Biographical

Portrait of John Smoltz

John Smoltz PBraves

Braves Player Cards | Braves Team Audit | Braves Depth Chart

Career Summary
Years IP W L SV SO ERA WARP
21 3473 213 155 154 3084 3.33 59.4
Birth Date5-15-1967
Height6' 3"
Weight210 lbs
BatsR
ThrowsR
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
1988 ATL 21 12 12 64.0 64.0 0.0 2 7 0 0 3 3 297 74 40 39 10 123 33 29 2 37 5.48 5.22 5.04 -2.2 -0.3
1989 ATL 22 29 29 208.0 208.0 0.0 12 11 0 0 21 2 847 160 79 68 15 241 72 70 2 168 2.94 3.05 3.96 19.7 2.2
1990 ATL 23 34 34 231.3 231.3 0.0 14 11 0 0 19 5 966 206 109 99 20 307 90 87 1 170 3.85 3.64 4.23 31.0 3.4
1991 ATL 24 36 36 229.7 229.7 0.0 14 13 0 0 22 1 947 206 101 97 16 306 77 76 3 148 3.80 3.45 4.17 29.1 3.0
1992 ATL 25 35 35 246.7 246.7 0.0 15 12 0 0 23 3 1021 206 90 78 17 306 80 75 5 215 2.85 2.96 3.32 43.4 4.7
1993 ATL 26 35 35 243.7 243.7 0.0 15 11 0 0 19 8 1028 208 104 98 23 334 100 88 6 208 3.62 3.80 4.21 36.8 3.5
1994 ATL 27 21 21 134.7 134.7 0.0 6 10 0 0 12 1 568 120 69 62 15 190 48 44 4 113 4.14 3.99 4.75 15.6 1.5
1995 ATL 28 29 29 192.7 192.7 0.0 12 7 0 0 16 4 808 166 76 68 15 247 72 64 4 193 3.18 3.26 4.14 25.0 2.3
1996 ATL 29 35 35 253.7 253.7 0.0 24 8 0 0 25 1 995 199 93 83 19 305 55 52 2 276 2.94 2.57 3.82 55.7 5.3
1997 ATL 30 35 35 256.0 256.0 0.0 15 12 0 0 25 4 1043 234 97 86 21 347 63 54 1 241 3.02 3.01 3.88 54.2 5.4
1998 ATL 31 26 26 167.7 167.7 0.0 17 3 0 0 17 0 681 145 58 54 10 211 44 42 4 173 2.90 2.64 3.75 36.6 3.7
1999 ATL 32 29 29 186.3 186.3 0.0 11 8 0 0 18 0 746 168 70 66 14 257 40 38 4 156 3.19 3.08 4.11 44.6 4.5
2001 ATL 34 36 5 59.0 25.0 34.0 3 3 10 1 2 0 238 53 24 22 7 87 10 8 2 57 3.36 3.23 3.57 10.3 1.0
2002 ATL 35 75 0 80.3 0.0 80.3 3 2 55 4 0 0 314 59 30 29 4 87 24 23 0 85 3.25 2.30 2.99 17.3 1.9
2003 ATL 36 62 0 64.3 0.0 64.3 0 2 45 4 0 0 244 48 9 8 2 66 8 7 0 73 1.12 1.48 2.34 20.7 2.1
2004 ATL 37 73 0 81.7 0.0 81.7 0 1 44 5 0 0 323 75 25 25 8 111 13 11 0 85 2.76 2.62 3.16 17.4 1.7
2005 ATL 38 33 33 229.7 229.7 0.0 14 7 0 0 21 3 931 210 83 78 18 314 53 46 1 169 3.06 3.24 4.20 25.9 2.7
2006 ATL 39 35 35 232.0 232.0 0.0 16 9 0 0 24 1 960 221 93 90 23 347 55 51 9 211 3.49 3.41 4.11 36.1 3.8
2007 ATL 40 32 32 205.7 205.7 0.0 14 8 0 0 26 1 853 196 78 71 18 295 47 38 4 197 3.11 3.14 3.48 50.4 5.1
2008 ATL 41 6 5 28.0 27.0 1.0 3 2 0 1 2 0 117 25 8 8 2 40 8 7 0 36 2.57 2.32 2.56 8.7 0.9
2009 BOS 42 8 8 40.0 40.0 0.0 2 5 0 0 0 0 186 59 37 37 8 101 9 8 3 33 8.32 4.99 5.36 5.1 0.6
2009 SLN 42 7 7 38.0 38.0 0.0 1 3 0 0 3 0 158 36 18 18 3 55 9 8 0 40 4.26 2.69 4.00 4.5 0.5
Career7234813473.03211.7261.3213155154152983714271307413911284288467710109265730843.333.203.93586.159.4

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
1986 LAK A+ 17 14 96.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1987 GLF AA 21 21 130.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1987 GWN AAA 3 3 16.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1988 ATL MLB 12 12 64.0 5.04 71 .305 .248 .306 .363 .253 .298 101 -2.5 -0.3 -2.2 -0.3
1988 GWN AAA 20 20 135.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1989 ATL MLB 29 29 208.0 3.96 101 .231 .245 .310 .363 .254 .246 102 17.8 1.9 19.7 2.2
1990 ATL MLB 34 34 231.3 4.23 105 .243 .261 .320 .384 .261 .272 105 26.9 2.9 31.0 3.4
1991 ATL MLB 36 36 229.7 4.17 107 .236 .254 .315 .376 .258 .270 109 29.5 3.1 29.1 3.0
1992 ATL MLB 35 35 246.7 3.32 116 .235 .250 .310 .364 .252 .268 102 38.8 4.3 43.4 4.7
1993 ATL MLB 35 35 243.7 4.21 107 .241 .261 .319 .394 .254 .268 101 32.7 3.3 36.8 3.5
1994 ATL MLB 21 21 134.7 4.75 96 .242 .265 .326 .414 .254 .271 98 12.2 1.2 15.6 1.5
1995 ATL MLB 29 29 192.7 4.14 108 .235 .268 .333 .412 .259 .288 97 25.5 2.5 25.0 2.3
1996 ATL MLB 35 35 253.7 3.82 118 .204 .263 .327 .411 .253 .280 99 48.3 4.6 55.7 5.3
1997 ATL MLB 35 35 256.0 3.88 115 .225 .263 .329 .410 .257 .297 98 42.2 4.2 54.2 5.4
1998 ATL MLB 26 26 167.7 3.75 114 .219 .258 .325 .396 .253 .300 95 29.1 2.9 36.6 3.7
1998 MCN A 2 2 10.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1998 GRN AA 3 3 14.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1999 ATL MLB 29 29 186.3 4.11 113 .225 .268 .335 .425 .257 .289 94 32.8 3.1 44.6 4.5
1999 GRN AA 2 1 4.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 ATL MLB 36 5 59.0 3.57 121 .234 .265 .331 .429 .260 .284 96 11.0 1.1 10.3 1.0
2001 MCN A 1 1 5.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 GRN AA 3 1 6.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 ATL MLB 75 0 80.3 2.99 132 .201 .267 .338 .424 .267 .274 97 17.7 1.8 17.3 1.9
2003 ATL MLB 62 0 64.3 2.34 149 .177 .270 .339 .433 .266 .286 99 20.8 2.1 20.7 2.1
2004 ATL MLB 73 0 81.7 3.16 128 .211 .270 .338 .434 .267 .309 94 18.2 1.8 17.4 1.7
2005 ATL MLB 33 33 229.7 4.20 106 .227 .260 .324 .405 .258 .278 98 24.5 2.5 25.9 2.7
2006 ATL MLB 35 35 232.0 4.11 110 .238 .264 .330 .423 .264 .299 94 33.7 3.3 36.1 3.8
2007 ATL MLB 32 32 205.7 3.48 128 .231 .264 .331 .418 .258 .304 101 51.3 5.0 50.4 5.1
2008 ATL MLB 6 5 28.0 2.56 142 .231 .245 .322 .379 .258 .324 95 9.8 1.0 8.7 0.9
2008 ROM A 2 1 3.0 1.95 155 .152 .275 .348 .424 .270 .143 98 1.3 0.1 1.3 0.1
2008 MIS AA 1 0 1.0 4.68 114 .190 .265 .331 .394 .250 .250 117 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0
2009 BOS MLB 8 8 40.0 5.36 100 .306 .265 .333 .426 .260 .383 112 5.5 0.6 5.1 0.6
2009 SLN MLB 7 7 38.0 4.00 101 .238 .254 .322 .406 .258 .311 89 5.2 0.5 4.5 0.5
2009 GRN A 2 2 8.0 2.63 139 .127 .263 .345 .369 .271 .238 99 2.3 0.2 2.3 0.2
2009 PME AA 1 1 3.3 2.44 135 .219 .244 .332 .384 .272 .273 85 0.9 0.1 0.9 0.1
2009 PAW AAA 3 3 16.0 4.93 91 .218 .268 .337 .416 .253 .178 101 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.0

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
1986 LAK A+ 7 8 0 17 14 96.0 86 31 47 7 0% .000 8.1 2.9 0.7 4.4 1.22 3.56 0.0 0.0
1987 GWN AAA 0 1 0 3 3 16.0 17 11 5 2 0% .000 9.6 6.2 1.1 2.8 1.75 6.19 0.0 0.0
1987 GLF AA 4 10 0 21 21 130.0 131 81 86 17 0% .000 9.1 5.6 1.2 6.0 1.63 5.68 0.0 0.0
1988 GWN AAA 10 5 0 20 20 135.3 118 37 115 5 0% .000 7.8 2.5 0.3 7.6 1.15 2.79 0.0 0.0
1988 ATL MLB 2 7 0 12 12 64.0 74 33 37 10 31% .298 10.4 4.6 1.4 5.2 1.67 5.48 -2.2 -0.3
1989 ATL MLB 12 11 0 29 29 208.0 160 72 168 15 41% .246 6.9 3.1 0.6 7.3 1.12 2.94 19.7 2.2
1990 ATL MLB 14 11 0 34 34 231.3 206 90 170 20 42% .272 8.0 3.5 0.8 6.6 1.28 3.85 31.0 3.4
1991 ATL MLB 14 13 0 36 36 229.7 206 77 148 16 45% .270 8.1 3.0 0.6 5.8 1.23 3.80 29.1 3.0
1992 ATL MLB 15 12 0 35 35 246.7 206 80 215 17 43% .268 7.5 2.9 0.6 7.8 1.16 2.85 43.4 4.7
1993 ATL MLB 15 11 0 35 35 243.7 208 100 208 23 43% .268 7.7 3.7 0.8 7.7 1.26 3.62 36.8 3.5
1994 ATL MLB 6 10 0 21 21 134.7 120 48 113 15 42% .271 8.0 3.2 1.0 7.6 1.25 4.14 15.6 1.5
1995 ATL MLB 12 7 0 29 29 192.7 166 72 193 15 47% .288 7.8 3.4 0.7 9.0 1.24 3.18 25.0 2.3
1996 ATL MLB 24 8 0 35 35 253.7 199 55 276 19 47% .280 7.1 2.0 0.7 9.8 1.00 2.94 55.7 5.3
1997 ATL MLB 15 12 0 35 35 256.0 234 63 241 21 48% .297 8.2 2.2 0.7 8.5 1.16 3.02 54.2 5.4
1998 ATL MLB 17 3 0 26 26 167.7 145 44 173 10 50% .300 7.8 2.4 0.5 9.3 1.13 2.90 36.6 3.7
1998 MCN A 0 0 0 2 2 10.0 7 1 14 1 0% .000 6.3 0.9 0.9 12.6 0.80 3.60 0.0 0.0
1998 GRN AA 0 1 0 3 3 14.0 11 3 16 2 0% .000 7.1 1.9 1.3 10.3 1.00 2.57 0.0 0.0
1999 ATL MLB 11 8 0 29 29 186.3 168 40 156 14 48% .289 8.1 1.9 0.7 7.5 1.12 3.19 44.6 4.5
1999 GRN AA 0 0 0 2 1 4.0 5 1 7 0 0% .000 11.2 2.2 0.0 15.8 1.50 4.50 0.0 0.0
2001 ATL MLB 3 3 10 36 5 59.0 53 10 57 7 53% .284 8.1 1.5 1.1 8.7 1.07 3.36 10.3 1.0
2001 MCN A 0 0 0 1 1 5.0 4 0 5 0 0% .000 7.2 0.0 0.0 9.0 0.80 1.80 0.0 0.0
2001 GRN AA 0 0 0 3 1 6.0 3 0 6 0 0% .000 4.5 0.0 0.0 9.0 0.50 0.00 0.0 0.0
2002 ATL MLB 3 2 55 75 0 80.3 59 24 85 4 54% .274 6.6 2.7 0.4 9.5 1.03 3.25 17.3 1.9
2003 ATL MLB 0 2 45 62 0 64.3 48 8 73 2 46% .286 6.7 1.1 0.3 10.2 0.87 1.12 20.7 2.1
2004 ATL MLB 0 1 44 73 0 81.7 75 13 85 8 47% .309 8.3 1.4 0.9 9.4 1.08 2.76 17.4 1.7
2005 ATL MLB 14 7 0 33 33 229.7 210 53 169 18 49% .278 8.2 2.1 0.7 6.6 1.15 3.06 25.9 2.7
2006 ATL MLB 16 9 0 35 35 232.0 221 55 211 23 48% .299 8.6 2.1 0.9 8.2 1.19 3.49 36.1 3.8
2007 ATL MLB 14 8 0 32 32 205.7 196 47 197 18 47% .304 8.6 2.1 0.8 8.6 1.18 3.11 50.4 5.1
2008 ROM A 0 0 0 2 1 3.0 1 0 4 0 71% .143 3.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 0.33 0.00 1.3 0.1
2008 ATL MLB 3 2 0 6 5 28.0 25 8 36 2 49% .324 8.0 2.6 0.6 11.6 1.18 2.57 8.7 0.9
2008 MIS AA 0 0 0 1 0 1.0 1 0 0 0 50% .250 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.00 0.00 0.2 0.0
2009 PME AA 0 0 0 1 1 3.3 3 0 2 0 27% .273 8.2 0.0 0.0 5.5 0.91 2.73 0.9 0.1
2009 BOS MLB 2 5 0 8 8 40.0 59 9 33 8 43% .383 13.3 2.0 1.8 7.4 1.70 8.32 5.1 0.6
2009 GRN A 0 0 0 2 2 8.0 5 0 8 0 52% .238 5.6 0.0 0.0 9.0 0.62 1.12 2.3 0.2
2009 SLN MLB 1 3 0 7 7 38.0 36 9 40 3 40% .311 8.5 2.1 0.7 9.5 1.18 4.26 4.5 0.5
2009 PAW AAA 1 1 0 3 3 16.0 10 4 11 2 45% .178 5.6 2.2 1.1 6.2 0.88 3.38 0.4 0.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 422 0.5166 0.4526 0.7225 0.5688 0.3284 0.8387 0.5075 0.2723
2009 1304 0.5008 0.4778 0.7753 0.6263 0.3287 0.8509 0.6308 0.2247
Career17260.50470.47160.76240.61220.32860.84790.60070.2363

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2009-09-13 2009-09-18 DTD 5 5 Right Shoulder Inflammation -
2009-03-27 2009-06-25 15-DL 90 71 Right Shoulder Recovery From Surgery Labrum Fraying 2008-06-10
2009-02-15 2009-03-27 Camp 40 0 Right Shoulder Recovery From Surgery Labrum Fraying 2008-06-10
2008-06-03 2008-09-28 60-DL 117 103 Right Shoulder Surgery Labrum 2008-06-10
2008-04-28 2008-06-02 15-DL 35 32 Right Shoulder Inflammation Biceps Tendon and Rotator Cuff -
2008-04-06 2008-04-06 DTD 0 0 Right Upper Back Spasms Trapezius -
2008-03-21 2008-04-06 15-DL 16 5 Right Shoulder Inflammation -
2007-09-22 2007-09-22 DTD 0 0 Right Shoulder Soreness -
2007-08-08 2007-08-08 DTD 0 0 Low Back Soreness -
2007-07-03 2007-07-18 15-DL 15 11 Right Shoulder Inflammation -
2007-06-06 2007-06-16 DTD 10 9 Right Shoulder Inflammation -
2007-05-29 2007-05-29 DTD 0 0 Right Shoulder Soreness Warming Up -
2007-05-14 2007-05-14 DTD 0 0 Right Hand Dislocation Little Finger -
2006-09-11 2006-09-11 DTD 0 0 Right Groin Strain -
2006-06-23 2006-06-23 DTD 0 0 Right Groin Strain -
2006-05-28 2006-05-28 DTD 0 0 Left Thigh Soreness Hamstring -
2005-09-28 2005-10-06 DTD 8 4 Right Shoulder Stiffness -
2005-05-22 2005-05-22 DTD 0 0 Trunk Strain -
2004-09-11 2004-09-11 DTD 0 0 Right Shoulder Soreness -
2004-07-01 2004-07-01 DTD 0 0 Thigh Soreness Hamstring -
2004-03-24 2004-03-24 Camp 0 0 Neck Strain -
2003-10-07 2003-10-07 Off 0 0 Right Elbow Surgery Scar Tissue 2003-10-07
2003-08-24 2003-09-20 15-DL 27 25 Right Elbow Inflammation Tendonitis -
2001-06-10 2001-07-22 15-DL 42 37 Right Shoulder Inflammation -
2001-03-23 2001-05-17 15-DL 55 40 Right Elbow Inflammation -
2000-04-02 2000-10-08 60-DL 189 162 Right Elbow Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2000-03-23 -
1999-07-05 1999-07-24 15-DL 19 17 Right Elbow Strain - -
1999-05-17 1999-06-01 15-DL 15 15 Right Elbow Strain - -
1998-05-24 1998-06-20 15-DL 27 24 Right Elbow Inflammation - -
1998-03-31 1998-04-16 15-DL 16 14 Right Elbow Recovery From Surgery Bone Chips 1997-12-15 -
1997-12-15 1997-12-15 Off 0 0 Right Elbow Surgery Bone Chips 1997-12-15 -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2009 BOS $5,500,000
2008 ATL $14,000,000
2007 ATL $8,000,000
2006 ATL $11,000,000
2005 ATL $9,000,000
2004 ATL $11,666,667
2003 ATL $10,666,667
2002 ATL $7,666,667
2001 ATL $8,000,000
2000 ATL $8,500,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
10 yrPrevious$94,000,001
10 yrTotal$94,000,001

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
21 y 72 dKeith Grunewald, Lonnie Cooper

Details
  • 1 year/$0.4M (2009). Signed by St. Louis as a free agent 8/19/09 (Smoltz to earn pro-rated share of $0.4M Major League minimum, or about $102,732). Post-season award bonuses.
  • 1 year/$5.5M (2009). Signed by Boston as a free agent 1/13/09. $5.5M in bonuses based on days on active 25-man roster: $125,000 for his first day. $ 35,000 per day, June 1 - Oct. 3. $500,000 for Oct. 4. Award bonuses. $0.5M assignment bonus if traded. DFA by Boston 8/7/09, released 8/17/09.
  • 1 year/$14M (2008), plus 2009, 2010 club options. Signed extension with Atlanta 4/07. 08:$14M, 09:$12M option, 10: club option. 2009 option guaranteed with 200 IP in 2008. 2010 option: $13M (200 IP in '09) or $12M (less than 200 IP in '09).
  • 2 years/$20M (2005-06), plus 2007 club option. Signed extension with Atlanta 12/04. $6M signing bonus. 05:$6M, 06:$8M, 07:$8M club option. No-trade clause. Atlanta exercised $8M 2007 option 9/06.
  • 3 years/$30M (2002-04) plus $12M 2005 club option. Performance bonus of $0.1M/GS.
  • 4 years/$31M (1997-2000). Signed 11/96 (highest-paid pitcher at signing). 97:$7M, 98:$7.75M, 99:$7.75M, 00:$8.5M. $0.25M bonus with 2 Cy Young awards 1997-2000.

BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

John Smoltz is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
The Lineup Card: Ten Trades That Made Our ChildhoodsBaseball Prospectus2014-07-03
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The BP Wayback Machine: Inside Tommy John SurgeryWill Carroll2014-03-07
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This article requires BP Premium accessBaseball Therapy: The Hall of Fame Ballots By the NumbersRussell A. Carleton2014-01-09
The BP Wayback Machine: Winter Meetings ReviewJoe Sheehan2013-12-10
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: Backs Against the Wall: The 2013 St. Louis Cardinals and HistoryMike Gianella2013-10-30
This article requires BP Premium accessSkewed Left: Shane Victorino and the Hunt for the Elusive 9-3 PutoutZachary Levine2013-10-25
The BP Wayback Machine: New Ways to Spell ReliefJoe Sheehan2013-10-14
BP Unfiltered: Brian Sabean and Buying and Selling Before the DeadlineBen Lindbergh2013-07-05
BP Unfiltered: Gonzalez Germen and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad InningBen Lindbergh2013-06-14
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Mets Magic Bests MillerDaniel Rathman2013-06-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessSporer Report: Evaluating Early-Season OutliersPaul Sporer2013-05-14
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: Hanson DevilR.J. Anderson2013-05-08
Baseball ProGUESTus: When Good Things Come in Three YearsChad Finn2013-04-17
BP Unfiltered: The Eight-Man Bullpen Comes Back to Bite the BrewersBen Lindbergh2013-04-08
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Arbitration Showdown: Mock Hearing: Jim JohnsonBradford Doolittle2013-02-08
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Arbitration Showdown: Mock Hearing: Jim JohnsonNick J. Faleris2013-02-08
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This article requires BP Premium accessHead Games: Two ALCS-Altering At-BatsWill Woods2012-10-19
The BP Wayback Machine: Backing into the PlayoffsJay Jaffe2012-09-21
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The Lineup Card: Seven August Moves that MatteredBaseball Prospectus2012-08-01
The Week in Quotes: June 4-June 10Jonah Birenbaum2012-06-11
The Week in Quotes: June 4-June 10Matthew Rocco2012-06-11
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Between The Numbers: The Prorating GameColin Wyers2012-05-04
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: The Keltner All-Stars, Part IIJay Jaffe2012-01-16
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: The Class of 2012: The Catch-AllJay Jaffe2012-01-04
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: A Weighty MatterJay Jaffe2011-10-31
The BP Broadside: Oh, To Live on Closer MountainSteven Goldman2011-09-20
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Backing into the PlayoffsJay Jaffe2011-09-19
The BP Wayback Machine: Sweet ReliefRany Jazayerli2011-09-15
This article requires BP Premium accessDivide and Conquer, NL East: The Phillies' Cy Young CandidacyMichael Jong2011-09-12
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On the Beat: The Next General ManagersJohn Perrotto2011-07-29
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The BP Wayback Machine: Trades that Made a DifferenceSteven Goldman2011-07-13
The BP Wayback Machine: How Do You Rate Relief?Nate Silver2011-05-26
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Q&A: Bob KipperDavid Laurila2011-01-04
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Spinning Yarn: The Glavine LineMike Fast2010-10-14
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Lies, Damned Lies: Book Review, Scout's HonorNate Silver2005-07-13
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Internet Baseball Awards: NL Player of the YearGreg Spira2002-10-26
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Prospectus Q&A: Dr. Mike Marshall (Part One)Jonah Keri2002-10-17
Prospectus Roundtable: Bonds Bombs, Tomahawk Chops, and Suspect ManagementBaseball Prospectus2002-10-11
Playoff Prospectus: San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesChristina Kahrl2002-10-02
Prospectus Q&A: Tommy JohnJonah Keri2002-09-20
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6-4-3: Kenny Williams, A's FanGary Huckabay2002-07-26
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2001 Internet Baseball Awards Results: Your Choices for the League's Top HonorsGreg Spira2001-11-09
1999 Internet Baseball Awards Results: Your ballots have been counted, and the results are inGreg Spira1999-11-20
1998 Internet Baseball Awards Results: Your ballots have been counted, and the results are inGreg Spira1998-10-29
1997 Internet Baseball Awards™ Results: Your ballots have been counted, and the results are inGreg Spira1997-11-10
1996 Internet Baseball Awards Results: Your ballots have been counted, and the results are inGreg Spira1996-11-15


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2013-01-11 14:00:00 (link to chat)Chances Andy Pettitte makes it to the Hall with voters making steroid users wait a few years on the ballot?
(Brian from College Station, TX)
Another one from the Twitter files. I think Pettitte has a significantly uphill battle ahead of him. Even with a strong postseason resume, he doesn't have a Cy Young award or much in the way of All-Star appearances (3), and he's just 92nd in JAWS among starting pitchers, with a peak that's 15.6 points off the standard and a career that's 13.9 short. He comes nowhere close to measuring up to the wave of non-300 win guys reaching the ballot in 2013-2015 - Schilling, Mike Mussina, John Smoltz and Pedro Martinez. He's been one of my favorite players, but I wouldn't vote for him. (Jay Jaffe on the Hall of Fame)
2012-05-25 14:00:00 (link to chat)You talk a lot about a pitcher's personal signature. Sometimes that personal signature has attributes that leaves a pitcher more attune to injuries. However, as you mention in your recent Strasburg article, Strasburg seemingly will continue to use his troubling mechanics. I assume most MLB pitchers feel this way because a major mechanical change could rid them of their MLB ability. I assume most pitchers learn their personal signature in little league and are resistant to a change in their mechanics by the time an MLB dream is evident. If this is the case, is the most an MLB team could do to help avoid injury is just minor tweaks that might delay the inevitable?
(SaberTJ from Cleveland, OH)
Great question. Signature is somewhat innate, and most player's find a signature moreso than learn one. The resistance to change has as much to do with the re-training of muscles and joints as it does the difficulty of finding the appropriate timing of a new delivery. Some pitchers will also gladly make the trade of injury risk for performance, as they may not be able to succeed at the highest level without the elements that put them at risk (i.e. scapular load and pitch velo). John Smoltz had a pronounced scap load and inverted-W in his delivery, and he had various arm woes throughout his career, but my guess is that he would gladly do it all over again if given the choice. (Doug Thorburn)
2012-04-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)While most people say Roy Halladay is the best pitcher in baseball, am I crazy to think he's only a borderline Hall Of Famer right now?
(Andrew Stoeten from drunkjaysfans.com)
Given that we've seen just one starter get into the Hall with less than 300 wins over the past 20 years, I don't think you're crazy to say that at all. Halladay's at 190, and I think he's going to have to push well into the 240-250 range to satisfy the traditionalists. It helps that there's going to be a whole wave of non-300 win pitchers coming along (Pedro Martinez, John Smoltz, Mike Mussina and Curt Schilling) who are pretty fair candidates in their own rights, with considerable hardware and postseason resumes of their own. I think he gets there, but he's not a lock. (Jay Jaffe)
2012-01-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Jay - Do you feel that the Hall of Fame will start to give guidelines to the voters sooner rather than later when it comes to steroids? I have seen comments regarding how quickly Bagwell shrunk in size as to why someone was not going to vote for him (Chicago Tribune). As Phil Rogers says, 580+ writers, 580+ opinions on the matter. Thanks
(Brian from Tinley Park)
Good question. I think we're years away from that, because while there are several candidates about to hit the ballot whose careers have been linked to PED use, there are also a bunch of milestone candidates whose elections are a virtual lock. Even without Barry Bonds and Roger Clmeens, you'll still have Greg Maddux, Tom Glavine, Randy Johnson and Craig Biggio on that score, as well as solid candidates without the milestones OR PED connections such as John Smoltz and Curt Schilling. I think we're years away before the Hall feels a need to interject itself into the debate on the guideline grounds. (Jay Jaffe's Hall of Fame Special)
2011-12-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Best baseball-themed Christmas present you've ever got?
(Toby from Target)
Hmm. I’m going to whiff on this, probably. It’s hard to remember former gifts on demand. A family friend once gave me a piece of paper that Juan Marichal had signed. Just a scrap, about as big as my pinkie, because that was all the person had with him at the time. I really like that present because it was so worthless, materially speaking. When I was a kid collecting baseball cards, memorabilia became very money-based, like I had this deluded sense that I was investing and that I was somehow wealthy because I got a $7 John Smoltz rookie card in a pack. Baseball-card collecting was fun, but it was a particular sort of laborious fun. That Juan Marichal scrap was just 100 percent unsellable, though, so I never had to worry about it the way I worried about my cards, or about other memorabilia I had. I could just look at it.

One year, I got in trouble and my parents took away all my baseball cards as punishment. I managed to smuggle one card free (Jose Oquendo, 1988 Topps), but the rest were taken and hidden. For Christmas, they gave me my cards back. That was amazing at the time, but now that I think about heyyyyyyyy that present sort of sucks.

For my birthday this year, I got this shirt. I like it: http://www.tauntr.com/content/just-fire-it-through-internet-shirt

What about everybody else? Lay 'em on me. (Sam Miller)
2011-11-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)How many more "Halladay like" seasons does Halladay need to have before he's a lock for the Hall Of Fame?
(Kristina from Arizona)
A lock? I'd say 3-4. The voters haven't been very forgiving of guys with less than 300 wins (1 in 20 years, Blyleven) and they're about to get a slew of them for review (Pedro Martinez, John Smoltz, Curt Schilling, Mike Mussina) along with the 300-winners (Clemens, Maddux, Glavine, Johnson). The Cys are a great building block but Halladay still has work do do. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-10-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Earl Weaver's old strategy a moo point (you know, what a cow says) now that teams get too scared to move the young starter out of the pen after the initial introduction to the league?
(JT from Michigan)
I mentioned this earlier, but my hope is that the success the Rangers had with C.J. Wilson--ie, someone who was not John Smoltz coming down from the mountain--should encourage teams to be a little more creative on this score. (Christina Kahrl)
2010-10-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)On TBS, Smoltz was pretty good, right? He's no Ron Darling, but he seemed pretty natural.
(Matt from Malone, NY)
John Smoltz was one of the most articulate and intelligent players I've ever encountered. He has a chance to be a star-quality analyst as he gains experience. (John Perrotto)
2010-06-07 18:30:00 (link to chat)Will the 2005 draft ever be topped??? It was topped before it ever happened, in 1985. I just wrote this for tomorrow morning's draft piece: . The first round included, in order of selection, B.J. Surhoff, Will Clark, Bobby Witt, Barry Larkin, Barry Bonds, Pete Incaviglia, Walt Weiss, Brian McRae, Joe Magrane, Gregg Jeffries, Rafael Palmeiro, and Joey Cora, as well as Cameron Drew, who put up outstanding numbers in the minors until a knee injury ended his career at 24, while the second round held Bruce Ruffin, Mike Schooler, and Randy Johnson (John Smoltz was hiding down in round 22). And Bo Jackson too (a flyer in rd 20)!
(PBSteve from Beautiful New Jersey)
See? Steven Goldman knows all. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-03-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you see any free agents with solid fantasy value out there? Jermaine Dye, Elijah Dukes, Pedro, am I forgetting somebody?
(dangor from New York)
John Smoltz, at least as a reliever, is somebody who can help if he's so inclined, though I guess he's content to go the broadcast route for the moment. A healthy Jarrod Washburn can certainly sponge up a useful number of innings. David Weathers is a handy reliever to have around even at his age. Carlos Delgado might still have something left once he recovers from hip surgery. Gary Sheffield is still a badass who can be a useful bench bat if so inclined, and Joe Crede can pick it at the hot corner if his back is right. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-02-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)Where and when do you see John Smoltz and Pedro Martinez signing?
(MarinerDan from SF)
The Cardinals and Mets make a lot of sense for Smoltz. Seems like he may have been scared off by all the Mets' issues, but in a vacuum that's probably the most logical place for him.

As for Pedro, who knows -- I wouldn't expect to see him until midseason anyway. Wouldn't be surprised if he ends up back in Philly, especially if they have an injury or two. (Shawn Hoffman)
2010-02-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Are there any free agents left unsigned who could be useful to contending teams?
(garethbluejays1 from Newcastle, UK)
I realize it's a well-kept secret that Johnny Damon is still looking for work. Beyond him, Russell Branyan, Rocco Baldelli, Joe Beimel, Carlos Delgado, Jermaine Dye, Pedro Martinez, Chan Ho Park, John Smoltz, Gary Sheffield and Jarrod Washburn all strike me as players who could help somebody win. Not necessarily by getting 500 PA worth of playing time, mind you, and maybe not getting enough playing time to satisfy their own estimations of their talent. Park can pitch out of my bullpen, but if he wants to start, fuggedaboutit. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-01-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)You're the GM of the Royals (I just fired GMDM), and ceteris paribus, I'm giving you $15 million to improve my team. What do you do?
(Justin Bopp from Kansas City)
Non-tender Jose Guillen and sign John Smoltz? It's a long road, and I worry the only thing that gets you down it is time. (Tommy Bennett)
2009-08-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Speaking of difference makers in the stretch drive, how much difference does John Smoltz make for the Cardinals? Do you take his five scoreless innings in San Diego seriously? How about the contention that he was tipping his pitches in the AL but that that's fixed now?
(Bill from New Mexico)
The "tipping pitches" thing sounds for all the world like happy talk, and seems incongruous given how many swing-and-misses he got. I can't get excited about hammering the Padres in San Diego. That's probably the best possible scenario for any pitcher. Smoltz's problems came on contact, which was very hard during his time in Boston; we'll have to see more to reach conclusions. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-08-19 14:00:00 (link to chat)The belief that the era of the 300-game winner ended with Randy Johnson seems to be pretty widespread. What kind of career numbers will the 21st-century starting pitcher have to post to be perceived as a "lock" Hall of Famer? Will 200 become the new 300?
(David from Evanston, IL)
The BBWAA hasn't elected a non-300 win starting pitcher since Ferguson Jenkins in 1990, so it's unclear exactly how good one will have to be. I examined this question last year and concluded that John Smoltz, Curt Schilling, Mike Mussina and Pedro Martinez -- all with 200+ wins, high strikeout totals and a solid handful of other accomplishments -- are all qualified to go in, and that Pedro's probably got the best shot from a traditional standpoint due to his high peak. (Jay Jaffe)
2009-08-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is there anything wrong with John Smoltz other than bad luck? His strikeout, walk, ground ball, and line drive rates are all very healthy.
(David from Evanston, IL)
While those components are healthy, his homer rate is terrible. I'm wondering how much of that is because he's serving up meat to the hitters, or just bad luck from a small sample. I will tell you that the Red Sox defense isn't doing him any favors. Their defensive efficiency is awful (thank Jason Bay, no Crisp coming in during the late innings, and a one-legged Mike Lowell for that one) and Smoltz's BABIP reflects that as well. I'm holding out hope, but I wouldn't say I'm overly optimistic. (Marc Normandin)
2009-07-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)While I generally enjoy tour Q&A articles, I sometimes wish you would ask more hard-hitting questions. For example, when John Smoltz says that QuesTec and other innovations are "taking out the individuality of the umpires to call the game the way they see fit", that would seem to require a follow-up question along the lines of "Are you suggesting that the strike zone shouldn't be identical from umpire to umpire, or from pitcher to pitcher?"
(clete6 from Red Sox Nation, unfortunately)
Thanks, Clete, both for the praise and the criticism/suggestion. I have received similar feedback from a few others, and I do agree that at times I should be a little more aggressive in my questioning. I think it's important to pick and choose my spots, as that really isn't my style, but you make a vadid point. (David Laurila)
2009-06-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you believe John Smoltz will be a front of the rotation add for the Red Sox?
(Jim from Portland)
Front of rotation? No. Useful? Maybe. Better than Clay Buchholz or Michael Bowden? I don't understand that part of it. Look, I liked the plan of a three-headed rotation slot with Penny, Smoltz and Buchholz expected to throw 220 innings in some combination. It all went right - all three are effective, but why stick with it when there's suddenly a surplus? I have to think they'll trade Penny, though Buchholz's antics are starting to wear thin and he could bring a bigger return. (Will Carroll)
2009-06-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Tim Hudson due back later this year from TJ...starter or reliever...any word on his progress?
(DB from DC)
September and role TBD. There have been the occasional mentions of John Smoltz when it comes to Hudson's return, but aside from the logo on their caps, I'm not sure they have much in common. (Will Carroll)
2009-05-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)Drop a comp on Tommy Hanson. Ben Sheets? Chad Billingsley (stuff-wise), A.J. Burnett?
(Nate from CT)
Someone who saw him last year in Arizona threw a John Smoltz on him. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-06-03 15:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat, Jay. Any idea what the Red Sox will get from John Smoltz?
(mattymatty from Philly)
I'd guess something on the order of 10 mostly decent starts, and then additional positive contributions in the bullpen over the final couple of months as they try to keep his arm attached. (Jay Jaffe)
2009-05-21 14:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Joe, thanks for the chat. Fantasy baseball question: I can pick up John Smoltz, but doing so would put me just a few dollars below our league salary cap, limiting moves I can make later on in the season unless I make trades to move salary. Do you think Smoltz will be coming back and putting up decent numbers in the second half the season? Or is picking him up just too risky?
(Dennis from Monterey Park, CA)
I think it's risky just because of the Sox' pitching depth. I expect Smoltz to be effective when healthy, but at some point they have to call up Buchholz, right? And even Brad Penny has started pitching well. It might be tough for Smoltz to carve out a role. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-04-10 16:30:00 (link to chat)Hi Christina, thanks for reading my question. Do you think the Red Sox erred by signing Brad Penny? I'm of the belief that Clay Buchholz is ready now, and with John Smoltz (supposedly) on the way, I'm not seeing a way short of a ton of injuries that Buchholz makes it up to Boston this year. Oh, and great idea for BP Idol.
(mattymatty from Philly)
No problem matty, thanks for taking the time to drop by and ask it. ;)

I think Penny was probably the pitcher too far, but to some extent it's defensible. They didn't make a major commitment, it's not a mistake the way "winning" on Burnett was for the Yankees, they still control Buchholz, and in the AL East arms race, keeping up with the Joneses is a natural enough impulse. I think the Sox are fine; as I noted in TA, that pen's ridiculously stacked.

As for Idol, I had nothing to do with the concept, I just get to tell people they look great up there for coming up with it. As is, it's wonderful to see how much enthusiasm there is for the idea, and my hope is that we do find the next Keith Law or Keith Woolner or Dan Fox, the new James Click or Caleb Peiffer. (Christina Kahrl)
2008-12-10 14:00:00 (link to chat)The Red Sox are reportedly interested in John Smoltz. Do you think he's a good fit for the 5th spot in the rotation?
(Nate from Miami)
He'd be a great signing, because he'll either be good or hurt, and he only costs money. The Red Sox have so much pitching that they can make an upside play without relying on him to be healthy. If he shows up down the stretch, great. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-04-25 15:00:00 (link to chat)Do you see John Smoltz and/or David Ortiz making it to the Hall of Fame?
(bam022 from Chicago)
Smoltz yes, and well he should. Even from a traditional stat standpoint, his 3000 Ks, 210 wins and 3.25 ERA are impressive numbers, particularly when one considers he missed an entire year due to Tommy John surgery and spent about 3.5 seasons as a closer. His JAWS numbers are excellent as well (122.8 /58.5/90.7).

Ortiz is a tougher case. He didn't have his first great year until Age 27, and he doesn't look like a guy who's built to shine in his late 30s. From a JAWS standpoint, he's at 49.6/45.7/47.7, pretty low because he's only got four years of even 6+ WARP under his belt. Now, if he helps the Sox win another World Championship or two before he retires, he may get a Puckett Exemption for his short, high-impact career, but I wouldn't want to bet on that. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-03-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)One year decision, in a k/9, quality start based league--would u prefer Chris Young (SD) or John Smoltz?
(doclove from Chicago)
Gut says Smoltz, and I think that's what PECOTA would say too. Smoltz's career has become profoundly underappreciated. (Nate Silver)
2008-02-06 14:00:00 (link to chat)After the recent Santana trade, several commentators (including some on this site) defended the Twins GM, essentially saying, "He's no idiot. He had to make a deal and the fact that he accepted such mediocre prospects means it was the best deal available." This logic makes sense, but doesn't it call into question many of the public/expert analysis and evaluation of trades -- if we acknowledge that we don't have all the information, and we assume that (most) GMs are smart people, how and when can we fairly evaluate the intelligence of various trades?
(thegoldenbear from Newport Beach)
This is a very interesting question, isn't it?

First off, let's start off with the idea that trades can be evaluated immediately at all. Here's a question that sounds obvious, but I don't know that it really is: What makes a good trade? You do want to improve your team, clearly, but a lot of times, even that definition is cloudy. Doyle Alexander for John Smoltz? Well, a flag flies forever, right? Andersen for Bagwell, OroscoFossasRincon for Giles? There are some clear winners and losers in those two, but how many trades are really like that? If a team makes a trade for three prospects who are really outstanding, but none of them work out because the club has a systemic shortcoming in player development, was it really a bad trade? I don't know.

Second, who's interested in evaluating a trade 'fairly'? I don't think I am. I was always of a mind that the writing, attitude, and (often attempted) humor at BP served the purpose of making analysis enjoyable to read. Fairness was pretty low on the list, if it was there at all. It did make for some awkward introductions on occasion later, but evaluting trades at all is an exercise in debate; I don't know that there's any merit in fairness, except to build future credibility for your point of view.

Of course, front offices need to at least be able to do it.... (Gary Huckabay)
2008-01-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Joe, I think Bernie Williams might be someone who is overrated because he was on the Yankees and won titles.
(JKGaucho from DC)
There's absolutely no evidence that being on particular team helps you in the BBWAA voting. Cardinals, Giants and Yankees are overrepresented in the Hall of Fame because the Hall wasn't bright enough to do away with the Veterans Committee once it had served the purpose of catching early-baseball players and the backlog of qualified 20th-century candidates.
Bernie Williams is a Hall of Famer to me, although I admit I may be too close to it. Postseason performance does matter, and it matters more now in the era of three-level playoffs. Williams, Mariano Rivera, John Smoltz and Curt Schilling are just a few of the players whose resumes are stronger than a JAWS-flavored analysis would indicate. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-01-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)How long can Atlanta keep posting competitive seasons, before they must withdraw to rebuild?
(patsen29 from Toronto)
Until Chipper Jones and John Smoltz act their respective ages. I can't answer it past that, but those two guys make it hard to not try and win each year. There's talent around them as well.

Last Braves note: I think Jeff Francoeur could go nuts this year, have a .320/.380/.550 kind of season. He improved in a lot of ways in 2007, and he's now 24 with a ton of experience. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-01-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Joe! Love the work you do. During class, I just think about baseball (which helps explain my grades last semester). Can you answer this question for me- John Smoltz: Hall of Famer or not?
(Jonathan from Springfield, MO)
Yes. A stronger version of Curt Schilling's case, with a little Dennis Eckersley thrown in. (Joe Sheehan)


BP Roundtables

DateRoundtable NameComment
2010-04-05 09:30:00Season Opener RoundtableI've just learned that beginning at 2pm ET, I'll also being able to update all of our readers on my kid's band practice in the basement. Getting my first taste of John Smoltz as an analyst on MLB Network -- not as bad as expected. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-10-16 13:00:00NLCS Game Two/ALCS Game OneA year out of date, but compare the peak scores of these then-active pitchers:

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=7451

Roger Clemens: 83.9
Greg Maddux 86/0
Randy Johnson 77.3
Pedro Martinez 68.8
Curt Schilling 65.9
Mike Mussina 64.3
Tom Glavine 63.7
John Smoltz 58.5
Avg HoF SP 67.2
(Jay Jaffe)
 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2014, John Smoltz threw 3,846 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2007 and 2009, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and the MLB Postseason. In 2009, he relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (92mph) and Slider (85mph), also mixing in a Splitter (86mph) and Curve (77mph). He also rarely threw a Sinker (91mph).