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2013 Projections (seasonal age 27) - Rest of Season Projections
| PA | AVG | HR | R | RBI | SB | TAv | WARP |
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Standard
| YEAR | TEAM | AGE | G | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | TB | BB | SO | HBP | SF | SH | RBI | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | TAv | VORP | FRAA | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | KCA | 21 | 92 | 360 | 329 | 38 | 96 | 23 | 2 | 8 | 147 | 27 | 55 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 52 | 0 | 0 | .292 | .347 | .447 | .268 | 7.0 | -0.5 | 0.6 |
| 2008 | KCA | 22 | 124 | 478 | 443 | 44 | 122 | 22 | 0 | 11 | 177 | 33 | 57 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 55 | 0 | 1 | .275 | .324 | .400 | .245 | -6.3 | -2.1 | -0.8 |
| 2009 | KCA | 23 | 159 | 672 | 608 | 78 | 183 | 51 | 1 | 21 | 299 | 58 | 103 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 93 | 1 | 0 | .301 | .362 | .492 | .291 | 24.4 | -2.9 | 2.2 |
| 2010 | KCA | 24 | 158 | 678 | 595 | 77 | 189 | 45 | 0 | 15 | 279 | 69 | 78 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 78 | 0 | 0 | .318 | .388 | .469 | .298 | 26.7 | 0.5 | 2.8 |
| 2011 | KCA | 25 | 159 | 673 | 597 | 74 | 174 | 44 | 0 | 19 | 275 | 66 | 95 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 95 | 2 | 1 | .291 | .361 | .461 | .287 | 19.7 | -0.9 | 2.0 |
| 2012 | KCA | 26 | 161 | 679 | 614 | 72 | 192 | 32 | 1 | 29 | 313 | 54 | 111 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 107 | 2 | 1 | .313 | .373 | .510 | .304 | 29.6 | -0.2 | 3.1 |
| 2013 | KCA | 27 | 68 | 274 | 232 | 22 | 64 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 94 | 38 | 44 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 0 | .276 | .380 | .405 | .287 | 5.9 | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Career | 921 | 3814 | 3418 | 405 | 1020 | 232 | 4 | 108 | 1584 | 345 | 543 | 21 | 30 | 0 | 518 | 5 | 3 | .298 | .363 | .463 | .286 | 107.1 | -6.0 | 10.6 | ||
Advanced
'opp' stats - quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.| YEAR | Team | Lg | G | PA | TAv | oppAVG | oppOBP | oppSLG | oppTAv | BABIP | BPF | BRAA | repLVL | POS_ADJ | FRAA | BRR | BVORP | BWARP | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | IDA | Rk | 72 | 323 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .465 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
| 2005 | HDS | A+ | 92 | 430 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .391 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
| 2005 | WIC | AA | 29 | 119 | .303 | .264 | .323 | .405 | .000 | .337 | 105 | 4.7 | 2.7 | -0.8 | -3.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2006 | WIC | AA | 119 | 535 | .331 | .274 | .345 | .430 | .000 | .361 | 102 | 31.9 | 11.9 | -4.4 | -6.0 | -7.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | KCA | MLB | 92 | 360 | .268 | .269 | .328 | .416 | .000 | .328 | 102 | 3.2 | 10.4 | -6.5 | -0.5 | -0.3 | 7.0 | 0.6 | 7.0 | 0.6 |
| 2007 | OMA | AAA | 57 | 256 | .324 | .285 | .349 | .437 | .000 | .289 | 97 | 17.7 | 7.1 | -3.4 | -1.7 | -3.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | KCA | MLB | 124 | 478 | .245 | .271 | .330 | .421 | .000 | .294 | 98 | -7.5 | 13.6 | -8.7 | -2.1 | -2.8 | -6.3 | -0.8 | -6.3 | -0.8 |
| 2008 | OMA | AAA | 26 | 115 | .332 | .280 | .340 | .451 | .000 | .326 | 95 | 9.5 | 3.2 | -2.3 | -2.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2009 | KCA | MLB | 159 | 672 | .291 | .266 | .324 | .421 | .000 | .332 | 99 | 22.4 | 19.4 | -12.3 | -2.9 | -4.1 | 24.4 | 2.2 | 24.4 | 2.2 |
| 2010 | KCA | MLB | 158 | 678 | .298 | .260 | .320 | .406 | .000 | .341 | 102 | 26.1 | 19.2 | -12 | 0.5 | -4.6 | 26.7 | 2.8 | 26.7 | 2.8 |
| 2011 | KCA | MLB | 159 | 673 | .287 | .259 | .315 | .405 | .000 | .316 | 103 | 17.7 | 12.1 | -11.5 | -0.9 | -4.1 | 19.7 | 2.0 | 19.7 | 2.0 |
| 2012 | KCA | MLB | 161 | 679 | .304 | .256 | .314 | .409 | .000 | .341 | 102 | 29.4 | 12.2 | -11.7 | -0.2 | -4.8 | 29.6 | 3.1 | 29.6 | 3.1 |
| 2013 | KCA | MLB | 68 | 274 | .287 | .251 | .309 | .400 | .255 | .319 | 100 | 7.3 | 7.5 | -4.8 | 0.2 | -3.9 | 5.9 | 0.6 | 5.9 | 0.6 |
| Career | MLB | 3814 | .286 | .262 | .320 | .411 | .260 | .326 | 101 | 99.5 | 101.6 | -67.7 | -6.1 | -24.6 | 108.1 | 10.7 | 108.1 | 10.7 | ||
Statistics For All Levels
| Year | Team | Lg | PA | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | ISO | TAv | VORP | FRAA | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | IDA | Rk | 323 | 74 | 97 | 22 | 3 | 10 | 68 | 57 | 63 | 5 | 0 | .373 | .491 | .596 | .223 | .000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2005 | HDS | A+ | 430 | 70 | 132 | 30 | 2 | 25 | 91 | 42 | 80 | 0 | 0 | .348 | .422 | .636 | .288 | .000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2005 | WIC | AA | 119 | 14 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 7 | 18 | 0 | 0 | .312 | .353 | .527 | .214 | .303 | 0.0 | -3.0 | 0.0 |
| 2006 | WIC | AA | 535 | 82 | 158 | 33 | 1 | 15 | 96 | 41 | 67 | 1 | 0 | .331 | .393 | .499 | .168 | .331 | 0.0 | -6.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | KCA | MLB | 360 | 38 | 96 | 23 | 2 | 8 | 52 | 27 | 55 | 0 | 0 | .292 | .347 | .447 | .155 | .268 | 7.0 | -0.5 | 0.6 |
| 2007 | OMA | AAA | 256 | 40 | 59 | 10 | 1 | 13 | 46 | 43 | 32 | 1 | 0 | .291 | .420 | .542 | .251 | .324 | 0.0 | -1.7 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | KCA | MLB | 478 | 44 | 122 | 22 | 0 | 11 | 55 | 33 | 57 | 0 | 1 | .275 | .324 | .400 | .124 | .245 | -6.3 | -2.1 | -0.8 |
| 2008 | OMA | AAA | 115 | 18 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 0 | .337 | .417 | .564 | .228 | .332 | 0.0 | -2.1 | 0.0 |
| 2009 | KCA | MLB | 672 | 78 | 183 | 51 | 1 | 21 | 93 | 58 | 103 | 1 | 0 | .301 | .362 | .492 | .191 | .291 | 24.4 | -2.9 | 2.2 |
| 2010 | KCA | MLB | 678 | 77 | 189 | 45 | 0 | 15 | 78 | 69 | 78 | 0 | 0 | .318 | .388 | .469 | .151 | .298 | 26.7 | 0.5 | 2.8 |
| 2011 | KCA | MLB | 673 | 74 | 174 | 44 | 0 | 19 | 95 | 66 | 95 | 2 | 1 | .291 | .361 | .461 | .169 | .287 | 19.7 | -0.9 | 2.0 |
| 2012 | KCA | MLB | 679 | 72 | 192 | 32 | 1 | 29 | 107 | 54 | 111 | 2 | 1 | .313 | .373 | .510 | .197 | .304 | 29.6 | -0.2 | 3.1 |
| 2013 | KCA | MLB | 274 | 22 | 64 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 38 | 38 | 44 | 0 | 0 | .276 | .380 | .405 | .129 | .287 | 5.9 | 0.2 | 0.6 |
Injury History beta
| Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011-09-19 | 2011-09-21 | DTD | 2 | 1 | - | General Medical | Illness | Flu | - | - |
| 2010-09-08 | 2010-09-10 | DTD | 2 | 1 | Left | Hand | Contusion | HBP | - | |
| 2010-08-26 | 2010-08-28 | DTD | 2 | 1 | Right | Hand | Inflammation | - | ||
| 2010-02-15 | 2010-03-04 | Camp | 17 | 0 | - | General Medical | Respiratory | Flu | - | |
| 2009-03-01 | 2009-03-05 | Camp | 4 | 0 | Left | Hand | Contusion | HBP | - |
Compensation
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BP Articles
Billy Butler is referenced in the following articles.
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BP Chats
| Date | Question | Answer |
|---|---|---|
| 2011-07-21 16:00:00 | Who do you like better for fantasy the rest of the season, Billy Butler or Freddie Freeman? (Dennis from LA) | I'll go with Freeman because of the power edge. Butler simply doesn't hit enough over the fence and I want as much help in the counting categories now as I can get. (Jason Collette) |
| 2011-06-02 13:00:00 | Hey Derek, welcome to BP! I'm in a 12-team keeper league with 8 keepers per year (no price, just straight up # of players) with a broad set of categories (10 each on offense and pitching, with the additions to 5x5 peripherals like K/BB, QS, OBP, and SLG.
My team played a very weak April (thanks, Swisher, Ubaldo, Hughes, and Colby!) and so despite looking strong pre-season I'm in a position to sell. One of the other owners is looking to get some combination of Cliff Lee, Beckett, or Konerko (he really only needs the pitching) in return for some combination of J. Upton, Billy Butler, and Hellickson. Would any combination of these players (or future draft picks, which are tradeable) make sense in a deal for me, keeping in mind that 2012 is more important than 2011? (Jeff P from NYC) | Yes. I wouldn't deal Lee or Beckett for Hellickson if you're looking to compete next year, but Konerko for Upton would certainly be a great deal. If he doesn't go for that (probably won't), since the guy needs pitching, I might offer Lee or Beckett for two of those three. (Derek Carty) |
| 2011-01-03 14:00:00 | Billy Butler - is what he is or the potential for more? (fantasy from USA) | Still power growth. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2010-12-20 13:00:00 | Congrats on your Phils getting Lee!! Here in Vegas, type of work not always include a laptop, so most of the time, for my question to be read, gotta send it earlier: Which combo would have a better impact on the Royals: Butler, Hosmer and Jesus Montero if they get him, (pick 2 of 3) and what do you think Butler could command in a trade? My thinking is Butler will be expensive when the Royals can contend, so better to get high ceiling middle IF/OF to grow with the other pieces: Moustakas, Myers, all the pitching, etc. Thanks for reading and happy holidays (Mo from Las Vegas) | I don't know that Billy Butler would command all that much from an NL team given that he is a defensive liability and there is obviously no DH spot, and AL teams might not want to part ways with much to get a higher-priced player without a true position. I think the best bet is if he stays in Kansas City. Just because he's in the majors doesn't mean he isn't considered part of their solid young core throughout the system. Why would they get Jesus Montero though? Was this before the Greinke-to-Milwaukee trade? Either way, keep Butler, let him be the "elder statesman" of the young Royals group. (Eric Seidman) |
| 2010-11-11 13:00:00 | Billy Butler: will his numbers ever match his swing? (Tony from Albuquerque) | He's had an OPS of .850 two years in a row in his age 23-24 seasons, so he isn't exactly a disaster. There's certainly still time for him to develop more long ball power, though. That would really be a boost to the Royals as all their young guys move through the system to the majors. (Matt Swartz) |
| 2010-03-26 13:00:00 | Who do you think has the better chance of making the leap from "very good" to "elite" level first baseman this year: Joey Votto or Billy Butler? (Bill from LA) | Votto's pretty much already there except for the durability. He's got a career .314 True Average in about 1200 PA. Butler's at .274 through 1500 PA and he's a disasterpiece with the glove. That said, he's also two and a half years youngers, so there's still hope, but if I had to pick one, the choice is easy. (Jay Jaffe) |
| 2010-01-28 14:00:00 | Ms. Kahrl - welcome back! I have a disturbingly large crush on Billy Butler (50 doubles is ultra sexy) this year, to the point that I actually think he could be a top 5 or so first baseman in baseball THIS YEAR.
Your thoughts? (Dave W from Douglasville, GA) | Pujols, Prince, Teixeira, and AGonz seem like an unassailable top four at the position, but if hitting alone is the qualifier for who winds up fifth, Butler's got a chance of achieving it. (Christina Kahrl) |
| 2009-05-07 14:00:00 | Kevin: What's your favorite funny scout story? (Joe from Pequannock, NJ) | Not printable. My favorite printable one is probably the Billy Butler in the outfield story, which is best told in person with hand motions. Favorite recent story: So we got this swine flu stupidity, and Texas dinged all high school sports for a couple weeks. Certain team has this area scout -- great guy, but very very intense about it, like to a point where he doesn't really pay muc attention to the world around him either short or long term. So he drives to a high school a day after Texas dinged the games, doesn't notice that the parking lot is empty, grabs his bag out of his car and starts walking toward the field. Took probably 100 steps before he realized he was the only person on the planet there and started making calls to find out what's going on. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2008-11-03 13:30:00 | Where do you think Mat Gamel ultimately ends up playing in the Majors? Trade Cameron for a 3B or SP and go with Braun/Hart/Gamel in the OF? Trade Fielder and put Gamel at 1B? Suffer the horrible defence at 3B? Trade Gamel for 3B or SP and let someone else make the decision? (Aaron from YYZ) | I just don't think Gamel can handle third convincingly enough long enough to be tolerated at the big-league level; there just isn't enough Maalox in the world. A Gamel/Hart/Braun outfield would give life to way too many flying things (much as I enjoy the spectacle of seeing Hart in center, it doesn't really work), and Fielder would have to fetch you top-shelf pitching talent *and* perhaps that third baseman to be remotely tolerable, setting aside whether you replace him with Gamel. Gamel to somebody else for a starting pitcher or starting third baseman is sort of like all the talk about Billy Butler: you're limited to the DH-league teams, because everyone's aware of the unglovely downside that goes with these cats and their limitations as fielders. (Christina Kahrl) |
| 2008-11-03 13:30:00 | Do you think a Billy Butler for Jonathan Sanchez trade would be good for both teams? (Mike from Utica,NY) | Not at all. Billy Butler can't DH in the National League more than a couple of series. (Christina Kahrl) |
| 2008-06-23 12:00:00 | Other than recalling Billy Butler, do the Royals have anything in the wind in terms of personnel moves? Wouldn't David DeJesus be a nice fit for the North Siders? (BL from Bozeman, MT) | Butler would be the main move the Royals would make right now. I think DeJesus would indeed make a nice addition for the Cubs and the Royals should think about trading him if they can get a good return. How about that Mike Aviles, though? He can't sustain it but it's been a neat little run for the stocky shortstop. (John Perrotto) |
| 2008-04-01 14:00:00 | I reachedvout and grabbed Billy Butler in the 10th round of my fantasy draft (points leaugewhere walks count). What do you see him doing in '08? (David from Boston) | .290/.360/.510? (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2008-02-25 12:00:00 | Thanks for the FR mention. We'd like to claim Alonso as our own, assuming he can catch or even play LF. So back off Ranger fans! Seriously, though, Brett Wallace got off to a roaring start...is he playing 3B this year, and can he stick there? Because if so, Future Redbirds will be claiming him next. (Erik from Cedar Rapids, IA) | Mr. Manning with an appearance. What's funny is that our previous Alonso questioner sent me a comment back that maybe he'll jump aboard the Brett Wallace train, too. Let's not be too reactionary, people, Alonso is certainly still the better prospect. Wallace is an absolute butcher at third, but Pat Murphy has some depth issues. He won't stick there, but he's got one of the draft's purest bats since Billy Butler, so there's that. (Bryan Smith) |
| 2008-01-30 13:00:00 | I know that this is a basketball chat but I remember your great weekly column on ESPN on the Royals. What's your prognosis for KC this year? Give me a guess on wins. (dangor from New York) | Yes! I knew a Royals fan would find his way here ... I haven't cobbled together my team projections yet. In fact, I'm seriously concerned about when I going to have time to do so. But I'll answer you like this: I think that at the end of last season, the overwhelming consensus was that the Royals were in a better position than they were at the end of the season before. I'm very confident that at the end of the 2008 season, we'll be able to say the same thing. That said, I wouldn't be shocked if they win fewer games than last season. But a bump up to the 73-76 win range wouldn't shock me, either. Really, it'll come down to how much Billy Butler and Alex Gordon improve. I'm excited, if maybe dreading that NBA/MLB overlap a little bit. (Bradford Doolittle (Basketball)) |
BP Roundtables
| Date | Roundtable Name | Comment |
|---|---|---|
| 2010-04-05 09:30:00 | Season Opener Roundtable | Billy Butler is 1 for 3, and unless my math skills are askew, that means he is hitting .333. Would it be false to assume his average will be close to that on October 1st? (David Laurila) |
| 2008-09-29 10:30:00 | Tigers/White Sox Play-In Game | Greg Pizzo (China, Maine) asks: "Does the terrific September by the Royals mean anything? Before the season started, we probably would have thought 75 wins was pretty good, but did they find out anything about their 2009 Royals using this September?"
I'm not so sure all that much progress was made. Guys like Billy Butler and Alex Gordon didn't take steps forward, they got a harsh reminder that Brian Bannister doesn't have a lot of upside, and even things that were good for them to have sorted out--like Tony Pena Jr. and Mark Teahen aren't regulars--didn't necessarily turn out perfectly well. It seems that guys like David DeJesus and Mike Aviles need to move from center and short, respectively. Their defense is a bit of a mess, there are questions over who plays where, and there's a mistake like the Jose Guillen contract to live down. On the plus side, Hillman seemed to get his bullpen sorted out well enough, Greinke's settling in, and Hochevar and Davies don't seem too far behind. They're still a few Gloads shy of having all the bricks to build a lasting foundation, but they're getting there. (Christina Kahrl) |
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