Biographical

Portrait of John Olerud

John Olerud 1BBlue Jays

Blue Jays Player Cards | Blue Jays Team Audit | Blue Jays Depth Chart

Career Summary
Years PA AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP
17 9063 .295 .398 .465 .300 52.1
Birth Date8-5-1968
Height6' 5"
Weight205 lbs
BatsL
ThrowsL
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
1989 TOR 20 6 8 8 2 3 0 0 0 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 .375 .375 .375 .272 0.4 0.1 0.1
1990 TOR 21 111 421 358 43 95 15 1 14 154 57 75 1 4 1 48 0 2 .265 .364 .430 .285 13.1 -0.6 1.3
1991 TOR 22 139 541 454 64 116 30 1 17 199 68 84 6 10 3 68 0 2 .256 .353 .438 .277 14.3 5.0 2.0
1992 TOR 23 138 537 458 68 130 28 0 16 206 70 61 1 7 1 66 1 0 .284 .375 .450 .299 27.5 5.0 3.6
1993 TOR 24 158 679 551 109 200 54 2 24 330 114 65 7 7 0 107 0 2 .363 .473 .599 .353 69.3 6.6 7.7
1994 TOR 25 108 453 384 47 114 29 2 12 183 61 53 3 5 0 67 1 2 .297 .393 .477 .301 23.0 11.2 3.3
1995 TOR 26 135 581 492 72 143 32 0 8 199 84 54 4 1 0 54 0 0 .291 .398 .404 .275 15.2 -1.8 1.3
1996 TOR 27 125 469 398 59 109 25 0 18 188 60 37 10 1 0 61 1 0 .274 .382 .472 .287 16.7 5.8 2.1
1997 NYN 28 154 630 524 90 154 34 1 22 256 85 67 13 8 0 102 0 0 .294 .400 .489 .310 37.4 3.1 4.0
1998 NYN 29 160 665 557 91 197 36 4 22 307 96 73 4 7 1 93 2 2 .354 .447 .551 .344 64.8 17.2 8.1
1999 NYN 30 162 723 581 107 173 39 0 19 269 125 66 11 6 0 96 3 0 .298 .427 .463 .309 42.7 11.6 5.1
2000 SEA 31 159 683 565 84 161 45 0 14 248 102 96 4 10 2 103 0 2 .285 .392 .439 .287 25.1 8.0 3.1
2001 SEA 32 159 679 572 91 173 32 1 21 270 94 70 5 7 1 95 3 1 .302 .401 .472 .307 39.0 4.5 4.3
2002 SEA 33 154 668 553 85 166 39 0 22 271 98 66 5 12 0 102 0 0 .300 .403 .490 .320 46.8 -1.0 4.6
2003 SEA 34 152 634 539 64 145 35 0 10 210 84 67 6 3 2 83 0 1 .269 .372 .390 .267 4.9 3.1 0.8
2004 NYA 35 49 188 164 16 46 7 0 4 65 21 20 2 1 0 26 0 0 .280 .367 .396 .254 1.2 -2.4 -0.1
2004 SEA 35 78 312 261 29 64 13 1 5 94 40 41 6 4 1 22 0 0 .245 .354 .360 .249 -0.2 1.8 0.2
2005 BOS 36 87 192 173 18 50 7 0 7 78 16 20 0 3 0 37 0 0 .289 .344 .451 .268 3.6 3.4 0.7
Career223490637592113922395001325535301275101688961212301114.295.398.465.300444.780.652.1

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
1989 TOR MLB 6 8 .272 .251 .319 .392 .261 .429 95 0.1 0.2 -0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.1
1990 TOR MLB 111 421 .285 .258 .325 .385 .263 .297 103 10.4 11.3 -7.2 -0.6 -2.1 13.1 1.3 13.1 1.3
1991 TOR MLB 139 541 .277 .259 .324 .391 .263 .273 101 9.2 14.6 -9.2 5.0 0.1 14.3 2.0 14.3 2.0
1992 TOR MLB 138 537 .299 .260 .325 .387 .265 .294 101 20.2 13.9 -8.8 5.0 0.5 27.5 3.6 27.5 3.6
1993 TOR MLB 158 679 .353 .271 .336 .416 .266 .375 103 67.5 19.5 -12.5 6.6 -4.8 69.3 7.7 69.3 7.7
1994 TOR MLB 108 453 .301 .274 .340 .435 .265 .315 99 20.8 13.8 -8.7 11.2 -2.7 23.0 3.3 23.0 3.3
1995 TOR MLB 135 581 .275 .271 .341 .431 .266 .313 98 9.7 17.4 -11.1 -1.8 -1.2 15.2 1.3 15.2 1.3
1996 TOR MLB 125 469 .287 .277 .347 .446 .269 .265 98 14.9 14.5 -9 5.8 -2.1 16.7 2.1 16.7 2.1
1997 NYN MLB 154 630 .310 .260 .326 .406 .255 .298 99 34.4 16.8 -11.8 3.1 -0.6 37.4 4.0 37.4 4.0
1998 NYN MLB 160 665 .344 .265 .332 .417 .260 .373 95 61.5 17.3 -12.6 17.2 -4.4 64.8 8.1 64.8 8.1
1999 NYN MLB 162 723 .309 .266 .337 .423 .259 .307 97 41.5 19.6 -14.5 11.6 -3.3 42.7 5.1 42.7 5.1
2000 SEA MLB 159 683 .287 .273 .345 .440 .264 .316 90 21.7 19.4 -13.8 8.0 -2.2 25.1 3.1 25.1 3.1
2001 SEA MLB 159 679 .307 .270 .332 .435 .263 .311 95 35.2 18.6 -12.9 4.5 -3.6 39.0 4.3 39.0 4.3
2002 SEA MLB 154 668 .320 .263 .331 .425 .264 .302 94 42.9 17.8 -12.3 -1.0 -3.4 46.8 4.6 46.8 4.6
2003 SEA MLB 152 634 .267 .267 .335 .428 .265 .290 98 4.8 17.3 -11.9 3.1 -3.9 4.9 0.8 4.9 0.8
2004 NYA MLB 49 188 .254 .262 .327 .415 .250 .298 105 -1.2 5.6 -3.6 -2.4 -0.5 1.2 -0.1 1.2 -0.1
2004 SEA MLB 78 312 .249 .263 .330 .416 .255 .269 102 -3.7 9.3 -5.9 1.8 -0.6 -0.2 0.2 -0.2 0.2
2005 BOS MLB 87 192 .268 .263 .333 .416 .263 .289 106 1.6 5.5 -3.3 3.4 -0.5 3.6 0.7 3.6 0.7
2005 PAW AAA 3 12 .339 .289 .350 .440 .270 .250 90 0.8 0.3 -0.2 0.2 0.1 0.9 0.1 0.9 0.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
1989 TOR MLB 8 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 .375 .375 .375 .000 .272 0.4 0.1 0.1
1990 TOR MLB 421 43 95 15 1 14 48 57 75 0 2 .265 .364 .430 .165 .285 13.1 -0.6 1.3
1991 TOR MLB 541 64 116 30 1 17 68 68 84 0 2 .256 .353 .438 .183 .277 14.3 5.0 2.0
1992 TOR MLB 537 68 130 28 0 16 66 70 61 1 0 .284 .375 .450 .166 .299 27.5 5.0 3.6
1993 TOR MLB 679 109 200 54 2 24 107 114 65 0 2 .363 .473 .599 .236 .353 69.3 6.6 7.7
1994 TOR MLB 453 47 114 29 2 12 67 61 53 1 2 .297 .393 .477 .180 .301 23.0 11.2 3.3
1995 TOR MLB 581 72 143 32 0 8 54 84 54 0 0 .291 .398 .404 .114 .275 15.2 -1.8 1.3
1996 TOR MLB 469 59 109 25 0 18 61 60 37 1 0 .274 .382 .472 .198 .287 16.7 5.8 2.1
1997 NYN MLB 630 90 154 34 1 22 102 85 67 0 0 .294 .400 .489 .195 .310 37.4 3.1 4.0
1998 NYN MLB 665 91 197 36 4 22 93 96 73 2 2 .354 .447 .551 .197 .344 64.8 17.2 8.1
1999 NYN MLB 723 107 173 39 0 19 96 125 66 3 0 .298 .427 .463 .165 .309 42.7 11.6 5.1
2000 SEA MLB 683 84 161 45 0 14 103 102 96 0 2 .285 .392 .439 .154 .287 25.1 8.0 3.1
2001 SEA MLB 679 91 173 32 1 21 95 94 70 3 1 .302 .401 .472 .170 .307 39.0 4.5 4.3
2002 SEA MLB 668 85 166 39 0 22 102 98 66 0 0 .300 .403 .490 .190 .320 46.8 -1.0 4.6
2003 SEA MLB 634 64 145 35 0 10 83 84 67 0 1 .269 .372 .390 .121 .267 4.9 3.1 0.8
2004 SEA MLB 312 29 64 13 1 5 22 40 41 0 0 .245 .354 .360 .115 .249 -0.2 1.8 0.2
2004 NYA MLB 188 16 46 7 0 4 26 21 20 0 0 .280 .367 .396 .116 .254 1.2 -2.4 -0.1
2005 PAW AAA 12 2 3 0 0 1 2 2 1 0 0 .300 .417 .600 .300 .339 0.9 0.2 0.1
2005 BOS MLB 192 18 50 7 0 7 37 16 20 0 0 .289 .344 .451 .162 .268 3.6 3.4 0.7

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2005-08-01 2005-08-16 15-DL 15 12 Left Thigh Strain Hamstring -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2004 SEA $7,700,000
2003 SEA $7,700,000
2002 SEA $6,950,000
2001 SEA $6,700,000
2000 SEA $6,350,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
5 yrPrevious$35,400,000
5 yrTotal$35,400,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
14 y 31 dJoe McIntosh

Details
  • retired 12/05
  • contract purchased 5/05 signed as a free agent from NYY 5/05 (minor-league contract) signed as a free agent from SEA 8/04 released 7/04 designated for assignment 7/04 re-signed 12/02
  • 2 year/$15.4M (03-04) 04:$7.7M
  • 3 year/$20M (00-02) 00:$6.35M, 01:$6.75M, 02:$6.95M
  • signed as a free agent from NYM after 99

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
Weighted Mean???????????.000.000.000.0000.0?0.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
out of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseball

Comparable Players (Similarity Index )

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2006 Olerud was signed as insurance after Roberto Petagine got hurt in the spring, then spent much of the season out-hitting Millar. By the end of the season, Francona had finally seen the obvious, at which point Olerud stopped hitting. Now retired, Olerud finishes with a fine career line of .295/.398/.465 and 2239 career hits. There are first basemen in the Hall of Fame with lesser credentials than Olerud, including modern players like Orlando Cepeda and Tony Perez. In his prime, he hit for a high average with mid-range power and lots of walks, a devastating combination, but would have had a better reputation if his offensive skills were concentrated in just one area, like Tony Gwynn. Still, not bad for a player Cito Gaston said wouldn`t make it.
2005 Although his ALCS injury opened the door to Tony Clark throwing away some critical at-bats, Olerud's only advantage was his ability to make contact. If Clark was the flood and first base the dike, really anyone's little finger could have plugged that hole. Having hit like an underfed shortstop for two years, Olerud has little left to give. It will be a shame, though, if baseball loses its only player who can be seen emerging from the clubhouse shower wearing a towel and a batting helmet.
2003 Olerud has one of the prettiest swings in baseball. Itís so effortless it doesnít attract attention. Olerud seems to swing through pitches, even the ones he drives 400 feet over a fence in dead-center field. Itís a measure of his power stroke that Olerud, indisputably one of the slowest men in baseball, still manages to hit so many doubles every year. Like Cameron, Olerud is a huge guesser. Heís willing to watch a pitch he didnít see coming all the way in for a strike so he can get another chance at it. Combined with his calm manner and easy swing, Olerud seems to be one of the most passive hitters in baseball, and idiots in the stands routinely yell for him to take the bat off his shoulders. Watch and learn: when the bat comes off the shoulder, the ballís pretty likely to go three hundred feet, and if youíve been good, itíll keep going. You want to see your first baseman whiff at everything? Move to Pittsburgh.
2002 Olerud is part of a class of unheralded players who have control of the strike zone, some power, and who play good defense but are not regarded as team leaders despite being quite valuable to a championship drive. He's never been the best at his position, but he pushes his teams towards pennants year after year.
2001 John Olerud was the biggest name among the six free agents Gillick signed for the 2000 season, inking a three-year deal for the bargain price of $20 million. He wasnít much above average offensively at his position, but the Gold Glove was legitimate. His 133 assists were 42 more than the next best AL first baseman, and nobody is better at turning the 3-6-3 double play. For some reason, I think Olerud has another .325 EqA performance lurking somewhere beneath that placid exterior.
2000 Olerud was again unable to sustain an MVP level of performance for consecutive years. 1999ís level, basically his career average, is fine. He might want to check out some contact lenses: he's hit much better in day games than at night for the last few years. Heís the Marinersí first baseman now; if they keep Griffey, Olerud might be enough to get them back to the postseason.
1999 An excellent season for the man Cito Gastonís venom canít touch any more. The Mets are probably expecting him to stay at this level, so when he drops back to his normal ('97) level, theyíll wonder what went wrong.
1998 Still underrated. His defense still looks great, heís got a good batting eye and a fluid stroke. Will probably hit like he did this year for a few more years; closest analog to him is probably a Harold Baines. At two years, $8 million, heís a tremendous bargain when compared to the likes of Eric Karros and Andres Galarraga.
1997 The scapegoat. Because of the memory of í93, the Blue Jays will forever be looking at him as a failure instead of a useful offensive player. Heís not much good against left-handed pitching, but heís basically Wally Joyner: a good defensive first baseman who gets on base. Given the number of teams that will waste their time on Gregg Jefferies or J.R. Phillips, that should be more than enough.
1996  The Jays best player, now that Alomar has left. He is, sometimes, a great hitter. However, Olerud has typically gotten off to really slow starts (except in 1993, when he outhit Frank Thomas), which have really hurt his year end stats. Last year he was Alfredo Griffinesque for three months and George Brett in his prime for three months. He plays pretty good defense. The major concern about John is his lack of power. He really tailed off last year and hit very few homeruns at home. To be a premier player, Olerud is going to have to bang about 20 dingers a year and hit 40+ doubles. He is capable of doing it.

For all of those fans who complain about loud mouthed egotistical ballplayers, take a look at John Olerud. You gotta love him!

BP Articles

John Olerud is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
The Lineup Card: Nine Memorable Extra-Inning GamesBaseball Prospectus2014-08-13
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Prospectus Triple Play: Baltimore Orioles, Colorado Rockies, New York MetsBaseball Prospectus2003-08-13
Prospectus Triple Play: Cleveland Indians, Los Angeles Dodgers, Seattle MarinersBaseball Prospectus2003-07-25
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Come As You AreWill Carroll2003-07-25
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Not-So-Quick CutsWill Carroll2003-07-21
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: AL Mid-Season Health ReportWill Carroll2003-07-17
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: ExhibitionWill Carroll2003-07-16
Prospectus Triple Play: Cleveland Indians, Los Angeles Dodgers, Seattle MarinersBaseball Prospectus2003-07-11
Prospectus Triple Play: Chicago White Sox, St. Louis Cardinals, Texas RangersBaseball Prospectus2003-07-08
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: EruptionWill Carroll2003-07-02
Breaking Balls: Dissecting MelvinDerek Zumsteg2003-07-01
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: Fumbling in the DarkoJoe Sheehan2003-06-27
Prospecting: Jeremy ReedDavid Cameron2003-06-26
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Born to RunWill Carroll2003-06-24
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: M's 2001, v2.0Joe Sheehan2003-06-10
Prospectus Q&A: Craig CounsellJonah Keri2003-05-12
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: AL West PreviewJoe Sheehan2003-03-20
Internet Baseball Awards: AL Player of the YearGreg Spira2002-10-23
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Feature: How Sure is a "Can't Miss" Pitching Prospect?Paul Covert2002-05-09
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Daily Prospectus: The Daily Prospectus: The FutureDerek Zumsteg2002-04-11
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Daily Prospectus: AL, v20.02Joe Sheehan2002-03-31
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Daily Prospectus: The Daily Prospectus: A Great Race?Joe Sheehan2002-02-26
2001 Internet Baseball Awards Results: Your Choices for the League's Top HonorsGreg Spira2001-11-09
Internet Baseball Awards: Player of the YearBaseball Prospectus2000-11-03
1999 Internet Baseball Awards Results: Your ballots have been counted, and the results are inGreg Spira1999-11-20
1998 Internet Baseball Awards Results: Your ballots have been counted, and the results are inGreg Spira1998-10-29
1997 Internet Baseball Awards‚ĄĘ Results: Your ballots have been counted, and the results are inGreg Spira1997-11-10


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2011-04-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Steve, thanks for your time, as always. Question about Cito Gaston... I remember reading (before his return to the Blue Jays) some columnists and writers asking aloud why he never got a second job as a 2x World Series winner when so many other lesser managers did get recycled in baseball with a second team. Was he not that good manager? Did that mean teams in need mistakenly overlook him?
(Chris from Binghamton)
Bill James described Gaston as "strategically inert." He wrote out his lineup and then pretty much sat on the bench and enjoyed the best seat in the house. He also clashed with some key young players like (IIRC) John Olerud and Sean Green. I just don't think there was a lot to recommend him despite the two rings. (Steven Goldman)
2011-02-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)James Loney = Casey Kotchman? Daric Barton = John Olerud?
(Bob from Seattle)
I'll buy it in the broad strokes, though Olerud is a best-case outcome for Barton. Barton needs more batting helmet. (Ben Lindbergh)
2011-03-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on the SmoakMonster?
(Titus Welliver from The Island)
I keep going back to standards for first base when it comes to hitting, especially since expectations for Smoak were so high. If he winds up being somewhere between John Olerud and Lyle Overbay in the big picture, that isn't a bad regular, but it'll nevertheless disappoint some folks. (Christina Kahrl)
2011-01-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Kevin Brown only got about 2% of the vote, and John Olerud got less than 1%. I know neither of them are clear choices...in fact, they're probably not Hall of Famers. But both are close enough that they deserved a few years of discussion, right?
(John from Atlanta)
I agree, but the precedent with guys like David Cone, Dwight Gooden, Orel Hershiser and Will Clark going one and done on the ballot certainly suggested this was a possibility. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-07-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Take a look at my minor and MLB resume. I've never been able to hit HR's. I'm a plus defender who works the count and draws a lot of walks.
(Justin Smoak from On A Airplane)
Doesn't mean the power won't come. Can we at least upgrade Lyle Overbay to John Olerud? (Marc Normandin)
2010-01-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)Brett Wallace is the next...?
(Jquinton82 from NY)
Better than Lyle Overbay, but not quite John Olerud. (Christina Kahrl)
2010-01-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)So if the pitchers are an underwhelming lot, which interesting position players will we be talking about in one year?
(Grant from Nashville)
The top new position playing candidates are Jeff Bagwell, Rafael Palmeiro, John Olerud and Larry Walker. (Jay Jaffe)
2009-04-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Will Clark and/or John Olerud for the HOF? I know Clark went off after one year, but I think he should have stayed on.
(Jon from SF)
Neither. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-02-16 14:00:00 (link to chat)To paraphrase Bo, "Brett Wallace knows hitting". Is it simply his complete inability to offer anything on defense that dropped him to #37?
(Paul from DC)
That played a big role certainly, but if he moves to first base, is he just John Olerud? Not that that is a bad thing, he's just not a 40-HR masher type. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-06-04 16:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think we'll ever see another draft pick go straight to the majors without seeing any minor league action?
(SBE from Nashville)
It happens rarely -- see John Olerud. It could happen again. It's not happening this year. (Kevin Goldstein)


BP Roundtables

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