Biographical

Portrait of Henderson Alvarez

Henderson Alvarez PMarlins

Marlins Player Cards | Marlins Team Audit | Marlins Depth Chart

2015 Full Season Projections (seasonal age 24)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
186.0 3.92 1.22 103 11 12 0 0.5
Birth Date4-18-1990
Height6' 0"
Weight205 lbs
Age24 years, 10 months, 9 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
0.42011
-1.02012
1.12013
1.32014
0.52015
proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2011 TOR 21 10 10 63.7 63.7 0.0 1 3 0 0 6 0 259 64 26 25 8 103 8 8 4 40 3.53 4.00 5.04 3.6 0.4
2012 TOR 22 31 31 187.3 187.3 0.0 9 14 0 0 16 2 807 216 110 101 29 352 54 52 3 79 4.85 5.13 6.35 -11.5 -1.0
2013 MIA 23 17 17 102.7 102.7 0.0 5 6 0 0 9 0 418 90 42 41 2 129 27 26 7 57 3.59 3.16 4.23 9.0 1.1
2014 MIA 24 30 30 187.0 187.0 0.0 12 7 0 0 18 0 772 198 65 55 14 277 33 30 8 111 2.65 3.55 4.36 8.8 1.3
Career8888540.7540.70.0273000492225656824322253861122116222873.704.075.1010.01.8

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2007 DLJ Rk 8 7 25.7 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .383 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2008 BLJ Rk 12 11 46.3 5.51 86 .280 .252 .329 .370 .238 .353 101 3.2 0.3 3.2 0.3
2009 LNS A 23 23 124.3 3.92 119 .228 .258 .335 .378 .259 .303 109 24.6 2.6 24.6 2.6
2010 DUN A+ 23 21 112.3 5.28 65 .302 .256 .323 .363 .262 .337 87 -7.2 -0.7 -7.2 -0.7
2010 LAG Wnt 7 7 28.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .333 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2011 TOR MLB 10 10 63.7 5.04 94 .253 .253 .317 .391 .258 .281 106 3.6 0.4 3.6 0.4
2011 DUN A+ 2 2 8.3 5.56 98 .265 .260 .322 .365 .250 .344 114 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.1
2011 NHP AA 15 14 88.0 4.45 94 .234 .264 .333 .410 .277 .286 88 4.3 0.4 4.3 0.4
2012 TOR MLB 31 31 187.3 6.35 67 .276 .259 .323 .423 .267 .291 108 -11.4 -1.2 -11.5 -1.0
2013 MIA MLB 17 17 102.7 4.23 90 .234 .250 .314 .387 .257 .271 95 3.8 0.4 9.0 1.1
2013 JUP A+ 2 2 10.0 5.31 70 .232 .243 .304 .374 .250 .242 88 -0.7 -0.1 -0.7 -0.1
2013 JAX AA 2 2 14.3 2.49 139 .106 .241 .312 .354 .251 .143 96 3.1 0.3 4.8 0.5
2013 VEN int 1 0 3.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .357 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2014 MIA MLB 30 30 187.0 4.36 88 .259 .244 .304 .374 .257 .304 97 5.0 0.6 8.8 1.3

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2007 DLJ Rk 1 2 0 8 7 25.7 36 8 20 0 0% .383 12.6 2.8 0.0 7.0 1.71 5.60 0.0 0.0
2008 BLJ Rk 1 4 0 12 11 46.3 63 6 34 3 60% .353 12.2 1.2 0.6 6.6 1.49 5.64 3.2 0.3
2009 LNS A 9 6 0 23 23 124.3 121 19 92 1 53% .303 8.8 1.4 0.1 6.7 1.13 3.48 24.6 2.6
2010 LAG Wnt 0 1 0 7 7 28.3 30 8 19 1 0% .333 9.5 2.5 0.3 6.0 1.34 2.23 0.0 0.0
2010 DUN A+ 8 7 0 23 21 112.3 137 27 78 10 52% .337 11.0 2.2 0.8 6.3 1.46 4.33 -7.2 -0.7
2011 TOR MLB 1 3 0 10 10 63.7 64 8 40 8 55% .281 9.0 1.1 1.1 5.7 1.13 3.53 3.6 0.4
2011 NHP AA 8 4 0 15 14 88.0 81 17 66 7 54% .286 8.3 1.7 0.7 6.8 1.11 2.86 4.3 0.4
2011 DUN A+ 0 1 0 2 2 8.3 11 1 4 0 59% .344 11.9 1.1 0.0 4.3 1.44 6.48 0.6 0.1
2012 TOR MLB 9 14 0 31 31 187.3 216 54 79 29 58% .291 10.4 2.6 1.4 3.8 1.44 4.85 -11.5 -1.0
2013 MIA MLB 5 6 0 17 17 102.7 90 27 57 2 55% .271 7.9 2.4 0.2 5.0 1.14 3.59 9.0 1.1
2013 VEN int 0 1 0 1 0 3.0 5 1 0 0 0% .357 15.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.00 9.00 0.0 0.0
2013 JAX AA 1 0 0 2 2 14.3 5 0 13 0 77% .143 3.1 0.0 0.0 8.2 0.35 0.00 4.8 0.5
2013 JUP A+ 1 0 0 2 2 10.0 9 1 2 1 53% .242 8.1 0.9 0.9 1.8 1.00 2.70 -0.7 -0.1
2014 MIA MLB 12 7 0 30 30 187.0 198 33 111 14 56% .304 9.5 1.6 0.7 5.3 1.24 2.65 8.8 1.3

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2011 977 0.5077 0.4606 0.8600 0.6452 0.2703 0.8969 0.7692 0.1400
2012 2857 0.5586 0.4608 0.8868 0.6147 0.2657 0.9235 0.7791 0.1117
2013 1444 0.5416 0.4654 0.8557 0.6023 0.3036 0.9066 0.7363 0.1443
2014 2600 0.5527 0.4773 0.8477 0.6263 0.2932 0.9111 0.6804 0.1523
Career78780.54720.46710.86490.620.28230.9130.73750.1346

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-09-02 2014-09-12 DTD 10 9 Left Abdomen Strain Oblique -
2014-07-30 2014-08-16 15-DL 17 16 Right Shoulder Inflammation -
2014-07-20 2014-07-24 DTD 4 4 Left Lower Leg Contusion Shin -
2014-06-09 2014-06-15 DTD 6 4 Left Hip Strain -
2014-05-29 2014-06-03 DTD 5 4 Right Elbow Stiffness -
2013-09-03 2013-09-09 DTD 6 5 Right Thigh Tightness Hamstring - -
2013-03-27 2013-07-04 60-DL 99 83 Right Shoulder Inflammation - -
2012-08-28 2012-09-01 DTD 4 4 Left Lower Leg Contusion Batted Ball - -
2012-06-25 2012-06-25 DTD 0 0 Right Elbow Soreness - -
2011-04-06 2011-05-09 Minors 33 30 Not Disclosed -
2010-08-13 2010-09-01 Minors 19 0 Right Shoulder Soreness -
2009-08-16 2009-09-07 Minors 22 0 Right Arm Fatigue Team Controlling IP -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2016 MIA $
2015 MIA $4,000,000
2014 MIA $525,400
2013 MIA $507,900
2012 TOR $482,900
YearsDescriptionSalary
3 yrPrevious$1,516,200
2011Current$4,000,000
4 yrPvs + Cur$5,516,200
4 yrTotal$5,516,200

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
3 y 51 d1 year/$4M (2015)

Details
  • 1 year/$4M (2015). Re-signed by Miami 1/16/15 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$0.5254M (2014). Re-signed by Miami 3/1/14.
  • 1 year/$0.5079M (2013). Renewed by Miami 3/2/13.
  • 1 year/$0.4829M (2012). Re-signed by Toronto 3/12. Acquired by Miami in trade from Toronto 11/13/12.
  • 1 year (2011). Contract purchased by Toronto 8/9/11.
  • Signed by Toronto 2006 as an amateur free agent from Venezuela.

2015 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2015 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 11.2 10 0 31 31 205.2 180 36 113 15 .273 1.05 3.04 3.31 27.7 2.8
80o 10.8 10.5 0 31 31 198.5 183 37 110 15 .284 1.11 3.34 3.63 19.8 2.0
70o 10.6 10.9 0 31 31 193.7 186 37 107 15 .292 1.15 3.55 3.86 14.2 1.5
60o 10.4 11.2 0 31 31 189.7 188 38 105 16 .298 1.19 3.74 4.06 9.6 1.0
50o 10.2 11.5 0 31 31 186.0 189 38 103 16 .305 1.22 3.91 4.25 5.3 0.5
40o 10 11.8 0 31 31 182.3 191 38 101 16 .311 1.26 4.09 4.45 0.8 0.1
30o 9.8 12.2 0 31 31 178.4 192 39 99 16 .317 1.30 4.28 4.65 -3.5 -0.4
20o 9.5 12.6 0 31 31 173.9 194 39 97 16 .325 1.34 4.50 4.9 -8.8 -0.9
10o 9.2 13.2 0 31 31 167.8 196 40 93 16 .336 1.41 4.82 5.24 -15.6 -1.6
Weighted Mean10.211.503131186.01883810316.3031.223.904.245.50.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
24% 56% 20% 27% 92%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2015 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201626111002929181180401091553.3051.223.854.189.02.05.40.70.6
201727980242413913829811253.3011.203.784.119.01.95.30.80.7
20182866018181061071966953.3111.193.884.229.11.65.60.80.4
201929870222213113122831253.3091.173.774.109.01.55.70.80.6
2020306601717991002156953.3041.233.924.269.11.95.10.80.3
202131650161695951757853.3061.183.734.059.01.65.40.80.5
202232650161692941555853.3081.193.814.149.21.55.40.80.4
202333550151587901552953.3081.203.884.229.31.55.40.90.3
202434550141480831448753.3111.223.934.289.41.65.40.80.2

Upside By Year

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
30.21314.59.314.7581.7

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 84)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 93 Chris Volstad 2012 6.55
2 91 Mike Pelfrey 2009 5.47
3 91 Jesse Litsch 2010 5.79
4 90 Jose Quintana 2014 3.86
5 90 John Lannan 2010 5.15
6 89 Jair Jurrjens 2011 3.08
7 88 Dontrelle Willis 2007 5.74
8 88 Brett Myers 2006 4.23
9 88 Tommy Hunter 2012 5.66
10 88 Brett Anderson 2013 6.45
11 88 Jarrod Parker 2014 0.00 DNP
12 88 Andy Sonnanstine 2008 4.89
13 87 Johnny Cueto 2011 2.94
14 87 Zach Duke 2008 5.35
15 87 Scott Olsen 2009 6.46
16 87 Matt Garza 2009 4.12
17 87 Brett Cecil 2012 5.87
18 86 John Danks 2010 3.93
19 86 Trevor Cahill 2013 4.30
20 86 Andrew Miller 2010 9.37
21 86 Edwin Jackson 2009 3.83
22 86 Tom Gorzelanny 2008 6.75
23 86 Matt Harrison 2011 3.83
24 86 Brian Matusz 2012 5.60
25 86 Jered Weaver 2008 4.48
26 86 David Price 2011 3.73
27 86 Jaime Garcia 2012 4.29
28 86 Jimmy Gobble 2007 3.86
29 85 Anibal Sanchez 2009 4.08
30 85 Kyle Davies 2009 5.56
31 85 Jon Lester 2009 3.54
32 85 Ervin Santana 2008 3.66
33 85 Brad Bergesen 2011 6.50
34 85 Sean Marshall 2008 3.99
35 85 Josh Johnson 2009 3.32
36 85 Rick Porcello 2014 3.87
37 85 Jerome Williams 2007 7.80
38 84 Luke Hochevar 2009 6.86
39 84 Greg Smith 2009 0.00 DNP
40 84 Jeremy Sowers 2008 6.25
41 84 Aaron Laffey 2010 4.85
42 84 Micah Owings 2008 6.28
43 84 Casey Janssen 2007 2.60
44 84 Mike Leake 2013 3.60
45 84 Derek Holland 2012 5.13
46 84 Wil Ledezma 2006 4.33
47 83 Mat Latos 2013 3.50
48 83 Vance Worley 2013 7.95
49 83 Noah Lowry 2006 5.03
50 83 Carlos Villanueva 2009 5.44
51 83 Sean Gallagher 2011 0.00 DNP
52 83 Jon Niese 2012 3.64
53 83 Kyle Kendrick 2010 5.13
54 83 Chad Gaudin 2008 5.00
55 83 Paul Maholm 2007 5.57
56 83 Kevin Slowey 2009 4.96
57 83 Homer Bailey 2011 4.64
58 83 Chad Billingsley 2010 3.80
59 82 Alex White 2014 0.00 DNP
60 82 David Huff 2010 6.89
61 82 Blake Beavan 2014 4.50
62 82 Mike Minor 2013 3.47
63 82 Phil Hughes 2011 5.79
64 82 Daniel Hudson 2012 7.35
65 82 Zack Greinke 2009 2.47
66 82 Jhoulys Chacin 2013 3.74
67 82 Masahiro Tanaka 2014 0.00 DNP
68 82 Randy Tomlin 1991 3.86
69 82 Alex Sanabia 2014 0.00 DNP
70 82 Matt Cain 2010 3.39
71 82 Brandon McCarthy 2009 5.09
72 82 Joe Blanton 2006 5.14
73 82 Mark Buehrle 2004 4.37
74 82 Don Newcombe 1951 3.81
75 82 Ismael Valdez 1999 4.29
76 82 Fritz Peterson 1967 4.32
77 82 Mike Mussina 1994 3.22
78 82 Mark Fidrych 1980 7.11
79 81 Mark Mulder 2003 3.18
80 81 Brad Halsey 2006 5.06
81 81 Steve Rogers 1975 3.72 DNP
82 81 Robin Roberts 1952 2.99
83 81 Sean O'Sullivan 2013 4.32
84 81 Cal Eldred 1993 4.15
85 81 Jose Rosado 2000 5.86
86 81 Dana Eveland 2009 7.98
87 81 Dave Bush 2005 4.82
88 81 Justin Thompson 1998 4.62
89 81 Jake Peavy 2006 4.14
90 81 Jeanmar Gomez 2013 3.90
91 81 John Thomson 1999 8.90
92 81 Ivan Nova 2012 5.23
93 81 Odalis Perez 2003 4.76
94 81 Justin Masterson 2010 5.35
95 81 Vin Mazzaro 2012 5.93
96 81 Steve Avery 1995 4.78
97 81 Matt Morris 2000 3.74
98 81 Alex Fernandez 1995 4.33
99 81 Paul Splittorff 1972 3.38
100 81 Carlos Zambrano 2006 3.83

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .279 .318 .405 .266
11 vs R (Multi) .261 .308 .377 .247
18 Split (Multi) .018 .011 .028 .019
19 LgAvg (Multi) .008 .020 .017 .015
30 vs L (2014) .274 .302 .376 .256
31 vs R (2014) .276 .326 .396 .263
38 Split (2014) -.002 -.025 -.020 -.007
39 LgAvg (2014) .007 .019 .010 .013

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2015 If you had to pick a hurler who epitomizes the Marlins' pitching philosophy, it wouldn't be superstar ace Jose Fernandez. It would be non-superstar, non-ace Henderson Alvarez. The young Venezuelan has emerged as a solid cog in the Miami rotation since coming over from Toronto, and he's succeeding using the team's primary pitching philosophy: throw hard, pound the strike zone, get groundball outs, pitch efficiently. Alvarez has a heavy, hasty sinker and a changeup, and he lives low in the strike zone. Good news for him: MLB's de facto strike zone is getting lower and lower as the years go on, earning him more swings and costing him fewer bad counts and bases on balls. Of course, Alvarez still doesn't strike anyone out. His K% went up just a bit in 2014, as hitters had more swings and misses at his offerings outside the zone. Despite how rarely he walks anyone, Henderson is unlikely to be a defense-independent superstar, or an elite starter. But every team in baseball would love to have him, if not quite as much as the Marlins do.
2014 Like everybody else on the team, Alvarez came over from Toronto during the offseason. He had the best season (at least at the major-league level) of anybody going south in the deal, with groundball stylings that are waning but still significantly better than the league's average. Not even Hall of Fame pitcher Grounder McGroundballingtonson can maintain Alvarez's home run rate, and Alvarez—bless his heart—is no Grounder McGroundballingtonson.
2013 For a pitcher who specializes in generating groundballs, Alvarez gave up an unusual number of home runs last year. Of the 24 American League pitchers with at least 75 innings pitched and 50 percent of batted balls being hit on the ground, Alvarez was among the nine to average more than one home run per nine innings. He throws a heavy, low-to-mid-90s fastball, but batters didn’t have much trouble with it last year, hitting .293/.339/.498 in 307 at bats. Alvarez’s secondary offerings are less impressive, though he does have good deception on his changeup. He was traded to Miami in November’s blockbuster deal with the Blue Jays, and is expected to occupy one of the top three slots in the Marlins rotation this year.
2012 The Venezuelan righty was probably the biggest gainer in an impressive year for the Blue Jays farm system. Seen prior to the season as a live arm with little to show for it, he went from High-A to the majors in less than 100 innings—even after he lost a month to injury. Alvarez sits in the mid-90s with his fastball (which has electric late movement), generates plenty of ground balls, and has an advanced changeup. His best start of the season was a 97-pitch, eight-inning outing against the Orioles. He allowed just three hits and no walks while recording five strikeouts and 18 ground balls. He’ll be slotted into the back end of the rotation next year, but his ceiling is considerably higher than that.
2011 Henderson Alvarez is the kind of ground-ball pitcher who gets no favors from A-ball defenses, but at least his control has stood by him.
2010 Henderson Alvarez is a righty control artist with a good changeup who pitched well starting for the Lugnuts last year as a 19-year-old, and could have a future as a back-end big-league starter.

BP Articles

Henderson Alvarez is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2015-02-13 19:00:00 (link to chat)Given the depth of starting pitching, is this the year to target elite relievers early? Maybe grabbing a guy like a Chapman early on and balancing it him with a guy like Henderson Alvarez later on who brings the innings and ratios to Chapman's strikeout party.
(Strategy Question from Everywhere)
I have been doing that in my mocks and was surprised I got swiped so many times in LABR on closers. That probably works with Alvarez if your league is deep enough. (Mike Gianella)
2014-09-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Are you editing the BP annual again?
(Cory from Atlanta)
Yes! So is Jason Wojciechowski, and in fact the process is well under way. Comments are all assigned, as are most of the essays. The roster is incredible--new essay writers for all 30 teams--and I expect the writers will require almost no editing, freeing Jason and me up to check every five minutes that Henderson Alvarez's entry is still on the page. (Sam Miller)
2014-07-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Many of the "experts" seem down on Henderson Alvarez, yet he continues to pitch well. What are your thoughts on him?
(cracker73 from Florida)
He doesn't miss any bats. That's always gonna be an issue. That much contact is hard to keep under control, but he plays in the right park for it. I've been among the skeptics and while I'm more open to using him on the cheap in daily, I'm still not terribly interested in season-long. The ERA and WHIP don't jive and it's the ERA that will likely go up before the WHIP comes down. His 2013 ERA (3.59) and 2014 WHIP (1.26) are a better match... which is still plenty useful (Paul Sporer)
2013-12-20 14:00:00 (link to chat)Can Jeremy Hellickson be fixed ? Can Henderson Alvarez keep it going ?
(tbwhite from San Diego)
Helix can certainly be fixed, and it starts by killing the slide step. He used to throw in the slide step every once in awhile to keep runners honest, but last season he invoked the slide step every friggin' pitch with a runner on base.

An interesting element for Alvarez was that he scrapped the change-up last season, a pitch that had been roped in previous years. His excellent command of raw 93-95 mph velocity with good sink is the main ingredient to his success, with a solid slider that gives hitters another look.It will be interesting to see what he brings to the table in 2014. (Doug Thorburn)
2013-11-22 14:00:00 (link to chat)Doug, I need your input on long-term value. 10 team dynasty with 7 pitcher slots. Have Strasburg, Sale, Fernandez, Harvey and Chapman. Need to select two from Brandon Beachy, Andrew Cashner, Corey Kluber, Brett Anderson, Henderson Alvarez. Help appreciated. Thank you.
(nictaclacta from Glendale)
Your top end is ridiculous, even if you have to wait on Harvey. I would hold on to Cashner from the second group, no doubt, while your last guy is a tougher call. Since your 7th slot could change between now and this time next year, you are probably looking for 2014 value (or trade value) with a shot at upside - for that reason I would choose between Beachy and Anderson. Anderson still has the name and the hope, but the faith is all but sapped, so that is a dice-roll for 2014 with prayers for a break-through season that ups his trade value. Beachy is a command guy, and since command is the last thing to return from TJS, I would say that he has the best chance to vault his value next season, though his down velocity in a small sample of 2013 adds some concern.

On the jukebox: White Zombie, "Thunderkiss '65" (Doug Thorburn)
2013-07-29 11:00:00 (link to chat)Not prospects but what are your thoughts on Henderson Alvarez and Randall Delgado? Both have looked good in the handful of starts since they've been called up - can they keep it going?
(mark from arizona)
I believe so I really liked what I saw from Delgado when he came through the Carolina League as a prospect. (Zach Mortimer)
2013-03-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey, Paul, love the book (and want the Relief Pitcher Guide next)! Is there any precedent for pitchers like Martin Perez and Henderson Alvarez -- high-end stuff, low-end strikeouts -- pulling it together to become stars, or does the track-record of not missing bats promise a low ceiling?
(edwardarthur from Illinois)
Thanks. I'm not sure those two are the same as Alvarez never really fanned guys whereas Perez has. My guess is there are tons of guys like that through history. I'm struggling to come up with some off-hand, but I doubt it's terribly uncommon. (Paul Sporer)
2012-01-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Any "sophomores" you like to break out this season
(moehk21 from NYC)
I like Ben Revere, Eric Thames, Lucas Duda, Cory Luebke, Danny Duffy, Henderson Alvarez all to various degrees. (Derek Carty)
2011-12-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Henderson Alvarez stick in the rotation all year for the Jays? Think Darvish turns the Jays into a contender for the division?
(Bill from Nova Scotia)
I'm not sure about Henderson. That's a very difficult question to answer. Darvish alone won't turn the Jays into a contender in 2012, but he can help the cause. Put it this way (very simply): The Jays would be a better team if they landed Darvish. (Jason Parks)
2011-09-02 14:00:00 (link to chat)Better future - Henderson Alvarez or Zach Britton?
(dharris from ny)
Britton. (Kevin Goldstein)
2011-06-27 14:00:00 (link to chat)What do you generally make of prospects that have reports of great stuff and big fastballs, but don't generate the strikeouts you'd expect? I'm thinking of Henderson Alvarez this year in particular, but I'm sure there's many examples.
(Bret from Toronto)
I talk to scouts to see if the pitch is straight and/or if they are relying on the pitch too much. Alvarez needs to improve his breaking ball, and has a tendency to elevate, thus the lack of missed bats. (Kevin Goldstein)


BP Roundtables

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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Henderson Alvarez has thrown 7,838 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2011 and 2014, all of them occuring in the MLB Regular Season. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Sinker (94mph), Change (90mph) and Fourseam Fastball (94mph), also mixing in a Slider (84mph). He also rarely throws a Slow Curve (60mph), Curve (78mph) and Cutter (91mph).