Biographical

Portrait of Juan Rivera

Juan Rivera LFD-backs

D-backs Player Cards | D-backs Team Audit | D-backs Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 35)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
250 .254 7 26 29 1 .258 0.4
Birth Date7-3-1978
Height6' 2"
Weight220 lbs
Age36 years, 3 months, 22 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
1.22010
0.22011
-0.02012
2013
0.42014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2001 NYA 22 3 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 -.002 -1.0 -0.1 -0.1
2002 NYA 23 28 91 83 9 22 5 0 1 30 6 10 0 1 1 6 1 1 .265 .311 .361 .253 1.6 0.5 0.2
2003 NYA 24 57 185 173 22 46 14 0 7 81 10 27 0 1 1 26 0 0 .266 .304 .468 .255 2.4 -0.4 0.2
2004 MON 25 134 426 391 48 120 24 1 12 182 34 45 1 0 0 49 6 2 .307 .364 .465 .282 24.6 -7.6 1.7
2005 ANA 26 106 376 350 46 95 17 1 15 159 23 44 0 1 2 59 1 9 .271 .316 .454 .264 7.6 -0.6 0.7
2006 ANA 27 124 494 448 65 139 27 0 23 235 33 59 7 6 0 85 0 4 .310 .362 .525 .299 34.9 3.9 3.8
2007 ANA 28 14 44 43 3 12 1 0 2 19 1 4 0 0 0 8 0 0 .279 .295 .442 .234 -0.3 -0.7 -0.1
2008 ANA 29 89 280 256 31 63 13 0 12 112 16 33 0 8 0 45 1 1 .246 .282 .438 .244 2.7 -2.3 0.0
2009 ANA 30 138 572 529 72 152 24 1 25 253 36 57 2 5 0 88 0 1 .287 .332 .478 .276 16.5 -3.7 1.3
2010 ANA 31 124 455 416 53 105 20 0 15 170 33 58 4 2 0 52 2 2 .252 .312 .409 .257 7.3 4.5 1.2
2011 LAN 32 62 246 219 24 60 12 1 5 89 21 35 1 5 0 46 2 1 .274 .333 .406 .286 7.1 -0.2 0.7
2011 TOR 32 70 275 247 22 60 11 0 6 89 22 41 2 4 0 28 3 2 .243 .305 .360 .228 -2.9 -1.8 -0.5
2012 LAN 33 109 339 312 30 76 14 0 9 117 18 35 3 6 0 47 1 3 .244 .286 .375 .245 1.3 -1.6 -0.0
Career10583787347142595018241321536253448203945391726.274.323.443.266101.8-10.09.1

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
1998 ONE A- 0 19 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .308 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1999 TAM A+ 0 457 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .284 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 TAM A+ 0 448 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .292 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 NRW AA 0 68 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .267 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 NYA MLB 3 4 -.002 .238 .328 .393 .258 .000 96 -1.1 0.1 0 -0.1 0.0 -1.0 -0.1 -1.0 -0.1
2001 NRW AA 77 337 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .345 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 COH AAA 55 218 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .331 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 NYA MLB 28 91 .253 .272 .337 .433 .268 .288 94 -0.7 2.4 -0.8 0.5 0.3 1.6 0.2 1.6 0.2
2002 COH AAA 65 283 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .356 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 NYA MLB 57 185 .255 .264 .337 .426 .266 .279 98 -0.9 5.0 -1.4 -0.4 -1.0 2.4 0.2 2.4 0.2
2003 COH AAA 79 337 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .352 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 MON MLB 134 426 .282 .262 .327 .420 .259 .323 92 10.2 12.7 -3.7 -7.6 1.6 24.6 1.7 24.6 1.7
2005 ANA MLB 106 376 .264 .264 .326 .415 .260 .274 98 1.6 10.8 -4 -0.6 -1.9 7.6 0.7 7.6 0.7
2006 ANA MLB 124 494 .299 .271 .335 .426 .256 .312 103 21.6 14.9 -4.1 3.9 -1.3 34.9 3.8 34.9 3.8
2006 SLC AAA 2 10 .489 .254 .347 .384 .259 .500 123 2.4 0.3 -0.1 0.0 0.0 2.7 0.3 2.7 0.3
2007 ANA MLB 14 44 .234 .269 .340 .424 .268 .270 99 -1.3 1.3 -0.5 -0.7 0.1 -0.3 -0.1 -0.3 -0.1
2007 RCU A+ 3 10 .315 .264 .311 .394 .251 .500 100 0.6 0.3 -0.1 0.1 -0.4 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0
2007 SLC AAA 15 65 .201 .286 .359 .442 .265 .291 122 -4.3 2.0 -0.8 -0.8 0.1 -2.2 -0.3 -2.2 -0.3
2008 ANA MLB 89 280 .244 .270 .339 .426 .265 .233 104 -4.8 8.1 -2.8 -2.3 1.5 2.7 0.0 2.7 0.0
2009 ANA MLB 138 572 .276 .261 .329 .413 .257 .281 103 9.5 16.5 -4.5 -3.7 -4.0 16.5 1.3 16.5 1.3
2010 ANA MLB 124 455 .257 .253 .319 .401 .255 .261 100 -1.2 12.5 -3.8 4.5 -1.5 7.3 1.2 7.3 1.2
2011 LAN MLB 62 246 .286 .251 .312 .387 .254 .299 93 6.2 6.6 -2.4 -0.2 -2.0 7.1 0.7 7.1 0.7
2011 TOR MLB 70 275 .228 .259 .319 .410 .261 .265 109 -8.7 7.4 -3.7 -1.8 0.8 -2.9 -0.5 -2.9 -0.5
2012 LAN MLB 109 339 .245 .252 .313 .404 .261 .245 93 -5.1 9.3 -3.9 -1.6 1.4 1.3 -0.0 1.3 -0.0
2012 RCU A+ 2 7 .122 .276 .330 .445 .283 .000 100 -1.1 0.2 -0.1 0.1 0.0 -0.9 -0.1 -0.9 -0.1
2012 ABQ AAA 2 7 .395 .313 .378 .491 .299 .500 137 1.1 0.2 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 1.1 0.1 1.1 0.1
2012 MAG Wnt 23 99 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .364 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 RNO AAA 96 383 .259 .278 .342 .431 .271 .309 112 -0.3 10.9 -3.5 -4.1 -1.1 4.0 -0.0 4.0 -0.0

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
1998 ONE A- 19 2 5 0 0 1 3 1 4 1 1 .278 .316 .444 .167 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
1999 TAM A+ 457 50 112 20 2 14 77 26 67 5 4 .263 .313 .418 .155 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 NRW AA 68 9 14 5 0 2 12 6 15 0 0 .226 .294 .403 .177 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 TAM A+ 448 62 113 26 1 14 69 33 56 11 7 .276 .339 .447 .171 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 COH AAA 218 39 65 11 1 14 40 15 31 4 5 .327 .377 .603 .276 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 NRW AA 337 50 101 18 3 14 58 15 50 5 7 .320 .356 .528 .209 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 NYA MLB 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 -.002 -1.0 -0.1 -0.1
2002 COH AAA 283 40 86 21 1 8 47 13 39 5 1 .325 .357 .502 .177 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 NYA MLB 91 9 22 5 0 1 6 6 10 1 1 .265 .311 .361 .096 .253 1.6 0.5 0.2
2003 COH AAA 337 47 100 21 0 7 37 26 37 1 3 .325 .377 .461 .136 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 NYA MLB 185 22 46 14 0 7 26 10 27 0 0 .266 .304 .468 .202 .255 2.4 -0.4 0.2
2004 MON MLB 426 48 120 24 1 12 49 34 45 6 2 .307 .364 .465 .159 .282 24.6 -7.6 1.7
2005 ANA MLB 376 46 95 17 1 15 59 23 44 1 9 .271 .316 .454 .183 .264 7.6 -0.6 0.7
2006 ANA MLB 494 65 139 27 0 23 85 33 59 0 4 .310 .362 .525 .214 .299 34.9 3.9 3.8
2006 SLC AAA 10 3 5 3 0 1 6 1 0 0 0 .556 .600 1.222 .667 .489 2.7 0.0 0.3
2007 SLC AAA 65 4 16 8 0 0 17 3 6 0 0 .262 .297 .393 .131 .201 -2.2 -0.8 -0.3
2007 ANA MLB 44 3 12 1 0 2 8 1 4 0 0 .279 .295 .442 .163 .234 -0.3 -0.7 -0.1
2007 RCU A+ 10 3 4 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 .400 .400 .500 .100 .315 0.3 0.1 0.0
2008 ANA MLB 280 31 63 13 0 12 45 16 33 1 1 .246 .282 .438 .191 .244 2.7 -2.3 0.0
2009 ANA MLB 572 72 152 24 1 25 88 36 57 0 1 .287 .332 .478 .191 .276 16.5 -3.7 1.3
2010 ANA MLB 455 53 105 20 0 15 52 33 58 2 2 .252 .312 .409 .156 .257 7.3 4.5 1.2
2011 TOR MLB 275 22 60 11 0 6 28 22 41 3 2 .243 .305 .360 .117 .228 -2.9 -1.8 -0.5
2011 LAN MLB 246 24 60 12 1 5 46 21 35 2 1 .274 .333 .406 .132 .286 7.1 -0.2 0.7
2012 LAN MLB 339 30 76 14 0 9 47 18 35 1 3 .244 .286 .375 .131 .245 1.3 -1.6 -0.0
2012 RCU A+ 7 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 1 0 0 .143 .143 .571 .429 .122 -0.9 0.1 -0.1
2012 MAG Wnt 99 7 30 8 0 2 10 5 15 0 0 .323 .354 .473 .151 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2012 ABQ AAA 7 2 2 0 0 1 3 1 2 0 0 .400 .571 1.000 .600 .395 1.1 -0.0 0.1
2013 RNO AAA 383 46 109 17 1 10 58 17 30 2 1 .304 .345 .440 .136 .259 4.0 -4.1 -0.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 916 0.4989 0.4846 0.8529 0.6674 0.2985 0.9279 0.6861 0.1471
2009 2061 0.5080 0.4646 0.8495 0.6428 0.2801 0.9153 0.6937 0.1505
2010 1571 0.4825 0.4576 0.8301 0.6280 0.2977 0.9097 0.6736 0.1699
2011 1855 0.4841 0.4740 0.8459 0.6526 0.3030 0.9164 0.7034 0.1541
2012 1239 0.4826 0.4681 0.8483 0.6120 0.3339 0.9426 0.6869 0.1517
Career76420.49170.46840.84490.64010.30020.92040.68990.1551

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2012-05-09 2012-06-04 15-DL 26 24 Left Thigh Strain Hamstring - -
2012-04-25 2012-04-28 DTD 3 2 - Thigh Strain Hamstring - -
2011-08-09 2011-08-09 DTD 0 0 - Knee Soreness Banged Knees - -
2010-06-30 2010-07-06 DTD 6 6 General Medical Blurred Vision -
2009-07-19 2009-07-27 DTD 8 8 Right Thigh Strain Hamstring -
2009-07-11 2009-07-16 DTD 5 2 Bilateral Thigh Tightness and Lower Legs -
2008-09-14 2008-09-22 DTD 8 7 Right Hip Strain Hip Flexor -
2007-03-31 2007-09-02 60-DL 155 135 Left Lower Leg Recovery From Surgery Tibia 2006-12-22
2006-12-27 2006-12-27 WIN 0 0 Left Lower Leg Surgery Tibia 2006-12-27
2006-09-05 2006-09-08 DTD 3 2 Left Hand Strain Bothered for Several Weeks -
2006-06-25 2006-06-26 DTD 1 1 Left Face Contusion HBP -
2006-04-17 2006-05-08 15-DL 21 20 Left Trunk Strain Rib Cage -
2003-01-07 2003-01-07 Off 0 0 Abdomen Surgery Appendix 2003-01-07
2002-06-09 2002-08-19 60-DL 71 60 Right Knee Fracture Patella -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2012 LAN $4,000,000
2011 TOR $5,250,000
2010 ANA $4,250,000
2009 ANA $3,250,000
2008 ANA $2,025,000
2007 ANA $2,025,000
2006 ANA $1,250,000
2005 ANA $390,000
2004 MON $312,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
9 yrPrevious$22,752,000
9 yrTotal$22,752,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
10 y 47 dDiego Bentz1 year (2013)

Details
  • 1 year (2013). Signed by NY Yankees as a free agent 1/28/13 (minor-league contract). Salary of $1.2M in majors. May earn additional $0.8M in performance bonuses. May request release 3/26/13 if he will not make Major League roster. $0.1M retention bonus if he agrees to start season in minors. May opt out of contract 6/1/13 if not on Major League roster. Released by NY Yankees 3/28/13. Signed by Arizona as a free agent 4/30/13 (minor-league contract).
  • 1 year/$4.5M (2012), plus 2013 club option. Re-signed by LA Dodgers as a free agent 11/3/11. 12:$4M, 13:$4M club option, $0.5M buyout. LA Dodgers declined 2013 option 10/29/12.
  • 3 years/$12.75M (2009-11). Re-signed as a free agent 12/19/08. 09:$3.25M, 10:$4.25M, 11:$5.25M. Acquired by Toronto in trade from LA Angels 1/21/11. Acquired by LA Dodgers in trade from Toronto 7/12/11.
  • 1 year/$2.025M (2008). Re-signed 1/17/08 (avoided arbitration). Performance bonus: $25,000 for each 25 PAs, from 375 to 500.
  • 2 years/$3.275M (2006-07). Re-signed 1/06 (avoided arbitration). 06:$1.25M, 07:$2.025M.
  • 1 year/$0.39M (2005). Re-signed 3/05.
  • 1 year/$0.312M (2004). Acquired in trade from NY Yankees 12/03. Signed 3/04. Acquired in trade from Montreal 11/04.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 511 62 136 25 1 16 64 38 61 3 2 .294 .349 .457 .295 26.1 LF -2, 1B 0 2.6
80o 490 57 125 23 1 15 59 35 60 3 2 .280 .334 .434 .281 18.7 LF -2, 1B 0 1.8
70o 475 53 118 22 1 14 55 32 60 3 2 .269 .322 .418 .272 13.8 LF -2, 1B 0 1.3
60o 462 51 110 20 1 13 52 30 59 2 2 .260 .313 .405 .263 9.8 LF -2, 1B 0 0.9
50o 450 48 104 19 1 12 50 29 58 2 2 .252 .303 .392 .256 6.3 LF -2, 1B 0 0.5
40o 438 45 99 18 1 12 47 27 57 2 2 .244 .294 .379 .248 2.9 LF -2, 1B 0 0.1
30o 425 43 93 17 1 11 44 26 56 2 1 .236 .285 .366 .240 -0.5 LF -1, 1B 0 -0.2
20o 410 40 86 16 1 10 42 24 55 2 1 .226 .273 .350 .230 -4.3 LF -1, 1B 0 -0.6
10o 389 36 77 14 1 9 38 21 54 2 1 .212 .257 .328 .217 -9.0 LF -1, 1B 0 -1.1
Weighted Mean455491082011351305822.256.307.398.2597.8LF -2, 1B 00.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
1% 25% 11% 21% 68%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
201536250285510062616331.242.292.366.2450.12.30.1-1.910.1-6.0-1.0
201637250275511062616350.239.291.364.2430.01.20.2-2.09.0-6.1-1.0
201738250265410052515350.233.283.345.235-0.3-1.90.3-2.014.6-14.8-1.0
201839267285610062616400.227.277.342.231-0.6-4.30.3-2.214.9-17.3-1.1
20194025025519052314360.218.265.323.221-1.2-9.80.3-2.214.9-22.9-1.0
20204125025509052416400.220.272.329.225-1.0-8.00.3-2.214.9-21.0-1.0
202142374367513163322610.216.263.309.215-1.8-15.00.4-3.414.9-26.9-1.5
20224325024498042115410.216.267.306.215-1.6-13.70.3-2.414.9-26.6-1.0
202344288285810052616490.220.266.318.218-1.5-12.50.3-2.814.9-24.9-1.2

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
18.417.311.43.22.93.553.3

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 75)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 85 Trot Nixon 2009 .000 DNP
2 82 Shannon Stewart 2009 .000 DNP
3 81 Jay Payton 2008 .216
4 80 Marlon Anderson 2009 .013
5 80 Raul Ibanez 2007 .293
6 78 Johnny Damon 2009 .285
7 78 Gabe Kapler 2011 .000 DNP
8 78 Minnie Minoso 1961 .298
9 78 Carlos Lee 2011 .293
10 78 Dusty Baker 1984 .281
11 78 Scott Podsednik 2011 .000 DNP
12 77 Jason Michaels 2011 .190
13 77 Luis Gonzalez 2003 .307
14 77 Matt Diaz 2013 .157
15 77 Emil Brown 2010 .000 DNP
16 77 Ron Fairly 1974 .281
17 77 Brian Downing 1986 .317
18 77 Randy Winn 2009 .250
19 76 Gene Woodling 1958 .314
20 76 Kevin McReynolds 1995 .000 DNP
21 76 Ross Gload 2011 .226
22 76 Mike Sweeney 2009 .276
23 76 Roy White 1979 .217
24 76 Mark Ellis 2012 .263
25 75 Shawn Green 2008 .000 DNP
26 75 Endy Chavez 2013 .232
27 75 Jose Cruz 1983 .313
28 75 Don Buford 1972 .247
29 75 Mike Lowell 2009 .254
30 75 Orlando Hudson 2013 .000 DNP
31 75 Scott Rolen 2010 .302
32 75 Brady Clark 2008 .222
33 74 Al Oliver 1982 .323
34 74 Marlon Byrd 2013 .307
35 74 Mike Lamb 2011 .000 DNP
36 74 Ken Griffey 1985 .276
37 74 Garret Anderson 2007 .279
38 74 Brian Roberts 2013 .269
39 74 Ramon Hernandez 2011 .268
40 74 Mark Kotsay 2011 .259
41 74 Willie Harris 2013 .000 DNP
42 74 Todd Walker 2008 .000 DNP
43 74 Doug Mientkiewicz 2009 .317
44 74 Ty Wigginton 2013 .156
45 74 Chone Figgins 2013 .000 DNP
46 74 Billy Williams 1973 .287
47 74 Edgar Renteria 2012 .000 DNP
48 74 Gary Matthews 2010 .188
49 74 Carl Furillo 1957 .283
50 74 Moises Alou 2002 .262
51 74 Monte Irvin 1954 .281
52 74 Ted Kluszewski 1960 .288
53 74 Edgar Gonzalez 2013 .000 DNP
54 73 Rocky Colavito 1969 .000 DNP
55 73 Nomar Garciaparra 2009 .245
56 73 Daryle Ward 2010 .000 DNP
57 73 Frank Catalanotto 2009 .259
58 73 Jerry Hairston 2011 .263
59 73 Kosuke Fukudome 2012 .222
60 73 Miguel Tejada 2009 .272
61 73 Robin Yount 1991 .266
62 73 Aubrey Huff 2012 .246
63 73 Felipe Alou 1970 .251
64 73 Ronnie Belliard 2010 .243
65 73 B.J. Surhoff 2000 .270
66 73 Adam Kennedy 2011 .232
67 73 Jim Rice 1988 .263
68 73 Michael Young 2012 .241
69 73 Tony Gwynn 1995 .305
70 73 Mike Lieberthal 2007 .193
71 72 Rafael Furcal 2013 .000 DNP
72 72 Lou Piniella 1979 .268
73 72 Paul Molitor 1992 .317
74 72 Smoky Burgess 1962 .307
75 72 Ray Durham 2007 .231
76 72 Hal McRae 1981 .276
77 72 Kevin Millar 2007 .274
78 72 Bernie Williams 2004 .268
79 72 Reed Johnson 2012 .264
80 72 Rusty Staub 1979 .259
81 72 David Justice 2001 .263
82 72 Aaron Boone 2008 .239
83 72 A.J. Pierzynski 2012 .279
84 72 Tim Raines 1995 .280
85 72 Barry Larkin 1999 .273
86 72 Jerry Mumphrey 1988 .160
87 72 Yogi Berra 1960 .290
88 72 Elmer Valo 1956 .287
89 72 Paul O'Neill 1998 .304
90 72 Mark Loretta 2007 .243
91 72 Don Baylor 1984 .306
92 72 Rico Carty 1975 .321
93 72 Eric Chavez 2013 .284
94 72 Scott Spiezio 2008 .000 DNP
95 71 Orlando Cabrera 2010 .243
96 71 Bill Madlock 1986 .279
97 71 Jim Northrup 1975 .273
98 71 Matt Lawton 2007 .000 DNP
99 71 Pete Rose 1976 .309
100 71 Marco Scutaro 2011 .267

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Rivera lives up to the "RBI Machine" tag that is so often attached to him. For the second straight year, he drove in precisely 17.1 percent of baserunners, a rate that placed him in the upper 20 percent among hitters with at least 200 plate appearances. Unfortunately, the other holes in his game were glaringly apparent. He didn't hit lefties as well as advertised (.260/.312/.433), didn't hit righties at all (.232/.269/.335) and failed to provide a sound alternative to the meager production the Dodgers got from Loney or their other left fielders. The Dodgers declined his $4 million option; he'll be lucky to get half that elsewhere.
2012 Traded from the Angels to the Blue Jays in the Vernon Wells swap, Rivera flatlined north of the border before being flipped to the Dodgers for a PTBNL or cash—found money as far as Alex Anthopoulos was concerned—during the All-Star break. His performance uptick in Dodger blue was ever so slight, but he basked in the reflected glory of the team's strong second-half showing long enough to convince Colletti that his return was a top priority. Predictably, the GM overpaid, inking Rivera to a $4.5 million one-year deal when comparably aged lefty-mashing fourth outfielders such as Marcus Thames and Reed Johnson earned $1 million or less in 2011.
2011 In retrospect, the late-2004 trade that brought Rivera and Maicer Izturis to Anaheim in exchange for Jose Guillen has worked out well for the Halos. Both players have made significant contributions to the Angels’ (mostly) winning ways, though neither would fit anyone’s notion of an ideal starter. The arrival of Peter Bourjos put a crimp in Rivera’s playing time, and should continue to relegate him to a fourth-outfielder role this season, though his virtual banishment from the outfield—heartily endorsed by the League of Extraordinary Fielding Metrics—did give him a chance to dust off his first baseman’s glove.
2010 Rivera celebrated his new three-year, $12.75 million deal by rebounding from an injury-shortened 2007 and a recuperating 2008 to post career highs in several key counting stats. Taking over as the Halos' left fielder, he showed more patience and considerably more pop than Garret Anderson (.288/.322/.445, 2005-2008). Even so, Rivera's EqA was five points below that of the average left fielder, and if he was a terror against lefties (.333/.385/.645 in 156 PAs), he was filler against righties (.271/.313/.418), a problem exacerbated by the roster's dearth of lefty-hitting outfielders. Oddly, while Rivera's FRAA suggests he was basically an average left fielder, as he's been for most of his career, both Plus/Minus (+15 runs) and UZR (+12.7) placed him among the majors' best thanks to suddenly improved range deep in the outfield. It's tough to believe he's the new Tris Speaker out there, but at the very least, he's not the new Bobby Abreu.
2009 Rivera is a far better hitter than he showed in 2008, and is seen as such inside the industry, as he was a hot commodity at the trade deadline and was on many teams' radars this winter as a cost-conscious free-agent alternative to many of the more expensive bats out there. Ultimately, the Angels gave him a three-year, $12.75 million deal with the promise that he'll get first crack at the everyday job in left field. A healthy Rivera—and "healthy" is the key caveat here, given Rivera's repeated problems on that score—should be up to the task with 20-25 home runs and solid on-base skills.
2008 The Case Against Winter Ball, Exhibit K: Juan Rivera broke his left leg in December of 2006 while playing for Oriente in Venezuela. After a career year in 2006, he missed all of 2007 save some scattered at-bats in September. The injury cost the Angels a DH-they would get a .257/.315/.391 line from the position, even with Vladimir Guerrero hitting there 40 times-and figures to cost Rivera at least a couple million dollars in lost earnings this offseason. That's a hefty price to pay for playing some extra baseball.
2007 The Angels had a top-ten finisher in RBI percentage last year, but it wasn`t Vladi--Rivera drove in more than 20 percent of the runners on-base when he came to the plate in 2006, good for ninth in all of baseball among hitters with 200 or more plate appearances. Mini-Vlad has a similar ability to make contact with authority. If there`s one complaint, it`s the minor one that he can`t really play center, which means he`s basically sharing the corners and the DH job with Vladi and Garret Anderson. Keep in mind he`s no spring chicken--he`ll turn 29 before the All-Star break, so he`s as good as he`ll ever get right now. Another strike against him is that the time he`ll lose to the leg he broke in winter ball forced the Angels to go out and sign Shea Hillenbrand.
2005 Rivera was heralded as the next great Yankee prospect so long ago it's strange to think he's only 26 and that this was the first season in which he got serious playing time. Rivera's a contact hitter who still gets his walks, and has good power. That makes him an average right fielder without consideration of his great arm, and at something around the league minimum, that's a great deal. His minor league performances are solid, so there's reason to think this kind of production is sustainable. Naturally, the Nationals traded him to the Angels for a better-paid Juan Rivera-equivalent with personality issues. Bowden's treating this team like a spouse who's not allowed to have nice things: Even something modestly cool like Juan Rivera is too good for this team, and must be removed to prove a greater point about who's in charge.
2003 If the Yankees have a competitive advantage because of their revenue stream, it’s that they can outspend their mistakes. If they can’t peddle Rondell White or Raul Mondesi before Opening Day, they ought to cut bait, because they have a better alternative on hand who won’t cost them anything by their standards. Rivera has the power and the arm strength you want from a right fielder, and while you’d like to see him walk more, that isn’t his game. The upside is a poor man’s Magglio Ordonez, but the Yankees might have to settle for the new Piniella. He has options, so he might get pushed back to Columbus.
2002 The Yankees #1 prospect. Rivera swings hard and has a well-developed ability to hit the bad ball. The result is a lot of balls put in play with authority. He's a big guy who gets compared to Vladimir Guerrero in terms of his swing. Rivera doesn't walk a whole lot but has demonstrated that, like Guerrero, he can hit for a high enough average to have a respectable OBP. Comparisons to Juan Gonzalez are probably accurate in terms of the type of player he’ll become; then again, by the time Gonzalez was 22, he had been in the majors for a couple of years. Rivera shows good technique in the outfield; in fact, his defense is more technique than raw speed. He should be a good everyday player in the bigs.
2001 Lost in the rhetoric about the advantage big-revenue teams enjoy in signing foreign free agents is the fact that most of these guys don't succeed. People like us may get all excited about Glenn Williams or Jackson Melian or Wily Mo Pena, but the bottom line is lots of money is thrown at players about whom very little is known. Juan Rivera got his head handed to him at Double-A, then didn't impress in a repeat run through the Florida State League.
2000 He’s a tools player signed out of Venezuela for first-round money. At this point, Rivera isn’t the player Melian is, keep in mind that he has less than half of Melian’s professional experience. He’s young and inexperienced enough to make me regret this statement, but I think he looks more like Gerald Williams to Melian’s Bernie.

BP Articles

Juan Rivera is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 4, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-04
Baseball ProGUESTus: The 2013 All-Out-of-Position TeamAndrew Mearns2014-01-07
BP Unfiltered: Ben Francisco's Darkest TimelineBen Lindbergh2013-05-28
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 1, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-01
Transaction Analysis: Five Years For WainwrightR.J. Anderson2013-03-29
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Yankees Trade for Vernon WellsR.J. Anderson2013-03-25
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Yankees Trade for Vernon WellsSam Miller2013-03-25
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Angels Take a Backup SnyderR.J. Anderson2013-03-20
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Brewers Lock Down GomezR.J. Anderson2013-03-14
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of March 6, 2013Jason Martinez2013-03-07
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: A Pain in the ArmDaniel Rathman2013-03-01
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: A Snag in the Grand PlanDaniel Rathman2013-02-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Auction Values: Second Edition, February 25Mike Gianella2013-02-25
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Tuesday, February 12Daniel Rathman2013-02-12
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Thursday, January 31Daniel Rathman2013-01-31
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: All the Young MovesBen Lindbergh2013-01-29
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Young and Running Out Of TimeR.J. Anderson2013-01-23
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Young and Running Out Of TimeSam Miller2013-01-23
Overthinking It: The 50-Run ReceiverBen Lindbergh2012-11-13
The Lineup Card: 13 Offseason NeedsBaseball Prospectus2012-11-07
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Second Times AroundKevin Goldstein2012-01-03
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Second Times AroundBen Lindbergh2012-01-03
Overthinking It: Keeping Up with the FriedmansBen Lindbergh2011-12-20
Playoff Prospectus: Red Sox versus AngelsJoe Sheehan2008-10-01
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Coming and GoingWill Carroll2008-09-15
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Playoff Health Report, ALWill Carroll2007-10-02
Transaction Analysis: April 21-28, 2007Christina Kahrl2007-04-30
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: March 13-18, 2007Christina Kahrl2007-03-19
This article requires BP Premium accessSchrodinger's Bat: It's a Marathon, Not a SprintDan Fox2007-01-11
This article requires BP Premium accessLies, Damned Lies: Projection ReflectionNate Silver2006-10-11
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayer Profile: Robinson CanoMarc Normandin2006-10-06
Prospectus Hit List: Week of August 28Marc Normandin2006-08-29
Prospectus Hit List: Week of August 6thJay Jaffe2006-08-09
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: August 4-7, 2006Christina Kahrl2006-08-07
Prospectus Hit List: Week of August 2ndJay Jaffe2006-08-02
AL-Kings July Update: Entering the Fantasy Home StretchBen Murphy2006-07-26
AL-Kings July Update: Entering the Fantasy Home StretchJared Weiss2006-07-26
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: AL Second Half PreviewJoe Sheehan2006-07-15
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Focus: RotoWire Barometer, 7/12/06Gus Papadopoulos2006-07-12
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: June 22-26Christina Kahrl2006-06-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Focus: The BarometerPeter Schoenke2006-05-11
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: May 5-9Christina Kahrl2006-05-10
AL-Kings May Update: Fast Starts and Early StrugglesJonah Keri2006-05-10
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: April 21-25Christina Kahrl2006-04-26
Under The Knife: Velocity BoyWill Carroll2006-04-26
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Lee, Lee, LeeWill Carroll2006-04-21
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: American League, March 30-April 4Christina Kahrl2006-04-06
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Matchups: First MatchupJim Baker2006-04-01
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Spring Prospect Report, American LeagueKevin Goldstein2006-03-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Focus: AL Spring Job BattlesPeter Schoenke2006-03-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Focus: Building a Fantasy Farm SystemJeff Erickson2006-02-24
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: American League, December 15, 2005-February 13, 2006Christina Kahrl2006-02-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Focus: Erstad in the OutfieldJeff Erickson2006-01-23
Prospectus Notebook: Tigers, YankeesBaseball Prospectus2005-12-28
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels of AnaheimJay Jaffe2005-10-11
Prospectus Today: Heavenly ReliefJoe Sheehan2005-10-11
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: InchesJoe Sheehan2005-10-10
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: Swapping SoxJoe Sheehan2005-10-08
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: Division Series, Day OnePaul Swydan2005-10-05
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: Blowout DayJoe Sheehan2005-10-05
Playoff Prospectus: New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels of AnaheimChristina Kahrl2005-10-04
Prospectus Hit List: Week of September 25Jay Jaffe2005-09-27
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Seven Days LeftWill Carroll2005-09-26
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: BlameJoe Sheehan2005-08-31
Prospectus Hit List: Week of August 21Jay Jaffe2005-08-23
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: July 14-19, 2005Christina Kahrl2005-07-21
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: July 8-14Christina Kahrl2005-07-15
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: June 14-22Christina Kahrl2005-06-24
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: May 24-June 12, 2005Christina Kahrl2005-06-16
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Was It Worth It?Will Carroll2005-05-27
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: May 10-24, 2005Christina Kahrl2005-05-26
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: April 26- May 4, 2005Christina Kahrl2005-05-09
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: April 14-19, 2005Christina Kahrl2005-04-21
This article requires BP Premium access2005--Setting the Stage: The New Kids on the BlockChristina Kahrl2005-03-29
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: AL West PreviewJoe Sheehan2005-03-29
This article requires BP Premium access2005--Setting the Stage: The 27th ManWill Carroll2005-03-25
Prospectus Triple Play: Angels, Chicago Cubs, Milwaukee BrewersAndrew Baharlias2005-03-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Focus: AL West BustsJeff Erickson2005-03-16
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Matchups: Ides IdeasJim Baker2005-03-15
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Game of the Week: A's-Angels, Sunday March 6Jonah Keri2005-03-09
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Matchups: Trivia Manufactured While You WaitJim Baker2005-03-03
Prospectus Triple Play: Anaheim Angels, Chicago Cubs, Milwaukee BrewersBen Murphy2005-02-24
This article requires BP Premium accessTeam Health Reports: Los Angeles Angels of AnaheimWill Carroll2005-02-08
Prospectus Triple Play: Anaheim Angels, Chicago Cubs, Milwaukee BrewersBaseball Prospectus2005-01-27
Prospectus Triple Play: Cleveland Indians, Washington Nationals, Seattle MarinersBaseball Prospectus2004-12-03
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: November 17-22, 2004Christina Kahrl2004-11-29
Prospectus Triple Play: Cleveland Indians, Montreal Expos, Seattle MarinersBaseball Prospectus2004-11-05
Trending Downward: The Shape of Seasonal PerformanceJames Click2004-10-07
This article requires BP Premium accessTeams: A Critical Guide: Pitching Martyrs at the Wall Edition, National LeagueSteven Goldman2004-09-17
The Claussen Pickle: An Analysis of Traded Yankee Prospects, 1994-2004Jay Jaffe2004-07-29
Prospectus Triple Play: Montreal Expos, San Francisco Giants, Toronto Blue JaysBaseball Prospectus2004-03-05
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Roundtable: Top 50 Prospects, Part IVBaseball Prospectus2004-02-24
Team Health Reports: Montreal ExposWill Carroll2004-02-11
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Vazquez-Johnson dealChristina Kahrl2003-12-05
This article requires BP Premium accessWorld Series Prospectus: Florida Marlins vs. New York YankeesJoe Sheehan2003-10-17
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: Boston Red Sox vs. New York YankeesGary Huckabay2003-10-08
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: Boston Red Sox vs. New York YankeesNate Silver2003-10-08
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: Minnesota Twins vs. New York YankeesJoe Sheehan2003-09-30
Prospectus Triple Play: Florida Marlins, New York Yankees, Pittsburgh PiratesBaseball Prospectus2003-09-22
Lies, Damned Lies: Moneymaker (or, Everything I Need to Know about Baseball I Learned From Watching the World Series of Poker)Nate Silver2003-09-03
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: August 19-24Christina Kahrl2003-08-27
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: July 7-20Christina Kahrl2003-07-25
Prospectus Triple Play: Florida Marlins, New York Yankees, Pittsburgh PiratesBaseball Prospectus2003-07-14
Prospectus Triple Play: Chicago White Sox, St. Louis Cardinals, Texas RangersBaseball Prospectus2003-07-08
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This article requires BP Premium accessBreaking Balls: Roger Clemens and the Historic No-DecisionDerek Zumsteg2003-06-02
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: May 22-27, 2003Christina Kahrl2003-05-28


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