Biographical

Portrait of David Lough

David Lough LFPhillies

Phillies Player Cards | Phillies Team Audit | Phillies Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 30)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
250 .255 5 26 26 6 .238 0.5
Birth Date1-20-1986
Height5' 10"
Weight175 lbs
Age30 years, 4 months, 9 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
-0.32012
1.12013
1.32014
-1.02015
0.52016
+proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2012 KCA 26 20 65 59 9 14 2 1 0 18 4 9 1 1 0 2 1 0 .237 .292 .305 .210 -1.6 -0.9 -0.3
2013 KCA 27 96 335 315 35 90 17 4 5 130 10 52 3 3 4 33 5 2 .286 .311 .413 .274 10.4 -0.3 1.1
2014 BAL 28 112 197 174 31 43 6 3 4 67 15 33 1 1 16 8 5 .247 .309 .385 .265 7.0 4.4 1.3
2015 BAL 29 84 144 134 14 27 1 1 4 42 5 36 2 0 3 12 2 4 .201 .241 .313 .205 -6.3 -3.1 -1.0
2016 PHI 30 26 72 62 5 14 3 1 0 19 7 7 2 1 0 4 1 2 .226 .319 .306 .247 -0.4 0.2 -0.0
Career3388137449418829101327641137967671713.253.298.371.2529.10.31.1

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2007 BNC Rk 24 92 .307 .250 .319 .360 .000 .380 100 5.1 2.9 0 2.1 -0.1 7.9 0.9 7.9 0.9
2008 BUR A 126 543 .282 .254 .328 .375 .000 .280 96 12.8 16.0 -1 4.1 -1.3 26.5 3.2 26.5 3.2
2009 WIL A+ 65 250 .299 .258 .331 .389 .000 .347 93 10.1 7.1 -3 1.4 1.4 15.5 1.7 15.5 1.7
2009 NWA AA 61 253 .307 .255 .331 .376 .000 .347 118 14.1 8.0 -1.5 -3.2 -1.6 19.0 1.6 19.0 1.6
2010 OMA AAA 120 531 .270 .275 .344 .429 .000 .298 98 6 16.0 -2.1 2.6 0.9 20.8 2.2 20.8 2.2
2011 OMA AAA 114 516 .284 .280 .351 .436 .000 .335 98 14.6 16.0 -4 1.9 1.2 27.8 2.8 27.8 2.8
2011 AGU Wnt 20 78 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .232 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2012 KCA MLB 20 65 .210 .262 .326 .407 .000 .275 104 -3.2 1.8 -0.2 -0.9 -0.1 -1.6 -0.3 -1.6 -0.3
2012 OMA AAA 130 544 .262 .279 .342 .432 .000 .296 99 1 16.2 -3.6 12.5 5.2 18.8 3.1 18.8 3.1
2013 KCA MLB 96 335 .274 .253 .316 .396 .000 .326 100 4.5 8.8 -2.7 -0.3 -0.1 10.4 1.1 10.4 1.1
2013 OMA AAA 37 172 .326 .272 .341 .412 .000 .374 99 12.3 4.9 -0.8 1.6 -0.6 15.8 1.8 15.8 1.8
2014 BAL MLB 112 197 .265 .254 .316 .394 .000 .283 101 0.9 5.1 -0.9 4.4 1.9 7.0 1.3 7.0 1.3
2015 BAL MLB 84 144 .205 .253 .315 .409 .000 .245 107 -7.7 3.9 -0.4 -3.1 -2.0 -6.3 -1.0 -6.3 -1.0
2015 FRD A+ 1 3 .134 .297 .333 .451 .000 .000 109 -0.4 0.1 0 0.0 0.0 -0.3 -0.0 -0.3 -0.0
2015 NOR AAA 14 62 .253 .241 .308 .345 .000 .300 95 -0.4 1.7 -0.3 0.8 1.4 2.3 0.3 2.3 0.3
2016 PHI MLB 26 72 .247 .243 .315 .373 .262 .250 99 -0.9 1.9 -0.5 0.2 -1.0 -0.4 -0.0 -0.4 -0.0
2016 LEH AAA 6 26 .222 .260 .317 .369 .260 .280 97 -1 0.7 0 -1.2 0.3 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2007 BNC Rk 92 15 29 6 0 2 12 4 13 6 1 .337 .380 .477 .140 .307 7.9 2.1 0.9
2008 BUR A 543 76 131 21 11 16 62 35 70 12 11 .268 .325 .455 .186 .282 26.5 4.1 3.2
2009 WIL A+ 250 28 71 15 2 5 30 12 34 6 4 .320 .363 .473 .153 .299 15.5 1.4 1.7
2009 NWA AA 253 41 78 13 2 9 31 12 30 13 4 .331 .368 .517 .186 .307 19.0 -3.2 1.6
2010 OMA AAA 531 65 129 15 12 11 58 40 72 14 5 .280 .336 .437 .157 .270 20.8 2.6 2.2
2011 AGU Wnt 78 9 14 0 1 1 9 2 13 1 3 .200 .253 .271 .071 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2011 OMA AAA 516 87 145 26 11 9 65 36 49 14 8 .318 .367 .482 .164 .284 27.8 1.9 2.8
2012 OMA AAA 544 69 135 19 11 10 69 25 65 26 4 .275 .317 .420 .145 .262 18.8 12.5 3.1
2012 KCA MLB 65 9 14 2 1 0 2 4 9 1 0 .237 .292 .305 .068 .210 -1.6 -0.9 -0.3
2013 KCA MLB 335 35 90 17 4 5 33 10 52 5 2 .286 .311 .413 .127 .274 10.4 -0.3 1.1
2013 OMA AAA 172 29 52 6 3 3 17 11 21 5 5 .338 .391 .474 .136 .326 15.8 1.6 1.8
2014 BAL MLB 197 31 43 6 3 4 16 15 33 8 5 .247 .309 .385 .138 .265 7.0 4.4 1.3
2015 NOR AAA 62 7 15 1 1 0 6 3 9 1 1 .259 .290 .310 .052 .253 2.3 0.8 0.3
2015 FRD A+ 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .134 -0.3 0.0 -0.0
2015 BAL MLB 144 14 27 1 1 4 12 5 36 2 4 .201 .241 .313 .112 .205 -6.3 -3.1 -1.0
2016 LEH AAA 26 3 7 1 0 0 2 1 0 1 0 .280 .308 .320 .040 .222 -0.0 -1.2 -0.1
2016 PHI MLB 72 5 14 3 1 0 4 7 7 1 2 .226 .319 .306 .081 .247 -0.4 0.2 -0.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT CSAA_CHANCES CSAA_RT
2012 225 0.4978 0.4756 0.8972 0.6071 0.3451 0.9706 0.7692 0.1028 94 0.004930
2013 1193 0.4912 0.4811 0.8066 0.6195 0.3476 0.9063 0.6351 0.1934 490 0.006642
2014 683 0.4846 0.4671 0.8119 0.6284 0.3153 0.8894 0.6667 0.1881 272 0.004874
2015 499 0.5050 0.4870 0.7449 0.5794 0.3927 0.8493 0.5876 0.2551 214 0.000253
2016 246 0.4878 0.4634 0.8421 0.6000 0.3333 0.9028 0.7381 0.1579 0 0.000000
Career28460.49230.47680.80730.61190.34630.8970.65390.1927315.62970.0044

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-03-13 2014-03-20 Camp 7 0 - Neck Soreness - -
2013-08-05 2013-08-07 DTD 2 2 Right Thigh Tightness Quadriceps - -
2013-06-02 2013-06-04 DTD 2 1 - Wrist Contusion HBP - -
2012-09-06 2012-09-12 DTD 6 5 Right Thigh Strain Hamstring - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2016 PHI $
2015 BAL $525,500
2014 BAL $510,500
2013 KCA $
YearsDescriptionSalary
2 yrPrevious$1,036,000
2 yrTotal$1,036,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
2 y 149 dACES1 year (2016)

Details
  • 1 year (2016). Signed by Philadelphia as a free agent 1/25/16 (minor-league contract). Contract selected by Philadelphia 4/18/16.
  • 1 year/$0.5255M (2015). Re-signed by Baltimore 3/10/15. DFA by Baltimore 8/14/15. Sent outright to Triple-A 8/23/15. Contract selected by Baltimore 9/24/15. Non-tendered by Baltimore 12/2/15.
  • 1 year/$0.5105M (2014). Re-signed by Baltimore 3/11/14.
  • 1 year/$491,625 (2013). Re-signed by Kansas City 2/20/13. Acquired by Baltimore in trade from Kansas City 12/18/13.
  • 1 year/$0.48M (2012). Re-signed by Kansas City 2/10/12.
  • 1 year (2011). Contract purchased by Kansas City 11/24/10. Re-signed by Kansas City 2/11.
  • Drafted by Kansas City 2007 (11-336) (Mercyhurst College).

2016 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/15/2015 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 312 37 84 13 4 7 34 16 52 9 6 .295 .333 .448 .278 12.7 LF 5, CF -1 1.7
80o 291 33 75 12 4 6 31 14 50 8 5 .280 .316 .424 .265 8.0 LF 5, CF -1 1.2
70o 275 31 68 11 3 6 28 13 48 7 5 .269 .305 .407 .255 5.0 LF 4, CF -1 0.9
60o 262 28 62 10 3 5 26 12 47 7 4 .260 .295 .392 .246 2.6 LF 4, CF -1 0.6
50o 250 26 58 9 3 5 24 11 45 6 4 .251 .285 .379 .239 0.6 LF 4, CF -1 0.4
40o 238 24 53 8 3 4 22 10 44 6 4 .243 .276 .365 .231 -1.2 LF 4, CF -1 0.1
30o 225 22 48 8 2 4 20 9 42 5 3 .233 .266 .351 .222 -3.0 LF 4, CF -1 -0.1
20o 209 20 44 7 2 4 18 8 40 5 3 .223 .254 .334 .213 -4.7 LF 3, CF -1 -0.3
10o 188 17 37 6 2 3 16 7 36 4 2 .208 .238 .311 .199 -6.7 LF 3, CF -1 -0.5
Weighted Mean256276093525114664.255.290.385.2421.5LF 4, CF -10.5

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 5/29/2016 08:24 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 512 60 136 21 7 10 54 28 82 15 9 .292 .333 .434 .278 21.4 LF 7, RF -2 2.7
80o 491 55 123 19 6 9 50 25 81 13 8 .277 .317 .411 .265 14.0 LF 6, RF -2 1.9
70o 475 52 116 18 6 9 46 24 80 12 8 .266 .305 .395 .255 9.1 LF 6, RF -2 1.4
60o 462 49 108 17 5 8 44 22 79 12 7 .257 .295 .381 .246 5.1 LF 6, RF -2 0.9
50o 450 46 103 16 5 8 42 21 78 11 7 .248 .286 .368 .239 1.5 LF 6, RF -2 0.5
40o 438 44 96 15 5 7 39 20 77 10 7 .240 .276 .355 .231 -1.8 LF 6, RF -2 0.2
30o 425 41 90 14 4 7 37 19 75 10 6 .231 .266 .341 .222 -5.2 LF 5, RF -1 -0.2
20o 409 38 83 13 4 6 34 17 74 9 6 .220 .254 .325 .213 -8.9 LF 5, RF -1 -0.6
10o 388 35 74 11 4 6 31 15 72 8 5 .205 .238 .303 .199 -13.6 LF 5, RF -1 -1.2
Weighted Mean456481051658432278117.252.290.374.2423.1LF 6, RF -20.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 22% 10% 20% 61%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
201731289306510352914537.246.288.367.2420.62.10.2-0.27.1-5.03.1
20183228529629352813546.240.283.358.2370.40.40.1-0.37.0-6.43.0
201933303316710353014576.244.286.361.2390.51.00.1-0.47.5-6.13.2
202034293306510352913564.242.282.359.2370.40.1-0.0-0.57.2-6.63.1
20213522623508242210433.239.282.356.2370.2-0.1-0.1-0.45.6-5.22.4
20223624425538242411473.241.281.357.2360.2-0.4-0.1-0.56.0-5.82.6
20233722122487242110422.240.281.355.2350.2-0.6-0.1-0.55.5-5.52.3
2024382072146724209401.238.279.353.2330.1-1.0-0.1-0.65.1-5.42.2
2025391931942623188381.237.277.351.2320.1-1.2-0.1-0.64.8-5.32.0

Upside By Year

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 PEAK 5
4.71.354.41.12.216.4

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
20158.34.74.62.81.70.622.1

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 79)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 90 Trevor Crowe 2014 .000 DNP
2 83 Scott Podsednik 2006 .232
3 83 Ron Calloway 2007 .000 DNP
4 82 Jeremy Reed 2011 .012
5 82 Cory Sullivan 2010 .178
6 82 Jason Ellison 2008 .200
7 82 Travis Buck 2014 .000 DNP
8 82 Matt Kata 2008 .000 DNP
9 81 Clint Barmes 2009 .247
10 81 Lou Montanez 2012 .000 DNP
11 80 Mitch Maier 2012 .214
12 80 Willie Harris 2008 .269
13 80 Alfredo Amezaga 2008 .239
14 80 Tike Redman 2007 .280
15 80 Marco Scutaro 2006 .263
16 80 Ramon Santiago 2010 .241
17 80 Eric Patterson 2013 .000 DNP
18 80 Elian Herrera 2015 .242
19 80 Omir Santos 2011 .195
20 80 Ryan Spilborghs 2010 .278
21 80 Matt Tolbert 2012 .000 DNP
22 80 Robb Quinlan 2007 .228
23 79 Pete Orr 2009 .246
24 79 Eugenio Velez 2012 .000 DNP
25 79 Bubba Crosby 2007 .000 DNP
26 79 Andy LaRoche 2014 .000 DNP
27 79 Robert Andino 2014 .000 DNP
28 79 Rajai Davis 2011 .222
29 79 Michael Martinez 2013 .118
30 79 Jarrod Dyson 2015 .249
31 79 Craig Gentry 2014 .249
32 79 Eric Young 2015 .173
33 79 Jose Constanza 2014 -.004
34 79 Chris Coghlan 2015 .279
35 79 Mike Edwards 2007 .000 DNP
36 79 Greg Dobbs 2009 .250
37 79 Humberto Quintero 2010 .207
38 79 Nyjer Morgan 2011 .269
39 79 John Gall 2008 .000 DNP
40 78 Rob Johnson 2013 .209
41 78 Quintin Berry 2015 -.006
42 78 Hector Luna 2010 .190
43 78 Jason Bourgeois 2012 .244
44 78 Eric Byrnes 2006 .264
45 78 Adam Rosales 2013 .230
46 78 Doug Clark 2006 .138
47 78 Joe Mather 2013 .000 DNP
48 78 Reed Johnson 2007 .225
49 78 Skip Schumaker 2010 .254
50 78 Tony Gwynn 2013 .000 DNP
51 77 Jim Adduci 2015 .000 DNP
52 77 Endy Chavez 2008 .230
53 77 Matt Downs 2014 .000 DNP
54 77 Jeff Salazar 2011 .000 DNP
55 77 Shane Robinson 2015 .230
56 77 Andres Torres 2008 .000 DNP
57 77 Angel Berroa 2010 .000 DNP
58 77 Corey Patterson 2010 .243
59 77 Michael Ryan 2008 .000 DNP
60 77 Chris Denorfia 2011 .263
61 77 Roosevelt Brown 2006 .000 DNP
62 77 Ryan Patterson 2013 .000 DNP
63 77 Darnell McDonald 2009 .229
64 77 Esteban German 2008 .227
65 77 Brian Dinkelman 2014 .000 DNP
66 77 Jason Donald 2015 .000 DNP
67 77 Gregor Blanco 2014 .272
68 77 Michael Spidale 2012 .000 DNP
69 77 Jeff Frazier 2013 .000 DNP
70 77 Joe Inglett 2008 .278
71 77 Nick Alvarez 2007 .000 DNP
72 77 Willy Taveras 2012 .000 DNP
73 77 Alexis Gomez 2009 .000 DNP
74 76 Walt Williams 1974 .108
75 76 Luis Rivas 2010 .000 DNP
76 76 Xavier Paul 2015 .000 DNP
77 76 Robby Hammock 2007 .208
78 76 Dewayne Wise 2008 .244
79 76 Omar Quintanilla 2012 .244
80 76 Danny Valencia 2015 .297
81 76 Tony Abreu 2015 .000 DNP
82 76 Bobby Wilson 2013 .000 DNP
83 76 Tommy Watkins 2010 .000 DNP
84 76 Reggie Willits 2011 .142
85 76 Josh Wilson 2011 .238
86 76 Josh Barfield 2013 .000 DNP
87 76 Bo Hart 2007 .000 DNP
88 76 Brian Bogusevic 2014 .000 DNP
89 76 Kevin Reese 2008 .000 DNP
90 76 Alex Escobar 2009 .000 DNP
91 76 Justin Christian 2010 .000 DNP
92 76 Aaron Miles 2007 .235
93 76 Angel Sanchez 2014 .000 DNP
94 76 Mike Fontenot 2010 .259
95 76 Antonio Perez 2010 .000 DNP
96 76 John Rodriguez 2008 .000 DNP
97 76 Alejandro De Aza 2014 .255
98 76 Chris Roberson 2010 .000 DNP
99 76 Geronimo Gil 2006 .000 DNP
100 76 Alberto Gonzalez 2013 .186

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .216 .281 .284 .240
11 vs R (Multi) .240 .280 .371 .240
18 Split (Multi) .024 -.001 .087 .000
19 LgAvg (Multi) .022 .030 .067 .031
30 vs L (2015) .214 .353 .214 .248
31 vs R (2015) .200 .226 .325 .199
38 Split (2015) -.014 -.127 .111 -.049
39 LgAvg (2015) .021 .029 .072 .031

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2015 This ideal fourth outfielder should start very few games, and here's why. Imagine the seventh-inning stretch and Lough strolling onto the field with a microphone, belting this classic baseball tune: "Put me into the ballgame, put me in for my glove, replace the slugger who can't throw well, I don't care if I ever will bat, for it's U-Z-R that's important, in one-run late-inning games, for it's one, two, three outfield spots at the Lough ballgame!"
2014 With Jeff Francoeur doing Jeff Francoeur things, and prized prospect Wil Myers doing Wil Myers things for Tampa instead, the Royals had to turn to Plan C for right field. With his below-average hit tool and lack of power, Lough profiles more as a fourth outfielder. He doesn’t display a platoon split. His lack of power won’t play as a regular in the corner, and while he wasn’t the root cause of his team’s offensive struggles, he was a symptom of a poor plan on offense. The Orioles, who added Lough in the Danny Valencia trade, won't miss a beat with him on defense, so there is value here. Just not on an everyday basis.
2013 Lough’s slash numbers took a step back as his walk rate tumbled and fewer line drives found the gaps in Triple-A outfields. His plus talent is speed, which is useful in center but wasted in his inability or unwillingness to accept a free pass. He continues to profile as a fourth outfielder, but has slipped in the organizational depth chart. He could be the next Mitch Maier, but more than likely he's the next Kit Pellow.
2011 Lough failed to build on his 2009 breakout season, shifting the focus from all of the things he can do to all of the abilities he lacks. He's a contact hitter with gap power and above-average speed, but does nothing at an impact level. He probably won't hit like an everyday corner outfielder, and he's the kind of center fielder who can handle the position in a pinch but falls short in a full-time gig. Lough could carve out a nice career as a fourth outfielder and occasional starter, but—strange as it sounds to say—he might not be good enough for the Royals teams of the future.
2010 Lough is a free swinger with good speed that still hasn’t been fully utilized on the basepaths. His high average last year covered up a low walk rate that will need to improve as he moves up. Though a gamer, if Lough can't turn up his offensive game, he could fall into permanent fourth-outfielderdom, a tweener whose glove shuts him out of center and whose bat can't carry a corner. Slated to begin the season at Triple-A, he should be on the short list for a big-league callup; we'll see whether Omaha or Kansas City has the last Lough.

BP Articles

David Lough is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
Expert FAAB Review: Week EightMike Gianella2016-05-24
Expert FAAB Review: Week FourMike Gianella2016-04-26
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 3, 2015Chris Mosch2015-07-03
Expert FAAB Review: Week 13Mike Gianella2015-06-30
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep League Report: Week FourKeith Cromer2015-05-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep League Report: Week TwoKeith Cromer2015-04-17
BP Unfiltered: Forever YoungSam Miller2015-04-08
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The Lineup Card: Seven September Call-ups We're Excited to SeeBaseball Prospectus2014-08-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessInterleague Report: Week 22Jeff Quinton2014-08-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessInterleague Report: Week 21Jeff Quinton2014-08-18
This article requires BP Premium accessInterleague Report: Week 20Jeff Quinton2014-08-11
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 11, 2014Chris Mosch2014-08-11
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This is Not Your Father's Baseball Road Trip: Days Five and Six: HoustonJake Mintz2014-06-02
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Out of the Park (OOTP) Baseball 15: A ReviewRob McQuown2014-06-02
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-01-23 12:00:00 (link to chat)Is there an upside to David Lough in Baltimore?
(OB1 from NYC)
You bet there is! If MLB changes their rules to allow only one person to use steroids and that one person is David Lough, then man, you're gonna see some stuff! Otherwise, maybe he can replicate his stats from last season (.311 OBP, .413 SLG). If he can do that without any rule changes he's a useful player. (Matthew Kory)
2014-01-21 18:00:00 (link to chat)Any sleepers in the OF? That's area that seems thin this season
(Mike from over there)
Depends on how deep your league is. In really deep leagues, David Lough in the AL and Andrew Lambo in the NL are examples of deep, deep sleepers I'd target. (Mike Gianella)


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