Biographical

Portrait of Denton Keys

Denton Keys PPhillies

Phillies Player Cards | Phillies Team Audit | Phillies Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 21)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
35.3 5.01 1.53 21 2 2 1 -0.2
Birth Date9-30-1994
Height6' 3"
Weight190 lbs
Age22 years, 0 months, 0 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
2012
2013
2014
2015
0.02016
DRA-Based WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA WARP

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA
2013 PHL Rk 9 2 19.0 2 2 0 23 5 11 0 .244 102 10.9 2.4 0.0 5.2 49% .338 .290 1.47 3.25 5.68 100 4.38
2014 PHL Rk 11 7 49.0 3 2 0 43 12 35 0 .000 7.9 2.2 0.0 6.4 0% .301 .000 1.12 3.06 2.20 0 0.00
2015 WPT A- 15 5 39.3 0 1 0 49 16 31 4 .268 98 11.2 3.7 0.9 7.1 60% .344 .326 1.65 4.48 4.12 105 4.62

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2016 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/15/2015 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 2.5 2.6 0.5 19 7 57.6 49 19 34 6 .262 1.18 3.96 4.3 5.4 0.6
80o 2 2.3 0.4 16 6 49.5 46 18 30 5 .280 1.29 4.43 4.82 2.1 0.2
70o 1.7 2.2 0.3 14 6 43.9 44 17 26 5 .294 1.38 4.79 5.2 0.2 0.0
60o 1.5 2 0.3 13 5 39.3 41 16 24 5 .306 1.45 5.10 5.54 -1.0 -0.1
50o 1.3 1.9 0.3 11 4 35.1 39 15 21 5 .317 1.53 5.39 5.86 -2.0 -0.2
40o 1.1 1.7 0.2 10 4 31.1 36 14 19 4 .328 1.60 5.70 6.19 -2.7 -0.3
30o 0.9 1.5 0.2 9 3 26.9 33 13 16 4 .340 1.69 6.03 6.55 -3.2 -0.3
20o 0.7 1.3 0.1 7 3 22.1 29 11 13 3 .354 1.79 6.43 6.99 -3.4 -0.4
10o 0.4 1 0.1 5 2 15.8 22 9 10 3 .373 1.95 7.00 7.61 -3.3 -0.4
Weighted Mean1.21.80.211433.93714204.3131.505.345.8-1.7-0.2

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 9/30/2016 12:13 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 1.7 3 0.5 17 7 53.7 49 19 30 6 .255 1.26 3.98 4.15 -2.2 -0.2
80o 1.4 2.7 0.4 15 6 46.1 46 18 26 5 .274 1.38 4.41 4.6 -4.0 -0.4
70o 1.2 2.5 0.3 13 5 40.9 44 17 23 5 .287 1.48 4.73 4.94 -4.9 -0.5
60o 1 2.3 0.3 12 5 36.5 41 16 21 5 .298 1.56 5.01 5.24 -5.5 -0.6
50o 0.9 2.1 0.2 10 4 32.6 39 15 18 5 .309 1.65 5.28 5.52 -5.9 -0.6
40o 0.8 1.9 0.2 9 4 28.8 36 14 16 4 .320 1.73 5.55 5.81 -6.0 -0.7
30o 0.6 1.7 0.2 8 3 24.8 33 13 14 4 .332 1.83 5.85 6.13 -6.0 -0.7
20o 0.5 1.5 0.1 7 3 20.4 29 11 12 3 .345 1.94 6.21 6.51 -5.7 -0.6
10o 0.3 1.1 0.1 5 2 14.6 22 9 8 3 .364 2.12 6.74 7.07 -4.9 -0.5
Weighted Mean0.920.210431.53714184.3061.625.235.47-5.5-0.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201722441351212113248761547.3171.494.895.399.83.65.71.1-0.3
201823341311010511442661347.3191.494.875.379.83.65.71.1-0.3
20192434129109810738621247.3191.484.775.269.93.55.71.1-0.1
202025331269899935571147.3221.504.815.3010.03.55.71.1-0.2
202126331258869333551147.3181.474.785.279.83.55.81.2-0.1
202227331258859331551047.3201.454.685.169.83.35.81.1-0.0
202328331279939833601147.3151.414.575.049.53.25.81.10.1
202429331279929932591147.3171.424.625.099.73.15.81.10.0
202530331269889431571047.3171.424.615.089.63.25.81.00.0

Long-Term Forecast Based on RoS PECOTA (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201722331248808932511147.3171.515.015.5210.03.65.71.2-0.3
20182323120769762744947.3201.504.975.4810.03.55.81.2-0.2
201924331238798528531047.3171.434.635.109.73.26.01.10.0
20202522018663692442847.3221.484.815.309.93.46.01.1-0.1
20212611011439431527547.3191.494.865.369.93.56.21.2-0.1
20222722014548511636647.3211.404.384.839.63.06.81.10.1
20232822016555571939847.3071.394.905.409.43.16.41.3-0.2
20242922017659541744747.2921.214.114.538.32.66.71.10.3
202530451371212514132832047.3191.384.765.2510.12.36.01.4-0.2

Upside By Year

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
out of baseballout of baseballout of baseball1.1out of baseballout of baseball1.1

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
2015out of baseballout of baseballout of baseball1.1out of baseballout of baseball1.1

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 93)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 97 German Marte 2006 0.00 DNP
2 97 Richard Alvarez 2014 0.00 DNP
3 96 Nelson Pereira 2010 0.00 DNP
4 96 Brian Broderick 2008 0.00 DNP
5 96 Jon Meloan 2006 0.00 DNP
6 96 Jamie Richmond 2007 0.00 DNP
7 95 Waldis Joaquin 2008 0.00 DNP
8 95 Miguel Socolovich 2008 0.00 DNP
9 95 Doug Salinas 2010 0.00 DNP
10 95 Jamaine Cotton 2012 0.00 DNP
11 94 Kyle McPherson 2009 0.00 DNP
12 94 Luis Rico 2015 0.00 DNP
13 94 Marco Duarte 2008 0.00 DNP
14 94 Nick Green 2006 0.00 DNP
15 94 Alex Woodson 2007 0.00 DNP
16 94 Nolan Diaz 2012 0.00 DNP
17 94 Ricardo Penalba 2010 0.00 DNP
18 94 Alejandro Barraza 2012 0.00 DNP
19 93 Duane Below 2007 0.00 DNP
20 93 Luis Lebron 2006 0.00 DNP
21 93 Jeremy McBryde 2008 0.00 DNP
22 93 Raynel Velette 2012 0.00 DNP
23 93 Andres Rosales 2009 0.00 DNP
24 93 Cesar Cabral 2010 0.00 DNP
25 93 Kelvin Pichardo 2007 0.00 DNP
26 93 Miguel Matos 2009 0.00 DNP
27 93 Dariel Delgado 2015 0.00 DNP
28 93 Tyree Hayes 2010 0.00 DNP
29 93 Benny Suarez 2013 0.00 DNP
30 93 Luis Gonzalez 2013 0.00 DNP
31 93 Yeliar Castro 2009 0.00 DNP
32 93 Yacksel Rios 2014 0.00 DNP
33 93 Luis Morel 2014 0.00 DNP
34 93 Brett Zawacki 2010 0.00 DNP
35 93 Jose Romero 2007 0.00 DNP
36 93 Jose Casilla 2010 0.00 DNP
37 93 Brendan Wise 2007 0.00 DNP
38 93 Charles Snowden 2010 0.00 DNP
39 92 Lucas La Point 2012 0.00 DNP
40 92 Fidencio Flores 2013 0.00 DNP
41 92 Cesar Ciurcina 2012 0.00 DNP
42 92 Angelo Leclerc 2013 0.00 DNP
43 92 Josue Montanez 2013 0.00 DNP
44 92 Mark Pawelek 2008 0.00 DNP
45 92 Patrick McCoy 2010 0.00 DNP
46 92 Nicholas Hanson 2013 0.00 DNP
47 92 Christian Meza 2012 0.00 DNP
48 92 Oderman Rocha 2014 0.00 DNP
49 92 Mark Blackmar 2013 0.00 DNP
50 92 Genison Reyes 2013 0.00 DNP
51 92 Kevin Comer 2014 0.00 DNP
52 92 Randy Matias 2008 0.00 DNP
53 92 Hector Noesi 2008 0.00 DNP
54 92 Julian Hilario 2012 0.00 DNP
55 92 John Holdzkom 2009 0.00 DNP
56 92 Adam Veres 2009 0.00 DNP
57 92 Terrence Engles 2007 0.00 DNP
58 92 Michael Blazek 2010 0.00 DNP
59 92 Jonathan Musser 2013 0.00 DNP
60 92 Ricardo Pecina 2009 0.00 DNP
61 92 Alec Mills 2013 0.00 DNP
62 92 Miller Diaz 2013 0.00 DNP
63 92 Joshua Lucas 2012 0.00 DNP
64 92 Jason Stephens 2006 0.00 DNP
65 92 Sean Donatello 2012 0.00 DNP
66 92 Matthew Spann 2012 0.00 DNP
67 92 Kevin Kreier 2009 0.00 DNP
68 92 Jackson Quezada 2008 0.00 DNP
69 92 Taylor Morton 2013 0.00 DNP
70 92 Josh Outman 2006 0.00 DNP
71 91 Ryne Slack 2014 0.00 DNP
72 91 Donnie Veal 2006 0.00 DNP
73 91 David Hernandez 2006 0.00 DNP
74 91 Jo-Jo Reyes 2006 0.00 DNP
75 91 Wilson Lee 2013 0.00 DNP
76 91 Jeff Ames 2012 0.00 DNP
77 91 Ernesto Frieri 2007 0.00 DNP
78 91 Daniel Berlind 2009 0.00 DNP
79 91 Darwin Matos 2012 0.00 DNP
80 91 Giovanny Gallegos 2013 0.00 DNP
81 91 Ryan Pressly 2010 0.00 DNP
82 91 Marcos Tabata 2007 0.00 DNP
83 91 Jhonathan Torres 2011 0.00 DNP
84 91 Aaron Breit 2007 0.00 DNP
85 91 Vince Payne 2012 0.00 DNP
86 91 Cameron Coffey 2012 0.00 DNP
87 91 Brandon Alger 2013 0.00 DNP
88 91 Logan Ondrusek 2006 0.00 DNP
89 91 Rolando Valdez 2007 0.00 DNP
90 91 Ralston Cash 2013 0.00 DNP
91 91 Jay Sborz 2006 0.00 DNP
92 91 Brett Gerritse 2012 0.00 DNP
93 91 Carlos Monasterios 2007 0.00 DNP
94 91 Ronny Morla 2009 0.00 DNP
95 91 Felix Sterling 2014 0.00 DNP
96 91 Craig Italiano 2008 0.00 DNP
97 91 Nick Martinez 2012 0.00 DNP
98 91 Luis Gomez 2014 0.00 DNP
99 91 Miguel Del Pozo 2014 0.00 DNP
100 91 Rudy Owens 2009 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

Definition of multi-year splits

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BP Articles

Denton Keys is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
5 O'Clock Power: Scouting a Series: Aberdeen vs. WilliamsportTucker Blair2015-07-31


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