Biographical

Portrait of Greg Smith

Greg Smith PPhillies

Phillies Player Cards | Phillies Team Audit | Phillies Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 32)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
111.7 4.43 1.26 59 6 7 0 0.5
Birth Date12-22-1983
Height6' 1"
Weight190 lbs
Age32 years, 7 months, 6 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
2012
2013
2014
2015
0.52016
+proj
DRA-Based WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA. (For previous card version with FAIR_RA, click here.)
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA WARP
2008 OAK MLB 32 32 190.3 169 87 111 21 .260 99 8.0 4.1 1.0 5.2 36% .256 .261 1.35 4.85 4.16 125 5.30 0.5
2010 COL MLB 8 8 39.0 49 24 31 8 .265 101 11.3 5.5 1.8 7.2 41% .347 .335 1.87 6.11 6.23 115 5.82 -0.2
CareerMLB4040229.321811114229.2611008.64.41.15.637%.272.2751.435.064.511235.390.2

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA
2005 MSO Rk 16 14 82.3 69 18 100 8 .268 51 7.5 2.0 0.9 10.9 54% .313 .246 1.06 3.70 4.16
2006 LNC A+ 13 13 88.0 57 31 71 3 .292 57 5.8 3.2 0.3 7.3 54% .333 .196 1.00 3.78 1.64
2006 TEN AA 11 11 60.0 65 23 38 4 .258 76 9.8 3.5 0.6 5.7 30% .320 .252 1.47 3.92 3.90
2007 MOB AA 12 12 69.7 64 14 62 7 .268 96 8.3 1.8 0.9 8.0 44% .295 .247 1.12 3.61 3.36
2007 TUC AAA 10 10 52.3 61 18 34 4 .260 115 10.5 3.1 0.7 5.9 41% .339 .267 1.51 4.26 3.79
2007 SUR Wnt 6 6 20.7 19 8 17 1 .000 8.3 3.5 0.4 7.4 0% .295 .000 1.30 3.68 2.61
2008 OAK MLB 32 32 190.3 169 87 111 21 .260 99 8.0 4.1 1.0 5.2 36% .256 .261 1.35 4.85 4.16
2008 SAC AAA 1 1 6.0 6 1 4 0 .286 99 9.0 1.5 0.0 6.0 30% .300 .249 1.17 2.66 3.00
2009 MOD A+ 2 2 11.7 11 4 7 1 .253 96 8.5 3.1 0.8 5.4 51% .278 .254 1.28 4.71 3.85
2009 TUL AA 2 2 8.0 12 1 5 3 .243 115 13.5 1.1 3.4 5.6 31% .346 .362 1.62 7.26 7.88
2009 CSP AAA 7 7 29.7 34 11 15 5 .272 109 10.3 3.3 1.5 4.5 42% .299 .294 1.52 5.85 7.27
2010 COL MLB 8 8 39.0 49 24 31 8 .265 101 11.3 5.5 1.8 7.2 41% .347 .335 1.87 6.11 6.23
2010 CSP AAA 15 15 75.0 88 30 49 14 .268 112 10.6 3.6 1.7 5.9 41% .305 .271 1.57 5.94 6.12
2011 PAW AAA 4 4 24.0 19 7 15 2 .250 96 7.1 2.6 0.8 5.6 28% .236 .211 1.08 4.07 3.75
2011 SWB AAA 13 10 57.7 68 27 36 9 .258 86 10.6 4.2 1.4 5.6 39% .324 .293 1.65 5.47 4.84
2011 AGU Wnt 5 5 23.0 19 2 13 2 .000 7.4 0.8 0.8 5.1 0% .239 .000 0.91 3.29 2.35
2012 ARK AA 6 6 35.0 44 7 23 5 .269 90 11.3 1.8 1.3 5.9 44% .339 .301 1.46 4.51 4.37
2012 SLC AAA 22 21 138.3 136 38 83 18 .270 103 8.8 2.5 1.2 5.4 42% .271 .252 1.26 5.05 3.97
2013 REA AA 3 3 18.0 17 4 7 2 .259 105 8.5 2.0 1.0 3.5 47% .242 .277 1.17 4.82 3.50
2013 LEH AAA 23 14 98.0 107 19 50 6 .252 101 9.8 1.7 0.6 4.6 42% .304 .257 1.29 3.65 3.31
2014 LEH AAA 27 26 157.3 176 37 92 17 .249 100 10.1 2.1 1.0 5.3 36% .305 .263 1.35 4.41 4.40
2015 GWN AAA 31 19 119.7 119 25 67 5 .252 97 8.9 1.9 0.4 5.0 44% .286 .245 1.20 3.28 2.71
2015 EST Wnt 7 7 29.7 29 5 12 5 .000 8.8 1.5 1.5 3.6 0% .245 .000 1.15 4.60 3.64

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 2927 0.4739 0.4335 0.8172 0.6337 0.2532 0.8726 0.6923 0.1828
2010 691 0.4805 0.4342 0.7267 0.5843 0.2953 0.7990 0.5943 0.2733
Career36180.47520.43360.79990.62430.26120.85850.67360.2001

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2010-08-02 2010-08-23 Minors 21 0 Left Shoulder Stiffness -
2010-05-20 2010-06-03 Minors 14 0 Left Elbow Tightness -
2009-09-01 2009-10-13 60-DL 42 31 Low Back Strain -
2009-07-27 2009-09-01 Minors 36 0 Low Back Spasms -
2009-05-25 2009-06-23 Minors 29 0 Left Shoulder Inflammation -
2009-04-10 2009-05-24 Minors 44 0 Left Shoulder Inflammation Biceps Tendinitis -
2009-03-29 2009-03-30 Camp 1 0 Left Shoulder Fatigue Dead Arm -
2008-10-24 2008-10-24 Off 0 0 Left Elbow Surgery Loose Bodies 2008-10-24

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 COL $
2013 COL $
2012 COL $
2010 COL $406,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
1 yrPrevious$406,000
1 yrTotal$406,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
1 y 34 d1 yr/$0.406M (10)

Details
  • optioned to Triple-A 5/27/10 re-signed 3/5/10, 1 year (10)
  • recalled 9/2/09 optioned to Triple-A 3/30/09 re-signed 3/4/09, 1 year (09)
  • acquired in trade from OAK 11/12/08 contract purchased 4/9/08 sent to minor-league camp 3/17/08
  • acquired in trade from AZ 12/14/07 $0.145M signing bonus LSU 05 6-171

2016 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/15/2015 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 7.7 7.4 0 22 22 130.1 114 25 68 13 .259 1.06 3.35 3.65 23.7 2.6
80o 7.1 7.4 0 21 21 123.7 115 25 65 13 .270 1.13 3.67 3.99 17.8 1.9
70o 6.7 7.4 0 21 21 119.1 115 25 62 13 .279 1.18 3.91 4.25 13.8 1.5
60o 6.3 7.4 0 20 20 115.3 116 25 60 13 .286 1.22 4.11 4.47 10.6 1.2
50o 6 7.4 0 19 19 111.8 116 25 59 13 .293 1.26 4.30 4.67 7.9 0.9
40o 5.7 7.3 0 19 19 108.3 116 25 57 13 .300 1.30 4.49 4.88 5.3 0.6
30o 5.3 7.3 0 18 18 104.6 116 25 55 13 .307 1.35 4.70 5.11 2.7 0.3
20o 5 7.3 0 17 17 100.4 116 25 53 13 .316 1.40 4.95 5.38 -0.1 -0.0
10o 4.5 7.2 0 16 16 94.7 115 25 50 13 .328 1.48 5.29 5.75 -3.4 -0.4
Weighted Mean67.301919111.5115255913.2921.254.284.668.00.9

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 7/27/2016 10:21 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 6.7 7.5 0 21 21 121.6 114 25 59 13 .253 1.14 3.77 3.92 14.4 1.6
80o 6.2 7.4 0 20 20 115.5 115 25 56 13 .264 1.21 4.09 4.26 9.4 1.0
70o 5.8 7.4 0 19 19 111.1 115 25 54 13 .273 1.26 4.31 4.5 6.1 0.7
60o 5.5 7.4 0 19 19 107.5 116 25 52 13 .280 1.31 4.51 4.71 3.4 0.4
50o 5.2 7.3 0 18 18 104.1 116 25 51 13 .287 1.35 4.70 4.91 1.0 0.1
40o 4.9 7.3 0 17 17 100.8 116 25 49 13 .293 1.40 4.88 5.11 -1.2 -0.1
30o 4.7 7.3 0 17 17 97.3 116 25 47 13 .300 1.45 5.09 5.33 -3.5 -0.4
20o 4.3 7.2 0 16 16 93.3 116 25 45 13 .309 1.51 5.33 5.58 -5.9 -0.6
10o 3.9 7.1 0 15 15 87.8 115 25 43 13 .321 1.59 5.67 5.95 -9.1 -1.0
Weighted Mean5.27.301818103.9115255113.2851.344.684.891.30.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
9% 9% 5% 16% 21%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
2017335601616929921461339.2971.314.835.359.72.14.51.3-0.1
201834340111163691532939.3011.334.815.339.82.14.51.3-0.0
201935340101059651430839.3021.334.795.319.92.14.61.2-0.0
202036340101056621328839.3021.334.825.349.92.14.51.3-0.0
2021373409954591327739.3021.344.815.339.92.24.51.2-0.0
2022383409953581227739.3021.324.835.359.82.04.61.2-0.0
2023393309952571226739.3031.344.855.379.92.14.51.2-0.1
2024403409954601327739.3031.354.865.3910.02.24.51.2-0.1
2025413409953591326739.3031.364.885.4110.02.24.41.2-0.1

Long-Term Forecast Based on RoS PECOTA (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201733790242413915034702039.2961.334.935.469.72.24.51.3-0.3
20183434099516113271039.3131.445.516.1110.72.34.71.8-0.5
202036340101056611329939.2971.315.005.549.72.14.61.4-0.2
2021373409953581327839.2981.355.175.739.92.24.61.4-0.3
2022383409951571325839.3011.385.315.8910.12.34.41.4-0.4
2023393409952561229839.2981.325.045.599.82.15.11.4-0.2

Upside By Year

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
out of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseball

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
2015out of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseball

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 76)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 94 Brian Mazone 2009 0.00 DNP
2 91 Angel Castro 2015 2.25
3 91 Adam Pettyjohn 2009 0.00 DNP
4 90 Willie Collazo 2012 0.00 DNP
5 89 Matt Zaleski 2014 0.00 DNP
6 89 Yunesky Maya 2014 0.00 DNP
7 87 Shane Loux 2012 5.33
8 87 Matt Fox 2015 0.00 DNP
9 86 Yadel Marti 2012 0.00 DNP
10 85 Chris George 2012 0.00 DNP
11 85 Chad Reineke 2014 0.00 DNP
12 83 Justin Germano 2015 0.00 DNP
13 82 Chris Gissell 2010 0.00 DNP
14 81 Devern Hansack 2010 0.00 DNP
15 81 Jarrett Grube 2014 13.50
16 80 Andy Van Hekken 2012 0.00 DNP
17 80 Roger Deago 2009 0.00 DNP
18 80 Lindsay Gulin 2009 0.00 DNP
19 80 Matt Ginter 2010 0.00 DNP
20 80 Jason Stanford 2009 0.00 DNP
21 80 Giancarlo Alvarado 2010 0.00 DNP
22 80 Will Glen 2010 0.00 DNP
23 80 Matt Wright 2014 0.00 DNP
24 79 Allen Davis 2008 0.00 DNP
25 79 J.D. Martin 2015 0.00 DNP
26 79 Virgil Vasquez 2014 0.00 DNP
27 79 Spike Lundberg 2009 0.00 DNP
28 79 Michael Tejera 2009 0.00 DNP
29 78 Jeff Harris 2007 0.00 DNP
30 78 Brian Cooper 2007 0.00 DNP
31 78 Les Walrond 2009 0.00 DNP
32 77 Zach Jackson 2015 0.00 DNP
33 77 Mike Saipe 2006 0.00 DNP
34 77 Clay Condrey 2008 3.39
35 77 Kei Igawa 2012 0.00 DNP
36 77 Pat Misch 2014 0.00 DNP
37 77 Pete Munro 2007 0.00 DNP
38 76 Justin Lehr 2010 0.00 DNP
39 76 Mike Burns 2011 0.00 DNP
40 76 Brian Burres 2013 0.00 DNP
41 76 Brian McNichol 2006 0.00 DNP
42 76 Boof Bonser 2014 0.00 DNP
43 76 Brian Sweeney 2006 3.51
44 75 Matt Palmer 2011 5.74
45 75 Doug Mathis 2015 0.00 DNP
46 75 Shawn Hill 2013 0.00 DNP
47 75 Brian Gordon 2011 5.23
48 75 Chris Sampson 2010 6.53
49 75 Michael O'Connor 2013 0.00 DNP
50 74 Jason Phillips 2006 0.00 DNP
51 74 Anthony Lerew 2015 0.00 DNP
52 74 Eric DuBose 2008 0.00 DNP
53 74 Marty McLeary 2007 9.39
54 74 Tom Cochran 2015 0.00 DNP
55 73 Sean White 2013 0.00 DNP
56 73 Francisley Bueno 2013 0.00
57 73 Dan Reichert 2009 0.00 DNP
58 73 Roberto Giron 2008 0.00 DNP
59 73 Randy Keisler 2008 0.00 DNP
60 73 Roman Colon 2012 6.75
61 73 Clay Hensley 2012 5.33
62 73 Bobby Cramer 2012 0.00 DNP
63 72 Oscar Villarreal 2014 0.00 DNP
64 72 Rick Bauer 2009 0.00 DNP
65 72 Lenny DiNardo 2012 0.00 DNP
66 72 Trey Hodges 2010 0.00 DNP
67 72 Bill Murphy 2013 0.00 DNP
68 72 Michael Nix 2015 0.00 DNP
69 72 R.A. Dickey 2007 0.00 DNP
70 72 Jose Santiago 2007 0.00 DNP
71 72 Jason Roach 2008 0.00 DNP
72 71 Chad Durbin 2010 3.67
73 71 Jason Kershner 2009 0.00 DNP
74 71 Logan Kensing 2015 5.87
75 71 Chris Jakubauskas 2011 5.72
76 71 Joe Bateman 2012 0.00 DNP
77 71 Bobby Korecky 2012 18.00
78 71 Dan Giese 2009 5.32
79 71 Zach Miner 2014 0.00 DNP
80 71 Matt Kinney 2009 0.00 DNP
81 71 Mark DiFelice 2009 3.66
82 70 D.J. Carrasco 2009 4.05
83 70 Tim Corcoran 2010 0.00 DNP
84 70 Eric Stults 2012 3.55
85 70 Chien-Ming Wang 2012 6.68
86 70 Runelvys Hernandez 2010 0.00 DNP
87 70 Jason Shiell 2009 0.00 DNP
88 70 Aaron Cook 2011 6.22
89 70 Jason Karnuth 2008 0.00 DNP
90 69 Ryan Drese 2008 0.00 DNP
91 69 Jason Grilli 2009 5.32
92 69 Scott Munter 2012 0.00 DNP
93 69 Josh Geer 2015 0.00 DNP
94 69 Tommy Hottovy 2014 0.00 DNP
95 69 Joe Martinez 2015 0.00 DNP
96 69 Fernando Cabrera 2014 0.00 DNP
97 69 Sean Henn 2013 3.38
98 69 Jason Anderson 2011 0.00 DNP
99 69 Charlie Leibrandt 1989 5.48
100 69 Gabe DeHoyos 2012 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2010 The short leg of the stool Colorado received in the Holliday heist, Smith spent the season dealing with shoulder problems and posted unimpressive numbers across three levels. The Rockies are giving him a mulligan, and expect him to compete for a big-league job this year, perhaps in the rotation. But Smith walks too many and whiffs too few to profile as much more than a situational lefty, and since the club has a vacancy there, if hes healthy he might just stick.
2009 Smith came over as an extra arm in the Haren deal, and it was a big surprise when he made the Opening Day rotation. Even more surprising was the fact that he held his own, at least on a runs-allowed level. The problem is every other aspect to his game makes this look like a fluke, as his ratios are just not conducive to this kind of success. What you are looking at is likely Smith's career year, with his trade to Colorado making that even more likely.
2008 Smith missed the first month of 2007 with some shoulder weakness, but that didn't stop him from earning a promotion to Triple-A, where he finished strong, allowing only four runs in his last four starts (23 IP). Armed with only standard lefty velocity, Smith might aspire to being the next Doug Davis, as he relies on a nifty curve and change and has a top-notch pickoff move. He was outstanding as a starter in the Arizona Fall League, but he's got the stuff to be a quality situational lefty right now. Figuring out how to employ him is Oakland's problem now, as Smith was the third southpaw swapped to the A's in the Haren deal.

BP Articles

Greg Smith is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: TankoniaR.J. Anderson2015-09-16
The BP Wayback Machine: Rebuilding the Best in Motor City, Part OneRany Jazayerli2015-08-06
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: What It Means To Have The Best Farm System In Baseball, Part ThreeSam Miller2015-01-26
This article requires BP Premium accessSkewed Left: How to Change Things When Change is HardZachary Levine2014-09-17
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Brett Anderson at AltitudeBen Lindbergh2013-12-11
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Brett Anderson at AltitudeBen Carsley2013-12-11
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Brett Anderson at AltitudeJordan Gorosh2013-12-11
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: AAR and IBAJoe Sheehan2008-09-30


BP Chats

No BP chats have mentioned this guy.

BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2016, Greg Smith threw 3,712 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2008 and 2011, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and Spring Training. In 2011, he relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (85mph) and Slider (81mph), also mixing in a Change (77mph). He also rarely threw a Curve (73mph).