Biographical

Portrait of Justin De Fratus

Justin De Fratus PPhillies

Phillies Player Cards | Phillies Team Audit | Phillies Depth Chart

2014 Rest-of-Season Projections (seasonal age 26)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
0.3 3.91 1.25 0 0 0 0 0.0
Birth Date10-21-1987
Height6' 4"
Weight225 lbs
Age27 years, 0 months, 0 days
BatsB
ThrowsR
2010
-0.02011
0.12012
0.22013
0.52014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2011 PHI 23 5 0 4.0 0.0 4.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 17 1 2 1 0 1 3 2 1 3 2.25 4.49 5.24 -0.4 -0.0
2012 PHI 24 13 0 10.7 0.0 10.7 0 0 0 0 0 0 44 7 5 4 0 8 5 4 0 8 3.38 3.04 3.61 1.1 0.1
2013 PHI 25 58 0 46.7 0.0 46.7 3 3 0 2 0 0 208 45 21 20 3 65 25 22 5 42 3.86 3.98 4.24 1.6 0.2
2014 PHI 26 54 0 52.7 0.0 52.7 3 1 0 2 0 0 219 45 19 14 4 72 12 8 3 49 2.39 3.08 3.05 5.1 0.5
Career1300114.00.0114.07404004889847397146453691023.083.503.657.50.7

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2007 PHL Rk 10 8 46.0 4.91 83 .248 .237 .312 .335 .244 .313 86 2.3 0.2 2.3 0.2
2008 WPT A- 14 14 83.3 4.09 100 .269 .255 .331 .361 .258 .325 90 5.6 0.6 5.6 0.6
2009 LWD A 36 12 110.0 4.28 94 .253 .255 .327 .367 .263 .324 93 6.8 0.7 6.8 0.7
2010 CLR A+ 29 0 40.3 3.11 117 .203 .258 .333 .371 .268 .303 92 6.1 0.6 6.1 0.6
2010 REA AA 20 0 24.7 3.73 125 .195 .256 .322 .384 .251 .254 109 4.7 0.5 4.7 0.5
2010 afe Wnt 1 0 0.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2010 MSS Wnt 7 0 7.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .231 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2011 PHI MLB 5 0 4.0 5.24 64 .187 .251 .308 .385 .256 .100 92 -0.4 -0.0 -0.4 -0.0
2011 REA AA 23 0 34.3 2.54 137 .238 .256 .323 .388 .266 .310 88 9.5 1.0 9.5 1.0
2011 LEH AAA 28 0 41.0 3.49 114 .230 .261 .328 .398 .254 .330 91 6.3 0.6 6.3 0.6
2012 PHI MLB 13 0 10.7 3.61 115 .195 .257 .321 .397 .262 .226 98 1.1 0.1 1.1 0.1
2012 CLR A+ 2 1 2.0 4.37 115 .233 .235 .298 .357 .234 .333 109 0.7 0.1 0.7 0.1
2012 LEH AAA 17 0 21.7 3.95 106 .191 .257 .321 .387 .250 .241 96 2.1 0.2 2.1 0.2
2012 PHL Rk 2 1 2.0 2.72 138 .109 .200 .280 .274 .219 .250 89 0.7 0.1 0.7 0.1
2013 PHI MLB 58 0 46.7 4.24 100 .272 .256 .315 .396 .258 .316 105 1.6 0.2 1.6 0.2
2013 LEH AAA 13 0 19.0 3.72 115 .242 .257 .322 .387 .254 .321 101 2.7 0.3 2.7 0.3
2014 PHI MLB 54 0 52.7 3.05 120 .249 .251 .312 .381 .261 .272 96 5.4 0.6 5.1 0.5
2014 LEH AAA 15 0 16.0 4.69 97 .294 .254 .328 .388 .250 .396 102 0.7 0.1 0.7 0.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2007 PHL Rk 2 3 0 10 8 46.0 51 3 34 1 58% .313 10.0 0.6 0.2 6.7 1.17 4.30 2.3 0.2
2008 WPT A- 6 5 0 14 14 83.3 87 25 74 1 46% .325 9.4 2.7 0.1 8.0 1.34 3.67 5.6 0.6
2009 LWD A 5 6 3 36 12 110.0 108 16 101 3 58% .324 8.8 1.3 0.2 8.3 1.13 3.19 6.8 0.7
2010 afe Wnt 0 0 0 1 0 0.3 0 0 0 0 0% .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.0
2010 MSS Wnt 0 0 1 7 0 7.0 3 3 11 0 0% .231 3.9 3.9 0.0 14.1 0.86 0.00 0.0 0.0
2010 REA AA 1 0 6 20 0 24.7 17 5 28 2 49% .254 6.2 1.8 0.7 10.2 0.89 2.19 4.7 0.5
2010 CLR A+ 2 0 15 29 0 40.3 31 11 43 1 55% .303 6.9 2.5 0.2 9.6 1.04 1.79 6.1 0.6
2011 LEH AAA 2 3 7 28 0 41.0 35 11 56 3 52% .330 7.7 2.4 0.7 12.3 1.12 3.73 6.3 0.6
2011 PHI MLB 1 0 0 5 0 4.0 1 3 3 0 50% .100 2.2 6.8 0.0 6.8 1.00 2.25 -0.4 -0.0
2011 REA AA 4 0 8 23 0 34.3 28 14 43 1 66% .310 7.3 3.7 0.3 11.3 1.22 2.10 9.5 1.0
2012 PHI MLB 0 0 0 13 0 10.7 7 5 8 0 52% .226 5.9 4.2 0.0 6.8 1.12 3.38 1.1 0.1
2012 PHL Rk 0 0 0 2 1 2.0 1 0 3 0 75% .250 4.5 0.0 0.0 13.5 0.50 0.00 0.7 0.1
2012 LEH AAA 0 1 3 17 0 21.7 15 3 22 2 54% .241 6.2 1.2 0.8 9.1 0.83 2.49 2.1 0.2
2012 CLR A+ 0 0 0 2 1 2.0 2 0 1 0 50% .333 9.0 0.0 0.0 4.5 1.00 0.00 0.7 0.1
2013 PHI MLB 3 3 0 58 0 46.7 45 25 42 3 46% .316 8.7 4.8 0.6 8.1 1.50 3.86 1.6 0.2
2013 LEH AAA 3 0 0 13 0 19.0 18 6 17 0 62% .321 8.5 2.8 0.0 8.1 1.26 1.89 2.7 0.3
2014 PHI MLB 3 1 0 54 0 52.7 45 12 49 4 41% .272 7.7 2.1 0.7 8.4 1.08 2.39 5.1 0.5
2014 LEH AAA 0 0 3 15 0 16.0 20 4 13 1 45% .396 11.2 2.2 0.6 7.3 1.50 4.50 0.7 0.1

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2011 54 0.4074 0.4074 0.7727 0.5455 0.3125 0.9167 0.6000 0.2273
2012 181 0.5193 0.5138 0.7634 0.6170 0.4023 0.8103 0.6857 0.2366
2013 823 0.4812 0.4897 0.7568 0.6717 0.3208 0.8609 0.5547 0.2432
2014 816 0.4681 0.5270 0.7558 0.6885 0.3848 0.8821 0.5569 0.2442
Career18740.4770.50590.75750.67010.35630.86690.56960.2425

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2012-03-26 2012-07-18 60-DL 114 92 Right Elbow Recovery From Previous Injury Strain - Flexor Pronator Mass - -
2012-02-21 2012-03-26 Camp 34 0 Right Elbow Strain Flexor Pronator Mass - -
2011-02-21 2011-02-24 Camp 3 0 Right Elbow Soreness - -
2009-09-03 2009-09-07 Minors 4 0 Left Abdomen Strain Oblique -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 PHI $513,000
2013 PHI $
2012 PHI $480,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
1 yrPrevious$480,000
2011Current$513,000
2 yrPvs + Cur$993,000
2 yrTotal$993,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
1 y 120 dWasserman Media Group1 year/$0.513M (2014)

Details
  • 1 year/$0.513M (2014). Re-signed by Philadelphia 3/14.
  • 1 year (2013). Re-signed by Philadelphia 3/13.
  • 1 year/$0.48M (2012). Re-signed by Philadelphia 3/12.
  • 1 year (2011). Contract purchased by Philadelphia 11/19/10.
  • Drafted by Philadelphia 2007 (11-353) (Manhattan).

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 0 0 0 0 0 61.1 47 18 54 5 .268 1.05 2.94 3.19 0.0 0.0
80o 0 0 0 0 0 55.0 45 17 49 5 .283 1.14 3.33 3.62 0.0 0.0
70o 0 0 0 0 0 50.7 44 17 45 5 .294 1.20 3.61 3.93 0.0 0.0
60o 0 0 0 0 0 47.2 43 16 42 5 .304 1.25 3.86 4.2 0.0 0.0
50o 0 0 0 0 0 43.9 41 16 39 5 .313 1.30 4.10 4.45 0.0 0.0
40o 0 0 0 0 0 40.7 40 15 36 4 .321 1.36 4.34 4.71 0.0 0.0
30o 0 0 0 0 0 37.4 38 15 33 4 .331 1.41 4.60 5 0.0 0.0
20o 0 0 0 0 0 33.6 36 14 30 4 .342 1.48 4.91 5.33 0.0 0.0
10o 0 0 0 0 0 28.4 33 13 25 4 .358 1.59 5.35 5.81 0.0 0.0
Weighted Mean0000043.24015384.3101.294.064.420.00.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
27% 41% 20% 22% 70%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20152731155059511956650.3031.193.553.857.82.98.60.90.8
20162831150054491750550.3141.233.734.068.22.98.40.80.6
20172931157061531956650.2981.193.513.817.92.88.30.90.8
20183031154057511852650.3001.213.623.948.12.88.20.90.7
20193131150053481549650.3051.193.593.908.22.58.31.00.7
20203221148051471546550.3081.223.694.028.32.78.20.90.6
20213321145047441442550.3081.233.734.068.42.78.01.00.5
20223421143045421340550.3081.213.744.068.32.67.91.00.5
20233521139042391237550.3101.223.804.138.42.68.01.10.4

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
3.55.310.74.46.5930.4

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 80)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 90 Mark Melancon 2011 3.39
2 89 Robbie Weinhardt 2012 0.00 DNP
3 87 Ramon Troncoso 2009 3.27
4 87 Sam Demel 2012 9.00
5 86 Kam Mickolio 2010 7.36
6 86 Steve Cishek 2012 3.53
7 85 Joe Thatcher 2008 8.77
8 85 Dan Jennings 2013 3.76
9 85 Javy Guerra 2012 2.60
10 85 Joe Paterson 2012 37.12
11 84 Josh Edgin 2013 3.77
12 84 Scott Maine 2011 10.29
13 84 Jerry Blevins 2010 3.70
14 83 Luke Gregerson 2010 3.45
15 83 Jonathan Albaladejo 2009 6.03
16 83 Cory Gearrin 2012 1.80
17 82 Erik Hamren 2013 0.00 DNP
18 82 Zach Phillips 2013 5.40
19 82 Cody Eppley 2012 3.91
20 82 Josh Ellis 2011 0.00 DNP
21 82 Jose Arredondo 2010 0.00 DNP
22 82 Jonny Venters 2011 1.94
23 82 Franquelis Osoria 2008 6.38
24 82 Tanner Scheppers 2013 2.47
25 82 Alberto Arias 2010 0.00 DNP
26 82 Juan Morillo 2010 0.00 DNP
27 82 Hunter Jones 2010 0.00
28 82 Chris Resop 2009 0.00 DNP
29 81 Brian Wilson 2008 4.62
30 81 Evan Meek 2009 3.45
31 81 Darren O'Day 2009 2.15
32 81 Cole St. Clair 2013 0.00 DNP
33 81 Ryan Reid 2011 0.00 DNP
34 81 Dan Runzler 2011 6.91
35 81 Andrew Carignan 2013 0.00 DNP
36 81 Romulo Sanchez 2010 0.00
37 81 Jeff Gray 2008 7.71
38 81 Andrew Bailey 2010 1.47
39 81 Jeremy Berg 2013 0.00 DNP
40 80 Miguel Socolovich 2013 0.00 DNP
41 80 Kevin Jepsen 2011 7.62
42 80 Kanekoa Texeira 2012 0.00 DNP
43 79 Juan Gutierrez 2010 5.40
44 79 Daniel Herrera 2011 5.59
45 79 Jose De La Torre 2012 0.00 DNP
46 79 Frankie De La Cruz 2010 0.00 DNP
47 79 Daniel Turpen 2013 0.00 DNP
48 79 David Davidson 2010 0.00 DNP
49 79 Brandon Kintzler 2011 5.52
50 79 Corey Young 2013 0.00 DNP
51 79 Rafael Perez 2008 3.66
52 79 Rocky Roquet 2009 0.00 DNP
53 79 Mark Worrell 2009 0.00 DNP
54 79 Scott Elbert 2012 2.20
55 79 Danny Farquhar 2013 4.53
56 79 Garrett Parcell 2011 0.00 DNP
57 79 Cory Wade 2009 5.53
58 79 Al Alburquerque 2012 0.68
59 78 Frank Gailey 2012 0.00 DNP
60 78 Matt Gorgen 2013 0.00 DNP
61 78 Mitch Herold 2012 0.00 DNP
62 78 Blake Parker 2011 0.00 DNP
63 78 Ryan Cook 2013 3.07
64 78 Tony Pena 2008 4.71
65 78 Jaye Chapman 2013 0.00 DNP
66 78 Sean Stidfole 2010 0.00 DNP
67 78 Brandon League 2009 4.82
68 78 Jordan Norberto 2013 0.00 DNP
69 78 Edgmer Escalona 2013 6.26
70 78 Warner Madrigal 2010 0.00 DNP
71 78 Ty'Relle Harris 2013 0.00 DNP
72 78 Greg Holland 2012 2.96
73 78 Davis Romero 2009 0.00 DNP
74 78 Henry Mabee 2012 0.00 DNP
75 78 Randor Bierd 2010 0.00 DNP
76 78 Vinnie Pestano 2011 2.32
77 78 Michael Kirkman 2013 8.18
78 78 Rob Wooten 2012 0.00 DNP
79 78 Josh Wilkie 2011 0.00 DNP
80 77 Chad Thall 2012 0.00 DNP
81 77 Lucas Luetge 2013 5.59
82 77 Brayan Villarreal 2013 20.77
83 77 Omar Aguilar 2011 0.00 DNP
84 77 Renyel Pinto 2009 3.67
85 77 Blake Wood 2012 0.00 DNP
86 77 Lee Hyde 2011 0.00 DNP
87 77 Bobby Cassevah 2012 7.20
88 77 Steve Edlefsen 2011 9.53
89 77 Nick Vincent 2013 2.14
90 77 Brent Leach 2009 5.75
91 77 Chris Petrini 2013 0.00 DNP
92 77 Andrew Albers 2012 0.00 DNP
93 77 Beau Jones 2013 0.00 DNP
94 77 Tyler Tufts 2013 0.00 DNP
95 77 Freddy Dolsi 2009 5.06
96 77 Jason Rice 2012 0.00 DNP
97 76 Phil Coke 2009 5.25
98 76 Jose Capellan 2007 6.58
99 76 Tyson Corley 2012 0.00 DNP
100 76 Enrique Gonzalez 2009 4.91

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .182 .329 .351 .234
11 vs R (Multi) .275 .366 .353 .281
18 Split (Multi) -.092 -.037 -.002 -.048
19 LgAvg (Multi) .010 .024 .026 .019
30 vs L (2013) .170 .322 .362 .231
31 vs R (2013) .291 .381 .378 .294
38 Split (2013) -.121 -.059 -.016 -.063
39 LgAvg (2013) .010 .022 .028 .019

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 An elbow injury robbed De Fratus of most of the 2012 season, but he was excellent for 22 innings in Triple-A before an uneventful 11 with Philadelphia in September. Despite De Fratus posting some gaudy minor-league numbers and having plenty of experience closing games, the general consensus is that his ceiling is as a setup man, not as Papelbonís successor.
2012 Two and a half years ago, De Fratus was a middling starting pitcher and former juco draftee in the Sally League. Like Bastardo, De Fratus demonstrates the benefit a roster of young starting prospects can have on a teamís bullpen. Once converted to relief, De Fratus racked up 36 saves across two seasons and three levels. His repertoire includes a mid-90s fastball and an above-average slider, and he has shown improved command of the latter. His changeup is still a work in progress, but plenty of hard-throwing relievers have survived with just one off-speed pitch. De Fratus made his first appearance in the majors in 2011 as a late-season call-up, but fans can expect him to play a bigger role in 2012.
2011 De Fratus showed strong results in his first full year as a reliever. The control he exhibited as a starter translated well to the bullpen, and his success carried over to the Arizona Fall League, where he was named a Rising Star and impressed scouts with his effective fastball/slider combo. Most of his mid-90s velocity comes from his lower half; fortunately, his frame looks like the kind that could handle a heavy workload in relief. His ultimate future is definitely as a reliever, but don't cry for his lost potential, as he could be a very good late-inning arm.

BP Articles

Justin De Fratus is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Trade Deadline Edition, SellersMike Gianella2014-07-07
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: The A's Get Rick-RolledChris Mosch2014-07-02
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: The Killer CsChris Mosch2014-06-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Relief PitchersIan Lefkowitz2014-03-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Relief PitchersJared Weiss2014-03-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Relief PitchersBen Murphy2014-03-07
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Meltdown MadnessDaniel Rathman2013-09-13
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Harvey's First ShutoutChris Mosch2013-08-08
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Harvey's First ShutoutSatchel Price2013-08-08
Overthinking It: This Week in Catcher Framing, 5/25Ben Lindbergh2013-05-25
Overthinking It: This Week in Catcher Framing, 5/18Ben Lindbergh2013-05-18
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 12th, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-12
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: The 2005-12 Arizona Fall League All-StarsJason Martinez2012-12-13
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of September 10Bradley Ankrom2012-09-11
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Phillies Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2012-03-09
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Socket to HimRebecca Glass2012-03-02
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Socket to HimCorey Dawkins2012-03-02


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Justin De Fratus has thrown 1,882 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2010 and 2014, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and Fall/Winter Ball. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Slider (82mph) and Sinker (92mph), also mixing in a Fourseam Fastball (93mph). He also rarely throws a Change (85mph) and Cutter (90mph).