Biographical

Portrait of Zach Lutz

Zach Lutz 3BMets

Mets Player Cards | Mets Team Audit | Mets Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 28)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
250 .239 7 26 29 0 .267 0.4
Birth Date6-3-1986
Height6' 1"
Weight220 lbs
Age28 years, 4 months, 23 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
-0.32012
0.12013
0.42014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2012 NYN 26 7 11 11 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 .091 .091 .091 .034 -2.7 -0.0 -0.3
2013 NYN 27 15 26 20 2 6 2 0 0 8 6 6 0 0 0 2 0 0 .300 .462 .400 .319 0.9 -0.0 0.1
Career223731372009611000200.226.351.290.234-1.8-0.0-0.2

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2007 BRO A- 1 2 -.032 .219 .276 .274 .210 .000 79 -0.7 0.1 0 0.1 0.0 -0.6 -0.0 -0.6 -0.0
2008 BRO A- 24 86 .356 .260 .354 .370 .274 .368 93 9.1 2.5 0.2 2.1 -1.2 11.0 1.3 11.0 1.3
2009 SLU A+ 99 415 .290 .258 .327 .375 .258 .330 100 13.3 11.9 -0.1 0.5 1.0 21.4 2.2 21.4 2.2
2009 BIN AA 8 34 .234 .250 .322 .375 .260 .273 98 -0.9 1.0 0 0.6 -1.4 -1.9 -0.1 -1.9 -0.1
2010 SLU A+ 1 4 -.082 .241 .344 .358 .276 .000 101 -1.5 0.1 0 -0.1 0.0 -1.3 -0.1 -1.3 -0.1
2010 BIN AA 61 263 .306 .253 .328 .397 .254 .329 110 12.9 7.5 0.6 -6.6 -2.3 16.3 1.0 16.3 1.0
2010 BUF AAA 5 22 .336 .302 .355 .504 .291 .312 96 1.9 0.7 0 -0.3 0.0 2.7 0.2 2.7 0.2
2010 MTS Rk 5 20 .279 .236 .299 .320 .248 .357 103 0.4 0.7 -0.1 0.2 0.3 1.1 0.1 1.1 0.1
2011 SLU A+ 2 9 .007 .263 .343 .400 .273 .000 90 -2.6 0.3 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 -2.3 -0.2 -2.3 -0.2
2011 BUF AAA 61 250 .303 .266 .330 .411 .256 .388 94 12.8 7.8 -1.7 0.9 -0.0 17.7 1.8 17.7 1.8
2012 NYN MLB 7 11 .034 .260 .325 .400 .257 .167 119 -2.5 0.3 -0.1 -0.0 0.1 -2.7 -0.3 -2.7 -0.3
2012 SLU A+ 6 26 .284 .261 .327 .383 .249 .250 120 0.7 0.8 0 -0.1 -1.4 -0.3 -0.0 -0.3 -0.0
2012 BUF AAA 72 294 .304 .259 .326 .398 .255 .391 102 14.5 8.7 -0.3 -4.1 -2.3 17.7 1.4 17.7 1.4
2013 NYN MLB 15 26 .319 .248 .307 .367 .245 .429 98 1.5 0.7 0 -0.0 -0.4 0.9 0.1 0.9 0.1
2013 LVG AAA 111 466 .283 .276 .343 .420 .268 .357 112 11.5 13.4 -1.6 -4.6 -2.7 20.6 1.6 20.6 1.6
2014 LVG AAA 59 264 .287 .278 .350 .437 .273 .345 107 8.1 7.9 1 -8.7 -2.1 13.9 0.5 13.9 0.5

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2007 BRO A- 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 -.032 -0.6 0.1 -0.0
2008 BRO A- 86 9 24 4 0 3 12 14 12 0 2 .333 .442 .514 .181 .356 11.0 2.1 1.3
2009 SLU A+ 415 46 101 19 2 11 62 50 72 1 1 .284 .383 .441 .157 .290 21.4 0.5 2.2
2009 BIN AA 34 0 6 1 0 0 2 5 7 0 0 .207 .324 .241 .034 .234 -1.9 0.6 -0.1
2010 SLU A+ 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 -.082 -1.3 -0.1 -0.1
2010 BUF AAA 22 3 6 4 0 1 9 2 3 0 0 .300 .364 .650 .350 .336 2.7 -0.3 0.2
2010 MTS Rk 20 2 6 1 0 1 4 1 4 0 0 .316 .350 .526 .211 .279 1.1 0.2 0.1
2010 BIN AA 263 42 65 14 0 17 42 33 63 0 2 .289 .388 .578 .289 .306 16.3 -6.6 1.0
2011 BUF AAA 250 38 65 12 0 11 31 27 70 0 0 .295 .380 .500 .205 .303 17.7 0.9 1.8
2011 SLU A+ 9 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 .000 .111 .000 .000 .007 -2.3 -0.1 -0.2
2012 NYN MLB 11 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 .091 .091 .091 .000 .034 -2.7 -0.0 -0.3
2012 BUF AAA 294 34 73 16 1 10 35 42 75 0 0 .299 .410 .496 .197 .304 17.7 -4.1 1.4
2012 SLU A+ 26 2 5 2 0 1 8 4 5 0 0 .250 .346 .500 .250 .284 -0.3 -0.1 -0.0
2013 LVG AAA 466 62 117 27 4 13 80 54 102 0 2 .293 .377 .479 .185 .283 20.6 -4.6 1.6
2013 NYN MLB 26 2 6 2 0 0 2 6 6 0 0 .300 .462 .400 .100 .319 0.9 -0.0 0.1
2014 LVG AAA 264 39 66 11 2 7 37 29 50 1 1 .291 .386 .449 .159 .287 13.9 -8.7 0.5

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2012 41 0.5366 0.4634 0.6316 0.5909 0.3158 0.7692 0.3333 0.3684
2013 122 0.3361 0.3525 0.6744 0.7073 0.1728 0.8621 0.2857 0.3256
Career1630.38650.38040.66360.6780.20880.83870.29770.3364

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2012-09-09 2012-10-04 DTD 25 23 Left Wrist Surgery Hamate 2012-09-17
2011-08-31 2011-09-06 Minors 6 7 - Not Disclosed - -
2011-07-20 2011-08-06 Minors 17 17 - Not Disclosed - -
2011-06-25 2011-07-04 Minors 9 9 - Not Disclosed - -
2011-04-22 2011-06-10 Minors 49 46 Not Disclosed -
2010-05-21 2010-07-27 Minors 67 0 Left Foot Stress Fracture -
2009-04-27 2009-05-19 Minors 22 0 - General Medical Illness -
2008-07-20 2008-09-06 Minors 48 0 - Thigh Strain Quadriceps - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 NYN $
2013 NYN $
2012 NYN $

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 78 dSparta Group1 year (2014)

Details
  • 1 year (2014). Re-signed by NY Mets 3/3/14. Released by NY Mets 6/12/14.
  • 1 year/$490,040 (2013). Re-signed by NY Mets 3/3/13.
  • 1 year (2012). Re-signed by NY Mets 3/12.
  • 1 year (2011). Contract purchased by NY Mets 11/19/10. Re-signed by NY Mets 3/2/11.
  • Drafted by NY Mets 2007 (5-183) (Alvernia University).

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 517 65 125 25 2 16 65 63 133 0 0 .282 .376 .457 .309 33.8 3B -5, 1B -1 3.0
80o 494 59 113 23 1 15 59 58 131 0 0 .267 .358 .432 .294 25.3 3B -5, 1B -1 2.1
70o 477 55 105 21 1 14 55 54 129 0 0 .256 .345 .414 .284 19.6 3B -4, 1B -1 1.6
60o 463 52 99 20 1 13 52 50 127 0 0 .247 .334 .399 .275 15.0 3B -4, 1B -1 1.1
50o 450 49 93 19 1 12 49 48 125 0 0 .238 .324 .385 .266 10.9 3B -4, 1B -1 0.6
40o 437 46 88 18 1 11 47 45 124 0 0 .230 .314 .371 .258 7.1 3B -4, 1B 0 0.2
30o 423 43 83 17 1 11 44 42 122 0 0 .221 .303 .356 .249 3.2 3B -4, 1B 0 -0.2
20o 406 40 76 15 1 10 41 38 119 0 0 .210 .290 .339 .238 -1.1 3B -4, 1B 0 -0.6
10o 383 35 68 14 1 9 36 34 115 0 0 .196 .272 .316 .224 -6.4 3B -4, 1B 0 -1.2
Weighted Mean456519519112514912600.243.329.392.27112.93B -4, 1B -10.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
2% 13% 9% 14% 27%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
201529250294610062627750.217.308.354.2470.35.9-0.6-0.914.9-7.5-2.9
20163041049781511244441220.218.309.363.2510.27.0-1.0-1.714.9-5.3-4.8
201731617731202511665661820.223.313.365.251-0.25.5-1.5-2.714.9-5.2-7.2
201832605711162411563621780.221.308.358.248-0.43.5-1.5-2.814.9-7.2-7.1
201933612711182221461641780.220.309.348.245-0.61.4-1.4-3.014.9-9.1-7.1
202034607681162211460601720.218.302.341.240-1.0-1.7-1.5-3.114.9-12.0-7.1
202135636731242421464661780.223.309.351.245-0.71.0-1.6-3.514.9-8.9-7.4
202236602661122211257611740.213.299.329.235-1.3-4.6-1.5-3.414.9-14.6-7.0
202337621701162211460651780.214.302.336.238-1.1-3.2-1.6-3.714.9-12.9-7.2

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
2.82.71.54.41.20.412.6

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 77)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 87 Jared Goedert 2013 .000 DNP
2 85 Mike Hollimon 2010 .000 DNP
3 85 Jeff Larish 2011 .000 DNP
4 83 Adam Heether 2010 .000 DNP
5 83 Marquez Smith 2013 .000 DNP
6 82 Jack Hannahan 2008 .238
7 82 Matthew Brown 2011 .000 DNP
8 82 Mario Lisson 2012 .000 DNP
9 81 Lee Mitchell 2010 .000 DNP
10 81 Jeff Bailey 2007 .136
11 81 Mark Hamilton 2013 .000 DNP
12 80 David Freese 2011 .280
13 80 Max Ramirez 2013 .000 DNP
14 80 Josh Satin 2013 .283
15 80 David Cook 2010 .000 DNP
16 80 Tagg Bozied 2008 .000 DNP
17 80 Brent Clevlen 2012 .000 DNP
18 79 Jon Knott 2007 .273
19 79 Jeff Baisley 2011 .000 DNP
20 79 Anthony Recker 2012 .204
21 79 Daniel Dorn 2013 .000 DNP
22 79 Bryan LaHair 2011 .308
23 79 Juan Miranda 2011 .261
24 78 Jason Perry 2009 .000 DNP
25 78 Mike Wilson 2011 .174
26 78 Josh Whitesell 2010 .000 DNP
27 78 David Smith 2009 .000 DNP
28 78 Aaron Herr 2009 .000 DNP
29 78 Stefan Gartrell 2012 .000 DNP
30 77 Brian Stavisky 2009 .000 DNP
31 77 Josh Fields 2011 .000 DNP
32 77 Matt Craig 2009 .000 DNP
33 77 Mike Costanzo 2012 .101
34 77 Larry Broadway 2009 .000 DNP
35 77 John Hattig 2008 .000 DNP
36 77 John-Ford Griffin 2008 .000 DNP
37 77 Kevin Randel 2009 .000 DNP
38 77 Scott Moore 2012 .276
39 77 Rhyne Hughes 2012 .000 DNP
40 77 Bill Rhinehart 2013 .000 DNP
41 76 Steven Hill 2013 .000 DNP
42 76 Ryan Raburn 2009 .296
43 76 Justin Ruggiano 2010 .000 DNP
44 76 Jason Cooper 2009 .000 DNP
45 76 Shawn Bowman 2013 .000 DNP
46 76 Ray Sadler 2009 .000 DNP
47 76 Nate Spears 2013 .000 DNP
48 76 Deik Scram 2012 .000 DNP
49 76 Michael Johnson 2008 .000 DNP
50 76 Tommy Everidge 2011 .000 DNP
51 76 Nate Gold 2008 .000 DNP
52 75 Aaron Bates 2012 .000 DNP
53 75 Mauro Gomez 2013 .000 DNP
54 75 Michael Restovich 2007 .122
55 75 Joe Koshansky 2010 .000 DNP
56 75 Yurendell de Caster 2008 .000 DNP
57 75 Jeff Clement 2012 .171
58 75 Doug Deeds 2009 .000 DNP
59 75 Joel Guzman 2013 .000 DNP
60 75 Brad Snyder 2010 .188
61 75 Matt Macri 2010 .000 DNP
62 75 Brooks Conrad 2008 .114
63 75 Andrew Brown 2013 .258
64 75 Jack Cust 2007 .331
65 75 Drew Sutton 2011 .273
66 74 Cyle Hankerd 2013 .000 DNP
67 74 Garrett Jones 2009 .311
68 74 J.R. House 2008 -.002
69 74 Michael Morse 2010 .314
70 74 Jeremy Brown 2008 .000 DNP
71 74 Matt Carson 2010 .223
72 74 Adam Boeve 2008 .000 DNP
73 74 Robinson Chirinos 2012 .000 DNP
74 74 Cole Gillespie 2012 .000 DNP
75 74 Cole Garner 2013 .000 DNP
76 74 Tug Hulett 2011 .000 DNP
77 74 Josh Rodriguez 2013 .000 DNP
78 74 Adam Loewen 2012 .000 DNP
79 73 Luke Montz 2012 .000 DNP
80 73 Brandon Moss 2012 .335
81 73 Clint Robinson 2013 .000 DNP
82 73 Jason Botts 2009 .000 DNP
83 73 Casey Rogowski 2009 .000 DNP
84 73 Landon Powell 2010 .218
85 73 Ryan Ludwick 2007 .279
86 73 Chad Huffman 2013 .000 DNP
87 73 Brian Dopirak 2012 .000 DNP
88 73 Steve Pearce 2011 .190
89 73 Drew Locke 2011 .000 DNP
90 73 Joe Gaetti 2010 .000 DNP
91 73 Ryan Mulhern 2009 .000 DNP
92 73 Scott Sizemore 2013 .168
93 73 Paul McAnulty 2009 .000 DNP
94 73 Shelley Duncan 2008 .228
95 73 Justin Maxwell 2012 .273
96 73 Stephen Smitherman 2007 .000 DNP
97 73 Jermaine Mitchell 2013 .000 DNP
98 72 Jake Fox 2011 .254
99 72 Jerad Head 2011 .181
100 72 John Mayberry 2012 .257

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .286 .483 .381 .321
11 vs R (Multi) .233 .324 .300 .209
18 Split (Multi) -.052 -.159 -.081 -.112
19 LgAvg (Multi) -.013 -.023 -.037 -.020
30 vs L (2013) .429 .636 .571 .435
31 vs R (2013) .231 .333 .308 .214
38 Split (2013) -.198 -.303 -.264 -.222
39 LgAvg (2013) -.011 -.021 -.036 -.019

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Lutz is a beefy corner infielder with a bat and bad defense who wears a double-ear-flap helmet at the plate. That kind of thing has its uses. Not the helmet part. The part where Lutz can back up Wright at third and Davis at first (or even platoon with Davis as necessary), pinch-hit against lefty relievers, maybe designatedly hit in American League parks, and generally make himself useful for the minimum salary. The Mets can go buy that on the market or they can use what they already have on hand. Seeing as how they finished 24 games out of first in 2012, this choice is no choice at all.
2012 Zach Lutz is a bulky, slow third baseman who can hit a bit, but that's really his only tool.
2011 Zach Lutz is a poor defensive third baseman who has very real power. The question is whether it will translate to higher levels, since he has an uppercut swing that can be exploited by more advanced pitchers.
2010 Zach Lutz has shown a decent amount of power and patience so far in the minors, but he'll need to step it up further to make it as a corner-infield type.

BP Articles

Zach Lutz is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Filling First BaseDaniel Rathman2014-03-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Third BasemenIan Lefkowitz2014-02-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Third BasemenJared Weiss2014-02-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Third BasemenBen Murphy2014-02-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: The Other Guys, Part TwoMike Gianella2013-09-16
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 10, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-10
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: The Pirates Make it OfficialDaniel Rathman2013-09-10
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Fool's Gold: Third BasemenBen Carsley2013-09-04
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 3, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-03
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 23, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-23
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 1, 2013Joe Hamrahi2013-04-01
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 1, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-01
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Can't Spell Depth Without DHR.J. Anderson2012-04-26


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PITCHf/x Hitter Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC