Biographical

Portrait of Jonathan Papelbon

Jonathan Papelbon PRed Sox

Red Sox Player Cards | Red Sox Team Audit | Red Sox Depth Chart

Career Summary
Years IP W L SV SO ERA WARP
10 627.3 35 29 325 721 2.37 16.6
Birth Date11-23-1980
Height6' 4"
Weight215 lbs
BatsR
ThrowsR
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2005 BOS 24 17 3 34.0 16.0 18.0 3 1 0 1 0 0 148 33 11 10 4 53 17 15 3 34 2.65 4.35 4.18 6.4 0.7
2006 BOS 25 59 0 68.3 0.0 68.3 4 2 35 6 0 0 257 40 8 7 3 61 13 11 1 75 0.92 2.18 2.63 22.9 2.2
2007 BOS 26 59 0 58.3 0.0 58.3 1 3 37 3 0 0 224 30 12 12 5 50 15 15 4 84 1.85 2.52 3.05 16.4 1.6
2008 BOS 27 67 0 69.3 0.0 69.3 5 4 41 5 0 0 273 58 24 18 4 82 8 8 0 77 2.34 2.04 2.66 22.3 2.2
2009 BOS 28 66 0 68.0 0.0 68.0 1 1 38 3 0 0 285 54 15 14 5 79 24 23 4 76 1.85 3.10 1.98 24.3 2.5
2010 BOS 29 65 0 67.0 0.0 67.0 5 7 37 8 0 0 287 57 34 29 7 92 28 24 2 76 3.90 3.48 3.24 16.4 1.7
2011 BOS 30 63 0 64.3 0.0 64.3 4 1 31 3 0 0 255 50 22 21 3 72 10 9 3 87 2.94 1.57 1.87 22.1 2.4
2012 PHI 31 70 0 70.0 0.0 70.0 5 6 38 4 0 0 284 56 22 19 8 89 18 17 4 92 2.44 2.94 3.23 12.5 1.3
2013 PHI 32 61 0 61.7 0.0 61.7 5 1 29 7 0 0 254 59 23 20 6 84 11 10 1 57 2.92 3.02 3.61 7.4 0.8
2014 PHI 33 66 0 66.3 0.0 66.3 2 3 39 4 0 0 259 45 15 15 2 58 15 14 5 63 2.04 2.50 2.74 11.2 1.2
Career5933627.316.0611.335293254400252648218616547720159146277212.372.692.84161.916.6

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2003 LOW A- 13 6 32.7 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .406 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 SAR A+ 24 24 129.7 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .287 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 BOS MLB 17 3 34.0 4.18 116 .265 .267 .324 .410 .256 .322 105 6.4 0.7 6.4 0.7
2005 PME AA 14 14 87.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 -.417 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 PAW AAA 7 4 27.7 3.50 133 .182 .274 .333 .414 .245 .257 107 7.7 0.7 7.7 0.7
2006 BOS MLB 59 0 68.3 2.63 150 .164 .275 .341 .442 .261 .224 106 22.9 2.2 22.9 2.2
2007 BOS MLB 59 0 58.3 3.05 139 .168 .272 .338 .430 .266 .216 102 16.4 1.6 16.4 1.6
2008 BOS MLB 67 0 69.3 2.66 147 .202 .266 .332 .421 .262 .293 107 22.3 2.2 22.3 2.2
2009 BOS MLB 66 0 68.0 1.98 163 .212 .270 .339 .435 .266 .278 112 24.3 2.5 24.3 2.5
2010 BOS MLB 65 0 67.0 3.24 136 .229 .259 .328 .415 .259 .287 114 16.4 1.7 16.4 1.7
2011 BOS MLB 63 0 64.3 1.87 161 .197 .256 .320 .407 .262 .309 108 22.1 2.4 22.1 2.4
2012 PHI MLB 70 0 70.0 3.23 124 .231 .257 .322 .405 .261 .296 98 12.5 1.3 12.5 1.3
2013 PHI MLB 61 0 61.7 3.61 116 .229 .254 .320 .394 .260 .296 106 7.4 0.8 7.4 0.8
2014 PHI MLB 66 0 66.3 2.74 130 .191 .252 .313 .391 .263 .247 97 11.2 1.2 11.2 1.2

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2003 LOW A- 1 2 0 13 6 32.7 43 9 36 2 0% .406 11.8 2.5 0.6 9.9 1.59 6.33 0.0 0.0
2004 SAR A+ 12 7 0 24 24 129.7 97 43 153 6 0% .287 6.7 3.0 0.4 10.6 1.08 2.64 0.0 0.0
2005 PAW AAA 1 2 1 7 4 27.7 21 3 27 2 45% .257 6.8 1.0 0.6 8.8 0.87 2.92 7.7 0.7
2005 BOS MLB 3 1 0 17 3 34.0 33 17 34 4 36% .322 8.7 4.5 1.1 9.0 1.47 2.65 6.4 0.7
2005 PME AA 5 2 0 14 14 87.0 59 23 83 9 0% -.417 6.1 2.4 0.9 8.6 0.94 2.48 0.0 0.0
2006 BOS MLB 4 2 35 59 0 68.3 40 13 75 3 39% .224 5.3 1.7 0.4 9.9 0.78 0.92 22.9 2.2
2007 BOS MLB 1 3 37 59 0 58.3 30 15 84 5 29% .216 4.6 2.3 0.8 13.0 0.77 1.85 16.4 1.6
2008 BOS MLB 5 4 41 67 0 69.3 58 8 77 4 51% .293 7.5 1.0 0.5 10.0 0.95 2.34 22.3 2.2
2009 BOS MLB 1 1 38 66 0 68.0 54 24 76 5 28% .278 7.1 3.2 0.7 10.1 1.15 1.85 24.3 2.5
2010 BOS MLB 5 7 37 65 0 67.0 57 28 76 7 40% .287 7.7 3.8 0.9 10.2 1.27 3.90 16.4 1.7
2011 BOS MLB 4 1 31 63 0 64.3 50 10 87 3 38% .309 7.0 1.4 0.4 12.2 0.93 2.94 22.1 2.4
2012 PHI MLB 5 6 38 70 0 70.0 56 18 92 8 44% .296 7.2 2.3 1.0 11.8 1.06 2.44 12.5 1.3
2013 PHI MLB 5 1 29 61 0 61.7 59 11 57 6 42% .296 8.6 1.6 0.9 8.3 1.14 2.92 7.4 0.8
2014 PHI MLB 2 3 39 66 0 66.3 45 15 63 2 44% .247 6.1 2.0 0.3 8.5 0.90 2.04 11.2 1.2

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 1005 0.5572 0.5582 0.7843 0.7161 0.3596 0.8304 0.6688 0.2157
2009 1166 0.5360 0.4940 0.7847 0.6560 0.3068 0.8317 0.6687 0.2153
2010 1147 0.5022 0.5170 0.7399 0.6389 0.3923 0.8560 0.5491 0.2601
2011 998 0.5351 0.5557 0.6949 0.7135 0.3728 0.7795 0.5087 0.3032
2012 1136 0.5018 0.5097 0.7478 0.6474 0.3710 0.8049 0.6476 0.2522
2013 958 0.4969 0.4979 0.7841 0.6597 0.3382 0.8439 0.6687 0.2159
2014 1012 0.5128 0.5178 0.7615 0.6917 0.3347 0.8106 0.6545 0.2385
Career74220.52010.52070.75680.67330.35370.82290.62360.243

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-05-21 2014-05-24 DTD 3 3 Right Shoulder Cartilage Injury Labrum - -
2014-05-11 2014-05-17 DTD 6 4 - Neck Soreness - -
2014-04-21 2014-04-22 DTD 1 1 - General Medical Illness - -
2013-06-02 2013-06-04 DTD 2 2 - General Medical Illness - -
2013-03-05 2013-03-09 Camp 4 0 - General Medical Illness - -
2011-02-22 2011-03-01 Camp 7 0 General Medical Illness -
2010-04-27 2010-04-28 DTD 1 1 Low Back Tightness -
2009-09-16 2009-09-18 DTD 2 2 Low Back Tightness Slipped During Warmup -
2009-06-08 2009-06-10 DTD 2 1 General Medical Illness Food Poisoning -
2006-09-02 2006-10-01 DTD 29 26 Right Shoulder Subluxation -
2006-05-06 2006-05-10 DTD 4 3 Low Back Tightness -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2016 PHI $
2015 PHI $13,000,000
2014 PHI $13,000,000
2013 PHI $13,000,000
2012 PHI $11,000,058
2011 BOS $12,000,000
2010 BOS $9,350,000
2009 BOS $6,250,000
2008 BOS $775,000
2007 BOS $425,500
2006 BOS $335,400
YearsDescriptionSalary
8 yrPrevious$53,135,958
2011Current$13,000,000
9 yrPvs + Cur$66,135,958
1 yrFuture$13,000,000
10 yrTotal$79,135,958

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
8 y 64 dJoe Bick4 years/$50M (2012-15), 2016 option

Details
  • 4 years/$50M (2012-15), plus 2016 option. Signed by Philadelphia as a free agent 11/14/11. 12:$11,000,058, 13-15: $13M annually. 16: $13M vesting option, guaranteed with 55 games finished in 2015 or 100 games finished in 2014-15. Limited no-trade protection (may block deals to 17 clubs).
  • 1 year/$12M (2011). Re-signed by Boston 1/18/11 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$9.35M (2010). Re-signed by Boston1/19/10 (avoided arbitration). Performance bonus: $50,000 for 60 games finished.
  • 1 year/$6.25M (2009). Re-signed by Boston 1/20/09 (avoided arbitration). Award bonuses.
  • 1 year/$0.775M (2008). Re-signed by Boston 3/6/08. Award bonuses.
  • 1 year/$0.4255M (2007). Re-signed by Boston 3/07. Award bonuses.
  • 1 year/$0.3354M (2006). Re-signed by Boston 2/06.
  • 1 year (2005). Contract purchased 7/05.
  • Drafted by Boston 2003 (4-114) (Mississippi State). $264,500 signing bonus.

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BP Articles

Jonathan Papelbon is referenced in the following articles.

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One-Hoppers: The Team Entropy All-StarsJay Jaffe2011-09-29
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Transaction Analysis: Texas GunslingersJason Parks2011-07-31
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Divide and Conquer, AL East: The Pen's the ThingBen Kabak2011-04-01
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Lies, Damned Lies: The Ultimate Fantasy DraftNate Silver2008-08-21
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Lies, Damned Lies: The Age of SuspicionNate Silver2008-04-25
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-07-24 19:00:00 (link to chat)What do you think about Ken Giles and Vic Black? Saves opp in August and Sept?
(Chris from Siem Reap)
Both situations are fluid, I think Giles takes over if Jonathan Papelbon gets moved, and Vic Black might just take that job in Queens. I would put more stock in Giles but both could see saves. I like both guys. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-04-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)Among the pitchers showing early losses/gains in velocity, it seems like the media has pounced on Jonathan Papelbon even though the numbers show him to be throwing the same (mediocre) stuff as last year. Any other pitcher who you predict could have significant changes in effectiveness based on velocity alone? Too early to worry about Stephen Strasburg missing 1.5 MPH? Will Brandon McCarthy's uptick help him longterm?
(Scott from LA)
Totally agree on Paps. His key is FB command, and 3 innings is not enough to judge where he's at there.

Stras is somewhat worrisome because it comes paired with a weaker mechanical foundation than in the past. Low velo's are common in April, and I was very encouraged by the overall jump in velo in his last start compared to his outing on Opening Day (nearly +2 mph). It's too early to jump off the bridge, but there is some mechanical basis to calm our previously-held enthusiasm.

McCarthy's uptick is encouraging, though more kinetic energy in the system could be a double-edged sword for a player whose scapula doesn't hold under the rigors of pitching, so the question of "long term" is still wide open.

On the jukebox: Colin Hay, "Overkill" (Doug Thorburn)
2013-08-08 17:30:00 (link to chat)Jimmy Nelson, Chris Owings, Brandon Workman, Tyler Skaggs, and Johnny Cueto just got traded for R.A. Dickey, Jonathan Papelbon, Cliff Lee, and Adam Dunn in my league. Not a fan of the veto so I wont veto this trade in my league, but just how lopsided is this for the side receiving Lee, Dickey, etc.?
(Gary from Georgia)
Hi Gary:

It depends on if your league has contracts or allows you to slot guys into rounds if you have a draft league. Cueto is a potentially strong keep assuming health and Skaggs has a nice ceiling. I've seen leagues where getting Cueto and Skaggs will net you four players, and it's not like Dickey or Dunn have been anything close to elite. It sounds like this is atypical for your league, though. The answer to these types of questions often depend more on your league culture than anything else. (Mike Gianella)
2013-04-16 20:00:00 (link to chat)How do I value Addison Reed if I just started a dynasty rebuild? I know closers should be the first thing to go in a rebuild, but I can't help but believe he's relatively stable and likely to help me when I compete again in 2-3 years. Thanks
(JoeTinker from Chicago)
Here is a list of all closers who recorded 25 or more saves in 2010: Brian Wilson (48), Heath Bell (47), Rafael Soriano (45), Joakim Soria (43), Matt Capps (42), Neftali Feliz (40), Francisco Cordero (40), Carlos Marmol (38), Billy Wagner (37), Jonathan Papelbon (37), Kevin Gregg (37), Mariano Rivera (33), David Aardsma (31), Juan Oviedo (30), Bobby Jenks (27), Ryan Franklin (27), Brad Lidge (27), Jose Valverde (26), Francisco Rodriguez (25) and Andrew Bailey (25). (Bret Sayre)
2013-02-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)I have an intense dislike for Miguel Cabrera that burns as bright as your (and my) love for Allen Craig. That said, should I avoid Miggy in my auction, or go after if and trade him after the draft?
(Jonah from Phoenix, AZ)
I never let my personal disdain cloud my fantasy judgment. I'd even roster Jonathan Papelbon. Why not just go for Braun, Stanton, Trout, Kemp types instead of having to worry about finagling a trade? (Paul Sporer)
2013-01-29 14:00:00 (link to chat)With David Wells now retired for several years, which MLB player has taken on the mantle of "Most Likely to Adjust Himself (Down There) After Every Pitch"?
(Paul from DC)
I got a good laugh out of this one, Paul. Jonathan Papelbon seems like the obvious answer. (Daniel Rathman)
2012-01-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Jay. I was having a conversation with some friends and we were wondering whether the current iteration of the Red Sox has any Hall of Famers on it. What do you think? Also, if you haven't addressed this already, Posada: yes or no? Thanks for the chat!
(mattymatty2000 from Portland, OR)
There's nobody who's a lock, that's for sure. Youkilis doesn't even have 1,000 hits yet, let alone the era's de facto minimum of 2,000. Ortiz has the PED connection and the DH problem. Varitek doesn't even have Posada's credentials. Pedroia and Ellsbury have the potential but they're still mostly potential as far as building cases go - they don't even have good peak scores yet. Late note: I completely forgot about Adrian Gonzalez, who has three straight seasons of at least 6.0 WARP and doesn't turn 30 until May - he's got a stronger JAWS-based case than Pedroia so far. H/T to Cliff Corcoran for pointing out the omission.

Sad to say, the recent Red Sock who might have been building the best case for the Hall of Fame might be the guy who got away, Jonathan Papelbon, in that - much as I loathe him - he's got the talent to wind up better than Trevor Hoffman, if not Mariano Rivera. Still a looooong ways to go on that front, too. (Jay Jaffe's Hall of Fame Special)
2010-09-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Please fill in the blank. This is the best NL Rookie Class since ________ (blank). Thanks! Bobby
(Bobby from New York)
Are we going strictly by league? Because the 2007 class had Ryan Braun, Troy Tulowitzki, Dustin Pedroia and Josh Hamilton among hitters, Tim Lincecum and Joakim Soria among pitchers. 2006 had Hanley Ramirez, Ryan Zimmerman, Andre Ethier, Prince Fielder, Ian Kinsler, Francisco Liriano, Justin Verlander, Jered Weaver, Josh Johnson, Matt Cain, Cole Hamels, Jonathan Papelbon (who used to not suck), Jonathan Broxton (ditto)...

There's a lot to be excited about with this year's rookie class (Posey, Heyward, Santana, Stanton) but I'm in no rush to appoint them the best class of the past five years until I see much more. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-08-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Marc, thanks for the chat. Assuming, as it seems relatively safe to do, that the Red Sox miss the playoffs, what do you do this winter if you're Theo Epstein?
(mattymatty2000 from Portland, OR)
Re-sign Beltre, let Victor walk (picks!), install Saltalamacchia as the starting catcher, pick up Ortiz' option for 2011 rather than signing him to a longer deal with fewer dollars, try to convince Bill Hall to stay for something less than the $7.5M Milwaukee was just paying him, trade Jacoby Ellsbury for a front line relief pitcher + prospect, sign Carl Crawford, shift Kalish to center and hope he doesn't put on any more bulk that will push him to a corner, examine the trade market for Jonathan Papelbon in the off chance someone is willing to give up top prospects for his services. If Papelbon goes, sign Heath Bell. (Marc Normandin)
2010-07-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)So is Feliz going to get Paplebbon'd and Chamberlain'd long term?
(Bobby from Iraq)
I don't think so, not yet. He's been great out of the bullpen, but I don't think he's been Jonathan Papelbon levels of great. It makes no sense to sacrifice 130 innings in order to keep him in the pen long-term--you have to be pretty amazing to make that worth it, something Tommy Bennett and I discussed earlier in the season. (Marc Normandin)
2009-09-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)What's wrong with Jonathan Papelbon?
(Eric Gagne from Canada)
He was great in 2008 because his low walk rate made up for the dip in strikeouts. This year he's around the same K rate, but with more than triple the walk rate of 2008. His fastball has nowhere near the run value it used to, which isn't because of a velocity drop and more because everyone knows it's coming. The less he uses his splitter, the more he uses his fastball. (Marc Normandin)
2008-05-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)Why isn't Carlos Marmol starting?
(Rob from Bloomington, IL)
Because I think this is one of those Jonathan Papelbon cases where a guy has so outperformed expectations in the bullpen that you don't tinker with that. I think I'd honestly rather try Kerry Wood in the rotation and make Marmol my closer. (Nate Silver)
2008-02-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)The notion of moving Joakim Soria to the rotation... do it now, do it never, or do it later?
(BL from Bozeman)
He's had some problems in the past, and when you're as good as he's been initially in a relief role, as Jonathan Papelbon demonstrates, it becomes very hard to move past the automatic instinct to not fix what isn't broken. (Christina Kahrl)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Jonathan Papelbon has thrown 7,862 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2007 and 2014, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season, the MLB Postseason and Spring Training. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (92mph), also mixing in a Splitter (87mph) and Slider (81mph).