Jack Morris | Baseball Prospectus

Biographical

Jack Morris PTigers

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Career Summary

Years	IP	W	L	SV	SO	ERA	WARP
18	3824	254	186	0	2478	3.90	33.3

Birth Date	5-16-1955
Height	6' 3"
Weight	200 lbs

Bats	R
Throws	R

WARP Summary

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YEAR	TEAM	AGE	G	GS	IP	IP-SP	IP-RP	W	L	BS	QS	BQS	PA	H	R	ER	HR	TB	BB	UBB	HBP	SO	ERA	FIP	FRA	VORP	WARP
1977	DET	22	7	6	45.7	41.7	4.0	1	1	0	4	0	189	38	20	19	4	58	23	23	0	28	3.74	4.17	4.86	2.2	0.2
1978	DET	23	28	7	106.0	32.3	73.7	3	5	2	4	0	469	107	57	51	8	149	49	44	3	48	4.33	4.10	4.54	5.7	0.6
1979	DET	24	27	27	197.7	197.7	0.0	17	7	0	18	3	806	179	76	72	19	267	59	55	4	113	3.28	3.83	4.72	13.7	1.4
1980	DET	25	36	36	250.0	250.0	0.0	16	15	0	16	8	1074	252	125	116	20	364	87	82	4	112	4.18	3.99	4.51	19.7	2.1
1981	DET	26	25	25	198.0	198.0	0.0	14	7	0	17	2	798	153	69	67	14	234	78	67	2	97	3.05	3.69	4.42	7.5	0.8
1982	DET	27	37	37	266.3	266.3	0.0	17	16	0	19	5	1107	247	131	120	37	408	96	89	0	135	4.06	4.56	5.65	-6.1	-0.6
1983	DET	28	37	37	293.7	293.7	0.0	20	13	0	26	3	1204	257	117	109	30	400	83	78	3	232	3.34	3.45	4.01	34.8	3.7
1984	DET	29	35	35	240.3	240.3	0.0	19	11	0	23	2	1015	221	108	96	20	324	87	80	2	148	3.60	3.71	4.34	18.5	2.0
1985	DET	30	35	35	257.0	257.0	0.0	16	11	0	26	1	1077	212	102	95	21	321	110	103	5	191	3.33	3.66	4.08	30.3	3.2
1986	DET	31	35	35	267.0	267.0	0.0	21	8	0	20	5	1092	229	105	97	40	403	82	75	0	223	3.27	3.99	4.32	30.6	3.2
1987	DET	32	34	34	266.0	266.0	0.0	18	11	0	21	7	1101	227	111	100	39	389	93	86	1	208	3.38	4.28	4.75	25.2	2.1
1988	DET	33	34	34	235.0	235.0	0.0	15	13	0	20	2	997	225	115	103	20	336	83	76	4	168	3.94	3.61	4.07	26.7	2.9
1989	DET	34	24	24	170.3	170.3	0.0	6	14	0	11	4	743	189	102	92	23	301	59	56	2	115	4.86	4.33	4.40	12.8	1.4
1990	DET	35	36	36	249.7	249.7	0.0	15	18	0	18	3	1073	231	144	125	26	357	97	84	6	162	4.51	4.10	4.66	17.7	1.9
1991	MIN	36	35	35	246.7	246.7	0.0	18	12	0	20	2	1032	226	107	94	18	320	92	87	5	163	3.43	3.72	4.45	29.7	3.1
1992	TOR	37	34	34	240.7	240.7	0.0	21	6	0	19	2	1005	222	114	108	18	323	80	78	10	132	4.04	3.79	4.40	20.7	2.3
1993	TOR	38	27	27	152.7	152.7	0.0	7	12	0	8	1	702	189	116	105	18	286	65	63	3	103	6.19	4.52	5.06	14.6	1.5
1994	CLE	39	23	23	141.3	141.3	0.0	10	6	0	10	2	636	163	96	88	14	248	67	65	4	100	5.60	4.58	5.25	15.4	1.5
Career			549	527	3824.0	3746.3	77.7	254	186	2	300	52	16120	3567	1815	1657	389	5488	1390	1291	58	2478	3.90	3.96	4.54	319.8	33.3

Advanced

'opp' stats - quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.

YEAR	Team	Lg	G	GS	IP	FRA	FRA+	TAv	oppAVG	oppOBP	oppSLG	oppTAv	BABIP	PPF	PVORP	PWARP	VORP	WARP
1977	DET	MLB	7	6	45.7	4.86	96	.246	.268	.329	.405	.266	.254	103	2.2	0.2	2.2	0.2
1978	DET	MLB	28	7	106.0	4.54	96	.270	.267	.330	.401	.272	.274	103	5.7	0.6	5.7	0.6
1979	DET	MLB	27	27	197.7	4.72	102	.234	.274	.340	.424	.273	.262	102	13.7	1.4	13.7	1.4
1979	EVV	AAA	5	5	34.0	0.00	0	.000	.000	.000	.000	.000	.000		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980	DET	MLB	36	36	250.0	4.51	103	.256	.276	.335	.414	.274	.273	103	19.7	2.1	19.7	2.1
1981	DET	MLB	25	25	198.0	4.42	94	.234	.262	.323	.384	.266	.229	101	7.5	0.8	7.5	0.8
1982	DET	MLB	37	37	266.3	5.65	74	.256	.267	.332	.410	.270	.250	100	-6.1	-0.6	-6.1	-0.6
1983	DET	MLB	37	37	293.7	4.01	110	.239	.269	.332	.409	.270	.265	99	34.8	3.7	34.8	3.7
1984	DET	MLB	35	35	240.3	4.34	98	.245	.270	.331	.409	.271	.265	95	18.5	2.0	18.5	2.0
1985	DET	MLB	35	35	257.0	4.08	107	.243	.269	.334	.416	.273	.255	96	30.3	3.2	30.3	3.2
1986	DET	MLB	35	35	267.0	4.32	106	.246	.270	.335	.422	.273	.253	99	30.6	3.2	30.6	3.2
1987	DET	MLB	34	34	266.0	4.75	103	.239	.272	.340	.442	.272	.247	99	26.2	2.6	25.2	2.1
1988	DET	MLB	34	34	235.0	4.07	105	.261	.267	.332	.406	.275	.284	97	26.7	2.9	26.7	2.9
1989	DET	MLB	24	24	170.3	4.40	99	.287	.269	.329	.394	.271	.305	100	12.8	1.4	12.8	1.4
1989	LAK	A+	3	3	8.0	0.00	0	.000	.000	.000	.000	.000	.000		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1990	DET	MLB	36	36	249.7	4.66	95	.257	.267	.333	.399	.269	.262	102	17.7	1.9	17.7	1.9
1991	MIN	MLB	35	35	246.7	4.45	105	.237	.267	.335	.410	.274	.276	105	29.7	3.1	29.7	3.1
1992	TOR	MLB	34	34	240.7	4.40	100	.248	.266	.334	.400	.273	.267	102	20.7	2.3	20.7	2.3
1993	TOR	MLB	27	27	152.7	5.06	97	.288	.272	.341	.418	.269	.333	103	14.6	1.5	14.6	1.5
1994	CLE	MLB	23	23	141.3	5.25	101	.275	.278	.355	.443	.275	.330	100	15.4	1.5	15.4	1.5
Career		MLB		527	3824.0	4.54	100	.252	.270	.334	.412	.272	.269	100	320.9	33.8	319.8	33.3

Statistics For All Levels

Year	Team	Lg	W	L	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	GB%	BABIP	H/9	BB/9	HR/9	K/9	WHIP	ERA	VORP	WARP
1977	DET	MLB	1	1	7	6	45.7	38	23	28	4	61%	.254	7.5	4.5	0.8	5.5	1.34	3.74	2.2	0.2
1978	DET	MLB	3	5	28	7	106.0	107	49	48	8	52%	.274	9.1	4.2	0.7	4.1	1.47	4.33	5.7	0.6
1979	EVV	AAA	2	2	5	5	34.0	22	18	28	4	0%	.000	5.8	4.8	1.1	7.4	1.18	2.38	0.0	0.0
1979	DET	MLB	17	7	27	27	197.7	179	59	113	19	61%	.262	8.2	2.7	0.9	5.1	1.20	3.28	13.7	1.4
1980	DET	MLB	16	15	36	36	250.0	252	87	112	20	55%	.273	9.1	3.1	0.7	4.0	1.36	4.18	19.7	2.1
1981	DET	MLB	14	7	25	25	198.0	153	78	97	14	52%	.229	7.0	3.5	0.6	4.4	1.17	3.05	7.5	0.8
1982	DET	MLB	17	16	37	37	266.3	247	96	135	37	52%	.250	8.3	3.2	1.3	4.6	1.29	4.06	-6.1	-0.6
1983	DET	MLB	20	13	37	37	293.7	257	83	232	30	51%	.265	7.9	2.5	0.9	7.1	1.16	3.34	34.8	3.7
1984	DET	MLB	19	11	35	35	240.3	221	87	148	20	50%	.265	8.3	3.3	0.7	5.5	1.28	3.60	18.5	2.0
1985	DET	MLB	16	11	35	35	257.0	212	110	191	21	48%	.255	7.4	3.9	0.7	6.7	1.25	3.33	30.3	3.2
1986	DET	MLB	21	8	35	35	267.0	229	82	223	40	44%	.253	7.7	2.8	1.3	7.5	1.16	3.27	30.6	3.2
1987	DET	MLB	18	11	34	34	266.0	227	93	208	39	45%	.247	7.7	3.1	1.3	7.0	1.20	3.38	25.2	2.1
1988	DET	MLB	15	13	34	34	235.0	225	83	168	20	44%	.284	8.6	3.2	0.8	6.4	1.31	3.94	26.7	2.9
1989	LAK	A+	0	0	3	3	8.0	7	0	2	0	0%	.000	7.9	0.0	0.0	2.2	0.88	2.25	0.0	0.0
1989	DET	MLB	6	14	24	24	170.3	189	59	115	23	45%	.305	10.0	3.1	1.2	6.1	1.46	4.86	12.8	1.4
1990	DET	MLB	15	18	36	36	249.7	231	97	162	26	44%	.262	8.3	3.5	0.9	5.8	1.31	4.51	17.7	1.9
1991	MIN	MLB	18	12	35	35	246.7	226	92	163	18	46%	.276	8.2	3.4	0.7	5.9	1.29	3.43	29.7	3.1
1992	TOR	MLB	21	6	34	34	240.7	222	80	132	18	47%	.267	8.3	3.0	0.7	4.9	1.25	4.04	20.7	2.3
1993	TOR	MLB	7	12	27	27	152.7	189	65	103	18	51%	.333	11.1	3.8	1.1	6.1	1.66	6.19	14.6	1.5
1994	CLE	MLB	10	6	23	23	141.3	163	67	100	14	46%	.330	10.4	4.3	0.9	6.4	1.63	5.60	15.4	1.5

Injury History beta

Date On	Date Off	Transaction	Days	Games	Side	Body Part	Injury	Severity	Surgery Date	Reaggravation
1993-05-02	1993-05-21	15-DL	19	16	Right	Shoulder	Inflammation	Tendinitis	-	-
1989-05-23	1989-07-24	60-DL	62	54	Right	Elbow	Inflammation	Bone Chip	-	-

Compensation

Year	Team	Salary

Service Time	Agent	Contract Status

Details

BP Annual Player Comments

No BP Book Comments have been found for this player.

BP Articles

Jack Morris is referenced in the following articles.

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Title	Author	Date
Overthinking It: This Week in Catcher Framing, 5/10	Ben Lindbergh	2013-05-10
What You Need to Know: The Hot Starters	Daniel Rathman	2013-05-06
The Week In Quotes: April 29-May 5	Jonah Birenbaum	2013-05-06
The Week In Quotes: April 29-May 5	Pete Barrett	2013-05-06
The Week In Quotes: April 29-May 5	Andrew Koo	2013-05-06
BP Unfiltered: The Flimsy Case Against Clay Buchholz	Dan Rozenson	2013-05-03
Overthinking It: This Week in Catcher Framing, 5/3	Ben Lindbergh	2013-05-03
Wezen-Ball: A Few of Baseball's Best Moments	Larry Granillo	2013-04-19
Baseball ProGUESTus: When Good Things Come in Three Years	Chad Finn	2013-04-17
BP Unfiltered: The Most Surprising Players with Statues	Ben Lindbergh	2013-03-15
Skewed Left: It's No Good to Get Old (Except for These Guys)	Zachary Levine	2013-03-04
Wezen-Ball: An Ultimate Road Trip	Larry Granillo	2013-01-16
Sobsequy: How to Hit, According to Kevin Long	Adam Sobsey	2013-01-16
Western Front: Zeroes and Ones	Geoff Young	2013-01-15
Overthinking It: Has the Sabermetric Movement Been Bad for Jack Morris?	Ben Lindbergh	2013-01-10
On the Beat: A Change in the Process	John Perrotto	2013-01-10
Baseball Therapy: Lessons from the Hall of Fame Vote	Russell A. Carleton	2013-01-10
Skewed Left: Murphy, Morris, and Using the Full 15 Ballots	Zachary Levine	2013-01-10
Pebble Hunting: When the Teams That Don't Have Hall of Famers Yet Will Have Hall of Famers	Sam Miller	2013-01-10
Resident Fantasy Genius: The Voting Travesty	Derek Carty	2013-01-10
BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 116: Has the Sabermetric Movement Helped or Hurt Jack Morris?	Ben Lindbergh	2013-01-10
BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 116: Has the Sabermetric Movement Helped or Hurt Jack Morris?	Sam Miller	2013-01-10
Manufactured Runs: What Hall of Fame Voters are Doing to the Hall of Fame	Colin Wyers	2013-01-10
Wezen-Ball: Through the Years: Jack Morris	Larry Granillo	2013-01-09
BP Unfiltered: Is Jack Morris the Best Pitcher of an Era?	Colin Wyers	2013-01-08
BP Unfiltered: Time to Push the Reset Button	Dave Studeman	2013-01-07
On the Beat: The Hall of Fame Ballot	John Perrotto	2013-01-03
In A Pickle: That Blank Expression	Jason Wojciechowski	2013-01-03
Skewed Left: My Lost Weekend with Football	Zachary Levine	2012-12-18
In A Pickle: Winners and Losers of Winning and Losing	Jason Wojciechowski	2012-12-13
Sobsequy: Ferguson Jenkins, Tommy John, and How Some Players End Up Outside the Hall	Adam Sobsey	2012-12-12
Transaction Analysis: Dodgers Go Big for Greinke	Sam Miller	2012-12-10
Wezen-Ball: 37 Candidates, 37 (non-PED) Excuses	Larry Granillo	2012-12-04
Skewed Left: Could We See a Blank Hall of Fame Ballot in 2013?	Zachary Levine	2012-12-04
Baseball ProGUESTus: What Mainstream Baseball Analysis Looked Like in 1984	Chad Finn	2012-11-27
The Lineup Card: 11 Memories From Watching Our First World Series	Baseball Prospectus	2012-10-24
The Lineup Card: Seven August Moves that Mattered	Baseball Prospectus	2012-08-01
Prospectus Hit and Run: Sizzling Starts	Jay Jaffe	2012-04-18
Prospectus Hit and Run: Loose Threads: West Division	Jay Jaffe	2012-04-04
Baseball ProGUESTus: The Tensest Series of All Time	Dave Studeman	2012-04-03
BP Unfiltered: The Weakest Of The Weak	Ken Funck	2012-02-06
Overthinking It: The Overlooked Overlooked Hall of Famers	Ben Lindbergh	2012-02-02
Baseball Prospectus Book News: Extra Innings: More Baseball Between the Numbers Available for Pre-Order	Steven Goldman	2012-01-30
Inside The Park: Why We Want Players to Remember the Past	Bradford Doolittle	2012-01-26
The Platoon Advantage: TwinsFest Cognitive Dissonance	Bill Parker	2012-01-25
Changing Speeds: The Hall of Famously Weak Arguments, Part I	Ken Funck	2012-01-18
BP Unfiltered: Visualizing Our Jack Morris Fixation	Ben Lindbergh	2012-01-17
The BP Broadside: 1987: The Silver Jubilee, Part I	Steven Goldman	2012-01-17
Heartburn Hardball: Jack Morris in Motion	Jonathan Bernhardt	2012-01-13
The Keeper Reaper: Starting Pitchers for 1/12/12	Mike Petriello	2012-01-12
BP Unfiltered: Watching Jack Play	Colin Wyers	2012-01-10
The Lineup Card: Switched at Birth: 14 Players Who Look Like Other People	Baseball Prospectus	2012-01-10
Prospectus Hit and Run: Barry, Black Jack, and the Big Ballot Surges	Jay Jaffe	2012-01-10
Wezen-Ball: HOF Candidates as Prospects	Larry Granillo	2012-01-08
Wezen-Ball: The Descriptive HOF Ballot, 2011	Larry Granillo	2012-01-05
The BP Wayback Machine: Pitching to the Score	Greg Spira	2011-12-30
Prospectus Hit and Run: Morris on the Ballot, Smith to Close	Jay Jaffe	2011-12-30
Prospectus Hit and Run: The Class of 2012: Middle Infielders	Jay Jaffe	2011-12-19
Prospectus Hit and Run: The Golden Era Ballot for the Hall of Fame	Jay Jaffe	2011-11-22
The Lineup Card: 9 World Series Heroes: The Year After	Baseball Prospectus	2011-11-03
Wezen-Ball: Player Rankings for Type A/B Calculations, 1982-1984	Larry Granillo	2011-11-02
World Series Prospectus: Game Six: The Crazy Train Keeps Rolling	Jay Jaffe	2011-10-28
The Lineup Card: 13 Iconic Instances of Facial Hair	Baseball Prospectus	2011-10-19
The Lineup Card: 9 Baseball Movies That Should Be Made	Baseball Prospectus	2011-09-21
Prospectus Hit and Run: Junkballin'	Jay Jaffe	2011-09-15
The BP Broadside: "Compiler" Jim Thome for the Hall of Fame	Steven Goldman	2011-08-16
The BP Broadside: David Cone, All Is Forgiven	Steven Goldman	2011-07-21
Wezen-Ball: Collisions at the Plate	Larry Granillo	2011-05-27
Baseball Prospectus Press Release: BP Announces Free Public Access to Archives	Baseball Prospectus	2011-05-23
Wezen-Ball: Baseball When You're 10	Larry Granillo	2011-04-12
Spitballing: Trading Places	Jeremy Greenhouse	2011-04-07
Prospectus Hit and Run: I Don't Wanna Go Down to the Basement	Jay Jaffe	2011-03-22
Changing Speeds: Baseball on the Ones	Ken Funck	2011-03-22
Baseball ProGUESTus: The Impact of World Series Starts (or How Much Was Jack Morris Really Worth?)	Sean Smith	2011-03-04
Prospectus Hit and Run: Dandy Andy Bows Out	Jay Jaffe	2011-02-04
The Week In Quotes: January 3-9	Alex Carnevale	2011-01-10
Prospectus Hit and Run: Blyleven in '11 and Other Tales from the Ballot	Jay Jaffe	2011-01-06
BP Podcast: Episode 32: This Doesn't Smell Right	Kevin Goldstein	2011-01-05
Prospectus Hit and Run: Class of 2011: Relief at List	Jay Jaffe	2011-01-05
On the Beat: One Man's Ballot	John Perrotto	2011-01-04
Prospectus Hit and Run: Class of 2011: No Shortage of Quality Shortstops	Jay Jaffe	2010-12-29
Prospectus Hit and Run: Class of 2011: Starting Pitchers	Jay Jaffe	2010-12-20
Prospectus Hit and Run: Marvin Miller and Pat Gillick	Jay Jaffe	2010-11-16
Prospectus Q&A: Jerry Howarth, Part II	David Laurila	2010-11-03
Playoff Prospectus: Like Drinking Coffee with a Fork	Jay Jaffe	2010-10-19
Changing Speeds: Closing Time	Ken Funck	2010-09-30
Prospectus Hit and Run: Disasterpiece Theater	Jay Jaffe	2010-09-29
Another Look: Hall of Fame Pitchers Becoming an Extinct Species	Bob Hertzel	2010-09-21
Manufactured Runs: By Land, Sea, and Air	Colin Wyers	2010-08-04
Prospectus Hit and Run: Jacktastic!	Jay Jaffe	2010-06-30
You Can Blog It Up: Dead Player of the Day and Other Notes #2	Steven Goldman	2010-03-30
You Could Look It Up: Get Back in Line, Part 2	Steven Goldman	2010-02-21
The Week In Quotes: January 4-10	Alex Carnevale	2010-01-11
Prospectus Hit and Run: Hawk, Rock, and a Couple of Shocks	Jay Jaffe	2010-01-07
Prospectus Hit and Run: Hall of Fame Cases for Pitchers	Jay Jaffe	2010-01-06
Prospectus Today: Virtual Hall-Worthy Selections	Joe Sheehan	2009-12-30
On the Beat: Weekend Update	John Perrotto	2009-12-27
Prospectus Hit and Run: Hall of Fame Cases at Third and Short	Jay Jaffe	2009-12-23
On the Beat: Thanksgiving Weekend Update	John Perrotto	2009-11-29
You Could Look It Up: He Should Have Picked Lee	Steven Goldman	2009-11-01
Prospectus Q&A: Edwin Jackson	David Laurila	2009-10-11
Prospectus Idol Entry: The 1991 World Series: An Adventure in Championship Expectancy	Matt Swartz	2009-06-21
Prospectus Today: The Next 300-Game Winner?	Joe Sheehan	2009-06-06
Prospectus Q&A: Bert Blyleven	David Laurila	2009-05-10
Prospectus Hit and Run: The Pitchers	Jay Jaffe	2009-01-12
Prospectus Hit and Run: The Infielders	Jay Jaffe	2009-01-11
Prospectus Today: The Old You're In, You're Out	Joe Sheehan	2008-12-18
On the Beat: One Man's Hall of Fame Vote	John Perrotto	2008-12-03
Prospectus Today: Moose Tracks	Joe Sheehan	2008-11-24
Prospectus Today: NLCS Game Two and ALCS Game One	Joe Sheehan	2008-10-11
Prospectus Q&A: Cito Gaston	David Laurila	2008-09-07
Lies, Damned Lies: The Ultimate Fantasy Draft	Nate Silver	2008-08-21
Prospectus Preview: Monday's Games to Watch	Caleb Peiffer	2008-06-30
Every Given Sunday: Under Review	John Perrotto	2008-05-25
UTK Wrap: At the Races	Will Carroll	2008-05-09
Under The Knife: Much Better	Will Carroll	2008-05-06
Under The Knife: No Fooling	Will Carroll	2008-04-01
Under The Knife: Opening Day Hurts	Will Carroll	2008-03-31
The Week In Quotes: March 24-30	Alex Carnevale	2008-03-31
Doctoring The Numbers: Royals and Phillies	Rany Jazayerli	2008-03-25
You Could Look It Up: Topping the Twins, Part Deux	Steven Goldman	2008-02-18
Prospectus Today: Goose, Rice, and Confetti	Joe Sheehan	2008-01-09
Prospectus Matchups: Dead Horses and Fifth Starters	Jim Baker	2008-01-04
The Class of 2008: The Starting Pitchers	Jay Jaffe	2008-01-03
Prospectus Today: My Ballot	Joe Sheehan	2007-12-28
Every Given Sunday: Holiday Gifts	John Perrotto	2007-12-23
The Class of 2008: The Hitters, Part One	Jay Jaffe	2007-12-12
Prospectus Matchups: Blowing Hot and Cold	Jim Baker	2007-09-14
Prospectus Today: The Buehrle Dilemma	Joe Sheehan	2007-06-28
The Class of 2007: The Pitchers	Jay Jaffe	2007-01-09
Prospectus Today: The Conundrum	Joe Sheehan	2007-01-09
Prospectus Today: My Hall of Fame Ballot	Joe Sheehan	2007-01-05
World Series Prospectus: Fire Up the Wayback Machine	Christina Kahrl	2006-10-24
Under The Knife: The End of the DL	Will Carroll	2006-08-28
Prospectus Today: The Election	Joe Sheehan	2006-01-11
Prospectus Today: The Ballot	Joe Sheehan	2006-01-09
The Class of 2006: Starting Pitchers	Jay Jaffe	2005-12-16
The Class of 2006: The Hitters	Jay Jaffe	2005-12-12
Prospectus Matchups: Feels Like the First Time	Jim Baker	2005-10-21
Prospectus Game of the Week: Houston Astros @ Atlanta Braves, 5/8/05	Jonah Keri	2005-05-10
Prospectus Triple Play: Arizona Diamondbacks, Detroit Tigers, Kansas City Royals	Caleb Peiffer	2005-03-25
The Class of 2005: The Pitchers	Jay Jaffe	2004-12-20
Prospectus Today: The Holdovers	Joe Sheehan	2004-12-01
Prospectus Q&A: J.P. Ricciardi, Part III	Jonah Keri	2004-09-01
You Could Look It Up: Managers Reconsidered, Part II	Steven Goldman	2004-05-05
Aim For The Head: Hidden Perfect Games	Keith Woolner	2004-04-27
Prospectus Triple Play: Montreal Expos, San Francisco Giants, Toronto Blue Jays	Baseball Prospectus	2004-03-19
Marginal Payroll/Marginal Wins: 1977-1979	Doug Pappas	2004-03-09
You Could Look It Up: 1984 Part I: Sparky Was Watching	Steven Goldman	2004-02-17
The Class of 2004: Analyzing the Pitchers	Jay Jaffe	2004-01-14
The Class of 2004: Analyzing the Hitters	Jay Jaffe	2004-01-06
2004 Internet Hall of Fame: The Results Are In	Neal Traven	2004-01-05
Prospectus Today: Raffy Roundtable	Joe Sheehan	2003-05-13
The Jack Morris Project: Does Jack Morris Belong in the Hall of Fame?	Joe Sheehan	2003-04-24
BP Does Tout Wars: How PECOTA Fared	Nate Silver	2003-03-21
BP Does Tout Wars: How PECOTA Fared	Jonah Keri	2003-03-21
The Proper Support: Did Bert Blyleven Receive it?	Greg Spira	2003-03-06
Transaction Analysis: February 10-18, 2003	Christina Kahrl	2003-02-21
Prospectus Feature: The Yankees' Seven-Man Rotation	Nate Silver	2003-02-11
Prospectus Feature: The 1987 Free Agent Market	Nate Silver	2003-01-14
2003 Internet Hall Of Fame Results: Presented by STATLG-L and Baseball Prospectus	Neal Traven	2003-01-06

BP Chats

Date	Question	Answer
2012-01-12 13:00:00	Which pitchers stand out as personal favorites that never panned out like you thought they would? (PepeShady from St Paul)	Bret Saberhagen. Kevin Appier. I was sure both of them would be Hall of Famers. Though if Jack Morris gets in, I may start pushing their candidacies a little harder. Apparently you never know. They can get back on the ballot, right? More recently, I had high hopes for Brett Anderson. I guess he may yet fulfill those. Erik Bedard...I sense a theme. I've been a big Gavin Floyd fan for a while, and though he's been good, he's never broken through to great. On a much lower tier, Chad Gaudin. (Mike Fast)
2012-01-09 13:00:00	If Jack Morris is elected based on the "pitching to the score" and "he was an ace" and "all the post-season fireworks" argument(s), doesn't that essentially seal the candidacies of Bernie Williams and Posada along the same lines of thought? (BL from Bozeman, MT)	No, because intellectual consistency isn't one of the more reliable traits among Hall of Fame voters. (Jay Jaffe's Hall of Fame Special)
2012-01-09 13:00:00	In your heart of hearts...is the Jack Morris bashing warranted or not? Also...the Jay-stache is remarkable. (Jesus Melendez from Hall of Very Good)	The strength of the Morris bashing is a reaction to the obstinacy of the old-school, you-had-to-see-him, just-wins-baby, oh-yeah-and-opening-day-starts-though-we've-never-considered-those-before voters. Thanks for the kind words on the mustache! (Jay Jaffe's Hall of Fame Special)
2012-01-09 13:00:00	It is nice here. (Envious Mustache from Elysian Fields)	And the winner is... Barry Larkin with 86.4 percent of the vote, the only player elected this year as expected. Some big surprises, good and bad, among the next wave. Jack Morris at 66.7 percent has put himself in good position to get over the top despite the crowd, Jeff Bagwell at 56.0 percent made a solid advance in the face of an odious whisper campaign, Lee Smith got to 50.6 percent, Tim Raines is very close to that mark at 48.7 percent, and even Alan Trammell posted a solid gain at 36.8 percent. Hell, Bernie Williams got 9.6 percent and stays on the ballot after all. (Jay Jaffe's Hall of Fame Special)
2012-01-09 13:00:00	So I guess Jack Morris is bordering on inevitable. That's higher than anyone that hasn't been enshrined has ever gone in the vote, right? (Mike from Back to Work)	I'll have a better answer for tomorrow's column but yes, right now he suddenly - shockingly, even - looks inevitable. (Jay Jaffe's Hall of Fame Special)
2011-05-05 13:00:00	Nice start for A.J. - HBP on an 0-2 count and a wild pickoff throw to 1st to get Sizemore to 3rd. April is over ... (goodwine10 from New York, NY)	These things happen. What's more interesting to me is that for all the supposed wonderfulness of Burnett's April, his ERA was only about league average... YES just flashed the names Kirk Gibson, Jack Morris, Alan Trammell, and Lou Whitaker. At least one of those guys should be in the Hall of Fame, and it's not Morris. (Steven Goldman)
2011-01-12 13:00:00	Steven, As our thoughts are with those lost in the Tuscon assassination (including Dallas Green's granddaughter), do you have any thoughts on where we as a society go from here? (Eurbiel Durazo from America)	A tough question to answer in a chat, or for that matter in a 500-page dissertation. I'm cynical enough to believe that our society has been so debauched that we don't go anywhere that we weren't headed before Saturday. As I wrote over at the PB (http://bit.ly/hDfOt2), we tend to frame all of our disagreements in binary terms-my rights OR yours, like it's a Hall of Fame debate. Either Jack Morris is in the Hall of Fame or he's not, either I get my way or you get yours, and there is no middle ground. When you do that, a republic stops dead in the water, because compromise is lost. The whole idea is that it's my rights AND yours, and I give a little and you give a little and we have a better society as a result. We've forgotten that, and as a result, we have that kind of inflammatory rhetoric that is fun for sane people to watch on TV or listen to on the radio but is catnip for deranged f--kheads like that guy in Arizona. (Steven Goldman)
2011-01-05 13:00:00	I always thought Alan Trammell and Lou Whitaker are given a poor shake. If they had played together in New York all those years, They'd be In! Your thoughts? (Avenger Dad from Jenny Lind, Ca)	There's no doubt that east coast media exposure would have helped that duo — you could put them in Philadelphia or Boston and probably still see a significant bump. What kills me is that there are voters who will eagerly check the box next to Jack Morris' name without recognizing that he had outstanding run support and defensive support, and that Trammell and Whitaker were a big part of that for his entire career as a Tiger. Yet those voters let Whitaker slip off the ballot after a single vote, and still won't give Trammell the time of day. (Jay Jaffe)
2011-01-05 13:00:00	Hey Jay love your work. It's helps younger guys like me (23) put players into a HOF perspective. Anyways, I can't rememeber where you stand on the Jack Morris stuff. Morris for the HOF is pure sillyness, right? (Justin from Chicago)	I'm firmly against the election of Morris (http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=12611), which isn't to say that he didn't have some great seasons and some truly transcendent moments. I watched his 1984 no-hitter and his 1991 World Series Game Seven start and both still give me goosebumps thinking about. But beyond the ever-growing legend of that latter game, he just wasn't good enough at preventing runs to merit inclusion. (Jay Jaffe)
2011-01-05 13:00:00	I can see the writing on the wall already. The next Jack Morris will be Andy Pettitte. Good career inflated by mythmaking. Do you agree? Secondly, so many myth-making pitchers coming up, some worthy of Hall anyway, like Smoltz and Schilling, but do you see all of these "big game" pitchers hurting Mussina's vote totals? (tommybones from brooklyn)	Morris and Pettitte: agreed, to at least some extent. Both have had the benefit of robust offensive support and some great postseason performances, with their failures in the latter arena swept to the side. Pettitte will have the burden of his HGH connections to contend with as well. Even divorced from that, I don't think he's got the numbers. See http://www.pinstripedbible.com/2010/10/19/is-dandy-andy-cooperstown-material/ for my latest take. As for Smoltz, he's got the Eckersley precedent of a hybrid starter/closer career. Schilling will have a whole lot of legend and some legitimately great postseason performance to buoy numbers that are superceded by those of Mussina. It will be interesting to see how that plays out - I'm not sure I can guess right now, except that neither of them will go in on the first ballot. (Jay Jaffe)
2011-01-05 13:00:00	If Jack Morris doesn't pitch Game 7 in 1991, is he even on the ballot at this point? (RMR from Chicago)	Well, Tommy John and Jim Kaat lasted 15 years with just shy of 300 wins, and other than Blyleven, Morris has the highest win total of anyone who's been on the ballot in years, so yes, I think Morris would still be on the ballot, albeit with well below 50 percent of the vote. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-06-28 14:00:00	Jay, Jack Morris isn't actually going to get elected to the Hall of Fame one of these years, is he? The Legend of the Guy Who Pitched to the Score is even more specious than the Legend of the Feared Hitter. The wave of great pitchers reaching eligibility in the next few years will be sufficient to hold off his charge, right? (David from CT)	Morris has been above 40 percent on three of the past four BBWAA ballots, and if you look at where Bert Blyleven was after a decade on the ballot, Black Jack is only 3.7 percent behind at 44.0 percent. That said, Byleven got a real push from the grassroots internet supporters, of which I'm a card-carrying member, and gained another 25+ percent. Morris doesn't seem likely to get that anytime soon. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-06-28 14:00:00	By happy coincidence, I daydreamed a question for you not more than a day ago, and here you are. Not that I'm trying to sneak in the backdoor, but do consistent players get any sort of boost in the public's estimation of their HoF chances, and should they? I think here of a Jack Morris. Even though his heights were more very good than HoF, his workmanlike consistency--on top of being relatable and making him seem like a good guy--kept Tigers fans from a lot of crappy starts from a more up and down pitcher. I wonder if consistency (if it could be defined) would ever end up having a predictive value on eventual election. Thanks for suffering a long question, Jay. (Jim Clancy from Exhibition Stadium)	Consistency is pretty difficult to quantify, except perhaps in the way it enables players to accumulate the benchmark stats that most of the public regards as constituting "a good season." I think of Steve Garvey rapping out his 200 hits, 100 RBI and .300 batting average every year and how highly esteemed he was in his day, and yet how far his star has fallen in light of a more modern statistical reckoning. But then I also think of guys like Blyleven and Don Sutton who were pretty consistent on some levels but didn't rack up the 20-win seasons that some of their peers did, and aren't held on the same level as them even if they may have been more valuable. In the end I suspect peak value holds more sway on the public's estimation of a potential HoFer, because people tend to remember the high points, the outliers, the things that break pattern rather than the pattern itself. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-05-11 16:30:00	How many more "Halladay like" seasons does Halladay need before he's a lock for the Hall Of Fame? (Susan from New York)	That's more of a Jay Jaffe question than a question for me, but I see he's just shy of 50 career WARP. I would think that's low, but I would also think Jack Morris' total is low. My best cop-out answer would be to say that if Halladay stays good enough that the Phillies pick up his 2014 option at $20 mill, he's probably getting close. (Matt Swartz)
2010-05-05 13:00:00	Is it fair to say AJ Burnett's career has been a slight disappointment? I assume most people thought he would have at least 1 Cy Young award by now and/or been the staff ace of a team. (Zooey from LA)	For the stuff he has, yes, I think you can say he's been a disappointment. Still had a very good career, but he's rarely consistent with his greatness. Maybe he'll win a few big World Series games before this thing is over though, and then we can see about putting him in the Hall of Fame next to Jack Morris because he pitched to the score. (Marc Normandin)
2010-01-12 18:30:00	Do you think Jack Morris will make it into the HOF? He seems to be making a Jim rice like push with his vote totals (mafrth77 from Boston)	Given his recent push I can certainly foresee him getting in, but he will run out of years eventually and there are some very solid classes coming up with players that may take away from his vote totals. If I had to bet, though, yeah, he'll get in. (Eric Seidman)
2010-01-06 13:00:00	Jay, I was surprised to see how well Kevin Appier stacks up against Jack Morris in your article today (granted, over a shorter period). How hard would the heads of people like Shaughnessy explode if you you tried to convince them that KEVIN APPIER was a more deserving candidate than Jack Morris? (MSTI from NYC)	I know it's not exactly what you asked but yes, I would be happy to see Shaughnessy's head explode. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-01-06 13:00:00	I'd call this good news for Bert. I was worried he'd stagnate around 62%. do you have the % of the vote for Edgar, Raines and Barry? They don't have it on espn.com. Thanks. (collins from greenville nc)	539 ballots, five blanks, Andre Dawson 420 (77.9%), Bert Blyleven 400 (74.2%), Roberto Alomar 397 (73.7%), Jack Morris 282 (52.3%), Barry Larkin 278 (51.6%), Lee Smith 255 (47.3%), Edgar Martinez 195 (36.2%), Tim Raines 164 (30.4%), Mark McGwire 128 (23.7%), Alan Trammell 121 (22.4%), Fred McGriff 116 (21.5%), Don Mattingly 87 (16.1%), Dave Parker 82 (15.2%), Dale Murphy 63 (11.7%), Harold Baines 33 (6.1%), Andres Galarraga 22 (4.1%), Robin Ventura 7 (1.3%), Ellis Burks 2 (0.4%), Eric Karros 2 (0.4%), Kevin Appier 1 (0.2%), Pat Hentgen 1 (0.2%), David Segui 1 (0.2%), Mike Jackson 0, Ray Lankford 0, Shane Reynolds 0, Todd Zeile 0. Segui gets his vote. Baines remains on life support thanks to the persistence of a stubborn few. Karros receives more votes than he had All-Star appearances. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-01-06 13:00:00	With Larkin getting just over 50% on his first ballot, is he a lock to get in eventually? What's the over/under on how many years? Thanks. (KerryFam4 from Atlanta, GA)	Aside from guys currently on the ballot, everybody who's gotten 50% of the vote from the writers has gone in eventually except for Gil Hodges. Which thus bodes well not only for Larkin but also Jack Morris, who gained about 8 percent this year - a big jump. Without thinking too hard about the coming attractions on the ballot, I'd guess Larkin is in within five or six years. (Jay Jaffe)
2009-06-03 15:00:00	Will Jamie Moyer even get close to the hall of fame? I wouldn't think so but the idea has gotten some favorable attention since he hit 250 wins. (kevin from boston)	I don't think so, not if a 250+ winner with additional postseason heroics like Jack Morris can't get above 50% of the vote (and he shouldn't, as you'll see if you read my JAWS articles). Pitcher wins ain't all that they're cracked up to be anyway, and the fact that Moyer has no Cys and just one All-Star appearance pretty much consigns him to the human interest section of the voting. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-02-28 14:00:00	Christina, great work over the offseason, as always. My question is about roster construction, and specifically the hitter/pitcher divide. It seems like it was just yesterday that we were mocking the Rockies and/or Don Baylor for taking 12 pitchers, but at least it was mildly defensible on the grounds that they needed extra arms to throw in Coors Field. Now we're at a point where almost everyone is at a 13/12 divide. What the heck happened, and what do you think are the chances of some squad going back to 15/10 simply by employing 2 good long men in the pen at all times? (ElAngelo from New York, NY)	Baylor's mistake was that he made that choice for a post-season roster. While I would like to see more teams invest the roster space in observing one of Earl Weaver's rules and put their young starters in long relief roles, and thereby save themselves multiple spots sunk on multiple situational playthings in the pen, you could also save roster space by effectively committing to a four-man rotation that exploits the fact that we're in a world that doesn't have doubleheaders and a schedule that features plenty of off-days to reduce the fifth slot to a sometime thing. That might mean shorter starts for the front four, and it might not, but I think we're at a point where the industry has probably overcorrected, costing us the next Jack Morris or Tom Seaver. You could also expand your roster by not resorting to Eck-style closer usage patterns--make the money pitcher for the endgame something more than a sundae's cherry, and you'll get more quality innings. Condition them to be Eck-style closers, and you're investing a roster spot on a single-purpose single-inning reliever, forcing you to commit to 11 at the outset, and making 12 seems plausible. Now, to be fair to major league managers, managing pitching staffs involves anticipating a lot of different scenarios, not all of them happy, and committing resources in the form of those roster spots. But it can also mean not giving lineups the same depth of consideration, because you know you'll have nine guys out there, and beyond someone who can play the corners, someone who can play the outfield, and someone who can catch, you figure you're covered. It's not the way I look at the problem of in-game tactics or in-season operations, but I was reading Earl Weaver's books at an impressionable age. (Christina Kahrl)
2008-01-10 13:00:00	Overrated marginal HOFers - Schilling. (NC from West Coast)	Hardly. His regular-season work puts him in the gray area, admittedly at the low end. Then you have to consider the postseason, and to some extent, the narrative. Those things push him over the top. Postseason matters in a Hall of Fame discussion. What the Jack Morris people don't get is that those of us who don't think he's qualified do consider Game 7 and his postseason record as part of his case. The problem is that even with those things, it's still not enough. His overall postseason record is good, just not fantastic. I would also strongly argue that the people who don't think he's qualified give more credence to Morris' postseason work than Morris' supporters do to the mass quantities of evidence that his win totals were a function of durability and teammates, not special skills. Anyway, Schilling will make the Hall, and deserve it. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-01-10 13:00:00	So being able to pitch to the score gets me no respect? (Jack_Morris from Candyland)	I assume this is someone just asking me to run the link. Jack Morris didn't have any ability to prevent runs based on the score of the game: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=1815 (Joe Sheehan)
2008-01-08 14:00:00	my prediction: Goose in. Rice misses by an extremely small margin. Much, much bleating commences over the voters who submitted blanks to protest roids users, thus depriving the "deserving" pre-roids slugger. (TomH from Lexington Park MD)	The Goose is Loose! He gets 85.8 percent, and he's the only one who gets in on this ballot. Rice falls just shy at 72.2 percent, setting him up for a 15th-year push. Raines 24.3 percent. Oh is that ugly. Player Total Votes Percentage Rich Gossage 466 85.8% Jim Rice 392 72.2% Andre Dawson 358 65.9% Bert Blyleven 336 61.9% Lee Smith 235 43.3% Jack Morris 233 42.9% Tommy John 158 29.1% Tim Raines 132 24.3% Mark McGwire 128 23.6% Alan Trammell 99 18.2% Dave Concepcion 88 16.2% Don Mattingly 86 15.8% Dave Parker 82 15.1% Dale Murphy 75 13.8% Harold Baines 28 5.2% Rod Beck 2 0.4% Travis Fryman 2 0.4% Robb Nen 2 0.4% Shawon Dunston 1 0.2% Chuck Finley 1 0.2% David Justice 1 0.2% Chuck Knoblauch 1 0.2% Todd Stottlemyre 1 0.2% Jose Rijo 0 0% Brady Anderson 0 0% (Jay Jaffe)

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