Biographical

J.A. Happ PBlue Jays

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2013 Projections (seasonal age 30) - Rest of Season Projections

IP	ERA	WHIP	SO	W	L	SV	WARP
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Birth Date	10-19-1982
Height	6' 6"
Weight	200 lbs

Age	30 years, 7 months, 4 days
Bats	L
Throws	L

: 2.02009
: 0.32010
: 0.92011
: 2.22012
: 0.32013
+proj

WARP Summary

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YEAR	TEAM	AGE	G	GS	IP	IP-SP	IP-RP	W	L	QS	BQS	PA	H	R	ER	HR	TB	BB	UBB	HBP	SO	ERA	FIP	FRA	VORP	WARP
2007	PHI	24	1	1	4.0	4.0	0.0	0	1	0	0	21	7	5	5	3	17	2	2	0	5	11.25	11.93	9.96	-1.5	-0.1
2008	PHI	25	8	4	31.7	23.7	8.0	1	0	3	0	138	28	13	13	3	41	14	13	1	26	3.69	4.12	4.85	2.1	0.2
2009	PHI	26	35	23	166.0	144.3	21.7	12	4	14	0	685	149	55	54	20	244	56	54	5	119	2.93	4.29	4.33	19.6	2.0
2010	HOU	27	13	13	72.0	72.0	0.0	5	4	9	0	304	60	33	30	7	95	35	34	1	61	3.75	4.18	4.82	3.1	0.3
2010	PHI	27	3	3	15.3	15.3	0.0	1	0	0	0	70	13	4	3	1	19	12	12	0	9	1.76	5.13	5.03	0.6	0.0
2011	HOU	28	28	28	156.3	156.3	0.0	6	15	11	2	698	157	103	93	21	268	83	78	2	134	5.35	4.66	4.85	10.7	0.9
2012	HOU	29	18	18	104.3	104.3	0.0	7	9	12	0	457	112	58	56	17	196	39	39	1	98	4.83	4.53	4.81	6.9	0.8
2012	TOR	29	10	6	40.3	33.3	7.0	3	2	2	0	170	35	21	21	2	57	17	16	1	46	4.69	2.75	2.62	12.8	1.4
2013	TOR	30	7	7	33.0	33.0	0.0	2	2	2	0	150	32	19	18	3	52	19	19	1	26	4.91	4.54	5.30	1.2	0.1
Career			123	103	623.0	586.3	36.7	37	37	53	2	2693	593	311	293	77	989	277	267	12	524	4.23	4.38	4.62	55.3	5.5

Advanced

'opp' stats - quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.

YEAR	Team	Lg	G	GS	IP	FRA	FRA+	TAv	oppAVG	oppOBP	oppSLG	oppTAv	BABIP	PPF	PVORP	PWARP	VORP	WARP
2004	BAT	A-	11	11	35.7	0.00	0	.000	.000	.000	.000	.000	.247		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2005	LWD	A	14	12	72.3	3.87	113	.229	.266	.342	.413	.269	.277	94	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2005	REA	AA	1	1	6.0	0.00	0	.000	.264	.344	.386	.249	.231		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2006	CLR	A+	13	13	80.1	4.70	107	.229	.258	.331	.379	.260	.255	106	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2006	REA	AA	12	12	74.1	2.59	139	.232	.258	.330	.391	.265	.292	98	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2006	SWB	AAA	1	1	6.0	4.98	87	.201	.262	.325	.392	.256	.118	98	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2007	PHI	MLB	1	1	4.0	9.96	7	.413	.281	.350	.459	.277	.364	108	-1.4	-0.1	-1.5	-0.1
2007	OTT	AAA	24	24	118.3	4.78	91	.262	.267	.339	.414	.260	.327	98	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2008	PHI	MLB	8	4	31.7	4.85	98	.236	.277	.349	.454	.279	.266	102	2.5	0.2	2.1	0.2
2008	LEH	AAA	24	23	135.0	5.24	91	.237	.267	.340	.418	.258	.302	100	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2009	PHI	MLB	35	23	166.0	4.33	106	.240	.275	.346	.440	.270	.267	102	20.3	2.1	19.6	2.0
2010	HOU	MLB	13	13	72.0	4.82	89	.251	.268	.337	.432	.272	.265	99	3.7	0.4	3.1	0.3
2010	PHI	MLB	3	3	15.3	5.03	83	.266	.269	.325	.415	.257	.250	98	0.4	0.0	0.6	0.0
2010	CLR	A+	1	1	3.0	4.42	97	.199	.270	.336	.434	.257	.273	105	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010	REA	AA	3	3	12.3	7.19	58	.299	.251	.325	.394	.256	.303	111	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010	LEH	AAA	5	4	22.3	5.19	74	.318	.266	.331	.426	.261	.348	92	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2011	HOU	MLB	28	28	156.3	4.85	87	.290	.267	.335	.423	.272	.298	103	5.9	0.6	10.7	0.9
2011	OKL	AAA	3	3	18.0	0.00	0	.000	.000	.000	.000	.000	.239		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2012	HOU	MLB	18	18	104.3	4.81	90	.286	.268	.333	.434	.275	.315	101	5.6	0.6	6.9	0.8
2012	TOR	MLB	10	6	40.3	2.62	143	.256	.267	.333	.443	.276	.317	103	12.8	1.4	12.8	1.4
2013	TOR	MLB	7	7	33.0	5.30	86	.275	.260	.322	.416	.264	.287	104	1.2	0.1	1.2	0.1
Career		MLB		103	623.0	4.72	94	.267	.270	.337	.433	.272	.287	85	34.6	3.6	37.7	3.6

Statistics For All Levels

Year	Team	Lg	W	L	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	GB%	BABIP	H/9	BB/9	HR/9	K/9	WHIP	ERA	VORP	WARP
2004	BAT	A-	1	2	11	11	35.7	22	18	37	1	0%	.247	5.5	4.5	0.3	9.3	1.12	2.02	0.0	0.0
2005	LWD	A	4	4	14	12	72.3	57	26	70	3	46%	.277	7.1	3.2	0.4	8.7	1.15	2.37	0.0	0.0
2005	REA	AA	1	0	1	1	6.0	3	2	8	0	54%	.231	4.5	3.0	0.0	12.0	0.83	1.50	0.0	0.0
2006	SWB	AAA	1	0	1	1	6.0	3	1	4	1	39%	.118	4.5	1.5	1.5	6.0	0.67	1.50	0.0	0.0
2006	REA	AA	6	2	12	12	74.1	58	29	81	2	41%	.292	7.0	3.5	0.2	9.8	1.17	2.67	0.0	0.0
2006	CLR	A+	3	7	13	13	80.1	63	19	77	9	46%	.255	7.1	2.1	1.0	8.7	1.02	2.81	0.0	0.0
2007	OTT	AAA	4	6	24	24	118.3	118	62	117	12	34%	.327	9.0	4.7	0.9	8.9	1.52	5.02	0.0	0.0
2007	PHI	MLB	0	1	1	1	4.0	7	2	5	3	14%	.364	15.8	4.5	6.8	11.2	2.25	11.25	-1.5	-0.1
2008	LEH	AAA	8	7	24	23	135.0	116	48	151	14	44%	.302	7.7	3.2	0.9	10.1	1.21	3.60	0.0	0.0
2008	PHI	MLB	1	0	8	4	31.7	28	14	26	3	35%	.266	8.0	4.0	0.9	7.4	1.33	3.69	2.1	0.2
2009	PHI	MLB	12	4	35	23	166.0	149	56	119	20	40%	.267	8.1	3.0	1.1	6.5	1.23	2.93	19.6	2.0
2010	LEH	AAA	0	1	5	4	22.3	26	15	22	3	51%	.348	10.5	6.1	1.2	8.9	1.84	4.84	0.0	0.0
2010	REA	AA	1	0	3	3	12.3	18	4	10	3	51%	.303	13.2	2.9	2.2	7.3	1.79	8.05	0.0	0.0
2010	CLR	A+	0	1	1	1	3.0	3	0	2	0	64%	.273	9.0	0.0	0.0	6.0	1.00	6.00	0.0	0.0
2010	PHI	MLB	1	0	3	3	15.3	13	12	9	1	37%	.250	7.6	7.0	0.6	5.3	1.63	1.76	0.6	0.0
2010	HOU	MLB	5	4	13	13	72.0	60	35	61	7	41%	.265	7.5	4.4	0.9	7.6	1.32	3.75	3.1	0.3
2011	OKL	AAA	1	0	3	3	18.0	11	9	16	0	0%	.239	5.5	4.5	0.0	8.0	1.11	1.50	0.0	0.0
2011	HOU	MLB	6	15	28	28	156.3	157	83	134	21	35%	.298	9.0	4.8	1.2	7.7	1.54	5.35	10.7	0.9
2012	TOR	MLB	3	2	10	6	40.3	35	17	46	2	38%	.317	7.8	3.8	0.4	10.3	1.29	4.69	12.8	1.4
2012	HOU	MLB	7	9	18	18	104.3	112	39	98	17	48%	.315	9.7	3.4	1.5	8.5	1.45	4.83	6.9	0.8
2013	TOR	MLB	2	2	7	7	33.0	32	19	26	3	32%	.287	8.7	5.2	0.8	7.1	1.55	4.91	1.2	0.1

Injury History beta

Date On	Date Off	Transaction	Days	Games	Side	Body Part	Injury	Severity	Surgery Date	Reaggravation
2013-05-08	-	15-DL	-	-	-	Head	Fracture	Batted Ball and Laceration	-	-
2012-09-04	2012-10-04	60-DL	30	0	Right	Foot	Surgery	Fracture	2012-09-13	-
2011-03-29	2011-03-31	Camp	2	0	Left	Abdomen	Strain	Oblique	-
2010-04-16	2010-07-06	15-DL	81	72	Left	Forearm	Strain	Flexor Pronator	-
2009-10-08	2009-10-08	DTD	0	0	Left	Lower Leg	Contusion	Batted Ball Off Shin	-
2009-09-18	2009-09-18	DTD	0	0	Right	Abdomen	Soreness	Oblique	-
2009-09-03	2009-09-18	DTD	15	15	Right	Trunk	Strain	Intercostal	-
2007-09-29	2007-09-29	WIN	0	0	Left	Elbow	Strain		-
2007-05-30	2007-06-14	Minors	15	0	Left	Elbow	Inflammation		-

Compensation

Year	Team	Salary
2015	TOR	$200,000
2014	TOR	$5,200,000
2013	TOR	$3,700,000
2012	HOU	$2,350,000
2011	HOU	$474,000
2010	PHI	$470,000
2009	PHI	$405,000

Years	Description	Salary
4 yr	Previous	$3,699,000
2011	Current	$3,700,000
5 yr	Pvs + Cur	$7,399,000
2 yr	Future	$5,400,000
7 yr	Total	$12,799,000

Service Time	Agent	Contract Status
4 y 47 d	Jay Fee Sports	1 year/$3.7M (2013)

Details

1 year/$5.4M (2014), plus 2015 club option. Signed extension with Toronto 3/27/13. 14:$5.2M, 15:$6.7M club option, $0.2M buyout.
1 year/$3.7M (2013). Re-signed by Toronto 1/18/13 (avoided arbitration).
1 year/$2.35M (2012). Re-signed by Houston 1/17/12 (avoided arbitration). Acquired by Toronto in trade from Houston 7/20/12.
1 year/$0.474M (2011). Re-signed by Houston 2/27/11.
1 year/$0.47M (2010). Re-signed by Philadelphia 2/10. Acquired by Houston in trade from Philadelphia 7/28/10 (Roy Oswalt deal).
1 year/$0.405M (2009). Re-signed by Philadelphia 3/3/09.
1 year (2008). Re-signed by Philadelphia.
1 year (2007). Contract purchased by Philadelphia 6/30/07.
Drafted by Philadelphia 2004 (3-92) (Northwestern). $0.42M signing bonus.

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Platoon

SORT_FIELD	PLATOON	AVG	OBP	SLG	TAv
10	vs L (Multi)	.252	.308	.407	.254
11	vs R (Multi)	.263	.345	.453	.285
18	Split (Multi)	-.011	-.036	-.046	-.030
19	LgAvg (Multi)	-.029	-.032	-.065	-.030
30	vs L (2012)	.259	.301	.429	.257
31	vs R (2012)	.267	.342	.465	.285
38	Split (2012)	-.008	-.041	-.036	-.027
39	LgAvg (2012)	-.031	-.033	-.073	-.033

BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

J.A. Happ is referenced in the following articles.

requires BP Premium access to view, requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

Title	Author	Date
Skewed Left: A Somewhat Happy 40th for the Immortal Ramon Ortiz	Zachary Levine	2013-05-22
The Week In Quotes: May 6-12	Jonah Birenbaum	2013-05-13
The Week In Quotes: May 6-12	Pete Barrett	2013-05-13
The Week In Quotes: May 6-12	Andrew Koo	2013-05-13
Fantasy Beat: Weekly #streameroftheday Update	Bret Sayre	2013-05-10
Daily Roundup: Around the League: May 10th, 2013	Clint Chisam	2013-05-10
Daily Roundup: Around the League: May 9th, 2013	Clint Chisam	2013-05-09
On the Beat: No-Hitting Nationals	John Perrotto	2013-05-09
Daily Roundup: Around the League: May 8th, 2013	Clint Chisam	2013-05-08
Overthinking It: This Week in Catcher Framing, 5/3	Ben Lindbergh	2013-05-03
Daily Roundup: Around the League: May 3, 2013	Clint Chisam	2013-05-03
What You Need to Know: The Bronx Band of Misfit Toys	Daniel Rathman	2013-04-29
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 28, 2013	Clint Chisam	2013-04-28
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 23, 2013	Clint Chisam	2013-04-23
Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week Four	Paul Sporer	2013-04-19
Fantasy Beat: Weekly #streameroftheday Update	Bret Sayre	2013-04-18
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 18, 2013	Clint Chisam	2013-04-18
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 13, 2013	Clint Chisam	2013-04-13
Fantasy Freestyle: High-Stakes League Free Agent Rundown	Jason Collette	2013-04-09
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 7, 2013	Clint Chisam	2013-04-07
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 7, 2013	Joe Hamrahi	2013-04-07
Transaction Analysis: Five Years For Wainwright	R.J. Anderson	2013-03-29
On the Beat: Aged to Perfection?	John Perrotto	2013-02-25
Rumor Roundup: A Snag in the Grand Plan	Daniel Rathman	2013-02-25
A Little Relief: Six Bullpen Arms Still Available	Jonah Birenbaum	2013-01-18
Overthinking It: The Moves Alex Anthopoulos Made Before the Blockbuster	Ben Lindbergh	2012-11-14
Overthinking It: The Surprisingly Hard-to-Hit Pitches of 2012	Ben Lindbergh	2012-09-19
Weekly Planner: Week 23	Paul Sporer	2012-08-31
Value Picks: Starting Pitching for 8/30/12	Paul Sporer	2012-08-30
What You Need to Know: Wednesday, August 29	Daniel Rathman	2012-08-29
Weekly Planner: Week 22	Derek Carty	2012-08-24
What You Need to Know: Thursday, August 23	Daniel Rathman	2012-08-23
Bizball: How Low Will Jim Crane Go with the Astros?	Maury Brown	2012-08-20
The Process: Resetting the Astros Roster	Bradley Ankrom	2012-08-17
In A Pickle: Why We Want to Be Smart	Jason Wojciechowski	2012-08-10
On the Beat: Snaking Up the Standings	John Perrotto	2012-08-09
Resident Fantasy Genius: Improving Your Team, or Butting In?	Derek Carty	2012-08-09
What You Need to Know: Tuesday, August 7	Daniel Rathman	2012-08-07
BP Unfiltered: The Trade Deadline Transaction Analysis Thread UPDATED	Baseball Prospectus	2012-07-31
Transaction Analysis: Snider and Lincoln Change Scenery, LA Adds League, and Thames Joins the M's	Kevin Goldstein	2012-07-31
Transaction Analysis: Snider and Lincoln Change Scenery, LA Adds League, and Thames Joins the M's	Ben Lindbergh	2012-07-31
Baseball ProGUESTus: How to Root for Your Team's Recently Acquired Rent-a-Player	Josh Worn	2012-07-31
The Process: When Will We Know Who Won the 10-Player Trade?	Bradley Ankrom	2012-07-26
Pebble Hunting: Two Good Starts and a Trade	Sam Miller	2012-07-25
Transaction Analysis: Shaking Out the 10-Player Swap	Kevin Goldstein	2012-07-20
Transaction Analysis: Shaking Out the 10-Player Swap	R.J. Anderson	2012-07-20
BP Unfiltered: Three Potential Reasons for Today's 10-Player Trade	Larry Granillo	2012-07-20
Weekly Planner: Week 15	Paul Sporer	2012-07-13
Resident Fantasy Genius: Starting Pitchers to Target	Derek Carty	2012-06-22
Weekly Planner: Week 12	Paul Sporer	2012-06-15
BP Unfiltered: Which 14 K Perfect Gamer Faced a Better Lineup?	Paul Sporer	2012-06-14
Value Picks: Starting Pitching for 6/14/12	Paul Sporer	2012-06-14
Value Picks: Starting Pitching for 5/24/12	Paul Sporer	2012-05-24
Prospectus Hit and Run: Beckett and Hyde	Jay Jaffe	2012-05-16
Weekly Planner: Week Five	Paul Sporer	2012-04-27
Painting the Black: Occam's Rubber	R.J. Anderson	2012-04-17
Resident Fantasy Genius: Tout Wars and LABR NL Drafts	Derek Carty	2012-03-26
Prospectus Hit and Run: NL Rotation Rumble	Jay Jaffe	2012-03-12
Prospectus Preview: NL Central 2012 Preseason Preview, Part I	Stephani Bee	2012-03-01
Prospectus Preview: NL Central 2012 Preseason Preview, Part I	Larry Granillo	2012-03-01
Heartburn Hardball: The Race to the Bottom in 2012	Jonathan Bernhardt	2012-02-16
Internet Baseball Awards: National League	Greg Spira	2011-11-21
Prospectus Hit and Run: Junkballin'	Jay Jaffe	2011-09-15
Divide and Conquer, NL Central: The Astros vs. the Peanuts Gang	Larry Granillo	2011-08-09
Transaction Analysis Blog: Braves, Rays Make Rotation Moves	R.J. Anderson	2011-08-07
On the Beat: A Pence for His Thoughts	John Perrotto	2011-08-04
Future Shock: Friday Fun: Minor League Update for July 29... 2006?	Kevin Goldstein	2011-07-29
Baseball ProGUESTus: The Horror of Their Times: The Glory of Baseball's Worsts	King Kaufman	2011-07-29
Fantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #16	Craig Brown	2011-07-22
Fantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #12	Craig Brown	2011-06-17
Prospectus Hit List: NL: The Valdez Non-Disaster	Jay Jaffe	2011-05-31
Transaction Analysis: Calling for the Cavalry	Ben Lindbergh	2011-05-31
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 29	Larry Granillo	2011-05-30
Fantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #9	Craig Brown	2011-05-27
Fantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #5	Craig Brown	2011-04-29
BP Unfiltered: For Amusement Only 4/5	John Perrotto	2011-04-04
Team Injury Projection: Houston Astros	Marc Normandin	2011-03-24
Team Injury Projection: Houston Astros	Corey Dawkins	2011-03-24
Prospectus Hit and Run: DisAstros in the Making	Jay Jaffe	2011-03-17
Team Injury Projection: Philadelphia Phillies	Marc Normandin	2011-03-15
Team Injury Projection: Philadelphia Phillies	Corey Dawkins	2011-03-15
Fantasy Beat: Know Your Enemy	Bill Baer	2011-03-14
The BP Broadside: Ben Francisco, Open Your Golden Gate	Steven Goldman	2011-03-07
Spitballing: Fourth Time's the Harm	Jeremy Greenhouse	2011-03-03
Fantasy Focus: NL Starting Pitcher Rankings	Marc Normandin	2011-02-28
Fantasy Beat: Scoresheet Draft Prep, BP Kings, and You	Rob McQuown	2011-02-25
Fantasy Beat: BP Scoresheet Early Draft Prep	Rob McQuown	2011-02-07
Checking the Numbers: Ranking R2C2	Eric Seidman	2010-12-15
Checking the Numbers: Sneaky Good in the Senior Circuit	Eric Seidman	2010-11-10
GM for a Day: Houston Astros	Steven Goldman	2010-11-02
Kiss'Em Goodbye: Philadelphia Phillies	Marc Normandin	2010-10-27
Kiss'Em Goodbye: Philadelphia Phillies	ESPN Insider	2010-10-27
Kiss'Em Goodbye: Philadelphia Phillies	Kevin Goldstein	2010-10-27
Prospectus Hit List: The Finale	Jay Jaffe	2010-10-06
On the Beat: Eyeing The Glass Slipper	John Perrotto	2010-09-29
Prospectus Hit List: NL: Getting Sorted	Jay Jaffe	2010-09-23
Fantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #25	Craig Brown	2010-09-17
Kiss'Em Goodbye: Houston Astros	Steven Goldman	2010-09-17
Kiss'Em Goodbye: Houston Astros	ESPN Insider	2010-09-17
Kiss'Em Goodbye: Houston Astros	Kevin Goldstein	2010-09-17
Fantasy Beat: The Recent Happenings of J.A. Happ	Marc Normandin	2010-09-10
Prospectus Hit List: NL: Trouble at the Top	Jay Jaffe	2010-09-09
Fantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #22	Craig Brown	2010-08-27
Changing Speeds: The Golden Generation	Ken Funck	2010-08-19
Ahead in the Count: Only Two Games Worse	Eric Seidman	2010-08-17
Ahead in the Count: Only Two Games Worse	Matt Swartz	2010-08-17
Fantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #20	Craig Brown	2010-08-12
Prospectus Hit List: All Chipper'd Out?	Jay Jaffe	2010-08-12
Ahead in the Count: The 2010 Trade Deadline	Matt Swartz	2010-08-06
Fantasy Beat: Rotation Promotions	Bill Baer	2010-07-30
Transaction Action: Texas Fold 'Em	Kevin Goldstein	2010-07-29
Transaction Action: Texas Fold 'Em	Christina Kahrl	2010-07-29
Transaction Action: NL East and Central	Christina Kahrl	2010-07-27
Fantasy Beat: Hot Spots: Starting Pitchers	Bill Baer	2010-07-23
Prospectus Hit List: Returns and Departures	Jay Jaffe	2010-07-22
Transaction Action: Shuffling Seniors	Christina Kahrl	2010-07-12
BP Unfiltered: The Paper Trail of July 6	John Perrotto	2010-07-06
On the Beat: Monday Update	John Perrotto	2010-07-05
On the Beat: Friday Update	John Perrotto	2010-07-02
Transaction Action: Dealing and Decapitating	Christina Kahrl	2010-07-02
Fantasy Beat: Ailing Starters: Who to Watch	Bill Baer	2010-06-23
Under The Knife: Gain a Pitcher, Lose a Pitcher	Will Carroll	2010-06-16
Expanded Horizons: In the Red	Tommy Bennett	2010-06-15
Under The Knife: Friday Update	Will Carroll	2010-06-11
Overthinking It: Neither a Berroa Nor a [Ver]lander Be	Ben Lindbergh	2010-06-10
Ahead in the Count: Most Net Valuable Player	Matt Swartz	2010-05-07
Prospectus Hit List: Runaway Redbirds	Jay Jaffe	2010-05-05
Under The Knife: Blue Moon Rising	Will Carroll	2010-05-05
Transaction Action: Central Preoccupations	Christina Kahrl	2010-05-03
Under The Knife: A Case of the Mondays	Will Carroll	2010-05-03
Transaction Action: NL Roundup	Christina Kahrl	2010-05-02
Ahead in the Count: Ryan Howard and the New MORP	Matt Swartz	2010-04-27
Transaction Action: National League Roundup	Christina Kahrl	2010-04-23
Under The Knife: Checking Out Aroldis Chapman	Will Carroll	2010-04-23
Under The Knife: Woe Are The O's	Will Carroll	2010-04-20
Transaction Action: Senior Shuffle	Christina Kahrl	2010-04-15
Fantasy Focus: Pre-season Fantasy Predictions	Baseball Prospectus	2010-04-04
BP Unfiltered: UPDATED NL Projected Opening Day Rosters	John Perrotto	2010-04-01
Between The Numbers: SIERA in Stat Reports	Matt Swartz	2010-03-12
Fantasy Focus: NL Starting Pitchers	Marc Normandin	2010-03-09
The Week In Quotes: March 1-7	Alex Carnevale	2010-03-08
Division Preview: NL East	Kevin Goldstein	2010-02-17
Team Health Reports: Philadelphia Phillies	Will Carroll	2010-02-11
Ahead in the Count: Revising Player Contract Valuation, Part 3	Matt Swartz	2010-02-04
On the Beat: Weekend Update	John Perrotto	2010-01-31
Transaction Action: Overpaying Pineiro and Little Sarge's Big Apple Adventure	Christina Kahrl	2010-01-22
Prospectus Today: NL Shopping Lists	Joe Sheehan	2009-12-06
On the Beat: Midweek Update	John Perrotto	2009-11-18
Voting For Real: NL Rookie of the Year	Will Carroll	2009-11-16
Prospectus Today: Awards Season	Joe Sheehan	2009-11-16
The 2009 Internet Baseball Awards: NL Results and Wrap-Up	Greg Spira	2009-11-10
Prospectus Today: Looking Both Forwards and Back	Joe Sheehan	2009-11-06
Kiss'Em Goodbye: Philadelphia Phillies	Baseball Prospectus	2009-11-06
Prospectus Hit and Run: Anatomy of a Championship	Jay Jaffe	2009-11-05
Prospectus Today: The Crown Rests Lightly	Joe Sheehan	2009-11-05
Prospectus Hit and Run: Shorting Out	Jay Jaffe	2009-11-03
Prospectus Hit and Run: The Trouble With Southpaws	Jay Jaffe	2009-11-01
On the Beat: World Series Weekend Update	John Perrotto	2009-11-01
World Series Prospectus: Yankees versus Phillies Preview	Jay Jaffe	2009-10-28
World Series Prospectus: Four Keys	Baseball Prospectus	2009-10-27
Prospectus Hit and Run: Rotation Exasperation	Jay Jaffe	2009-10-22
Prospectus Today: Keeping You Guessing	Joe Sheehan	2009-10-17
Prospectus Hit and Run: Left Too Long	Jay Jaffe	2009-10-16
Prospectus Today: The NLCS	Joe Sheehan	2009-10-15
Playoff Prospectus: Dodgers vs. Phillies LCS	Jay Jaffe	2009-10-15
Playoff Prospectus: A Game Three Classic	Joe Sheehan	2009-10-12
Prospectus Hit List: Season Finale	Jay Jaffe	2009-10-12
Prospectus Today: Second Day Roundup	Joe Sheehan	2009-10-09
Playoff Prospectus: Phillies versus Rockies LDS	Eric Seidman	2009-10-07
Playoff Health Report: National League	Will Carroll	2009-10-06
On the Beat: Final Weekend Update	John Perrotto	2009-10-04
Under The Knife: Closing Up on '09	Will Carroll	2009-10-02
On the Beat: Midweek Update	John Perrotto	2009-09-30
Under The Knife: The Final Stretch	Will Carroll	2009-09-28
Prospectus Hit List: Nearly All Wrapped Up	Jay Jaffe	2009-09-25
Prospectus Today: Post-season Bullpens	Joe Sheehan	2009-09-24
Fab Fours: Picking the Best Playoff Rotations	Christina Kahrl	2009-09-24
Checking the Numbers: Perceived Velocity	Eric Seidman	2009-09-22
Under The Knife: Interest Over Impact	Will Carroll	2009-09-18
Under The Knife: Western Woes	Will Carroll	2009-09-14
Under The Knife: Warning Indicators	Will Carroll	2009-09-09
Under The Knife: Down and Out	Will Carroll	2009-09-08
On the Beat: Weekend Roundup	John Perrotto	2009-08-30
Prospectus Hit and Run: Scheduling Impact in the NL	Jay Jaffe	2009-08-28
Prospectus Hit List: Breaking in and Breaking Down	Jay Jaffe	2009-08-28
Prospectus Today: The Left Wing	Joe Sheehan	2009-08-19
Prospectus Today: Settling In	Joe Sheehan	2009-08-14
Transaction Action: Assorted Senior Circuitry	Christina Kahrl	2009-08-14
Checking the Numbers: Anatomy of a Good Problem	Eric Seidman	2009-08-14
On the Beat: Midweek Update	John Perrotto	2009-08-12
Checking the Numbers: Scouting the Cubs/Phillies Series	Eric Seidman	2009-08-11
On the Beat: Weekend Roundup	John Perrotto	2009-08-09
Prospectus Hit List: The Post-Shuffle Shuffle	Jay Jaffe	2009-08-07
Future Shock Blog: August 6	Kevin Goldstein	2009-08-06
On the Beat: Rust Belt Teams Rusted Out?	John Perrotto	2009-08-02
Transaction Analysis: Major Moves Roundup	Christina Kahrl	2009-07-30
Fantasy Beat: Rookie Pitchers	Marc Normandin	2009-07-28
On the Beat: Striking Bargains and Striking Out	John Perrotto	2009-07-26
On the Beat: Mid-Week Update	John Perrotto	2009-07-22
On the Beat: Buyers Rush Nearly Empty Shelves?	John Perrotto	2009-07-16
On the Beat: Mid-Season Snapshot	John Perrotto	2009-07-12
Transaction Action: NL Add-Ons	Christina Kahrl	2009-07-11
Prospectus Hit and Run: Call the Doctor	Jay Jaffe	2009-07-09
Prospectus Hit List: Beating the Holiday Traffic	Jay Jaffe	2009-07-03
Prospectus Hit and Run: Trouble at Home	Jay Jaffe	2009-06-24
On the Beat: Mid-Week Update	John Perrotto	2009-06-24
Fantasy Beat: Opponents of Quality	Marc Normandin	2009-06-16
Transaction Analysis: NL East Roundup	Christina Kahrl	2009-06-16
On the Beat: Mid-Week Roundup	John Perrotto	2009-06-10
Prospectus Today: Phillies at Mets	Joe Sheehan	2009-06-09
On the Beat: Sunday Summary	John Perrotto	2009-06-07
Prospectus Hit List: The Rising	Jay Jaffe	2009-06-05
Prospectus Hit List: Can't Anyone Here Play This Game?	Jay Jaffe	2009-05-22
On the Beat: Mid-week Roundup	John Perrotto	2009-05-20
Prospectus Hit and Run: Rotation Freak Shows	Jay Jaffe	2009-05-19
Transaction Analysis: Senior Circuit Shuffling	Christina Kahrl	2009-04-02
The Season to Come: NL Projected Standings	Jay Jaffe	2009-04-02
Checking the Numbers: The Man Who Broke PECOTA?	Eric Seidman	2009-03-18
Future Shock: Phillies Top 11 Prospects	Kevin Goldstein	2008-12-22
Playoff Prospectus: One Through Twenty-Five?	Joe Sheehan	2008-10-21
Playoff Prospectus: One Through Twenty-Five?	Jay Jaffe	2008-10-21
World Series Prospectus: Rays versus Phillies	Joe Sheehan	2008-10-21
Playoff Prospectus: Dodgers versus Phillies	Jay Jaffe	2008-10-08
Playoff Prospectus: Phillies versus Brewers	Jay Jaffe	2008-10-01
Prospectus Hit and Run: Burning Bullpens	Jay Jaffe	2008-09-16
Wait 'Til Next Year: The Scouting Directors, NL East	Bryan Smith	2007-05-31

BP Chats

Date	Question	Answer
2011-02-08 14:00:00	Not much ca-- it's the single most popular cheese in the world! On a more serious note, am I crazy to think that J.A. Happ can actually earn his $1 salary in my NL-only 5x5 league? (clete6 from cheese shop)	For the record, I enjoy all manifestations of the terpsichorean muse. As for Happ -- sure, he should be worth a buck. His walk and strikeout rates don't exactly shout "trust me", but so far he's kept runs off the board anyway, and for a single greenback you can do far, far worse. (Ken Funck)
2010-09-15 14:00:00	I'm convinced that J.A. Happ has the ability to potentially become a number 1 starter. Since joining the Astros he's only had 1 bad start (vrs. the Cardinals). Any merit to my thinking or am I way off base here? (ryan rakickas from kentucky)	You're off base here. I see no reason why Happ cannot be successful as a middle of the rotation pitcher, or even a low-end #2, but his walks and strikeouts are not impressive, and I find it highly unlikely that he can remain successful on perceived velocity and a deceptive delivery for years to come. Plus, he isn't a 22-year old youngster coming into his own, either. What makes answers to questions like this problematic is that he really hasn't "failed" yet in the majors, so it's a matter of what analysts like me foresee against a year and a half of solid run-prevention marks. I'm rooting for Happ, and hope he can have a great career, but I also think that anyone expecting him to develop into a top of the line lefty is in for disappointment. (Eric Seidman)
2010-03-04 13:00:00	Marc, I'm in an 8-team, NL-only, 5x5 keeper league. I have both Steven Strasburg and J.A. Happ at $8 each. Would you hold onto either? Both? (GBSimons from Lunch)	$8 for Happ doesn't seem bad. I see him putting up a 4.30 ERA or so this year once everything regresses itself to where it belongs, but hey, maybe he improves his components a bit and deserves a better ERA (just not, you know, a sub-3 one). As for Strasburg, he's starting in the minors, but you may as well keep him for $8 so you don't have to overpay for him next year at auction. I like the prices more than the players for 2010, if that makes any sense. (Marc Normandin)
2009-11-19 13:00:00	Hello Joe. What does a high and low percentage of runners left on base indicate for a pitcher? (ashitaka from long beach, ca)	My understanding of strand rate is that it doesn't reflect a particular skill, but is rather a number, like BABIP or HR/FB, that tends to stabilize over time. So a one-year spike or trough in that number--I think J.A. Happ had a very low one this year--is likely to regress towards the mean, dragging an ERA with it. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-09-29 13:00:00	Garrett Jones would easily have 30+ home runs if he had come up with McCutchen. Are either viable ROY candidates in the NL? (WilliamWallace from Pittsburgh)	Jones leads NL rookies in VORP, curiously enough, with McCutchen right behind him. As good as Jones has been, I view him as a journeyman having an unsustainable season, and I wonder if the Writers will see it the same way. I think Chris Coghlan also has to be in the conversation, as well as J.A. Happ and Tommy Hanson. (Steven Goldman)
2009-04-13 14:00:00	Following up on your point on the O's, couldn't the same be said of the Phillies and their decision to have Chan Ho Park in their rotation? (mattymatty from Philly, PA)	I like that move actually. Park did a nice job of generating groundballs last year, making him a better fit for Citizens than he might otherwise be. With J.A. Happ they have the depth to make a switch to moderate both pitchers' workloads, and we know that Park has the versatility to work out of the bullpen. The Phils' real problem is the condition of Cole Hamels' elbow. If it's not in great shape, they're screwed. I'll take just a few more questions. (Jay Jaffe)

BP Roundtables

Date	Roundtable Name	Comment
2009-10-15 17:00:00	2009 NLCS Game One (Phillies/Dodgers)	What is the rationale behind J.A. Happ having become "Everyday" J.A. Happ or "Double-Duty" J.A. Happ or "Iron Man" J.A. Happ in the postseason? Too many off-days allow us to revert to 1915 usage patterns? (Steven Goldman)

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

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