Biographical

Portrait of Dee Brown

Dee Brown LFRoyals

Royals Player Cards | Royals Team Audit | Royals Depth Chart

Career Summary
Years PA AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP
8 874 .233 .280 .333 .217 -3
Birth Date3-27-1978
Height6' 0"
Weight235 lbs
BatsL
ThrowsR
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
1998 KCA 20 5 3 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .004 -0.7 0.0 -0.1
1999 KCA 21 12 27 25 1 2 0 0 0 2 2 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 .080 .148 .080 .121 -3.6 0.6 -0.3
2000 KCA 22 15 28 25 4 4 1 0 0 5 3 9 0 0 0 4 0 0 .160 .250 .200 .184 -1.6 0.3 -0.1
2001 KCA 23 106 406 380 39 93 19 0 7 133 22 81 1 2 1 40 5 3 .245 .286 .350 .222 -7.9 0.8 -0.7
2002 KCA 24 16 55 51 5 12 3 1 1 20 4 20 0 0 0 7 0 0 .235 .291 .392 .234 -2.8 -0.6 -0.3
2003 KCA 25 50 143 132 16 30 7 0 2 43 8 37 2 1 0 14 1 1 .227 .280 .326 .221 -6.1 1.4 -0.5
2004 KCA 26 59 209 195 19 49 7 0 4 68 11 50 1 1 1 24 2 2 .251 .293 .349 .224 -8.0 -1.6 -0.9
2007 OAK 29 8 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 -.008 -0.8 0.0 -0.1
Career2718748148619037114271502074428986.233.280.333.217-31.50.9-3.0

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
1997 SPO A- 0 338 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .382 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1998 KCA MLB 5 3 .004 .274 .322 .418 .254 .000 101 -0.8 0.1 0 0.0 0.1 -0.7 -0.1 -0.7 -0.1
1998 WIL A+ 0 502 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .328 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1999 KCA MLB 12 27 .121 .265 .337 .427 .258 .111 99 -4.4 0.8 -0.3 0.6 -0.1 -3.6 -0.3 -3.6 -0.3
1999 WIL A+ 0 269 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .362 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1999 WIC AA 0 273 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .390 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 KCA MLB 15 28 .184 .268 .346 .419 .259 .250 103 -2.5 0.8 -0.1 0.3 0.1 -1.6 -0.1 -1.6 -0.1
2000 OMA AAA 0 519 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .308 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 KCA MLB 106 406 .222 .268 .331 .427 .261 .293 104 -16.9 11.1 -3.8 0.8 0.6 -7.9 -0.7 -7.9 -0.7
2001 OMA AAA 10 42 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .300 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 KCA MLB 16 55 .234 .260 .329 .416 .265 .367 107 -1.5 1.5 -0.6 -0.6 -1.8 -2.8 -0.3 -2.8 -0.3
2002 OMA AAA 121 512 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .330 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 KCA MLB 50 143 .221 .265 .330 .419 .260 .298 103 -6 3.9 -1.6 1.4 -0.7 -6.1 -0.5 -6.1 -0.5
2003 OMA AAA 12 53 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .306 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 KCA MLB 59 209 .224 .266 .331 .424 .259 .317 100 -8.4 6.2 -1.5 -1.6 -0.9 -8.0 -0.9 -8.0 -0.9
2004 WIC AA 61 270 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .319 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 OMA AAA 10 40 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .115 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 HAR AA 43 163 .234 .254 .327 .393 .255 .217 100 -3.4 3.6 -1.1 -2.9 -0.2 -1.9 -0.5 -1.9 -0.5
2005 TRN AA 13 57 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .125 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 NWO AAA 30 83 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .311 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006 WIC AA 95 422 .301 .268 .346 .429 .271 .336 106 14.9 9.9 -5.4 -0.1 -0.6 17.6 1.9 17.6 1.9
2006 OMA AAA 16 58 .158 .277 .344 .425 .270 .190 95 -5.9 1.6 -0.5 -1.2 -0.8 -6.4 -0.7 -6.4 -0.7
2007 OAK MLB 8 3 -.008 .259 .327 .379 .254 .000 92 -0.9 0.1 0 0.0 0.0 -0.8 -0.1 -0.8 -0.1
2007 SAC AAA 62 277 .305 .281 .348 .440 .265 .330 97 13.7 8.3 -4 -0.9 0.7 17.9 1.6 17.9 1.6
2007 TUC AAA 41 145 .247 .286 .352 .449 .272 .333 110 -2 4.3 -1.9 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.2
2008 SLC AAA 130 558 .250 .279 .352 .443 .260 .285 115 -6.7 17.6 -8.4 -0.0 2.5 2.2 0.2 2.2 0.2
2009 ABQ AAA 121 460 .306 .271 .336 .412 .275 .304 101 23.2 13.5 -3.9 -8.8 1.5 32.0 2.3 32.0 2.3

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
1997 SPO A- 338 67 97 20 6 13 73 38 65 17 4 .326 .405 .564 .238 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
1998 KCA MLB 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .004 -0.7 0.0 -0.1
1998 WIL A+ 502 64 114 30 2 10 58 53 115 26 10 .258 .347 .403 .145 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
1999 KCA MLB 27 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 7 0 0 .080 .148 .080 .000 .121 -3.6 0.6 -0.3
1999 WIC AA 273 58 83 14 3 12 56 35 41 10 8 .353 .443 .591 .238 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
1999 WIL A+ 269 49 68 10 2 13 46 44 56 20 8 .308 .431 .548 .240 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 OMA AAA 519 76 129 25 6 23 70 37 112 20 3 .269 .326 .491 .221 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 KCA MLB 28 4 4 1 0 0 4 3 9 0 0 .160 .250 .200 .040 .184 -1.6 0.3 -0.1
2001 KCA MLB 406 39 93 19 0 7 40 22 81 5 3 .245 .286 .350 .105 .222 -7.9 0.8 -0.7
2001 OMA AAA 42 5 11 0 0 2 6 3 5 0 0 .297 .366 .459 .162 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 KCA MLB 55 5 12 3 1 1 7 4 20 0 0 .235 .291 .392 .157 .234 -2.8 -0.6 -0.3
2002 OMA AAA 512 66 126 23 1 17 75 44 111 10 4 .275 .346 .441 .166 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 KCA MLB 143 16 30 7 0 2 14 8 37 1 1 .227 .280 .326 .098 .221 -6.1 1.4 -0.5
2003 OMA AAA 53 6 13 2 0 2 9 4 9 1 0 .277 .346 .447 .170 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 WIC AA 270 42 73 19 2 12 50 24 38 1 4 .303 .371 .548 .245 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 OMA AAA 40 2 5 0 0 2 5 0 12 0 0 .125 .125 .275 .150 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 KCA MLB 209 19 49 7 0 4 24 11 50 2 2 .251 .293 .349 .097 .224 -8.0 -1.6 -0.9
2005 TRN AA 57 4 6 1 0 2 6 5 17 0 0 .118 .211 .255 .137 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 NWO AAA 83 4 22 4 0 3 16 3 13 0 2 .286 .321 .455 .169 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 HAR AA 163 16 28 7 0 5 16 11 33 2 4 .194 .280 .347 .153 .234 -1.9 -2.9 -0.5
2006 OMA AAA 58 3 8 1 0 0 2 4 11 0 0 .151 .224 .170 .019 .158 -6.4 -1.2 -0.7
2006 WIC AA 422 56 118 22 0 16 78 24 64 2 0 .307 .354 .490 .182 .301 17.6 -0.1 1.9
2007 OAK MLB 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 -.008 -0.8 0.0 -0.1
2007 SAC AAA 277 47 73 14 0 14 54 24 52 2 0 .298 .365 .527 .229 .305 17.9 -0.9 1.6
2007 TUC AAA 145 25 37 7 0 2 24 13 24 1 1 .282 .352 .382 .099 .247 0.4 1.4 0.2
2008 SLC AAA 558 70 128 32 0 12 74 61 66 10 2 .264 .353 .404 .140 .250 2.2 -0.0 0.2
2009 ABQ AAA 460 79 115 35 0 19 80 57 63 9 3 .290 .382 .523 .232 .306 32.0 -8.8 2.3

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2004-08-10 2004-09-03 15-DL 24 22 Left Trunk Strain Rib Cage -
2003-05-28 2003-07-19 15-DL 52 45 Right Wrist Sprain -
2001-06-17 2001-07-27 15-DL 40 35 - Thigh Strain Hamstring - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2003 KCA $309,500
2002 KCA $
2001 KCA $205,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
2 yrPrevious$514,500
2 yrTotal$514,500

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
Weighted Mean???????????.000.000.000.0000.0?0.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
out of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseball

Comparable Players (Similarity Index )

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2007 Former first-round pick and Top-20 prospect Dee Brown has seemingly regressed as a hitter every year since he turned 21; last year he was reduced to providing veteran lineup protection for Gordon and Butler in Double-A Wichita. He signed a minor league deal with the Diamondbacks.
2005 Against all odds, he made it back to the Royals last season, but that was after no team claimed him on waivers in spring training and his bat showed signs of life for the first time in years. It was a mirage; he hit as poorly as ever after a July promotion, and now has sports a 615 OPS in nearly 900 career plate appearances. He might get another shot with another team, but realistically, he's just about through.
2003 Despite his pedigree and a veneer of self-assuredness, Brown is plagued by insecurity. After he was sent to Omaha at the end of spring training, he seemed to give up on himself. He found himself in the second half of the season, hitting .315 and slugging 558 from July 1st on. He has gone on record as saying that now that he is out of options and no longer has to worry about being demoted, he feels much more secure at the plate. He better hope that security will help him regain his plate discipline. In his breakout season of 1999, Brown walked 79 times; he hasnít walked even 50 times since.
2002 Something bad has happened here, something that looks like more than a prospectís simple failure to develop. Brown is a completely different hitter than he was two years agoónot just in substance, but in style. He was a power hitter coming through the system, someone who drove the ball and drew a bunch of walks. In 1999 alone, Brown had 54 extra-base hits and took 72 unintentional walks. Now look at last year: 18 unintentional walks in 380 at-bats, a slugging average of .350, and, most damning, he became a ground-ball hitter, with 1.81 ground balls for every fly ball. Here's the good news: if we're right, then Brown can still become the hitter it seemed he would be. He just needs the right instruction, a hitting coach who can get him back to his strengths. The skill set is there; it looks less like he can't handle the majors and more like he's just screwed up. Whether it's as a Royal, with another MLB team, or in Japan, Brown is going to have some good years.
2001 Despite Dee Brown's outstanding 1999 performance at two levels, the Royals correctly told anyone who would listen that Brown was still far from being a polished hitter and needed another full year in the minor leagues. Brown has a history of struggling for about two months after each promotion, but it took him all season to adjust to Triple-A journeymen who consistently throw off-speed pitches for strikes. Heís one of those guys for whom the ball simply sounds different coming off his bat, and heís publicly admitted his need to lay off pitches outside the strike zone. He may have a bit too much confidence, though, and he was suspended for a few days for not running out a ground ball. Heís got a world of talent, but more and more observers think he isnít fully committed to becoming a great player. This is the year he must prove them wrong.
2000 As expected, Brown--who officially changed his first name from Dermal--had a breakout season, and in fact his career path is awfully similar to Beltranís. Like Beltran, Brown got a midseason promotion to Double-A at age 21 and tore through the Texas League. Brown hit much better in Wilmington than Beltran did, and is probably the best power prospect the Royals have developed since Bo Jackson. His defense also conjures up images of JacksonÖafter the hip replacement. Regardless, the Royals have to find a way of getting his bat into the lineup this year.
1999 Keeping the ballpark effects of Wilmington in mind, Brown is a sleeper of gargantuan proportions. Hitting just .258 with 10 homers in A ball is usually an indication a player is several years away. There are many reasons why assuming that with Brown may be a mistake: 1) as his DT shows, his numbers were actually rather impressive. His 10 homers tied for the team lead - and the Blue Rocks ran away with the Carolina League. 2) He has an impressive pedigree - he was a first round pick in 1996, and was the MVP of the Northwest League in 1997. 3) The Royals aggressively promoted him to high-A ball last year, and he started the year in a terrible funk, hitting .157 through the end of May - but he hit .298 the rest of the season. He may still be a few years away, but he might also be in the major leagues by August. Ignore him at your own risk.
1998 A phenomenal talent and the first real phenom the Royals have had since Damon was still in the minor leagues. He completely dominated the Northwest League at the age of 19, and offensively there isnít anything he canít do. Still two or three years from the major leagues, but heís already a threat to become the first Royal to hit 40 homers.

BP Articles

Dee Brown is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: The Importance of Top Prospect TrajectoriesSam Miller2014-02-12
This article requires BP Premium accessDoctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part SevenRany Jazayerli2005-09-13
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: March 29-April 4, 2005Christina Kahrl2005-04-12
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Matchups: A Look at LongevityJim Baker2005-03-11
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Offseason - The EastsChristina Kahrl2005-02-14
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: September 30-October 26, 2004Christina Kahrl2004-11-03
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: August 30-September 15Christina Kahrl2004-09-17
This article requires BP Premium accessTeams: A Critical Guide: My Aunt's Thanksgiving Turkey Edition, American LeagueSteven Goldman2004-09-16
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Matchups: Bye-Bye R.A. Dickey EditionJim Baker2004-08-24
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: August 11-16, 2004Christina Kahrl2004-08-19
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: The Final Tear?Will Carroll2004-08-12
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: June 8-13, 2004Christina Kahrl2004-06-16
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: March 25-28, 2004Christina Kahrl2004-03-30
This article requires BP Premium accessTeam Health Reports: Kansas City RoyalsWill Carroll2004-03-18
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Roundtable: Top 50 Prospects, Part IIBaseball Prospectus2004-02-22
This article requires BP Premium accessDominican Winter League Report: Down the Stretch They ComeCarlos J. Lugo2003-12-22
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Beast of BurdenWill Carroll2003-08-11
Prospectus Triple Play: Arizona Diamondbacks, Kansas City Royals, Philadelphia PhilliesBaseball Prospectus2003-08-07
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: July 7-20Christina Kahrl2003-07-25
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: May 27-June 5, 2003Christina Kahrl2003-06-07
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Who'll Stop the Pain?Will Carroll2003-05-29
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: A Day in the LifeWill Carroll2003-03-04


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PITCHf/x Hitter Profile

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