Biographical

Portrait of Jake Westbrook

Jake Westbrook PCardinals

Cardinals Player Cards | Cardinals Team Audit | Cardinals Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 36)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
116.7 4.66 1.41 68 6 8 0 -0.3
Birth Date9-29-1977
Height6' 3"
Weight210 lbs
Age37 years, 0 months, 22 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
1.32010
1.22011
0.52012
-0.42013
-0.32014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2000 NYA 22 3 2 6.7 4.3 2.3 0 2 0 0 0 0 38 15 10 10 1 24 4 3 0 1 13.50 6.67 7.86 -1.1 -0.1
2001 CLE 23 23 6 64.7 28.7 36.0 4 4 0 0 1 0 290 79 43 42 6 115 22 18 4 48 5.85 4.03 5.35 4.9 0.7
2002 CLE 24 11 4 41.7 21.7 20.0 1 3 0 2 2 0 185 50 30 27 6 82 12 11 1 20 5.83 4.91 6.99 -3.6 -0.4
2003 CLE 25 34 22 133.0 118.3 14.7 7 10 0 1 6 1 580 142 70 64 9 199 56 55 12 58 4.33 4.63 6.52 -8.2 -0.8
2004 CLE 26 33 30 215.7 203.3 12.3 14 9 0 0 18 2 895 208 95 81 19 315 61 58 5 116 3.38 4.14 5.60 10.5 1.6
2005 CLE 27 34 34 210.7 210.7 0.0 15 15 0 0 20 2 895 218 121 105 19 325 56 53 7 119 4.49 3.99 5.21 10.4 1.7
2006 CLE 28 32 32 211.3 211.3 0.0 15 10 0 0 18 3 904 247 106 98 15 336 55 51 4 109 4.17 3.92 4.31 43.0 4.4
2007 CLE 29 25 25 152.0 152.0 0.0 6 9 0 0 15 1 648 159 78 73 13 223 55 50 6 93 4.32 4.40 5.63 4.7 0.6
2008 CLE 30 5 5 34.7 34.7 0.0 1 2 0 0 4 0 139 33 13 12 5 52 7 7 1 19 3.12 4.63 5.72 -0.9 -0.1
2010 CLE 32 21 21 127.7 127.7 0.0 6 7 0 0 9 0 543 133 68 66 15 211 44 40 6 73 4.65 4.61 5.96 -2.5 -0.0
2010 SLN 32 12 12 75.0 75.0 0.0 4 4 0 0 9 0 317 70 31 29 5 100 24 24 2 55 3.48 3.55 3.57 9.2 1.4
2011 SLN 33 33 33 183.3 183.3 0.0 12 9 0 0 13 1 809 208 103 95 16 312 73 65 2 104 4.66 4.22 4.51 7.6 1.2
2012 SLN 34 28 28 174.7 174.7 0.0 13 11 0 0 16 2 751 191 85 77 12 265 52 52 8 106 3.97 3.85 5.02 -0.0 0.5
2013 SLN 35 21 19 116.7 110.7 6.0 7 8 0 0 10 0 523 132 69 60 7 181 50 47 10 44 4.63 4.59 5.54 -4.7 -0.4
Career3152731747.71656.391.31051030314112751718859228391482740571534689654.324.215.2569.410.2

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2000 NYA MLB 3 2 6.7 7.86 36 .415 .283 .352 .451 .270 .438 90 -1.1 -0.1 -1.1 -0.1
2001 CLE MLB 23 6 64.7 5.35 94 .268 .269 .332 .434 .262 .348 103 4.1 0.4 4.9 0.7
2002 CLE MLB 11 4 41.7 6.99 55 .286 .267 .337 .430 .270 .301 99 -3.6 -0.4 -3.6 -0.4
2003 CLE MLB 34 22 133.0 6.52 58 .271 .264 .328 .417 .260 .299 93 -10.7 -1.1 -8.2 -0.8
2004 CLE MLB 33 30 215.7 5.60 92 .235 .269 .336 .432 .261 .272 103 8.7 0.9 10.5 1.6
2005 CLE MLB 34 34 210.7 5.21 89 .252 .267 .328 .420 .260 .287 99 10.0 1.0 10.4 1.7
2006 CLE MLB 32 32 211.3 4.31 119 .243 .276 .337 .435 .258 .322 107 41.0 4.0 43.0 4.4
2007 CLE MLB 25 25 152.0 5.63 85 .252 .271 .335 .426 .263 .304 100 3.9 0.4 4.7 0.6
2008 CLE MLB 5 5 34.7 5.72 81 .241 .271 .340 .434 .266 .262 102 -0.9 -0.1 -0.9 -0.1
2010 CLE MLB 21 21 127.7 5.96 75 .266 .265 .330 .415 .262 .291 106 -2.9 -0.3 -2.5 -0.0
2010 SLN MLB 12 12 75.0 3.57 109 .245 .254 .318 .392 .262 .281 89 9.2 1.0 9.2 1.4
2011 SLN MLB 33 33 183.3 4.51 88 .286 .253 .313 .391 .257 .313 96 5.7 0.6 7.6 1.2
2012 SLN MLB 28 28 174.7 5.02 82 .269 .251 .309 .398 .256 .312 99 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 0.5
2013 SLN MLB 21 19 116.7 5.54 66 .282 .244 .303 .385 .252 .303 102 -7.7 -0.8 -4.7 -0.4
2013 PEO A 1 1 7.0 3.39 124 .146 .242 .335 .340 .257 .211 97 1.2 0.1 1.2 0.1
2013 SFD AA 1 1 3.7 0.04 199 .283 .252 .306 .385 .258 .545 113 2.9 0.3 2.9 0.3

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2000 NYA MLB 0 2 0 3 2 6.7 15 4 1 1 42% .438 20.2 5.4 1.4 1.4 2.85 13.50 -1.1 -0.1
2001 CLE MLB 4 4 0 23 6 64.7 79 22 48 6 64% .348 11.0 3.1 0.8 6.7 1.56 5.85 4.9 0.7
2002 CLE MLB 1 3 0 11 4 41.7 50 12 20 6 60% .301 10.8 2.6 1.3 4.3 1.49 5.83 -3.6 -0.4
2003 CLE MLB 7 10 0 34 22 133.0 142 56 58 9 61% .299 9.6 3.8 0.6 3.9 1.49 4.33 -8.2 -0.8
2004 CLE MLB 14 9 0 33 30 215.7 208 61 116 19 64% .272 8.7 2.5 0.8 4.8 1.25 3.38 10.5 1.6
2005 CLE MLB 15 15 0 34 34 210.7 218 56 119 19 62% .287 9.3 2.4 0.8 5.1 1.30 4.49 10.4 1.7
2006 CLE MLB 15 10 0 32 32 211.3 247 55 109 15 62% .322 10.5 2.3 0.6 4.6 1.43 4.17 43.0 4.4
2007 CLE MLB 6 9 0 25 25 152.0 159 55 93 13 56% .304 9.4 3.3 0.8 5.5 1.41 4.32 4.7 0.6
2008 CLE MLB 1 2 0 5 5 34.7 33 7 19 5 58% .262 8.6 1.8 1.3 4.9 1.15 3.12 -0.9 -0.1
2010 SLN MLB 4 4 0 12 12 75.0 70 24 55 5 66% .281 8.4 2.9 0.6 6.6 1.25 3.48 9.2 1.4
2010 CLE MLB 6 7 0 21 21 127.7 133 44 73 15 54% .291 9.4 3.1 1.1 5.1 1.39 4.65 -2.5 -0.0
2011 SLN MLB 12 9 0 33 33 183.3 208 73 104 16 60% .313 10.2 3.6 0.8 5.1 1.53 4.66 7.6 1.2
2012 SLN MLB 13 11 0 28 28 174.7 191 52 106 12 59% .312 9.8 2.7 0.6 5.5 1.39 3.97 -0.0 0.5
2013 SFD AA 0 0 0 1 1 3.7 6 0 5 0 82% .545 14.7 0.0 0.0 12.3 1.64 2.45 2.9 0.3
2013 SLN MLB 7 8 0 21 19 116.7 132 50 44 7 58% .303 10.2 3.9 0.5 3.4 1.56 4.63 -4.7 -0.4
2013 PEO A 1 0 0 1 1 7.0 4 0 5 0 79% .211 5.1 0.0 0.0 6.4 0.57 1.29 1.2 0.1

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 498 0.4900 0.4739 0.8390 0.6598 0.2953 0.9130 0.6800 0.1525
2010 3289 0.4828 0.4459 0.8295 0.6127 0.2898 0.9178 0.6552 0.1651
2011 3019 0.4624 0.4362 0.8526 0.5974 0.2970 0.9305 0.7178 0.1444
2012 2675 0.4583 0.4703 0.8313 0.6517 0.3161 0.9036 0.7052 0.1639
2013 1853 0.4436 0.4428 0.8768 0.6569 0.2716 0.9519 0.7321 0.1220
Career113340.46550.44980.84420.62710.29520.92320.69730.1517

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2013-08-22 2013-09-06 15-DL 15 14 - Low Back Strain - -
2013-05-09 2013-06-14 15-DL 36 33 Right Elbow Inflammation - -
2013-03-01 2013-03-06 Camp 5 0 Left Knee Contusion - -
2012-09-09 2012-10-23 DTD 44 23 Right Abdomen Strain Oblique - -
2010-10-13 2010-10-13 FA 0 0 Left Shoulder Surgery Labrum Tear -
2010-05-05 2010-05-11 DTD 6 3 Low Back Soreness -
2009-03-26 2009-10-05 60-DL 193 162 Right Elbow Recovery From Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2008-06-01
2008-05-29 2008-09-29 60-DL 123 109 Right Elbow Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2008-06-01
2008-04-20 2008-05-28 15-DL 38 34 Trunk Strain Rib Cage -
2007-05-03 2007-06-24 15-DL 52 49 Left Abdomen Strain Moderate -
2002-08-26 2002-09-30 15-DL 35 33 Right Elbow Contusion Bone -
2002-03-30 2002-07-11 60-DL 103 86 Right Elbow Surgery Bone Spur and Ulnar Nerve Transposition 2002-02-26
2000-09-01 2000-10-01 60-DL 30 31 - Trunk Recovery From Fracture Rib - -
2000-06-25 2000-09-01 Minors 68 0 - Trunk Fracture Rib - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2013 SLN $8,750,000
2012 SLN $8,500,000
2011 SLN $8,000,000
2010 CLE $11,000,000
2009 CLE $10,000,000
2008 CLE $10,000,000
2007 CLE $6,100,000
2006 CLE $4,250,000
2005 CLE $2,900,000
2004 CLE $925,000
2003 CLE $305,500
2002 CLE $217,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
12 yrPrevious$70,947,500
12 yrTotal$70,947,500

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
12 y 144 dMichael Maas1 year/$9.75M (2013), option

Details
  • 1 year/$9.75M (2013), plus 2014 mutual option. Signed extension with St. Louis 8/22/12. 13:$8.75M, 14:$9.5M mutual option, $1M buyout. St. Louis declined 2014 option 10/31/13. Retired 2/14.
  • 2 years/$16.5M (2011-12), plus 2013 mutual option. Re-signed by St. Louis as a free agent 11/16/10. 11:$8M, 12:$8.5M, 13:$8.5M mutual option, $1M buyout if club declines, none if Westbrook declines. Full no-trade clause.
  • 3 years/$33M (2008-10). Signed extension with Cleveland 4/07. $2M added to 2007 salary, 08:$10M, 09:$10M, 10:$11M. Acquired by St. Louis in three-way trade with Cleveland & San Diego 7/31/10.
  • 2 years/$7.5M (2005-06), plus 2007 club option. Signed extension with Cleveland 1/05 (avoided arbitration). 05:$2.9M, 06:$4.25M, 07:$5.6M club option, $0.3M buyout. Option increases to $5.8M with 200 IP in 2006, $6.1M with 210 IP in 2006). Buyout increases to $0.6M with 180 IP 2005. Award bonuses for top-five finish in Cy Young vote. Cleveland exercised 2007 option at $6.1M 10/06.
  • 1 year/$0.925M (2004). Re-signed 12/03 (avoided arbitration). $75,000 in performance bonuses.
  • 1 year/$0.3055M (2003). Re-signed 3/03. Optioned to Triple-A 6/03. Recalled 7/03.
  • 1 year/$0.217M (2002). Re-signed 3/02.
  • 1 year (2001). Recalled 5/01. Optioned 6/01, 8/01. Recalled 8/01.
  • Acquired by Cleveland in trade from NY Yankees 7/24/00.
  • Acquired by NY Yankees in trade from Montreal 12/99.
  • Acquired by Montreal in trade from Colorado 12/97.
  • Drafted by Colorado 1996 (1-21) (Madison County High, Danielsville, Ga.). $0.75M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 8 7.7 0 23 23 134.9 124 38 78 11 .285 1.20 3.64 3.95 13.6 1.4
80o 7.4 7.8 0 22 22 128.6 125 38 75 11 .296 1.27 3.98 4.32 7.3 0.7
70o 6.9 7.8 0 21 21 124.1 125 38 72 11 .305 1.32 4.23 4.6 2.9 0.3
60o 6.6 7.8 0 20 20 120.3 126 38 70 11 .312 1.36 4.45 4.83 -0.3 -0.0
50o 6.2 7.8 0 20 20 116.8 126 38 68 11 .319 1.41 4.65 5.05 -3.1 -0.3
40o 5.9 7.8 0 19 19 113.4 126 38 66 11 .326 1.45 4.86 5.28 -5.8 -0.6
30o 5.5 7.8 0 19 19 109.8 126 38 64 11 .333 1.50 5.08 5.52 -8.3 -0.9
20o 5.1 7.8 0 18 18 105.6 126 38 62 11 .342 1.56 5.34 5.81 -11.1 -1.1
10o 4.6 7.8 0 17 17 100.0 126 38 58 11 .354 1.64 5.72 6.21 -14.3 -1.5
Weighted Mean6.27.802020116.7125386811.3181.404.635.03-2.8-0.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
9% 37% 18% 9% 77%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
2015379120292918220363981957.3221.465.135.5710.03.14.80.9-1.6
2016388110262615317952831857.3331.515.385.8510.63.14.91.1-1.7
2017398110262615217553821757.3271.505.315.7710.43.14.91.0-1.6
2018407100232313716247731657.3331.535.526.0010.73.14.81.1-1.7
201941580181810612440551357.3281.555.586.0710.63.44.71.1-1.4
202042350121270832635957.3271.565.756.2510.73.34.51.2-1.0
202143350111165782332957.3301.565.796.2910.93.24.51.3-1.0
2022444601313779228381057.3301.575.686.1710.83.34.51.2-1.1
2023454601313749128361057.3351.605.886.3911.03.44.41.2-1.2

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
6.754.180.60.824.4

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 78)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 90 Tommy John 1979 3.55
2 89 Larry Jackson 1967 3.82
3 89 Jerry Reuss 1985 3.30
4 87 Bill Swift 1998 6.41
5 87 Mike Hampton 2009 5.71
6 86 Kenny Rogers 2001 6.56
7 86 Bob Lemon 1957 5.37
8 86 Steve Ontiveros 1997 0.00 DNP
9 86 Tom Candiotti 1994 4.53
10 85 Jose Contreras 2008 4.76
11 85 Steve Rogers 1986 0.00 DNP
12 85 Mike Morgan 1996 4.97
13 84 Ken Forsch 1983 4.35
14 84 Sal Maglie 1953 4.81
15 84 Miguel Batista 2007 4.71
16 84 Bob Friend 1967 0.00 DNP
17 83 Mark Hendrickson 2010 5.50
18 83 Ed Lopat 1954 3.92
19 83 Curt Simmons 1965 4.61
20 83 Tom Glavine 2002 3.41
21 83 Vic Raschi 1955 6.12
22 82 Milt Wilcox 1986 5.98
23 82 Hank Aguirre 1967 3.27
24 82 Bruce Hurst 1994 7.11
25 82 Mark Langston 1997 6.42
26 82 Andy Pettitte 2008 4.94
27 81 Derek Lowe 2009 5.04
28 80 Doug Davis 2012 0.00 DNP
29 80 Al Leiter 2002 4.36
30 80 Jamie Moyer 1999 4.26
31 80 Wilbur Wood 1978 5.52
32 80 Shawn Estes 2009 0.00 DNP
33 79 Gaylord Perry 1975 3.74 DNP
34 79 Mike Cuellar 1973 4.01
35 79 Jamey Wright 2011 3.42
36 78 Julian Tavarez 2009 6.94
37 78 Jimmy Key 1997 3.81
38 78 Steve Sparks 2002 6.38
39 78 Jim Hearn 1957 4.26
40 78 Allie Reynolds 1953 4.12
41 78 Carl Pavano 2012 6.57
42 78 Early Wynn 1956 3.01
43 78 Mark Redman 2010 0.00 DNP
44 77 Kevin Millwood 2011 4.31
45 77 Whitey Ford 1965 3.57
46 77 Ryan Dempster 2013 5.10
47 77 Jim Rooker 1979 5.04
48 77 Esteban Loaiza 2008 5.67
49 77 Brooks Lawrence 1961 0.00 DNP
50 77 Dick Donovan 1964 4.89
51 77 Ellis Kinder 1951 3.12
52 77 Elmer Dessens 2007 8.47
53 77 Dave Stieb 1994 0.00 DNP
54 76 Warren Spahn 1957 3.09
55 76 Zane Smith 1997 0.00 DNP
56 76 Mel Parnell 1958 0.00 DNP
57 76 Bill Wight 1958 5.48
58 76 Phil Niekro 1975 3.75 DNP
59 76 Bruce Dal Canton 1977 4.12
60 76 Charlie Leibrandt 1993 5.03
61 76 Mike Flanagan 1988 4.48
62 75 Jeff Suppan 2011 0.00 DNP
63 75 John Burkett 2001 3.41
64 75 Bob Tewksbury 1997 4.43
65 75 Sam Jones 1962 4.20 DNP
66 75 Al Downing 1977 7.20
67 75 Marv Grissom 1954 2.40
68 75 Bronson Arroyo 2013 3.92
69 74 Bryn Smith 1992 4.64
70 74 Kevin Gross 1997 7.11
71 74 Joe Niekro 1981 3.25
72 74 Jason Johnson 2010 0.00 DNP
73 74 Jarrod Washburn 2011 0.00 DNP
74 74 Freddy Garcia 2013 4.48
75 74 Sonny Siebert 1973 5.09
76 74 Frank Lary 1966 0.00 DNP
77 74 Cory Lidle 2008 0.00 DNP
78 74 Sandy Consuegra 1957 6.23
79 73 Bobby Shantz 1962 2.99 DNP
80 73 Jason Schmidt 2009 6.11
81 73 Jim Bibby 1981 2.79
82 73 Max Lanier 1952 4.55
83 73 Jim Perry 1972 3.85
84 73 Bob Gibson 1972 2.69
85 73 Kip Wells 2013 0.00 DNP
86 73 Marty Pattin 1979 4.77
87 73 Milt Pappas 1975 0.00 DNP
88 73 Joe Dobson 1953 4.11
89 73 Mark Portugal 1999 5.99
90 72 Clay Carroll 1977 3.20
91 72 Rudy May 1981 4.33
92 72 Jeff Fassero 1999 7.77
93 72 Paul Splittorff 1983 4.38
94 72 Mike Boddicker 1994 0.00 DNP
95 72 Hiroki Kuroda 2011 3.43
96 72 Juan Marichal 1974 5.02
97 72 A.J. Burnett 2013 3.72
98 72 Randy Wolf 2013 0.00 DNP
99 72 Chuck Finley 1999 4.94
100 72 Orlando Hernandez 2002 3.88

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .304 .376 .437 .301
11 vs R (Multi) .270 .335 .374 .252
18 Split (Multi) .034 .041 .063 .049
19 LgAvg (Multi) .010 .024 .026 .019
30 vs L (2013) .337 .412 .471 .325
31 vs R (2013) .255 .338 .342 .242
38 Split (2013) .081 .074 .130 .083
39 LgAvg (2013) .010 .022 .028 .019

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Westbrook is coming off a nice little bounceback year himself. His sinker continues to produce groundball outs at league-leading rates, but last season his walk and strikeout rates moved a few ticks in the right direction. Westbrook can provide excellent production for a fourth or fifth starter, something the Cardinals recognized when they re-upped him for roughly $10 million and a superfluous 2014 mutual option. Now four years removed from elbow surgery, his arm has remained healthy, but we should all expect a few more ancillary problems—like last season’s oblique strain—to crop up as Westbrook continues his inexorable creep toward male pattern baldness, early bird specials, and black socks with sandals.
2012 Sometimes, it’s funny how things work out. After not making an appearance in the Division Series, the Cards’ fourth starter was left off the roster in favor of an extra reliever for the NLCS. But by the end of the World Series, Westbrook and his turbo sinker had made two appearances, earning the victory in one of the wildest finishes in postseason history with a scoreless 11th inning in Game 6. Westbrook lasted beyond the sixth inning in just eight of his 33 starts, but he’s locked in at the back of the St. Louis rotation for at least one more season at a cost of $8.5 million.
2011 Westbrook returned to the Indians after nearly two years lost to elbow surgery and struggled with his control early on before a mid-season trade to St. Louis righted the ship and earned him a two-year, $16.5-million return engagement. Pitchers recovering from Tommy John surgery often require some time to reestablish their command, so that—if not the move to the easier league—may have been the prime factor behind Westbrook’s sudden rejuvenation, but many will attribute it to Dave Duncan. After entering Duncan's orbit, Westbrook’s walks plummeted, his strikeouts soared to the highest rate of his career, and the life-long sinkerball devotee managed to increase his ground-ball percentage by over 10 percentage points—geologists are concerned that giving Duncan someone like Westbrook to work with on a multi-year basis may cause hitters to start pounding the ball through the earth’s core. It looks like a marriage made in heaven, and if Westbrook can stay healthy, he’s a great bet to solidify the back of the Cardinals' rotation.
2010 After Tommy John surgery in June of 2008 (with a September 2008 hip surgery thrown in just for kicks), Westbrook's return wasn't anticipated until mid-season in 2009 at the earliest. Instead, he had multiple setbacks due to elbow pain and was forced to miss the entire year, save for some rehab work at Double-A. In the first two years of his contract, the Indians have paid $20 million for five big-league starts; with $11 million on the line for 2010, there are no guarantees that Westbrook will pitch for the Indians again. However, there is one guarantee: Mark Shapiro has said that if Westbrook is healthy, he will be the 2010 Opening Day starter. Way to motivate that rehab, Mr. Shapiro.
2009 Westbrook and Victor Martinez formed a snakebit battery in 2008. After a strong beginning the sinkerballer went down for a month with a strained ribcage muscle, then lasted just one start in his return before experiencing elbow soreness. That classic kiss of death precipitated the need for a Tommy John reconstruction in June; recovery will knock him out until at least mid-season in '09. Even then, Westbrook didn't get quite enough face time in the operating room, however, and so topped off his lost campaign with arthroscopic hip surgery in early September, but that shouldn't affect his rehab timetable.
2008 Westbrook is something like a younger Paul Byrd. All he has to do is keep throwing sinkers and changeups for strikes, get a little help from his defense and some runs to work with, and everything works out just fine. Whether that's worth $31 million for the next three years is worthy of a debate, but an abdominal strain that cost him six weeks last year is the only knock against his health record in the last four seasons, and sometimes dependable can be as valuable as good.
2007 Westbrook`s $6.1-million option for 2007 looks like an absolute bargain given the inflation that hit the offseason pitching market. At the very least, Westbrook is a proven workhorse, having exceeded 210 innings in each of the last three seasons. That`s really all he is, a guy who can keep you in the ballgame and give the bullpen some rest. That`s not such a bad thing, and if the Indians support his groundball stuff with some better, younger defenders in the infield, as it appears they will this year, he could see even better results.
2006 Westbrook`s 2004 season, in which he was third in the AL in ERA, was indeed too good to be true. His 2005 campaign was not without its positive signs, though. Both his strikeout and walk rates improved for the second straight year, and better yet, he posted the second best groundball-to-flyball ratio in the majors among qualified pitchers and was fourth in double-plays induced, suggesting that while Westbrook may not be the top-of-the-rotation guy he posed as in `04, he just might have a career as a solid innings eater somewhere in the middle.
2005 Westbrook's 2.72 GB/FB rate was third in the major leagues, behind only Derek Lowe (2.82) and Brandon Webb (3.55). What's intriguing is that this alone cannot account for his breakthrough season; his GB/FB rate actually declined from 2003, when it was 3.02. Similarly, his double-play rate of .19 double plays per opportunity was slightly lower than the .222 of 2003. What is more telling is Westbrook's greatly improved strikeout-to-walk ratio—which went from roughly even to nearly two-to-one—and his strikeouts per nine, where he averaged nearly five, one more than the year before.

These adjustments, some of them small in themselves, created a positive cascade. When a pitcher puts as many balls in play as Westbrook does, then walks some more, and never strikes anyone out, he's expecting the defense to catch anything that moves and do his work for him. It doesn't work for long. When Westbrook took more of the effort onto himself, the results were revealing. Continuation depends on Westbrook's maintaining his control and the Tribe's new keystone combo.
2004 Now that Miguel Batista's gone and become a full-blown good big league starter, the term "utility pitcher" can revert to someone more appropriate, someone like Westbrook. An extreme groundball pitcher, he's not a rubber-armed workhorse as much as he's the sort you can stick in any role for a stretch. He opened the year starting, went to the pen, then got plugged back into the rotation. He'll compete for the fourth or fifth slot in the rotation, but if he loses, he'll mop up in the starts of the winners, and eventually stand in for whoever flops.
2003 Westbrook struggled with his release point throughout the year, holding on too long and pushing the ball inside and into the dirt, or not long enough, leaving the ball up and out for left-handers, both results products of his perfect three-quarters delivery. He missed much of the season with a bone bruise, and will be back, healthy, and not particularly noticeable pitching long-relief and spot starts again next year.
2002 Recalled in late May, Westbrook was doing wonderfully in relief, finally looking like he was ready to stay in the major leagues: 20 innings, a 2.75 ERA, good peripherals, and, best of all, he actually looked comfortable after a couple of years of bouncing around. The Indians tried to use him as a starter again and he collapsed, making six starts, each one a bit worse than the last. The Tribe needs starters more than they need relievers, and Westbrook is still the best solution for the #5 rotation slot.
2001 When you see him, Jake Westbrook’s talent jumps out at you. He has a fastball with a natural boring, sinking action and a good slider. He needs to pick up a solid change-up. The Expos wanted him to add a splitter, but with Westbrook going through his third organization in less than a year, it’s impossible to know if he’s going to master it any time soon. A broken rib kept him from pitching for Buffalo. He has an outside chance at the fifth slot in the rotation depending on how quickly the Karsay experiment breaks down.
2000 So far, Westbrook is the most famous of the three pitchers acquired in the Lansing deal. He’s got a good sinker that generates a ton of groundball outs, but despite having a good infield defense behind him, he didn’t pitch that well. There’s debate on what to think: scouts say he can pitch, he’s young and projectable, and not overly reliant on breaking stuff. The Expos are talking about having him learn to throw a splitter. If there’s a guy the scouts could be right about while all of the numbers fly in the face of their spiral notebooks, it might be Westbrook. The Yankees hope so, having picked him in the Irabu deal.
1999 Great stuff, but he's busy trying to thread the needle rather than just airing it out. Better that than to have no stuff, of course. He's clearly not on track for the majors with that dropping strikeout rate. Could come alive with good coaching, or he could be a Triple-A All-Star in 2007.
1998 First-round pick by the Rockies in 1996. Baseball America named him the eighth-best prospect in the South Atlantic League, but that seems like a real stretch, even given his young age. His strikeout rate is abysmal. Westbrook is rumored to have a great fastball, but it sure doesn’t show up in the stats. Traded to Montreal in the Lansing deal.

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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2013-08-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Now that they didn't pick up a starter, who do you think steps up for the Cardinals down the stretch in the 4/5 slots between Jake Westbrook, Joe Kelly, Michael Wacha and Carlos Martinez?
(Scott from LA)
Martinez is a nice sleeper; he's back in Triple-A and started for the first time since being demoted a few days ago. I assume he's going to get stretched out, and I wonder if they didn't use him in the pen to curb his innings workload a bit. I'm guessing Westbrook hangs around no matter what. After that I don't have a favorite, but obviously St. Louis can't go wrong any way they go. (R.J. Anderson Trade Deadline Wrap Chat)
2012-05-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Ugh, are the Cardinals REALLY this good? It seems like every single break seems to go their way. Jake Westbrook and Kyle Lohse? ACES! Tyler Greene? SECOND COMING OF JEFF BAGWELL! So damn annoying.
(Reds Fan from Cincinnati)
According to our Adjusted Standings, not only have they actually been this good, they've actually been better. The Cardinals' third-order winning percentage is .733. That's the best in baseball, folks. Maybe Pujols was holding them back all that time! Scary for Reds fans, huh? (Ben Lindbergh)
2010-11-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)"I haven't been wild about any deal so far this winter." Not even Jake Westbrook re-upping with St. Louis for2/$16.5M? They had a need, and how could they have filled it for less?
(Bill from New Mexico)
It's not a horrible deal if you can guarantee he'll be healthy, and he's a good fit with Dave Duncan, but the guy's got one 30-start season out of the last four. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-08-02 13:30:00 (link to chat)Is Jocketty being complacent in not getteing some relief help at the deadline? We'd at least like to see some evidence that someone in the organization notices how risky CoCo Cordero's high wire act has become.
(Scartore from The Q.C.)
If the Cardinals made a mistake in overpaying for Jake Westbrook, I'd put the Reds' total inaction for picking up some relief depth just about right up there with it. (Christina Kahrl)
2010-06-18 14:00:00 (link to chat)It looks like the Reds are at least real enough to stay in the race with the Cards. Who should they target to bolster the roster for the 2nd half? Is Fausto Carmona enough? Lee/Haren too much? It seems the Reds have as much near-ready talent as anybody, if not uber-elite types.
(Rick from Chicago)
The Reds are actually my sleeper team to potentially nab Lee. I also wouldn't be surprised if they go after Jake Westbrook or someone like that to stabilize the rotation. Can't see them getting Haren, or thinking that Carmona would be enough. (Eric Seidman)
2010-02-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Will, last year you predicted a break-out year for Edwin Jackson and my fantasy team thanks you for that. Is there anyone you want to tell us about this year?
(Swingingbunts from NY)
I did? I rule. (Dumb luck.)

I like Daisuke Matsuzaka, but that won't surprise anyone. I like Jake Westbrook's chances. If I have to go total sleeper, I'll say Manny Parra. (Will Carroll)
2009-09-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Will, thanks for the chat. Do you have any updates on Jake Westbrook and Adam Miller? What does next year look like for each of them?
(jimbeau from Left Coast)
Westbrook will be ready for Spring Training. Nothing on Miller. (Will Carroll)
2009-08-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)Speaking of UCLs, Jake Westbrook sounds like he's had enough of a setback to ruin his 2009: is there official worry that he'll lose some 2010 as well?
(buffum from Austin TX)
Official? No, but there's some worry when there's setbacks or cascades. I still like Westbrook a lot, but I didn't think he'd injure himself in the first place so take it fwiw.

Have to take a call -- be back asap. (Will Carroll)
2009-07-01 14:00:00 (link to chat)Do you have any insight on who the PTBNL in the DeRosa deal could be? Also, why did they use a PTBNL at all?
(jbuofm from Peoria)
I think I trust the rumors that it'll be either Jess Todd or Francisco Samuel (relievers both), as John Perrotto related today. However, the Indians are currently at 39 on the 40-man, and they'll be re-adding Jake Westbrook from the 60-day DL sometime in the near future, which means they don't really have space to add Todd (who's already rostered) without then also having to subsequently cut someone once Westbrook gets reactivated. The options as far as who the PTBNL might be might also change, depending on the outcome of the Cardinals' season. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-06-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Jake Westbrook is close to returning - what can we expect from him in half a season?
(derek from ohio)
I always worry just a little more about control guys coming back from TJS than I do power guys. I still think he'll be good, not great ... so typical Westbrook. I'm still stunned he got hurt. (Will Carroll)
2008-06-20 13:30:00 (link to chat)What are your thoughts on the Braves kids in the rotation? (Jurrjens, Reyes, Morton)
(Jon from Macon)
I don't know that much about Morton, so I'll reserve judgment. Jurrjens is a midrotation guy, maybe slightly less. He reminds me of Jake Westbrook, with more upside than that. Reyes has improved a ton year-over-year, really tightening his mechanics and command, and now looks to me like an above-average starter in the majors. He was rushed last year, and I didn't take that into account enough when looking at him. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-06-17 15:00:00 (link to chat)What do you think of the Indians and Tigers playoff chances going forward? The Sox are anywhere from 55-70 percent favorites from the 3 BP odds reports. That sounds accurate to you?
(colintj from a2)
Given where those three teams are right now and the underlying causes for how they got there, I think that sounds about right. Cleveland has lost Jake Westbrook for the season, they've lost Victor Martinez for awhile, Travis Hafner has joined the ranks of the undead, and Rafael Betancourt is looking pretty clammy and monosyllabic as well. Detroit is out Bonderman already, the rest of their rotation is a mess, we don't know how well their bullpen can hold up, and they have to dig their way out of a sizeable hole. Meanwhile in Chicago we've seen guys like Carlos Quentin, Alexei Ramirez, Gavin Floyd, and John Danks start to deliver on their promise even as the offense in general has underachieved. The Sox lead isn't insurmountable but given the run differentials and the injury situations I'd place my nickel on them. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-01-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey KG, what particular stats do you focus on when considering a pitching prospect? Does some stat that takes into account ability to induce ground balls come into play? And, finally, what pitchers have a chance to develop into the next Derek Lowe / Jake Westbrook? Thanks.
(Mario66 from Toronto)
IP, H, K are the first three I like out, but everything is taken into account. Next Derek Lowe just might be Justin Masterson. (Kevin Goldstein)


BP Roundtables

DateRoundtable NameComment
2010-04-05 09:30:00Season Opener RoundtableBuehrle's play was terrific, though I felt bad for Lou Marson, who not only got robbed on that play but was complicit in four Jake Westbrook wild pitches, all of which were balls Marson probably could have stopped. (Ken Funck)
2010-04-05 09:30:00Season Opener RoundtableI'm switching to White Sox/Indians. Jake Westbrook as an opening day guy? That's Dodgers/Pirates territory. (Kevin Goldstein)
 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2014, Jake Westbrook threw 12,651 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2007 and 2013, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and the MLB Postseason. In 2013, he relied primarily on his Sinker (90mph), also mixing in a Splitter (83mph) and Cutter (85mph). He also rarely threw a Curve (79mph) and Fourseam Fastball (91mph).