Biographical

Portrait of Lance Lynn

Lance Lynn PCardinals

Cardinals Player Cards | Cardinals Team Audit | Cardinals Depth Chart

2014 Rest-of-Season Projections (seasonal age 27)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
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Birth Date5-12-1987
Height6' 5"
Weight240 lbs
Age27 years, 3 months, 21 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
0.32011
2.82012
3.62013
3.02014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2011 SLN 24 18 2 34.7 10.3 24.3 1 1 1 1 0 0 136 25 12 12 3 39 11 10 1 40 3.12 2.85 3.66 3.1 0.3
2012 SLN 25 35 29 176.0 169.0 7.0 18 7 0 0 16 0 744 168 76 74 16 266 64 61 10 180 3.78 3.53 3.71 28.4 2.8
2013 SLN 26 33 33 201.7 201.7 0.0 15 10 0 0 19 1 856 189 92 89 14 281 76 76 11 198 3.97 3.25 3.48 32.3 3.6
2014 SLN 27 27 27 164.7 164.7 0.0 14 8 0 0 18 0 705 151 59 51 8 217 60 59 6 147 2.79 3.13 3.42 22.6 2.7
Career11391577.0545.731.3482611531244153323922641803211206285653.533.283.5486.49.3

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2008 QUD A 2 2 8.0 4.75 86 .272 .260 .328 .378 .271 .273 96 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0
2008 BAT A- 6 4 18.7 2.77 138 .170 .242 .328 .343 .253 .261 99 5.8 0.6 5.8 0.6
2009 PMB A+ 5 2 15.7 2.69 131 .250 .241 .310 .346 .249 .364 89 3.6 0.4 3.6 0.4
2009 SFD AA 22 22 126.3 4.04 122 .244 .266 .338 .388 .252 .301 115 30.8 3.2 29.8 3.0
2009 MEM AAA 1 1 6.7 2.81 120 .222 .229 .312 .318 .259 .312 75 1.3 0.1 1.3 0.1
2010 MEM AAA 29 29 164.0 4.98 99 .248 .271 .342 .423 .262 .301 99 23.1 2.2 21.8 2.0
2011 SLN MLB 18 2 34.7 3.66 109 .209 .250 .311 .390 .256 .272 96 3.1 0.3 3.1 0.3
2011 MEM AAA 12 12 75.0 3.85 123 .242 .285 .352 .439 .268 .344 95 18.9 1.8 20.0 1.9
2012 SLN MLB 35 29 176.0 3.71 114 .259 .250 .309 .398 .255 .321 100 28.8 3.1 28.4 2.8
2013 SLN MLB 33 33 201.7 3.48 116 .256 .248 .308 .388 .254 .314 102 32.1 3.5 32.3 3.6
2014 SLN MLB 27 27 164.7 3.42 115 .256 .245 .306 .376 .258 .295 100 24.2 2.7 22.6 2.7

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2008 BAT A- 1 0 0 6 4 18.7 12 4 22 0 41% .261 5.8 1.9 0.0 10.6 0.86 0.96 5.8 0.6
2008 QUD A 0 1 0 2 2 8.0 8 2 7 2 38% .273 9.0 2.2 2.2 7.9 1.25 2.25 0.2 0.0
2009 MEM AAA 0 0 0 1 1 6.7 5 3 9 0 56% .312 6.7 4.0 0.0 12.1 1.19 2.69 1.3 0.1
2009 SFD AA 11 4 0 22 22 126.3 117 51 98 5 49% .301 8.3 3.6 0.4 7.0 1.33 2.92 29.8 3.0
2009 PMB A+ 0 0 0 5 2 15.7 16 3 17 0 55% .364 9.2 1.7 0.0 9.7 1.21 2.29 3.6 0.4
2010 MEM AAA 13 10 0 29 29 164.0 164 62 141 21 44% .301 9.0 3.4 1.2 7.7 1.38 4.77 21.8 2.0
2011 SLN MLB 1 1 1 18 2 34.7 25 11 40 3 58% .272 6.5 2.9 0.8 10.4 1.04 3.12 3.1 0.3
2011 MEM AAA 7 3 0 12 12 75.0 79 25 64 2 46% .344 9.5 3.0 0.2 7.7 1.39 3.84 20.0 1.9
2012 SLN MLB 18 7 0 35 29 176.0 168 64 180 16 46% .321 8.6 3.3 0.8 9.2 1.32 3.78 28.4 2.8
2013 SLN MLB 15 10 0 33 33 201.7 189 76 198 14 45% .314 8.4 3.4 0.6 8.8 1.31 3.97 32.3 3.6
2014 SLN MLB 14 8 0 27 27 164.7 151 60 147 8 46% .295 8.3 3.3 0.4 8.0 1.28 2.79 22.6 2.7

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2011 559 0.5367 0.4498 0.7888 0.6067 0.2664 0.8407 0.6522 0.2112
2012 2990 0.4923 0.4563 0.7783 0.6209 0.2951 0.8271 0.6786 0.2203
2013 3351 0.5178 0.4736 0.7933 0.6594 0.2741 0.8575 0.6275 0.2042
2014 2794 0.5032 0.4590 0.8151 0.6494 0.2659 0.8576 0.7100 0.1825
Career96940.50680.46270.79470.64160.27780.84720.66850.2033

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-06-28 2014-06-28 DTD 0 0 Right Fingers Blister Middle Finger -
2014-06-01 2014-06-01 DTD 0 0 Right Knee Sprain Hyperextension -
2012-02-21 2012-03-07 Camp 15 0 - Thigh Strain Hamstring - -
2011-08-10 2011-10-09 60-DL 60 46 Left Abdomen Strain Oblique - -
2008-08-07 2008-09-05 Minors 29 0 - Not Disclosed - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 SLN $535,000
2013 SLN $513,000
2012 SLN $482,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
2 yrPrevious$995,000
2011Current$535,000
3 yrPvs + Cur$1,530,000
3 yrTotal$1,530,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
2 y 119 d1 year/$0.535M (2014)

Details
  • 1 year/$0.535M (2014). Re-signed by St. Louis 3/14.
  • 1 year/$0.513M (2013). Re-signed by St. Louis 3/13.
  • 1 year/$0.482M (2012). Re-signed by St. Louis 2/29/12.
  • 1 year (2011). Contract purchased by St. Louis 6/2/11. Re-signed by St. Louis 2/11.
  • Drafted by St. Louis 2008 (1-39) (Mississippi). Signed 6/08, $0.938M signing bonus.

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Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .262 .367 .420 .284
11 vs R (Multi) .243 .289 .351 .227
18 Split (Multi) .020 .078 .070 .057
19 LgAvg (Multi) .010 .024 .026 .019
30 vs L (2013) .259 .361 .404 .276
31 vs R (2013) .247 .299 .353 .234
38 Split (2013) .012 .062 .050 .042
39 LgAvg (2013) .010 .022 .028 .019

BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

Lance Lynn is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 29, 2014Chris Mosch2014-08-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 23Wilson Karaman2014-08-29
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: Police and ThievesDoug Thorburn2014-08-22
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 11, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-11
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 11, 2014Chris Mosch2014-08-11
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 5, 2014Chris Mosch2014-08-05
Daily League Strategy: Stacking LeftiesPaul Sporer2014-07-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 18Wilson Karaman2014-07-25
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 24, 2014Chris Mosch2014-07-24
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 24, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-07-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessMy Model Portfolio: Three-and-a-Half Months LaterBret Sayre2014-07-22
The Week in Quotes: June 30-July 6Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-07-07
The Week in Quotes: June 30-July 6Nick Bacarella2014-07-07
The Week in Quotes: June 30-July 6Chris Mosch2014-07-07
The Week in Quotes: June 30-July 6Morris Greenberg2014-07-07
This article requires BP Premium accessWorking the Count: Starting Pitcher Repertoires and Times Through the OrderNoah Woodward2014-06-27
BP Unfiltered: Ross Detwiler and the All-Fastball All-StarsBen Lindbergh2014-06-25
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Odrisamer Despaigne's DebutDaniel Rathman2014-06-24
The Week in Quotes: June 16-22Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-06-23
The Week in Quotes: June 16-22Morris Greenberg2014-06-23
This article requires BP Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 13Wilson Karaman2014-06-20
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Another No-NoChris Mosch2014-06-19
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Another No-NoDaniel Rathman2014-06-19
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Weekend Wrap-Up, 6/16Daniel Rathman2014-06-16
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Scherzer's First GemChris Mosch2014-06-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week 11Bret Sayre2014-06-12
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week 11Mike Gianella2014-06-12
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Weekend Wrap-Up, 6/9Daniel Rathman2014-06-09
Daily League Strategy: Just Joshin'Paul Sporer2014-06-06
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Single's Going SteadyR.J. Anderson2014-06-03
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Ben Revere's RideChris Mosch2014-05-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week NineWilson Karaman2014-05-23
BP Unfiltered: This Week's New Pitching Lines, 4/25Sam Miller2014-04-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Taking Stock of Your TeamBen Murphy2014-04-25
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersBen Murphy2014-02-28
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 18Paul Sporer2013-07-26
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This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 19, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-19
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 14th, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week SevenPaul Sporer2013-05-10
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 8th, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-08
TINSTAAPP: TINSTAAPP Episode 2: Bailey v. Lynn Doug Thorburn2013-05-07
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Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 4, 2013Joe Hamrahi2013-04-04
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This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: How Pitchers React to Home RunsSam Miller2012-07-11
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessWeekly Planner: Week 12Paul Sporer2012-06-15
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Starting Pitching for 6/14/12Paul Sporer2012-06-14
What You Need to Know: Thursday, June 7Daniel Rathman2012-06-07
What You Need to Know: Friday, June 1Daniel Rathman2012-06-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessWeekly Planner: Week NinePaul Sporer2012-05-25
What You Need to Know: Friday, May 18Daniel Rathman2012-05-18
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What You Need to Know: Tuesday, May 8Daniel Rathman2012-05-08
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This article requires BP Premium accessWorld Series Prospectus: Mixed-Up ConfusionJay Jaffe2011-10-25
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Transaction Analysis Blog: Cards Call on Lynn, CletoR.J. Anderson2011-06-03
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This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Sixth in Line?Kevin Goldstein2011-03-01
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-07-24 19:00:00 (link to chat)Is Justin Upton, Lance Lynn, and Derek Holland a reasonable price for Chris Sale, Joey Gallo, Kenley Jansen, and a top 5-10 prospect pick (assume 2014 draftees)?
(AJ from Phoenix)
I value Sale over Upton by enough to want more in this deal if I'm the Sale side. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-02-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Best dynasty league keeper: Lance Lynn or Nathan Eovaldi? Why?
(cracker73 from Florida)
That's tough. I really like both. Lynn is more actualized, but Eovaldi has the higher ceiling. I think I'd lean toward the latter because of that ceiling. (Paul Sporer)
2014-02-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Lance Lynn a top 40 starter?
(cracker73 from Florida)
No and, if I might editorialize, gosh no. (Sam Miller)
2013-06-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Can you name a non-ace or two in the NL whom you expect to be better in the second half?
(Jason from Not leaving yet)
Better meaning they've pitched and failed. Lance Lynn, Jeff Samardzija, Homer Bailey, Edwin Jackson, Dillon Gee (already surging), Brandon McCarthy & Ryan Vogelsong when healthy, and keep an eye on Tom Koehler who is throwing tonight. (Paul Sporer)
2013-03-27 20:00:00 (link to chat)One more offer I received today in an NL keeper: my Rutledge ($10 S1) for Lance Lynn ($4 S1)?
(sbnbaseball from New Jersey)
Yes. But I'm a known Rutledge non-believer. (Bret Sayre)
2013-03-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Matt, Enjoy the chats alot. Who do you consider the best choice in a dynasty league without regard to position. Lance Lynn, Trevor Cahill or Starling Marte.
(dhorrell1956 from Winston Salem, NC)
Thanks, I enjoy the questions a lot. I'm really not a fantasy guy, but I do like me some Starling Marte. So take that for what it's worth. Also I'd think in dynasty you'd be concerned with injuries and so I'd suggest staying away from pitching prospects. (Matthew Kory)
2013-03-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)Would you rather have Leonys Martin or Lance Lynn in a dynasty league?
(Justin from Chicago)
As is traditional when about to close up shop (ha HA!) we'll do a lightning round which is fun to shout if you over-pronounce "round."

I'll take Lynn. (Matthew Kory)
2013-03-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)I am in a NL only 5x5 auction league and really debating my last carryover...I have Lance Lynn at $7, Paul Maholm at $1, Ian Stewart at $2 and Chris Nelson at $3....Considering their prices, what order would you put them in for terms of potential profit over their cost? Thanks! Chris PS--got the Starting Pitching Guide for the first time this year....WOW!!! incredible breadth of coverage and depth to the point I really feel like I have a unfair advantage going into drafting my pitchers this year...THANKS!!
(cgraham73 from Charleston, SC)
Thanks so much, Chris. As you'll note in the said guide, I like Maholm a good bit with Atlanta, but I have to go Lynn because I think he can be special. (Paul Sporer)
2013-03-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Trevor Rosenthal.Long termer reliever or starter ?
(Spirou from Montreal)
I want so badly to say starter bc I'm such a huge fan. We'll see how this year goes. If he can pull some spot starts, I'll be heartened that they might Lance Lynn him next year. If he is a long term reliever, he succeeds Motte in 2015. (Paul Sporer)
2013-03-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Daniel, Always enjoy and look forward to the BP chats. I'd like your opinion on the long term prospects of Lance Lynn and Trevor Cahill. I've read differing opinions on Lynn, from he's going to be special to mid-rotation guy. Opinions on Cahill seem to be a little more scarce. Thanks in advance.
(dhorrell1956 from NC)
Hey, dhorrell1956 — glad to hear that you enjoy these.

I was intrigued by the progress that Cahill made last year, when he ticked his walk rate down a bit, upped his strikeout rate to 18.6 percent from 16.3 percent, and induced a rather ridiculous 61.2 percent ground-ball rate. He's only 25, so I think there's room for even more improvement here, which could make Cahill a perennial 3+ win pitcher.

I am less bullish on Lynn, but do think that he'll be a solid third or fourth starter for a long time. It'll be interesting to see how he tweaks his mechanics and holds up after dropping 40 pounds this offseason (http://www.palmbeachpost.com/news/sports/baseball/st-louis-cardinals-pitcher-lance-lynn-loses-40-pou/nWMyP/). (Daniel Rathman)
2013-03-06 20:00:00 (link to chat)Do you have a couple starting pitchers in mind that might break out this season?
(Matt M from Malone, NY)
I do Matt from Malone. Alex Cobb, Lance Lynn, Iwakuma, Teheran, Wade Davis are some good late round names depending on your league size. (Paul Singman)
2013-02-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Can keep one for a starting pitcher keeper for 2013... Josh Johnson, Jake Peavy, Anibal Sanchez, Lance Lynn... Not opposed to taking a bit of a risk, almost want to keep Lynn, am I crazy?
(GMan from Detroit)
You're not crazy, I *REALLY* like Lynn. Is there no differentiating cost between them? I'd lean Peavy if not, but if you want to go for broke with Lynn, I support it. (Paul Sporer)
2012-12-04 14:00:00 (link to chat)Do you attach any credence to the rumor that the Indians are asking an arm and a leg (specifically, Lance Lynn's and Joe Kelly's arms, and Matt Adams' gynormous legs along with the rest of him) of St. Louis for Asdrubal Cabrera? That would be an Adams-sized overpay, wouldn't it?
(Bill from New Mexico)
Nice one, Bill — and the asking price for Cabrera at this point does seem exorbitant. Paul Hoynes from the Cleveland Plain-Dealer characterized it as "three to four players," at least two of whom are likely to be top prospects. Cabrera is a reliable, two-win player signed for $16.5 million through 2014, so it's understandable that Chris Antonetti doesn't want to give him away. But given his iffy defense at shortstop, and the other options at 2B and 3B, unless teams get desperate (and I don't think the Cardinals are), that demand is unlikely to be met. (Daniel Rathman)
2012-12-04 14:00:00 (link to chat)Do you attach any credence to the rumor that the Indians are asking an arm and a leg (specifically, Lance Lynn's and Joe Kelly's arms, and Matt Adams' gynormous legs along with the rest of him) of St. Louis for Asdrubal Cabrera? That would be an Adams-sized overpay, wouldn't it?
(Bill from New Mexico)
Nice one, Bill — and the asking price for Cabrera at this point does seem exorbitant. Paul Hoynes from the Cleveland Plain-Dealer characterized it as "three to four players," at least two of whom are likely to be top prospects. Cabrera is a reliable, two-win player signed for $16.5 million through 2014, so it's understandable that Chris Antonetti doesn't want to give him away. But given his iffy defense at shortstop, and the other options at 2B and 3B, unless teams get desperate (and I don't think the Cardinals are), that demand is unlikely to be met. (Daniel Rathman)
2011-10-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Speaking of timetables for prospects, do you think the Cardinals were gaming the system by keeping Lance Lynn on the 60-day DL until the last minute, so he could come back and be a healthy fire-breathing reliever against dinged-up hitters? Or was that use of the 60-day legitimate? How good is he going to be?
(Bill from New Mexico)
I don't see what's wrong with gaming the system if it's there to be gamed. That's just smart management. I like Lynn out of the bullpen, but still would like to see him as a starter. No. 4 type. (Kevin Goldstein)
2011-07-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Does Lance Lynn have the potential to be a legit closer?
(John from IL)
Haven't seen enough personally, but from what I hear 7th inning guy is a more likely fit. Why doesn't anyone talk about their rotation issues in 3-4-5 spot? (Mike Ferrin)
2011-03-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for chattin'; I think you may be overestimating the likelihood of McClellan's shifting to the rotation, CK. Lance Lynn was *very* good in AAA over his final dozen starts (83-20 K-BB in 73 innings), and Duncan likes him.
(Bob from Malibu)
Believe me, that's my very point from my column last week: Lynn should be the best choice, especially with last year's boosted velocity on top of the better second-half results. But if they hold up McClellan for some media misdirection over the next couple of weeks, until Lynn wins the job without the immediate pressure of "YOU WILL REPLACE ADAM WAINWRIGHT!", I can't say I blame them. (Christina Kahrl)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Lance Lynn has thrown 10,286 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2011 and 2014, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and the MLB Postseason. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (94mph) and Sinker (92mph), also mixing in a Cutter (88mph) and Curve (80mph). He also rarely throws a Change (86mph) and Slider (83mph).