Biographical

Portrait of Mitch Atkins

Mitch Atkins PBraves

Braves Player Cards | Braves Team Audit | Braves Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 28)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
85.3 5.04 1.42 62 4 6 0 -0.6
Birth Date10-1-1985
Height6' 4"
Weight225 lbs
Age29 years, 0 months, 25 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
-0.32010
-0.02011
2012
2013
-0.62014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2009 CHN 23 2 0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 3.06 3.42 0.3 0.0
2010 CHN 24 5 0 10.0 0.0 10.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 49 12 8 7 2 20 6 6 1 10 6.30 5.81 6.35 -2.6 -0.3
2011 BAL 25 3 3 10.7 10.7 0.0 0 0 0 0 1 0 56 21 10 10 5 39 3 3 1 7 8.44 8.97 7.25 -0.2 -0.0
Career10322.710.712.0000010112341817760992176.757.056.60-2.5-0.2

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2005 BOI A- 15 15 73.3 5.54 82 .286 .256 .335 .382 .263 .320 101 4.1 0.4 4.1 0.4
2006 PEO A 25 25 138.0 4.11 57 .234 .249 .326 .350 .254 .207 54 11.5 1.2 11.5 1.2
2007 DAY A+ 20 20 115.0 5.38 89 .245 .264 .331 .384 .256 .261 101 2.1 0.2 2.1 0.2
2007 TEN AA 7 4 26.0 6.69 58 .301 .263 .335 .409 .267 .320 103 -1.7 -0.2 -1.2 -0.1
2008 TEN AA 18 18 110.0 4.62 111 .245 .261 .340 .398 .252 .283 112 18.6 1.9 20.9 2.0
2008 IOW AAA 10 10 54.3 6.57 85 .241 .272 .342 .432 .254 .244 115 3.6 0.3 6.1 0.6
2009 CHN MLB 2 0 2.0 3.42 126 .154 .259 .313 .396 .244 .143 102 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0
2009 IOW AAA 27 27 146.3 5.39 65 .310 .258 .324 .397 .265 .314 86 -2.7 -0.3 2.4 0.3
2010 CHN MLB 5 0 10.0 6.35 49 .321 .257 .321 .394 .268 .333 95 -2.3 -0.2 -2.6 -0.3
2010 IOW AAA 28 15 106.7 5.94 78 .261 .275 .344 .426 .263 .263 98 4.8 0.5 6.2 0.6
2011 BAL MLB 3 3 10.7 7.25 61 .396 .277 .338 .458 .276 .400 117 -0.2 -0.0 -0.2 -0.0
2011 FRD A+ 2 2 9.0 2.88 129 .214 .263 .323 .417 .259 .316 85 1.8 0.2 1.8 0.2
2011 BOW AA 4 4 26.7 4.98 67 .270 .250 .317 .378 .267 .247 79 -2.4 -0.2 -2.4 -0.2
2011 NOR AAA 17 17 94.3 5.94 68 .269 .265 .331 .416 .258 .299 92 -8.0 -0.8 -8.0 -0.8
2012 SYR AAA 28 20 118.3 4.82 98 .272 .252 .325 .390 .251 .321 101 7.6 0.8 8.6 0.6
2012 MAG Wnt 3 0 2.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .444 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 MIS AA 17 16 96.0 4.13 97 .268 .239 .313 .351 .250 .312 94 5.9 0.6 9.4 1.1
2014 MIS AA 17 17 107.0 3.84 102 .264 .249 .318 .376 .260 .282 89 10.0 1.1 8.2 0.7
2014 GWN AAA 11 5 34.3 5.62 86 .250 .257 .326 .382 .248 .283 105 1.6 0.2 1.6 0.2

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2005 BOI A- 3 6 0 15 15 73.3 85 30 59 8 51% .320 10.4 3.7 1.0 7.2 1.57 5.03 4.1 0.4
2006 PEO A 13 4 0 25 25 138.0 110 53 127 10 34% .207 7.2 3.5 0.7 8.3 1.18 2.41 11.5 1.2
2007 DAY A+ 8 7 0 20 20 115.0 99 31 88 14 37% .261 7.7 2.4 1.1 6.9 1.13 3.13 2.1 0.2
2007 TEN AA 1 1 0 7 4 26.0 30 11 18 5 40% .320 10.4 3.8 1.7 6.2 1.58 5.54 -1.2 -0.1
2008 TEN AA 9 6 0 18 18 110.0 107 27 88 14 41% .283 8.8 2.2 1.1 7.2 1.22 3.76 20.9 2.0
2008 IOW AAA 8 1 0 10 10 54.3 48 23 44 11 31% .244 8.0 3.8 1.8 7.3 1.31 4.48 6.1 0.6
2009 CHN MLB 0 0 0 2 0 2.0 1 0 0 0 57% .143 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.50 0.00 0.3 0.0
2009 IOW AAA 8 12 0 27 27 146.3 164 52 127 26 35% .314 10.1 3.2 1.6 7.8 1.48 6.58 2.4 0.3
2010 IOW AAA 8 3 1 28 15 106.7 98 42 76 14 37% .263 8.3 3.5 1.2 6.4 1.31 3.63 6.2 0.6
2010 CHN MLB 0 0 0 5 0 10.0 12 6 10 2 34% .333 10.8 5.4 1.8 9.0 1.80 6.30 -2.6 -0.3
2011 NOR AAA 3 7 0 17 17 94.3 95 37 74 10 36% .299 9.1 3.5 1.0 7.1 1.40 5.44 -8.0 -0.8
2011 BAL MLB 0 0 0 3 3 10.7 21 3 7 5 33% .400 17.7 2.5 4.2 5.9 2.25 8.44 -0.2 -0.0
2011 BOW AA 1 2 0 4 4 26.7 21 11 19 2 43% .247 7.1 3.7 0.7 6.4 1.20 3.38 -2.4 -0.2
2011 FRD A+ 0 1 0 2 2 9.0 7 0 14 1 40% .316 7.0 0.0 1.0 14.0 0.78 3.00 1.8 0.2
2012 SYR AAA 6 9 0 28 20 118.3 133 39 91 12 36% .321 10.1 3.0 0.9 6.9 1.45 4.87 8.6 0.6
2012 MAG Wnt 0 0 0 3 0 2.0 6 0 2 2 0% .444 27.0 0.0 9.0 9.0 3.00 13.50 0.0 0.0
2013 MIS AA 5 2 0 17 16 96.0 97 35 76 6 44% .312 9.1 3.3 0.6 7.1 1.38 3.47 9.4 1.1
2014 GWN AAA 1 3 0 11 5 34.3 33 17 20 1 41% .283 8.7 4.5 0.3 5.2 1.46 4.72 1.6 0.2
2014 MIS AA 6 1 0 17 17 107.0 100 19 90 13 32% .282 8.4 1.6 1.1 7.6 1.11 3.45 8.2 0.7

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2009 21 0.6667 0.6190 0.8462 0.6429 0.5714 0.8889 0.7500 0.1538
2010 204 0.5539 0.4412 0.7333 0.6106 0.2308 0.7826 0.5714 0.2667
2011 231 0.5411 0.4113 0.8632 0.5920 0.1981 0.9189 0.6667 0.1368
Career4560.55260.43420.80430.60270.22990.85650.62790.1957

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-04-28 2014-05-10 Minors 12 0 Right Groin Strain - -
2011-04-07 2011-04-17 Minors 10 6 Left Abdomen Recovery From Strain Oblique -
2011-02-17 2011-03-22 Camp 33 0 Left Abdomen Strain Oblique -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 39 d2013

Details
  • 1 year (2013). Signed by Atlanta as a free agent 6/3/13 (minor-league contract).
  • 1 year (2012). Signed by Washington as a free agent 2/3/12 (minor-league contract).
  • 1 year (2011). Signed by Baltimore as a free agent 11/15/10 (minor-league contract).
  • 1 year (2010). Re-signed by Chicago Cubs 2/10. DFA by Chicago Cubs 9/20/10.
  • 1 year (2009). Contract purchased by Chicago Cubs 11/19/08. Re-signed 2/25/09.
  • Drafted by Chicago Cubs 2004 (7-216) (NE Guilford HS, N.C.). $0.149M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 5.5 6 0.3 23 17 104.1 92 32 76 13 .274 1.19 3.86 4.2 7.2 0.7
80o 5 6 0.2 22 16 97.5 91 32 71 13 .287 1.27 4.26 4.63 1.9 0.2
70o 4.6 5.9 0.2 21 15 92.8 91 32 68 13 .297 1.32 4.55 4.95 -1.6 -0.2
60o 4.3 5.9 0.2 20 15 88.9 90 32 65 13 .305 1.37 4.80 5.22 -4.1 -0.4
50o 4 5.8 0.2 19 14 85.3 90 32 62 13 .313 1.42 5.04 5.48 -6.3 -0.6
40o 3.7 5.8 0.2 18 13 81.8 89 31 60 13 .320 1.47 5.28 5.74 -8.2 -0.8
30o 3.4 5.7 0.2 17 13 78.1 88 31 57 12 .329 1.53 5.54 6.03 -10.0 -1.0
20o 3 5.6 0.1 16 12 73.8 87 31 54 12 .338 1.59 5.86 6.37 -11.9 -1.2
10o 2.6 5.5 0.1 15 11 68.0 85 30 50 12 .352 1.69 6.30 6.85 -13.9 -1.4
Weighted Mean45.80.2191484.889316212.3111.415.015.45-6.0-0.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
10% 14% 2% 10% 16%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201529680272013113745941937.3101.394.915.339.43.16.51.3-0.8
201630670261912513143911837.3111.394.875.299.43.16.61.3-0.7
201731670261912312742901837.3081.374.775.189.33.16.61.3-0.5
201832560231610811136781637.3081.374.755.169.33.06.51.3-0.4
201933560211510110534721437.3081.384.725.139.43.06.41.2-0.4
20203455020159710132681337.3081.384.705.119.43.06.31.2-0.3
2021354501914919430641237.3091.374.685.099.33.06.41.2-0.3
2022364501813868829611237.3081.374.675.089.23.06.41.3-0.3
2023374501712828528581137.3091.384.675.079.43.16.41.2-0.3

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
out of baseball0.81.12.3out of baseballout of baseball4.3

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 78)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 91 Derek Hankins 2012 0.00 DNP
2 88 Bobby Brownlie 2009 0.00 DNP
3 88 Alfredo Simon 2009 9.95
4 87 L.J. Gagnier 2013 0.00 DNP
5 87 Craig Anderson 2009 0.00 DNP
6 86 Erick Abreu 2012 0.00 DNP
7 86 Yohan Pino 2012 0.00 DNP
8 85 Virgil Vasquez 2010 0.00 DNP
9 85 Felix Diaz 2009 0.00 DNP
10 85 Todd Redmond 2013 4.44
11 85 Ryan Mullins 2012 0.00 DNP
12 85 D.J. Houlton 2008 0.00 DNP
13 84 Ezequiel Astacio 2008 0.00 DNP
14 84 Steven Hammond 2010 0.00 DNP
15 84 Matt Fox 2011 0.00 DNP
16 84 Travis Webb 2013 0.00 DNP
17 83 Tobi Stoner 2013 0.00 DNP
18 83 Cesar Carrillo 2012 0.00 DNP
19 83 Luis Munoz 2010 0.00 DNP
20 83 T.J. Nall 2009 0.00 DNP
21 83 Radhames Liz 2011 0.00 DNP
22 83 Andrew Carpenter 2013 0.00 DNP
23 82 Esmailin Caridad 2012 0.00 DNP
24 82 Alan Johnson 2012 0.00 DNP
25 80 Evan MacLane 2011 0.00 DNP
26 80 James Avery 2012 0.00 DNP
27 80 David Gil 2007 0.00 DNP
28 80 Ramon Garcia 2013 0.00 DNP
29 80 Mike Ballard 2012 0.00 DNP
30 80 Shane Komine 2009 0.00 DNP
31 79 Andrew Good 2008 0.00 DNP
32 79 Daniel McCutchen 2011 3.93
33 79 Ryohei Tanaka 2011 0.00 DNP
34 79 Casey Daigle 2009 0.00 DNP
35 79 Travis Blackley 2011 0.00 DNP
36 79 Matt Buschmann 2012 0.00 DNP
37 79 Matthew Long 2012 0.00 DNP
38 78 David Welch 2011 0.00 DNP
39 78 Matt Torra 2012 0.00 DNP
40 78 Josh Geer 2011 0.00 DNP
41 78 Everett Teaford 2012 4.99
42 78 Eammon Portice 2013 0.00 DNP
43 78 Ryan Edell 2012 0.00 DNP
44 78 Bill Murphy 2009 3.18
45 78 Bo Hall 2009 0.00 DNP
46 78 Andy Graham 2012 0.00 DNP
47 78 Alberto Bastardo 2012 0.00 DNP
48 77 Seung Hak Lee 2007 0.00 DNP
49 77 Bryan Henry 2013 0.00 DNP
50 76 Jason Jones 2011 0.00 DNP
51 76 Jeff Marquez 2013 0.00 DNP
52 76 Erik Arnesen 2012 0.00 DNP
53 76 Chris Smith 2009 4.11
54 76 Michael O'Connor 2009 0.00 DNP
55 76 B.J. LaMura 2009 0.00 DNP
56 76 Josh Banks 2011 0.00 DNP
57 76 Tommy Hottovy 2010 0.00 DNP
58 76 Ben Howard 2007 0.00 DNP
59 76 Jorge De Paula 2007 0.00 DNP
60 76 Chris Cody 2012 0.00 DNP
61 76 Fernando Rodriguez 2012 5.76
62 75 Kris Johnson 2013 6.10
63 75 Cole DeVries 2013 10.80
64 75 James Garcia 2008 0.00 DNP
65 75 Jeremy Hall 2012 0.00 DNP
66 75 Justin Pope 2008 0.00 DNP
67 75 Austin Bibens-Dirkx 2013 0.00 DNP
68 75 Matt Klinker 2013 0.00 DNP
69 75 Ronald Bay 2012 0.00 DNP
70 75 Ryan Ketchner 2010 0.00 DNP
71 75 Kyle Bloom 2011 0.00 DNP
72 74 Garrett Broshuis 2010 0.00 DNP
73 74 Thad Weber 2013 3.00
74 74 Kazuhito Tadano 2008 0.00 DNP
75 74 Zack Segovia 2011 0.00 DNP
76 74 Eric Stults 2008 4.19
77 74 Matt Hensley 2007 0.00 DNP
78 74 Troy Cate 2009 0.00 DNP
79 74 Jonah Bayliss 2009 0.00 DNP
80 73 Ryan O'Malley 2008 0.00 DNP
81 73 Kei Igawa 2008 13.50
82 73 Brandon Dickson 2013 0.00 DNP
83 73 Corey Thurman 2007 0.00 DNP
84 73 Chad Reineke 2010 0.00 DNP
85 73 Brian Slocum 2009 0.00 DNP
86 73 Moises Hernandez 2012 0.00 DNP
87 73 Dustin Molleken 2013 0.00 DNP
88 73 Juan Sandoval 2009 0.00 DNP
89 73 Dirk Hayhurst 2009 2.78
90 73 Reid Santos 2011 0.00 DNP
91 73 Ramon A. Ramirez 2011 0.00 DNP
92 73 Jared Wells 2010 0.00 DNP
93 72 P.J. Walters 2013 6.86
94 72 Philip Humber 2011 3.92
95 72 Mike Jones 2011 0.00 DNP
96 72 Chris Seddon 2012 3.93
97 72 Doug Waechter 2009 8.44
98 72 Billy Buckner 2012 0.00 DNP
99 72 Darren Clarke 2009 0.00 DNP
100 72 Andrew Dobies 2011 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2012 Apparently, it is possible to induce fewer groundballs than Rick VandenHurk; Mitch Atkins beat him out at Triple-A this year 35 percent to 37 percent. That's not a good thing.
2011 As desperate as the Cubs were for right-handed pitching help, they couldn't trust Mitch Atkins' weak stuff, outrighting him from the 40-man in September; he was signed by the O's to a minor-league deal.
2010 The organizationís 2008 Pitcher of the Year when he won 17 games across two levels, Atkins saw the wheels come off in his second spin through the PCL. His so-so stuff, featuring a low-90s fastball, curve, and change, has always left little margin for error, and as his ERA and home-run tallies will attest, he spent most of the year coloring outside the lines. Atkins may still turn up at the back end of a major-league rotation, but if heís in yours, youíre probably not a contender.
2009 Winning 17 games across two levels helped Atkins win the organization's minor league pitcher of the year award, but the more impressive development was a fleshed-out arsenal, as he complemented consistent low-90s velocity with a solid curve and change. In another organization, he'd draw more attention, but he has the talent to wind up at the back end of a big-league rotation.
2007 Mitch Atkins is a good example of why you shouldn`t jump to conclusions with high school pitchers. He struggled for two years before jumping all over the Midwest League last year. His middling assortment won`t make people believers, but continued success will.

BP Articles

Mitch Atkins is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 4, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-04
Divide and Conquer, AL East: The ReplacementsDustin Parkes2011-07-22
Transaction Analysis Blog: Weekend Roundup EditionR.J. Anderson2011-07-18
Transaction Analysis Blog: The Cubs Find Another StarterR.J. Anderson2011-07-06
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Phillies, Nationals, CubsChristina Kahrl2010-09-22
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: NL Central RoundupChristina Kahrl2010-08-12
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: NL East and CentralChristina Kahrl2010-07-27
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: A Second Second City Revival?John Perrotto2010-07-16
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Shuffling SeniorsChristina Kahrl2010-07-12
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Waterloo's 195th Anniversary EditionChristina Kahrl2010-06-18
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Getting a ComeSuppance?Christina Kahrl2010-06-15
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Expanding and ContractingChristina Kahrl2010-03-15
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Focus: NL Starting PitchersMarc Normandin2010-03-09
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Deadline Day ActionChristina Kahrl2009-07-31
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: NL Central MovesChristina Kahrl2009-07-10
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: State of the Systems, NL CentralKevin Goldstein2007-04-25


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2014, Mitch Atkins threw 458 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2009 and 2011, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and Spring Training. In 2011, he relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (92mph) and Slider (86mph), also mixing in a Sinker (92mph) and Curve (78mph). He also rarely threw a Change (84mph).