Biographical

Portrait of Stefan Welch

Stefan Welch 3BRed Sox

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2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 25)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
250 .227 6 24 27 0 .241 0.2
Birth Date8-12-1988
Height6' 3"
Weight190 lbs
Age26 years, 2 months, 9 days
BatsL
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
0.22014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2007 MTS Rk 36 156 .268 .260 .359 .370 .258 .342 101 1.2 4.4 -2.2 -0.1 -0.2 1.2 0.1 1.2 0.1
2008 SAV A 5 22 .309 .267 .324 .402 .273 .308 93 1.1 0.6 -0.2 -0.3 0.3 1.8 0.2 1.8 0.2
2008 KNG Rk 63 269 .278 .268 .338 .399 .267 .321 96 5.7 8.6 -1.1 8.1 -2.4 11.9 1.9 11.9 1.9
2009 SAV A 26 96 .223 .250 .315 .354 .253 .282 83 -3.5 2.6 -1.7 1.8 -0.8 -3.2 -0.1 -3.2 -0.1
2009 SLU A+ 56 243 .289 .256 .331 .370 .263 .316 97 7.5 6.9 -4.5 3.5 0.6 9.9 1.4 9.9 1.4
2010 SLU A+ 133 555 .259 .258 .324 .372 .262 .327 95 -0.5 15.0 -9.6 -0.2 1.3 5.8 0.6 5.8 0.6
2011 SLU A+ 129 514 .273 .258 .326 .379 .255 .317 106 7.3 15.4 -9.9 -3.3 -4.6 6.5 0.3 6.5 0.3
2011 ADE Wnt 21 98 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .271 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2012 BRD A+ 61 250 .251 .255 .323 .371 .249 .292 109 -2.4 7.5 -0.7 -0.0 -2.2 1.2 0.1 1.2 0.1
2012 ALT AA 67 252 .279 .260 .331 .393 .262 .342 101 5 6.9 0.9 6.4 -0.6 15.1 2.3 15.1 2.3
2012 ADE Wnt 41 184 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .274 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 SLM A+ 75 325 .308 .256 .336 .385 .257 .349 108 17.2 9.5 -1.2 1.7 -3.1 21.7 2.4 21.7 2.4
2013 ALT AA 29 84 .186 .261 .335 .409 .278 .175 96 -6.3 2.3 -1 0.7 -0.2 -5.1 -0.5 -5.1 -0.5
2013 AUS int 3 11 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .250 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2014 PME AA 105 400 .261 .262 .327 .397 .263 .284 101 0.5 11.0 -6.3 -1.5 -1.5 2.4 0.1 2.4 0.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2007 MTS Rk 156 16 40 9 0 0 12 11 22 1 2 .288 .353 .353 .065 .268 1.2 -0.1 0.1
2008 KNG Rk 269 33 71 14 8 4 34 11 40 4 0 .281 .318 .447 .166 .278 11.9 8.1 1.9
2008 SAV A 22 4 5 1 0 1 3 2 5 0 0 .263 .364 .474 .211 .309 1.8 -0.3 0.2
2009 SLU A+ 243 38 60 10 2 5 37 20 37 0 0 .278 .353 .412 .134 .289 9.9 3.5 1.4
2009 SAV A 96 7 22 3 1 2 10 4 19 0 0 .239 .271 .359 .120 .223 -3.2 1.8 -0.1
2010 SLU A+ 555 64 127 29 8 8 68 37 126 2 1 .256 .327 .395 .139 .259 5.8 -0.2 0.6
2011 ADE Wnt 98 13 24 9 0 5 15 10 12 0 0 .279 .357 .558 .279 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2011 SLU A+ 514 55 118 19 3 16 53 57 105 3 1 .271 .361 .438 .167 .273 6.5 -3.3 0.3
2012 ADE Wnt 184 22 39 8 1 7 32 18 36 0 0 .247 .342 .443 .196 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2012 ALT AA 252 34 57 12 1 5 27 31 59 3 1 .266 .359 .402 .136 .279 15.1 6.4 2.3
2012 BRD A+ 250 23 60 11 1 8 37 17 44 4 1 .266 .320 .429 .164 .251 1.2 -0.0 0.1
2013 ALT AA 84 6 11 2 0 1 6 10 16 0 0 .149 .250 .216 .068 .186 -5.1 0.7 -0.5
2013 AUS int 11 2 3 2 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 .300 .364 .800 .500 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 SLM A+ 325 48 78 19 0 10 46 45 65 3 2 .292 .409 .476 .184 .308 21.7 1.7 2.4
2014 PME AA 400 48 74 16 3 8 49 48 99 1 1 .222 .336 .360 .138 .261 2.4 -1.5 0.1

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 515 61 121 25 1 14 60 54 122 1 0 .271 .351 .430 .282 18.9 3B 3, 1B 1 2.5
80o 493 55 111 23 1 13 55 49 120 1 0 .256 .333 .405 .267 11.3 3B 3, 1B 1 1.6
70o 477 51 103 21 1 12 52 46 118 1 0 .245 .320 .387 .257 6.2 3B 3, 1B 1 1.1
60o 463 48 96 20 1 11 49 43 117 1 0 .236 .309 .373 .248 2.1 3B 3, 1B 1 0.6
50o 450 45 91 19 1 11 46 40 115 1 0 .227 .299 .359 .240 -1.5 3B 3, 1B 1 0.2
40o 437 43 85 17 1 10 43 38 113 1 0 .219 .289 .345 .232 -4.9 3B 3, 1B 1 -0.2
30o 423 40 79 16 1 9 41 35 112 1 0 .209 .278 .330 .223 -8.4 3B 3, 1B 1 -0.6
20o 407 37 73 15 1 9 38 32 109 1 0 .199 .265 .314 .213 -12.1 3B 3, 1B 1 -1.0
10o 385 33 65 13 1 8 34 28 106 1 0 .184 .247 .290 .198 -16.7 3B 2, 1B 1 -1.5
Weighted Mean456479319111474111610.231.304.365.2440.23B 3, 1B 10.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
3% 5% 9% 14% 17%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
201526250295211172721650.229.301.373.2460.74.8-0.5-1.614.9-8.11.8
201627372427717194031971.231.301.374.2460.63.1-0.8-2.514.9-8.62.7
201728622721252611667551590.229.304.370.2460.61.2-1.4-4.314.9-8.14.5
201829607721232611768551540.231.307.381.2510.93.6-1.5-4.414.9-5.54.4
201930608711272611767531410.236.309.382.2521.04.4-1.4-4.514.9-4.64.4
202031621731292611869541480.235.308.382.2520.93.6-1.5-4.814.9-5.04.5
202132639761372721771561440.241.313.385.2551.15.4-1.5-5.114.9-3.04.6
202233615721282521667521420.235.306.376.2490.71.8-1.4-5.114.9-6.64.4
202334635751362621770541400.241.312.383.2541.04.3-1.5-5.514.9-3.74.6

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
4.61.89.96.15.32.127.8

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 84)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 96 Nate Tenbrink 2012 .000 DNP
2 94 Stephen Parker 2013 .000 DNP
3 92 Ryan Finan 2007 .000 DNP
4 92 Deibinson Romero 2012 .000 DNP
5 92 John Whittleman 2012 .000 DNP
6 91 Bradley Suttle 2011 .000 DNP
7 91 David Freese 2008 .000 DNP
8 91 Jamie Romak 2011 .000 DNP
9 91 Adam Abraham 2012 .000 DNP
10 90 Michael Walker 2013 .000 DNP
11 90 Wes Hodges 2010 .000 DNP
12 90 Kory Casto 2007 .114
13 89 Logan Johnson 2009 .000 DNP
14 88 Matt Carpenter 2011 .156
15 88 Jeremy Farrell 2012 .000 DNP
16 87 Freddy Sandoval 2008 .180
17 87 Marquez Smith 2010 .000 DNP
18 87 Bryan Pounds 2011 .000 DNP
19 87 Eric Duncan 2010 .000 DNP
20 87 Tony Delmonico 2012 .000 DNP
21 87 Matthew Brown 2008 .090
22 86 Jeremy Barnes 2012 .000 DNP
23 86 Jared Goedert 2010 .000 DNP
24 86 Carlos Rivero 2013 .000 DNP
25 86 Brian Snyder 2007 .000 DNP
26 86 Mike Costanzo 2009 .000 DNP
27 86 Ryan Fisher 2013 .000 DNP
28 85 Luke Hughes 2010 .309
29 85 Wade Gaynor 2013 .000 DNP
30 85 Peter Ciofrone 2009 .000 DNP
31 85 Anthony Hatch 2009 .000 DNP
32 85 Javier Castillo 2009 .000 DNP
33 85 Matt Mangini 2011 .000 DNP
34 84 Jairo Perez 2013 .000 DNP
35 84 Jesus Guzman 2009 .151
36 84 Ryan Rohlinger 2009 .132
37 84 Daniel Mayora 2011 .000 DNP
38 84 Tripper Johnson III 2007 .000 DNP
39 83 Joel Guzman 2010 .000 DNP
40 83 Casey McGehee 2008 .131
41 83 Jaime Pedroza 2012 .000 DNP
42 83 Russ Canzler 2011 .357
43 83 Danny Valencia 2010 .261
44 82 Josh Satin 2010 .000 DNP
45 82 Zach Lutz 2011 .000 DNP
46 82 Michael Spina 2012 .000 DNP
47 82 Jason Delaney 2008 .000 DNP
48 82 Tim Torres 2009 .000 DNP
49 82 Ryan Flaherty 2012 .222
50 82 Eric Campbell 2012 .000 DNP
51 82 Cody Overbeck 2011 .000 DNP
52 82 Sergio Pedroza 2009 .000 DNP
53 82 Ryan Khoury 2009 .000 DNP
54 82 Travis Jones 2011 .000 DNP
55 82 Brady Shoemaker 2012 .000 DNP
56 82 Jacob Butler 2008 .000 DNP
57 82 Kellen Kulbacki 2011 .000 DNP
58 82 Scott Moore 2009 .000 DNP
59 82 Adam Rosales 2008 .218
60 82 Reynaldo Rodriguez 2011 .000 DNP
61 82 David Adams 2012 .000 DNP
62 81 Zelous Wheeler 2012 .000 DNP
63 81 Juan Portes 2011 .000 DNP
64 81 Steve Tolleson 2009 .000 DNP
65 81 Juan Miranda 2008 .375
66 81 Taylor Green 2012 .219
67 81 Brett Bonvechio 2008 .000 DNP
68 81 Tim Brown 2008 .000 DNP
69 81 Damon Sublett 2011 .000 DNP
70 81 Billy Nowlin 2012 .000 DNP
71 81 Adam Pavkovich 2007 .000 DNP
72 81 Jonathan Still 2010 .000 DNP
73 81 Jorge Jimenez 2010 .000 DNP
74 81 Anthony Aliotti 2013 .000 DNP
75 81 Craig Stansberry 2007 .280
76 81 Cole Gillespie 2009 .000 DNP
77 81 Grant Psomas 2008 .000 DNP
78 81 Josh Rodriguez 2010 .000 DNP
79 81 Cody Cipriano 2010 .000 DNP
80 81 Rawley Bishop 2011 .000 DNP
81 81 Conor Gillaspie 2013 .259
82 81 Jeremy Slayden 2008 .000 DNP
83 81 Corey Smith 2007 .000 DNP
84 81 Rhyne Hughes 2009 .000 DNP
85 81 Matthew Sweeney 2013 .000 DNP
86 81 Tommy Mendonca 2013 .000 DNP
87 81 Dan Brewer 2013 .000 DNP
88 81 Tim Wheeler 2013 .000 DNP
89 81 Brian Van Kirk 2011 .000 DNP
90 81 Brandon Laird 2013 .219
91 81 Jeffrey Dragicevich 2008 .000 DNP
92 81 Matt Tuiasosopo 2011 .000 DNP
93 81 Alan Ahmady 2013 .000 DNP
94 81 Lance Zawadzki 2010 .230
95 81 Chris Lubanski 2010 .000 DNP
96 80 Mark Sobolewski 2012 .000 DNP
97 80 Ryan Schimpf 2013 .000 DNP
98 80 Steven Caseres 2012 .000 DNP
99 80 Juan Tejeda 2007 .000 DNP
100 80 Tyler Henson 2013 .000 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

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BP Articles

Stefan Welch is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessPECOTA Takes on Prospects: Third BaseAndrew Koo2014-05-22


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