Biographical

Portrait of Alex Rios

Alex Rios RFRoyals

Royals Player Cards | Royals Team Audit | Royals Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 35)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
411 .260 7 43 41 14 .243 0.7
Birth Date2-18-1981
Height6' 5"
Weight210 lbs
Age35 years, 7 months, 7 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
5.32012
3.22013
0.42014
-0.32015
0.72016
+proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2004 TOR 23 111 460 426 55 122 24 7 1 163 31 84 2 0 1 28 15 3 .286 .338 .383 .235 -2.2 13.6 1.1
2005 TOR 24 146 519 481 71 126 23 6 10 191 28 101 5 5 0 59 14 9 .262 .306 .397 .243 2.5 6.6 0.9
2006 TOR 25 128 498 450 68 136 33 6 17 232 35 89 3 10 0 82 15 6 .302 .349 .516 .281 21.3 8.5 2.9
2007 TOR 26 161 711 643 114 191 43 7 24 320 55 103 6 7 0 85 17 4 .297 .354 .498 .303 48.1 2.4 5.0
2008 TOR 27 155 686 635 91 185 47 8 15 293 44 112 2 5 0 79 32 8 .291 .337 .461 .281 33.7 15.4 4.9
2009 CHA 28 41 154 146 11 29 6 0 3 44 6 29 0 1 1 9 5 2 .199 .229 .301 .184 -9.0 -1.9 -1.1
2009 TOR 28 108 479 436 52 115 25 2 14 186 31 78 6 6 0 62 19 3 .264 .317 .427 .258 6.6 7.7 1.4
2010 CHA 29 147 617 567 89 161 29 3 21 259 38 93 7 5 0 88 34 14 .284 .334 .457 .261 19.0 7.8 2.8
2011 CHA 30 145 570 537 64 122 22 2 13 187 27 68 2 4 0 44 11 6 .227 .265 .348 .215 -6.2 -0.1 -0.7
2012 CHA 31 157 640 605 93 184 37 8 25 312 26 92 4 5 0 91 23 6 .304 .334 .516 .292 37.0 13.5 5.3
2013 CHA 32 109 465 430 57 119 22 2 12 181 32 78 1 1 0 55 26 6 .277 .328 .421 .267 14.0 5.8 2.2
2013 TEX 32 47 197 186 26 52 11 2 6 85 9 30 1 1 0 26 16 1 .280 .315 .457 .276 8.5 1.2 1.1
2014 TEX 33 131 521 492 54 138 30 8 4 196 23 93 1 5 54 17 9 .280 .311 .398 .254 2.7 1.2 0.4
2015 KCA 34 105 411 385 40 98 22 2 4 136 15 67 5 6 0 32 9 0 .255 .287 .353 .231 -3.9 1.0 -0.3
Career169169286419885177837463169278540011174561279425377.277.321.434.261172.282.726.0

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
1999 MED Rk 0 252 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .310 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 HAG A 0 77 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .283 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 QUE A- 0 221 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .295 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 CWV A 130 526 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .294 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 DUN A+ 111 492 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .341 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 NHV AA 127 563 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .406 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 TOR MLB 111 460 .235 .263 .330 .423 .000 .355 106 -12.7 13.7 -4.9 13.6 1.8 -2.2 1.1 -2.2 1.1
2004 SYR AAA 46 195 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .296 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 TOR MLB 146 519 .243 .267 .332 .423 .000 .309 104 -9.3 14.9 -5.2 6.6 2.1 2.5 0.9 2.5 0.9
2006 TOR MLB 128 498 .281 .272 .337 .430 .000 .336 107 11.6 15.0 -5.2 8.5 -0.0 21.3 2.9 21.3 2.9
2006 SYR AAA 3 11 .268 .259 .334 .414 .000 .429 114 0.1 0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0
2007 TOR MLB 161 711 .303 .271 .337 .426 .000 .319 95 33.6 21.1 -6.7 2.4 0.1 48.1 5.0 48.1 5.0
2008 TOR MLB 155 686 .281 .265 .331 .419 .000 .331 98 15.1 19.8 -3.9 15.4 2.6 33.7 4.9 33.7 4.9
2009 CHA MLB 41 154 .184 .262 .332 .410 .000 .226 105 -12.6 4.4 0 -1.9 -0.8 -9.0 -1.1 -9.0 -1.1
2009 TOR MLB 108 479 .258 .263 .330 .419 .000 .289 104 -1.2 13.8 -4.7 7.7 -1.3 6.6 1.4 6.6 1.4
2010 CHA MLB 147 617 .261 .261 .325 .407 .000 .306 112 0.7 17.0 1.3 7.8 -0.0 19.0 2.8 19.0 2.8
2011 CHA MLB 145 570 .215 .259 .320 .405 .000 .237 105 -25 15.4 1.4 -0.1 2.1 -6.2 -0.7 -6.2 -0.7
2012 CHA MLB 157 640 .292 .260 .321 .417 .000 .323 107 20.2 17.5 -6.5 13.5 5.8 37.0 5.3 37.0 5.3
2013 CHA MLB 109 465 .267 .256 .317 .401 .000 .314 99 3.3 12.2 -4.5 5.8 3.0 14.0 2.2 14.0 2.2
2013 TEX MLB 47 197 .276 .253 .313 .392 .000 .305 99 3.1 5.2 -1.9 1.2 2.1 8.5 1.1 8.5 1.1
2013 PUR int 7 27 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .158 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2014 TEX MLB 131 521 .254 .251 .311 .384 .000 .335 101 -2.8 13.4 -5.4 1.2 -2.5 2.7 0.4 2.7 0.4
2015 KCA MLB 105 411 .231 .253 .311 .405 .000 .294 101 -11.7 11.1 -4.1 1.0 0.9 -3.9 -0.3 -3.9 -0.3
2015 OMA AAA 4 17 .206 .267 .327 .416 .000 .167 100 -1 0.5 -0.2 0.0 -0.2 -0.9 -0.1 -0.9 -0.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
1999 MED Rk 252 35 63 7 3 0 13 17 31 8 4 .269 .321 .325 .056 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 QUE A- 221 22 55 9 2 1 25 11 22 5 5 .267 .317 .345 .078 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 HAG A 77 5 17 3 1 0 5 2 14 2 3 .230 .260 .297 .068 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 CWV A 526 40 126 20 9 2 58 25 59 22 14 .263 .303 .354 .092 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 DUN A+ 492 60 139 22 8 3 61 27 55 14 8 .305 .347 .408 .103 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 NHV AA 563 86 181 32 11 11 82 39 85 11 3 .352 .404 .521 .169 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 SYR AAA 195 14 48 10 1 3 23 9 30 2 1 .259 .294 .373 .114 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 TOR MLB 460 55 122 24 7 1 28 31 84 15 3 .286 .338 .383 .096 .235 -2.2 13.6 1.1
2005 TOR MLB 519 71 126 23 6 10 59 28 101 14 9 .262 .306 .397 .135 .243 2.5 6.6 0.9
2006 SYR AAA 11 0 3 1 0 0 1 1 3 0 0 .300 .364 .400 .100 .268 0.2 -0.1 0.0
2006 TOR MLB 498 68 136 33 6 17 82 35 89 15 6 .302 .349 .516 .213 .281 21.3 8.5 2.9
2007 TOR MLB 711 114 191 43 7 24 85 55 103 17 4 .297 .354 .498 .201 .303 48.1 2.4 5.0
2008 TOR MLB 686 91 185 47 8 15 79 44 112 32 8 .291 .337 .461 .170 .281 33.7 15.4 4.9
2009 TOR MLB 479 52 115 25 2 14 62 31 78 19 3 .264 .317 .427 .163 .258 6.6 7.7 1.4
2009 CHA MLB 154 11 29 6 0 3 9 6 29 5 2 .199 .229 .301 .103 .184 -9.0 -1.9 -1.1
2010 CHA MLB 617 89 161 29 3 21 88 38 93 34 14 .284 .334 .457 .173 .261 19.0 7.8 2.8
2011 CHA MLB 570 64 122 22 2 13 44 27 68 11 6 .227 .265 .348 .121 .215 -6.2 -0.1 -0.7
2012 CHA MLB 640 93 184 37 8 25 91 26 92 23 6 .304 .334 .516 .212 .292 37.0 13.5 5.3
2013 TEX MLB 197 26 52 11 2 6 26 9 30 16 1 .280 .315 .457 .177 .276 8.5 1.2 1.1
2013 CHA MLB 465 57 119 22 2 12 55 32 78 26 6 .277 .328 .421 .144 .267 14.0 5.8 2.2
2013 PUR int 27 6 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 1 1 .136 .296 .136 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2014 TEX MLB 521 54 138 30 8 4 54 23 93 17 9 .280 .311 .398 .118 .254 2.7 1.2 0.4
2015 KCA MLB 411 40 98 22 2 4 32 15 67 9 0 .255 .287 .353 .099 .231 -3.9 1.0 -0.3
2015 OMA AAA 17 2 3 1 0 1 2 0 4 0 0 .176 .176 .412 .235 .206 -0.9 0.0 -0.1

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT CSAA_CHANCES CSAA_RT
2008 2428 0.5095 0.4621 0.8200 0.6378 0.2796 0.8961 0.6396 0.1800 1066 0.006158
2009 2360 0.5153 0.4483 0.8110 0.5979 0.2893 0.8927 0.6314 0.1890 1059 0.014475
2010 2208 0.5113 0.4407 0.8314 0.5970 0.2771 0.9065 0.6622 0.1686 1018 0.008378
2011 1973 0.5322 0.4567 0.8502 0.5857 0.3099 0.9252 0.6888 0.1498 913 0.005085
2012 2254 0.5373 0.4650 0.8540 0.6102 0.2963 0.9256 0.6828 0.1460 1010 0.011963
2013 2484 0.5354 0.4320 0.8388 0.5835 0.2574 0.9175 0.6330 0.1612 1161 -0.004588
2014 2030 0.5103 0.4498 0.8193 0.6178 0.2746 0.9047 0.6190 0.1807 917 -0.001377
2015 1528 0.5046 0.4719 0.8197 0.6472 0.2933 0.9138 0.6081 0.1803 682 -0.005812
Career172650.52010.45230.83070.60820.28370.90980.64650.1693996.27290.0047

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-09-05 2014-09-29 DTD 24 22 Right Thumb Infection and Contusion -
2014-08-19 2014-08-20 DTD 1 1 Right Thumb Contusion -
2014-08-11 2014-08-12 DTD 1 1 Right Ankle Soreness -
2014-07-31 2014-08-01 DTD 1 0 Left Thigh Contusion HBP -
2014-07-20 2014-07-23 DTD 3 3 Right Ankle Sprain -
2014-03-05 2014-03-13 Camp 8 0 Right Abdomen Strain Oblique - -
2014-02-22 2014-02-28 Camp 6 0 Left Soreness Big Toe - -
2013-07-31 2013-07-31 DTD 0 0 Left Foot Contusion - -
2013-03-23 2013-03-29 Camp 6 0 - Low Back Tightness - -
2012-08-08 2012-08-10 DTD 2 1 - Low Back Stiffness - -
2012-03-29 2012-03-30 Camp 1 0 - Lower Leg Strain Achilles Tendon - -
2011-08-26 2011-08-26 DTD 0 0 Right Hand Contusion - -
2011-04-20 2011-04-20 DTD 0 0 Arthritis Big Toe -
2010-09-28 2010-10-04 DTD 6 6 Left Knee Contusion HBP -
2010-03-17 2010-03-21 Camp 4 0 Left Thigh Strain Quadriceps -
2010-03-03 2010-03-05 Camp 2 0 Right Shoulder Soreness -
2008-06-11 2008-06-13 DTD 2 1 Low Back Soreness -
2006-09-12 2006-09-13 DTD 1 1 Right Hand Recovery From Contusion Bone From Last Week -
2006-09-10 2006-09-11 DTD 1 1 Right Hand Contusion Bone From Last Week -
2006-06-28 2006-07-28 15-DL 30 26 Left Lower Leg Infection Staph -
2005-03-03 2005-03-23 Camp 20 0 Right Shoulder Inflammation -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2015 KCA $9,500,000
2014 TEX $13,500,000
2013 CHA $13,000,000
2012 CHA $12,500,000
2011 CHA $12,500,000
2010 CHA $10,200,000
2009 TOR $6,400,000
2008 TOR $4,835,000
2007 TOR $2,535,000
2006 TOR $354,000
2005 TOR $331,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
11 yrPrevious$85,655,000
11 yrTotal$85,655,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
11 y 130 dScott Boras1 year/$11M (2015), 2016 option

Details
  • 1 year/$11M (2015), plus 2016 mutual option. Signed by Kansas City as a free agent 12/15/14. 15:$9.5M, 16:$12.5M mutual option, $1.5M buyout. Kansas City declined 2016 option 11/4/15.
  • 7 years/$69.835M (2008-14), plus 2015 club option. Signed extension with Toronto 4/4/08, replacing 1-year contract signed 2/5/08 while retaining $3.5M signing bonus. 08:$0.735M, 09:$5.9M, 10:$9.7M, 11:$12M, 12:$12M, 13:$12.5M, 14:$12.5M, 15:$13.5M club option, $1M buyout. Full no-trade clause 2009-10. Limited no-trade protection from 2011 through end of contract (may block trades to 6 clubs: Arizona, Colorado, Houston, Kansas City, NY Yankees, Oakland). If traded between beginning of 2011 season and Spring Training 2014, future salaries increase by $0.5M each (met for 2014). If traded during 2014 season, 2015 option increases to $14M ($2M buyout). Claimed by Chicago White Sox off waivers from Toronto 8/10/09. Acquired by Texas in trade from Chicago White Sox 8/9/13. (White Sox pay Rangers $1M in the deal.) Texas declined 2015 option 10/31/14.
  • Extension replaced 1 year/$4.835M deal for 2008. Signed by Toronto 2/5/08 (avoided arbitration, $5.65M-$4.535M). $3.5M signing bonus. 08:$1.335M.
  • 1 year/$2.535M (2007). Re-signed by Toronto 2/07 ($3.1M-$2M).
  • 1 year/$0.354M (2006). Re-signed by Toronto 2/06.
  • 1 year/$0.331M (2005). Re-signed by Toronto 3/05.
  • 1 year (2004). Re-signed by Toronto 2/04. Optioned to Triple-A 3/04. Recalled 5/04.
  • 1 year (2003). Contract purchased by Toronto 11/02. Re-signed by Toronto 3/03.
  • Drafted by Toronto 1999 (1-19) (Guaynabo HS, Puerto Rico). $0.845M signing bonus.

2016 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/15/2015 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 459 54 126 27 5 8 48 22 69 18 5 .295 .331 .440 .274 14.8 RF 5 2.2
80o 442 51 118 25 5 8 44 21 68 17 4 .283 .318 .422 .264 9.7 RF 5 1.6
70o 430 48 110 24 4 7 42 20 67 16 4 .274 .309 .410 .256 6.3 RF 5 1.2
60o 420 46 106 23 4 7 40 19 66 15 4 .267 .302 .399 .250 3.4 RF 5 0.9
50o 411 44 102 22 4 7 39 18 65 14 4 .260 .294 .389 .244 0.9 RF 5 0.6
40o 402 42 96 21 4 6 37 17 65 14 3 .254 .287 .378 .238 -1.5 RF 4 0.3
30o 392 41 92 20 4 6 35 16 64 13 3 .246 .279 .368 .231 -3.9 RF 4 0.0
20o 380 38 85 18 3 6 33 15 63 12 3 .238 .270 .355 .224 -6.6 RF 4 -0.3
10o 363 35 78 17 3 5 31 14 61 11 3 .226 .257 .338 .213 -10.1 RF 4 -0.7
Weighted Mean413451022247391866144.262.296.391.2451.5RF 50.7

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 9/25/2016 11:52 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 459 54 126 27 5 8 48 22 69 18 5 .295 .331 .440 .274 17.9 RF 5 2.4
80o 442 51 118 25 5 8 44 21 68 17 4 .283 .318 .422 .263 12.7 RF 5 1.9
70o 430 48 110 24 4 7 42 20 67 16 4 .274 .309 .410 .256 9.1 RF 4 1.5
60o 420 46 106 23 4 7 40 19 66 15 4 .267 .302 .399 .250 6.2 RF 4 1.1
50o 411 44 102 22 4 7 39 18 65 14 4 .260 .294 .389 .243 3.6 RF 4 0.9
40o 402 42 96 21 4 6 37 17 65 14 3 .254 .287 .378 .237 1.2 RF 4 0.6
30o 392 41 92 20 4 6 35 16 64 13 3 .246 .279 .368 .231 -1.3 RF 4 0.3
20o 380 38 85 18 3 6 33 15 63 12 3 .238 .270 .355 .223 -4.1 RF 4 0.0
10o 363 35 78 17 3 5 31 14 61 11 3 .226 .257 .338 .213 -7.7 RF 4 -0.4
Weighted Mean413451022247391866144.262.296.391.2454.2RF 40.9

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 25% 12% 25% 85%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
2017363433480173533165711.250.286.371.2360.2-1.90.4-2.78.5-8.13.8
201837309307316342913519.251.284.365.2330.1-2.90.2-2.57.6-8.23.4
201938277266514332512477.248.282.357.229-0.1-3.80.0-2.46.9-8.33.1
202039252245812232311445.247.280.355.228-0.1-4.1-0.1-2.26.2-8.02.8
202140240235612232210415.245.278.354.226-0.2-4.3-0.2-2.25.9-7.92.7
20224122721531123209394.244.276.350.224-0.2-4.7-0.3-2.15.6-7.92.5
20234222320511122199393.242.274.342.221-0.3-5.5-0.3-2.15.5-8.52.5
20244322520511122199403.238.271.333.217-0.4-6.4-0.4-2.25.6-9.32.5
20254422420511122199402.238.270.332.217-0.5-6.6-0.4-2.35.5-9.52.5

Long-Term Forecast Based on RoS PECOTA (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
201736250256013242511418.254.290.379.2400.41.40.3-0.79.1-7.42.4
201837338338018353214569.252.286.370.2350.3-0.60.2-1.08.8-8.63.3
20193844542104235540207711.246.281.356.2300.2-2.90.0-1.47.6-9.04.3
202039373368214353417728.235.272.339.218-0.1-4.8-0.2-1.35.2-8.53.6

Upside By Year

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 PEAK 5
9.65.73.900.1out of baseball19.3

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
201518.818.559.56.64.458.4

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 83)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 91 Lee Maye 1970 .257
2 89 Andy Pafko 1956 .270
3 88 Reed Johnson 2012 .264
4 88 Carl Furillo 1957 .283
5 87 Brian Jordan 2002 .283
6 87 Jim Eisenreich 1994 .276
7 87 Gabe Kapler 2011 .000 DNP
8 87 Randy Winn 2009 .250
9 86 Kevin Bass 1994 .288
10 86 Emil Brown 2010 .000 DNP
11 86 Al Cowens 1987 .000 DNP
12 86 Vernon Wells 2014 .000 DNP
13 86 Lou Johnson 1970 .000 DNP
14 85 Jay Johnstone 1981 .234
15 85 Joe Carter 1995 .252
16 85 Jim Northrup 1975 .273
17 85 Jay Payton 2008 .216
18 85 Del Ennis 1960 .000 DNP
19 84 Garret Anderson 2007 .279
20 84 Shawn Green 2008 .000 DNP
21 84 B.J. Surhoff 2000 .270
22 84 Marlon Anderson 2009 .013
23 84 Mickey Stanley 1978 .262
24 84 Jason Michaels 2011 .190
25 84 Pedro Feliz 2010 .204
26 84 Matt Diaz 2013 .157
27 83 Steve Finley 2000 .298
28 83 Kirby Puckett 1995 .295
29 83 Orlando Merced 2002 .267
30 83 Felipe Alou 1970 .251
31 83 Cesar Cedeno 1986 .231
32 83 Enos Slaughter 1951 .281
33 83 Johnny Callison 1974 .000 DNP
34 83 Roberto Kelly 2000 .156
35 83 Dave Philley 1955 .276
36 83 Bake McBride 1984 .000 DNP
37 83 Raul Mondesi 2006 .000 DNP
38 83 Michael Tucker 2006 .270
39 82 Rondell White 2007 .207
40 82 Lou Piniella 1979 .268
41 82 Jim Wohlford 1986 .256
42 82 Rich Aurilia 2007 .238
43 82 Alex Gonzalez 2012 .270
44 82 Raul Ibanez 2007 .293
45 82 Irv Noren 1960 .164
46 82 Jim Rivera 1957 .269
47 82 Marlon Byrd 2013 .307
48 82 Chet Lemon 1990 .268
49 82 Juan Beniquez 1985 .287
50 82 Russ Snyder 1969 .233
51 82 Ronnie Belliard 2010 .243
52 82 Hank Bauer 1958 .271
53 82 Gary Matthews 2010 .188
54 82 Greg Dobbs 2014 .148
55 82 Ken Griffey 1985 .276
56 82 Aaron Boone 2008 .239
57 81 Dave Parker 1986 .275
58 81 Ross Gload 2011 .226
59 81 Kevin McReynolds 1995 .000 DNP
60 81 Hubie Brooks 1992 .217
61 81 Jerry Mumphrey 1988 .160
62 81 Vada Pinson 1974 .248
63 81 Thomas Howard 2000 .207
64 81 Lloyd McClendon 1994 .230
65 81 Lee Lacy 1983 .277
66 81 Edgar Renteria 2012 .000 DNP
67 81 Willie Davis 1975 .267
68 81 Juan Uribe 2014 .280
69 81 Skeeter Barnes 1992 .257
70 81 Claudell Washington 1990 .172
71 80 Mike McCormick 1952 .000 DNP
72 80 Darin Erstad 2009 .205
73 80 Ted Simmons 1985 .268
74 80 Ed Kranepool 1980 .000 DNP
75 80 Sam Mele 1957 .000 DNP
76 80 Bud Stewart 1951 .301
77 80 Ty Wigginton 2013 .156
78 80 Willie Bloomquist 2013 .262
79 80 Jim Rice 1988 .263
80 80 Clint Barmes 2014 .242
81 80 Andy Van Slyke 1996 .000 DNP
82 80 Scott Podsednik 2011 .000 DNP
83 80 Frank Thomas 1964 .265
84 80 A.J. Pierzynski 2012 .279
85 80 Dave Martinez 2000 .235
86 80 Wes Helms 2011 .209
87 80 Turner Ward 2000 .196
88 80 Jose Guillen 2011 .000 DNP
89 80 Hoot Evers 1956 .280
90 80 Bill Bruton 1961 .259
91 80 Stan Javier 1999 .256
92 80 Jim King 1968 .000 DNP
93 80 George Hendrick 1985 .202
94 80 Rod Barajas 2011 .261
95 80 Tino Martinez 2003 .269
96 80 Jeff Conine 2001 .298
97 79 Dante Bichette 1999 .269
98 79 Jose Cruz 1983 .313
99 79 Bengie Molina 2010 .223
100 79 Danny Cater 1975 .194

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .275 .312 .422 .261
11 vs R (Multi) .267 .301 .385 .245
18 Split (Multi) -.007 -.011 -.037 -.017
19 LgAvg (Multi) -.012 -.023 -.032 -.018
30 vs L (2015) .229 .267 .303 .207
31 vs R (2015) .264 .295 .373 .240
38 Split (2015) .035 .028 .070 .033
39 LgAvg (2015) -.009 -.021 -.026 -.016

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2016 The Royals ponied up $11 million for Rios to add some power to their outfield mix, since he's rangy and athletic and actually anchors himself when he swings, instead of doing that Nori Aoki thing where he's already running to first while slapping the ball to the left side of the infield. Yet after homering on Opening Day, Rios went 43 games before going yard again and posted a .224/.255/.256 line during that span while missing seven weeks with a hand injury. Overall, Rios managed a lower slugging percentage than Aoki had the previous year with none of the commensurate on-base percentage. Rios used to post solid numbers in alternating years, but now the delay seems to be following a Fibonacci sequence that describes the plummeting spiral of his career.
2015 It seemed like a foregone conclusion at the outset of 2014 that the Rangers would pick up Rios' $13.5 million option for 2015, but after a season that saw his power disappear, the team reversed course and moved on. An Alex Rios stat line is like a foreign-language movie with no subtitles: It looks like something you should appreciate, but you can't make any sense of it. At the very least, there should be some level of confidence that he won't be able to maintain an Elvis Andrus-like 3 percent homer-per-fly rate, although that would still double up Nori Aoki, the man he'll be replacing in the Royals outfield.
2014 The Rangers' lineup was already a bat or two light when Nelson Cruz was popped with a 50-game suspension, making the acquisition of Alex Rios (for infielder Leury Garcia) less luxury than necessity. Rios' year-to-year performance has been as stable as Tila Tequila, but in his good years he's a grade-6 player who doesn't have any real weaknesses. Texas has a $13.5 million option on Rios for 2015 with a $1 million buyout, and given how the free agent market is blowing up, it seems more likely than not that the Rangers will pick that option up.
2013 In September, Rios said, ďI really don't want to talk about last year,Ē meaning 2011. Instead, he let his bat do the talking, putting up the third-best WARP among right fielders and instantly made the millions he's due appear to be a reasonable salary. Though he set a career high for home runs and is unlikely to contribute as much WARP again, his rebound was accompanied by solid peripherals and makes his terrible 2011 look like a fluke.
2012 The third leg in last year's Stool of Southside Lineup Disaster, Riosís season was in some ways the most discouraging. Whereas Adam Dunnís struggles at the plate were unprecedented, Rios has been here before, with his 2010 adequacy looking more and more like an outlier. While Gordon Beckham refused to let his sickly bat infect his glove, Rios often shambled around the outfield like a Sleestak with mono. His batting average dropped 60 points despite a huge drop in his strikeout rate, and sabermetric orthodoxy insists that his .237 BABIP will improveóbut sabermetric orthodoxy hasnít watched Rios repeatedly make weak contact on pitches out of the zone. On the wrong side of thirty and owed $37 million over the next three years, Rios still has the skills to play a solid center field if he wants to and has nowhere to go but up at the plate, but no amount of squinting will make him the two-way star his contract demands.
2011 After sleepwalking through his initial introduction to Sox-dom in 2009, Kenny Williams' huge waiver-claim gamble paid off in Rios' first full season as a Sock. He was perhaps the closest synthesis of what an idealized White Sox hitter is supposed to be, providing both useful baserunning and power, and on a situational level even finished among the better RBI men in the league by ranking 12th in the percentage of his baserunners driven in. Additionally, he did exactly what was intended in terms of moving into the middle pasture and playing an outstanding center. With four years and $50 million left to go (taking him through his age-34 season), Williams' grab looks more obviously like the inspired snag that it was, especially given the shortage of quality everyday center fielders floating around on the market.
2010 As surprising as the Jake Peavy trade was, Kenny Williams' claiming Rios in August wins the award for the most shocking transaction of 2009. Hoping that the talented outfielder simply needed a change of scenery to get things going again, Rios responded by not even getting his batting average above the Mendoza line, and the club is stuck with him for six more years at a cost of more than $80 million. Rios is young enough to figure things out again, but the most galling aspect of his performance might not be the stat line, it's the gaggle of scouts who see a player who just doesn't give a damn.
2009 Following his breakouts in the previous two years, the Blue Jays had high hopes for Rios heading into his age-27 season. PECOTA knew better, calling for a .280/.339/.468 line. What it didnít see coming was Rios nearly doubling his stolen-base tally while maintaining a fine 80 percent success rate. Riosís steals were split fairly evenly between his two managers, so the difference was in performance and not simply tactics. Still, his speed didnít help him avoid grounding into a career-high 20 double plays. Thatís a clue to what happened to Riosís production; after increasing his fly-ball rate over each of his last three seasons, he regressed in 2008, putting a higher percentage of his balls in play on the ground than in either of his two ďbreakoutĒ seasons. As with Overbay, Rios is a complementary player miscast as a star.
2008 Rios' groundball-to-flyball ratios by season: 2.42, 1.46, 0.91, 0.87. His early-career struggles were a problem of approach, rather than a lack of talent, and the race to get off of his bandwagon-led by our own Joe Sheehan-was hasty. Rios improved his contact rate last season and may have a bit more power in him, so there's still upside. The Jays' chances of catching one of the two monsters in the AL East are predicated in part on Rios stepping up and becoming an MVP candidate.
2007 Rios started out the year on fire, finally responding to years of Blue Jay instruction trying to get him to pull the ball. By the time a staph infection forced him to the DL in late June, he had 15 home runs, almost all of which were to left or left-center. When he came back, he had reverted to the old Rios, slapping at the ball and hitting for little more than doubles power. It should be fairly easy for Mickey Brantley to show him videotape and make him understand the error of his ways, in which case he`ll soundly beat his PECOTA projection. It might be in someone else`s uniform, though. Rios is a very tradable commodity and, in a Pareto-optimal world would be playing center field instead of left.
2005 Rios, a 1998 pick out of Puerto Rico who did very little in his first four pro seasons, emerged as a prospect during a monster 2003 campaign at Double-A. He's a legitimate center fielder with an excellent arm, uses his speed well, and has shown some improvement in his command of the strike zone. However, he was rushed last year; he had a .292 OBP at Syracuse when he was promoted, and hit just four homers all season. He isn't going to hit enough to play right field regularly, at least not in '05. He's on the cusp; he could become Devon White, or he could stagnate and end up as Juan Encarnacion.
2004 An important distinction between plate discipline in theory and in practice is that you can get hung up on certain results without seeing what has actually worked out. Rios isn't a big walker, but he took to the organization's philosophy of learning to identify your pitch and whack it, and saw his numbers spike while making the jump to Double-A. Is he walkig enough? Perhaps not, and perhaps not yet, but the positive reinforcement that success and coaching can provide have to be factored in somehow. Rios is a giant from the Dave Winfield mold, with an arm to match. The problem is that people see the size and talk about Juan Gonzalez; at 23, Gonzo had a couple of hundred big league games under his belt, and he was already hitting for power. That said, Rios was showing considerably more power in winter ball. Although the numbers don't reflect it, Rios is considered a plus glove in center, to the point that if Wells gets bigger, it might Wells who goes to right.

BP Articles

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  Title Author Date
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for Sept. 28: Bobby Abreu, All AloneLarry Granillo2012-09-29
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for September 19Larry Granillo2012-09-20
The Lineup Card: 11 Candidates for Best Comeback PlayerBaseball Prospectus2012-09-12
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Monday Morning Ten Pack: Most Memorable Prospect DebutsBradley Ankrom2012-09-10
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Monday Morning Ten Pack: Most Memorable Prospect DebutsJason Parks2012-09-10
Monday Morning Ten Pack: Most Memorable Prospect DebutsHudson Belinsky2012-09-10
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for September 5Larry Granillo2012-09-06
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: What the New Skippers Have DoneBen Lindbergh2012-08-28
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for August 23Larry Granillo2012-08-24
In A Pickle: A.J. Pierzynski and the Last Thing You ExpectedJason Wojciechowski2012-08-23
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for August 5Larry Granillo2012-08-06
On the Beat: A Tale of Two CitiesJohn Perrotto2012-08-02
Tater Trot Tracker: Carlos Gomez's Foul Ball Trot, UpdatedLarry Granillo2012-07-26
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This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: The Rewritable Alex RiosR.J. Anderson2012-07-16
What You Need to Know: Tuesday, July 3Daniel Rathman2012-07-03
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for June 26Larry Granillo2012-06-27
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Youkilis Changes SoxR.J. Anderson2012-06-24
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for June 15Larry Granillo2012-06-16
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Future Shock Blog: Draft Day Dream CrushingKevin Goldstein2012-06-04
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Game of the Week: Memorial Day SaleR.J. Anderson2012-05-30
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 26Larry Granillo2012-05-27
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Outfielders for 4/13/12Rob McQuown2012-04-13
Tater Trot Tracker: Opening Week Trot TimesLarry Granillo2012-04-08
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Let the Games BeginStephani Bee2012-03-30
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The Platoon Advantage: Chicago's BearCee Angi2012-03-28
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Fantasy Tier Rankings: AL OutfieldersDerek Carty2012-03-22
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Overthinking It: Moving MiguelBen Lindbergh2012-03-20
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: Naming the Next Breakout TeamR.J. Anderson2012-03-20
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Inspecting the Spectrum, Part III: Out of Left Field, AgainJay Jaffe2012-02-29
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This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Fukudome Lands on the South SideR.J. Anderson2012-02-16
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: The Vortices of Suck, Part IIJay Jaffe2012-02-13
Inside The Park: A New Message: The Divergent Directions of the Cubs and White SoxBradford Doolittle2012-02-09
This article requires BP Premium accessFantasy Beat: Using Secondary Average to Evaluate Fantasy PlayersJason Collette2012-01-30
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This article requires BP Premium accessThe Keeper Reaper: Outfielders for 12/27/11Rob McQuown2011-12-27
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Gio Dealt to WashingtonR.J. Anderson2011-12-23
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The BP First Take: Thursday, December 22Daniel Rathman2011-12-22
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Keeper Reaper: Outfielders for 10/18/11Rob McQuown2011-10-18
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: BP Fantasy End of Season AwardsDerek Carty2011-10-03
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for September 25Larry Granillo2011-09-26
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Chicago White SoxKevin Goldstein2011-09-26
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for September 21Larry Granillo2011-09-22
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Outfield for 9/20/11Rob McQuown2011-09-20
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for September 17Larry Granillo2011-09-18
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for September 10Larry Granillo2011-09-11
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This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: How Much to Pay Jose?Ben Lindbergh2011-09-01
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: The Irene EditionBen Lindbergh2011-08-29
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Requiem for a RaceJay Jaffe2011-08-26
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for August 7Larry Granillo2011-08-08
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Vortices of Suck, Part IIJay Jaffe2011-08-05
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Transaction Analysis: The Rasmus-Jackson Shuffle UPDATEDR.J. Anderson2011-07-27
Transaction Analysis: The Rasmus-Jackson Shuffle UPDATEDBen Lindbergh2011-07-27
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: The Replacement-Level Killers, Part IIJay Jaffe2011-07-18
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: Resetting the Races, American LeagueBen Lindbergh2011-07-14
Overthinking It: Walkless WondersBen Lindbergh2011-07-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: League-Wide Stolen Base WoesJason Collette2011-06-30
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for June 19Larry Granillo2011-06-20
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: The Movie Title GameJason Collette2011-06-17
Prospectus Hit List: AL: The Cream RisesTommy Bennett2011-05-30
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 21Larry Granillo2011-05-22
Fantasy Beat: Alex Rios, EnigmaCraig Brown2011-05-18
Fantasy Beat: I Stay AwayJason Collette2011-05-17
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 4Larry Granillo2011-05-05
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 2Larry Granillo2011-05-03
Prospectus Hit and Run: Bautista's Enduring Young CharmsJay Jaffe2011-05-02
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Give Me Something!Jason Collette2011-04-29
This article requires BP Premium accessThe BP Broadside: Impatience with Cold StartersSteven Goldman2011-04-27
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit List: A Return to NormalcyJay Jaffe2011-04-25
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Pre-Season Predictions: Staff Picks for 2011Baseball Prospectus2011-03-31
Team Injury Projection: Chicago White SoxCorey Dawkins2011-03-18
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Expert Mock Draft ResultsJason Collette2011-03-15
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Scoresheet Draft Prep, BP Kings, and YouRob McQuown2011-02-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Focus: Center Fielder RankingsMarc Normandin2011-02-23
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: AL Central 2011 Preseason PreviewR.J. Anderson2011-02-15
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Fantasy Beat: BP Scoresheet Early Draft PrepRob McQuown2011-02-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: The Cheapest Staff PossibleJason Collette2011-02-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Rankings Review: Center FieldMarc Normandin2011-01-26
Transaction of the Day: The Vernon Wells TradeChristina Kahrl2011-01-24
This article requires BP Premium accessContractual Matters: A Brief History of Contract RecyclingJeff Euston2011-01-24
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Chicago White SoxChristina Kahrl2010-10-04
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Prospectus Perspective: Waiving Good-Bye?Christina Kahrl2010-09-03
This article requires BP Premium accessContractual Matters: August and Everything AfterJeff Euston2010-08-02
The Week in Quotes: July 26-August 1Alex Carnevale2010-08-02
This article requires BP Premium accessChecking the Numbers: Where Will Oswalt Go?Eric Seidman2010-07-16
Fantasy Beat: The Fantasy All-StarsMarc Normandin2010-07-12
This article requires BP Premium accessAll-Star Discontents: Less Than Zero, or More Than Some?Christina Kahrl2010-07-09
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This article requires BP Premium accessSeidnotes: Volume 1Eric Seidman2010-04-29
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Game Story: White Sox Home OpenerChristina Kahrl2010-04-05
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit List: AL Pre-season EditionJay Jaffe2010-04-02
BP Unfiltered: UPDATED AL Projected Opening Day RostersJohn Perrotto2010-04-01
Checking the Numbers: All's Wells That Ends WellsEric Seidman2010-03-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: First Base, Third Base, and Designated HitterMichael Street2010-03-22
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: AL Central Competitive EcologyJay Jaffe2010-02-23
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This article requires BP Premium accessThe Real Curse: Supply, Demand, and PricingColin Wyers2009-12-22
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Prospectus Hit List: Nearly All Wrapped UpJay Jaffe2009-09-25
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Prospectus Hit List: Comebacks and ShutdownsJay Jaffe2009-09-18
The Week in Quotes: September 7-13Alex Carnevale2009-09-14
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Under The Knife: All ALWill Carroll2009-08-19
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit List: Back in the Saddle AgainJay Jaffe2009-07-10
Prospectus Idol Entry: Prospectus Game of the Week: Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue JaysBrian Oakchunas2009-06-28
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: The Bottom TenJoe Sheehan2009-04-02
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UTK Wrap: Not Just the Usual SuspectsWill Carroll2008-05-16
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: Bullet Point WednesdayJoe Sheehan2006-09-06
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Focus: Spring Sleepers and BustsErik Siegrist2005-04-01
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: AL East PreviewJoe Sheehan2005-03-22
This article requires BP Premium accessLies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Projects the American LeagueNate Silver2005-03-21
Prospectus Today: Post-Hype SyndromeJoe Sheehan2005-03-01
This article requires BP Premium accessTeams: A Critical Guide: AL Season Wrap-Up, Non-Playoff Teams EditionSteven Goldman2004-10-18
This article requires BP Premium accessLies, Damned Lies: Top 50 Prospects ReportNate Silver2004-09-16
Teams: A Critical Guide: In Which Darin Erstad is QueriedSteven Goldman2004-08-27
This article requires BP Premium accessTeams: A Critical Guide: In Which Several Plot Lines Are Resolved, AL EditionSteven Goldman2004-08-05
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: May 25-27, 2004Christina Kahrl2004-05-29
Prospectus Triple Play: Atlanta Braves, Tampa Bay Devil Rays, Toronto Blue JaysBaseball Prospectus2004-05-27
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Finding the AnswersWill Carroll2004-05-25
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: Biding Their TimeJoe Sheehan2004-05-18
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Q&A: Carlos GomezJay Jaffe2004-04-08
Prospectus Triple Play: Montreal Expos, San Francisco Giants, Toronto Blue JaysBaseball Prospectus2004-03-05
This article requires BP Premium accessCan Of Corn: Can the Jays Pass the Yanks or Sox in '04?Dayn Perry2004-02-28
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Roundtable: Top 50 Prospects, Part IVBaseball Prospectus2004-02-24
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Roundtable: Top 50 Prospects, Part IIIBaseball Prospectus2004-02-23
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Roundtable: Top 50 Prospects, Part IIBaseball Prospectus2004-02-22
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: Awards, Deals, and Stupid Owner TricksJoe Sheehan2003-11-21
Prospecting: The Trio in TorontoDavid Cameron2003-10-31
This article requires BP Premium accessProspecting: Futures Game PreviewDavid Cameron2003-07-11


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2016-03-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)Will Bubba Starling ever figure it out or will he be tantalizing and frustrating to watch?
(Kevin from KC)
Eh...honestly, I'm going to lean towards the ladder, with a best-case ceiling of Alex Rios.

I think he's an example of what happens in this neo-prospect age. Amateurs are oftentimes given billings that aren't fair for them to try and live up to. Starling was great, yes, but Starling also was a home-state kid who had the football/baseball intrigue. He also goes by Bubba, so, that's probably a big thing in Kansas.

Inn actuality, though, a scout would tell you that despite the hype, Bubbsy Starling was really just a 'type' of player. The same 'type' of player that say, Monte Harrison is, another guy that I'm asked about frequently. These 'types' of players are freak athletes that have all the raw power and supplementary tools in the world, but ultimately it falls down to how much they're able to bring out of the hit tool. Even if they figure it out (more or less), they often remain very slump-prone and streaky (again, Alex Rios). One factor is Starling's size. He's 6'5--a big dude. How many batting champs have that type of size? And if they do, how many hit for power? It can be hard to consistently generate hard game contact and control longer levers to bring about consistent batting average.

I'm not going to say he's a Bret Eibner in KC's system. But I don't think he's going to be the super-athlete face of the franchise, either. I'll hold to my Alex Rios best case.

That said, it's risky to fully bet against this type of athlete and raw toolset. These guys can really prove you wrong, and make unforeseen adjustments right when you're starting to pat yourself on the back as a scout. Whoops. (Adam McInturff)
2015-04-06 20:15:00 (link to chat)How bout this...Could you see Zimmer ending up with a fantasy profile similar to Alex Rios? I know their swings don't match, but it seems like a really good strong hitter with a line drive stroke could just be really difficult to project as far as power goes. It seems like a lot of it could end up luck, but he could have his year where he drops 20-25, and then his years when he sits around 12-15.
(username49 from Ohio)
Sure, but that's power profile, more than fantasy profile. I'd be shocked if Zimmer has a 40 steal season on his resume. (Craig Goldstein)
2014-03-14 09:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Mike, How much extra value do you give to Jose Abreu and Tanaka in a league where there get four years of keepability as opposed to two for all other players in the draft? Would you draft them ahead of players like Alex Rios or Hunter Pence? Thanks!
(Aaron from Long Beach)
I'd add a slight amount of value, but given that you'll probably be getting both at price without a lot of upside, this doesn't seem like a huge tactical advantage to me. I'd stick with Rios/Pence over Abreu/Tanaka. (Mike Gianella)
2014-02-26 19:00:00 (link to chat)Power & speed combination: who are your top five AL picks this season?
(John from CT)
Mike Trout
Jason Kipnis
Alex Rios
Coco Crisp
Shanf Victorian (Mauricio Rubio)
2013-12-10 18:00:00 (link to chat)Dynasty 10 keeper in both MLB level and MILB level. I can keep Wong for free as one of my 10 MILB but can also probably trade Wong straight up for Profar (no longer MILB eligible) but would have to use a MLB keeper spot on him. Would probably cost me Rios or Ryu. I have no 2nd baseman (not keeping Utley) going into the year. Is the keeper spot worth the trade for 2014? Who do you foresee having a quicker/bigger impact Wong or Profar?
(Rich from St. Louis)
Hi Rich.

With Ian Kinsler out of the way, Jurickson Profar should have a much bigger fantasy impact than Kolten Wong in 2014. I could be wrong about Wong ( the way I was off base about Matt Carpenter) but I see Wong as more of a steady performer and not as a player with significant upside like Profar. Your decision is kind of tough, though, because you would have to give up either Alex Rios or Ryu. In this case, I might simply keep Wong since you're not surrendering the MLB slot and can keep both Wong and Rios or Wong and Ryu. It's a close call for me. I think I'd make the deal but I can see why you wouldn't either. (Mike Gianella)
2013-07-16 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Sam. Love the podcast. Got a trade offer in my league (no keeper) Ryan Braun and Jarrod Parker for Matt Moore and Alex Rios. Oh, Gucci shades up on my braids when I Escalade. With the recent reports of biogenesis cases not being heard until later should I pull the trigger?
(Frank from Philly)
Oh, please. Catch me lane switching with the paint dripping? Turn your neck and your dame missing. But you already knew I was going to say that.

Slightly serious answer: I would almost turn down every trade offer without even looking at it. These managers hate you and want to hurt you. Don't play their stupid game. Don't even look at the offer. Just punch back with a counteroffer on your own terms. (Sam Miller)
2013-05-24 14:00:00 (link to chat)In a 14-team mixed 6x6 with OPS and 4 keepers I have been offered Pujols straight up for Alex Rios. I want to accept but every look at the numbers and trends seems to indicate Rios emerging and Pujols declining. Am I over thinking it by not accepting?
(docg16 from Latham, NY)
You are overthinking it. It might not work out, but you are overthinking. (Sam Miller)
2013-02-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)We keep $75/7 players max. I already have $10 kept with Morneau and dead weight. I'm going to keep Kipnis (12) and Castro (21), so that's 43. With the remaining, I have options - Dunn (18), Adam Jones (17), Cespedes (15), Scherzer (15) and someone's offering Trumbo for $1. I can also try to trade for VMart who would be 4, but I'm sure I'd have to give up a decent player. One option is Dunn & Cespedes and sell off an Alex Rios for $1, which I've been offered. That the best way to go, or would a combo of the other players work out better?
(frankbama from Westminster, MD)
Cespedes & AJones is the way to go for me. Not too hot on Trumbo even at a buck. Love the across-the-board production for Ces & Jones. (Paul Sporer)
2013-01-14 14:00:00 (link to chat)Alex Rios - good or bad in 2013?
(Justin from Chicago, IL)
I'm going to go out on a limb and predict that Rios will break the cycle of alternating awful and excellent seasons. Maybe he'll just be kind of okay! PECOTA projects him to be worth about two WARP, which would essentially make him an average player. Let's go with that. (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-02-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)If Thornton comes up with the yips again this spring, does CHW go straight to Addison Reed or will Jesse Crain get a shot?
(PepeShady from StPaul)
I thought it was reasonably well established that what Thornton went through last year wasn't "the yips" but an unsuccessful attempt to establish his changeup.

If I'm a team in rebuilding mode, as the Sox should be (but can't truly be given the $82 million owed to Alex Rios and Adam Dunn), I'd probably churn closers if possible, as the Sox did by flipping Sergio Santos. Get the increasingly expensive Thornton to about 20 saves and flip him, then turn to Crain and do the same. By then, Reed will have more than gotten his feet wet in the majors and will be well-prepared to do the job. (Jay Jaffe)
2012-02-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Alex Rios have a 20-20 season in him?
(Long Tim from Alaska)
In him, sure. The most likely scenario? No. He's been losing power recently, not hitting the ball nearly as far as he used to, and his HR power was strictly pull this past year. (Derek Carty)
2011-03-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)Brent Morel or Mark Teahan? Also who do you think ends up as fourth OF for White Sox? I am thinking Lastings Milledge might be a choice.
(bfitzge3 from Upstate NY)
Teahen will likely share time between 3B, RF (whenever Quentin is hurt) and DH, but he's a pretty ordinary player, so Morel should get a fair shot to win the 3B job outright. As far as Milledge goes, I've been a big fan for a long time, and I'm not convinced he can't do a reasonable Alex Rios impression one of these days, at least offensively. I mean that as a compliment... in other words, he'd be an excellent fourth OF. (Cory Schwartz)
2009-12-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)Alex Rios and now Juan Pierre? Who's advising the White Sox, Neel Kashkari?
(matuszek from Baltimore)
Chuck Tanner? Steve Boros? It's kooky, but then we're in a situation where we're debating the merits of Juan Pierre at $5 million plus versus a non-answer like Podzilla for under $2 million. Picking the former's the better answer if you start with the assumption neither's an offensive asset, since Podsednik's not a CF any more, but for that much? Why not check out Coco Crisp or Endy Chavez? (Christina Kahrl)
2009-11-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)What are your thoughts on Alex Rios for 2010?
(MickeyRivers from Philadelphia)
Plus defensive center fielder who'll hit .275 with some power and not enough walks. He's more or less comparable to Aaron Rowand, I think.

And if it were my team, I'd STILL move Ramirez to CF. Grrr. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-09-21 14:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think the Cubs will release Bradley, or find a trade partner? [As a Giants fan, may I present Aaron Rowand?]
(Rob from Oakland)
I think they'll try to trade him for somebody else's big contract headache, but that the likelihood isn't terribly high that they'll be able to find a match. Hendry has to know that his move to suspend Bradley opens up at least better-than-even probability that he'll be sinking the cost of some large fraction of the remaining $21 million on his deal.

Maybe they can swap him for Alex Rios, who's none too popular on the South Side. (Jay Jaffe)
2009-08-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Which Hitchcock? Alex Rios's contract was the largest to ever go through a waiver claim, but I wonder how much it could compare to the selling off of players (most famously Ruth, but also the Connie Mack tear-downs) during periods of economic instability between the wars? Are those precedents in some way for what we saw this week?
(Asinwreck from Chicago, IL)
All of the Hitchcock, actually. I have most of his catalog ripped to my computer and just clicked "play all." The current tune is "The Man With the Light Bulb Head," so I guess we're on "Fegmania!" Your parallels to the Rios sale are correct in part, but slightly different in that Frazee and Mack were saying, "These are really good players, worth the money, and I regret parting with them, but I just can't afford to pay them right now." The Rios sale was Ricciardi saying, "This guy ISN'T worth the money, I just thought he was at one point, so please take him away from me." (Steven Goldman)
2009-07-13 14:00:00 (link to chat)You're JP Ricciardi. Chris Davis, Neftali Feliz, Max Ramirez/Salatamalacchia, throw-in B prospect, and Marlon Byrd for Alex Rios and Halladay.
(Craig from Michigan)
Not enough. That's Feliz and a bunch of guys who've failed. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-02-11 14:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think Carlos Gomez becomes that Alex Rios or Carlos Beltran type of player this year. You talked about Gomez in 2007 on a chat?
(mwashuc06 from Utica,NY)
Yeah, I think Gomez is very talented. He's a wild stallion at this point but he'll learn under a guy like Ron Gardenhire and that Twins' coaching staff. Gomez is going to be very very good. (John Perrotto)
2008-06-20 13:30:00 (link to chat)Better lifetime keeper for next year and beyond (points based league)...Alex Rios, Matt kemp or Mad Max Scherzer Thanks
(Mike from Westbury, N.Y.)
Matt Kemp, then Scherzer, then Rios. I really like Matt Kemp. He's got a 15% shot of being Vladimir Guerrero. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-04-25 15:00:00 (link to chat)What are the odds that it turns out that Frank Thomas is really cooked, and JP is given a bit of credit for rectifying an error of yesteryear, as opposed to pulling a Colleti and making damn-well sure that last year's mistake remains on this year's books AND in this year's starting lineup? In a related question, what are the odds that I am just a mildly delusional, less mildly paranoic, Canadian Jays hoper?
(rawagman from Work, TO)
Because of his past history and his failure to build the Jays, I'm rarely inclined to give J.P. Ricciardi the benefit of the doubt. He's had seven years to try to put the Jays in a position to overtake the Yankees and/or Red Sox, and while he's developed a pretty decent pitching staff, he's placed some pretty big long-term bets on a pair of outfielders who really aren't very special in Vernon Wells and Alex Rios.

As for Thomas, yes, it's possible he really is done, but 60 PA is in no way an adequate sample to judge that given Thomas' track record of hitting his way out of recent slow starts. Look, the real motivating factor wasn't his slump, it was the vesting option. Ricciardi realized he didn't want to pay it, and that's not entirely stupid, but he'd have done better to play this one down the middle and not try to disguise his motives. As it is, he's just given those of us who enjoy watching him do his Mark Penn act more ammunition. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-05-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Doesn't Alex Rios have to figure into the conversation as the heir apparent to Vlad? Seems to be more patient this year and has improved his power every year as a regular and plays a pretty good RF with an above average arm.
(Taylor from Toronto)
I'll take Markakis for the extra OBP. Both are plus right fielders, so Rios' defensive edge is smaller than it is on the field. It's a good debate, but when in doubt, I'll lean towards the OBP guy. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-03-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who will have a better year, Mauer or Martin? How good will Alex Rios be? (a 6'6 OF who can steal 20 can't have too many comparables...)
(Jimmy Ballgame from San Diego)
Russell Martin; you've got a solid line, you know the Dodgers will push him to play a ton of games, and he steals bases. Mauer's power is going to dip according to PECOTA, and that Twins lineup is awful.

I'm still not on speaking terms with PECOTA after seeing the projection it spit out for him this year. Let's revise RF right now and slot him in behind Hermida and ahead of the Kemp/Milledge pair where playing time might be an issue. What do you guys think, should we bump Abreu or Francouer to #11? (Marc Normandin)


BP Roundtables

DateRoundtable NameComment
2010-04-05 09:30:00Season Opener RoundtableI was just musing to myself about how Alex Rios' stance reminds me of Von Hayes--spread low, slightly knock-kneed, and will he, like Hayes, always just be that slightly less than expected but still-good player--and before I complete the thought, he's jacked a 407-foot shot over the center-field fence. (Christina Kahrl)
2010-04-05 09:30:00Season Opener RoundtableNext is from Matt from Chicago: "One question each about the Chicago teams... What are your thoughts on Alex Rios? Is he ever going to return to his form of a few years ago or are his best days already behind him? Given the Cubs weak bullpen as currently constituted, what are a few names you believe they should target and that might be available via trade over the coming few months? Happy Opening Day to all!!"

PECOTA sees Rios as a useful player this season, with a weighted mean WARP of 2.4. That doesn't mean his best days aren't behind him (it also doesn't mean they are), but you can be a very productive ballplayer while still not being as good as Rios was '06-'08.

As for the Cubs - there really are very few pitchers who are tremendous difference makers as relievers, and they are typically unavailable. Most of the time you're trying to catch lightning in a bottle, and the Cubs don't have a shortage of bottles. They have plenty of live arms around, so they're not lacking for depth. (Colin Wyers)
 

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