381.2482.07.50.2-0.614.9-7.010.5
20182761673152352187536831.268.311.435.2703.420.50.2-0.814.96.110.4
20192861472152373167239841.269.317.430.2713.420.70.2-0.914.96.510.3
20202962374153343187541840.265.315.427.2693.319.60.3-1.114.95.510.5
20213063274147332177344860.256.309.412.2622.815.40.4-1.314.91.310.6
20223161071145332177241860.259.310.418.2652.916.60.3-1.414.92.710.3
20233263576152332197644870.261.314.423.2683.218.40.4-1.714.94.710.7

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
12.18.91.810.27.111.347.3

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 74)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 88 Blake DeWitt 2009 .227
2 84 Matt Dominguez 2013 .249
3 81 Tony Abreu 2008 .000 DNP
4 80 Josh Vitters 2013 .000 DNP
5 79 Lonnie Chisenhall 2012 .267
6 79 Gerardo Parra 2010 .240
7 79 Mike Moustakas 2012 .252
8 78 Taylor Green 2010 .000 DNP
9 78 Darin Holcomb 2009 .000 DNP
10 78 Asdrubal Cabrera 2009 .279
11 77 Neil Walker 2009 .182
12 77 Zack Cox 2012 .000 DNP
13 77 Brent Morel 2010 .222
14 76 Conor Gillaspie 2011 .298
15 76 DJ LeMahieu 2012 .249
16 76 Eric Campbell 2009 .000 DNP
17 76 James Loney 2007 .306
18 76 Cody Asche 2013 .250
19 75 Ryan Wheeler 2012 .236
20 75 Tyler Pastornicky 2013 .240
21 75 Hector Sanchez 2013 .241
22 75 Salvador Perez 2013 .277
23 75 Henry Rodriguez 2013 .131
24 75 Andrelton Simmons 2013 .257
25 75 Josh Harrison 2011 .236
26 74 Stephen Parker 2011 .000 DNP
27 74 C.J. Retherford 2009 .000 DNP
28 74 Tony Thompson 2012 .000 DNP
29 74 Daniel Murphy 2008 .307
30 74 Luis Valbuena 2009 .248
31 74 Jedd Gyorko 2012 .000 DNP
32 74 Rob Brantly 2013 .191
33 73 Steve Lombardozzi 2012 .248
34 73 Brad Emaus 2009 .000 DNP
35 73 Matt Hague 2009 .000 DNP
36 73 Brett Lawrie 2013 .263
37 73 Andy LaRoche 2007 .246
38 73 Jason Taylor 2011 .000 DNP
39 73 Ryan Sweeney 2008 .270
40 73 Tommy La Stella 2012 .000 DNP
41 73 Brandon Laird 2011 .230
42 73 Daniel Descalso 2010 .284
43 73 Nick Markakis 2007 .286
44 72 Kyle Bellows 2012 .000 DNP
45 72 Andy Marte 2007 .193
46 72 Jesus Guzman 2007 .000 DNP
47 72 Carlos Gonzalez 2009 .285
48 72 Tyler Collins 2013 .000 DNP
49 72 Rob Segedin 2012 .000 DNP
50 72 Anderson Hidalgo 2012 .000 DNP
51 72 Ian Stewart 2008 .269
52 72 Adrian Cardenas 2011 .000 DNP
53 72 Moises Sierra 2012 .222
54 72 Johnny Giavotella 2011 .226
55 72 Yangervis Solarte 2011 .000 DNP
56 72 Stefen Romero 2012 .000 DNP
57 71 Marquez Smith 2008 .000 DNP
58 71 Zelous Wheeler 2010 .000 DNP
59 71 Brad Miller 2013 .279
60 71 Kevin Ahrens 2012 .000 DNP
61 71 Matt Tuiasosopo 2009 .251
62 71 Alex Buchholz 2011 .000 DNP
63 71 Mitch Moreland 2009 .000 DNP
64 71 Ismael Castro 2007 .000 DNP
65 71 Austin Barnes 2013 .000 DNP
66 71 Alexi Amarista 2012 .244
67 71 Corban Joseph 2012 .000 DNP
68 71 Kyle Seager 2011 .263
69 71 Luis Jimenez 2011 .000 DNP
70 71 Felix Pie 2008 .220
71 71 David Cooper 2010 .000 DNP
72 71 Vinnie Catricala 2012 .000 DNP
73 71 Jimmy Paredes 2012 .195
74 71 Mat Gamel 2009 .270
75 71 Yamaico Navarro 2011 .247
76 71 Jordan Brown 2007 .000 DNP
77 71 Travis Denker 2009 .000 DNP
78 71 Gary Brown 2012 .000 DNP
79 71 Joe Leonard 2012 .000 DNP
80 71 David Vidal 2013 .000 DNP
81 71 Billy Nowlin 2010 .000 DNP
82 70 Jose Pirela 2013 .000 DNP
83 70 Gordon Beckham 2010 .244
84 70 Andrew McCutchen 2010 .305
85 70 Adam Lind 2007 .242
86 70 Eric Sogard 2009 .000 DNP
87 70 Reid Brignac 2009 .245
88 70 Jake Smolinski 2012 .000 DNP
89 70 Joel Guzman 2008 .000 DNP
90 70 Willie Cabrera 2010 .000 DNP
91 70 German Duran 2008 .210
92 70 Howie Kendrick 2007 .269
93 70 Sean Henry 2009 .000 DNP
94 70 Adam Duvall 2012 .000 DNP
95 70 Chris Marrero 2012 .000 DNP
96 70 Riccio Torrez 2013 .000 DNP
97 70 Ryan Kalish 2011 .000 DNP
98 70 Austin Gallagher 2012 .000 DNP
99 70 Colby Rasmus 2010 .316
100 70 Andy Wilkins 2012 .000 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .296 .349 .496 .259
11 vs R (Multi) .256 .281 .370 .216
18 Split (Multi) -.040 -.068 -.126 -.044
19 LgAvg (Multi) -.013 -.023 -.037 -.020
30 vs L (2013) .296 .349 .496 .259
31 vs R (2013) .256 .281 .370 .216
38 Split (2013) -.040 -.068 -.126 -.044
39 LgAvg (2013) -.011 -.021 -.036 -.019

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Arenado, the Rockies top prospect entering 2012 and one of the best third-base prospects in baseball, fell short of lofty expectations at Double-A. He made contact and drove some gappers but showed little home-run power. A strong start and finish surrounded a stretch from May to July when his offensive game disappeared. Arenado was not recalled in September due to concerns about his maturity and the fact that he wasn't already on the 40-man roster. He isn't always quick to make adjustments, which could be a problem at the big-league level, where he will spend time this year. There still is a lot to like, although earlier hype levels may have been higher than warranted.
2012 Scouts have liked Arenado's power potential since he played shortstop in high school, and that potential finally started to bear fruit in the second half of 2011. Taken in the second round of the 2009 draft, he now plays third base, where his lack of range is less problematic. Arenado improved his walk rate from 4.8 percent in 2010 to 8.1 percent last year while reducing his strikeout rate from 13.0 percent to 9.1 percent. He will need to keep hitting at every level, as his glove is nothing special (although he has made strides in that area) and he has no speed.
2011 The Rockiesí second-round pick in 2009, Arenado spent April in extended spring training recuperating from minor surgery and made his Sally League debut in May. Breaking into a full-season league as a teenager, he exceeded expectations, particularly in the power department, where he more than doubled his isolated power from 2009 thanks to his 41 doubles in just 400 plate appearances. The Rockies have visions of a good portion of those doubles turning into home runs as both his skills and body mature. Mix in solid play at the hot corner from the former high school shortstop, and the Rockies think they have their Third Baseman of the Future, but thereís a lot of optimism built into that projection.
2010 The Rockiesí 2009 second-round pick made a solid debut in the Pioneer League, overcoming a slow start to hit for average and display a good approach and doubles power as a teenager. A prep shortstop converted to third base, he has the tools to stay at the hot corner, and the organization loves his makeup and expects him to develop 25-30 home-run power. Stay tuned.

BP Articles

Nolan Arenado is referenced in the following articles.

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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-09-29 14:00:00 (link to chat)What are your expectations for Nolan Arenado for the next two or three seasons? Is there room for more growth?
(sitdancer from DC)
Provided that Arenado can stay healthy, I think he's a perennial five-win player. He was well on his way to that this year, even amid injuries, and while I don't see a lot of further growth, he's already a heck of a regular third baseman. That being said, the strides he made defensively to become one of the elite 3Bs in the league are very impressive and might point to the ability to keep improving well into his 20s. (Daniel Rathman)
2014-09-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)As my 12-team, 5x5 roto season winds to a close, I need some keeper help. We keep six from year to year and here are the potentials: Anthony Rendon, Josh Donaldson, Mike Trout (obviously), Troy Tulowitzki, Anthony Rizzo, Max Scherzer, Stephen Strasburg, Nolan Arenado I have Tulo, Rendon, Trout, Rizzo, Scherzer and Stras as my six. Would you choose them? Thanks for the help!
(Jake from Minneapolis)
I'd try to find a way to keep Donaldson and deal one of the pitchers, if I could. 28 bombs from 3B isn't anything to sneeze at, plus it allows you to play Rendon at 2B next year. Pitching is everywhere. (Craig Goldstein)
2014-04-16 19:00:00 (link to chat)I just traded Nolan Arenado, Julio Urias and Brian Goodwin for David Wright in a 16 team, 40 man roster, 5x5 league. I am middle division team with a surplus of good prospects. Thoughts on the deal?
(Gravybill from New York, NY)
I think you gave up a lot, but if you think you can compete in the next two seasons, this is fine. I like Arenado more than most and used to like Goodwin more than most, though his star is fading in my eyes. Urias will be quite good, but not irreplaceable. (Ben Carsley)
2014-03-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Nolan Arenado going to break out this year? What do you think his chances are of hitting in the #2 hole ahead of Cargo and Tulo? If he does he should see a ton of pitches to hit.
(holmesp2001 from St. Louis)
My guess is he won't bat that high. He should be a little better offensively than he was last season. (R.J. Anderson)
2014-02-18 14:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Ronit, Hope your having a good day. I was recently offered this trade what are your thoughts. traded Nolan Arenado, Col 3B receive George Springer, Charlie Morton,I have no inside info on this guy Morton
(OB1 from N.Y.C.)
Don't worry, you don't need it. I'd rather have Springer than Arenado in fantasy to begin with. (Ronit Shah)
2014-01-21 18:00:00 (link to chat)N. Arenado or B. Belt for CI, this year and the future?
(Ryan from Wintery Wonderland)
Hi Ryan:

I'd go with Brandon Belt over Nolan Arenado both this year and long term. I like Belt a lot better as a pure hitter and even though Arenado is in Colorado I'm skeptical that he is ever going to be a big time masher. The park difference is significant which makes Arenado tempting in a keep forever, but I'm going with the talent here and taking Belt. (Mike Gianella)
2014-01-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who do you prefer long-term? Nolan Arenado or Jedd Gyorko?
(chaneyhey from St. Louis)
Ooh that's tough. I have them close so I have to give Arenado the edge because of his setting. (Paul Sporer)
2013-06-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)5 hours! Thanks for all the chat, awesome stuff. Does Nolan Arenado make a top-10 3B next year? Is he basically valuable only because of Coors?
(ravenight from Boston)
You're welcome! I don't think he's quite top 10, but his value is boosted by Coors for sure. I like him more for 2015. (Paul Sporer)
2013-05-22 18:00:00 (link to chat)I am currently rostering both Brett Lawrie and Nolan Arenado in a 12-team H2H redraft league (OBP replaces AVG otherwise standard 5 categories). I don't want to carry more than one 3B and neither has trade value...who should I drop? I just can't imagine a world where I regret dropping Lawrie at this point...am I wrong?
(Ragnhild from Norway)
Lawrie looks horrendous to me. He has poor pitch selection and tries to destroy every baseball thrown his way. I see him get himself out more often than not by going after the pitcher's pitch rather than waiting for one he can do something with. Arenado has less major league experience but already does this better. (Jason Collette)
2013-05-22 18:00:00 (link to chat)Nolan Arenado's running a good LD% now, but with little to show in the way of BABIP. When all is said and done with normalization, what kind of slash line do you see Nolan Arenado putting up for the rest of the year?
(Bodhizefa from Greensboro, NC)
.270/.330/.480 (Jason Collette)
2013-05-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)I currently do not have an active 3B on the roster and no teams are interested in trading. Any off the radar (like not in the top 20 at the position guys) you would use in your lineup? I am looking at guys like Chisenhall, Gillaspe, Nunez, Nix, etc.) Will Ryan Wheeler make an appearance this year or he essentially blocked by Nolan Arenado?
(MN Mike from MN)
Chis should be on the fat side of the platoon & he's raking righties. If they use him as platoon only, he works. Gillaspie might get more burn as Keppinger fails. (Paul Sporer)
2013-04-30 12:00:00 (link to chat)My dad picked up Nolan Arenado before I was able to. Do you think he will hit right away?
(Alex from Anaheim)
He gets to play his home games at Coors Field so I wouldn't rule it out. Gotta tip your cap to pops for being quick with the add. (R.J. Anderson)
2013-04-16 20:00:00 (link to chat)Just offered Chris Archer and Nolan Arenado for Cingrani in a keeper league where I am rebuilding from scratch. Thoughts?
(Joe from Seattle)
Leave the chat right now and hit accept. I give you permission to go. (Bret Sayre)
2013-04-18 14:00:00 (link to chat)Can you think of any guys who are currently in the minors that have a good chance of coming up and making an impact in the majors this year? Also, when we get through the Super Two deadline, which prospects do you think will be called up?
(Marco from California)
Three names that immediately jump to mind, Marco: Nolan Arenado (3B, COL), Wil Myers (OF, TBR), and Anthony Rendon (INF, WSH). Arenado should be ready to take over at the hot corner for the Rockies in the near future. The Rays might not be able to keep Myers in the minors for much longer, unless their current position players turn things around at the plate. And with Danny Espinosa scuffling, the Nats could look for an internal upgrade at second base, which a healthy Rendon could provide. (Daniel Rathman)
2013-03-20 11:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Cory ..... thanks for the chat. Which hot prospects do you think will be "held back" in the minors for Super-2 considerations this year? Taveras? Others?
(dianagram from VORGville)
Well, to be fair, Taveras doesn't have a clear-cut path to playing time, with Holliday and Beltran on the corners and Jay as the primary/platoon CF. But he will probably hit his way into a job this year. Wil Myers, Nolan Arenado, Jurickson Profar and Kolten Wong are just a few others who quickly come to mind. Like Taveras, Profar may indeed be ready right now, but there's no clear-cut everyday job for him right now so I can see the Rangers giving him a few more weeks in Triple-A while they figure it out. (Cory Schwartz)
2013-03-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)If you had to predict Nolan Arenado's fantasy value next year, whose would it be comparable to?
(Heinrich from San Diego)
Oh man, you'd really have to know how much he's going to be up. He could get service timed or could just be deemed unready. It sounds from what I've been reading that he won't start the season in the majors, so would his comps be Olt and A-Rod in that regard?

Next year should be much easier to predict with him. (Zachary Levine)
2013-03-06 20:00:00 (link to chat)Looking at Rox for some high upside guys. With Nolan Arenado's hot start, do you think Chris Nelson will get enough playing time to warrant a protection at $5 (eligible at 2B)? Also, any chance Eric Young Jr sneaks into the lineup enough to steal 30+?
(Scott from LA)
If this is an NL-only leagues, I'd protect Nelson for $5. Young will likely get 25ish steals, but erratically and without much production elsewhere. (Paul Singman)
2013-02-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)Any chance Nolan Arenado wins the third base job?
(grandslam28 from Chicago)
I'll give him about a 25% chance to emerge with the gig on Opening Day, and possibly better than that if he improves his day-to-day effort level, something that he was dinged for last year. Arenado certainly has the talent to be an everyday option at third base, and Chris Nelson won't stand in the way for long. (Daniel Rathman)
2013-02-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Not to focus too much on KLaw's Top 100, but the absence of Nolan Arenado was surprising to me. Has his stock fallen that far in your estimation, too?
(Dan W. from Brooklyn)
It's fallen, yes. We still put him in the 101. I think he's going to hit, but he might not be a monster. (Jason Parks)
2012-10-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)What's your take on the sliding prospect stock of Nolan Arenado? No star ceiling anymore? Do you see him or Jedd Gyorko as the higher ceiling prospect at 3b?
(sitdancer from DC)
Still love Arenado; had to expect his numbers to come down a bit from what he put up in the California League, and I think he did well for a 21-year old in AA. Still lots of doubles and lots of contact. I'd take him over Gyorko, who is 2.5 years older and did the bulk of his damage in the Pacific Coast League last year. (Bradley Ankrom)
2012-07-03 14:00:00 (link to chat)I'm looking to stash a player in the minors that isn't expected to produce at the MLB level until late 2012/early 2013. Who are the guys you would consider?
(patvijay from Chicago)
Definitely start with the list I gave in question 3. You could add Travis D'Arnaud, Shelby Miller, Gary Brown, Nolan Arenado. It sounds like you might be in a shallower league, though, so if most of these guys are available and you're just grabbing one, I'd probably have to go with Wil Myers. (Derek Carty)
2012-05-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Whither Nolan Arenado? Chris Nelson has a .607 OPS and three errors already. What the heck are the Rockies waiting for?
(Silv from NY, NY)
One possible guess, of course, is that they're waiting long enough to ensure an extra year of team control. More likely, it's because he's barely reached drinking age, and barely seen advanced pitching. Sure, he might be ready, but I'd like to see him succeed in more than 100 or so PAs in Double-A before throwing him to the wolves. There's a big risk-reward question here--does the reward of him (possibly) improving the big league lineup a little bit this year outweight the risk that he's not ready, and forcing him to fail in his first trip to the majors stunts his development? I totally understand them playing it safe at this point. (Ken Funck)
2012-04-12 14:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Derek, thanks for the chat. Many people know I am better performer in the second half of season career-wise. Would you mind name more players you consider worth monitoring or even prospects who could have a big showing?
(Adam Laroche from National Capital)
Sorry, Adam, but I donít buy the whole first-half/second-half thing for most players. As far as prospects that could be recalled and make an impact go, there are a lot of guys that could fit the bill. To name a few: Bryce Harper, Mike Trout, Trevor Bauer, Joe Benson, Joe Wieland, Robbie Erlin, Leonys Martin, Tyler Skaggs, Jacob Turner, Brad Peacock, Jarrod Parker, Nolan Arenado, Danny Hultzen, and Brett Jackson. (Derek Carty)
2012-03-23 12:00:00 (link to chat)Either of uberprospects Nolan Arenado or Brett Jackson likely to have substantive value this season? I've stashed both in NL only as long term plays, but am hoping they'll get their licks in for 2012, as well.
(Silv from NY, NY)
Jackson should have an earlier opportunity and I love the pop/speed combo. Substantive value may be a bit much to ask though (Jason Collette)
2012-03-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)At what point will I be replaced this season?
(Casey Blake from Rocker)
If Nolan Arenado hits in the minors, it may be no later than the All-Star break. If Blake doesn't hit, it may be no later than April 30. The team doesn't have any high quality options, but they could easily try someone like Chris Nelson or Jordan Pacheco if Blake is struggling. (Derek Carty)
2012-01-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)Good afternoon. Can you please rank the best 5 3B not yet in the big leagues (Rendon, Middlebrooks, etc) and if you think any can have an impact in 2012/2013.
(Ken318 from Quakertown, PA)
The honest answer is "no, we can't," unless you want us to start parroting prospect lists (speaking of which, Kevin Goldstein's Top 101 will be out next month, both on the site and in the annual). I did relay your question to Kevin, who points out that we should be keeping an eye on the Rockies' Nolan Arenado, who's coming on strong and has a clear path to the majors with Ian Stewart in Chicago.--Ben (Best of BP with Ben and Dave)


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