Biographical

Portrait of Chris Heisey

Chris Heisey LFReds

Reds Player Cards | Reds Team Audit | Reds Depth Chart

2014 Rest-of-Season Projections (seasonal age 29)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
1 .241 0 0 0 0 .254 0.0
Birth Date12-14-1984
Height6' 1"
Weight210 lbs
Age29 years, 10 months, 10 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
1.42010
1.72011
0.92012
0.42013
0.82014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2010 CIN 25 97 226 201 33 51 10 1 8 87 16 57 6 2 1 21 1 2 .254 .324 .433 .278 12.8 0.4 1.4
2011 CIN 26 120 308 279 44 71 9 1 18 136 19 78 5 4 1 50 6 1 .254 .309 .487 .293 15.3 0.5 1.7
2012 CIN 27 120 375 347 44 92 16 5 7 139 18 81 7 0 3 31 6 3 .265 .315 .401 .253 5.8 2.6 0.9
2013 CIN 28 87 244 224 29 53 11 1 9 93 9 51 5 2 4 23 3 0 .237 .279 .415 .245 0.7 2.6 0.4
2014 CIN 29 119 299 275 34 61 15 2 8 104 15 64 2 2 5 22 9 2 .222 .265 .378 .247 2.7 4.3 0.8
Career5431452132618432861105055977331251014147258.247.299.422.26337.310.45.1

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2006 BIL Rk 70 285 .286 .277 .363 .415 .277 .298 107 6.8 7.2 -1.3 4.8 3.5 14.5 1.9 14.5 1.9
2007 DYT A 104 414 .283 .258 .330 .373 .263 .316 97 10 12.1 -2.6 4.1 4.9 27.0 3.1 27.0 3.1
2007 SAR A+ 12 49 .311 .258 .327 .379 .253 .378 101 2.9 1.5 -0.4 -0.2 0.8 4.2 0.4 4.2 0.4
2008 SAR A+ 117 515 .296 .254 .326 .375 .251 .321 100 20 15.1 -3.5 14.7 7.3 40.9 5.5 40.9 5.5
2008 CHT AA 19 82 .255 .266 .353 .417 .262 .371 111 -0.4 2.4 0.2 0.1 1.3 2.9 0.3 2.9 0.3
2009 CAR AA 71 314 .368 .257 .332 .381 .268 .358 94 35.3 8.8 0.6 -2.7 4.3 51.4 5.1 51.4 5.1
2009 LOU AAA 63 271 .261 .264 .327 .402 .246 .303 113 0.4 8.5 -0.9 0.1 0.1 9.8 1.0 9.8 1.0
2010 CIN MLB 97 226 .278 .256 .325 .401 .268 .312 97 4.2 6.2 -1 0.4 2.2 12.8 1.4 12.8 1.4
2010 LOU AAA 20 89 .247 .254 .326 .409 .247 .283 99 -1.3 2.7 -0.3 -1.3 0.1 2.8 0.1 2.8 0.1
2011 CIN MLB 120 308 .293 .258 .324 .405 .266 .283 102 9.9 8.3 -1.3 0.5 0.5 15.3 1.7 15.3 1.7
2011 LOU AAA 4 13 .135 .274 .318 .416 .244 .000 104 -1.9 0.4 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 -1.5 -0.2 -1.5 -0.2
2012 CIN MLB 120 375 .253 .258 .317 .406 .260 .328 100 -2.5 10.3 -1.1 2.6 -1.5 5.8 0.9 5.8 0.9
2013 CIN MLB 87 244 .245 .252 .315 .384 .256 .265 102 -3.5 6.4 -1.5 2.6 -0.9 0.7 0.4 0.7 0.4
2013 PEN AA 1 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 LOU AAA 6 22 .172 .263 .325 .391 .251 .267 111 -2.1 0.6 -0.2 0.2 0.1 -1.9 -0.2 -1.9 -0.2
2014 CIN MLB 119 299 .247 .249 .310 .381 .259 .259 98 -3.7 7.7 -1.3 4.3 1.0 2.7 0.8 2.7 0.8

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2006 BIL Rk 285 46 70 10 0 6 37 28 33 11 5 .286 .352 .400 .114 .286 14.5 4.8 1.9
2007 SAR A+ 49 6 15 1 0 1 5 4 6 3 1 .349 .396 .442 .093 .311 4.2 -0.2 0.4
2007 DYT A 414 60 108 24 2 9 46 25 57 19 5 .289 .345 .436 .147 .283 27.0 4.1 3.1
2008 SAR A+ 515 77 125 31 7 7 51 57 69 27 2 .287 .377 .438 .151 .296 40.9 14.7 5.5
2008 CHT AA 82 11 25 6 1 2 10 3 15 5 0 .316 .341 .494 .177 .255 2.9 0.1 0.3
2009 CAR AA 314 54 94 18 2 13 40 34 34 13 1 .347 .426 .572 .225 .368 51.4 -2.7 5.1
2009 LOU AAA 271 37 68 17 1 9 37 14 43 8 2 .278 .327 .465 .188 .261 9.8 0.1 1.0
2010 LOU AAA 89 6 19 3 0 4 13 7 23 2 0 .241 .307 .430 .190 .247 2.8 -1.3 0.1
2010 CIN MLB 226 33 51 10 1 8 21 16 57 1 2 .254 .324 .433 .179 .278 12.8 0.4 1.4
2011 CIN MLB 308 44 71 9 1 18 50 19 78 6 1 .254 .309 .487 .233 .293 15.3 0.5 1.7
2011 LOU AAA 13 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 5 0 0 .083 .077 .333 .250 .135 -1.5 -0.1 -0.2
2012 CIN MLB 375 44 92 16 5 7 31 18 81 6 3 .265 .315 .401 .135 .253 5.8 2.6 0.9
2013 LOU AAA 22 1 4 1 0 0 1 1 6 0 0 .200 .227 .250 .050 .172 -1.9 0.2 -0.2
2013 PEN AA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 CIN MLB 244 29 53 11 1 9 23 9 51 3 0 .237 .279 .415 .179 .245 0.7 2.6 0.4
2014 CIN MLB 299 34 61 15 2 8 22 15 64 9 2 .222 .265 .378 .156 .247 2.7 4.3 0.8

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2010 854 0.5117 0.4947 0.7441 0.6751 0.3046 0.7932 0.6299 0.2536
2011 1133 0.5154 0.5172 0.7150 0.7072 0.3151 0.8039 0.5029 0.2833
2012 1372 0.5306 0.5131 0.7869 0.7005 0.3012 0.8529 0.6134 0.2088
2013 843 0.5077 0.5416 0.7588 0.7220 0.3542 0.8447 0.5782 0.2390
2014 1072 0.4991 0.5406 0.7530 0.7327 0.3482 0.8342 0.5829 0.2453
Career52740.51420.52110.75310.70780.32280.82760.58050.2443

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2013-09-02 2013-09-03 DTD 1 1 Left Thigh Strain Hamstring - -
2013-07-10 2013-07-11 DTD 1 1 Left Elbow Contusion HBP - -
2013-04-28 2013-06-25 15-DL 58 52 Left Thigh Strain Hamstring - -
2012-06-15 2012-06-17 DTD 2 2 Left Groin Strain - -
2011-08-06 2011-09-01 15-DL 26 24 Left Abdomen Strain Oblique -
2011-08-03 2011-08-05 DTD 2 1 Left Abdomen Strain Oblique - -
2011-07-25 2011-07-26 DTD 1 1 Left Shoulder Contusion Crashed Into Wall - -
2010-09-13 2010-09-15 DTD 2 2 Arm Soreness -
2007-08-02 2007-09-07 Minors 36 0 Left Thumb Fracture -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2015 CIN $
2014 CIN $1,760,000
2013 CIN $1,325,000
2012 CIN $495,000
2011 CIN $419,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
3 yrPrevious$2,239,000
2011Current$1,760,000
4 yrPvs + Cur$3,999,000
4 yrTotal$3,999,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
3 y 157 dAdam Karon1 year/$1.76M (2014)

Details
  • 1 year/$1.76M (2014). Re-signed by Cincinnati 1/16/14 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$1.325M (2013). Re-signed by Cincinnati 2/1/13 (avoided arbitration, $1.65M-$1.05M). Performance bonus: $30,000 for 400 plate appearances.
  • 1 year/$0.495M (2012). Re-signed by Cincinnati 2/12.
  • 1 year/$0.419M (2011). Re-signed by Cincinnati 3/11.
  • 1 year (2010). Contract purchased by Cincinnati 11/20/09. Re-signed by Cincinnati 3/10.
  • Drafted by Cincinnati 2006 (17-504) (Messiah College, Pa.).

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 460 61 117 21 2 18 62 30 103 7 2 .284 .342 .481 .296 26.0 LF 4, CF -1 3.1
80o 438 56 107 19 2 17 57 27 101 7 2 .270 .326 .456 .283 19.0 LF 3, CF -1 2.3
70o 423 52 99 17 2 16 53 25 99 6 2 .260 .314 .439 .273 14.2 LF 3, CF -1 1.8
60o 409 49 93 16 2 15 50 24 97 6 2 .251 .304 .424 .264 10.5 LF 3, CF -1 1.4
50o 397 46 88 15 2 14 47 22 96 6 2 .243 .295 .410 .256 7.1 LF 3, CF -1 1.0
40o 385 43 82 14 2 13 45 21 94 5 2 .235 .286 .396 .248 4.0 LF 3, CF -1 0.7
30o 371 41 77 13 2 12 42 20 92 5 2 .226 .276 .381 .240 0.8 LF 3, CF -1 0.3
20o 356 37 70 12 1 11 39 18 90 4 1 .216 .265 .364 .230 -2.6 LF 3, CF -1 -0.1
10o 334 33 62 11 1 10 34 16 86 4 1 .202 .249 .341 .216 -6.9 LF 3, CF -1 -0.6
Weighted Mean40347901621448239762.246.299.416.2608.6LF 3, CF -11.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
4% 46% 1% 10% 98%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
201530264315610193116623.230.289.388.2490.63.4-0.7-0.58.2-3.61.9
2016312933561111103618713.232.293.398.2520.63.7-0.8-0.67.6-2.52.1
20173225029509182915622.223.284.377.2450.30.9-0.7-0.55.5-3.31.8
20183325029509182914592.222.278.379.2400.2-0.1-0.7-0.65.8-4.61.8
20193425027468172517592.204.273.336.230-0.0-2.0-0.7-0.73.6-4.21.8
20203525028499172715621.214.273.355.2320.0-1.7-0.7-0.72.9-3.21.8
20213625028499172715631.216.276.360.2340.0-1.6-0.7-0.82.4-2.41.8
20223725028499172714620.216.273.358.2310.0-1.7-0.6-0.81.6-1.91.8
20233825027488172614620.209.264.341.223-0.0-2.1-0.6-0.91.3-1.91.8

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
35.841.133.430.83.36.2144.4

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 80)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 88 Cliff Floyd 2002 .317
2 87 Ron Gant 1994 .000 DNP
3 86 Shane Mack 1993 .263
4 85 Jimmie Hall 1967 .275
5 85 Wes Covington 1961 .278
6 85 Cleon Jones 1972 .250
7 84 Kevin McReynolds 1989 .291
8 84 Del Ennis 1954 .271
9 84 Moises Alou 1996 .267
10 83 Johnny Briggs 1973 .294
11 83 George Bell 1989 .290
12 83 Hank Bauer 1952 .305
13 83 Leon Wagner 1963 .307
14 82 Tom Tresh 1968 .248
15 82 Phil Bradley 1988 .265
16 82 Gary Ward 1983 .268
17 82 Bob Watson 1975 .323
18 82 Willie Horton 1972 .256
19 82 Ben Francisco 2011 .270
20 81 Franklin Gutierrez 2012 .273
21 81 Steve Henderson 1982 .240
22 81 Rondell White 2001 .301
23 81 Shawn Green 2002 .328
24 81 Carl Crawford 2011 .243
25 80 Greg Vaughn 1995 .251
26 80 Gary Roenicke 1984 .271
27 80 Al Martin 1997 .275
28 80 Ivan Calderon 1991 .318
29 80 Michael Cuddyer 2008 .257
30 80 Jeff Burroughs 1980 .285
31 79 Corey Hart 2011 .300
32 79 Rusty Greer 1998 .289
33 79 Jose Cruz Jr. 2003 .280
34 79 Rick Reichardt 1972 .266
35 79 Xavier Nady 2008 .289
36 79 George Hendrick 1979 .290
37 79 Gary Matthews 1980 .271
38 79 Kevin Reimer 1993 .247
39 79 Fred Lewis 2010 .254
40 79 Raul Mondesi 2000 .280
41 79 Dusty Rhodes 1956 .240
42 79 Kal Daniels 1993 .000 DNP
43 79 Johnny Callison 1968 .289
44 79 Lonnie Smith 1985 .256
45 79 Roy Sievers 1956 .289
46 78 Larry Walker 1996 .249
47 78 Jose Bautista 2010 .321
48 78 Benny Agbayani 2001 .262
49 78 Angel Pagan 2011 .263
50 78 Dusty Baker 1978 .266
51 78 Chris Duncan 2010 .000 DNP
52 78 Ellis Burks 1994 .312
53 78 Mark Teahen 2011 .220
54 78 Felipe Alou 1964 .261
55 78 David Murphy 2011 .250
56 78 Bob Nieman 1956 .343
57 78 Carlos Lee 2005 .284
58 78 Larry Bigbie 2007 .000 DNP
59 78 Chili Davis 1989 .280
60 78 Tommy Davis 1968 .256
61 78 Roberto Clemente 1964 .321
62 78 John Kruk 1990 .297
63 78 Aaron Rowand 2007 .292
64 78 Alex Rios 2010 .261
65 78 Bob Skinner 1961 .261
66 78 Pete Ward 1967 .288
67 77 Willie Crawford 1976 .299
68 77 Gene Woodling 1952 .342
69 77 Rocco Baldelli 2011 .000 DNP
70 77 Bob Allison 1964 .338
71 77 Jim Edmonds 1999 .271
72 77 Jeff Conine 1995 .300
73 77 Bobby Thomson 1953 .283
74 77 Bubba Trammell 2001 .273
75 77 Carmelo Martinez 1990 .276
76 77 Bill Skowron 1960 .313
77 77 Leon Roberts 1980 .252
78 77 Minnie Minoso 1955 .286
79 77 Kevin Mench 2007 .262
80 77 Ty Wigginton 2007 .269
81 77 Jeff Francoeur 2013 .191
82 77 Geoff Jenkins 2004 .275
83 77 Gerald Williams 1996 .247
84 77 Chris Young 2013 .247
85 77 Jose Guillen 2005 .298
86 76 Milton Bradley 2007 .332
87 76 Tony Oliva 1968 .325
88 76 Richard Hidalgo 2004 .247
89 76 Glenn Davis 1990 .312
90 76 Otto Velez 1980 .296
91 76 Andre Dawson 1984 .263
92 76 Jeffrey Leonard 1985 .236
93 76 Eric Byrnes 2005 .245
94 76 Kirk Gibson 1986 .316
95 76 Chet Lemon 1984 .305
96 76 J.D. Drew 2005 .330
97 76 Nick Hundley 2013 .251
98 76 Larry Hisle 1976 .281
99 76 Don Lenhardt 1952 .269
100 76 Billy Williams 1967 .308

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .250 .304 .465 .269
11 vs R (Multi) .250 .296 .401 .243
18 Split (Multi) -.000 -.009 -.064 -.025
19 LgAvg (Multi) -.013 -.023 -.037 -.020
30 vs L (2013) .259 .316 .494 .283
31 vs R (2013) .223 .255 .367 .211
38 Split (2013) -.036 -.061 -.127 -.072
39 LgAvg (2013) -.011 -.021 -.036 -.019

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Heisey's power disappeared last year, his ISO dropping nearly 100 points from a 2011 season that defied his minor-league track record. He hit more grounders last year, but even the balls he hit in the air didn't leave the yard as often as they had in the past. Heisey did most of his damage in July and August, contributing little outside of those two months. He has atrocious plate discipline but can play all three outfield positions and is an adequate defender, which makes him a capable—if limited—role player.
2012 If anyone is the perfect Red, it might be Heisey. In essentially one season's worth of big-league stats (534 PAs), Heisey has hit 26 homers while cranking out a .254/.316/.465 line. That's swell, and he's certainly capable of a 30-homer season as an everyday player. But if you think he's really about to blow up, keep in mind that he's already 27 years old. He isn't building up to anything. This is exactly how good he is and exactly as good as he's going to be. He could pick up some ground by hitting lefties better than he has, but he's essentially another athletic, good-glove regular who bats righty, except that he's the one playing an outfield corner. If you've got genuinely great players at up-the-middle positions, that isn't a problem, but the Reds don't have a Morgan at second, Griffey in center, or Larkin at short; instead, they have guys who hit like Heisey, or a little worse.
2011 Heisey is essentially what teams are looking for in a fourth outfielder: he’s capable of playing adequate defense in all three pastures, with plus potential in the corners, and his bat isn’t bad enough to qualify as a serious handicap, especially if he's started selectively as the short half of a platoon—the reverse split he showed last season was anomalous and is unlikely to reappear. In spring training of 2009, Heisey narrowed his stance and shortened his stride to improve his timing, and briefly upped his Double-A power output to exciting levels soon after, but his ISOs have subsequently settled back into their usual, unremarkable range. He won’t be a star, but he should merit a major-league roster spot for the next several years, more than most 17th-rounders can say.
2010 A 17th-round pick out of Messiah College in 2006, Heisey hardly had 'prospect' written all over him as he entered pro ball, but a big age-24 season has significantly raised his profile. After a brief taste of Double-A in 2008, Heisey crushed there last year, earning a promotion to Triple-A, where he cooled off considerably, but not so much that he looked overmatched. A high-percentage basestealer (86 bags at 84 percent in three and a half minor-league seasons) with some pop, a solid plate approach (1.6 K/BB career with a strikeout every 7.5 plate appearances), and a hard-nosed approach to the game, Heisey seems likely to grind out a major-league career as a fourth outfielder or second-division starter.

BP Articles

Chris Heisey is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Sept. 8, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-09-08
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessInterleague Report: Week 15Jeff Quinton2014-07-07
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2013-05-29 18:30:00 (link to chat)In an NL-only deep Ultra dynasty league, I was recently offered Cliff Lee for Michael Wacha, Luis Valbuena, Daniel Hudson, Jameson Taillon and Chris Heisey. I thought I was being asked tp give up too much, and asked for more in return. Lee's owner then turned around and traded Lee for Randall Delgado, Dave Sappelt, Tyler Cloyd, Francisco Peguero and Khris Davis. This deal struck me as either ludicrous or retaliatory: He gave up up top starter (Lee has had four excellent starts since then) for three fifth outfielders and two fifth starters. Am I wrong to think these two offers are not on the same planet?
(gerrybraun from san diego)
Hi Gerry.

Without knowing the salaries/contracts of the players involved, I'd agree that the two offers don't compare. Taillon and Wacha are both potentially #2 starters for your future team and Hudson is a good bounce back candidate assuming health. Even if I'm being generous, I don't see how Delgado and Cloyd are going to be better than Taillon and Wacha, and the hitters really seem like bench guys who maybe start at some point if they get really, really lucky. My guess is that the deal was ludicrous rather than retaliatory, but you have every right to be annoyed at your league mate. (Mike Gianella)
2012-02-02 15:00:00 (link to chat)Backups don't seem to get any love. Who are the best OF and IF backups in MLB? I'm like TEX's David Murphy for the OF, and NYY's E. Nunez for the IF. Thanks.
(Kristen W. from Canada)
I keep waiting for the Reds to give Chris Heisey the everyday LF job and just leave him alone. He's a mini Mike Morse type in my mind; I hope he gets 500 AB's this year although we'll see what effect the signing of Ryan Ludwick has on his PT. As for infielders, I like Nunez (see comments earlier in this chat), but many IF's are glove-first guys so it's harder to get excited about the backups. Heck, I was into Brad Emaus and Josh Rodriguez last year, and that didn't turn out very well! (Cory Schwartz)
2011-05-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Steve What kind of playing time and production do you anticipate for Fred Lewis going forward? Thanks
(Ed from Cranford, NJ)
With Jonny Gomes a-slumpin' and Dusty Baker apparently uninterested in giving Chris Heisey any more playing time, perhaps he can work himself into the left field picture with some hot hitting. I'm afraid that if he doesn't hit right away, he'll be just one more guy in a big outfield mix.

I have some openings in my queue for some new questions and questioners, as things are unusually quiet for a Steve chat. I hope you haven't lost that lovin' feeling. For me, I mean. If you're about to dump your significant other, I guess that's okay. But I feel for you. I really do. (Steven Goldman)


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