Biographical

Portrait of Brandon Erbe

Brandon Erbe PRockies

Rockies Player Cards | Rockies Team Audit | Rockies Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 26)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
35.0 5.40 1.54 24 2 2 0 -0.1
Birth Date12-25-1987
Height6' 4"
Weight190 lbs
Age26 years, 9 months, 27 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
-0.12014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2005 ABE A- 3 1 7.0 2.67 136 .245 .255 .338 .375 .275 .375 92 1.0 0.1 1.0 0.1
2005 BLU Rk 11 3 23.3 1.73 156 .152 .259 .355 .383 .278 .308 68 10.6 1.0 10.6 1.0
2006 DEL A 28 27 114.1 3.24 115 .215 .249 .325 .365 .262 .310 83 26.5 2.8 26.5 2.8
2007 FRD A+ 25 25 119.3 5.67 84 .281 .267 .344 .404 .263 .329 102 2.2 0.2 2.2 0.2
2008 FRD A+ 28 28 150.7 5.99 80 .233 .261 .339 .403 .267 .256 106 5.4 0.5 5.4 0.5
2009 ABE A- 4 4 13.7 6.89 35 .269 .236 .316 .346 .248 .244 96 -2.8 -0.3 -2.8 -0.3
2009 BOW AA 14 14 73.0 4.75 87 .218 .264 .340 .392 .270 .198 95 2.3 0.2 2.3 0.2
2009 PDD Wnt 3 3 9.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .292 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2010 ABE A- 1 1 3.0 6.86 44 .145 .272 .349 .378 .271 .125 101 -0.2 -0.0 -0.2 -0.0
2010 NOR AAA 14 14 70.7 5.85 75 .286 .263 .336 .408 .255 .318 99 -2.6 -0.2 -2.6 -0.2
2011 ABE A- 4 2 3.7 12.88 -66 .301 .264 .334 .386 .268 .364 104 -1.3 -0.1 -1.3 -0.1
2011 ORI Rk 1 1 1.0 2.20 149 .204 .274 .337 .350 .270 .333 82 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0
2012 FRD A+ 19 1 30.3 5.05 92 .306 .264 .325 .403 .264 .322 100 -1.9 -0.2 -1.9 -0.2
2013 CLR A+ 4 0 6.3 3.30 122 .254 .235 .306 .349 .237 .333 99 1.2 0.1 1.2 0.1
2013 REA AA 3 0 3.7 5.83 70 .310 .256 .336 .380 .270 .429 98 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0
2014 MOD A+ 12 0 15.0 3.13 143 .234 .283 .347 .454 .278 .351 103 4.7 0.5 4.7 0.5
2014 TUL AA 5 0 4.3 11.15 -54 .365 .262 .323 .370 .255 .455 103 -2.7 -0.3 -2.7 -0.3

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2005 ABE A- 1 1 0 3 1 7.0 6 4 9 0 62% .375 7.7 5.1 0.0 11.6 1.43 7.71 1.0 0.1
2005 BLU Rk 1 1 1 11 3 23.3 8 10 48 1 50% .308 3.1 3.9 0.4 18.5 0.77 3.09 10.6 1.0
2006 DEL A 5 9 0 28 27 114.1 88 47 133 2 36% .310 6.9 3.7 0.2 10.5 1.18 3.23 26.5 2.8
2007 FRD A+ 6 8 0 25 25 119.3 127 62 111 14 47% .329 9.6 4.7 1.1 8.4 1.58 6.26 2.2 0.2
2008 FRD A+ 10 12 0 28 28 150.7 120 50 151 21 41% .256 7.2 3.0 1.3 9.0 1.13 4.30 5.4 0.5
2009 BOW AA 5 3 0 14 14 73.0 44 35 62 5 45% .198 5.4 4.3 0.6 7.6 1.08 2.34 2.3 0.2
2009 ABE A- 0 1 0 4 4 13.7 13 2 11 3 48% .244 8.5 1.3 2.0 7.2 1.09 4.60 -2.8 -0.3
2009 PDD Wnt 0 0 0 3 3 9.0 8 2 9 1 0% .292 8.0 2.0 1.0 9.0 1.11 2.00 0.0 0.0
2010 ABE A- 0 0 0 1 1 3.0 1 2 1 0 75% .125 3.0 6.0 0.0 3.0 1.00 6.00 -0.2 -0.0
2010 NOR AAA 0 10 0 14 14 70.7 86 22 50 11 36% .318 10.9 2.8 1.4 6.4 1.53 5.73 -2.6 -0.2
2011 ABE A- 0 1 0 4 2 3.7 5 1 3 1 42% .364 12.3 2.5 2.5 7.4 1.64 9.82 -1.3 -0.1
2011 ORI Rk 0 0 0 1 1 1.0 1 0 1 0 67% .333 9.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 1.00 0.00 0.5 0.0
2012 FRD A+ 2 3 0 19 1 30.3 32 24 30 4 51% .322 9.5 7.1 1.2 8.9 1.85 6.82 -1.9 -0.2
2013 REA AA 0 0 0 3 0 3.7 3 8 6 0 14% .429 7.4 19.6 0.0 14.7 3.00 9.82 -0.1 -0.0
2013 CLR A+ 0 1 0 4 0 6.3 7 1 7 0 67% .333 9.9 1.4 0.0 9.9 1.26 2.84 1.2 0.1
2014 MOD A+ 0 0 0 12 0 15.0 13 9 19 0 41% .351 7.8 5.4 0.0 11.4 1.47 0.60 4.7 0.5
2014 TUL AA 0 0 0 5 0 4.3 6 8 6 1 42% .455 12.5 16.6 2.1 12.5 3.23 16.62 -2.7 -0.3

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-06-16 2014-07-20 Minors 34 0 Right Shoulder Inflammation -
2014-05-07 2014-05-24 Minors 17 0 - Not Disclosed - -
2012-04-05 2012-05-18 Minors 43 39 Right Shoulder Recovery From Surgery Labrum 2010-08-13 -
2011-04-07 2011-07-23 Minors 107 92 Right Shoulder Recovery From Surgery Labrum 2010-08-13
2010-07-25 2010-09-06 Minors 43 0 Right Shoulder Surgery Labrum 2010-08-13
2010-06-21 2010-07-24 Minors 33 0 Right Shoulder Inflammation -
2009-10-31 2009-11-22 WIN 22 0 Right Fingers Sprain Little Finger -
2009-04-30 2009-07-12 Minors 73 0 Right Shoulder Fatigue -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
1 year (2011)

Details
  • 1 year (2011). Re-signed by Baltimore 2/11. DFA by Baltimore 8/5/11. Sent outright to AAA 8/10/11.
  • 1 year (2010). Contract purchased by Baltimore 11/18/09. Re-signed by Baltimore 3/9/10.
  • Drafted 2005 (3-93) (McDonough HS, Baltimore). $0.415M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 2.8 2.7 0.6 21 8 54.0 44 20 40 6 .258 1.17 3.76 4.09 6.1 0.6
80o 2.4 2.5 0.5 18 7 47.4 41 19 35 6 .273 1.27 4.20 4.57 2.8 0.3
70o 2.1 2.4 0.4 16 7 42.7 39 18 32 6 .284 1.34 4.53 4.92 0.8 0.1
60o 1.8 2.2 0.4 15 6 38.9 37 17 29 5 .294 1.40 4.81 5.23 -0.5 -0.1
50o 1.6 2.1 0.3 14 5 35.4 36 16 26 5 .303 1.46 5.08 5.52 -1.6 -0.2
40o 1.4 2 0.3 12 5 32.0 33 15 24 5 .312 1.52 5.35 5.81 -2.4 -0.2
30o 1.2 1.8 0.2 11 4 28.4 31 14 21 4 .322 1.59 5.65 6.14 -3.1 -0.3
20o 1 1.6 0.2 9 4 24.3 28 13 18 4 .333 1.67 6.00 6.52 -3.5 -0.4
10o 0.7 1.3 0.1 7 3 18.9 23 11 14 3 .349 1.79 6.51 7.08 -3.7 -0.4
Weighted Mean1.620.313534.53416265.3011.455.035.47-1.3-0.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
7% 13% 2% 11% 14%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
2015275614816140134631141942.2991.404.815.228.64.07.31.2-0.3
2016285514716137127581101842.2921.354.434.818.43.87.21.20.3
2017295514314127125551001642.3071.424.715.128.93.97.11.1-0.2
2018305514415130126531051742.3041.374.574.978.73.77.31.20.0
2019315514415129124511021742.2991.354.474.858.63.57.11.20.2
202032551401311711346931542.3001.364.484.878.73.57.11.20.2
202133441381311110743861442.3011.364.504.908.73.57.01.10.1
202234441361210610340811442.3021.354.534.928.83.46.91.20.1
2023354413411999737761342.3021.354.524.918.83.46.91.20.1

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
out of baseball1.91.71.6out of baseball0.75.2

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 91)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 97 James Houser 2011 0.00 DNP
2 95 Ryan Mattheus 2010 0.00 DNP
3 95 Chris Narveson 2008 0.00 DNP
4 94 Austin Adams 2013 0.00 DNP
5 94 Eric Niesen 2012 0.00 DNP
6 94 Scott Gorgen 2013 0.00 DNP
7 94 Michael Madsen 2009 0.00 DNP
8 93 Fernando Rodriguez 2010 0.00 DNP
9 93 Steven Hensley 2013 0.00 DNP
10 93 Joe Savery 2012 6.12
11 93 Jose Rosario 2012 0.00 DNP
12 93 Francisco Cruceta 2008 6.17
13 93 Ryne Reynoso 2011 0.00 DNP
14 92 Sam LeCure 2010 4.50
15 92 Jesse English 2011 0.00 DNP
16 92 Jeremy Bleich 2013 0.00 DNP
17 92 Heath Rollins 2011 0.00 DNP
18 92 Sean Smith 2010 0.00 DNP
19 92 Anthony Capra 2013 0.00 DNP
20 92 Travis Chick 2010 0.00 DNP
21 92 Adrian Alaniz 2010 0.00 DNP
22 92 David Purcey 2008 5.68
23 92 Nick Pereira 2009 0.00 DNP
24 91 Eduardo Paulino 2012 0.00 DNP
25 91 Mark Holliman 2010 0.00 DNP
26 91 Andrew Brackman 2012 0.00 DNP
27 91 Graham Godfrey 2011 5.04
28 91 Matt Buschmann 2010 0.00 DNP
29 91 Tom Koehler 2012 5.40
30 91 Chance Douglass 2010 0.00 DNP
31 91 Kevin Pucetas 2011 0.00 DNP
32 91 Amalio Diaz 2013 0.00 DNP
33 91 Matt Wright 2008 0.00 DNP
34 90 Josh Hill 2009 0.00 DNP
35 90 Armando Galarraga 2008 4.18
36 90 Justin Thomas 2010 6.23
37 90 Brett Smith 2010 0.00 DNP
38 90 David Kopp 2012 0.00 DNP
39 90 Evan Reed 2012 0.00 DNP
40 90 Justin Jones 2011 0.00 DNP
41 90 Paul Oseguera 2010 0.00 DNP
42 90 Erik Cordier 2012 0.00 DNP
43 90 Chris Seddon 2010 5.64
44 90 Stephen Marek 2010 0.00 DNP
45 90 Chuck Lofgren 2012 0.00 DNP
46 90 J.D. Martin 2009 4.68
47 90 Shane Komine 2007 4.70
48 90 Adam Bass 2008 0.00 DNP
49 90 Marco Estrada 2010 10.32
50 90 Michael Cisco 2013 0.00 DNP
51 89 Trey Hearne 2010 0.00 DNP
52 89 Bradley Holt 2013 0.00 DNP
53 89 Yohan Pino 2010 0.00 DNP
54 89 Ben Snyder 2012 0.00 DNP
55 89 Tobi Stoner 2011 0.00 DNP
56 89 Brandon Dickson 2011 3.24
57 89 Mike Hinckley 2009 4.66
58 89 Drew Naylor 2012 0.00 DNP
59 89 Kevin Thomas 2013 0.00 DNP
60 89 Cesar Valdez 2011 0.00 DNP
61 89 Jason Windsor 2009 0.00 DNP
62 89 Bryan Morris 2013 3.46
63 89 Carlos Fisher 2009 4.30
64 89 Aaron Shafer 2013 0.00 DNP
65 89 Devon Lowery 2009 0.00 DNP
66 89 Austin Bibens-Dirkx 2011 0.00 DNP
67 89 Jeremy Hefner 2012 5.19
68 89 Wes Musick 2013 0.00 DNP
69 89 Josh Wall 2013 18.00
70 89 Adam Howard 2010 0.00 DNP
71 89 Richard Zagone 2013 0.00 DNP
72 89 Richie Gardner 2008 0.00 DNP
73 89 Jose Sanchez 2010 0.00 DNP
74 89 Duane Below 2012 4.86
75 89 Matthew Green 2008 0.00 DNP
76 89 Joel Hanrahan 2008 4.38
77 89 Steven Wright 2011 0.00 DNP
78 89 Nick Schmidt 2012 0.00 DNP
79 89 Chaz Roe 2013 4.03
80 89 Paul Kometani 2009 0.00 DNP
81 89 Hector Ambriz 2010 5.77
82 88 Mike Parisi 2009 0.00 DNP
83 88 Randy Boone 2011 0.00 DNP
84 88 Bruce Billings 2012 0.00 DNP
85 88 Erik Davis 2013 3.12
86 88 Justin Mallett 2008 0.00 DNP
87 88 Brian Bass 2008 5.54
88 88 Matt Klinker 2011 0.00 DNP
89 88 Jeff Housman 2008 0.00 DNP
90 88 Wilkin De La Rosa 2011 0.00 DNP
91 88 Seth Garrison 2012 0.00 DNP
92 88 Tyler Norrick 2010 0.00 DNP
93 88 Kris Johnson 2011 0.00 DNP
94 88 Deunte Heath 2012 4.50
95 88 Sergio Perez 2011 0.00 DNP
96 88 Daniel Haigwood 2010 0.00 DNP
97 88 Bryan Evans 2013 0.00 DNP
98 88 Red Patterson 2013 0.00 DNP
99 88 Josh Hall 2007 0.00 DNP
100 88 Oliver Drake 2013 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2011 Brandon Erbe paid the ultimate price for his helter-skelter mechanics when he underwent surgery to repair a torn labrum in August. Despite a good fastball, Erbe was always a long-shot due to a delivery conceived by Picasso. Post-surgery, his chance has gone from a “Hail Mary” to that of a snowball in hell.
2010 The live-armed Erbe's fastball usually runs at 91-94 mph and can occasionally reach 96. He's got a hard slider which rates plus, and he's improved his changeup to average. What he absolutely cannot do is pitch from the stretch: his empty/runners-on split in the minors has been about the same as the difference between Alexei Ramirez and Manny Ramirez, a .259/.334 chasm that has held him back. There's also been talk of switching him to relief for his entire career, because he's got a complex, unrepeatable delivery, a history of arm trouble, much better heat than off-speed stuff—but he's still a starter for now.
2009 The optimistic will look at Erbe's repeat of the Carolina League and see improvement across the board, a pitcher who's still pretty young, and one who has a strong fastball and a plus slider. The less charitable will point out that it still doesn't rate as a good performance, the fastball is rated 3-4 mph lower than a couple of years ago, the home runs are way too frequent, and there's no third pitch. That's a description of a guy who should be shifting to the bullpen.
2008 Youth is still on Erbe's side, but 2007 was a terrible year for Baltimore's 2005 third-round pick. His control deserted him, which is not the most surprising thing given that he's a tall, skinny kid who's still growing. His fastball was still reaching the upper 90s, so he hasn't lost any velocity, his slider bites (and we mean that in a good way) and his changeup is decent, but he was always behind in the count and hitters sat and waited.
2007 Erbe, like third baseman Billy Rowell last year, was just 17 when he was drafted, giving the generally over-age Birds a pair of extremely young and talented prospects. The slightly-built Erbe throws in the mid- to upper-90s and was kept on a tight leash all season as the O`s want to bring him along slowly, to allow him to work on his pitches and command and polish up his delivery. Above all, they want to keep him healthy. Erbe`s biggest challenge might be learning to work from the stretch; he was far less effective with men on.
2006 Yes, it was a great start to a career, and the strikeouts were especially eye-popping. It`s still just the Appalachian League, and it was only 23 innings, and he`s only a 17-year-old kid, albeit one with a 97-mph fastball. With that kind of arm, you only worry about whether he can stay healthy and whether he can maintain control, which can often amount to the same thing: good mechanics means better control and less arm strain, while control also means fewer pitches and less chance of overuse-related injuries.

BP Articles

Brandon Erbe is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: The Importance of Top Prospect TrajectoriesSam Miller2014-02-12
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, March 27Zach Mortimer2013-03-28
The BP First Take: Tuesday, January 3Daniel Rathman2012-01-03
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of July 19Kevin Goldstein2011-07-20
Transaction Analysis: Junior Circuit JumbleChristina Kahrl2011-03-18
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Baltimore Orioles Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2010-11-17
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Expanding and ContractingChristina Kahrl2010-03-15
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Future Top Dogs, ALKevin Goldstein2010-03-14
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Fill'er Up!Christina Kahrl2009-11-23
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Orioles Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2009-11-09
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday Ten PackKevin Goldstein2009-11-02
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: October 20Kevin Goldstein2009-10-20
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: AFL Preview, Part ThreeKevin Goldstein2009-10-13
Prospectus Q&A: Matt WietersDavid Laurila2009-08-09
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: August 7Kevin Goldstein2009-08-07
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: Report from Camden YardsJoe Sheehan2009-05-11
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Setbacks on the Eastern FrontJohn Perrotto2009-04-26
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday Ten PackKevin Goldstein2009-04-20
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Orioles Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2009-01-26
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Who are the Next Rays?Kevin Goldstein2008-10-10
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday Ten PackKevin Goldstein2008-04-14
Future Shock: State of the Systems, AL EastKevin Goldstein2008-03-20
Future Shock: Organizational Rankings, Part 2Kevin Goldstein2008-03-05
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: AL Top 11 Prospects UpdateKevin Goldstein2008-01-10
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Orioles Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2007-10-31
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Two Steps Back, American LeagueKevin Goldstein2007-09-06
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Risers and Fallers, American LeagueKevin Goldstein2007-07-06
This article requires BP Premium accessWait 'Til Next Year: The Scouting Directors, AL EastBryan Smith2007-05-29
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: State of the Systems, AL EastKevin Goldstein2007-05-02
Lies, Damned Lies: The PECOTA Top 100Nate Silver2007-04-27
This article requires BP Premium accessLies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes On Right-handed Pitching ProspectsNate Silver2007-04-20
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: High-A PreviewKevin Goldstein2007-04-08
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Systems Retrospective, American LeagueKevin Goldstein2007-03-02
Future Shock: Top 100 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2007-02-21
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Baltimore Orioles Top Ten ProspectsKevin Goldstein2007-01-05
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Position Breakdown: Right-Handed StartersKevin Goldstein2006-08-31
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Division Roundup, AL East, 7/25/2006Kevin Goldstein2006-07-25
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Midpoint American League ReportKevin Goldstein2006-06-22
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Division Roundup, AL East, 6/13/06Kevin Goldstein2006-06-13
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: AL East RoundupKevin Goldstein2006-04-25
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Ten Teenage ThrowersKevin Goldstein2006-03-23
This article requires BP Premium accessLies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes on Prospects, Part FourNate Silver2006-03-03
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: State of the Systems: AL EastKevin Goldstein2006-03-03


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2014, Brandon Erbe threw 29 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system in 2009, all of them occuring in Fall/Winter Ball. In 2009, he relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (93mph) and Slider (81mph), also mixing in a Change (85mph) and Sinker (92mph).