Biographical

Portrait of Justin Freeman

Justin Freeman PReds

Reds Player Cards | Reds Team Audit | Reds Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 27)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
36.7 4.61 1.33 28 2 1 1 -0.1
Birth Date10-22-1986
Height5' 11"
Weight175 lbs
Age28 years, 0 months, 0 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
-0.12013
-0.12014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2013 CIN 26 1 0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 2 2 1 6 0 0 0 0 18.00 16.02 17.24 -1.2 -0.1
Career101.00.01.0000000522216000018.0016.0217.24-1.2-0.1

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2008 BIL Rk 17 1 41.0 4.16 118 .257 .268 .343 .409 .267 .347 96 10.7 1.0 10.7 1.0
2009 SAR A+ 37 0 64.7 3.52 110 .273 .251 .326 .363 .253 .343 96 8.0 0.8 8.0 0.8
2010 LYN A+ 45 0 55.7 4.01 114 .227 .257 .333 .383 .252 .285 105 7.6 0.8 7.6 0.8
2010 CAR AA 8 0 11.0 4.29 101 .201 .264 .339 .375 .265 .229 97 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.1
2011 CAR AA 54 0 60.0 5.17 105 .288 .265 .342 .406 .257 .354 114 6.2 0.6 6.5 0.5
2012 PEN AA 57 0 68.0 3.52 120 .213 .247 .326 .375 .259 .241 101 11.1 1.2 10.6 1.1
2012 LEO Wnt 12 0 8.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .452 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 CIN MLB 1 0 1.0 17.24 -212 .508 .232 .281 .354 .229 .250 104 -1.2 -0.1 -1.2 -0.1
2013 LOU AAA 6 0 7.0 4.27 102 .224 .218 .307 .328 .235 .235 100 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0
2014 PEN AA 15 0 17.0 4.33 97 .289 .254 .324 .379 .265 .288 95 0.8 0.1 0.8 0.1
2014 LOU AAA 29 0 29.7 4.13 114 .250 .262 .333 .400 .253 .340 107 4.5 0.4 4.2 0.4

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2008 BIL Rk 3 2 0 17 1 41.0 42 9 48 4 53% .347 9.2 2.0 0.9 10.5 1.24 3.95 10.7 1.0
2009 SAR A+ 2 5 3 37 0 64.7 75 10 49 1 47% .343 10.4 1.4 0.1 6.8 1.31 3.48 8.0 0.8
2010 CAR AA 0 0 0 8 0 11.0 8 2 5 0 51% .229 6.5 1.6 0.0 4.1 0.91 2.45 0.5 0.1
2010 LYN A+ 1 2 7 45 0 55.7 49 7 53 4 52% .285 7.9 1.1 0.6 8.6 1.01 2.91 7.6 0.8
2011 CAR AA 2 4 1 54 0 60.0 74 25 56 10 46% .354 11.1 3.8 1.5 8.4 1.65 5.25 6.5 0.5
2012 LEO Wnt 1 1 2 12 0 8.3 14 4 8 0 0% .452 15.1 4.3 0.0 8.6 2.16 8.64 0.0 0.0
2012 PEN AA 4 7 16 57 0 68.0 49 16 68 7 45% .241 6.5 2.1 0.9 9.0 0.96 2.91 10.6 1.1
2013 LOU AAA 0 0 1 6 0 7.0 5 2 8 1 44% .235 6.4 2.6 1.3 10.3 1.00 1.29 0.5 0.0
2013 CIN MLB 0 0 0 1 0 1.0 2 0 0 1 40% .250 18.0 0.0 9.0 0.0 2.00 18.00 -1.2 -0.1
2014 LOU AAA 3 1 6 29 0 29.7 34 8 23 1 39% .340 10.3 2.4 0.3 7.0 1.42 4.25 4.2 0.4
2014 PEN AA 1 0 2 15 0 17.0 17 4 16 2 39% .288 9.0 2.1 1.1 8.5 1.24 4.24 0.8 0.1

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2013 16 0.5000 0.5000 1.0000 0.7500 0.2500 1.0000 1.0000 0.0000
Career160.50.510.750.25110

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-04-03 2014-04-30 Minors 27 0 - Not Disclosed - -
2013-04-21 2013-09-02 Minors 134 0 Right Shoulder Impingement - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2013 CIN $

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 0 d1 year (2013)

Details
  • 1 year (2013). Contract purchased by Cincinnati 4/15/13. DFA by Cincinnati 8/30/13.
  • Drafted by Cincinnati 2008 (32-959) (Kennesaw State).

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 2.4 1 1.7 46 0 54.9 45 14 42 6 .264 1.07 3.40 3.7 6.0 0.6
80o 2.1 0.9 1.4 41 0 48.4 43 13 37 6 .280 1.16 3.81 4.14 2.7 0.3
70o 1.9 0.7 1.2 37 0 43.9 41 12 34 6 .291 1.22 4.11 4.46 0.8 0.1
60o 1.7 0.6 1.1 34 0 40.1 39 12 31 6 .300 1.27 4.37 4.75 -0.7 -0.1
50o 1.5 0.6 1 31 0 36.6 37 11 28 5 .309 1.33 4.61 5.02 -1.8 -0.2
40o 1.4 0.5 0.8 28 0 33.2 35 11 25 5 .318 1.38 4.86 5.29 -2.6 -0.3
30o 1.2 0.4 0.7 25 0 29.7 33 10 23 5 .327 1.44 5.14 5.58 -3.4 -0.3
20o 1 0.3 0.6 22 0 25.6 30 9 20 4 .339 1.51 5.46 5.94 -4.0 -0.4
10o 0.8 0.2 0.4 17 0 20.3 25 8 16 4 .354 1.62 5.92 6.44 -4.3 -0.4
Weighted Mean1.50.50.930035.83611275.3071.314.584.98-1.6-0.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
5% 6% 2% 6% 9%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20152821246056541443745.3031.223.954.298.72.37.01.10.4
20162921245055521544745.2981.233.924.268.62.57.21.20.4
20173021141050491238745.3001.224.114.478.82.26.81.30.3
20183121139047451136645.2961.193.944.288.62.16.91.10.4
20193221138045441135645.2991.213.984.328.72.26.91.20.3
20203321136044421034645.2981.193.884.228.72.17.01.20.4
20213421135042401032645.2981.203.904.248.62.26.91.30.3
2022352113203938930545.2991.213.924.268.82.16.91.20.3
2023362113103736828545.2991.203.914.248.82.06.91.20.3

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
out of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseball

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 85)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 93 Paul Phillips 2011 0.00 DNP
2 91 Matt Yourkin 2009 0.00 DNP
3 91 Kyle Landis 2013 0.00 DNP
4 90 Will Latimer 2013 0.00 DNP
5 90 Brett Butts 2013 0.00 DNP
6 89 Carlos Martinez 2009 3.86
7 89 Michael Dubee 2013 0.00 DNP
8 89 Ryan Keefer 2009 0.00 DNP
9 89 Matt Rusch 2010 0.00 DNP
10 88 Lee Tabor 2012 0.00 DNP
11 88 Andy Loomis 2013 0.00 DNP
12 88 Alec Zumwalt 2008 0.00 DNP
13 88 Robert Hinton 2012 0.00 DNP
14 88 Jonathan Ortiz 2013 0.00 DNP
15 88 David Johnson 2010 0.00 DNP
16 87 Michael Marbry 2012 0.00 DNP
17 87 German Melendez 2008 0.00 DNP
18 87 Pete Parise 2012 0.00 DNP
19 87 Ryan Basner 2009 0.00 DNP
20 87 Edgar Ramirez 2011 0.00 DNP
21 87 Steven Jackson 2009 4.19
22 87 Reid Santos 2010 0.00 DNP
23 87 Jeff Sues 2010 0.00 DNP
24 87 Scott Roehl 2009 0.00 DNP
25 86 Jake Stevens 2012 0.00 DNP
26 86 Jason Waddell 2008 0.00 DNP
27 86 Brendan Lafferty 2013 0.00 DNP
28 86 Neil Schenk 2013 0.00 DNP
29 86 Fredy Deza 2010 0.00 DNP
30 86 Jon Huber 2009 0.00 DNP
31 85 Joe Bisenius 2010 11.57
32 85 Chris Mobley 2011 0.00 DNP
33 85 Luke Sommer 2012 0.00 DNP
34 85 Wade Korpi 2013 0.00 DNP
35 85 Brennan Garr 2011 0.00 DNP
36 85 Ronald Hill 2010 0.00 DNP
37 85 Dustin Molleken 2012 0.00 DNP
38 85 Ricky Brooks 2012 0.00 DNP
39 85 Hayden Beard 2012 0.00 DNP
40 85 Daniel Sattler 2011 0.00 DNP
41 85 Jared Potts 2013 0.00 DNP
42 85 Sandy Rosario 2013 3.24
43 85 Matt Lindstrom 2007 3.90
44 85 Jose Lugo 2011 0.00 DNP
45 84 R.D. Spiehs 2007 0.00 DNP
46 84 Jose Valdez 2010 0.00 DNP
47 84 Adam Carr 2011 0.00 DNP
48 84 Oneli Perez 2010 0.00 DNP
49 84 Alex Serrano 2008 0.00
50 84 Adam Reifer 2013 0.00 DNP
51 84 Justin Souza 2013 0.00 DNP
52 84 Darin Downs 2012 3.48
53 84 Chad Rhoades 2010 0.00 DNP
54 84 Kyler Newby 2012 0.00 DNP
55 84 Josh Lansford 2012 0.00 DNP
56 84 Bobby Bramhall 2013 0.00 DNP
57 83 B.J. Rosenberg 2013 4.58
58 83 Jarrett Grube 2009 0.00 DNP
59 83 Casey Fien 2011 0.00 DNP
60 83 Angel Garcia 2011 0.00 DNP
61 83 Josh Perrault 2009 0.00 DNP
62 83 Rommie Lewis 2010 6.75
63 83 Jhonny Nunez 2013 0.00 DNP
64 83 Jeremiah Bayer 2013 0.00 DNP
65 83 Harvey Garcia 2011 0.00 DNP
66 83 Brian Schlitter 2013 0.00 DNP
67 83 Paul Kometani 2010 0.00 DNP
68 83 Josh Judy 2013 0.00 DNP
69 83 Derrick Gordon 2011 0.00 DNP
70 83 Jake Muyco 2012 0.00 DNP
71 82 Justin Dowdy 2011 0.00 DNP
72 82 Andy Cavazos 2008 0.00 DNP
73 82 Jarod Plummer 2011 0.00 DNP
74 82 Tim Lahey 2009 0.00 DNP
75 82 Joe Esposito 2012 0.00 DNP
76 82 Andy Graham 2011 0.00 DNP
77 82 Kevin Nabors 2013 0.00 DNP
78 82 Jim Henderson 2010 0.00 DNP
79 82 Jesse Carlson 2008 2.40
80 82 Kazuhito Tadano 2007 0.00 DNP
81 82 Marino Salas 2009 0.00 DNP
82 82 Marcos Mateo 2011 4.30
83 82 Will Harris 2012 9.17
84 82 Jeff Kennard 2009 0.00 DNP
85 82 Christopher Young 2008 0.00 DNP
86 82 Michael James 2008 0.00 DNP
87 81 Leo Rosales 2008 4.50
88 81 Lee Hyde 2012 0.00 DNP
89 81 Eammon Portice 2012 0.00 DNP
90 81 Ryan Pope 2013 0.00 DNP
91 81 Clint Everts 2012 0.00 DNP
92 81 Wilkins Arias 2008 0.00 DNP
93 81 Jeff Jeffords 2012 0.00 DNP
94 81 Kyle Crist 2010 0.00 DNP
95 81 Brian Baker 2010 0.00 DNP
96 81 Chris Farley 2010 0.00 DNP
97 81 Dirk Hayhurst 2008 9.72
98 81 A.J. Battisto 2011 0.00 DNP
99 81 Nathan Johnson 2009 0.00 DNP
100 81 Adalberto Mendez 2009 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .333 .333 1.333 .518
11 vs R (Multi) .500 .500 1.000 .454
18 Split (Multi) -.167 -.167 .333 .063
19 LgAvg (Multi) .010 .024 .026 .019
30 vs L (2013) .333 .333 1.333 .518
31 vs R (2013) .500 .500 1.000 .454
38 Split (2013) -.167 -.167 .333 .063
39 LgAvg (2013) .010 .022 .028 .019

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Strike-throwing Justin Freeman became nearly unhittable in his second year at Double-A, which is out of line with his four previous minor-league seasons.

BP Articles

Justin Freeman is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: August 31, 2013Clint Chisam2013-08-31
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: April 19, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-19
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: April 16, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-16


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2014, Justin Freeman threw 34 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system in 2013, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and Spring Training. In 2013, he relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (93mph) and Change (84mph), also mixing in a Slider (82mph).