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2013 Projections (seasonal age 28) - Rest of Season Projections
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| YEAR | TEAM | AGE | G | GS | IP | IP-SP | IP-RP | W | L | SV | BS | QS | BQS | PA | H | R | ER | HR | TB | BB | UBB | HBP | SO | ERA | FIP | FRA | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | CHA | 22 | 26 | 26 | 139.0 | 139.0 | 0.0 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 622 | 160 | 92 | 85 | 28 | 284 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 109 | 5.50 | 5.61 | 5.45 | 8.7 | 0.9 |
| 2008 | CHA | 23 | 33 | 33 | 195.0 | 195.0 | 0.0 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 804 | 182 | 74 | 72 | 15 | 274 | 57 | 56 | 4 | 159 | 3.32 | 3.47 | 3.94 | 35.5 | 3.7 |
| 2009 | CHA | 24 | 32 | 32 | 200.3 | 200.3 | 0.0 | 13 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 839 | 184 | 89 | 84 | 28 | 309 | 73 | 72 | 5 | 149 | 3.77 | 4.64 | 5.12 | 12.5 | 1.5 |
| 2010 | CHA | 25 | 32 | 32 | 213.0 | 213.0 | 0.0 | 15 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 878 | 189 | 93 | 88 | 18 | 284 | 70 | 68 | 4 | 162 | 3.72 | 3.67 | 4.20 | 28.3 | 3.3 |
| 2011 | CHA | 26 | 27 | 27 | 170.3 | 170.3 | 0.0 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 728 | 182 | 89 | 82 | 19 | 284 | 46 | 41 | 7 | 135 | 4.33 | 3.86 | 4.21 | 21.4 | 2.4 |
| 2012 | CHA | 27 | 9 | 9 | 53.7 | 53.7 | 0.0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 238 | 57 | 35 | 34 | 7 | 93 | 23 | 23 | 1 | 30 | 5.70 | 4.97 | 5.22 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Career | 159 | 159 | 971.3 | 971.3 | 0.0 | 57 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 88 | 10 | 4109 | 954 | 472 | 445 | 115 | 1528 | 323 | 310 | 25 | 744 | 4.12 | 4.21 | 4.58 | 106.9 | 11.9 | ||
Advanced
'opp' stats - quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.| YEAR | Team | Lg | G | GS | IP | FRA | FRA+ | TAv | oppAVG | oppOBP | oppSLG | oppTAv | BABIP | PPF | PVORP | PWARP | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | SPO | A- | 5 | 5 | 12.7 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .343 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2004 | CLN | A | 14 | 8 | 49.7 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .279 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2004 | STO | A+ | 13 | 13 | 55.0 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .345 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2005 | BAK | A+ | 10 | 10 | 57.7 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | -.592 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2005 | FRI | AA | 18 | 17 | 98.3 | 5.12 | 84 | .296 | .274 | .342 | .422 | .275 | .349 | 96 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2006 | FRI | AA | 13 | 13 | 69.0 | 3.98 | 104 | .283 | .274 | .352 | .427 | .290 | .344 | 95 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2006 | OKL | AAA | 14 | 13 | 70.2 | 4.55 | 85 | .284 | .272 | .342 | .424 | .272 | .293 | 88 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | CHA | MLB | 26 | 26 | 139.0 | 5.45 | 91 | .292 | .280 | .347 | .440 | .273 | .309 | 102 | 9.1 | 0.9 | 8.7 | 0.9 |
| 2008 | CHA | MLB | 33 | 33 | 195.0 | 3.94 | 117 | .234 | .273 | .342 | .432 | .271 | .293 | 101 | 34.8 | 3.5 | 35.5 | 3.7 |
| 2009 | CHA | MLB | 32 | 32 | 200.3 | 5.12 | 93 | .254 | .276 | .343 | .442 | .273 | .267 | 99 | 13.1 | 1.3 | 12.5 | 1.5 |
| 2010 | CHA | MLB | 32 | 32 | 213.0 | 4.20 | 109 | .236 | .268 | .334 | .421 | .271 | .274 | 104 | 27.2 | 2.8 | 28.3 | 3.3 |
| 2011 | CHA | MLB | 27 | 27 | 170.3 | 4.21 | 107 | .267 | .269 | .330 | .423 | .272 | .313 | 102 | 21.8 | 2.3 | 21.4 | 2.4 |
| 2011 | CHR | AAA | 2 | 2 | 9.0 | 4.02 | 114 | .156 | .246 | .307 | .394 | .238 | .294 | 105 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2012 | CHA | MLB | 9 | 9 | 53.7 | 5.22 | 84 | .280 | .263 | .328 | .419 | .268 | .282 | 102 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 2012 | CHR | AAA | 1 | 1 | 4.0 | 12.76 | -89 | .000 | .272 | .349 | .436 | .242 | .267 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2013 | CHR | AAA | 3 | 3 | 15.7 | 6.34 | 74 | .281 | .263 | .344 | .422 | .265 | .286 | 106 | -0.9 | -0.1 | -0.9 | -0.1 |
| 2013 | BIR | aax | 1 | 1 | 7.0 | 5.64 | 44 | .219 | .260 | .330 | .429 | .276 | .174 | 81 | -1.0 | -0.1 | -1.0 | -0.1 |
| Career | MLB | 159 | 971.3 | 4.54 | 104 | .256 | .272 | .338 | .430 | .272 | .289 | 96 | 106.0 | 10.9 | 106.4 | 11.7 | ||
Statistics For All Levels
| Year | Team | Lg | W | L | SV | G | GS | IP | H | BB | SO | HR | GB% | BABIP | H/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | K/9 | WHIP | ERA | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | SPO | A- | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 12.7 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 0% | .343 | 8.5 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 9.2 | 1.50 | 8.50 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2004 | CLN | A | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 8 | 49.7 | 38 | 14 | 64 | 4 | 0% | .279 | 6.9 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 11.6 | 1.05 | 2.17 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2004 | STO | A+ | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 55.0 | 62 | 26 | 48 | 5 | 0% | .345 | 10.1 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 7.9 | 1.60 | 5.24 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2005 | FRI | AA | 4 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 17 | 98.3 | 117 | 34 | 85 | 12 | 43% | .349 | 10.7 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 7.8 | 1.54 | 5.49 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2005 | BAK | A+ | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 57.7 | 50 | 16 | 53 | 5 | 0% | -.592 | 7.8 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 8.3 | 1.14 | 2.50 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2006 | OKL | AAA | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 13 | 70.2 | 67 | 34 | 72 | 11 | 39% | .293 | 8.6 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 9.2 | 1.44 | 4.36 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2006 | FRI | AA | 5 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 69.0 | 74 | 22 | 82 | 11 | 39% | .344 | 9.7 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 10.7 | 1.39 | 4.17 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | CHA | MLB | 6 | 13 | 0 | 26 | 26 | 139.0 | 160 | 54 | 109 | 28 | 38% | .309 | 10.4 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 7.1 | 1.54 | 5.50 | 8.7 | 0.9 |
| 2008 | CHA | MLB | 12 | 9 | 0 | 33 | 33 | 195.0 | 182 | 57 | 159 | 15 | 44% | .293 | 8.4 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 7.3 | 1.23 | 3.32 | 35.5 | 3.7 |
| 2009 | CHA | MLB | 13 | 11 | 0 | 32 | 32 | 200.3 | 184 | 73 | 149 | 28 | 46% | .267 | 8.3 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 6.7 | 1.28 | 3.77 | 12.5 | 1.5 |
| 2010 | CHA | MLB | 15 | 11 | 0 | 32 | 32 | 213.0 | 189 | 70 | 162 | 18 | 46% | .274 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 6.8 | 1.22 | 3.72 | 28.3 | 3.3 |
| 2011 | CHA | MLB | 8 | 12 | 0 | 27 | 27 | 170.3 | 182 | 46 | 135 | 19 | 46% | .313 | 9.6 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 7.1 | 1.34 | 4.33 | 21.4 | 2.4 |
| 2011 | CHR | AAA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9.0 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 47% | .294 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.22 | 2.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2012 | CHA | MLB | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 53.7 | 57 | 23 | 30 | 7 | 46% | .282 | 9.6 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 5.0 | 1.49 | 5.70 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 2012 | CHR | AAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 53% | .267 | 9.0 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 1.25 | 2.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2013 | BIR | aax | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 50% | .174 | 6.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.86 | 2.57 | -1.0 | -0.1 |
| 2013 | CHR | AAA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15.7 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 1 | 49% | .286 | 7.5 | 6.9 | 0.6 | 8.0 | 1.60 | 3.45 | -0.9 | -0.1 |
Injury History beta
| Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-03-22 | - | 15-DL | - | - | Left | Shoulder | Inflammation | - | - | |
| 2012-05-20 | 2012-10-04 | 60-DL | 137 | 0 | Left | Shoulder | Surgery | Repair Capsule Tear and Rotator Cuff and Biceps Tendon Debridement | 2012-08-06 | - |
| 2011-06-26 | 2011-07-20 | 15-DL | 24 | 19 | Right | Abdomen | Strain | Oblique | - | |
| 2011-06-19 | 2011-06-25 | DTD | 6 | 5 | Head | Contusion | Batted Ball | - | ||
| 2011-04-02 | 2011-04-02 | DTD | 0 | 0 | Face | Soreness | Tooth | - | ||
| 2009-07-18 | 2009-07-27 | DTD | 9 | 10 | Left | Fingers | Circulatory Issue | Index Finger | - | |
| 2006-05-16 | 2006-05-27 | Minors | 11 | 0 | Left | Forearm | Strain | - |
Compensation
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BP Articles
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BP Chats
| Date | Question | Answer |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-01-24 13:00:00 | Now that John Danks is being paid can he be an ace for the Sox? (or my fantasy team)? (Chad from Bloomington, IL) | Neither, sorry. He's a good pitcher, but not a great one. (Derek Carty) |
| 2011-12-14 13:00:00 | In your opinion - would the Yankees be willing to deal any of their top 4 prospects, Montero, Sanchez, Betances, or Banuelos for John Danks? Kenny Williams is adamant that he gets two of those 4. Is he wasting his time? (MT from Chicago) | I wouldn't part with two prospects from that group, but I'd be willing to listen to offers that included one if the return was Danks. The Yankees need pitching and they have the pieces necessary to make that deal. (Jason Parks) |
| 2011-06-02 13:00:00 | Please tell me that John Danks is not really this bad and that I should hold on to him? Or set me straight and tell me I should drop him like my high school girlfriend did me after prom? (Mike from Chicago) | I feel your pain. I had to suffer the 9 ER day in Tout Wars last week. He's not as bad as the ERA suggests, but he hasn't been as good as in the past either. I'm playing him against Seattle this week, but I may bench him against very good opponents for the immediate future, at least until we see him turn in a couple good starts. (Derek Carty) |
| 2011-03-02 13:00:00 | Hi Christina, let me ask what may become an annual question- who do you think will be this year's breakout pitchers (aside from Latos). When I first asked you this question in person years ago you said you really liked a young stud named Danny Haren (worked out nice) and last year you said Anderson and Romero (not bad). For 2011...? Thanks, Dan (DanDaMan from SeaCliff) | I don't have any special Kreskin-like abilities... I guess I see those sorts of expectations as eminently reasonable and predictable. This year, if I had to say "he's turning the corner," I'd peg John Danks, Colby Lewis, and Wandy Rodriguez as people who will surpass expectations. (Christina Kahrl) |
| 2011-03-02 13:00:00 | Who are your favorite players to watch this season? Who ya rootin' for? (Goo Goo the Cat from Prowlin' Around, PA) | Rooting for? Well, I suppose I'm no supposed to root for players, but c'mon, how can you help it? I'm hoping to see John Danks bust out and get the sort of attention he deserves, and for Gordon Beckham to put everything together and be the star we thought he'd be. I want to see Wandy Rodriguez deliver that back half over a full season. I'm looking forward to seeing Carlos Zambrano get back to being in the news for his pitching. I'm wondering if Andy LaRoche puts up more WARP than any other NRI in anybody's camp if he can win the A's job at third base. I want to see Jim Thome's 600th career home run in person. I want to enjoy a full season of Starlin Castro at shortstop, having had to spend too much time away from Chicago last summer. I want to see what Mike Stanton and Logan Morrison do for the Fish, since that's about as entertaining a tandem of hitting prospects of similar vintage on any team anywhere. That's a few, but there are more. (Christina Kahrl) |
| 2011-01-12 13:00:00 | A BP writer with a pixie in every port? Who knew.
Ignore *if* it would happen, would John Danks for Montero and Nova be a win-win trade that would make sense? Or is Montero's ability to catch too big of a question mark? (And how bad could his defense possibly be as compared to AJ?) (DunnDunnDunnDunn from Chicago) | Not EVERY port. That's Marc Normandin. Even were I not married, I just didn't have that level of skill. I courted women like Derek Jeter goes after a grounder to his left. My missus and I were so perfectly compatible that, to continue this metaphor, she was hit right at me. Announcers never say "in his tracks" anymore when a player makes a catch on a ball hit right at them, do they? I caught my wife in my tracks. If not, I would probably be doing this same chat, but saying, "Hey, while I'm answering the next question, any of you out there actual chicks? Do you KNOW any? Would you be willing to introduce me?" It would be kind of pathetic, wouldn't it?
Were I the Yankees, I would make that deal, throwing out a great-hitting but positionless prospect along with a seeming fifth starter/middle guy for a 26-year-old lefty with a 3.67 ERA away from the Cell who is also two years away from free agency. It's a bad risk for the White Sox for all kinds of reasons -- if Montero can't catch, he's blocked at first base and DH, and so you've acquired a player you can't use at the risk of blowing a huge hole in your rotation. I don't see the White Sox going there. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2010-04-21 14:00:00 | How often do we ever see a pitcher 'work on a new pitch' in spring training and see it actually pay off long term? I am thinking of Mike Pelfrey, who seems to be missing a lot of bats with his split-change this year. If he can get the K rate to around 7 per 9, he is a completely different pitcher. (J.P. from Hartford) | In Chicago most White Sox pitchers are taught cutters, which helped turn Gavin Floyd and John Danks into legitimate front-mid rotation hurlers. That seems to be more organizational philosophy than, say, Cole Hamels working to learn a cutter this off-season. In St. Louis, Dave Duncan works his magic with sequencing and location moreso than new pitches, but to the same effect. I agree that we don't hear about true success stories with these newer pitches as much as the failures, but Big Pelf wouldn't be alone if his split-change remains effective. (Eric Seidman) |
| 2009-12-09 13:00:00 | The Tigers don't have the best 1/2/3 in their own division; Peavy, Floyd, and Danks are better than that. (Kenny Williams from US Cellular Field) | Yeah, that overrates Peavy by a lot. It's pretty close there...John Danks is a very good pitcher. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2009-02-19 13:00:00 | John Danks hasn't had the same workload that Cain, Hernandez etc... have had. Is he still a major risk this year? (AE from Fitchburg) | Yes, but "major risk" is overselling it a bit. (Will Carroll) |
| 2009-02-10 14:00:00 | Which AL starters do you think can consistently be among the best in terms of pitching the most innings and allowing the fewest runs over the next three years (other than Halladay and Sabathia)? (DS from Monterey Park, CA) | I guess I like rolling the dice after all, but I think Jon Lester, John Danks, and King Felix are all ready to settle in and start doing better and better things. (Christina Kahrl) |
| 2009-01-29 13:00:00 | Mr. Normandin,
Tough keeper league decision, need your help. In a standard 6x6 rotisserie league, we are able to keep 5 (no time limit). I need to eliminate one from the following 6: Sizemore, Hanley, Wright, Johan, Teixeira and Utley. Thanks! (havens from Bristol, CT) | Based on the keeper selections you have, I don't think you need much help to beat your leaguemates. That being said, if you could deal one of them (maybe Santana?) I would do it. Trade him to a team who needs more help with their keepers than you do. If trading isn't an option, well, I would need to know what kind of players are still going to be available at those positions in order to give you a proper response.
I also subscribe to the theory that you can fix your pitching midseason because of people who tweak their mechanics or all of a sudden "get it" (think John Danks here) so having a lineup capable of bludgeoning your opponents all year long is my kind of thing. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2008-07-17 13:00:00 | How do you view John Danks from the keeper perspective? Is this the year we always knew he had in him or can we expect a dropoff next year? Or are those two not mutually exclusive? (Sully from Los Angeles, CA) | I don't think he'll be busting out 2.67 ERAs left and right, but he's definitely ace material when he keeps the ball in the park. Adding that cutter to his repertoire just made him really tough to beat, and he keeps the ball on the ground enough that he's tough to beat in homer-friendly Chicago. He's probably not top tier since he doesn't strike out enough hitters relative to other options, but he's getting pretty close. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2008-06-25 14:00:00 | John Danks is having a really nice year for the White Sox, what is his ceiling? Number 2 starter,maybe a 1-2? (Chris from Chicago) | Well, he's pitched like a #2 this year so by definition I don't think his ceiling could be any *lower* than that. PECOTA thinks his ceiling is basically Frank Viola, whom I would classify as a #1. (Nate Silver) |
| 2008-06-17 15:00:00 | What do you think of the Indians and Tigers playoff chances going forward? The Sox are anywhere from 55-70 percent favorites from the 3 BP odds reports. That sounds accurate to you? (colintj from a2) | Given where those three teams are right now and the underlying causes for how they got there, I think that sounds about right. Cleveland has lost Jake Westbrook for the season, they've lost Victor Martinez for awhile, Travis Hafner has joined the ranks of the undead, and Rafael Betancourt is looking pretty clammy and monosyllabic as well. Detroit is out Bonderman already, the rest of their rotation is a mess, we don't know how well their bullpen can hold up, and they have to dig their way out of a sizeable hole. Meanwhile in Chicago we've seen guys like Carlos Quentin, Alexei Ramirez, Gavin Floyd, and John Danks start to deliver on their promise even as the offense in general has underachieved. The Sox lead isn't insurmountable but given the run differentials and the injury situations I'd place my nickel on them. (Jay Jaffe) |
| 2008-05-27 13:00:00 | Are the White Sox still just a 70 something win team? Or will they confound you guys like they did in "05? (petergill from Los Angeles) | Well, we had them at 77 or 78 wins. I think the Carlos Quentin breakout is largely real, and likewise with John Danks. But Gavin Floyd is walking on water to have maintained a 2.93 ERA in spite of a 25:27 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Give them 3-4 extra wins apiece for Quentin and Danks and you're talking about what's probably an 84-win club. It's not that hard for an 84-win club to make the playoffs with a little luck. (Nate Silver) |
| 2008-04-29 14:00:00 | re: "sad panda" .... is that a South Park reference? :-)
OK ... I need to dump Gil Meche, do I pick up John Danks or Jair Jurrjens? Kyle Lohse isn't for real is he?
(dianagramr from NYC) | Pick up Danks and Jurrjens. Extended exposure to Lohse can severely damage your judgment, even if I was forced to grab him during the playoffs last year. That's a dark time in my life I'd rather not discuss. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2008-04-25 15:00:00 | White Sox: Fluke or for real? (Izzy from DC) | I'm not a huge believer in the White Sox, but it's clear that at least in the early going, two things are going very right. First, you've got the bouncebacks from Joe Crede and Carlos Quentin that have helped resurrect that offense while marginalizing some rather unproductive players. Second, them Gavin Floyd and John Danks appearing to have finally put it together. These were well-regarded pitching prospects who've taken a long time to live up to their billing, but with a good coach like Don Cooper it shouldn't be terribly surprising to see them make the kind of nonlinear jumps that pitchers do when they finally Get It Together. (Jay Jaffe) |
| 2008-04-17 13:00:00 | Should Oakland sign Bonds and make a play for the division title? Considering how flawed the AL West is currently (with the rash of pitching injuries). (tonipeluso from Oakland, CA) | Getting shut out by John Danks for 7.2 innings is usually a sign from God that your offense needs some help. With the A's, though, I think a big factor is whether they expect Rich Harden to come back soon and stay (relatively) healthy. It's not like you should be banking on Rich Harden staying healthy for any length of time -- but any scenario where the A's do back into the playoffs, I think that has to coincide with Harden making 26 starts for them. (Nate Silver) |
| 2008-02-28 14:00:00 | Back of the rotation guys for this year John Danks, Micah Owings, or Dontrelle Willis? How about in the future? Possible keeper worthy? (jake1m from Gold Country, CA) | Wow, that's downright Pollock-like in its spread. I'm with the school of thought that Willis will profit from getting out from behind a lousy Marlins defense. I really, really like what Owings could turn into, but part of that is an understandable fascination with the man's hitting. (Christina Kahrl) |
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