Biographical

Portrait of Clay Hensley

Clay Hensley PNationals

Nationals Player Cards | Nationals Team Audit | Nationals Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 34)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
36.7 4.17 1.35 28 2 1 0 0.1
Birth Date8-31-1979
Height5' 11"
Weight190 lbs
Age35 years, 1 months, 22 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
1.22010
-1.22011
-0.22012
2013
0.12014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2005 SDN 25 24 1 47.7 5.0 42.7 1 1 0 0 0 0 189 33 12 9 0 40 17 15 0 28 1.70 2.89 3.99 4.6 0.6
2006 SDN 26 37 29 187.0 177.0 10.0 11 12 0 1 17 0 787 174 82 77 15 262 76 69 3 122 3.71 4.11 4.94 -0.0 -0.0
2007 SDN 27 13 9 50.0 42.7 7.3 2 3 0 0 2 0 238 62 40 38 5 92 32 30 1 30 6.84 5.26 6.21 -5.6 -0.5
2008 SDN 28 32 1 39.0 5.0 34.0 1 2 0 1 0 0 173 36 27 23 2 54 25 22 1 26 5.31 4.44 5.06 -0.6 -0.0
2010 FLO 30 68 0 75.0 0.0 75.0 3 4 7 3 0 0 307 54 20 18 3 76 29 25 4 77 2.16 2.89 3.04 10.9 1.2
2011 FLO 31 37 9 67.7 42.0 25.7 6 7 0 2 1 0 297 62 41 39 9 104 30 29 4 46 5.19 4.87 6.35 -10.9 -1.2
2012 SFN 32 60 0 50.7 0.0 50.7 4 5 3 1 0 0 234 50 30 26 5 75 30 28 3 42 4.62 4.72 4.46 -1.3 -0.2
Career27149517.0271.7245.32834108200222547125223039703239218163714.004.124.86-3.0-0.1

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2002 SLO A- 15 15 81.7 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .311 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 HAG A 12 12 68.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .294 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 LEL A+ 8 8 44.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .360 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 SJO A+ 5 5 29.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .382 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 MOB AA 27 27 159.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .319 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 SDN MLB 24 1 47.7 3.99 105 .195 .265 .333 .416 .265 .229 92 5.1 0.5 4.6 0.6
2005 POR AAA 15 14 90.3 4.64 87 .186 .282 .348 .448 .278 .225 76 8.8 0.8 9.5 1.1
2006 SDN MLB 37 29 187.0 4.94 82 .256 .264 .329 .426 .260 .278 86 2.3 0.2 -0.0 -0.0
2007 SDN MLB 13 9 50.0 6.21 56 .302 .257 .328 .400 .250 .335 90 -5.1 -0.5 -5.6 -0.5
2007 POR AAA 13 13 71.0 5.99 82 .319 .287 .348 .439 .262 .372 104 2.4 0.2 6.6 0.8
2008 SDN MLB 32 1 39.0 5.06 79 .285 .258 .324 .396 .255 .286 90 -0.9 -0.1 -0.6 -0.0
2008 LEL A+ 1 0 1.0 1.72 163 .167 .297 .345 .448 .271 .333 90 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.0
2008 POR AAA 16 10 48.0 5.12 102 .242 .290 .358 .455 .264 .271 104 8.7 0.8 8.3 1.0
2009 NWO AAA 19 19 114.0 4.35 92 .253 .267 .333 .400 .272 .283 87 8.7 0.9 9.1 0.7
2009 ROU AAA 6 1 10.0 6.58 39 .334 .268 .341 .416 .280 .324 86 -3.1 -0.3 -3.5 -0.4
2010 FLO MLB 68 0 75.0 3.04 125 .219 .258 .324 .411 .271 .263 92 11.2 1.2 10.9 1.2
2010 JUP A+ 2 0 2.7 3.43 111 .128 .302 .355 .408 .278 .143 95 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0
2011 FLO MLB 37 9 67.7 6.35 41 .275 .254 .318 .395 .265 .255 96 -9.7 -1.0 -10.9 -1.2
2011 JUP A+ 1 1 4.0 9.02 17 .201 .283 .335 .422 .259 .091 103 -0.9 -0.1 -0.9 -0.1
2011 JAX AA 1 1 4.3 0.79 181 .201 .244 .318 .349 .241 .455 87 2.8 0.3 2.8 0.3
2011 MRL Rk 1 0 3.3 0.43 192 .149 .221 .316 .302 .234 .333 110 2.1 0.2 2.1 0.2
2012 SFN MLB 60 0 50.7 4.46 88 .292 .259 .321 .415 .263 .292 92 -1.5 -0.2 -1.3 -0.2
2013 LOU AAA 15 0 18.0 5.10 83 .238 .249 .320 .373 .248 .293 100 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.1
2013 NAS AAA 4 0 2.7 6.66 45 .361 .261 .328 .362 .261 .400 87 -0.7 -0.1 -0.7 -0.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2002 SLO A- 7 0 0 15 15 81.7 72 25 84 3 0% .311 7.9 2.8 0.3 9.3 1.19 2.53 0.0 0.0
2003 LEL A+ 3 4 0 8 8 44.3 50 14 40 0 0% .360 10.2 2.8 0.0 8.1 1.44 3.45 0.0 0.0
2003 SJO A+ 2 3 0 5 5 29.3 38 9 25 4 0% .382 11.7 2.8 1.2 7.7 1.60 5.84 0.0 0.0
2003 HAG A 4 3 0 12 12 68.0 56 20 74 4 0% .294 7.4 2.6 0.5 9.8 1.12 3.18 0.0 0.0
2004 MOB AA 11 10 0 27 27 159.0 167 48 125 14 0% .319 9.5 2.7 0.8 7.1 1.35 4.30 0.0 0.0
2005 SDN MLB 1 1 0 24 1 47.7 33 17 28 0 56% .229 6.2 3.2 0.0 5.3 1.05 1.70 4.6 0.6
2005 POR AAA 2 2 0 15 14 90.3 63 22 71 8 58% .225 6.3 2.2 0.8 7.1 0.94 2.99 9.5 1.1
2006 SDN MLB 11 12 0 37 29 187.0 174 76 122 15 55% .278 8.4 3.7 0.7 5.9 1.34 3.71 -0.0 -0.0
2007 POR AAA 2 7 0 13 13 71.0 102 34 50 10 53% .372 12.9 4.3 1.3 6.3 1.92 6.72 6.6 0.8
2007 SDN MLB 2 3 0 13 9 50.0 62 32 30 5 50% .335 11.2 5.8 0.9 5.4 1.88 6.84 -5.6 -0.5
2008 POR AAA 1 1 0 16 10 48.0 46 16 34 7 43% .271 8.6 3.0 1.3 6.4 1.29 3.94 8.3 1.0
2008 SDN MLB 1 2 0 32 1 39.0 36 25 26 2 51% .286 8.3 5.8 0.5 6.0 1.56 5.31 -0.6 -0.0
2008 LEL A+ 1 0 0 1 0 1.0 1 0 1 0 100% .333 9.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 1.00 0.00 0.4 0.0
2009 NWO AAA 8 4 0 19 19 114.0 105 38 82 8 51% .283 8.3 3.0 0.6 6.5 1.25 3.24 9.1 0.7
2009 ROU AAA 1 0 0 6 1 10.0 12 7 5 1 66% .324 10.8 6.3 0.9 4.5 1.90 7.20 -3.5 -0.4
2010 JUP A+ 0 0 0 2 0 2.7 1 1 2 0 57% .143 3.3 3.3 0.0 6.7 0.74 0.00 0.2 0.0
2010 FLO MLB 3 4 7 68 0 75.0 54 29 77 3 55% .263 6.5 3.5 0.4 9.2 1.11 2.16 10.9 1.2
2011 MRL Rk 0 0 0 1 0 3.3 2 0 6 0 83% .333 5.4 0.0 0.0 16.2 0.60 2.70 2.1 0.2
2011 FLO MLB 6 7 0 37 9 67.7 62 30 46 9 47% .255 8.2 4.0 1.2 6.1 1.36 5.19 -10.9 -1.2
2011 JAX AA 0 0 0 1 1 4.3 5 1 7 0 45% .455 10.4 2.1 0.0 14.5 1.38 2.08 2.8 0.3
2011 JUP A+ 0 1 0 1 1 4.0 2 0 2 1 75% .091 4.5 0.0 2.2 4.5 0.50 4.50 -0.9 -0.1
2012 SFN MLB 4 5 3 60 0 50.7 50 30 42 5 52% .292 8.9 5.3 0.9 7.5 1.58 4.62 -1.3 -0.2
2013 LOU AAA 0 1 0 15 0 18.0 14 9 20 2 51% .293 7.0 4.5 1.0 10.0 1.28 4.00 0.5 0.1
2013 NAS AAA 0 0 0 4 0 2.7 4 3 2 0 40% .400 13.5 10.1 0.0 6.8 2.62 3.38 -0.7 -0.1

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 564 0.4681 0.4202 0.7468 0.6174 0.2467 0.8466 0.5270 0.2489
2010 1172 0.4787 0.4258 0.7154 0.5865 0.2782 0.8207 0.5118 0.2846
2011 1085 0.4931 0.4270 0.8074 0.6093 0.2473 0.8896 0.6103 0.1905
2012 893 0.4670 0.4316 0.7974 0.6427 0.2458 0.8619 0.6496 0.2000
Career37140.47850.42670.76680.61140.25660.85470.5760.2313

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2012-08-27 2012-09-11 15-DL 15 13 Right Groin Strain - -
2012-03-31 2012-04-03 Camp 3 0 Left Lower Leg Strain Calf - -
2012-03-22 2012-03-23 Camp 1 0 - Thigh Tightness Hamstring - -
2011-06-02 2011-07-18 15-DL 46 41 Right Shoulder Sprain AC Joint While Throwing -
2011-05-07 2011-05-22 15-DL 15 13 Left Shoulder Fracture Shoulder Blade From Slip and Fall -
2010-08-14 2010-08-19 DTD 5 4 General Medical Heat Illness Heat Exhaustion -
2010-06-12 2010-07-02 15-DL 20 18 Left Neck Strain -
2009-07-29 2009-08-02 Minors 4 0 Groin Strain -
2008-03-21 2008-06-06 60-DL 77 62 Right Shoulder Recovery From Surgery Labrum 2007-09-01
2007-09-25 2007-10-01 60-DL 6 6 Right Shoulder Surgery Labrum 2007-09-01
2007-05-03 2007-06-01 15-DL 29 25 Right Groin Strain -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2013 CIN $
2012 SFN $750,000
2011 FLO $1,400,000
2010 FLO $425,000
2008 SDN $410,000
2007 SDN $392,000
2006 SDN $329,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
6 yrPrevious$3,706,000
6 yrTotal$3,706,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
5 y 161 dLapa - Leventhal1 year (2014)

Details
  • 1 year (2014). Signed by Washington as a free agent 1/21/14 (minor-league contract). Released by Washington 3/20/14.
  • 1 year (2013). Signed by Cincinnati as a free agent 2/11/13 (minor-league contract).
  • 1 year/$0.75M (2012). Signed by San Francisco as a free agent 1/27/12. May earn additional $0.3M in performance bonuses. Sent outright to Triple-A by San Francisco 11/12 (refused assignment 11/6/12).
  • 1 year/$1.4M (2011). Re-signed by Florida 1/18/11 (avoided arbitration). DFA by Miami 12/9/11. Non-tendered 12/12/11.
  • 1 year/$0.425M (2010). Re-signed by Florida as a free agent 12/09 (minor-league contract). $0.425M salary in majors. Contract purchased by Florida 4/3/10.
  • 1 year (2009). Signed by Houston as a free agent 12/23/08 (minor-league contract). $0.55M salary in majors. Released by Houston 5/09. Signed by Florida as a free agent 5/26/09 (minor-league contract).
  • 1 year/$0.41M (2008). Re-signed 3/3/08. Non-tendered by San Diego 12/08.
  • 1 year/$0.392M (2007). Re-signed 2/07.
  • 1 year/$0.329M (2006). Re-signed 2/06.
  • Acquired by San Diego in trade from San Francisco 7/03.
  • Drafted by San Francisco 2002 (8-247) (Lamar University).

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 3 1.6 0.8 44 3 53.5 41 18 42 4 .260 1.10 3.05 3.31 9.4 1.0
80o 2.6 1.4 0.7 39 2 47.5 39 17 37 4 .274 1.18 3.42 3.72 6.0 0.6
70o 2.4 1.3 0.6 36 2 43.3 38 16 34 4 .285 1.24 3.69 4.01 3.9 0.4
60o 2.1 1.2 0.5 33 2 39.8 36 15 31 4 .294 1.29 3.93 4.27 2.4 0.2
50o 1.9 1.1 0.5 30 2 36.6 34 15 28 4 .302 1.34 4.16 4.52 1.1 0.1
40o 1.7 1 0.4 28 2 33.4 33 14 26 4 .310 1.40 4.38 4.76 0.0 0.0
30o 1.5 0.9 0.4 25 1 30.1 31 13 23 3 .319 1.45 4.63 5.03 -0.9 -0.1
20o 1.3 0.8 0.3 22 1 26.4 28 12 21 3 .330 1.52 4.93 5.35 -1.8 -0.2
10o 1 0.6 0.2 18 1 21.4 24 10 17 3 .345 1.63 5.34 5.81 -2.6 -0.3
Weighted Mean1.91.10.530235.93314284.3001.334.134.481.20.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
13% 21% 23% 10% 48%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201535321573707128521150.3011.414.795.219.13.66.71.4-0.2
20163642168384793366950.3031.344.164.538.53.57.11.00.4
20173742166381783262950.3051.364.264.638.73.66.91.00.3
20183842164378753060950.3011.344.254.628.63.46.91.00.3
20193932157369682852950.3031.384.554.958.83.66.71.20.0
20204032153265652647850.3021.394.544.939.03.66.51.10.0
20214132149261612543750.3071.424.665.069.03.76.41.0-0.1
20224232149259592442850.3011.404.514.908.93.66.41.20.0
20234331143253532136750.3031.414.655.059.13.66.21.2-0.1

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
9.296.46.50.40.931.5

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 74)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 94 D.J. Carrasco 2011 6.39
2 82 Geoff Geary 2011 0.00 DNP
3 81 Micah Bowie 2009 0.00 DNP
4 80 Mike MacDougal 2011 2.53
5 79 Matt Palmer 2013 0.00 DNP
6 79 Brad Thomas 2012 0.00 DNP
7 79 Jamey Wright 2009 5.92
8 77 Lee Gardner 2009 0.00 DNP
9 77 Chad Paronto 2010 0.00 DNP
10 77 John Bale 2008 4.39
11 76 Stu Miller 1962 4.79 DNP
12 76 Hank Aguirre 1965 3.84
13 76 Scott Schoeneweis 2008 3.65
14 76 Chris Jakubauskas 2013 0.00 DNP
15 76 Kane Davis 2009 0.00 DNP
16 75 Tom Gordon 2002 4.01
17 75 Scott Downs 2010 2.79
18 75 Luis Ayala 2012 3.36
19 75 Chris Sampson 2012 0.00 DNP
20 75 Randy Choate 2010 4.84
21 75 Julian Tavarez 2007 5.95
22 74 Braden Looper 2009 5.69
23 74 Matt Clement 2009 0.00 DNP
24 74 Trever Miller 2007 5.44
25 74 David Cone 1997 3.09
26 74 Alberto Castillo 2010 10.12
27 74 Terry Adams 2007 0.00 DNP
28 74 Clay Condrey 2010 0.00 DNP
29 74 Dave Smith 1989 3.10
30 74 Willie Eyre 2013 0.00 DNP
31 74 Ramon Hernandez 1975 2.95 DNP
32 73 Warren Spahn 1955 3.67
33 73 Aaron Fultz 2008 0.00 DNP
34 73 Ryota Igarashi 2013 0.00 DNP
35 73 Peter Moylan 2013 6.46
36 73 Jim Palmer 1980 4.34
37 73 Javier Lopez 2012 3.25
38 73 Vinnie Chulk 2013 0.00 DNP
39 73 Brian Lawrence 2010 0.00 DNP
40 73 Ryan Vogelsong 2012 3.61
41 73 Bob Gibson 1970 3.40
42 73 Steve Reed 1999 4.82
43 73 David Riske 2011 0.00 DNP
44 73 Grant Jackson 1977 4.25
45 73 Justin Miller 2012 0.00 DNP
46 73 Steve Rogers 1984 4.89
47 73 Chad Durbin 2012 3.69
48 73 Diego Segui 1972 3.91
49 72 Brian Sanches 2013 0.00 DNP
50 72 Billy O'Dell 1967 6.35
51 72 Sean Green 2013 0.00 DNP
52 72 Jim Mecir 2004 3.97
53 72 Ryan Dempster 2011 4.94
54 72 Jim Perry 1970 3.55
55 72 Matt Guerrier 2013 4.64
56 72 Whitey Ford 1963 3.11
57 72 Brandon Duckworth 2010 0.00 DNP
58 72 Gaylord Perry 1973 3.74
59 72 Bob Lemon 1955 4.39
60 72 Ray King 2008 5.68
61 72 Bruce Ruffin 1998 0.00 DNP
62 72 Ricardo Rincon 2004 4.70
63 72 Jason Schmidt 2007 7.01
64 72 Juan Rincon 2013 0.00 DNP
65 72 Ken Forsch 1981 3.18
66 72 Andy McGaffigan 1991 5.62
67 72 Tyler Walker 2010 4.08
68 72 Mike Timlin 2000 4.59
69 72 Joe Nelson 2009 4.69
70 71 Bryan Corey 2008 6.60
71 71 Bob Howry 2008 5.60
72 71 George Sherrill 2011 3.00
73 71 Jason Isringhausen 2007 2.89
74 71 Tom Candiotti 1992 3.45
75 71 Mike Maddux 1996 5.18
76 71 Valerio De Los Santos 2007 0.00 DNP
77 71 Danys Baez 2012 0.00 DNP
78 71 Jose Mesa 2000 5.24
79 71 Mike Marshall 1977 5.40
80 71 Jim Konstanty 1951 3.88
81 71 Mike Jackson 1999 4.19
82 71 Mike Lincoln 2009 8.22
83 71 Roberto Hernandez 1999 3.31
84 71 Jason Frasor 2012 4.12
85 71 Bill Landrum 1992 7.20
86 71 R.A. Dickey 2009 4.76
87 71 Barry Zito 2012 4.44
88 71 J.C. Romero 2010 4.42
89 71 Tim Hudson 2010 2.91
90 71 Luis Tiant 1975 4.36 DNP
91 71 Kevin Gregg 2012 5.36
92 71 Roger Clemens 1997 2.22
93 70 Hoyt Wilhelm 1957 4.45
94 70 Steve Ontiveros 1995 5.21
95 70 LaTroy Hawkins 2007 3.58
96 70 Bob Wickman 2003 0.00 DNP
97 70 Larry Gura 1982 4.50
98 70 Kerry Wood 2011 4.24
99 70 Steve Kline 2007 4.89
100 70 C.J. Nitkowski 2007 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2013 Clay Hensley's pitch repertoire leaves little room for error, so if he hopes to stick in a big-league bullpen, he'll need to get his walk rate back under control.
2012 The Marlins' lack of starting depth in the upper minors pushed Hensley into the rotation for nine starts last summer, and he gave up 29 earned runs in 42 innings before slipping back into the bullpen in September. Shoulder surgery in 2007 took a couple of ticks off of his average fastball, and roughly five miles per hour are now all that separate it from his low-80s changeup.
2011 Earlier in his career, the short right-hander looked like he might beat the biases against his type of pitcher and give the Padres a solid mid-rotation starter. Four years, a couple of shoulder injuries, and two organizations later, Hensley had to settle for breaking back in as an unlikely late-game relief asset. With his mix of sinkers and breaking stuff and a nifty change, he's not really anyone's idea of closer material, but a 7-for-7 success rate in actual save opportunities in the last month—as opposed to getting handed a blown save earlier in games—ought to remind people that overpowering stuff isn't the only qualification for a fireman. Even so, you can take that last month as a reflection of Hensley's real role: utility reliever, capable of going long, setting up, or closing, as needed.
2009 Though he was a promising tail-end starter a few years ago, Hensley's career has gone downhill over the past two seasons. The right-hander has been unable to find the plate pitching in the majors while failing to put up numbers worthy of notice at Triple-A Portland, and a right shoulder strain before the year began didn't help his cause either. His fastball/slider combination helps him induce grounders and keep the ball in the park, though not nearly enough to counter all the free passes. He's no longer in the Padres' plans; he was non-tendered and signed a minor league deal with the Astros.
2008 The staff savior in 2006, Hensley was never right in 2007 and was eventually diagnosed with a torn labrum. He elected to not have surgery and is rehabbing the injury with an eye towards making the rotation this year. As with Germano, he may be supplanted by the winter imports. Hensley wasn't gifted with great stuff before he got hurt, so expecting him to pitch effectively through a weakened shoulder is folly.
2007 The bias against short pitchers being what it is, Hensley`s not going to catch a lot of breaks, but he remains a steal, having been acquired straight-up for Matt Herges back in 2003. That said, it took Padre coaching to get him to lower his arm slot and bring his pitches down in the zone. If they hadn`t, perhaps Hensley never would have been a viable major leaguer. Making that change in 2005 made his sinker-slider mix that much more difficult to pick up or hit with any lift. He didn`t pitch in college until his senior year, which means he`s a unique talent without a lot of mileage on his arm.
2006 The last Padres pitcher to put up a 30+ VORP season in his first above-replacement level season was Andy Ashby, giving you an idea of how promising Hensley`s 2005 was. Hensley doesn`t have Ashby`s raw stuff, but he`s got solid control and poise to spare with men on base. The zero homers allowed in nearly 50 major league innings was a neat trick too, though it won`t be repeated. The Padres like him in relief, but he could quickly force the issue with the retreads the team will have in the rotation this year.

BP Articles

Clay Hensley is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessSkewed Left: Staying Alive in the Independent Leagues, 2014 EditionZachary Levine2014-05-01
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: The Marlins Who May Be MovingR.J. Anderson2013-07-01
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 12, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-12
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 28, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-28
This article requires BP Premium accessSobsequy: Notable NL Minor-League Free Agent SigneesAdam Sobsey2013-02-27
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: The Wildest Outings of 2012Sam Miller2013-01-25
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Tuesday, November 27Daniel Rathman2012-11-27
The Lineup Card: 9 Predictions of Free Agent Bargains and BustsBaseball Prospectus2012-10-31
Painting the Black: Evaluating the Non-Tender Class of '11R.J. Anderson2012-10-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Relievers for 9/5/12Dan Mennella2012-09-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Relievers for 8/29/12Dan Mennella2012-08-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Relievers for 8/22/12Dan Mennella2012-08-22
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Game of the Week: Bullpens, Banana Suits, and Ryan BraunSam Miller2012-05-25
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: Five Interesting Things from Yesterday's GamesBen Lindbergh2012-05-02
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Game of the Week: The Accounts and Descriptions of this GameR.J. Anderson2012-04-24
What You Need to Know: Thursday, April 19Daniel Rathman2012-04-19
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Spring Tune-UpsCorey Dawkins2012-04-02
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Spring Tune-UpsStephani Bee2012-04-02
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Valley of Infections and TearsStephani Bee2012-03-05
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Valley of Infections and TearsCorey Dawkins2012-03-05
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Middle Reliever ManiaR.J. Anderson2012-02-02
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Love Me Non-TenderR.J. Anderson2011-12-14
This article requires BP Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Fantasy Fallout for 12/5/11Derek Carty2011-12-05
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Storm Before the StormR.J. Anderson2011-11-28
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: The Season in Injuries: NL EastBen Lindbergh2011-11-14
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: The Season in Injuries: NL EastCorey Dawkins2011-11-14
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Perspective: Moving Forward in MiamiBradley Ankrom2011-11-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Under the Radar Middle MenJason Collette2011-09-09
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: First, Third, and DH for 8/8/11Michael Street2011-08-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: The One-Category Pitching BandDerek Carty2011-07-25
Transaction Analysis Blog: Weekend Roundup EditionR.J. Anderson2011-07-18
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #15Craig Brown2011-07-15
Value Picks: Relievers for 7/14/11Mike Petriello2011-07-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: RelieversMike Petriello2011-06-09
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Sciatica StateBen Lindbergh2011-06-03
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Sciatica StateCorey Dawkins2011-06-03
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Elbowed Out and Shouldered AsideMarc Normandin2011-05-11
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Elbowed Out and Shouldered AsideCorey Dawkins2011-05-11
Collateral Damage: No-Hit Hangover?Marc Normandin2011-05-09
Collateral Damage: No-Hit Hangover?Corey Dawkins2011-05-09
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: Looking Up in South FloridaR.J. Anderson2011-04-06
Prospectus Hit and Run: NL Bullpen BlowoutJay Jaffe2011-04-05
Overthinking It: Small Samplings of Spring, NL EditionBen Lindbergh2011-03-17
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2013-02-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)% chance Brandon League stays closer all year?
(Fred from LA)
I wonder what the minimum is for this question. Incumbency is so important, after all; if Clay Hensley were the declared closer going into Opening Day, how often would HE be the closer all year? That's the floor. I'd guess 12 percent is the floor. Maybe 6 percent, maybe 18 percent. Somewhere between 6 and 18 percent.

League: 24 percent. Not a pitcher I like much. (Sam Miller)
2012-08-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Sam, first time, long time! Thanks for taking my question. So, the Astros, huh? j/k lololol Any insight into why the Giants' bullpen has been so awful this year? Apart from the obvious lack of Brian Wilson, I mean. Is it simply regression? I'll take my answer off the air.
(Ian from Bump City)
Bullpens are so weird. I wrote a Game of the Week piece in, oh, i don't know mid-May about the Giants' bullpen and how good they were. I also noted in the piece that the Rangers' bullpen was something like historically good, like Mariano Rivera's entire career boiled down and replicated by an entire bullpen. Since then, the Giants and Rangers have both had lousy bullpens and now I wonder what they're going to get in October (if they make October).

For the Giants, I'm not too worried. The top five, the guys I mentioned in the GOTW, have held it together, although Clay Hensley is not to be trusted for what seem to me to be pretty obvious reasons. The overall bullpen numbers have been crushed by the fact that the Giants haven't had a decent longman, and the Pennys and Louxes have been crushed when they've gotten innings. This is probably a bit more worrying for the Giants as it relates to the rotation; if something happens to somebody in their rotation, they basically have nobody who can step in, as the Pennys and Louxes have shown. The Giants bullpen isn't great. It makes me a little nervous. But it's good. Good bullpens just make me (and everybody) nervous, because that's their nature.

It's mostly the same issue with Texas, with some extra injuries thrown in. Scheppers, Tateyama, Grimm have been lousy, but they won't be lousy in October because they won't sniff action in October. (Sam Miller)
2010-09-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)Good morning hombre- I'm a big Marlins fan. What would you do in the offseason to put this team into the playoffs? I miss the glory days of 2003 and watching them play this year has been killer. I'm dying for another shot at a ring. Any thoughts to help appease my pain?
(Angel Batista from Miami, Florida)
I'm bullish on the Marlins, Detective Batista. Anibal Sanchez has taken a big step forward. Clay Hensley and Leo Nunez have been great out of the bullpen. Josh Johnson and Ricky Nolasco are great. They'll have a healthy Coghlan back. There is a lot to like. Starting Wes Helms more than once a year isn't really that wise, and it's time to give up on the Andrew Miller experiment, but there is no reason they couldn't go 87-75 next season and try to sneak into a playoff spot. (Eric Seidman)
2010-08-17 14:45:00 (link to chat)Hi Eric Who will give me more value the rest of the year - Trevor Hoffman or Clay Hensley? Thanks
( Ed from Cranford, NJ)
Hensley. I would have taken him before the season too. Lot of strikeouts, very good stuff. If he was on a team with a shot he woud probably settle right into the 7th inning role and be a very reliable reliever. (Eric Seidman)


BP Roundtables

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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2014, Clay Hensley threw 4,226 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2007 and 2013, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and Spring Training. In 2013, he relied primarily on his Sinker (85mph), also mixing in a Curve (69mph), Change (79mph) and Slider (81mph).