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2013 Projections (seasonal age 27) - Rest of Season Projections
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| YEAR | TEAM | AGE | G | GS | IP | IP-SP | IP-RP | W | L | SV | BS | QS | BQS | PA | H | R | ER | HR | TB | BB | UBB | HBP | SO | ERA | FIP | FRA | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | OAK | 22 | 10 | 7 | 34.0 | 28.0 | 6.0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 163 | 32 | 34 | 29 | 9 | 71 | 25 | 24 | 3 | 34 | 7.68 | 7.07 | 8.99 | -7.7 | -0.8 |
| 2009 | OAK | 23 | 20 | 17 | 98.7 | 89.0 | 9.7 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 455 | 113 | 68 | 63 | 14 | 185 | 56 | 54 | 1 | 109 | 5.75 | 4.51 | 4.99 | 11.3 | 1.1 |
| 2010 | OAK | 24 | 33 | 33 | 200.7 | 200.7 | 0.0 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 851 | 171 | 75 | 72 | 15 | 246 | 92 | 91 | 4 | 171 | 3.23 | 3.75 | 4.33 | 14.2 | 1.8 |
| 2011 | OAK | 25 | 32 | 32 | 202.0 | 202.0 | 0.0 | 16 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 864 | 175 | 81 | 70 | 17 | 255 | 91 | 90 | 8 | 197 | 3.12 | 3.68 | 3.94 | 22.8 | 2.5 |
| 2012 | WAS | 26 | 32 | 32 | 199.3 | 199.3 | 0.0 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 822 | 149 | 69 | 64 | 9 | 217 | 76 | 73 | 5 | 207 | 2.89 | 2.87 | 3.36 | 37.4 | 4.0 |
| 2013 | WAS | 27 | 9 | 9 | 51.7 | 51.7 | 0.0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 218 | 39 | 24 | 23 | 6 | 68 | 24 | 24 | 1 | 52 | 4.01 | 3.90 | 4.08 | 6.6 | 0.7 |
| Career | 136 | 130 | 786.3 | 770.7 | 15.7 | 62 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 3 | 3373 | 679 | 351 | 321 | 70 | 1042 | 364 | 356 | 22 | 770 | 3.67 | 3.76 | 4.25 | 84.6 | 9.3 | ||
Advanced
'opp' stats - quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.| YEAR | Team | Lg | G | GS | IP | FRA | FRA+ | TAv | oppAVG | oppOBP | oppSLG | oppTAv | BABIP | PPF | PVORP | PWARP | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | KAN | A | 8 | 8 | 40.7 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .297 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2004 | BRI | Rk | 7 | 6 | 24.0 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .327 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2005 | KAN | A | 11 | 10 | 57.7 | 3.20 | 122 | .199 | .265 | .340 | .395 | .265 | .275 | 86 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2005 | WNS | A+ | 13 | 13 | 73.3 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | -.509 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2006 | REA | AA | 27 | 27 | 154.0 | 5.66 | 66 | .272 | .256 | .326 | .397 | .263 | .286 | 97 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | BIR | AA | 27 | 27 | 150.0 | 3.86 | 111 | .226 | .268 | .348 | .410 | .270 | .297 | 93 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | OAK | MLB | 10 | 7 | 34.0 | 8.99 | -5 | .339 | .277 | .338 | .429 | .271 | .250 | 93 | -7.7 | -0.8 | -7.7 | -0.8 |
| 2008 | SAC | AAA | 23 | 22 | 123.0 | 5.12 | 90 | .244 | .287 | .357 | .458 | .273 | .293 | 96 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2009 | OAK | MLB | 20 | 17 | 98.7 | 4.99 | 90 | .306 | .276 | .341 | .442 | .273 | .360 | 95 | 11.3 | 1.1 | 11.3 | 1.1 |
| 2009 | SAC | AAA | 12 | 12 | 61.0 | 4.21 | 100 | .226 | .280 | .352 | .439 | .271 | .259 | 92 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2010 | OAK | MLB | 33 | 33 | 200.7 | 4.33 | 96 | .245 | .268 | .331 | .418 | .268 | .274 | 93 | 14.6 | 1.5 | 14.2 | 1.8 |
| 2011 | OAK | MLB | 32 | 32 | 202.0 | 3.94 | 105 | .251 | .268 | .329 | .427 | .272 | .287 | 93 | 22.8 | 2.4 | 22.8 | 2.5 |
| 2012 | WAS | MLB | 32 | 32 | 199.3 | 3.36 | 121 | .222 | .264 | .329 | .425 | .271 | .267 | 99 | 37.6 | 4.0 | 37.4 | 4.0 |
| 2013 | WAS | MLB | 9 | 9 | 51.7 | 4.08 | 103 | .246 | .252 | .319 | .414 | .264 | .246 | 101 | 5.4 | 0.6 | 6.6 | 0.7 |
| 2013 | USA | int | 1 | 1 | 5.0 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .231 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Career | MLB | 130 | 786.3 | 4.55 | 92 | .253 | .268 | .331 | .425 | .270 | .284 | 70 | 46.4 | 4.9 | 47.2 | 5.3 | ||
Statistics For All Levels
| Year | Team | Lg | W | L | SV | G | GS | IP | H | BB | SO | HR | GB% | BABIP | H/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | K/9 | WHIP | ERA | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | BRI | Rk | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 24.0 | 17 | 8 | 36 | 0 | 0% | .327 | 6.4 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 13.5 | 1.04 | 2.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2004 | KAN | A | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 40.7 | 39 | 20 | 34 | 1 | 0% | .297 | 8.6 | 4.4 | 0.2 | 7.5 | 1.45 | 3.76 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2005 | KAN | A | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 10 | 57.7 | 36 | 22 | 84 | 3 | 49% | .275 | 5.6 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 13.1 | 1.01 | 1.87 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2005 | WNS | A+ | 8 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 73.3 | 61 | 25 | 79 | 5 | 0% | -.509 | 7.5 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 9.7 | 1.17 | 3.56 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2006 | REA | AA | 7 | 12 | 0 | 27 | 27 | 154.0 | 140 | 81 | 166 | 24 | 43% | .286 | 8.2 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 9.7 | 1.44 | 4.68 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | BIR | AA | 9 | 7 | 0 | 27 | 27 | 150.0 | 116 | 57 | 185 | 10 | 54% | .297 | 7.0 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 11.1 | 1.15 | 3.18 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | SAC | AAA | 8 | 7 | 0 | 23 | 22 | 123.0 | 106 | 61 | 128 | 12 | 42% | .293 | 7.8 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 9.4 | 1.36 | 4.24 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | OAK | MLB | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 34.0 | 32 | 25 | 34 | 9 | 44% | .250 | 8.5 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 9.0 | 1.68 | 7.68 | -7.7 | -0.8 |
| 2009 | SAC | AAA | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 61.0 | 42 | 34 | 71 | 5 | 45% | .259 | 6.2 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 10.5 | 1.25 | 2.51 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2009 | OAK | MLB | 6 | 7 | 0 | 20 | 17 | 98.7 | 113 | 56 | 109 | 14 | 47% | .360 | 10.3 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 9.9 | 1.71 | 5.75 | 11.3 | 1.1 |
| 2010 | OAK | MLB | 15 | 9 | 0 | 33 | 33 | 200.7 | 171 | 92 | 171 | 15 | 51% | .274 | 7.7 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 7.7 | 1.31 | 3.23 | 14.2 | 1.8 |
| 2011 | OAK | MLB | 16 | 12 | 0 | 32 | 32 | 202.0 | 175 | 91 | 197 | 17 | 48% | .287 | 7.8 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 8.8 | 1.32 | 3.12 | 22.8 | 2.5 |
| 2012 | WAS | MLB | 21 | 8 | 0 | 32 | 32 | 199.3 | 149 | 76 | 207 | 9 | 50% | .267 | 6.7 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 9.3 | 1.13 | 2.89 | 37.4 | 4.0 |
| 2013 | WAS | MLB | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 51.7 | 39 | 24 | 52 | 6 | 41% | .246 | 6.8 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 9.1 | 1.22 | 4.01 | 6.6 | 0.7 |
| 2013 | USA | int | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5.0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0% | .231 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 0.60 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Injury History beta
| Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011-05-27 | 2011-05-27 | DTD | 0 | 0 | Left | Ankle | Sprain | Fielding | - | |
| 2009-03-13 | 2009-04-02 | Camp | 20 | 0 | Right | Shoulder | Stiffness | - | ||
| 2009-03-08 | 2009-03-12 | Camp | 4 | 0 | General Medical | Illness | - |
Compensation
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BP Articles
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BP Chats
| Date | Question | Answer |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-01-30 13:00:00 | I was in Politics and Prose this weekend (ok I was in the pizza joint down the block) and was wondering if you guys would be making it down there again soon. Also, do you see the Nats rotation of Stephen Strasburg, Jordan Zimmermann and Gio Gonzalez being one of the top in the league in the next few years? (Charlie from Bethesda, MD) | We will definitely be there in March, and I know many of us are looking forward to it. As for the Nats' top three, it's an impressive bunch and I'd like to think they will be (or are) among the top in the league right now, but with pitchers it's always good to hedge your bets a little. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2011-12-20 13:00:00 | I understand that the Nats are talking to the A's about a potential 4-for-1 deal for Gio Gonzalez. What would be a fair package for the Nats to pay? What kind of package would be too much for them to pay? Do you think Gio would be enough for the Nats to contend this year?
+1/2St. (HalfStreet from Fairfax VA) | It's always hard to do the math on these in 30 seconds, so I may say something stupid. But PECOTA has Gio producing 3.7 WARP in 2012, so if we think he can hold that he'll be a 15-WARP player over the next four years, and be paid something like $25 million total. So, super valuable. Maybe Norris+Cole+Desmond or Storen? I don't know, that might be light, but it's a guess.
It's possible Gio gets the Nats there in 2012, but 25 games is a ton of games to make up. Really, their window is 2013-2016, unless they also sign Fielder this winter. I think they'll wait a year, consolidate a bit, bump payroll way up and be the next offseason's Marlins. (Sam Miller) |
| 2011-12-20 13:00:00 | Is there any way for the Nationals to acquire Gio Gonzalez without dealing Jordan Zimmerman or Anthony Rendon? (Mikell from Chicago) | They can't trade Rendon, at least not yet. (Sam Miller) |
| 2011-12-20 13:00:00 | Word is out that Roy Oswalt will now settle for a one-year contract, instead of the 3-year deal he originally sought. If you are right about the Nats' window of contention really starting in 2013, might Oswalt for a year and an option be better than spending the farm on Gio Gonzalez? (HalfStreet from Fairfax VA) | Speed round, then? Speed round.
A lot of teams have more incentive to sign Oswalt to that deal than the Nationals do right now, so a lot of teams would probably pay him more. The Nationals should just relax and be patient, I guess. Or get Fielder and Oswalt now and then trade for Gio, because who knows, maybe we'll all die by 2013 anyway. (Sam Miller) |
| 2011-05-26 13:00:00 | Do you think Gio Gonzalez has turned a corner and become an elite SP? (Bruce from toronto) | I don't feel comfortable saying he is elite just yet, but above average? Yes. (R.J. Anderson) |
| 2011-05-04 19:00:00 | This year and Long term, who do you like most of the A's young starters? (Bryan from LA) | In both cases, Gio Gonzalez with Cahill right behind him. BIG fan. (Jason Collette (note time)) |
| 2011-03-09 13:00:00 | Rank these guys 2011 fantasy season's: Marcum, Jonathan Sanchez, Gio Gonzalez, Ricky Romero? (Tony from Albuquerque) | How did Marcum get in that list? I think he's the best of them, but he's the soft-throwing righty and the other three are wild southpaws. Gonzalez, Sanchez, Romero afterwards. (Jeremy Greenhouse) |
| 2011-02-14 13:00:00 | How do you see Gio Gonzalez playing out this year? (Tony from Albuquerque) | I've always been pretty optimistic about him. It's been about gaining maturity, and I think he has a chance to put it all together this year. FWIW, PECOTA agrees with me. (Tommy Bennett) |
| 2010-09-21 13:00:00 | Gio Gonzalez's ERA if he were pitching in Baltimore? (Daniel from Oakland) | I wrote this article earlier in the year about Gio Gonzalez and Charlie Morton, to say that in a lot of ways they were very, very similar, and context was the key to both of their seasons to that point. Morton went on the DL the next day though so it was scrapped, but I should revisit that this winter, yeah?
Gonzalez is a solid pitcher, but he has benefited big time from that park and the D in Oakland. I would say 4.30 maybe, in Baltimore? He's better than that, but maybe Baltimore isn't. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2010-07-29 16:30:00 | I don't have any illusions that the A's are anything but pretenders this season. But with Trevor Cahill and Gio Gonzalez taking steps forward and assuming a healthy Brett Anderson, what do the A's need to do this offseason to have a shot at the playoffs in 2011? (Dave from Chicago) | The A's probably aren't going to be big spenders, so for them, it's really a matter of adding value. Getting someone like Ben Sheets clearly didn't work, but smart risks are obviously something the A's need to be good at to succeed. They have a lot of young talent, so most of their success is going to hinge on those players improving. (Matt Swartz) |
| 2010-03-08 13:00:00 | How do you think the A's should round out their rotation between Trevor Cahill, Gio Gonzalez, Vin Mazzaro, and Clay Mortensen (long shot, I know)? (Dave from Chicago) | I don't pretend to know more than the A's about their own pitchers. Obviously Sheets will mix in there. I think the interesting thing will be how they apportion the innings. Do they put some of those starters in the pen? Do they set up a Sacramento shuttle? There's a certain number of innings that you want from your starters - let's say its 972 (6 innings per for 162 games). How do you get the BEST outcomes in the most number of those innings? (Will Carroll) |
| 2010-01-28 14:00:00 | Is this a make or break year for Gio Gonzalez? (dwiest12 from NoVA) | Given that, with the Sheets signing, the odds that he'll be spending a good chunk of the early going in Sacramento just became that much greater, I certainly don't think so. (Christina Kahrl) |
| 2009-05-18 14:00:00 | What's holding Gio Gonzalez back? I know Keith Law has never been a big fan, but everyone else seemed to be pretty high on him. What's the deal? (Dave from Chicago) | I think the problem with Gonzalez is sort of an issue you might compare to the dilemma with tweener outfielders, where you know he's too good to just be the next situational lefty, but he's also not someone gifted with the kind of put-away pitches in his assortment that makes it easy to say you want to give him a rotation slot and watch him take a few hammerings at the hands of big-league lineups. A lefty with a plus curve and sporadically interesting velocity on his heat is a lefty who needs to get consistent with that fastball before he's going to stick as a starter. If it takes a few years to see if he can, that's OK, but if he can't, I'd expect the breaking stuff and his relatively smooth mechanics to get him a money-making career in relief work deep into his 30s. (Christina Kahrl) |
| 2008-09-12 13:00:00 | I know Gio Gonzalez is only 22, but shouldn't we see something from him?? He hasn't looked very good. (Drew W from NoVa) | Bumpy starts to a career--especially on a team with some pretty significant defensive issues--should come as a surprise. I don't think he's going to be the new Dana Allison. (Christina Kahrl) |
| 2008-07-29 16:00:00 | After apparently coming into his own, Gio Gonzalez just took another step back recently with yet another poor AAA performance. Gio Gonzalez = Oliver Perez? Hard-throwing erratic lefties who can either be lights out out any given day or chalk up a 2/3 of an inning 7 runs line just as easily. (dtrainmets from NYC) | Not the worst comparison on the surface, but Gonzalez has that cosmic bender and I've never heard attitude issues. Perez was a terror when he was in Indy, not disruptive, but just didn't care. (Will Carroll) |
| 2008-07-07 13:00:00 | In your Ten Pack today, you noted that Gio Gonzalez has either been very good or very bad in his outings. This raises an interesting question. Most baseball statistics measure central tendency; why haven't sabermetricians incorporated some measure of variance into their thinking about baseball players? (Dan D. from Medford, MA) | This is an excellent question, and one I am totally not qualified to answer -- I'm hoping one of the many people that ARE qualified to do so will see it. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2008-05-05 12:30:00 | Bryan: James Simmons is ahead of Gio Gonzalez? Based on your comment about de los Santos, does this mean the A's got next to nothing for Swisher? (oira61 from San Francisco) | Uh oh, I feel like what I wrote got contorted a bit. I certainly didn't mean to imply ... that. My comment about de los Santos was that he shouldn't be clumped below Brett Anderson because of a bad month. Simmons and Gio are probably on equal timetables to help the Majors. I know KG saw and heard great reports concerning Gio in Spring Training, so I'm not closing any doors. I think they got good value for Swisher, it's just going to take some time. (Bryan Smith) |
| 2008-03-19 13:00:00 | Which pitcher will be brought up from AAA first Kershaw, Price, Gio Gonzalez, or Cueto (if he spends anytime in the minors at all)? (Brandon from Boston) | I'd guess Cueto will make the team and that Kershaw will be up in June or so. Gonzalez seems more the type that will come up in case of injury and Price is, I think, a September guy. (Will Carroll) |
| 2008-03-17 12:00:00 | Hey Mike, here's a question that appears to be growing more and more relevant: of the following up-and-coming SPs, can you rank them in terms of value they will provide to a fantasy team THIS YEAR assuming they all get spots in the rotation? The SPs are Manny Parra, Edinson Volquez, Johnny Cueto, Ian Kennedy, Gio Gonzalez and Jonathan Sanchez. This should be relevant to most fantasy players looking to make a great WW pickup early in the season. (The Grinch from Whoville) | I guess you were one of the millions to go see see Horton hears a Who huh?
Parra is making the Brewers make a tough decision but may not make the club at first. Volquez has a lot to prove. Cueto and Kennedy are arms that the Reds and yanks absolutely love and right now they are my top two of this list. I can't see Gio not being a member of the rotation this year at some point but when is up to a few factors and Sanchez like parra is nice sleeper with high upside. Solid list of names. (Mike Siano) |
| 2008-03-17 12:00:00 | Trying to find a last-round pitcher to add to my bench. Should I go safe (Scott Baker), daring (Gio Gonzalez) or somewhere in between (VandenHurk, Duchscherer)? (euqubud from Seattle, WA) | dont mind baker or gio but baker first due to safety. he is after all the twins "ace". (Mike Siano) |
| 2008-03-07 13:00:00 | Who do you think comes up first, Gio Gonzalez or Johnny Cueto, and which do you think has the better chance of having success for this year? (Momar from USA) | Gonzalez, I think, just because the A's rotation is a little more unsettled, and he's more or less considered a medium-risk, medium-reward guy who should be ready relatively soon. Gonzalez is a good example of a prospect you might grab late in a fantasy draft with an eye toward actually getting something out of him in the second half of 2008. (Nate Silver) |
| 2008-01-17 14:00:00 | Great work as always Christina...Something that hasn't really been discussed with all the A's trades is: Can an org. really sift throgh all the prospects given the fact that most prospects need some time at the MLB level to settle in? IOW, the first slumps that CarGo or Gio experience isn't it easier to just bring up Cunningham or Eveland or whatever rather than let the "first" guys play through the rough. (hrwest from Marina Del Rey) | That's always the challenge, though, from an organizational management perspective--how do you create the circumstances for success for any one and all of your players? CarGo has the virtue of being one of the team's very few options in center; I suspect if somebody's going to bounce around, it'll be one of the pitchers. OTOH, I wouldn't necessarily put Eveland behind Gio Gonzalez--the hefty lefty's as ready as he'll ever be, while I'd like to see Gonzalez spend some time in Sacto showing that last season's gains in Double-A have stuck. (Christina Kahrl) |
| 2008-01-09 13:00:00 | Kevin, how about an Oakland A's top 11 Redux Redux following the Swisher trade? Where would Gio Gonzalez rank? Does this deal change your opinion as to his potential to make a big league impact over the next 2 to 3 years? (Dan from CT) | Ok! How about a Redux for every American League team that has made moves to effect their rankings? You'll see that tommorow! 2008 and I'm ahead of the game! (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2008-01-09 13:00:00 | Do the A's give Gio Gonzalez a shot at a rotation spot in ST, or will they want to look at him at AAA for the first half before bringing him up? (Dan from CT) | They're rebuilding, they're not in a hurry, so no need to rush him. He's Triple-A bound. (Kevin Goldstein) |
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