Biographical

Portrait of Deolis Guerra

Deolis Guerra PTwins

Twins Player Cards | Twins Team Audit | Twins Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 25)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
32.7 5.68 1.59 21 1 2 0 -0.4
Birth Date4-17-1989
Height6' 5"
Weight245 lbs
Age25 years, 6 months, 5 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
-0.42014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2006 HAG A 17 17 81.0 4.93 70 .224 .263 .340 .388 .269 .256 81 3.8 0.4 3.8 0.4
2006 SLU A+ 2 2 7.1 6.62 39 .217 .276 .344 .412 .261 .214 81 -1.1 -0.1 -1.1 -0.1
2007 SLU A+ 21 20 89.7 4.81 99 .243 .263 .332 .387 .259 .272 99 6.4 0.6 6.4 0.6
2008 FTM A+ 26 25 130.0 5.75 73 .301 .261 .334 .383 .257 .300 99 -8.5 -0.9 -8.5 -0.9
2009 FTM A+ 16 15 86.3 4.96 82 .277 .250 .320 .358 .253 .311 96 -1.4 -0.1 -1.4 -0.1
2009 NBR AA 12 11 62.7 4.15 98 .284 .260 .335 .379 .268 .316 92 6.0 0.6 6.0 0.6
2010 NBR AA 19 19 102.3 5.95 67 .303 .263 .339 .405 .260 .334 99 -3.6 -0.4 -3.6 -0.4
2010 ROC AAA 5 4 25.0 5.90 77 .314 .258 .333 .403 .252 .357 102 -0.2 -0.0 -0.2 -0.0
2010 MAG Wnt 3 1 9.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .320 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2011 NBR AA 37 10 95.0 6.00 55 .287 .258 .326 .395 .272 .330 88 7.8 0.8 7.8 0.8
2012 NBR AA 7 0 12.7 2.80 138 .101 .253 .315 .382 .252 .185 102 2.7 0.3 2.7 0.3
2012 ROC AAA 29 0 57.3 4.70 88 .264 .260 .332 .397 .255 .327 95 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.1
2012 MAG Wnt 20 0 26.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .365 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 TWI Rk 3 0 4.0 4.28 104 .194 .253 .326 .317 .248 .273 101 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0
2014 ROC AAA 36 1 52.0 3.99 115 .243 .258 .328 .390 .251 .315 104 7.5 0.7 7.5 0.7

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2006 HAG A 6 7 0 17 17 81.0 59 37 64 3 49% .256 6.6 4.1 0.3 7.1 1.19 2.22 3.8 0.4
2006 SLU A+ 1 1 0 2 2 7.1 9 6 5 1 29% .214 11.4 7.6 1.3 6.3 2.11 6.34 -1.1 -0.1
2007 SLU A+ 2 6 0 21 20 89.7 80 25 66 9 51% .272 8.0 2.5 0.9 6.6 1.17 4.01 6.4 0.6
2008 FTM A+ 11 9 0 26 25 130.0 138 71 71 12 36% .300 9.6 4.9 0.8 4.9 1.61 5.47 -8.5 -0.9
2009 FTM A+ 6 8 0 16 15 86.3 95 25 57 6 49% .311 9.9 2.6 0.6 5.9 1.39 4.69 -1.4 -0.1
2009 NBR AA 6 3 0 12 11 62.7 62 17 49 4 43% .316 8.9 2.4 0.6 7.0 1.26 5.17 6.0 0.6
2010 ROC AAA 0 3 0 5 4 25.0 35 8 18 5 51% .357 12.6 2.9 1.8 6.5 1.72 6.84 -0.2 -0.0
2010 MAG Wnt 0 0 0 3 1 9.0 8 1 7 0 0% .320 8.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 1.00 2.00 0.0 0.0
2010 NBR AA 2 10 0 19 19 102.3 127 37 67 14 41% .334 11.2 3.3 1.2 5.9 1.60 6.25 -3.6 -0.4
2011 NBR AA 8 7 1 37 10 95.0 102 28 95 11 40% .330 9.7 2.7 1.0 9.0 1.37 5.59 7.8 0.8
2012 NBR AA 2 0 1 7 0 12.7 5 1 15 0 52% .185 3.6 0.7 0.0 10.7 0.47 0.71 2.7 0.3
2012 ROC AAA 2 3 0 29 0 57.3 59 21 56 7 46% .327 9.3 3.3 1.1 8.8 1.40 4.87 0.6 0.1
2012 MAG Wnt 3 2 2 20 0 26.0 24 5 31 1 0% .365 8.3 1.7 0.3 10.7 1.12 3.81 0.0 0.0
2013 TWI Rk 0 1 0 3 0 4.0 3 1 3 0 45% .273 6.8 2.2 0.0 6.8 1.00 4.50 0.3 0.0
2014 ROC AAA 2 2 0 36 1 52.0 51 18 54 5 30% .315 8.8 3.1 0.9 9.3 1.33 4.33 7.5 0.7

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-04-17 2014-05-05 Minors 18 0 Right Thigh Strain Hamstring - -
2013-03-03 2013-03-17 Camp 14 0 Right Shoulder Blood Clot Thoracic Outlet Syndrome Along with Pectoral Strain - -
2011-08-31 2011-09-06 Minors 6 7 Right Upper Arm Strain Biceps - -
2010-08-25 2010-09-07 Minors 13 0 Left Abdomen Strain Oblique -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
2013

Details
  • 2013
  • 1 year (2012). Re-signed by Minnesota 3/3/12. Sent outright to Triple-A by Minnesota 11/30/12.
  • 1 year (2011). Re-signed by Minnesota 3/11.
  • 1 year (2010). Contract purchased 11/20/09. Re-signed 3/7/10.
  • Acquired in trade from NY Mets 2/1/08 (Johan Santana deal).
  • Signed 7/05 as an amateur free agent from Venezuela. $0.7M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 1.9 2.3 0.5 16 5 48.5 48 15 31 6 .276 1.31 4.36 4.74 1.7 0.2
80o 1.6 2.1 0.4 14 5 42.9 46 14 28 6 .290 1.40 4.81 5.23 -0.7 -0.1
70o 1.4 2 0.3 13 4 39.0 44 14 25 5 .300 1.47 5.13 5.58 -2.1 -0.2
60o 1.2 1.9 0.3 12 4 35.8 42 13 23 5 .309 1.53 5.42 5.89 -3.1 -0.3
50o 1.1 1.8 0.3 11 4 32.8 40 12 21 5 .317 1.59 5.69 6.19 -3.8 -0.4
40o 1 1.7 0.2 10 3 29.9 38 12 19 5 .325 1.66 5.97 6.48 -4.3 -0.4
30o 0.8 1.5 0.2 9 3 26.9 35 11 17 4 .334 1.72 6.27 6.81 -4.7 -0.5
20o 0.7 1.4 0.2 8 3 23.5 32 10 15 4 .344 1.81 6.63 7.2 -5.0 -0.5
10o 0.5 1.2 0.1 6 2 18.9 28 9 12 3 .359 1.93 7.14 7.76 -5.0 -0.5
Weighted Mean1.11.70.311432.23912215.3151.585.656.14-3.6-0.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
11% 15% 1% 8% 19%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201526441351111012239841442.3111.474.885.3110.03.26.91.1-0.3
201627551401212414136891642.3131.434.785.2010.22.66.51.2-0.2
201728551401212713736951542.3041.364.364.749.72.66.71.10.4
201829441351111112332781442.3071.404.625.0210.02.66.31.10.0
201930441351111012132791342.3061.394.504.899.92.66.51.10.2
202031441341010611430781342.3041.364.334.719.72.56.61.10.4
202132441321010010827721242.3031.354.324.709.82.46.51.10.4
2022334313099410125671142.3021.354.284.659.72.46.41.10.4
202334431289889624621142.3021.364.354.739.82.56.31.10.3

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
out of baseball1.53.2out of baseballout of baseball0.54.7

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 83)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 91 Dylan Owen 2012 0.00 DNP
2 91 Wes Roemer 2012 0.00 DNP
3 89 Michael Lee 2012 0.00 DNP
4 89 Paul Clemens 2013 5.89
5 88 Marty Popham 2013 0.00 DNP
6 87 Jacob Thompson 2012 0.00 DNP
7 87 Steven Shell 2008 2.52
8 87 Cory VanAllen 2010 0.00 DNP
9 87 Jake Brigham 2013 0.00 DNP
10 87 Todd Redmond 2010 0.00 DNP
11 86 Corey Kluber 2011 8.31
12 86 Tim Sexton 2012 0.00 DNP
13 85 John Hudgins 2007 0.00 DNP
14 85 Charlie Furbush 2011 6.22
15 85 Chris Hicks 2012 0.00 DNP
16 85 Justin Orenduff 2008 0.00 DNP
17 85 Mike Ekstrom 2009 6.87
18 85 Bryan Price 2012 0.00 DNP
19 85 Jacob Rasner 2012 0.00 DNP
20 85 Chris Mason 2010 0.00 DNP
21 85 Kelvin Villa 2011 0.00 DNP
22 84 James Russell 2011 4.92
23 84 Jeremy McBryde 2012 0.00 DNP
24 84 James Gillheeney 2013 0.00 DNP
25 83 Duane Below 2011 4.97
26 83 Lance Janke 2012 0.00 DNP
27 83 Gonzalez Germen 2013 3.93
28 83 Tim Kiely 2011 0.00 DNP
29 83 George Kontos 2010 0.00 DNP
30 83 Evan MacLane 2008 0.00 DNP
31 83 Abe Alvarez 2008 0.00 DNP
32 83 Ryne Miller 2011 0.00 DNP
33 83 Henry Villar 2012 0.00 DNP
34 83 Ryan Pope 2011 0.00 DNP
35 82 Justin Marks 2013 0.00 DNP
36 82 Justin Thomas 2009 0.00 DNP
37 82 Darin Gorski 2013 0.00 DNP
38 82 Blake Hawksworth 2008 0.00 DNP
39 82 Tristan Crawford 2008 0.00 DNP
40 82 Steve Garrison 2012 0.00 DNP
41 82 Trevor Holder 2012 0.00 DNP
42 82 Craig Stammen 2009 5.71
43 82 Josh Tomlin 2010 4.68
44 82 Jeremy Horst 2011 3.52
45 82 Leandro Cespedes 2012 0.00 DNP
46 82 Andrew Carpenter 2010 9.00
47 82 Josh Banks 2008 4.96
48 82 L.J. Gagnier 2010 0.00 DNP
49 82 Ronald Uviedo 2012 0.00 DNP
50 82 Daniel Griffin 2010 0.00 DNP
51 81 Patrick Overholt 2009 0.00 DNP
52 81 Eliecer Navarro 2013 0.00 DNP
53 81 Ricky Bowen 2013 0.00 DNP
54 81 Cory Riordan 2011 0.00 DNP
55 81 Dustin Molleken 2010 0.00 DNP
56 81 Mike Colla 2012 0.00 DNP
57 81 Roque Mercedes 2012 0.00 DNP
58 81 Chris Lambert 2008 7.84
59 81 Jim Johnson 2008 2.36
60 81 Trevor Harden 2013 0.00 DNP
61 81 Richard Zagone 2012 0.00 DNP
62 81 Josh Wall 2012 4.76
63 81 Tyler Cloyd 2012 4.91
64 81 Erik Davis 2012 0.00 DNP
65 81 Marlon Arias 2010 0.00 DNP
66 81 Ryan O'Rourke 2013 0.00 DNP
67 81 Cole DeVries 2010 0.00 DNP
68 81 Josh Zeid 2012 0.00 DNP
69 81 Alexander Smit 2011 0.00 DNP
70 80 Tyson Brummett 2010 0.00 DNP
71 80 Bobby LaFromboise 2011 0.00 DNP
72 80 Matt Torra 2009 0.00 DNP
73 80 Miguel Pinango 2008 0.00 DNP
74 80 Ching Lung Lo 2011 0.00 DNP
75 80 Matt Branham 2013 0.00 DNP
76 80 Jhonny Nunez 2011 0.00 DNP
77 80 Darin Downs 2010 0.00 DNP
78 80 Chris Seddon 2009 0.00 DNP
79 80 Camilo Vazquez 2009 0.00 DNP
80 80 Daniel Haigwood 2009 0.00 DNP
81 80 Jarod Plummer 2009 0.00 DNP
82 80 Phil Dumatrait 2007 15.00
83 80 Travis Banwart 2011 0.00 DNP
84 80 Brandon Kintzler 2010 7.36
85 80 Mark Serrano 2011 0.00 DNP
86 80 Josh Romanski 2012 0.00 DNP
87 80 Brad Peacock 2013 5.51
88 80 Juan Zapata 2010 0.00 DNP
89 80 Sean Black 2013 0.00 DNP
90 80 Ryan Demmin 2013 0.00 DNP
91 80 Derek Hankins 2009 0.00 DNP
92 79 Travis Blackley 2008 0.00 DNP
93 79 Adam Bostick 2008 0.00 DNP
94 79 Ramon Garcia 2010 0.00 DNP
95 79 Brandon Mann 2009 0.00 DNP
96 79 Pete Ruiz 2013 0.00 DNP
97 79 Oliver Drake 2012 0.00 DNP
98 79 Matthew Long 2009 0.00 DNP
99 79 Yohan Pino 2009 0.00 DNP
100 79 Nick Pereira 2008 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2013 The last remnant of the regrettable 2008 trade that sent Johan Santana to the Mets, Guerra's first four years in the Twins system were rough enough that some in his position would have retired by now; his excellent stuff didn't translate into missed bats, which meant an ERA consistently above 5.00. The team moved him to the bullpen midway through 2011 and it's been a different story. In 2012, Guerra finally resembled a pitcher who might make a contribution someday, pitching exclusively out of the bullpen and striking out 71 in 70 innings between Double-A and Triple-A with just 22 walks and seven homers allowed. Now 24 and out of options, Guerra will have every opportunity to capture a bullpen spot in 2013.
2012 The last hope for the Twins to salvage something of value from the Johan Santana trade, Guerra was once viewed as a potential number-two starter, and while he was knocked around particularly hard as he climbed up the system, a mid-2011 move to the bullpen appears to have taken. Strafed for a 9.00 ERA and 1.9 homers per nine in 43 innings as a starter, Guerra cut that to a 2.76 ERA and 0.3 homers per nine in 52 innings out of the bullpen. The move restored a bit of velocity to his low-90s fastball, which paired with a very good changeup to raise his strikeout rate as well. Still the youngest pitcher on the Twins' 40-man roster at this writing, he may well see time in the majors in 2012 if he can continue that effectiveness, and while he doesn't look like a late-game reliever, he's not a total write-off.
2011 It is axiomatic that you can't trade a star player and get anything like an equal return; the Santana trade is a textbook case, though there are many others. Guerra is the only one of the four prospects acquired from the Mets in the 2008 Johan Santana trade still with the Twins. Although the other three played their way out of the organization, Guerra's failure has been particularly galling because the Twins viewed him as a potential number-two starter. Instead, he has struggled mightily as he's risen through the farm system, and his stuff has deteriorated; he rarely hits 94 mph with his fastball anymore, and his curveball has lost its bite.
2010 One of the key components of the Johan Santana deal, Guerra was the top pitcher on the international market in 2005, but the stuff he showed back in the day now rarely manifests. He's baffling to scouts, because about once a month he'll be utterly dominant, with a fastball than gets up to 95 mph and a excellent changeup for his age, but otherwise his velocity tends to sit around average, while his breaking ball is often flat. The good news is that he doesn't turn 21 until mid-April, and at least he occasionally shows signs of greatness, so there's some slender cause for optimism still here, unlike the other components received in the deal (Carlos Gomez, Kevin Mulvey, and Philip Humber).
2009 Part of the Santana payout from the Mets, Guerra is impossibly young and not getting any older, which is not to say that this is "The Curious Case of Benjamin Pitcher," but rather that Guerra is not improving, but going backwards. His fastball used to top out in the mid-90s, but he's lucky to reach 90 now. About the only aspect of his prospectdom that isn't in question: he's still quite tall.
2008 Guerra is kind of the pitching version of Mets' outfield prospect Fernando Martinez; he's so young that simply being able to perform admirably at an advanced level is a tremendous accomplishment. If you really want to play the "what have you done for me lately" game, however, he falls a bit flat. Yes, he's huge and still a teenager. Yes, he throws pretty hard-at times. Yes, he shows the signs of a solid breaking ball. Yes, his changeup could become a plus pitch. Yes, there are very few pitchers with Guerra's kind of promise. Right now, however, the gap between what he is and what he could be is enormous.
2007 Deolis Guerra has yet to take a legal drink, but his changeup and 86 to 91 MPH fastball, good for his age, encouraged the Mets to push him up to the FSL for his last pair of starts.

BP Articles

Deolis Guerra is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
BP Unfiltered: Baseball Prospectus at Fox Sports: Safety in Pitching Prospects?Sam Miller2014-05-20
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Spring Training Games of March 5Jeff Moore2014-03-06
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Caribbean Series Games of February 1-2Jeff Moore2014-02-03
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: International Winter League Games of January 28Jeff Moore2014-01-29
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: International Winter League Games of January 24-26Jeff Moore2014-01-27
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: International Winter League Games of January 21Jeff Moore2014-01-22
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: International Winter League Games of January 17-20Jeff Moore2014-01-21
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: International Winter League Games of January 16Jeff Moore2014-01-17
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: International Winter League Games of December 26Jeff Moore2013-12-27
Baseball ProGUESTus: What Happened to the Twins?Elliot Mann2013-12-10
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Dumping Targets, a Look BackMike Gianella2013-05-13
Baseball ProGUESTus: Lose-Lose Situation: Revisiting the Johan Santana TradeAaron Gleeman2012-02-07
Future Shock: Friday Fun: Minor League Update for July 29... 2006?Kevin Goldstein2011-07-29
Future Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of June 1Kevin Goldstein2011-06-02
Transaction Analysis: Junior Circuit JumbleChristina Kahrl2011-03-18
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Trevor May's Stock is RisingKevin Goldstein2010-08-30
This article requires BP Premium accessYou Could Look It Up: The Futility of SellingSteven Goldman2010-07-30
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Expanding and ContractingChristina Kahrl2010-03-15
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Fill'er Up!Christina Kahrl2009-11-23
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Venezuelan Winter League PreviewKevin Goldstein2009-10-09
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: July 24Kevin Goldstein2009-07-24
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: AL Central NotebookKevin Goldstein2009-04-30
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Top 100 Update, The Back 50Kevin Goldstein2008-06-19
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: AL Central NotebookKevin Goldstein2008-04-23
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday Ten PackKevin Goldstein2008-04-07
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: State of the Systems: AL CentralKevin Goldstein2008-03-19
This article requires BP Premium accessYou Could Look It Up: Topping the Twins?Steven Goldman2008-02-11
Every Given Sunday: Gearing Up For Pitchers and CatchersJohn Perrotto2008-02-03
Top 100 Prospects: The Best of the BestKevin Goldstein2008-01-31
Future Shock: The New TwinsKevin Goldstein2008-01-30
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: The TradeJoe Sheehan2008-01-30
Transaction Analysis Special: Anticipating SantanaChristina Kahrl2008-01-30
This article requires BP Premium accessEvery Given Sunday: Time FliesJohn Perrotto2008-01-13
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: State of the Systems, NL EastKevin Goldstein2007-05-09
This article requires BP Premium accessLies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes On Right-handed Pitching ProspectsNate Silver2007-04-20
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: High-A PreviewKevin Goldstein2007-04-08
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: State of the Systems, NL EastKevin Goldstein2007-03-22


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2012-01-20 14:00:00 (link to chat)Remember when Deolis Guerra was the jewel of the Santana trade? Will there come a day when Twins fans see him on the mound and feel pretty good about that deal?
(cooldude from Mpls)
No, that day will not come. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-09-29 13:00:00 (link to chat)Any thoughts on Johan Santana? I find the thought of his career prospects at this point very depressing.
(Will from Mactaquac)
So do I. The declining velocity and strikeout rate didn't bode well even before we knew about the injury. I'm not sure whether identifying a possible cause for that performance improves his outlook at all, considering the injury, but either way, things don't look great, and that's a shame.

I'm tempted to applaud Brian Cashman for holding onto his prospects and signing Sabathia instead, but then again, the Mets got Santana for Carlos Gomez, Phil Humber, and Kevin Mulvey (okay, and Deolis Guerra). The money hurts more. (Ben Lindbergh)
2009-09-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)For overall career value, this point on, who would you rather have Edinson Volquez or a pitching prospect ranked around 80th on Goldstein's top 100 list next year? Neither will likely pitch next year, both have some risk of development, both have some upside. I guess the question boils down to how much you believe that Edinson can regain his status from the injury. I am in a strat league, I could either keep Volquez or cut him and draft someone in the 80th range on Goldstein's next list.
(LindInMoskva from DC)
Volquez will miss 2010, but most pitchers come back from TJ to previous level. That's a major league pitcher with some upside. He'll be 28. Looking back to Goldstein's 2008 list (not 2009), guys at that level are Deolis Guerra, Radhames Liz, Max Scherzer, Jair Jurrjens, Aaron Poreda, and Greg Reynolds. Even with a year of development, we're looking at two guys who have established themselves at the MLB level, plus Poreda who's an upside guy. I'd probably take Poreda and Jurrjens over Volquez right now, Scherzer's a toss up, but then you have to figure out the "bust risk." Which of those guys would I have picked LAST year and am I confident that I can pick correctly? Kevin's an expert and had Poreda under Liz ... I think that bust risk is huge, so I'd almost always go with the guy I know can pitch. (Will Carroll)
2008-07-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Kevin, could you tell me what's wrong with Deolis Guerra?
(Izzy from DC)
Just has never thrown as hard as advertised. Changeup is very good, I find it hard to project him as more than a back-end rotation guy at this point. Unimpressed. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-06-04 16:00:00 (link to chat)Like Triunfel, Deolis Guerra would also be a guy eligible for this draft. Where would you put him? Are you a believer?
(Sacha from St. Paul)
Late first -- like him, don't love him. Wake me up when he throws as hard as was initially advertised. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-05-05 12:30:00 (link to chat)Did the Mets make a mistake in trading Deolis Guerra in the Santana deal and not Pelfrey (whom I'm sure the Twins would've taken instead)?
(Jon from NY)
No, I don't think that's fair. We have to look at this trade from a winter perspective, when the door on Pelfrey was really starting to close. Guerra has some fabulous potential, and given his youth, his projection is better than Pelrey's. That said, could you have convinced the Mets for Pelfrey over Mulvey? Without an understanding of the negotiation it's impossible to guess, and I'd also bet the Twins wanted a surer bet like Mulvey rather than three wild cards in Gomez, Guerra and Pelfrey. (Bryan Smith)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2014, Deolis Guerra threw 4 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system in 2007, including pitches thrown in . In 2007, he relied primarily on his Cutter (90mph), Slider (79mph) and Fourseam Fastball (98mph).