Biographical

Portrait of Steven Souza

Steven Souza RFNationals

Nationals Player Cards | Nationals Team Audit | Nationals Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 25)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
250 .237 9 32 30 9 .264 0.5
Birth Date4-24-1989
Height6' 4"
Weight225 lbs
Age25 years, 5 months, 29 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
0.52014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2014 WAS 25 21 26 23 2 3 0 0 2 9 3 7 0 0 0 2 0 0 .130 .231 .391 .225 -0.3 0.0 -0.0
Career21262323002937000200.130.231.391.225-0.30.0-0.0

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2007 NAT Rk 44 167 .227 .252 .348 .352 .257 .255 111 -5.6 4.6 0.6 -0.7 1.1 2.5 0.2 2.5 0.2
2008 HAG A 23 89 .284 .246 .319 .378 .257 .373 111 2.1 2.5 0.5 -2.8 0.3 5.2 0.2 5.2 0.2
2008 VER A- 48 207 .233 .256 .332 .375 .263 .233 99 -6 6.0 0.6 0.8 0.8 3.5 0.4 3.5 0.4
2009 HAG A 126 514 .264 .252 .328 .362 .264 .312 94 2 14.6 3.8 -9.6 4.8 25.7 1.7 25.7 1.7
2010 HAG A 81 344 .275 .250 .316 .371 .260 .284 89 5.3 9.9 0.9 7.4 1.9 17.9 2.6 17.9 2.6
2011 POT A+ 122 478 .261 .249 .318 .372 .248 .308 103 0.7 14.3 -9.2 3.4 3.1 5.2 0.9 5.2 0.9
2012 HAG A 70 293 .320 .261 .340 .390 .268 .294 105 19.4 8.6 -4 2.4 2.9 26.3 2.9 26.3 2.9
2012 POT A+ 27 107 .337 .262 .323 .396 .261 .383 99 9.2 3.2 -0.4 -0.9 0.2 10.9 1.0 10.9 1.0
2013 HAR AA 77 323 .348 .256 .329 .392 .268 .360 97 28.8 8.8 -3.1 -2.1 0.5 37.6 3.8 37.6 3.8
2013 NAT Rk 4 15 .253 .250 .351 .327 .265 .286 105 -0.1 0.5 -0.2 0.4 0.9 0.8 0.1 0.8 0.1
2014 WAS MLB 21 26 .225 .255 .323 .397 .271 .071 98 -0.8 0.7 -0.1 0.0 0.0 -0.3 -0.0 -0.3 -0.0
2014 HAG A 1 2 .319 .242 .287 .298 .223 1.000 108 0.1 0.1 0 0.1 -0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0
2014 POT A+ 3 10 .133 .242 .327 .380 .256 .200 102 -1.4 0.3 -0.1 0.0 0.1 -1.1 -0.1 -1.1 -0.1
2014 SYR AAA 96 407 .351 .258 .328 .394 .253 .398 99 42.2 12.2 -3 9.7 0.0 51.8 6.1 51.8 6.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2007 NAT Rk 167 17 28 9 0 4 19 18 46 4 1 .194 .301 .340 .146 .227 2.5 -0.7 0.2
2008 VER A- 207 27 33 7 0 5 25 24 54 14 7 .189 .291 .314 .126 .233 3.5 0.8 0.4
2008 HAG A 89 14 21 4 0 2 10 8 26 8 2 .266 .348 .392 .127 .284 5.2 -2.8 0.2
2009 HAG A 514 52 106 18 3 4 47 54 116 25 10 .237 .329 .318 .081 .264 25.7 -9.6 1.7
2010 HAG A 344 49 70 16 6 11 56 27 85 18 4 .231 .310 .432 .201 .275 17.9 7.4 2.6
2011 POT A+ 478 58 89 17 2 11 56 75 131 25 9 .228 .360 .367 .138 .261 5.2 3.4 0.9
2012 POT A+ 107 16 29 2 1 6 13 13 25 7 1 .319 .421 .560 .242 .337 10.9 -0.9 1.0
2012 HAG A 293 48 76 20 2 17 72 22 49 7 7 .290 .346 .576 .286 .320 26.3 2.4 2.9
2013 HAR AA 323 54 82 23 1 15 44 41 76 20 6 .300 .396 .557 .256 .348 37.6 -2.1 3.8
2013 NAT Rk 15 3 2 1 0 0 2 3 4 2 0 .200 .400 .300 .100 .253 0.8 0.4 0.1
2014 SYR AAA 407 62 121 25 2 18 75 52 75 26 7 .350 .432 .590 .240 .351 51.8 9.7 6.1
2014 POT A+ 10 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 4 1 0 .111 .200 .111 .000 .133 -1.1 0.0 -0.1
2014 HAG A 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 .500 .500 .500 .000 .319 0.2 0.1 0.0
2014 WAS MLB 26 2 3 0 0 2 2 3 7 0 0 .130 .231 .391 .261 .225 -0.3 0.0 -0.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2014 109 0.4679 0.4312 0.7447 0.6863 0.2069 0.8000 0.5833 0.2553
Career1090.46790.43120.74470.68630.20690.80.58330.2553

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-08-10 2014-09-01 15-DL 22 20 Left Shoulder Contusion Running Into Wall -
2010-07-10 2010-09-07 Minors 59 0 Not Disclosed -
2008-07-25 2008-08-17 Minors 23 0 - Not Disclosed - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 0 d1 year (2014)

Details
  • 1 year (2014). Contract purchased by Washington 11/1/13. Re-signed by Washington 2/26/14.
  • Drafted by Washington 2007 (3-100) (Cascade HS, Everett, Wash.). $0.346M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 518 78 128 24 1 22 70 58 130 21 8 .283 .368 .485 .309 33.4 RF -1, 1B 0 3.5
80o 495 71 116 22 1 20 63 53 128 19 7 .268 .350 .459 .294 24.8 RF -1, 1B 0 2.6
70o 478 66 107 20 1 18 59 49 126 18 6 .257 .338 .439 .283 19.0 RF -1, 1B 0 1.9
60o 463 63 101 19 1 17 56 46 124 17 6 .247 .327 .423 .274 14.3 RF -1, 1B 0 1.4
50o 450 59 95 18 1 16 52 43 122 16 6 .238 .316 .408 .265 10.1 RF -1, 1B 0 1.0
40o 437 56 89 17 1 15 49 41 120 15 5 .230 .306 .393 .257 6.2 RF -1, 1B 0 0.6
30o 422 52 84 16 1 14 46 38 118 14 5 .221 .295 .377 .247 2.3 RF -1, 1B 0 0.1
20o 405 49 76 14 1 13 43 35 116 13 5 .210 .282 .359 .237 -2.0 RF -1, 1B 0 -0.3
10o 382 43 68 13 1 11 38 31 112 11 4 .196 .264 .334 .222 -7.4 RF -1, 1B 0 -0.9
Weighted Mean4576198181175445123166.243.321.416.27012.2RF -1, 1B 01.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
7% 22% 4% 28% 47%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
20152625033519093126719.238.325.409.2702.018.80.2-2.014.95.7-0.6
201627472609519117585013716.229.317.403.2641.413.90.3-3.914.92.6-1.1
2017286168013227024795816920.241.317.421.2711.616.10.0-5.214.96.4-1.4
2018296377912522123776218819.223.303.388.2570.77.7-0.0-5.614.9-1.6-1.4
2019306207912824121746516618.236.321.399.2661.212.2-0.6-5.614.93.5-1.4
2020316267912823121746616618.233.319.393.2641.010.5-0.8-5.914.92.3-1.4
2021326327813023119716615417.234.319.378.2600.77.5-1.2-6.114.9-0.2-1.4
2022336017612423020716215715.235.319.392.2630.99.3-1.4-6.014.91.8-1.4
2023346287613523116686214614.243.322.375.2590.56.1-1.9-6.414.9-0.6-1.4

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
14.77.29.310.8533

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 79)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 91 Jai Miller 2010 .227
2 91 Nolan Reimold 2009 .279
3 88 Matt Esquivel 2008 .000 DNP
4 87 Kyle Jensen 2013 .000 DNP
5 87 Blake Smith 2013 .000 DNP
6 86 Ronnie Welty 2013 .000 DNP
7 86 Alex Castellanos 2012 .216
8 83 Casper Wells 2010 .308
9 83 Michael Taylor 2011 .266
10 83 Brent Clevlen 2009 .000 DNP
11 83 Ryan Strieby 2011 .000 DNP
12 82 Joe Mather 2008 .270
13 82 Joe Benson 2013 .000 DNP
14 82 Jeremy Hazelbaker 2013 .000 DNP
15 82 Justin Maxwell 2009 .272
16 82 Josh Kroeger 2008 .000 DNP
17 82 Khris Davis 2013 .322
18 81 Alex Burg 2013 .000 DNP
19 81 Bronson Sardinha 2008 .000 DNP
20 81 Mike Zuanich 2012 .000 DNP
21 80 Ryan Goleski 2007 .000 DNP
22 80 Todd Frazier 2011 .273
23 80 Scott Van Slyke 2012 .188
24 80 Marvin Lowrance 2010 .000 DNP
25 80 Nick Weglarz 2013 .000 DNP
26 80 Allen Craig 2010 .270
27 80 Matt Joyce 2010 .284
28 80 Marc Krauss 2013 .228
29 79 Andrew Brown 2010 .000 DNP
30 79 Chris Gimenez 2008 .000 DNP
31 79 Jeremy Moore 2012 .000 DNP
32 79 Brad Snyder 2007 .000 DNP
33 79 Tim Wheeler 2013 .000 DNP
34 79 Matt Clark 2012 .000 DNP
35 79 Zach Lutz 2011 .000 DNP
36 79 Daniel Dorn 2010 .000 DNP
37 79 Brett Carroll 2008 .103
38 78 Koby Clemens 2012 .000 DNP
39 78 Brendan Katin 2008 .000 DNP
40 78 Melky Mesa 2012 .358
41 78 Matt Rizzotti 2011 .000 DNP
42 78 Kody Hinze 2013 .000 DNP
43 78 David Winfree 2011 .000 DNP
44 78 Brian Barton 2007 .000 DNP
45 78 Chad Huffman 2010 .187
46 77 John Raynor 2009 .000 DNP
47 77 Tyler Townsend 2013 .000 DNP
48 77 Brian Mc Fall 2009 .000 DNP
49 77 Russ Canzler 2011 .357
50 77 Jacob Butler 2008 .000 DNP
51 77 T.J. Mittelstaedt 2013 .000 DNP
52 77 Max Ramirez 2010 .257
53 77 Kent Matthes 2012 .000 DNP
54 77 Ben Harrison 2007 .000 DNP
55 77 Jared Clark 2011 .000 DNP
56 77 Jeff Larish 2008 .233
57 77 Wilkin Ramirez 2011 .246
58 77 Lucas Duda 2011 .314
59 77 Tommy Medica 2013 .312
60 77 Justin Nelson 2008 .000 DNP
61 77 Thomas Neal 2013 .158
62 76 Ben Guez 2012 .000 DNP
63 76 Aaron Luna 2012 .000 DNP
64 76 Luke Hughes 2010 .309
65 76 Trayvon Robinson 2013 .000 DNP
66 76 Blake Tekotte 2012 .086
67 76 Brandon Boggs 2008 .245
68 76 Brad Glenn 2012 .000 DNP
69 76 Roger Kieschnick 2012 .000 DNP
70 76 Dennis Raben 2013 .000 DNP
71 76 Tyler Flowers 2011 .259
72 76 Matt Den Dekker 2013 .211
73 76 Corey Brown 2011 -.003
74 76 Chad Tracy 2011 .000 DNP
75 76 Brock Peterson 2009 .000 DNP
76 76 Lars Anderson 2013 .000 DNP
77 76 Xavier Scruggs 2013 .000 DNP
78 76 Brandon Allen 2011 .245
79 76 Kyeong Kang 2013 .000 DNP
80 76 Cody Decker 2012 .000 DNP
81 76 Josh Kreuzer 2008 .000 DNP
82 76 Travis Ishikawa 2009 .257
83 76 Kyle Roller 2013 .000 DNP
84 75 Chris McGuiness 2013 .135
85 75 Mitch Moreland 2011 .254
86 75 Sean Rodriguez 2010 .243
87 75 Carlo Testa 2012 .000 DNP
88 75 Vince Belnome 2013 .000 DNP
89 75 Matthew Brown 2008 .090
90 75 Aaron Bates 2009 .303
91 75 Mark Hamilton 2010 .142
92 75 Joe Mahoney 2012 -.008
93 75 David Espinosa 2007 .000 DNP
94 75 Nick Akins 2013 .000 DNP
95 75 Reese Havens 2012 .000 DNP
96 75 Michael Hernandez 2009 .000 DNP
97 75 Aaron Cunningham 2011 .234
98 75 Thomas Giles 2009 .000 DNP
99 75 Nelson Perez 2013 .000 DNP
100 75 Cole Gillespie 2009 .000 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2009 Steven Souza has one of the larger disconnects between his stats and his scouting reports, with some high expectations for him to develop more power and cut down on his strikeouts.

BP Articles

Steven Souza is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
The Lineup Card: Eight of the Best Defensive Plays of 2014Baseball Prospectus2014-10-15
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: The Other Guys, Part Two: National LeagueMike Gianella2014-09-15
The Lineup Card: Eight Second-Half Decline CandidatesBaseball Prospectus2014-07-09
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, July 1Jeff Moore2014-07-02
This article requires BP Premium accessPECOTA Takes on Prospects: Corner OutfieldersAndrew Koo2014-06-18
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: Three National Leaguers in the NewsBen Lindbergh2014-04-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessInterleague Report: Week FiveJeff Quinton2014-04-28
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Spring Training Games of April 14-16Jeff Moore2014-03-17
The Week in Quotes: February 17-23Morris Greenberg2014-02-24
The Week in Quotes: February 17-23Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-02-24
The Week in Quotes: February 17-23Nick Bacarella2014-02-24
The Week in Quotes: February 17-23Chris Mosch2014-02-24
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: Bush League: Jameson TaillonDoug Thorburn2013-12-13
The Lineup Card: Seven Trade Ideas for the Winter MeetingsBaseball Prospectus2013-12-05
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: AFL and Winter League Recap for Games of November 13Jeff Moore2013-11-14
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: AFL Recap for Games of October 23Jeff Moore2013-10-24


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-09-10 12:00:00 (link to chat)How come Steven Souza doesn't get more love from the prospect crowd? Crushed AAA and AA past two years and was recently named International League MVP.
(Jeffrey from IL)
This is a great point. Souza struggled at times, and I have heard reports that the Nats essentially sat him down and told him to push the "reset" button. It worked obviously. The tools have always been there, and I won't even lie, I like him more than prospects such as Brian Goodwin. I think Souza is a major leaguer and will contribute down the road. (Tucker Blair)
2014-08-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)If Steven Souza were 23, how much higher would his prospect stock be? Top 50? Given lost dev time (bit.ly/1v4s07G), does it make sense to consider him as younger for projection purposes?
(ng from kona)
What are the rules in this alternate universe. Can I be 23 again, and have people respect me? This is very disconcerting. I don't think you consider him younger for projection purposes for a few reasons. He's more physically mature than his competition, and that's an advantage, playing time or now. I don't think you can just subtract years off a guy because he wasn't playing as much, because he's still experiencing a lot of things that make him the player he is today. (Craig Goldstein)
2014-07-03 19:00:00 (link to chat)Steven Souza - Crowded OF in Wash, what's the potential if he finds a new team? Can he be 270/20/20 or too optimistic?
(jonah from downtown)
A bit too optimistic. He has a great story, I'm rooting for him but I wonder about the average. (Mauricio Rubio)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Hitter Profile

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