Biographical

Portrait of Billy McKinney

Billy McKinney CF  

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2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 19)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
250 .204 3 22 18 1 .195 -1.1
Birth Date8-23-1994
Height6' 1"
Weight195 lbs
Age20 years, 1 months, 29 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
2010
2011
2012
2013
-1.12014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2013 VER A- 9 37 .371 .242 .319 .360 .269 .379 95 4 1.0 0.1 0.6 -0.5 4.4 0.6 4.4 0.6
2013 ATH Rk 46 206 .296 .260 .334 .377 .272 .364 97 8.4 6.3 -1 -2.3 3.3 15.4 1.3 15.4 1.3
2014 DAY A+ 51 210 .306 .252 .327 .371 .255 .377 102 10.5 6.1 -2.7 2.6 2.4 15.2 1.8 15.2 1.8
2014 STO A+ 75 333 .257 .275 .341 .433 .275 .267 105 -1 9.7 0.4 -3.6 -0.7 6.9 0.3 6.9 0.3

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2013 VER A- 37 5 12 2 1 1 6 3 4 1 1 .353 .405 .559 .206 .371 4.4 0.6 0.6
2013 ATH Rk 206 31 58 7 2 2 20 17 29 7 0 .320 .383 .414 .094 .296 15.4 -2.3 1.3
2014 DAY A+ 210 30 53 12 4 1 36 25 42 1 0 .301 .390 .432 .131 .306 15.2 2.6 1.8
2014 STO A+ 333 42 70 12 2 10 33 36 58 5 3 .241 .330 .400 .159 .257 6.9 -3.6 0.3

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 0 d2014

Details
  • Acquired by Chicago Cubs in trade from Oakland 7/4/14.
  • Drafted by Oakland 2013 (1-24) (Plano West HS, Texas). Signed by Oakland 6/11/13, $1.8M signing bonus ($1.8935M slot).

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 534 49 126 22 2 6 48 31 125 2 1 .257 .301 .351 .249 6.0 CF -3 0.4
80o 505 43 111 19 2 6 42 27 122 2 0 .237 .279 .323 .230 -3.3 CF -3 -0.6
70o 485 39 100 17 2 5 39 25 120 2 0 .222 .263 .303 .217 -9.4 CF -2 -1.3
60o 467 36 92 16 2 5 36 23 117 2 0 .210 .249 .286 .205 -14.2 CF -2 -1.8
50o 450 33 82 14 1 4 33 21 115 1 0 .198 .236 .270 .195 -18.3 CF -2 -2.2
40o 433 30 75 13 1 4 31 19 113 1 0 .187 .223 .254 .184 -22.1 CF -2 -2.6
30o 415 27 68 12 1 3 28 17 110 1 0 .175 .209 .237 .172 -25.7 CF -2 -3.0
20o 395 24 59 10 1 3 25 15 107 1 0 .161 .193 .218 .159 -29.5 CF -2 -3.4
10o 366 20 48 8 1 2 22 12 102 1 0 .141 .170 .192 .141 -33.9 CF -2 -3.9
Weighted Mean46035871514352211720.206.244.280.201-15.8CF -2-2.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
20152025024517132114541.227.275.313.221-1.1-8.5-0.10.114.9-23.4-1.3
20162125023478131916631.204.260.280.204-2.2-18.7-0.3-0.014.9-33.3-1.3
20172225024488242314591.213.264.323.217-1.3-10.8-0.1-0.114.9-25.5-1.3
20182360560127221954361342.230.280.324.225-1.1-7.5-1.0-0.414.9-21.0-3.1
201924358346911253020791.211.260.302.211-1.8-14.8-0.3-0.314.9-29.1-1.8
20202563261123193953381343.214.266.303.214-1.8-13.5-0.6-0.714.9-27.1-3.2
202126621611252131055381313.221.272.320.220-1.4-10.0-0.5-0.914.9-23.5-3.1
202227607631242321055461203.226.288.331.230-0.9-5.0-0.8-1.114.9-18.1-3.1
20232825023487121915561.215.265.289.209-1.9-16.4-0.3-0.514.9-30.6-1.3

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
5.64.30.82.44.26.541.1

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 85)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 98 Eddie Rosario 2011 .000 DNP
2 96 Jay Austin 2010 .000 DNP
3 95 Oscar Taveras 2011 .000 DNP
4 94 Quincy Latimore 2008 .000 DNP
5 94 Che-Hsuan Lin 2008 .000 DNP
6 94 Jacob Skole 2011 .000 DNP
7 93 Aaron Hicks 2009 .000 DNP
8 93 Joe Benson 2007 .000 DNP
9 92 Dwight Britton 2007 .000 DNP
10 92 D'Arby Myers 2008 .000 DNP
11 91 Abraham Almonte 2008 .000 DNP
12 91 Frederick Parejo 2010 .000 DNP
13 91 Gorkys Hernandez 2007 .000 DNP
14 90 Luigi Rodriguez 2012 .000 DNP
15 90 Oliver Zapata 2012 .000 DNP
16 90 Dalton Pompey 2012 .000 DNP
17 89 Reymond Fuentes 2010 .000 DNP
18 89 David Paisano 2007 .000 DNP
19 89 Juan Silva 2010 .000 DNP
20 88 Thomas Hickman 2007 .000 DNP
21 88 Socrates Brito 2012 .000 DNP
22 88 Rymer Liriano 2010 .000 DNP
23 88 Engel Beltre 2009 .000 DNP
24 87 Teodoro Martinez 2011 .000 DNP
25 87 Daniel Carroll 2008 .000 DNP
26 86 Isaac Galloway 2009 .000 DNP
27 86 Teoscar Hernandez 2012 .000 DNP
28 86 Oswaldo Arcia 2010 .000 DNP
29 86 Justin Reed 2007 .000 DNP
30 85 Scott Robinson 2008 .000 DNP
31 85 Caleb Gindl 2008 .000 DNP
32 85 Hilton Richardson 2008 .000 DNP
33 85 Raimel Tapia 2013 .000 DNP
34 85 Zach Collier 2010 .000 DNP
35 85 Danry Vasquez 2013 .000 DNP
36 85 Anthony Garcia 2011 .000 DNP
37 84 Wilfred Pichardo 2009 .000 DNP
38 84 Matthew Sulentic 2007 .000 DNP
39 84 Henry Ramos 2011 .000 DNP
40 84 Kelly Dugan 2010 .000 DNP
41 84 Michael Crouse 2010 .000 DNP
42 84 Ramon Flores 2011 .000 DNP
43 84 Rafael Rodriguez 2012 .000 DNP
44 84 Royce Consigli 2011 .000 DNP
45 84 Derrick Robinson 2007 .000 DNP
46 84 Justin Jacobs 2008 .000 DNP
47 84 Jae-Hoon Ha 2010 .000 DNP
48 83 Xavier Avery 2009 .000 DNP
49 83 Mitch Dening 2008 .000 DNP
50 83 Johermyn Chavez 2008 .000 DNP
51 83 Daniel Ortiz 2009 .000 DNP
52 83 Jorge Bonifacio 2012 .000 DNP
53 83 Jonathan Garcia 2011 .000 DNP
54 83 Alfredo Morales 2012 .000 DNP
55 83 Marcell Ozuna 2010 .000 DNP
56 83 Gilbert Gomez 2011 .000 DNP
57 83 Jose Martinez 2008 .000 DNP
58 83 Willy Garcia 2012 .000 DNP
59 82 Cesar Puello 2010 .000 DNP
60 82 Brent Keys 2010 .000 DNP
61 82 Jhonny Medrano 2007 .000 DNP
62 82 Anthony Gose 2010 .000 DNP
63 82 Leonardo Reyes 2008 .000 DNP
64 82 Markus Brisker 2010 .000 DNP
65 82 Alexis Oliveras 2008 .000 DNP
66 82 Geulin Beltre 2010 .000 DNP
67 82 Bobby Stone 2009 .000 DNP
68 82 Jordan Scott 2011 .000 DNP
69 82 Kenny Wilson 2009 .000 DNP
70 82 Andrew Rundle 2007 .000 DNP
71 81 Maikel Franco 2012 .000 DNP
72 81 Zoilo Almonte 2008 .000 DNP
73 81 Jose Osuna 2012 .000 DNP
74 81 Corey Adamson 2011 .000 DNP
75 81 Jesus Lopez 2007 .000 DNP
76 81 Gregory Polanco 2011 .000 DNP
77 81 Jorge Martinez 2012 .000 DNP
78 81 Ty Morrison 2010 .000 DNP
79 81 Jonathan Schoop 2011 .000 DNP
80 80 Jose Rivero 2009 .000 DNP
81 80 Giovanny Urshela 2011 .000 DNP
82 80 Cito Culver 2012 .000 DNP
83 80 Michael Ortiz 2008 .000 DNP
84 80 Eric Eiland 2008 .000 DNP
85 80 Jarek Cunningham 2009 .000 DNP
86 80 Gioskar Amaya 2012 .000 DNP
87 80 Marco Hernandez 2012 .000 DNP
88 80 Yorman Rodriguez 2012 .000 DNP
89 80 Brandon Drury 2012 .000 DNP
90 80 Angelo Gumbs 2012 .000 DNP
91 80 Chih-Hsien Chiang 2007 .000 DNP
92 80 Theo Bowe 2010 .000 DNP
93 80 Josh Vitters 2009 .000 DNP
94 80 Delino DeShields 2012 .000 DNP
95 80 Breyvic Valera 2012 .000 DNP
96 80 Matthew Sweeney 2007 .000 DNP
97 80 Luis Sumoza 2008 .000 DNP
98 80 Renato Nunez 2013 .000 DNP
99 80 Nino Leyja 2010 .000 DNP
100 80 Trevor Story 2012 .000 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).

BP Articles

Billy McKinney is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: Cub Replacement LevelDoug Thorburn2014-09-05
Eyewitness Accounts: August 14, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-08-14
BP Unfiltered: The 2014 Trade Deadline Transaction Analysis Thread BP Staff2014-07-31
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: July 31, 2014Austin Diamond2014-07-31
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: July 31, 2014Jeff Moore2014-07-31
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Crossover Season BeginsBen Murphy2014-07-10
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Crossover Season BeginsIan Lefkowitz2014-07-10
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Crossover Season BeginsJared Weiss2014-07-10
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep Impact: Week 14Ben Carsley2014-07-08
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Billy Beane Buys What the Cubs Are SellingRon Shah2014-07-07
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Billy Beane Buys What the Cubs Are SellingBret Sayre2014-07-07
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Billy Beane Buys What the Cubs Are SellingR.J. Anderson2014-07-07
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Billy Beane Buys What the Cubs Are SellingJason Parks2014-07-07
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Billy Beane Buys What the Cubs Are SellingMauricio Rubio2014-07-07
The 2013 Redraft: How Much Has Changed?Ron Shah2014-06-10
The 2013 Redraft: How Much Has Changed?Baseball Prospectus2014-06-10
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of May 9-11Jeff Moore2014-05-12
PECOTA Takes on Prospects: Introduction: I Now Pronounce You Scout and StatAndrew Koo2014-04-15
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Weekend Games of April 11-13Jeff Moore2014-04-14
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, April 8Jeff Moore2014-04-09
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 4-6Jeff Moore2014-04-07
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Spring Training Games of March 19Jeff Moore2014-03-20
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomBP Prospect Staff2014-03-03
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomJason Parks2014-03-03
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2014 Organizational RankingsJason Parks2014-02-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: OutfieldersBen Murphy2014-02-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: OutfieldersIan Lefkowitz2014-02-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: OutfieldersJared Weiss2014-02-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 120 OutfieldersBret Sayre2014-02-20
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Outfield ProspectsBen Carsley2014-02-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: The Top 50 2013 Signees for Dynasty DraftsBret Sayre2014-01-09
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Oakland Athletics Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-11-13


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-10-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Miami said he isn't being moved, but what is a realistic package from the Cubs for Stanton?
(maxpowers from chicago)
Considering they got Addison Russell and Billy McKinney for Shark and Hammel, I'd say the price for Stanton would be just about everyone in their farm system, Wrigley Field, and the cast of The League. If I'm the Marlins I don't even consider it without Bryant, which the Cubs won't do, so there ends your talks right there. (Jeff Moore)
2014-08-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who is your favorite prospect that you don't think has any chance at making the majors?
(Brett from Charlotte)
Billy McKinney. I came away very impressed in a three-game look and will push hard for his spot in the Cubs top-10 this off-season. His addition in that trade will be a major coup when it's all said and done. (Jeff Moore)
2014-07-24 19:00:00 (link to chat)It has been reported they are not negotiating during the season, the Red Sox decide to trade Jon Lester, what kind of return could they get? Considering the Shark return and Price might not be traded. Will Lester be the latest piece that heads to the Cubs in Theo's master plan to acquire all former Red Sox players?
(Matt from Cambridge)
It wouldn't be an Addison Russell Billy McKinney return for just Lester but it'd be a pretty nice return. I don't think the Cubs would make a trade for Lester and give up one of their bats at the deadline. I think they might rather gamble and see if they can bring him in via free agency. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-07-24 19:00:00 (link to chat)Is Billy McKinney in the conversation for top 100? Only 19 and holding his own at high A
(Pete from Chicago)
If he is it's in the backend. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-07-07 11:00:00 (link to chat)With the recent acquisition of the Addison Russel, Billy McKinney and Dan Straily do the Cubs now have the best farm in the league?
(Balki from Chicago)
Pretty good case; nobody can touch their impact bats; depth is obviously improving but it had a long way to go. I think Cubs and Twins are the two alphas of the minor league systems. (Jason Parks on the Top 50)
2013-12-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Please rank the following OF prospects from last years draft: Hunter Renfroe, Billy McKinney, Phil Ervin, and Austin Wilson
(Sean from Oakland)
Ervin, Renfroe, McKinney, Wilson (Jason Parks)
2013-12-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)What type of player is Billy McKinney like? Hit tool? Power tool?
(Joe from The Couch)
Hit tool heavy left-fielder with a chance for some (not plus) power. Could end up a tweener type. (Jason Parks)
2013-11-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Other than the top talents from the most recent draft class, who has jumped up prospect boards after their first season of pro ball? Phil Ervin? Ryan McMahon? Billy McKinney?
(Fred from Detroit)
Those are nice choices, but don't forget guys like Hunter Harvey, Shipley, Kaminsky. (Jason Parks)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Hitter Profile

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