Biographical

Portrait of Alex Rios

Alex Rios RFRangers

Rangers Player Cards | Rangers Team Audit | Rangers Depth Chart

2014 Rest-of-Season Projections (seasonal age 33)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
3 .264 0 0 0 0 .255 0.0
Birth Date2-18-1981
Height6' 5"
Weight210 lbs
Age33 years, 8 months, 8 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2.52010
-0.72011
5.22012
3.32013
0.42014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2004 TOR 23 111 460 426 55 122 24 7 1 163 31 84 2 0 1 28 15 3 .286 .338 .383 .235 8.4 -0.8 0.7
2005 TOR 24 146 519 481 71 126 23 6 10 191 28 101 5 5 0 59 14 9 .262 .306 .397 .243 5.5 3.5 0.9
2006 TOR 25 128 498 450 68 136 33 6 17 232 35 89 3 10 0 82 15 6 .302 .349 .516 .281 24.6 4.6 2.8
2007 TOR 26 161 711 643 114 191 43 7 24 320 55 103 6 7 0 85 17 4 .297 .354 .498 .303 51.2 -2.0 4.8
2008 TOR 27 155 686 635 91 185 47 8 15 293 44 112 2 5 0 79 32 8 .291 .337 .461 .281 39.3 7.4 4.7
2009 CHA 28 41 154 146 11 29 6 0 3 44 6 29 0 1 1 9 5 2 .199 .229 .301 .184 -9.4 -0.2 -1.0
2009 TOR 28 108 479 436 52 115 25 2 14 186 31 78 6 6 0 62 19 3 .264 .317 .427 .258 9.9 5.7 1.6
2010 CHA 29 147 617 567 89 161 29 3 21 259 38 93 7 5 0 88 34 14 .284 .334 .457 .261 20.1 4.1 2.5
2011 CHA 30 145 570 537 64 122 22 2 13 187 27 68 2 4 0 44 11 6 .227 .265 .348 .215 -5.4 -1.2 -0.7
2012 CHA 31 157 640 605 93 184 37 8 25 312 26 92 4 5 0 91 23 6 .304 .334 .516 .292 35.2 14.3 5.2
2013 CHA 32 109 465 430 57 119 22 2 12 181 32 78 1 1 0 55 26 6 .277 .328 .421 .267 16.4 3.2 2.1
2013 TEX 32 47 197 186 26 52 11 2 6 85 9 30 1 1 0 26 16 1 .280 .315 .457 .276 8.6 2.2 1.2
2014 TEX 33 131 521 492 54 138 30 8 4 196 23 93 1 5 0 54 17 9 .280 .311 .398 .254 -1.6 5.4 0.4
Career158665176034845168035261165264938510504055276224477.278.323.439.263202.846.325.4

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
1999 MED Rk 0 252 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .310 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 HAG A 0 77 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .283 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 QUE A- 0 221 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .295 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 CWV A 130 526 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .294 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 DUN A+ 111 492 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .341 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 NHV AA 127 563 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .406 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 TOR MLB 111 460 .235 .263 .330 .423 .256 .355 106 -12.7 13.7 -4.9 -0.8 1.8 8.4 0.7 8.4 0.7
2004 SYR AAA 46 195 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .296 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 TOR MLB 146 519 .243 .267 .332 .423 .264 .309 104 -9.3 14.9 -5.2 3.5 2.1 5.5 0.9 5.5 0.9
2006 TOR MLB 128 498 .281 .272 .337 .430 .259 .336 107 11.6 15.0 -5.2 4.6 -0.0 24.6 2.8 24.6 2.8
2006 SYR AAA 3 11 .268 .259 .334 .414 .258 .429 114 0.1 0.3 -0.2 -0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0
2007 TOR MLB 161 711 .303 .271 .337 .426 .264 .319 95 33.6 21.1 -6.7 -2.0 0.1 51.2 4.8 51.2 4.8
2008 TOR MLB 155 686 .281 .265 .331 .419 .260 .331 98 15.1 19.8 -3.9 7.4 2.6 39.3 4.7 39.3 4.7
2009 CHA MLB 41 154 .184 .262 .332 .410 .256 .226 105 -12.6 4.4 0 -0.2 -0.8 -9.4 -1.0 -9.4 -1.0
2009 TOR MLB 108 479 .258 .263 .330 .419 .258 .289 104 -1.2 13.8 -4.7 5.7 -1.3 9.9 1.6 9.9 1.6
2010 CHA MLB 147 617 .261 .261 .325 .407 .257 .306 112 0.7 17.0 1.3 4.1 -0.0 20.1 2.5 20.1 2.5
2011 CHA MLB 145 570 .215 .259 .320 .405 .260 .237 105 -25 15.4 1.4 -1.2 2.1 -5.4 -0.7 -5.4 -0.7
2012 CHA MLB 157 640 .292 .260 .321 .417 .264 .323 107 20.2 17.5 -6.5 14.3 5.8 35.2 5.2 35.2 5.2
2013 CHA MLB 109 465 .267 .256 .317 .401 .264 .314 99 3.3 12.2 -4.5 3.2 3.0 16.4 2.1 16.4 2.1
2013 TEX MLB 47 197 .276 .253 .313 .392 .263 .305 99 3.1 5.2 -1.9 2.2 2.1 8.6 1.2 8.6 1.2
2013 PUR int 7 27 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .158 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2014 TEX MLB 131 521 .254 .251 .311 .384 .260 .335 101 -2.8 13.4 -5.4 5.4 -2.5 -1.6 0.4 -1.6 0.4

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
1999 MED Rk 252 35 63 7 3 0 13 17 31 8 4 .269 .321 .325 .056 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 QUE A- 221 22 55 9 2 1 25 11 22 5 5 .267 .317 .345 .078 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 HAG A 77 5 17 3 1 0 5 2 14 2 3 .230 .260 .297 .068 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 CWV A 526 40 126 20 9 2 58 25 59 22 14 .263 .303 .354 .092 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 DUN A+ 492 60 139 22 8 3 61 27 55 14 8 .305 .347 .408 .103 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 NHV AA 563 86 181 32 11 11 82 39 85 11 3 .352 .404 .521 .169 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 SYR AAA 195 14 48 10 1 3 23 9 30 2 1 .259 .294 .373 .114 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 TOR MLB 460 55 122 24 7 1 28 31 84 15 3 .286 .338 .383 .096 .235 8.4 -0.8 0.7
2005 TOR MLB 519 71 126 23 6 10 59 28 101 14 9 .262 .306 .397 .135 .243 5.5 3.5 0.9
2006 SYR AAA 11 0 3 1 0 0 1 1 3 0 0 .300 .364 .400 .100 .268 0.2 -0.0 0.0
2006 TOR MLB 498 68 136 33 6 17 82 35 89 15 6 .302 .349 .516 .213 .281 24.6 4.6 2.8
2007 TOR MLB 711 114 191 43 7 24 85 55 103 17 4 .297 .354 .498 .201 .303 51.2 -2.0 4.8
2008 TOR MLB 686 91 185 47 8 15 79 44 112 32 8 .291 .337 .461 .170 .281 39.3 7.4 4.7
2009 TOR MLB 479 52 115 25 2 14 62 31 78 19 3 .264 .317 .427 .163 .258 9.9 5.7 1.6
2009 CHA MLB 154 11 29 6 0 3 9 6 29 5 2 .199 .229 .301 .103 .184 -9.4 -0.2 -1.0
2010 CHA MLB 617 89 161 29 3 21 88 38 93 34 14 .284 .334 .457 .173 .261 20.1 4.1 2.5
2011 CHA MLB 570 64 122 22 2 13 44 27 68 11 6 .227 .265 .348 .121 .215 -5.4 -1.2 -0.7
2012 CHA MLB 640 93 184 37 8 25 91 26 92 23 6 .304 .334 .516 .212 .292 35.2 14.3 5.2
2013 PUR int 27 6 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 1 1 .136 .296 .136 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 CHA MLB 465 57 119 22 2 12 55 32 78 26 6 .277 .328 .421 .144 .267 16.4 3.2 2.1
2013 TEX MLB 197 26 52 11 2 6 26 9 30 16 1 .280 .315 .457 .177 .276 8.6 2.2 1.2
2014 TEX MLB 521 54 138 30 8 4 54 23 93 17 9 .280 .311 .398 .118 .254 -1.6 5.4 0.4

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 2435 0.5154 0.4624 0.8313 0.6303 0.2839 0.9052 0.6567 0.1687
2009 2361 0.4981 0.4487 0.8206 0.6054 0.2928 0.9059 0.6455 0.1794
2010 2193 0.4916 0.4400 0.8465 0.5909 0.2933 0.9215 0.7003 0.1535
2011 1974 0.5314 0.4564 0.8668 0.5834 0.3124 0.9363 0.7197 0.1332
2012 2254 0.5217 0.4650 0.8664 0.6105 0.3061 0.9345 0.7182 0.1336
2013 2490 0.5068 0.4318 0.8473 0.5816 0.2769 0.9278 0.6735 0.1527
2014 2039 0.5022 0.4502 0.8366 0.6172 0.2818 0.9241 0.6434 0.1634
Career157460.50930.45040.84450.6030.29190.92170.67870.1555

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-09-05 2014-09-29 DTD 24 22 Right Thumb Infection and Contusion -
2014-08-19 2014-08-20 DTD 1 1 Right Thumb Contusion -
2014-08-11 2014-08-12 DTD 1 1 Right Ankle Soreness -
2014-07-31 2014-08-01 DTD 1 0 Left Thigh Contusion HBP -
2014-07-20 2014-07-23 DTD 3 3 Right Ankle Sprain -
2014-03-05 2014-03-13 Camp 8 0 Right Abdomen Strain Oblique - -
2014-02-22 2014-02-28 Camp 6 0 Left Soreness Big Toe - -
2013-07-31 2013-07-31 DTD 0 0 Left Foot Contusion - -
2013-03-23 2013-03-29 Camp 6 0 - Low Back Tightness - -
2012-08-08 2012-08-10 DTD 2 1 - Low Back Stiffness - -
2012-03-29 2012-03-30 Camp 1 0 - Lower Leg Strain Achilles Tendon - -
2011-08-26 2011-08-26 DTD 0 0 Right Hand Contusion - -
2011-04-20 2011-04-20 DTD 0 0 Arthritis Big Toe -
2010-09-28 2010-10-04 DTD 6 6 Left Knee Contusion HBP -
2010-03-17 2010-03-21 Camp 4 0 Left Thigh Strain Quadriceps -
2010-03-03 2010-03-05 Camp 2 0 Right Shoulder Soreness -
2008-06-11 2008-06-13 DTD 2 1 Low Back Soreness -
2006-09-12 2006-09-13 DTD 1 1 Right Hand Recovery From Contusion Bone From Last Week -
2006-09-10 2006-09-11 DTD 1 1 Right Hand Contusion Bone From Last Week -
2006-06-28 2006-07-28 15-DL 30 26 Left Lower Leg Infection Staph -
2005-03-03 2005-03-23 Camp 20 0 Right Shoulder Inflammation -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2015 TEX $1,000,000
2014 TEX $13,500,000
2013 CHA $13,000,000
2012 CHA $12,500,000
2011 CHA $12,500,000
2010 CHA $10,200,000
2009 TOR $6,400,000
2008 TOR $4,835,000
2007 TOR $2,535,000
2006 TOR $354,000
2005 TOR $331,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
9 yrPrevious$62,655,000
2011Current$13,500,000
10 yrPvs + Cur$76,155,000
1 yrFuture$1,000,000
11 yrTotal$77,155,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
9 y 130 dPaul Kinzer7 years/$69.835M (2008-14), 2015 option

Details
  • 7 years/$69.835M (2008-14), plus 2015 club option. Signed extension with Toronto 4/4/08, replacing 1-year contract signed 2/5/08 while retaining $3.5M signing bonus. 08:$0.735M, 09:$5.9M, 10:$9.7M, 11:$12M, 12:$12M, 13:$12.5M, 14:$12.5M, 15:$13.5M club option, $1M buyout. Full no-trade clause 2009-10. Limited no-trade protection from 2011 through end of contract (may block trades to 6 clubs: Arizona, Colorado, Houston, Kansas City, NY Yankees, Oakland). If traded between beginning of 2011 season and Spring Training 2014, future salaries increase by $0.5M each (met for 2014). If traded during 2014 season, 2015 option increases to $14M ($2M buyout). Claimed by Chicago White Sox off waivers from Toronto 8/10/09. Acquired by Texas in trade from Chicago White Sox 8/9/13. (White Sox pay Rangers $1M in the deal.)
  • Extension replaced 1 year/$4.835M deal for 2008. Signed by Toronto 2/5/08 (avoided arbitration, $5.65M-$4.535M). $3.5M signing bonus. 08:$1.335M.
  • 1 year/$2.535M (2007). Re-signed by Toronto 2/07 ($3.1M-$2M).
  • 1 year/$0.354M (2006). Re-signed by Toronto 2/06.
  • 1 year/$0.331M (2005). Re-signed by Toronto 3/05.
  • 1 year (2004). Re-signed by Toronto 2/04. Optioned to Triple-A 3/04. Recalled 5/04.
  • 1 year (2003). Contract purchased by Toronto 11/02. Re-signed by Toronto 3/03.
  • Drafted by Toronto 1999 (1-19) (Guaynabo HS, Puerto Rico). $0.845M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 604 77 162 31 4 16 71 36 91 30 8 .289 .334 .445 .280 25.9 RF 7 3.6
80o 590 73 153 29 4 15 67 34 91 28 7 .279 .324 .429 .271 20.2 RF 7 3.0
70o 580 70 147 28 3 15 65 32 90 27 7 .272 .316 .418 .265 16.2 RF 7 2.5
60o 571 68 141 27 3 14 63 31 90 26 7 .266 .309 .409 .259 13.0 RF 7 2.2
50o 563 66 137 26 3 14 61 30 89 25 7 .260 .303 .401 .254 10.0 RF 7 1.8
40o 555 64 132 25 3 13 59 29 89 24 6 .255 .297 .392 .249 7.1 RF 7 1.5
30o 546 62 127 24 3 13 57 28 88 23 6 .249 .290 .383 .244 4.1 RF 7 1.2
20o 536 59 121 23 3 12 55 27 88 22 6 .242 .283 .372 .237 0.6 RF 7 0.8
10o 522 56 114 22 3 11 52 25 87 21 5 .232 .272 .357 .228 -3.9 RF 6 0.3
Weighted Mean5646613726314613089257.261.304.402.25510.3RF 71.9

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 38% 7% 9% 98%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
2015343103576151734165113.263.304.399.2581.711.31.4-2.213.2-1.13.9
201635250255311152413468.228.269.346.229-0.0-3.60.9-1.811.7-14.43.1
201736250265510162515438.233.281.354.2360.3-0.50.6-1.913.8-13.13.1
201837250255511152413447.232.275.348.231-0.1-4.00.4-1.914.9-17.43.1
20193825025559142312466.237.274.337.227-0.2-4.80.2-2.09.2-12.13.1
20203925025549152413485.230.273.337.224-0.6-8.40.1-2.114.9-21.43.1
202140250245310142212464.224.264.323.218-1.0-12.2-0.0-2.214.9-25.03.1
202241250245310142213484.222.266.318.216-1.1-13.5-0.1-2.214.9-26.13.1
20234225023519132012493.217.257.303.207-1.7-18.8-0.1-2.314.9-31.33.1

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
31.238.820.18.60.30.599

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 80)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 91 Randy Winn 2007 .275
2 87 Andy Pafko 1954 .262
3 86 Tony Oliva 1972 .257
4 85 Brian Jordan 2000 .256
5 85 George Hendrick 1983 .311
6 85 Jason Michaels 2009 .260
7 84 Jose Guillen 2009 .235
8 84 Jerry Mumphrey 1986 .271
9 84 Jim Northrup 1973 .302
10 84 Magglio Ordonez 2007 .338
11 84 Eric Byrnes 2009 .228
12 84 Al Oliver 1980 .299
13 83 Jay Johnstone 1979 .259
14 83 Paul O'Neill 1996 .298
15 83 Ken Griffey 1983 .301
16 83 Billy Williams 1971 .312
17 82 Vernon Wells 2012 .252
18 82 Emil Brown 2008 .244
19 82 Lee Maye 1968 .290
20 82 Hank Bauer 1956 .267
21 82 Roger Maris 1968 .292
22 82 Jody Gerut 2011 .000 DNP
23 81 Gabe Kapler 2009 .255
24 81 Leon Wagner 1967 .266
25 81 Jose Cruz 1981 .291
26 81 Kevin McReynolds 1993 .263
27 81 Cesar Cedeno 1984 .276
28 81 David DeJesus 2013 .269
29 81 Michael Cuddyer 2012 .275
30 81 Juan Rivera 2012 .245
31 80 Carl Furillo 1955 .300
32 80 Aaron Rowand 2011 .240
33 80 Dusty Baker 1982 .311
34 80 Benny Ayala 1984 .221
35 80 Trot Nixon 2007 .242
36 80 Reed Johnson 2010 .251
37 80 Matt Diaz 2011 .228
38 80 Robb Quinlan 2010 .181
39 80 Del Ennis 1958 .223
40 80 Willie Bloomquist 2011 .236
41 80 Robin Yount 1989 .330
42 80 Jacque Jones 2008 .168
43 79 Geronimo Berroa 1998 .221
44 79 Jim King 1966 .278
45 79 Jackie Jensen 1960 .000 DNP
46 79 Andre Dawson 1988 .306
47 79 Felipe Alou 1968 .325
48 79 Gates Brown 1972 .256
49 79 Lee Lacy 1981 .269
50 79 Michael Young 2010 .257
51 79 Juan Uribe 2012 .200
52 79 Freddy Sanchez 2011 .270
53 79 Ty Wigginton 2011 .252
54 79 Jerry Lynch 1964 .298
55 78 Gary Matthews 1984 .306
56 78 Bernard Gilkey 2000 .197
57 78 Mike Lamb 2009 .000 DNP
58 78 Rocky Colavito 1967 .269
59 78 Kevin Bass 1992 .265
60 78 Ross Gload 2009 .271
61 78 Gary Matthews 2008 .234
62 78 Casey Blake 2007 .267
63 78 Joe Carter 1993 .269
64 78 Ronnie Belliard 2008 .297
65 78 Greg Colbrunn 2003 .260
66 78 Tony Gonzalez 1970 .261
67 78 Kirby Puckett 1993 .289
68 78 Hideki Matsui 2007 .299
69 78 Raul Mondesi 2004 .243
70 78 Fred Lynn 1985 .282
71 77 Rob Mackowiak 2009 .000 DNP
72 77 Jermaine Dye 2007 .264
73 77 Dave Winfield 1985 .287
74 77 Hal McRae 1979 .293
75 77 Wes Helms 2009 .237
76 77 Paul Molitor 1990 .290
77 77 Chet Lemon 1988 .286
78 77 Greg Dobbs 2012 .258
79 77 Andy Van Slyke 1994 .243
80 77 Aubrey Huff 2010 .327
81 77 Bob Skinner 1965 .301
82 77 Pedro Feliz 2008 .244
83 77 Mark DeRosa 2008 .297
84 77 Chuck Hinton 1967 .261
85 77 Sean Berry 1999 .208
86 77 Torii Hunter 2009 .292
87 77 Dave Parker 1984 .266
88 77 Denny Walling 1987 .277
89 76 Randy Bush 1992 .197
90 76 Rondell White 2005 .290
91 76 Bob Watson 1979 .297
92 76 Luis Gonzalez 2001 .354
93 76 Matt Stairs 2001 .282
94 76 Jim Rice 1986 .310
95 76 Xavier Nady 2012 .191
96 76 Yorvit Torrealba 2012 .234
97 76 Edgar Renteria 2010 .251
98 76 Bill White 1967 .284
99 76 Johnny Grubb 1982 .280
100 76 Jose Cardenal 1977 .232

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .299 .342 .497 .294
11 vs R (Multi) .272 .313 .428 .259
18 Split (Multi) -.027 -.030 -.069 -.035
19 LgAvg (Multi) -.013 -.023 -.037 -.020
30 vs L (2013) .313 .365 .524 .308
31 vs R (2013) .267 .311 .403 .248
38 Split (2013) -.046 -.054 -.121 -.060
39 LgAvg (2013) -.011 -.021 -.036 -.019

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 In September, Rios said, ďI really don't want to talk about last year,Ē meaning 2011. Instead, he let his bat do the talking, putting up the third-best WARP among right fielders and instantly made the millions he's due appear to be a reasonable salary. Though he set a career high for home runs and is unlikely to contribute as much WARP again, his rebound was accompanied by solid peripherals and makes his terrible 2011 look like a fluke.
2012 The third leg in last year's Stool of Southside Lineup Disaster, Riosís season was in some ways the most discouraging. Whereas Adam Dunnís struggles at the plate were unprecedented, Rios has been here before, with his 2010 adequacy looking more and more like an outlier. While Gordon Beckham refused to let his sickly bat infect his glove, Rios often shambled around the outfield like a Sleestak with mono. His batting average dropped 60 points despite a huge drop in his strikeout rate, and sabermetric orthodoxy insists that his .237 BABIP will improveóbut sabermetric orthodoxy hasnít watched Rios repeatedly make weak contact on pitches out of the zone. On the wrong side of thirty and owed $37 million over the next three years, Rios still has the skills to play a solid center field if he wants to and has nowhere to go but up at the plate, but no amount of squinting will make him the two-way star his contract demands.
2011 After sleepwalking through his initial introduction to Sox-dom in 2009, Kenny Williams' huge waiver-claim gamble paid off in Rios' first full season as a Sock. He was perhaps the closest synthesis of what an idealized White Sox hitter is supposed to be, providing both useful baserunning and power, and on a situational level even finished among the better RBI men in the league by ranking 12th in the percentage of his baserunners driven in. Additionally, he did exactly what was intended in terms of moving into the middle pasture and playing an outstanding center. With four years and $50 million left to go (taking him through his age-34 season), Williams' grab looks more obviously like the inspired snag that it was, especially given the shortage of quality everyday center fielders floating around on the market.
2010 As surprising as the Jake Peavy trade was, Kenny Williams' claiming Rios in August wins the award for the most shocking transaction of 2009. Hoping that the talented outfielder simply needed a change of scenery to get things going again, Rios responded by not even getting his batting average above the Mendoza line, and the club is stuck with him for six more years at a cost of more than $80 million. Rios is young enough to figure things out again, but the most galling aspect of his performance might not be the stat line, it's the gaggle of scouts who see a player who just doesn't give a damn.
2009 Following his breakouts in the previous two years, the Blue Jays had high hopes for Rios heading into his age-27 season. PECOTA knew better, calling for a .280/.339/.468 line. What it didnít see coming was Rios nearly doubling his stolen-base tally while maintaining a fine 80 percent success rate. Riosís steals were split fairly evenly between his two managers, so the difference was in performance and not simply tactics. Still, his speed didnít help him avoid grounding into a career-high 20 double plays. Thatís a clue to what happened to Riosís production; after increasing his fly-ball rate over each of his last three seasons, he regressed in 2008, putting a higher percentage of his balls in play on the ground than in either of his two ďbreakoutĒ seasons. As with Overbay, Rios is a complementary player miscast as a star.
2008 Rios' groundball-to-flyball ratios by season: 2.42, 1.46, 0.91, 0.87. His early-career struggles were a problem of approach, rather than a lack of talent, and the race to get off of his bandwagon-led by our own Joe Sheehan-was hasty. Rios improved his contact rate last season and may have a bit more power in him, so there's still upside. The Jays' chances of catching one of the two monsters in the AL East are predicated in part on Rios stepping up and becoming an MVP candidate.
2007 Rios started out the year on fire, finally responding to years of Blue Jay instruction trying to get him to pull the ball. By the time a staph infection forced him to the DL in late June, he had 15 home runs, almost all of which were to left or left-center. When he came back, he had reverted to the old Rios, slapping at the ball and hitting for little more than doubles power. It should be fairly easy for Mickey Brantley to show him videotape and make him understand the error of his ways, in which case he`ll soundly beat his PECOTA projection. It might be in someone else`s uniform, though. Rios is a very tradable commodity and, in a Pareto-optimal world would be playing center field instead of left.
2005 Rios, a 1998 pick out of Puerto Rico who did very little in his first four pro seasons, emerged as a prospect during a monster 2003 campaign at Double-A. He's a legitimate center fielder with an excellent arm, uses his speed well, and has shown some improvement in his command of the strike zone. However, he was rushed last year; he had a .292 OBP at Syracuse when he was promoted, and hit just four homers all season. He isn't going to hit enough to play right field regularly, at least not in '05. He's on the cusp; he could become Devon White, or he could stagnate and end up as Juan Encarnacion.

BP Articles

Alex Rios is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Feature: Aaron Judge and the Question of Long-Armed Hitting ProspectsJeff Moore2014-10-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep Impact: Week 21Ben Carsley2014-08-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessInterleague Report: Week 22Jeff Quinton2014-08-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Setting Expectations on SuperstarsJ.P. Breen2014-08-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep Impact: Week 18Ben Carsley2014-08-05
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 30, 2014Chris Mosch2014-07-30
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 29, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-07-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: The MLB Trade Landscape, BuyersMike Gianella2014-07-21
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Chris Sale's RevengeChris Mosch2014-07-10
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Trade Deadline Edition, SellersMike Gianella2014-07-07
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Davis Downs the A'sDaniel Rathman2014-07-01
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: Lessons of a Bad BasestealerR.J. Anderson2014-06-16
Daily League Strategy: Big MikePaul Sporer2014-06-10
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Soaring JaysChris Mosch2014-06-06
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week FourMike Gianella2014-04-24
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 120 OutfieldersBret Sayre2014-02-20
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Fantasy Experts Mock Draft: Recap and AnalysisPaul Sporer2014-02-10
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Baseball ProGUESTus: The 2013 All-Out-of-Position TeamAndrew Mearns2014-01-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Mixed-League Hitter ValuationMike Gianella2013-12-10
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This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 28, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-28
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFive to Watch: Post-Hype Prospects for 2014Craig Goldstein2013-08-19
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This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Rios in TexasR.J. Anderson2013-08-09
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Mailbag: Filling the VoidBP Fantasy Staff2013-07-26
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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 235: Alex Rios' Value/How the 2013 Pirates Were BuiltSam Miller2013-07-01
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: These Questions Three: The Maybe-Next-YearsHarry Pavlidis2013-03-28
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Tier Rankings: American League OutfieldersMike Gianella2013-03-25
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This article requires BP Premium accessContractual Matters: The Sinking and the SunkJeff Euston2013-03-06
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessPre-Season Positional Rankings: Top 50 Fantasy Outfielders, Part One: 1-25Josh Shepardson2013-02-27
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This article requires BP Premium accessIn A Pickle: Not All Stars Are All-StarsJason Wojciechowski2013-02-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Keeper Reaper: Outfielders for 1/11/13Paul Singman2013-01-11
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: Hottest Rumors From Baseball's Winter Meetings in Nashville!Sam Miller2012-12-07
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This article requires BP Premium accessInside The Park: What Rick Hahn's Ascension Means for the White SoxBradford Doolittle2012-10-31
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: The Ones We Got WrongDerek Carty2012-10-29
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: October 8BP Prospect Staff2012-10-08
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for Sept. 28: Bobby Abreu, All AloneLarry Granillo2012-09-29
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This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: What the New Skippers Have DoneBen Lindbergh2012-08-28
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In A Pickle: A.J. Pierzynski and the Last Thing You ExpectedJason Wojciechowski2012-08-23
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This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: Defending to the CrownBen Lindbergh2012-08-09
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On the Beat: A Tale of Two CitiesJohn Perrotto2012-08-02
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This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: The Rewritable Alex RiosR.J. Anderson2012-07-16
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This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Youkilis Changes SoxR.J. Anderson2012-06-24
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Future Shock Blog: Draft Day Dream CrushingKevin Goldstein2012-06-04
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Game of the Week: Memorial Day SaleR.J. Anderson2012-05-30
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This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Let the Games BeginStephani Bee2012-03-30
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The Platoon Advantage: Chicago's BearCee Angi2012-03-28
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Fantasy Tier Rankings: AL OutfieldersDerek Carty2012-03-22
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This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: Naming the Next Breakout TeamR.J. Anderson2012-03-20
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Inspecting the Spectrum, Part III: Out of Left Field, AgainJay Jaffe2012-02-29
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: The Vortices of Suck, Part IIJay Jaffe2012-02-13
Inside The Park: A New Message: The Divergent Directions of the Cubs and White SoxBradford Doolittle2012-02-09
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This article requires BP Premium accessThe Keeper Reaper: Outfielders for 12/27/11Rob McQuown2011-12-27
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for September 21Larry Granillo2011-09-22
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Outfield for 9/20/11Rob McQuown2011-09-20
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for September 10Larry Granillo2011-09-11
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This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: How Much to Pay Jose?Ben Lindbergh2011-09-01
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for August 7Larry Granillo2011-08-08
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Transaction Analysis: The Rasmus-Jackson Shuffle UPDATEDBen Lindbergh2011-07-27
Transaction Analysis: The Rasmus-Jackson Shuffle UPDATEDR.J. Anderson2011-07-27
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: The Replacement-Level Killers, Part IIJay Jaffe2011-07-18
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Overthinking It: Walkless WondersBen Lindbergh2011-07-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: League-Wide Stolen Base WoesJason Collette2011-06-30
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for June 19Larry Granillo2011-06-20
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for June 18Larry Granillo2011-06-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: The Movie Title GameJason Collette2011-06-17
Prospectus Hit List: AL: The Cream RisesTommy Bennett2011-05-30
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 21Larry Granillo2011-05-22
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Pre-Season Predictions: Staff Picks for 2011Baseball Prospectus2011-03-31
Team Injury Projection: Chicago White SoxCorey Dawkins2011-03-18
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Expert Mock Draft ResultsJason Collette2011-03-15
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Transaction of the Day: The Vernon Wells TradeChristina Kahrl2011-01-24
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The Week in Quotes: July 26-August 1Alex Carnevale2010-08-02
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BP Unfiltered: UPDATED AL Projected Opening Day RostersJohn Perrotto2010-04-01
Checking the Numbers: All's Wells That Ends WellsEric Seidman2010-03-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: First Base, Third Base, and Designated HitterMichael Street2010-03-22
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-03-14 09:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Mike, How much extra value do you give to Jose Abreu and Tanaka in a league where there get four years of keepability as opposed to two for all other players in the draft? Would you draft them ahead of players like Alex Rios or Hunter Pence? Thanks!
(Aaron from Long Beach)
I'd add a slight amount of value, but given that you'll probably be getting both at price without a lot of upside, this doesn't seem like a huge tactical advantage to me. I'd stick with Rios/Pence over Abreu/Tanaka. (Mike Gianella)
2014-02-26 19:00:00 (link to chat)Power & speed combination: who are your top five AL picks this season?
(John from CT)
Mike Trout
Jason Kipnis
Alex Rios
Coco Crisp
Shanf Victorian (Mauricio Rubio)
2013-12-10 18:00:00 (link to chat)Dynasty 10 keeper in both MLB level and MILB level. I can keep Wong for free as one of my 10 MILB but can also probably trade Wong straight up for Profar (no longer MILB eligible) but would have to use a MLB keeper spot on him. Would probably cost me Rios or Ryu. I have no 2nd baseman (not keeping Utley) going into the year. Is the keeper spot worth the trade for 2014? Who do you foresee having a quicker/bigger impact Wong or Profar?
(Rich from St. Louis)
Hi Rich.

With Ian Kinsler out of the way, Jurickson Profar should have a much bigger fantasy impact than Kolten Wong in 2014. I could be wrong about Wong ( the way I was off base about Matt Carpenter) but I see Wong as more of a steady performer and not as a player with significant upside like Profar. Your decision is kind of tough, though, because you would have to give up either Alex Rios or Ryu. In this case, I might simply keep Wong since you're not surrendering the MLB slot and can keep both Wong and Rios or Wong and Ryu. It's a close call for me. I think I'd make the deal but I can see why you wouldn't either. (Mike Gianella)
2013-07-16 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Sam. Love the podcast. Got a trade offer in my league (no keeper) Ryan Braun and Jarrod Parker for Matt Moore and Alex Rios. Oh, Gucci shades up on my braids when I Escalade. With the recent reports of biogenesis cases not being heard until later should I pull the trigger?
(Frank from Philly)
Oh, please. Catch me lane switching with the paint dripping? Turn your neck and your dame missing. But you already knew I was going to say that.

Slightly serious answer: I would almost turn down every trade offer without even looking at it. These managers hate you and want to hurt you. Don't play their stupid game. Don't even look at the offer. Just punch back with a counteroffer on your own terms. (Sam Miller)
2013-05-24 14:00:00 (link to chat)In a 14-team mixed 6x6 with OPS and 4 keepers I have been offered Pujols straight up for Alex Rios. I want to accept but every look at the numbers and trends seems to indicate Rios emerging and Pujols declining. Am I over thinking it by not accepting?
(docg16 from Latham, NY)
You are overthinking it. It might not work out, but you are overthinking. (Sam Miller)
2013-02-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)We keep $75/7 players max. I already have $10 kept with Morneau and dead weight. I'm going to keep Kipnis (12) and Castro (21), so that's 43. With the remaining, I have options - Dunn (18), Adam Jones (17), Cespedes (15), Scherzer (15) and someone's offering Trumbo for $1. I can also try to trade for VMart who would be 4, but I'm sure I'd have to give up a decent player. One option is Dunn & Cespedes and sell off an Alex Rios for $1, which I've been offered. That the best way to go, or would a combo of the other players work out better?
(frankbama from Westminster, MD)
Cespedes & AJones is the way to go for me. Not too hot on Trumbo even at a buck. Love the across-the-board production for Ces & Jones. (Paul Sporer)
2013-01-14 14:00:00 (link to chat)Alex Rios - good or bad in 2013?
(Justin from Chicago, IL)
I'm going to go out on a limb and predict that Rios will break the cycle of alternating awful and excellent seasons. Maybe he'll just be kind of okay! PECOTA projects him to be worth about two WARP, which would essentially make him an average player. Let's go with that. (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-02-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)If Thornton comes up with the yips again this spring, does CHW go straight to Addison Reed or will Jesse Crain get a shot?
(PepeShady from StPaul)
I thought it was reasonably well established that what Thornton went through last year wasn't "the yips" but an unsuccessful attempt to establish his changeup.

If I'm a team in rebuilding mode, as the Sox should be (but can't truly be given the $82 million owed to Alex Rios and Adam Dunn), I'd probably churn closers if possible, as the Sox did by flipping Sergio Santos. Get the increasingly expensive Thornton to about 20 saves and flip him, then turn to Crain and do the same. By then, Reed will have more than gotten his feet wet in the majors and will be well-prepared to do the job. (Jay Jaffe)
2012-02-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Alex Rios have a 20-20 season in him?
(Long Tim from Alaska)
In him, sure. The most likely scenario? No. He's been losing power recently, not hitting the ball nearly as far as he used to, and his HR power was strictly pull this past year. (Derek Carty)
2011-03-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)Brent Morel or Mark Teahan? Also who do you think ends up as fourth OF for White Sox? I am thinking Lastings Milledge might be a choice.
(bfitzge3 from Upstate NY)
Teahen will likely share time between 3B, RF (whenever Quentin is hurt) and DH, but he's a pretty ordinary player, so Morel should get a fair shot to win the 3B job outright. As far as Milledge goes, I've been a big fan for a long time, and I'm not convinced he can't do a reasonable Alex Rios impression one of these days, at least offensively. I mean that as a compliment... in other words, he'd be an excellent fourth OF. (Cory Schwartz)
2009-12-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)Alex Rios and now Juan Pierre? Who's advising the White Sox, Neel Kashkari?
(matuszek from Baltimore)
Chuck Tanner? Steve Boros? It's kooky, but then we're in a situation where we're debating the merits of Juan Pierre at $5 million plus versus a non-answer like Podzilla for under $2 million. Picking the former's the better answer if you start with the assumption neither's an offensive asset, since Podsednik's not a CF any more, but for that much? Why not check out Coco Crisp or Endy Chavez? (Christina Kahrl)
2009-11-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)What are your thoughts on Alex Rios for 2010?
(MickeyRivers from Philadelphia)
Plus defensive center fielder who'll hit .275 with some power and not enough walks. He's more or less comparable to Aaron Rowand, I think.

And if it were my team, I'd STILL move Ramirez to CF. Grrr. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-09-21 14:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think the Cubs will release Bradley, or find a trade partner? [As a Giants fan, may I present Aaron Rowand?]
(Rob from Oakland)
I think they'll try to trade him for somebody else's big contract headache, but that the likelihood isn't terribly high that they'll be able to find a match. Hendry has to know that his move to suspend Bradley opens up at least better-than-even probability that he'll be sinking the cost of some large fraction of the remaining $21 million on his deal.

Maybe they can swap him for Alex Rios, who's none too popular on the South Side. (Jay Jaffe)
2009-08-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Which Hitchcock? Alex Rios's contract was the largest to ever go through a waiver claim, but I wonder how much it could compare to the selling off of players (most famously Ruth, but also the Connie Mack tear-downs) during periods of economic instability between the wars? Are those precedents in some way for what we saw this week?
(Asinwreck from Chicago, IL)
All of the Hitchcock, actually. I have most of his catalog ripped to my computer and just clicked "play all." The current tune is "The Man With the Light Bulb Head," so I guess we're on "Fegmania!" Your parallels to the Rios sale are correct in part, but slightly different in that Frazee and Mack were saying, "These are really good players, worth the money, and I regret parting with them, but I just can't afford to pay them right now." The Rios sale was Ricciardi saying, "This guy ISN'T worth the money, I just thought he was at one point, so please take him away from me." (Steven Goldman)
2009-07-13 14:00:00 (link to chat)You're JP Ricciardi. Chris Davis, Neftali Feliz, Max Ramirez/Salatamalacchia, throw-in B prospect, and Marlon Byrd for Alex Rios and Halladay.
(Craig from Michigan)
Not enough. That's Feliz and a bunch of guys who've failed. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-02-11 14:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think Carlos Gomez becomes that Alex Rios or Carlos Beltran type of player this year. You talked about Gomez in 2007 on a chat?
(mwashuc06 from Utica,NY)
Yeah, I think Gomez is very talented. He's a wild stallion at this point but he'll learn under a guy like Ron Gardenhire and that Twins' coaching staff. Gomez is going to be very very good. (John Perrotto)
2008-06-20 13:30:00 (link to chat)Better lifetime keeper for next year and beyond (points based league)...Alex Rios, Matt kemp or Mad Max Scherzer Thanks
(Mike from Westbury, N.Y.)
Matt Kemp, then Scherzer, then Rios. I really like Matt Kemp. He's got a 15% shot of being Vladimir Guerrero. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-04-25 15:00:00 (link to chat)What are the odds that it turns out that Frank Thomas is really cooked, and JP is given a bit of credit for rectifying an error of yesteryear, as opposed to pulling a Colleti and making damn-well sure that last year's mistake remains on this year's books AND in this year's starting lineup? In a related question, what are the odds that I am just a mildly delusional, less mildly paranoic, Canadian Jays hoper?
(rawagman from Work, TO)
Because of his past history and his failure to build the Jays, I'm rarely inclined to give J.P. Ricciardi the benefit of the doubt. He's had seven years to try to put the Jays in a position to overtake the Yankees and/or Red Sox, and while he's developed a pretty decent pitching staff, he's placed some pretty big long-term bets on a pair of outfielders who really aren't very special in Vernon Wells and Alex Rios.

As for Thomas, yes, it's possible he really is done, but 60 PA is in no way an adequate sample to judge that given Thomas' track record of hitting his way out of recent slow starts. Look, the real motivating factor wasn't his slump, it was the vesting option. Ricciardi realized he didn't want to pay it, and that's not entirely stupid, but he'd have done better to play this one down the middle and not try to disguise his motives. As it is, he's just given those of us who enjoy watching him do his Mark Penn act more ammunition. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-05-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Doesn't Alex Rios have to figure into the conversation as the heir apparent to Vlad? Seems to be more patient this year and has improved his power every year as a regular and plays a pretty good RF with an above average arm.
(Taylor from Toronto)
I'll take Markakis for the extra OBP. Both are plus right fielders, so Rios' defensive edge is smaller than it is on the field. It's a good debate, but when in doubt, I'll lean towards the OBP guy. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-03-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who will have a better year, Mauer or Martin? How good will Alex Rios be? (a 6'6 OF who can steal 20 can't have too many comparables...)
(Jimmy Ballgame from San Diego)
Russell Martin; you've got a solid line, you know the Dodgers will push him to play a ton of games, and he steals bases. Mauer's power is going to dip according to PECOTA, and that Twins lineup is awful.

I'm still not on speaking terms with PECOTA after seeing the projection it spit out for him this year. Let's revise RF right now and slot him in behind Hermida and ahead of the Kemp/Milledge pair where playing time might be an issue. What do you guys think, should we bump Abreu or Francouer to #11? (Marc Normandin)


BP Roundtables

DateRoundtable NameComment
2010-04-05 09:30:00Season Opener RoundtableI was just musing to myself about how Alex Rios' stance reminds me of Von Hayes--spread low, slightly knock-kneed, and will he, like Hayes, always just be that slightly less than expected but still-good player--and before I complete the thought, he's jacked a 407-foot shot over the center-field fence. (Christina Kahrl)
2010-04-05 09:30:00Season Opener RoundtableNext is from Matt from Chicago: "One question each about the Chicago teams... What are your thoughts on Alex Rios? Is he ever going to return to his form of a few years ago or are his best days already behind him? Given the Cubs weak bullpen as currently constituted, what are a few names you believe they should target and that might be available via trade over the coming few months? Happy Opening Day to all!!"

PECOTA sees Rios as a useful player this season, with a weighted mean WARP of 2.4. That doesn't mean his best days aren't behind him (it also doesn't mean they are), but you can be a very productive ballplayer while still not being as good as Rios was '06-'08.

As for the Cubs - there really are very few pitchers who are tremendous difference makers as relievers, and they are typically unavailable. Most of the time you're trying to catch lightning in a bottle, and the Cubs don't have a shortage of bottles. They have plenty of live arms around, so they're not lacking for depth. (Colin Wyers)
 

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