Biographical

Portrait of Johnny Cueto

Johnny Cueto PReds

Reds Player Cards | Reds Team Audit | Reds Depth Chart

2014 Rest-of-Season Projections (seasonal age 28)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
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Birth Date2-15-1986
Height5' 11"
Weight215 lbs
Age28 years, 7 months, 2 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
1.62010
1.02011
2.82012
0.32013
3.12014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2008 CIN 22 31 31 174.0 174.0 0.0 9 14 0 0 14 1 769 178 101 93 29 310 68 67 14 158 4.81 4.87 4.85 14.5 1.3
2009 CIN 23 30 30 171.3 171.3 0.0 11 11 0 0 14 0 740 172 90 84 24 292 61 61 14 132 4.41 4.65 5.24 2.9 -0.0
2010 CIN 24 31 31 185.7 185.7 0.0 12 7 0 0 18 0 780 181 79 75 19 287 56 51 9 138 3.64 4.00 4.39 13.7 1.6
2011 CIN 25 24 24 156.0 156.0 0.0 9 5 0 0 18 0 631 123 51 40 8 170 47 47 10 104 2.31 3.42 4.09 9.2 1.0
2012 CIN 26 33 33 217.0 217.0 0.0 19 9 0 0 23 0 888 205 73 67 15 298 49 44 12 170 2.78 3.31 4.07 24.1 2.8
2013 CIN 27 11 11 60.7 60.7 0.0 5 2 0 0 6 0 242 46 20 19 7 74 18 17 1 51 2.82 3.78 4.46 2.5 0.3
2014 CIN 28 32 32 227.7 227.7 0.0 18 9 0 0 27 0 903 159 67 59 20 254 64 62 14 228 2.33 3.26 3.61 23.4 2.9
Career1921921192.31192.30.08357001201495310644814371221685363349749813.303.874.3490.39.8

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2005 SAR A+ 2 1 6.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 -.625 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006 DYT A 14 14 76.1 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .253 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006 SAR A+ 12 12 61.0 4.84 87 .201 .258 .334 .392 .259 .269 87 6.4 0.6 6.4 0.6
2007 SAR A+ 14 14 78.3 3.77 120 .228 .263 .335 .387 .258 .299 99 14.4 1.4 14.4 1.4
2007 CHT AA 10 10 61.0 3.34 127 .223 .259 .328 .387 .259 .307 100 14.1 1.4 13.8 1.3
2007 LOU AAA 4 4 22.0 3.48 122 .232 .255 .326 .377 .261 .323 96 4.0 0.4 3.9 0.4
2007 AGU Wnt 6 6 31.7 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .353 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2008 CIN MLB 31 31 174.0 4.85 97 .276 .260 .327 .409 .259 .298 101 16.1 1.6 14.5 1.3
2009 CIN MLB 30 30 171.3 5.24 81 .269 .257 .324 .405 .258 .291 97 2.6 0.3 2.9 -0.0
2010 CIN MLB 31 31 185.7 4.39 97 .259 .255 .317 .392 .262 .290 97 15.6 1.6 13.7 1.6
2011 CIN MLB 24 24 156.0 4.09 102 .224 .254 .316 .395 .261 .249 100 12.5 1.3 9.2 1.0
2011 LOU AAA 4 4 14.3 5.11 91 .292 .262 .327 .403 .255 .375 97 0.9 0.1 0.7 0.0
2012 CIN MLB 33 33 217.0 4.07 106 .241 .251 .313 .395 .255 .296 101 21.8 2.3 24.1 2.8
2013 CIN MLB 11 11 60.7 4.46 90 .222 .241 .302 .378 .251 .236 100 2.6 0.3 2.5 0.3
2013 DYT A 2 2 8.0 2.31 156 .174 .255 .324 .371 .256 .318 114 3.3 0.3 3.3 0.3
2014 CIN MLB 32 32 227.7 3.61 107 .224 .247 .309 .381 .259 .241 97 21.6 2.4 23.4 2.9

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2005 SAR A+ 0 1 0 2 1 6.0 5 2 6 0 0% -.625 7.5 3.0 0.0 9.0 1.17 3.00 0.0 0.0
2006 SAR A+ 7 2 0 12 12 61.0 48 23 61 6 40% .269 7.1 3.4 0.9 9.0 1.16 3.54 6.4 0.6
2006 DYT A 8 1 0 14 14 76.1 52 15 82 5 0% .253 6.1 1.8 0.6 9.7 0.88 2.60 0.0 0.0
2007 AGU Wnt 4 1 0 6 6 31.7 31 7 37 1 0% .353 8.8 2.0 0.3 10.5 1.20 2.84 0.0 0.0
2007 LOU AAA 2 1 0 4 4 22.0 22 2 21 2 34% .323 9.0 0.8 0.8 8.6 1.09 2.05 3.9 0.4
2007 SAR A+ 4 5 0 14 14 78.3 72 21 72 3 47% .299 8.3 2.4 0.3 8.3 1.19 3.33 14.4 1.4
2007 CHT AA 6 3 0 10 10 61.0 52 11 77 6 37% .307 7.7 1.6 0.9 11.4 1.03 3.10 13.8 1.3
2008 CIN MLB 9 14 0 31 31 174.0 178 68 158 29 40% .298 9.2 3.5 1.5 8.2 1.41 4.81 14.5 1.3
2009 CIN MLB 11 11 0 30 30 171.3 172 61 132 24 43% .291 9.0 3.2 1.3 6.9 1.36 4.41 2.9 -0.0
2010 CIN MLB 12 7 0 31 31 185.7 181 56 138 19 44% .290 8.8 2.7 0.9 6.7 1.28 3.64 13.7 1.6
2011 LOU AAA 0 2 0 4 4 14.3 19 6 13 1 51% .375 11.9 3.8 0.6 8.2 1.74 6.28 0.7 0.0
2011 CIN MLB 9 5 0 24 24 156.0 123 47 104 8 55% .249 7.1 2.7 0.5 6.0 1.09 2.31 9.2 1.0
2012 CIN MLB 19 9 0 33 33 217.0 205 49 170 15 50% .296 8.5 2.0 0.6 7.1 1.17 2.78 24.1 2.8
2013 DYT A 1 0 0 2 2 8.0 7 0 8 0 41% .318 7.9 0.0 0.0 9.0 0.88 1.12 3.3 0.3
2013 CIN MLB 5 2 0 11 11 60.7 46 18 51 7 53% .236 6.8 2.7 1.0 7.6 1.05 2.82 2.5 0.3
2014 CIN MLB 18 9 0 32 32 227.7 159 64 228 20 48% .241 6.3 2.5 0.8 9.0 0.98 2.33 23.4 2.9

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 2972 0.4862 0.4557 0.7788 0.6235 0.2954 0.8579 0.6208 0.2197
2009 2850 0.4867 0.4572 0.8350 0.6460 0.2782 0.8940 0.7052 0.1642
2010 3094 0.4958 0.4649 0.7990 0.6486 0.2840 0.8673 0.6456 0.2010
2011 2390 0.4707 0.4722 0.8280 0.6436 0.3194 0.9047 0.6906 0.1711
2012 3429 0.4861 0.4764 0.8156 0.6449 0.3161 0.8791 0.6930 0.1838
2013 953 0.4711 0.4863 0.7689 0.6281 0.3591 0.8475 0.6464 0.2311
2014 3424 0.5020 0.4769 0.7955 0.6341 0.3185 0.8587 0.6685 0.2039
Career191120.4880.46850.80570.63940.3050.87410.66890.1936

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-03-15 2014-03-31 Camp 16 0 Right Shoulder Soreness - -
2013-06-29 2013-09-16 60-DL 79 70 Right Shoulder Strain Latissimus Dorsi -
2013-06-01 2013-06-16 15-DL 15 14 Right Shoulder Strain Latissimus Dorsi -
2013-04-14 2013-05-20 15-DL 36 33 Right Shoulder Strain Latissimus Dorsi - -
2012-10-07 2012-10-12 DTD 5 0 Right Abdomen Strain Oblique - -
2012-07-09 2012-07-18 DTD 9 5 Right Fingers Blister - -
2011-09-15 2011-09-29 DTD 14 13 Right Shoulder Strain Latissimus Dorsi - -
2011-06-15 2011-06-22 DTD 7 5 Neck Stiffness -
2011-03-22 2011-05-08 15-DL 47 33 Right Shoulder Inflammation -
2011-03-07 2011-03-19 Camp 12 0 Right Forearm Tightness -
2010-07-23 2010-07-23 DTD 0 0 General Medical Respiratory Flu -
2010-05-22 2010-05-22 DTD 0 0 Right Fingers Blister Index Finger -
2009-09-16 2009-09-22 DTD 6 5 General Medical Respiratory Flu -
2009-08-16 2009-08-31 15-DL 15 13 Right Shoulder Inflammation -
2009-08-10 2009-08-10 DTD 0 0 Left Hip Cramp Hip Flexor -
2008-08-25 2008-09-06 DTD 12 10 Right Elbow Tendonitis Triceps Tendon -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 CIN $10,000,000
2013 CIN $7,400,000
2012 CIN $5,400,000
2011 CIN $3,400,000
2010 CIN $445,000
2009 CIN $418,000
2008 CIN $390,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
6 yrPrevious$17,453,000
2011Current$10,000,000
7 yrPvs + Cur$27,453,000
7 yrTotal$27,453,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
6 y 0 dDominic Torres4 years/$27M (2011-14)

Details
  • 4 years/$27M (2011-14). Signed extension with Cincinnati 1/26/11 (avoided arbitration). 11:$3.4M, 12:$5.4M, 13:$7.4M, 14:$10M, 15:$10M club option, $0.8M buyout.
  • 1 year/$0.445M (2010). Re-signed by Cincinnati 3/10.
  • 1 year/$0.418M (2009). Re-signed 2/27/09.
  • 1 year/$0.39M (2008). Re-signed 12/5/07.
  • Signed by Cincinnati 2004 as an amateur free agent from the Dominican Republic.

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Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .247 .309 .356 .243
11 vs R (Multi) .229 .285 .362 .224
18 Split (Multi) .018 .024 -.006 .019
19 LgAvg (Multi) .010 .024 .026 .019
30 vs L (2013) .204 .275 .286 .205
31 vs R (2013) .213 .267 .377 .229
38 Split (2013) -.009 .008 -.091 -.024
39 LgAvg (2013) .010 .022 .028 .019

BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

Johnny Cueto is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 17, 2014Chris Mosch2014-09-17
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 12, 2014Chris Mosch2014-09-12
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 11, 2014Chris Mosch2014-09-11
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Danny DuffyCraig Goldstein2014-09-03
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 2, 2014Chris Mosch2014-09-02
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 27, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-27
Daily League Strategy: Petco, it's Where Daily Leaguers GoPaul Sporer2014-08-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 22Wilson Karaman2014-08-22
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 11, 2014Chris Mosch2014-08-11
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 11, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-11
Daily League Strategy: Everyone's Favorite Candy!Paul Sporer2014-08-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 19Wilson Karaman2014-08-01
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 28, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-07-28
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 25, 2014Chris Mosch2014-07-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessMy Model Portfolio: Three-and-a-Half Months LaterBret Sayre2014-07-22
Skewed Left: What Is An All-Star Pitcher?Zachary Levine2014-07-15
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Round Up The Usual Weekend SuspectsChris Mosch2014-07-14
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Round Up The Usual Weekend SuspectsDaniel Rathman2014-07-14
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: The Tigers' Roaring ComebackChris Mosch2014-07-09
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Edwin Ends OneDaniel Rathman2014-07-03
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Edwin Ends OneChris Mosch2014-07-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 15Wilson Karaman2014-07-03
This article requires BP Premium accessMoonshot: Survival of the Fittest: PitchersRobert Arthur2014-07-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Looking at Values, Part 2: PitchersMike Gianella2014-06-30
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: The Killer CsChris Mosch2014-06-27
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Weekend Wrap-Up, 6/23Daniel Rathman2014-06-23
The Week in Quotes: June 16-22Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-06-23
The Week in Quotes: June 16-22Morris Greenberg2014-06-23
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: The Players PECOTA Has MissedBen Lindbergh2014-06-19
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Another No-NoChris Mosch2014-06-19
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Can't Retire the RoyalsDaniel Rathman2014-06-18
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Can't Retire the RoyalsChris Mosch2014-06-18
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Can't Retire the RoyalsNick Bacarella2014-06-18
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: The Royals Roll OnDaniel Rathman2014-06-17
The Week in Quotes: June 9-15Nick Bacarella2014-06-16
The Week in Quotes: June 9-15Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-06-16
The Week in Quotes: June 9-15Morris Greenberg2014-06-16
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Scherzer's First GemChris Mosch2014-06-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 12Wilson Karaman2014-06-13
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Walking the WalkDaniel Rathman2014-06-12
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Walking the WalkChris Mosch2014-06-12
BP Unfiltered: This Week in Bunting to Beat the Shift, 6/16Chris Mosch2014-06-06
BP Unfiltered: This Week in Bunting to Beat the Shift, 6/16Ben Lindbergh2014-06-06
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Soaring JaysChris Mosch2014-06-06
Daily League Strategy: Just Joshin'Paul Sporer2014-06-06
Painting the Black: How to Slow Down Dee GordonR.J. Anderson2014-06-04
The Buyer's Guide: Homer BaileyJ.P. Breen2014-06-02
BP Unfiltered: This Week's New Pitching Lines, 5/30Sam Miller2014-05-30
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Weekend Wrap-Up, 5/27Daniel Rathman2014-05-27
BP Unfiltered: This Week's New Pitching Lines, 5/23Sam Miller2014-05-23
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: A Billy Hamilton/David Ortiz RaceSam Miller2014-05-23
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week NineWilson Karaman2014-05-23
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Chris Davis Going DeepDaniel Rathman2014-05-21
Daily League Strategy: Two Stud PitchersPaul Sporer2014-05-20
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: The Rockies' Other Big BatDaniel Rathman2014-05-19
BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 451: Cueto, Greinke, and Green LightsSam Miller2014-05-16
BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 451: Cueto, Greinke, and Green LightsBen Lindbergh2014-05-16
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Cueto Fries the FriarsChris Mosch2014-05-16
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Cueto Fries the FriarsMorris Greenberg2014-05-16
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Odorizzi Blows Away the M'sChris Mosch2014-05-15
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Odorizzi Blows Away the M'sMorris Greenberg2014-05-15
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Odorizzi Blows Away the M'sNick Bacarella2014-05-15
Daily League Strategy: Paul's Picks for WednesdayPaul Sporer2014-05-14
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Tuesday's Late Lead ChangesDaniel Rathman2014-05-14
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Blue Jays BlastsDaniel Rathman2014-05-09
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Kershaw Comes BackDaniel Rathman2014-05-07
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat Scouts Are Saying: May 1, 2014Baseball Prospectus2014-05-01
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Jose Abreu's Amazing MonthDaniel Rathman2014-04-28
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Kluber Completes a GameDaniel Rathman2014-04-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Taking Stock of Your TeamIan Lefkowitz2014-04-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Taking Stock of Your TeamJared Weiss2014-04-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Taking Stock of Your TeamBen Murphy2014-04-25
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Historic TuesdayDaniel Rathman2014-04-23
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: No SaleDaniel Rathman2014-04-22
Overthinking It: Lessons We Learned YesterdayBen Lindbergh2014-04-17
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Cueto in ControlDaniel Rathman2014-04-17
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Aces of the NL CentralDaniel Rathman2014-04-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Darkhorses: ERABP Fantasy Staff2014-03-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Players to Avoid: Starting PitchersBP Fantasy Staff2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersBen Murphy2014-02-28
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersJared Weiss2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 175 Starting PitchersBret Sayre2014-02-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Three-Year Projections: Starting PitchersPaul Sporer2014-02-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Tier Rankings: Starting PitchersPaul Sporer2014-02-25
The Week in Quotes: February 17-23Morris Greenberg2014-02-24
The Week in Quotes: February 17-23Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-02-24
The Week in Quotes: February 17-23Nick Bacarella2014-02-24
The Week in Quotes: February 17-23Chris Mosch2014-02-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessMock Auction Analysis: AL- and NL-Only Mike Gianella2014-02-20
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Team Preview: Cincinnati RedsBret Sayre2014-02-03
This article requires BP Premium accessBaseball Therapy: Building a Better Starting RotationRussell A. Carleton2014-01-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Bargains and Busts: National League PitchersMike Gianella2013-12-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: AFL First Pitch Forums Draft, Part TwoPaul Sporer2013-11-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Ten Could-Be Fantasy Aces for 2014Bret Sayre2013-10-24
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: NL Wild Card Game Recap: Pirates 6, Reds 2Colin Wyers2013-10-02
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This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 29, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-29
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This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 24, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-24
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Monday in Playoff ImplicationsDaniel Rathman2013-09-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 26Paul Sporer2013-09-20
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 16, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-16
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFive to Watch: Injured NL Starting PitchersCraig Goldstein2013-09-10
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Mailbag: Filling the VoidBP Fantasy Staff2013-07-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Drawing a Line in the SandBret Sayre2013-07-23
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: One Less Marlin, and a New NationalMark Anderson2013-07-08
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Bailed Out By a Homer-iffic PerformanceDaniel Rathman2013-07-03
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This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 1, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-01
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Moving Beyond the Super TwoBret Sayre2013-06-18
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 17, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-17
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Baker's Deep-Fried SouthpawsDaniel Rathman2013-06-11
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Wilpocalypse Now?Bret Sayre2013-06-11
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Fast Starts and Slow StartsMike Gianella2013-06-10
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 6, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-06
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 1, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-01
Overthinking It: Bill James, Base Umpires, and the Sabermetric Significance of Checked SwingsBen Lindbergh2013-05-30
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This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: The Optimistic DisastrosJohn Perrotto2013-05-23
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Cy of ReliefDaniel Rathman2013-05-20
Fantasy Mailbag: Sell or Hold?BP Fantasy Staff2013-05-17
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Top 100 Prospects: The Best of the BestKevin Goldstein2008-01-31
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This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Dodging the ArbitratorChristina Kahrl2008-01-21
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Reds Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2008-01-18
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Big Moves in the NLChristina Kahrl2007-12-09
This article requires BP Premium accessEvery Given Sunday: The Arms RaceJohn Perrotto2007-12-09
This article requires BP Premium accessLies, Damned Lies: Offseason Plans, NL CentralNate Silver2007-10-12
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday Morning Ten-PackKevin Goldstein2007-08-27
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: State of the Systems, NL CentralKevin Goldstein2007-04-25
This article requires BP Premium accessLies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes On Right-handed Pitching ProspectsNate Silver2007-04-20
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: High-A PreviewKevin Goldstein2007-04-08


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-06-27 14:00:00 (link to chat)What pitchers would you be targeting as buys/sells right now?
(Shawnykid23 from CT)
The buys: Justin Verlander, Matt Cain, Doug Fister
The sells: Johnny Cueto, Scott Kazmir, Garrett Richards (Doug Thorburn)
2014-05-27 11:30:00 (link to chat)What makes Johnny Cueto's change so good? Brooks baseball is telling me there isn't much movement to it and he doesn't throw it for strikes too often. Please help me understand. Is it solely the difference in velocity?
(Ace from PA)
It's the arm speed and deception. He can throw it in any count, at any time, to any hitter. Whether it's a LHH, RHH, doesn't matter. The sheer change of speed makes it very difficult to hit. (Jordan Gorosh)
2013-08-08 17:30:00 (link to chat)Jimmy Nelson, Chris Owings, Brandon Workman, Tyler Skaggs, and Johnny Cueto just got traded for R.A. Dickey, Jonathan Papelbon, Cliff Lee, and Adam Dunn in my league. Not a fan of the veto so I wont veto this trade in my league, but just how lopsided is this for the side receiving Lee, Dickey, etc.?
(Gary from Georgia)
Hi Gary:

It depends on if your league has contracts or allows you to slot guys into rounds if you have a draft league. Cueto is a potentially strong keep assuming health and Skaggs has a nice ceiling. I've seen leagues where getting Cueto and Skaggs will net you four players, and it's not like Dickey or Dunn have been anything close to elite. It sounds like this is atypical for your league, though. The answer to these types of questions often depend more on your league culture than anything else. (Mike Gianella)
2012-07-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who do you think is quietly having an outstanding season this year? Anyone flying under the radar with great numbers or significant improvement from last year?
(Richard from Los Angeles)
Despite the All Star bid, I don't think Carlos Ruiz is being talked up as much as I would expect. Josh Reddick has been phenomenal lately. Jason Kubel is another player outperforming at least my expectations.

For pitchers, definitely Johnny Cueto. (Dan Turkenkopf)
2012-05-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Johnny Cueto: mirage or turning into an ace? At what point do we have to assume he's just an outlier than can consistently outperform his projections?
(Bubs from Baltimore)
The longer he does it, the more likely it is to be real. (Man, that was an obvious sentence.) He hasn't done it long enough for me to believe. Cueto isn't Matt Cain. For the first three seasons of his career, he was an average-BABIP guy. For the last two seasons (really just one season's worth of innings), he's been a low-BABIP guy. It's possible that he's doing something differently to depress BABIP (I'd have to investigate), but I'd bet on regression. And if/when the regression comes, he won't have the strikeout rate to sustain an elite ERA.

Come to think of it, Bubs, this question might be best answered by one of your own quotes: "Tomorrow, man. What kind of dope fiend be talking about tomorrow? Tomorrow ain't shit. Today, Johnny, today." Season three of The Wire was actually about Johnny Cueto. (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-05-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)How much longer can Johnny Cueto blow away his peripherals/projections? Is it possible that he's just an outlier?
(John from San Diego)
Lots of people want to know about Johnny Cueto, but I picked the other question to answer in depth instead of this one because it gave me an opening for a Wire quote. Let that be a lesson to future chatters. (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-05-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)I love that Season 3 was about Johnny Cueto. Well done. Cueto's minuscule ERA coincided with his new delivery, that Tiant turn he does. He's hiding the ball really well, and playing to his defense. Looks like he's having a blast every time he pitches.
(Bubs from Baltimore)
I'm more inclined to believe in a change in a player's stats when it coincides with a change in approach (especially when it's a pitcher, probably), but sometimes those things can be misleading. You know, "post hoc, ergo propter hoc" and all that. How many times have we seen a hot streak explained by a change in stance or mechanics, only to see the player turn right back into what he was before? It's certainly believable that greater deception could result in weaker contact, and I hope it's true in Cueto's case, because real changes in performance are always interesting. (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-05-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)To clarify, Cueto's GB/FB jumped significantly along with his revamped delivery: 08: 0.95 09: 1.02 10: 1.08 11: 1.78 His HR/FB also dropped, though I'm less inclined to attribute that to a change in approach. 08: 13.9% 09: 11.2% 10: 8.6% 11: 5.8%
(RMR from Chicago)
Hey, so, apparently Johnny Cueto has a low BABIP now and is doing things differently or something. I don't know if anyone mentioned that earlier. (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-03-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)How about Johnny Cueto this year? It would be nice to see him become a solid #2 type.
(cooldude from Mpls)
It would, but I'm not banking on it. He'll be overvalued this year based on his low 2011 ERA, which wasn't fully deserved. He's much more of a 4.00 ERA pitcher. (Derek Carty)
2012-02-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)PECOTA seems extremely down on Reds pitchers. 24 year old Mike Leake is projected to have a worse year than either of his previous (and only) 2. The skill and performance changes we've seen from 26 year old Johnny Cueto are projected to disappear. Same with Sam LeCure. There just seems to be a massive regression across the board. I'm wary of simply being a homer and wearing rose color glasses, but this seems "off", even accounting for reasonable levels of regression based on performance of year's past and to the mean. What am I missing?
(Rick from Chicago)
Leake is a guy whose outpitched his FIP for two straight seasons. One season he did this by having a really low BABIP, another season he did this by giving up unearned runs at twice the league average. PECOTA doesn't just look at what a guy's done, but how he's done it - some things carry with them a higher predictive value than others, and so Leake's ERAs are maybe not the best reflection of the underlying skills he has. (Colin Wyers)
2012-01-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Johnny CUeto seems to have reinvented himself as a ground-baller at the expense of his strikeout rate (and with the addition of a revamped, Tiantesque motion). What do the pitchFX data suggest about this shift?
(RMR from Chicago)
I've always liked left-handed starting pitchers like Cueto who can throw 93. What, you say? Cueto isn't a lefty? Oh.

For some reason, there is a contingent of RHP in baseball who seem like lefties to me and get filed in my head as such, no matter what the facts may be. Cueto must be one of those.

For starters, his BABIP isn't going to be .249 again. But that aside, his slider wasn't very good, and cutting back on it in favor of his sinker, which is good, seems like a plus. I haven't studied his new mechanics in any detail, so I can't comment much on that change. I don't know whether his deception improved, but it doesn't seem like it helped his command much (which was okay, so maybe that's not a problem). (Mike Fast)
2011-01-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)Need 3 keepers from the following… Carlos Ruiz $3, Nyjer Morgan $10, Johnny Cueto $12, Jorge Delarosa $9, Bud Norris $1, Jonathan Sanchez $10, Ubaldo $26. NL only, 12 teams $260 budget
(D Brown from Pittsburgh)
I say Ruiz, De La Rosa and Sanchez. Rob McQuown says Ruiz, Cueto and Sanchez. Cueto and DLR should both get good run support and have quality defenses behind them, though Colorado is obviously a potential problem. (Marc Normandin)
2010-12-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Bronson Arroyo, Johnny Cueto, Edinson Volquez, Homer Bailey, Travis Wood, Mike Leake, Matt Maloney, Sam LeCure, Aroldis Chapman. That's 9 guys for 5 rotation spots in Cincinnati. How can Jocketty best capitalize on that depth?
(RMR from Chicago)
A few of the brighter bulbs 'round these parts (where there isn't much call for cheddar, by the way)have made a few suggestions. IIRC, SG recommended they trade Volquez, while CK opted for shipping out Maloney, I think. Me, I'd find out what sort of a market there is for Mike Leake -- maybe he's already at his peak trade value. It's really, really hard to predict trades that actually get made, because you almost always look like you're way over- or under-valuing someone in retrospect. That being said, sitting on all that pitching is like sitting on a pot of gold, and Jocketty is sure to be a very popular man next week. (Ken Funck)
2010-03-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Jay, who are your pet players this year? Guys you expect to put themselves on the map or take an underrated step forward?
(slim from Fairfield Cty)
You know, for some reason the team I always come back to for questions like this is the Reds. Not that I EXPECT their young guys to take a step forward so much as that I'm interested to see if they can. To see if pitchers like Johnny Cueto, Mike Leake or Aroldis Chapman can succeed in that ballpark, under Dusty. To see if Jay Bruce finally lives up to the hype, if Chris Dickerson can hold down a regular corner spot. I don't actually root for the Reds, but I've been intrigued by their collection of talent for years. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-02-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)are you predicting any kind of breakout from johnny cueto this year?
(sawred14 from NJ)
Man, I predict a breakout from Johnny Cueto *every* year. He was well on his way last year (2.69 ERA through July 1) before getting creamed in the second half, skipping a few turns due to shoulder inflammation. I actually thought they should have been more conservative, and would love to see him and Dusty Baker separated by a trade, a firing, or simply a restraining order, because there's a ton of talent there that may never come to fruition. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-02-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)If the Reds find a huge pile of money under the mattress and add Johnny Damon, do they instantly become favorites for the Wild Card?
(Scott from DC)
Man, if the Reds understood anything about the marginal win curve, they'd already have signed Damon. He'd be a nice fit in that park, and they really could use his bat atop that lineup.

Then again, that they haven't signed him suggests that maybe they know too much about the conditions of some of those young arms. Say a prayer for Johnny Cueto and Edinson Volquez tonight. (Jay Jaffe)
2009-09-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Eric, thanks for the chat. I play in a fantasy league where the only pitching categories that matter are innings pitched and runs allowed. I can keep either Chris Volstad or Johnny Cueto for the next four years. Both have been inconsistent, Cueto seems to have the better arm but he pitches in a bandbox for Dusty Baker. Which one is the better bet?
(DS from California)
Volstad is a groundball guy with meh defenders behind him. Cueto is a young flamethrower with the worst manager for handling young flamethrowers. I'd think Volstad will be able to stay off the DL more and therefore log more frames. (Eric Seidman)
2009-08-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)Tell me why Johnny Cueto is pitching Monday?? IF Stewart doesn't turn out to be something, is the Rolen deal still bad?
(bankeravp5 from Cincy)
Apparently, the Reds want to make Cueto's arm fall off. I have no idea what the Reds are doing. None. (John Perrotto)
2009-08-04 14:00:00 (link to chat)Who do you think will be better over the next five years: Johnny Cueto or Chris Volstad?
(Dennis from California)
Volstad, but a lot of it has to do with the managers and especially the parks involved. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-04-13 14:00:00 (link to chat)In order for the Reds to be in the wildcard race come September, they need to __________?
(dshugert from Ohio)
The short answer: They Aaron Harang to pitch like he did in 2006 and 2007 while Edinson Volquez and Johnny Cueto advance or at least hold their ground relative to last year while maintaining health. They also need Dusty to get Willy Taveras out of the leadoff spot, and preferably out of the lineup in favor of someone who can get on base regularly. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-12-05 14:00:00 (link to chat)What kind of numbers do you expect from Johnny Cueto in 2009?
(Brandon from Charleston)
The first thing I do to start my winter work for BP and the Fantasy Baseball Index (where I write pitcher capsules) is create something I call the DIPSheet, which uses a variety of means to evaluate pitcher performance - DIPS, QERA and a couple of others. Cueto looks to me to have performed at about a league-average level last year, and I'm bullish that he can improve, but I'd like to see him develop a pitch to keep the ball on the ground and save a bit of wear and tear on his arm - like the cut fastball Chad Billingsley picked up a couple years ago.

Without an advance, I think he's in the 4.25 ERA range give or take a quarter, probably around 180 innings. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-12-05 14:00:00 (link to chat)Do you Reds fans finally have reason for optimism with a solid young core of Jay Bruce, Joey Votto, Edwin Encarnacion, Brandon Phillips, Chris Dickerson, Johnny Cueto, and Edinson Volquez?
(Brandon from Charleston)
Absolutely, there's reason for optimism so long as Dusty Baker doesn't mangle those arms.

I had the Reds as my sleeper team last year and while they didn't get there, most of the guys you mentioned are fascinating, with a ton of upside. The series I watched most closely all year long was when the Reds came to Yankee Stadium in late June.

I don't see the Reds with a shot at the 2009 NL Central but I think third place is a possibility with the right moves this winter. One of which might be taking out a restraining order against Baker from coming to the ballpark. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-10-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)I told Johnny Cueto and Edinson Volquez to throw 300 sliders a day during the offseason. It builds arm strength.
(Dusty Baker from Cincinnati)
Better them than nine year olds. What? (Will Carroll)
2008-10-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)With quality young talent like Jay Bruce, Johnny Cueto, Edinson Volquez, Joey Votto, and others, do you think the Reds are close to contending?
(smitty25039 from Charleston)
If you haven't already, check out Kevin Goldstein's article on which teams might be the "next Rays" in the NL. http://baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=8203
The Reds are close, but as Goldstein says, the outlook is "semi-bright, but not perfect." One big problem is the outfield corners; they've got nobody now without Dunn, and it doesn't look like minor league center fielder Drew Stubbs is quite ready to make enough impact with the bat to move Jay Bruce to a corner. According to Goldstein, Cincinnati is also pretty weak in pitching prospects beyond the group that already hit the majors this season, and the 2008 results from Homer Bailey were discouraging. Still, Cueto and Volquez are a fantastic young duo, and I'm pretty high on Ramon Ramirez, too, who pitched well in September and has a nasty changeup. Not in 2009, but by 2010 they could be fighting for a division title if that starting trio continues to develop. (Caleb Peiffer)
2008-07-29 16:00:00 (link to chat)According to pitcher abuse points, Johnny Cueto (20th overall) has been ridden pretty hard for a 22-year-old. Do you expect him to endure the same fate of other young pitchers managed by Dusty Baker?
(Connor from Chicago, IL)
Quick - someone look up the PAP for Prior and Wood in 2003 and compare to Cueto and Volquez. I haven't got a clue, but I bet it's not close. (Will Carroll)
2008-05-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)Why aren't the Reds a little better? I like their top 4 a lot and even with Bruce and Bailey in the minors the core of Philips/Votto/Dunn/Encarnacion seems like it should put up some runs... Now with Bruce up can they make a push?
(justin from Michigan)
That's the weird thing about the Reds. If I were a Reds fan, I'd actually be pretty excited about several of my performances this year: Volquez, obviously, but also Joey Votto, Keppinger; Johnny Cueto has had longball issues, but his strikeout rate is very good. I think they very well could be a second-half sleeper, particularly as Bruce is a huge upgrade over Patterson. I'd certainly rather have $100 bucks riding on them than, say, the Astros. (Nate Silver)
2008-04-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Will, Johnny Cueto has made a big early impression but he has now logged a huge amount of innings over the past year. If you were the Reds GM (and after you have unceremoniously fired Dusty Baker) would you set a hard limit on him as per Joba and Bucholz?
(mattseward from Cardiff. UK)
I'm not sure I'd fire Dusty, to be honest. This is the kind of team he can succeed with. I also wouldn't set a hard limit because I don't believe in hard limits. All that said, I'd certainly have some sort of monitoring system, along the lines of what the Red Sox do, put in place immediately and tell Dusty that the system would tell him when a pitcher had to come out. (Will Carroll)
2008-03-17 12:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Mike, here's a question that appears to be growing more and more relevant: of the following up-and-coming SPs, can you rank them in terms of value they will provide to a fantasy team THIS YEAR assuming they all get spots in the rotation? The SPs are Manny Parra, Edinson Volquez, Johnny Cueto, Ian Kennedy, Gio Gonzalez and Jonathan Sanchez. This should be relevant to most fantasy players looking to make a great WW pickup early in the season.
(The Grinch from Whoville)
I guess you were one of the millions to go see see Horton hears a Who huh?

Parra is making the Brewers make a tough decision but may not make the club at first. Volquez has a lot to prove. Cueto and Kennedy are arms that the Reds and yanks absolutely love and right now they are my top two of this list. I can't see Gio not being a member of the rotation this year at some point but when is up to a few factors and Sanchez like parra is nice sleeper with high upside. Solid list of names. (Mike Siano)
2008-03-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who do you think comes up first, Gio Gonzalez or Johnny Cueto, and which do you think has the better chance of having success for this year?
(Momar from USA)
Gonzalez, I think, just because the A's rotation is a little more unsettled, and he's more or less considered a medium-risk, medium-reward guy who should be ready relatively soon. Gonzalez is a good example of a prospect you might grab late in a fantasy draft with an eye toward actually getting something out of him in the second half of 2008. (Nate Silver)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Johnny Cueto has thrown 18,909 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2008 and 2014, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season, the MLB Postseason and Spring Training. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (94mph) and Cutter (89mph), also mixing in a Sinker (94mph), Change (85mph) and Slider (86mph). He also rarely throws a Curve (81mph) and Slow Curve (61mph).